Dispe sion moni o ing se ices in he Medi e anean
Sea: a mul i-model s a is ical app oach
Bea ice Maddalena Sco oa,b, And ea Li a Loa cab, An onio No ellinoa,
Gio anni Besiob
aETT S.p.A., Via En ico Albe e o 21, Genoa, 16153, I aly,
bDICCA, Uni e si y o Genoa, Via Mon alleg o 1, Genoa, 16145, I aly,
Abs ac
The Medi e anean Sea is inc easingly impac ed by shipbo ne pollu ion,
necessi a ing sophis ica ed oil spill moni o ing sys ems. This s udy p esen s
a de ailed amewo k o assessing oil spill dynamics in he Medi e anean
using a ious oceanog aphic models. The i s pa compa es oil dispe sion
esul s using sea su ace cu en da a om Cope nicus Ma ine En i onmen
Moni o ing Se ice (CMEMS), Na al Hyd og aphic and Oceanog aphic
Se ice (SHOM), and F ench Resea ch Ins i u e o he Exploi a ion o he
o he Sea (IFREMER). The second pa e alua es pa icle dispe sion
simula ions, imp o ing upon p e ious esul s by inco po a ing S okes d i
and wind d ag e ec s om he Cope nicus ERA5 and he Me eOcean
model, ope a ional a DICCA Unige. The s udy also calcula es he cen oid
o each oil slick o ack i s ajec o y o e ime and assessing i s spa ial
and empo al de o ma ion. To alida e he me hodology, a p ac ical case
s udy is conduc ed, compa ing he esul s wi h Sen inel-1 sa elli e images
om he i s days a e he acciden and wi h p ess epo s. The esul s
demons a e ha bo h S okes d i and wind signi ican ly in luence he
su ace anspo o oil spill, imp o ing ajec o y p edic ions when
combined wi h su ace cu en s. In addi ion, compa ison be ween ocean
and clima e models e ealed subs an ial a iabili y in dispe sion esul s,
highligh ing he impo ance o model selec ion in ope a ional o ecas ing o
he bene i s o he use o a mul i-model p obabilis ic app oach.
Keywo ds: Oil spill, ocean dynamics, S okes d i , OceanPa cels
P ep in submi ed o Ma ine Pollu ion Bulle in Sep embe 25, 2025
