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Deliverable 16.1: State-of-the-art on high fidelity numerical simulations of strongly coupled processes for repository systems (Initial report)

Author: Laloy, Eric
Publisher: Zenodo
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17242925
Source: https://zenodo.org/records/17242925/files/EURAD2_WP16_HERM_T02_01_D16_01_SOTA.pdf
EURAD-2 Deli e able 16.1 – S a e-o - he-a on high ideli y nume ical simula ions o s ongly coupled
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Deli e able 16.1: S a e-o - he-a on high ideli y
nume ical simula ions o s ongly coupled
p ocesses o eposi o y sys ems
(Ini ial epo )
Wo k Package 16
Co- unded by he Eu opean Union unde G an Ag eemen n°101166718
EURAD-2 Deli e able 16.1 – S a e-o - he-a on high ideli y nume ical simula ions o s ongly coupled
p ocesses o eposi o y sys ems (Ini ial epo )
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Documen in o ma ion
P ojec Ac onym
EURAD-2
P ojec Ti le
Eu opean Pa ne ship on Radioac i e Was e Managemen -2
EC g an ag eemen No.
101166718
Wo k Package Ti le
High ideli y nume ical siMula ions o s ongly coupled p ocesses
o Eposi o y syS ems (HERMES)
Deli e able No.
16.1
Deli e able Ti le
S a e-o - he-a on high ideli y nume ical simula ions o s ongly
coupled p ocesses o eposi o y sys ems (Ini ial epo )
Lead Bene icia y
PSI / SCK-CEN
Con ac ual Deli e y Da e
Sep embe 2025
Ac ual Deli e y Da e
Sep embe 2025
Dissemina ion le el
Public
Au ho s
E ic Laloy (SCK-CEN), Se gey Chu ako (PSI), A ila Baksay (TS
Ene con), Jan B ezina (TUL), Anne-Ca he ine Dieudonné (TUDel ),
Ola Koldi z (UFZ & DUT), Nikolaos P asianakis (PSI), Ja ie
Sampe (UDC), Luis Mon eneg o (UDC), Alba Mon (UDC), Ryan
San oso (FZJ), Yuankai Yang (FZJ), Jenna Poonoosamy (FZJ),
Gesa Zie le (BGR), F ancesco F eddi (UNIPR), Lo enzo Mingazzi
(UNIPR), Xa i Pin ado (Mi a Enginee ing Oy), Lau a Asensio
(UCLM), Vicen e Na a o (UCLM), Romin Dagnelie (CEA Pa is-
Saclay), Clémen Lynde (CEA Pa is-Saclay), Anne-Julie Tine (UL),
Fab ice Gol ie F (UL), Ma co De Lucia (GFZ), Guangjing Chen (SC
CEN), E san Demi e (Amphos 21), Jan S ebel (TUL), Michal Bé eš
(IGN), Zol án Bő hi (WSP Hunga y Consul ing Z ), Tamás Olasz
(WSP Hunga y Consul ing Z ), Jian u Shao (LaMcube), Zhan Yu
(LaMcube)
To be ci ed as:
Laloy E., Chu ako S. e al. (2025): S a e-o - he-a on high ideli y nume ical simula ions o s ongly
coupled p ocesses o eposi o y sys ems (Ini ial epo ). Final e sion as o 29/09/2025 o deli e able
D16.1 o he Eu opean Pa ne ship EURAD-2. EC G an ag eemen n°:101166718.
Disclaime
All in o ma ion in his documen is p o ided "as is" and no gua an ee o wa an y is gi en ha he
in o ma ion is i o any pa icula pu pose. The use , he e o e, uses he in o ma ion a i s sole isk
and liabili y. Views and opinions exp essed a e howe e hose o he au ho (s) only and do no
necessa ily e lec hose o he Eu opean Union o Eu opean A omic Ene gy Communi y. Nei he he
Eu opean Union no he g an ing au ho i y o he indi idual Colleges o EURAD-2 can be held
esponsible o hem.
Acknowledgemen
This documen is a deli e able o he Eu opean Pa ne ship on Radioac i e Was e Managemen 2
(EURAD-2). EURAD-2 is co- unded by he Eu opean Union unde G an Ag eemen N° 101166718.
EURAD-2 Deli e able 16.1 – S a e-o - he-a on high ideli y nume ical simula ions o s ongly coupled
p ocesses o eposi o y sys ems (Ini ial epo )
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S a us o deli e able
By
Da e
Deli e ed (Lead Bene icia y)
SCK-CEN
16/07/2025
Ve i ied (WP Leade )
S. Chu ako
18/07/2025
Re iewed (Re iewe s)
S. Chu ako , O. Koldi z,
N. P asianakis, A. Baksay
30/06/2025
Re iew (KM WPL)
A. Ta omi
25/09/2025
App o ed (PMO)
V. Ma uzas
26/09/2025
Submi ed o EC (Coo dina o )
And a
01/10/2025
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Execu i e Summa y
Despi e he con inuous inc ease o compu a ional powe , nume ical models o was e
eposi o ies emain limi ed in dimensions, esolu ion, and p ocess coupling. In e se
modelling, such as da a in e p e a ion, design op imisa ion, and unce ain y analysis
equi e compu a ionally in ensi e i e a i e o wa d modelling o de i e op imal
pa ame e s. Bo h o wa d and in e se modelling can be g ea ly accele a ed by using
high- ideli y su oga e models. Machine lea ning-based su oga es a e especially
p omising o The mal-Hyd o-Mechanical-Chemical (T-H-M-C) model componen s,
mul iscale da a exchange, big da a educ ion, and o de i e cons i u i e ela ions om
la ge da ase s.
WP HERMES aims a he de elopmen o high- ideli y nume ical models o
simula ions o s ongly coupled T-H-M-C p ocesses in eposi o y nea ield, eposi o y
design op imisa ion, and in e p e a ion o mock-up expe imen s using a combina ion o
physics-based models and accele a ed compu ing assis ed wi h machine lea ning and
a i icial in elligence.
This ini ial S a e-o - he-A epo desc ibes he majo coupled T-H-M-C p ocesses in
geological eposi o y sys ems and he on ie o ela ed model de elopmen . Pa icula
ocus is placed on he analysis o exis ing app oaches and open esea ch ques ions
wi h espec o u he de elopmen s o coupled codes and models o ealis ic mul i-
scale simula ion o eposi o y sys ems. These include he use o machine lea ning and
a i icial in elligence o he accele a ion o compu e codes; sensi i i y analysis,
in e se modelling and op imisa ion; so wa e enginee ing and collabo a i e pla o ms
o model de elopmen . By he end o he WP-HERMES, his epo will be
complemen ed wi h he knowledge acqui ed du ing he cou se o he WP HERMES
RD&D p og am.
Keywo ds
Coupled p ocesses; nume ical simula ion; eposi o y; adioac i e was e; T-H-M-C;
Machine lea ning; A i icial in elligence.
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Con en s
Execu i e Summa y ................................................................................................................................. 4
Keywo ds ................................................................................................................................................. 4
1. Lis o igu es ................................................................................................................................... 7
2. In oduc ion o he scope o HERMES WP .......................................................................................... 8
2.1. The ole o modelling in he design and pe o mance assessmen o nuclea was e eposi o y
sys ems ................................................................................................................................................ 8
2.1.1 The wha ’s and why’s o eposi o y sys ems and coupled p ocesses .................................... 8
2.1. 2 Why nume ical models ma e ............................................................................................... 9
2.1.3 Needs o u u e de elopmen o high- ideli y nume ical modelling ools o coupled p ocesses
....................................................................................................................................................... 10
2.2. Desc ip ion o eposi o y ele an Fea u e-E en s-P ocesses (FEPs) in a gillaceous hos ocks
........................................................................................................................................................... 12
2.3. An o e iew o he s a e-o - he-a nume ical model .................................................................. 15
2.3.1 Physics and chemis y-based desc ip ion o coupled phenomena and scales .................... 15
2.3.2 Applica ion o machine lea ning ........................................................................................... 17
2.3.3 Model alida ion and benchma king ..................................................................................... 19
2.4. F on ie s o ealis ic eposi o y modelling, design and op imisa ion ........................................... 20
2.4.1 Op imisa ion, unce ain y analysis, and in e se modelling ................................................... 20
2.4.2 Abs ac ion and simpli ica ion me hods ................................................................................ 21
2.4.3 Global sensi i i y analyses ................................................................................................... 21
2.4.4 So wa e de elopmen and HPC in as uc u e .................................................................... 22
2.4.5 Fu u e o ien ed collabo a i e pla o ms ................................................................................ 23
3. La es de elopmen s and open gaps in nume ical simula ion o coupled p ocesses ....................... 25
3.1. Imp o ing models’ ideli y and compu a ional e iciency o s ongly coupled T-H-M-C p oblems
and subp oblems ............................................................................................................................... 25
3.1.1 Coupled p ocesses ............................................................................................................... 25
3.1.2 Modelling scale ..................................................................................................................... 26
3.1.3 Simula ion me hods .............................................................................................................. 28
3.1.4 Su oga e modelling ............................................................................................................. 30
3.1.5 Benchma k sui es ................................................................................................................. 39
3.2. Me hods and ools o unce ain y analysis o THCM models .................................................... 40
3.2.1 Upscaling .............................................................................................................................. 40
3.2.2 Sensi i i y analysis ............................................................................................................... 41
3.2.3 In e se modelling ................................................................................................................. 43
3.3. In eg a ion be ween da a and compu ing ools .......................................................................... 44
3.3.1 Collabo a i e pla o ms / model and da a hubs .................................................................... 44

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3.3.2 Da a and model in eg a ion .................................................................................................. 47
3.4. Applica ion o p ocess-based models o ield expe imen s and eposi o y sys ems ................. 48
3.4.1 Real ime simula ion o expe imen s .................................................................................... 48
3.4.2 Was e package in eg i y and nea - ield ................................................................................ 50
3.4.3 Reposi o y design and op imisa ion and digi al wins’ de elopmen .................................... 54
4. Summa y ........................................................................................................................................... 59
5. Re e ences ........................................................................................................................................ 60
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1. Lis o igu es
Figu e 1 – Summa y o coupled p ocesses and hei app oxima e empo al ex en in a eposi o y nea -
ield loca ed in a low pe meabili y a gillaceous hos ock (middle). Semi quali a i e conside a ion o main
physical-chemical p ocesses and in si u condi ions based on a Swiss eposi o y concep o SF/HLW
(le ) and cemen i ious eposi o y o L/ILW ( igh ) (Leupin e al., 2016a, 2016b). EGTS s ands o
Enginee ed Gas T anspo Sys em. Whe eas exac du a ion o he ac i e phase o peak ield alues o
speci ic p ocesses (e.g. peak empe a u e o du a ion o e-sa u a ion phase, e c. indica ed by he colou
in ensi y) depend on de ails o eposi o y design and he p ope ies o he was e, he de ailed sequence
o he physical p ocess and hei in e dependence is cha ac e is ic o a wide ange o cu en eposi o y
concep s. ............................................................................................................................................... 12
Figu e 2 – Compu a ional app oach o ex ac ing po e-scale dynamics in o ma ion. This wo k low is
summa ised om Mah ous e al. (2022) and Maes & Menke (2021). ................................................... 32
Figu e 3 – Ske ch o he p oposed EURAD-2 model-hub. .................................................................... 45
Figu e 4 – Example o he Digi al Twin o he URL Mon Te i displaying he expe imen loca ions in he
labo a o y, embedding simula ion esul s and a se ious game o educa ional and knowledge ans e
pu poses (G aebling e al., 2023). ......................................................................................................... 47
Figu e 5 – Rep esen a ion o he laye -by-laye app oach (a e Lemmens e al. (2024)) in which only
he ou e (supe icial) laye o s eel is a po ous medium and can co ode. .......................................... 51
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2. In oduc ion o he scope o HERMES WP
1
The EURAD SRA de ines join esea ch needs whe e Eu opean collabo a ion o e s
added alue beyond wha indi idual na ional p og ams migh do (EURAD Bu eau.
(2023)). Accu a e p ocess based nume ical simula ions o coupled p ocesses has
been iden i ied as key ool o he eposi o y sa e y demons a ion and op imisa ion o
eposi o y design. In alignmen wi h he SRA’s goals o building a collabo a i e and
sus ained knowledge base, he WP HERMES is se up o suppo s op imiza ion o
eposi o y designs (e.g. layou , ma e ials, ba ie sys ems) wi h p edic i e ools.
Facili a es upscaling om lab/ ield expe imen s o eposi o y scale. P omo es
knowledge sha ing ia open modelling/da a in as uc u e, enhancing anspa ency
and ep oducibili y. Builds expe ise in ad anced modelling echniques (including ML‐
assis ed / su oga e modelling) ac oss Eu ope.
2.1. The ole o modelling in he design and pe o mance assessmen o
nuclea was e eposi o y sys ems
Sa e geological disposal o adioac i e was e elies on a combina ion o enginee ed
and na u al ba ie s ep esen ing a so-called mul iple ba ie app oach (Ap ed & Ahn,
2017). Na u al ba ie s, e.g., he hos ocks, a e chosen o p o ide s able hyd o-
chemical-geo- ec onic condi ions and o slowdown a po en ial mig a ion o
adionuclides in o he biosphe e. Depending on he he mo-hyd o-chemo-mechanical
condi ions p o ided by he hos ocks, he sys em o enginee ed ba ie s con aining
he was e is op imised o ensu e he mechanical in eg i y o was e packages, and o
delay possible elease o soluble adionuclides in o he hos ocks and biosphe e
(IAEA, 2020).
2.1.1 The wha ’s and why’s o eposi o y sys ems and coupled p ocesses
Acco ding o (IAEA, 2009), adioac i e was e is classi ied in o six ca ego ies: Exemp
was e (EW), Ve y low le el was e (VLLW), Low le el was e (LLW), In e media e le el
was e (ILW), High le el was e (HLW). Because o hei physical-chemical p ope ies
and adio oxici y le el di e en concep s a e used in design o was e eposi o ies o
Spen (nuclea ) Fuel/High Le el Was e (SF/HLW), Low Le el Was e and In e media e
Le el Was e (L/ILW) (IAEA, 2009). The ollowing discussion is mainly ocused on he
enginee ing solu ions o SF/HLW and L/ILW.
The SF/HLW is also e e ed o as hea emi ing was e. Depending on he in en o y o
spalla ion p oduc s and he p edisposal his o y o he SF, i s he mal ou pu can ha e
signi ican implica ions o he ime e olu ion o he he mo-hyd o-chemo-mechanical
1
Based on Chu ako , S.V., Cla e , F., Idia , A. e al. Posi ion pape on high ideli y simula ions o coupled p ocesses, mul i-
physics and chemis y in geological disposal o nuclea was e. En i on Ea h Sci 83, 521 (2024).
h ps://doi.o g/10.1007/s12665-024-11832-7
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condi ions in he eposi o y. The combina ion o he mal pulse, mechanical s ain, po e
p essu e build-up, solu es and mois u e anspo leads o complex ansien condi ions
(Seyedi e al., 2017). These p ocesses a e coupled o chemical g adien s and
he e ogeneous eac ion on s e ol ing in he enginee ed ba ie sys em (EBS) and
e en in he adjacen hos ocks (Bilds ein O, 2019; Leupin e al., 2016a).
L/ILW is ypically immobilised using a cemen -based ma ix (Ojo an e al., 2019). O he
binde s such as bi umen and geopolyme s ha e also been used o a e being
conside ed. Cemen i ious ma e ials a e known o hei du abili y, shielding capabili y,
mechanical pe o mance and he e o e an impo an ma e ial in many eposi o y
designs. These ma e ials ha e inhe en ly high pH, which would be in chemical
disequilib ium wi h common hos ock ypes conside ed o he disposal o adioac i e
was e (Gauche & Blanc, 2006; Wilson e al., 2021). On a imescale o se e al
hund eds o housands o yea s, a cemen i ious ba ie is expec ed o unde go complex
chemical in e ac ion wi h he su ounding hos ocks (Blanc e al., 2024 ). In addi ion,
he deg ada ion o ce ain was e ypes and componen s o he EBS may lead o gas
elease which a ec s he sa u a ion s a e o he eposi o y and he po e luid p essu e
(Le asseu e al., 2024; Mo eno e al., 2001; Polle e al., 2016; Wendling e al., 2019).
Gas elease can he e o e ha e a signi ican impac on he long- e m hyd o-chemo-
mechanical e olu ion o he ba ie sys em (Leupin e al., 2016b).
Conside ing he sho - and long- e m dynamics o he in-si u condi ions, he desc ip ion
o eposi o y sys em is di ided in o nea - and a - ield domains. Nea - ield comp ises
he was e, he enginee ed ba ie sys em and he adjacen hos ocks a ec ed by he
eposi o y. Recen ly, he e m disposal cell has been used o desc ibe he was e
package - ba ie s - adjacen hos ock; whe eas nea - ield may e e also o he
combina ion o he enginee ed eposi o y sys em and adjacen hos ock (Jacques e
al., 2024). The a - ield comp ises he dis an pa o hos ocks and he biosphe e,
which, in essence, could be conside ed o be una ec ed by he T-H-M-C phenomena
in he eposi o y e en in he long e m.
2.1. 2 Why nume ical models ma e
The pe o mance and sa e y assessmen s o he eposi o ies ely, among a ious o he
aspec s, on model-based desc ip ions and simula ions o possible eposi o y e olu ion
scena ios. Due o he complexi y o he eposi o y sys ems and he long- ime scales
in ol ed, modelling is he only way o e alua e he long- e m e olu ion o he eposi o y
in si u condi ions. Fo he same easons eliable model-based p edic ions o eposi o y
e olu ion a e challenging. The oo s o he challenges a e mul i- old and ela ed o:
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In he po e-scale app oxima ion, spa ial dis ibu ion o indi idual phases is aken in o
accoun explici ly. The phase is a solid o luid wi h dis inc chemical and physical
p ope ies. Depending on he model, hese phases could be po e space illed wi h
mul i-phase mul i-componen luids and solids. The in e ac ion be ween phases is
di ec ly de ined a phase bounda ies (in e aces) and may lead o he al e a ion o he
po e space subjec o dissolu ion/p ecipi a ion eac ions. Conside ing he ac ha any
phase may ha e in insic he e ogenei ies, he po e scale app oxima ion emba ks on
he “con inuum scale” app oach when desc ibing p ope ies o he indi idual phases in
he sys em.
In he molecula scale models, he in e ac ion be ween ions and molecules in luid and
solid phases is aken in o accoun explici ly. Once again, depending on he le el o
abs ac ion and de ail, hese models ange om he explici conside a ion o elec onic
s uc u e based quan um mechanical app oach o coa se g ained ones in which la ge
molecula segmen s a e desc ibed as e ec i e in e ac ion si es (pa icles). Fu he
simpli ica ions a e possible employing e ec i e media app oach such as he dielec ic
con inuum app oach o sol en .
The choice o he op imal model and scale o he sys em desc ip ion should be d i en
by he scien i ic ques ion. Con inuum scale modelling neglec s spa ial dis ibu ion o
indi idual phases o he ma e ial, which can be c i ical i phase changes ha e s ong
e ec on ma e ial p ope ies. Po e scale modelling, on he o he hand, is capable o
acking he in e aces be ween indi idual phases and p o ide he e olu ion o sys em
pa ame e s a REV scale. Molecula scale models can deli e he p ope ies o
indi idual phases and phase in e aces. Thus, u he de elopmen o he
compu a ional ools and he models should be aimed a mul iscale model coupling in
which la ge scale models de ine bounda y condi ions whe eas he small-scale models
p o ide ma e ial p ope ies necessa y o he accu a e sys em desc ip ion (Molins &
Knabne , 2019). Majo limi a ions o mul iscale modelling amewo ks a e ela ed o
compu a ional e o and he c oss-scale model coupling, which would no be sol ed
by inc ease o compu a ional esou ces alone. New e icien algo i hms and he scale
coupling-decoupling schemes should be in he i s p io i ies o u u e de elopmen s.
Coupled eac i e anspo models o eposi o y sys ems
The so-called eac i e anspo models include he coupling be ween luid low, mass
anspo and geochemis y. Such modes a e well es ablished (S ee el, 2019).
Nume ous codes exis a he Da cy o con inuum scale (S ee el e al., 2015). Se e al
compu a ional benchma ks ele an o deep eposi o ies ha e been published (Aguila
e al., 2021; Idia , 2019; Ma y e al., 2015; Poonoosamy e al., 2021). The
co esponding models ha e been applied o simula e he e olu ion o ba ie s in deep
geological eposi o ies du ing he ecen EU p ojec s (e.g. EU CEBAMA (Du o e al.,
2020) and wo k packages ACED (Jacques e al., 2024) and DONUT in EURAD (Cla e
e al., 2022). In EURAD WP-ACED, he componen s o eposi o y sys ems a e

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modelled a he scales o in e aces, was e packages and disposal cell, e.g. (Blanc e
al., 2024 ; De Wind e al., 2024; Lemmens e al., 2023; Mon e al., 2023; Mon eneg o
e al., 2023; Wi eb ood e al., 2024a; Wi eb ood e al., 2024b ).
Mo e ecen ly, coupled eac i e anspo models ha e been implemen ed a he po e-
scale as well. Such modes a e able o ela e po e-scale mic os uc u al changes due
o geochemical eac ions o e ec i e pa ame e s ha can be applied o he con inuum
scale. Examples o such app oach, among many o he s, a e gi en in (Molins e al.,
2017; Pa el e al., 2018; P asianakis e al., 2017; P asianakis e al., 2018; Seigneu e
al., 2017; Va zina e al., 2020).
In si u condi ions and ma e ial p ope ies o he EBS sys em e ol e due o he he mal,
hyd aulic, mechanical, biochemical and chemical g adien s ha exis wi hin and
be ween he di e en eposi o y componen s. Wi hin he EURAD p ojec , wo wo k
packages ha e ocussed on hese changes, i.e. geochemis y induced changes
(ACED WP) and coupled chemo-mechanical p ocesses (MAGIC) (Cla e e al., 2022).
Fo he geochemical e ec s on he EBS p ope ies, (Nee , 2022) and (Deissmann e
al., 2021) ga e an o e iew o p ocesses and a ailable models a he in e ace scale.
Se e al coupled eac i e anspo models ha e been used o e alua e he e olu ion
a he in e ace o wo ma e ials (e.g. (Idia , La iña, Kosakowski, e al., 2020; Ma y
e al., 2015; Sa age e al., 2010) see also (Bilds ein e al., 2019) o a ecen o e iew).
Recen coupled eac i e anspo models ha e been success ul in coupling all ele an
ma e ials in a disposal cell con aining high le el i i ied was e: nuclea glass-s eel-
cemen /ben oni e-hos ock (g ani e o clay) and epo ed in (De Wind e al., 2024;
Mon eneg o e al., 2023). Also ecen ly, hyd o-chemo-mechanical modelling has been
used o s udy he e olu ion o he Cigéo eposi o y closu e sys ems based on
ben oni e-based sealing componen s su ounded by cemen i ious ma e ials (Idia ,
La iña, Cochepin, e al., 2020; La iña e al., 2023).
Chemo-mechanical couplings in massi e conc e e in as uc u e ha e been add essed
in WP MAGIC using mul iscale simula ions anging om nano o cell scale models
(Dauzè es e al., 2022). Reac i e anspo codes and mechanical codes can be
sequen ially coupled o model cemen i ious ma e ial damage due o ca bona ion (Socié
e al., 2023). The hyd o-chemo-mechanical a ia ional phase- ield ac u e app oach,
o example, is capable o handling chemical eac ions, as well as he esul ing ma e ial
dissolu ion and/o p ecipi a ion caused by hyd a ion o deg ada ion (such as
ca bona ion) o ac u ed cemen i ious ma e ials (Zhang e al., 2018). Po e scale
simula ions a e used o in es iga e mic os uc u e e olu ion and o es ima e he
e ec i e mechanical pa ame e s o he media (Shen e al., 2020).
2.3.2 Applica ion o machine lea ning
The compu a ional ime in a mul i-physics modelling amewo k is o en domina ed by
only a ew o e en jus a single p ocess. Fo example, i is well known ha mos o he
compu a ion ime in coupled T-H-C eac i e anspo models is aken by he solu ion
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o he geochemical equa ions. Recen ly, se e al e o s ha e been made o eplace
hese compu a ionally expensi e ou ines by cheap su oga e models o en based on
machine lea ning echniques o look-up ables. Huang e al. (2018) desc ibed he
complex geochemis y o ageing cemen i ious was e esul ing om ca bona ion and
alkali-silica eac ions ia a look-up able app oach o a mul i-phase anspo model o
a conc e e s uc u e. Fu he mo e, emula ing he geochemical models using machine
lea ning echniques and by inco po a ing hem in o eac i e anspo models ha e
been es ed and implemen ed in some ecen s udies (De Lucia e al., 2017; Demi e
e al., 2023; Huang e al., 2018; Ja nieks e al., 2016; Laloy & Jacques, 2022; Leal e
al., 2020; P asianakis e al., 2020). P asianakis e al. (2020) ha e shown se e al
examples o success ul use o machine lea ning o upscaling po e-scale models
(la ice Bol zmann model) o a con inuum (Da cy)-scale eac i e anspo model.
Applica ions a he Da cy-scale show a gain in compu a ional ime o abou an o de o
magni ude, while geochemical calcula ions can be accele a ed be ween one and ou
o de s o magni ude. Al e na i ely, a su oga e can be made o eplace he comple e
model including all coupled physical p ocesses. Recen applica ions in he ield o
coupled eac i e anspo a e o u anium anspo (Laloy & Jacques, 2019) and
elec o-kine ic bio emedia ion (Sp oca i & Rolle, 2021). Machine lea ning echniques
a e also becoming popula o app oxima ing he s ess-s ain cons i u i e beha iou
o geoma e ials, including a i icial neu al ne wo ks and gene ic p og amming (Gao,
2018). (G a e al., 2010) ained ecu en neu al ne wo ks (RNN) wi h ime-dependen
da a o assess he long- e m beha iou o a ein o ced conc e e s uc u e subjec o
mechanical and en i onmen al loads. (Capuano & Rimoli, 2019) and (Loga zo e al.,
2021) also used RNN wi h ime-his o y p edic ion capabili y o eplace inelas ic
homogenisa ion (i.e. mul iscale) beha iou o ma e ials consis ing o a so
elas oplas ic ma ix wi h s i elas ic inclusions (e.g. conc e e). (Con i e al., 2018)
applied concep s om da a science o ma e ials science wi h he so-called da a-d i en
pa adigm, consis ing o e o mula ing he classical ini ial-bounda y- alue p oblems
di ec ly om ma e ial da a.
Many nume ical algo i hms a e ma u e enough o p o ide coupled desc ip ion o
mul iphysics p ocess, bu a e ypically limi ed a a speci ic leng h- and ime scale. The
T-H-M-C p ocesses ha go e n he eposi o y e olu ion a e in insically mul iscale,
comp ising phenomena om he a omis ic le el (e.g. chemical so p ion and ions
mobili y), o he mac oscopic le el. Fu he mo e, small-scale p ocesses can ha e a
s ong e ec on he sys em e olu ion a eposi o y scale. In addi ion, he nume ical
algo i hms use di e en p og amming languages (e.g. Fo an, C/C++, CUDA, Py hon,
o name a ew). Me ging he di e en codes is a e y challenging ask. Machine
lea ning echniques can be used o suppo he communica ion ac oss he algo i hms
since he mul i-dimensional complex ou pu o he models may be ep esen ed by
eg essing a simple ma hema ical objec , e.g. neu al ne wo ks. A he same ime, and
o speci ic applica ions, i seems easonable o c ea e su oga e models, ained on
he ull physical algo i hms, each a he espec i e leng h scale and o subsequen ly
in eg a e hem in o de o accele a e he o e all mul iscale calcula ions.
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The implemen a ion o accele a ed nume ical me hods and so wa e enginee ing
should go hand in hand and uned o he u u e o ien ed de elopmen o High
Pe o mance Compu ing (HPC) in as uc u e. This is no always he case o exis ing
scien i ic so wa e (G annan e al., 2020). Fo example, G aphical P ocesso Uni s
(GPU) based HPC sys ems ha e domina ed he HPC landscape since nea ly 10 yea s
(www. op500.o g). In con as , a he ew mul i-physics codes a e able o ake ull
ad an age o such a chi ec u e. Ou assessmen sugges s ha cu en ly he
de elopmen o coupled codes s ays behind he p og ess in ha dwa e de elopmen .
Full exploi a ion o HPC in as uc u e would enable as e and mo e complex
calcula ions han cu en ly easible. This would p o ide a basis o de elopmen o
digi al wins o T-H-M-C coupled p ocesses, and o in eg a ion o da a collec ed p io
and du ing he design, ope a ional and/o he pos closu e phases o eposi o y
sys ems.
2.3.3 Model alida ion and benchma king
Benchma king plays an impo an ole in he concep ual and nume ical de elopmen
o coupled T-H-M-C codes, whe e conse a ion laws (con inuum mechanics),
he modynamics (e.g., equa ions o s a e), ma e ial beha iou based on highly non-
linea cons i u i e laws, and chemis y (law o mass ac ion, Gibbs ene gy) need o be
conside ed simul aneously. Al hough he benchma king o coupled p ocess models
has made g ea p og ess in ecen decades, pa icula ly in he analysis o labo a o y
expe imen s, a high deg ee o unce ain y emains om s uc u al o p ac ical
applica ions (modelling o eal eposi o ies). The benchma king o coupled p ocesses
s a ed in he 1980s wi h he INTRACOIN, HYDROCOIN and INTRAVAL ini ia i es
(He be e al., 1988; Konikow e al., 1997; La sson, 1992). Unlike p e ious
benchma king ini ia i es, DECOVALEX is an ongoing and g owing p ojec ha has
uni ed a la ge communi y o modelle s o mo e han 25 yea s o he de elopmen o
coupled models and hei alida ion agains expe imen s (Bi kholze e al., 2018;
Bi kholze e al., 2019; Chen e al., 2009; Jing e al., 1995). DECOVALEX ocuses
mainly on nea ield he mo-hyd o-mechanical p ocesses. Recen ly a pe o mance
assessmen ask has been in eg a ed in o i s po olio. In his espec , he
benchma king ini ia i es MoMaS and SeS Bench o eac i e anspo p ocesses ha e
been launched in he pas (Aguila e al., 2021; Bilds ein e al., 2021; Ca ay ou e al.,
2010; Poonoosamy e al., 2021; S ee el e al., 2015). The combina ion o T-H-M and
eac i e anspo ini ia i es is s ill no a ailable, which also shows a lack o a uly
mul idisciplina y benchma king ini ia i e uni ing geomechanics and geochemis y.
Cu en ly, his limi a ion s ill hinde s he ull po en ial o T-H-M-C code de elopmen
(Koldi z e al., 2018). The e is a la ge body o li e a u e desc ibing indi idual
benchma king e o s. A mo e sys ema ic way o o ganising T-H-M/C has been
de eloped in a book se ies linked o da a eposi o ies whe e inpu iles and ela ed
code e sions a e s o ed (Koldi z e al., 2012). Mo e ecen ly, online e sions o
benchma k collec ions ha e become a ailable, e.g. ia he benchma king galle ies
(h ps://www.opengeosys.o g/docs/benchma ks/) and GeoML (h ps://geoml.eu/),
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allowing easie ep oduc ion o benchma ks e en o e ing collabo a i e in e ac i e
wo k en i onmen ia Jupy e Labs (see also Fu u e o ien ed collabo a i e pla o ms
below). In au ho s’ opinion, suppo and de elopmen o such ini ia i es a Eu opean
le el (i.e. wi hin EURAD esea ch p og am) and i s le e age by associa ed
in e na ional esea ch g oups ha e high added alue o he p og ess o scien i ic
collabo a ion owa ds FAIR (Findable, Accessible, In e ope able, Reusable) esea ch
da a p inciple (Wilkinson e al., 2016) and quali y assu ed code de elopmen .
Besides benchma king o nume ical T-H-M-C coupled codes, equally impo an is he
alida ion s udies o he implemen ed models wi h a ailable expe imen al da a
(Addassi e al., 2022; Peleg í e al., 2023). Fo ben oni e, which is an essen ial EBS
componen , ecen ly compiled expe imen al da abases a e a ailable in he li e a u e
and can be used as a means o collabo a i e T-H-M-C model alida ion (Cab e a e
al., 2023; Tha che e al., 2017).
2.4. F on ie s o ealis ic eposi o y modelling, design and op imisa ion
In his sec ion, we explo e he p esen challenges o coupled p ocess simula ions,
mul i-physics, and chemis y ele an o he geological disposal o nuclea was e.
Speci ically, we discuss he de elopmen and applica ion o ad anced T-H-M-C
models o in e se modelling, eposi o y design op imisa ion and sensi i i y analysis o
model pa ame e s. These a e, in ou opinion, he key a eas o u he de elopmen ,
d i en by he needs o eposi o y implemen a ion. Aiming o exploi he ull po en ial o
he mos powe ul compu a ional esou ces, we add ess he necessi y o he
cohe ence be ween he design o so wa e packages and he HPC a chi ec u e.
Finally, we elabo a e on he ad an ages in he use o collabo a i e pla o ms o code
de elopmen .
2.4.1 Op imisa ion, unce ain y analysis, and in e se modelling
P ocess-based nume ical simula ions a e he basis o in-dep h sys em unde s anding,
analysis o expe imen al obse a ions and hei upscaling. Despi e he con inuous
g ow h o he compu a ional esou ces, he ealism o he models applied in he
simula ions o eposi o y sys ems emains limi ed in e ms o dimensions, ime-space
esolu ion and p ocess couplings. In e p e a ion o expe imen al da a, sa e y and cos -
d i en design op imisa ion, and model unce ain y analysis belong o he class o
in e se p oblems. Nume ical solu ion o in e se p oblems implies i e a i e o wa d
modelling un il he solu ion con e ges o he op imal pa ame e se (e.g. sa is ac o y
desc ip ion o expe imen al da a, cos -sa e y op imisa ion o eposi o y design, o
unce ain y analysis).
Fo bo h o wa d and in e se p oblems, o de s o magni ude imp o emen in he
compu a ional e iciency can be ob ained by eplacing he physical based sol e s o i s
componen s wi h high ideli y su oga e models (sec ion 3.2). Pa icula ly p omising a e
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he su oga e models based on machine lea ning o speci ic aspec s o T-H-M-C
coupled models, da a exchange be ween models a di e en scales, educ ion o big
da a and ex ac ion o cons i u i e ela ions om la ge nume ical, expe imen al, and
moni o ing da ase s (Elodie e al., 2020; Hu e al., 2024; Hu e al., 2023; Ringel e al.,
2024).
2.4.2 Abs ac ion and simpli ica ion me hods
Fo a gi en nume ical simula ion p oblem wi h mul iple p ocesses, some p ocesses o
elemen s om he concep ual model migh ha e only a limi ed e ec on a model ou pu
(F an z, 1995). Model abs ac ion e e s o a sys ema ic me hod o educe he
complexi y o he compu a ional bu den o he model while main aining he alidi y o
he simula ion esul s wi h espec o he ques ion ha he simula ion is being used o
add ess. Model abs ac ion educes he simula ed sys em o i s essen ial componen s
and p ocesses h ough a simpli ica ion o concep ual (sub-)models, selec ion o
signi ican p ocesses and app op ia e ime and spa ial scales o mo e compu a ionally
e icien implemen a ions (o speci ic model componen s and p ocesses). In i s mos
ex eme o m, he model is s ipped down o a single componen which jus ep oduces
he desi ed ou pu om he inpu in a compu a ionally e icien way (Go ae s e al.,
2022).
The classi ica ion o echniques desc ibed in (Go ae s e al., 2022) a e based on
p e ious wo k by (Pachepsky, 2006) and (Raza i e al., 2012). A g oup o simpli ica ion
me hods is labelled lowe ideli y nume ical models and uses s a egies as a p e-
de ined hie a chy o models, delimi ing he inpu domain, he scale change and
educing nume ical accu acy. A second g oup is based on s a is ically de i ed
su oga e models which we e discussed abo e. Hie a chy o models a e de eloped o
low and anspo in ac u ed po ous media (Be e e al., 2019), T-H-M p ocesses
conce ning mechanical ba ie in eg i y (Pi z e al., 2023), di usion in cha ged po ous
media (Hennig & Kühn, 2021), o su ace complexa ion modelling (A o a e al., 2018).
Reducing he compu a ional cos s can be done by lowe ing he dimensionali y o he
p oblem (e.g. (Idia , 2019)) o sub-g id scale e inemen (e.g. (Fins e le e al., 2020;
Ma ine , 2020)), bu educ ion o chemical sys em o coupled p ocesses (e.g., he
ele ance o po osi y eedback in (Aguila e al., 2020) a e o he op ions as well. A
ecen example o upscaling me hods is o ep esen ac u ed nuclea glass as an
e ec i e medium (Repina e al., 2020).
2.4.3 Global sensi i i y analyses
T ea men o unce ain ies in he pe o mance assessmen o deep geological disposal
has been ecognized as an impo an opic o mo e han h ee decades (E. J. Bonano
& R. M. C anwell, 1988). In o de o quan i y he e ec o pa ame e a ia ion on
p edic ed sys em pe o mance, he local sensi i i y analysis (LSA) and global

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sensi i i y analysis (GSA) me hods a e ele an . While LSA de e mine he impac o
small inpu pe u ba ions a ound nominal alues on he model ou pu , GSA conside s
simul aneously he whole combina ional a ia ion ange o he inpu s. While bo h
me hods could p o ide ele an in o ma ion o T-H-M-C coupling, GSA accoun o
non-linea i y and in e ac ions among pa ame e s in sys em esponses in a mo e obus
manne (Chaudh y e al., 2021; Delchini e al., 2021; Nguyen e al., 2009; Wainw igh
e al., 2013). Recen ly, GSA ha e also been used o ackle eac i e anspo p oblems
and adionuclide mig a ion (Ayoub e al., 2020). Su oga e models can also be used o
deciphe unce ain y p opaga ion (Sochala e al., 2022) and o sensi i i y analyses.
The use o su oga e models can ci cum en an issue ela ed o GSA. Indeed, GSA
equi es many model e alua ions o achie e sa is ac o y accu acy, which will lead o a
g ea challenge in compu a ional e o s o la ge models, which is o pa icula
ele ance o complex coupled T-H-M-C p ocesses in eposi o ies. E en unning
su oga e models can be ema kably challenging and e en compu a ionally p ohibi i e
in he case o in ensi e simula ions and la ge-dimensional sys ems and necessi a e
he use o educed space su oga es (Voh a e al., 2019).
2.4.4 So wa e de elopmen and HPC in as uc u e
So wa e enginee ing plays an inc easingly impo an ole in scien i ic p ojec s. The
main d i e s a e he complexi y o he asks o be ackled, e.g. mul i-physics, mul i-
scale app oaches o coupled p ocesses, eal-wo ld applica ion wi h complex
geome ies and he associa ed compu a ional e o equi ing he applica ion o high-
pe o mance compu ing echnologies (Pa k e al., 2021; T inche o e al., 2017). We
belie e ha , mee ing hese challenges, la ge in e na ional mul idisciplina y
de elopmen eams a e needed o dis ibu ed de elopmen , so open-sou ce p ojec s
based on e sion con ol, con inuous in eg a ion and code e iew ha e become a
ounda ion o ecen esea ch so wa e (Bilke e al., 2019; Bjo ge e al., 2022; Fio ina
e al., 2022). Quali y-assu ance o he so wa e o sa e y assessmen applica ions in
nuclea was e managemen is pa icula ly impo an , and equi e anspa ency,
aceabili y and ep oducibili y o esul s. New so wa e echnologies a e cu en ly
making hei way in o geoscience applica ions, such as con aine echnologies o
po abili y o complex so wa e p ojec s, au oma ed wo k lows o sol ing complex
asks in ol ing la ge applica ion da a, o au oma ed benchma king wo k lows
(Lehmann e al., 2023). Mode n so wa e p ojec s also make in ensi e use o
ecosys ems such as Py hon o Julia and in eg a e hem in o he en i e wo k low, i.e.
p e- and pos -p ocessing as well as simula ion ke nels. This equi es app op ia e
applica ion in e aces (APIs) such as ogs ools (e.g. (Buchwald e al., 2021)).
P o essional so wa e de elopmen and deploying echnologies such as Vi ual Reali y
a e key o he success ul implemen a ion o digi al win concep s o nuclea was e
managemen in he u u e (Koldi z e al., 2023).
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The design and de elopmen o ha dwa e o cu en and u u e HPC sys ems a e
shaped by se e al physical and economical challenges (G annan e al., 2020). Mode n
HPC sys ems need signi ican amoun o ene gy supply o ope a ion and cooling,
meaning ha maximizing ene gy e iciency in hei ope a ion and usage is mo e
impo an han e e . The minia u ised design o he ha dwa e is eaching he physical
limi s o pe o mance ha can be achie ed on each indi idual compu e chip. The new
gene a ion o HPC (www. op500.o g) inc easingly combines Cen al P ocessing Uni
(CPUs) wi h dedica ed accele a o s based on GPUs. Such hyb id CPU/GPU sys ems
a e ene gy e icien and p o ide, in heo y, many mo e lops pe wa o consumed
ene gy (Ash a e al., 2018). New p og amming models and so wa e op imisa ion a e
indispensable o be able o exploi he heo e ical pe o mance o such sys ems,
conside ing he di e en ha dwa e a chi ec u e be ween CPUs and GPUs; GPUs a e
composed o hund eds o housands o co es ocusing on pa allel p ocessing and high
h oughpu a lowe clock speed(Fio e e al., 2018). As a ma e o ac , many widely
used so wa e packages and scien i ic applica ions de eloped o CPU-only sys ems
a e ha dly able o bene i om he ha dwa e po en ial o e ed by hyb id CPU/GPU
sys ems, since dedica ed GPU compa ible sou ce code has o be gene a ed and
compiled.
The use o a i icial in elligence (AI), dynamic da a p ocessing and in eg a ion o da a
in o he models a e o he changing aspec s o scien i ic compu ing. T adi ional physics
d i en modelling accep ela i ely small inpu da ase s desc ibing ini ial and bounda y
condi ion. Con a y, he AI and dynamic da a in eg a ion s a egies o en equi e he
managemen o massi e da a s eams composed o millions o he e ogeneous
da ase s, meaning ha inpu and ou pu algo i hm o dis ibu ed ile sys ems mus be
op imised o da a p ocessing. Whe eas he high p ocessing speed o da a on CPU o
GPU pe mi s mo e complex ensemble simula ions o mul i-physics models, i also
means gene a ing e e -la ge da ase s o pos p ocessing and analysis.
2.4.5 Fu u e o ien ed collabo a i e pla o ms
The landscape o compu a ional algo i hms ele an o machine lea ning is e y b oad
and he espec i e so wa e is upda ed a a e y as pace. This makes he consis en
ins alla ion and use o hese ools o be a e y challenging ask o scien is s wi hou
scien i ic compu ing expe ise, who howe e a e in e es ed o use and explo e he
machine lea ning po en ial. Mo eo e , in collabo a i e p ojec s wi h many esea ch
pa ne s he e is no common wo king space which could allow o p og am and es
algo i hms in a collabo a i e way. Cen alizing he e o s in p o iding an open access
web-se e based collabo a i e pla o m educes duplica ion o wo k and ein en ion
o he wheel. As a esponse o hese challenges, he www.geoml.eu open pla o m has
been launched ecen ly om he EURAD-DONUT wo kpackage and PREDIS p ojec
as a ehicle o enhance collabo a ion, educa ion, join code de elopmen and
demons a ion o esul s. A jupy e lab se e , ha ing p e-ins alled all necessa y
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compu a ional packages, allows o p og am, sha e and es nume ical codes o ypical
classes o p oblems wi hou he need o local compu a ional esou ces, o o he
ins alla ion o compu a ional en i onmen s. Such pla o ms p o ide means o
communica e esul s o he scien i ic communi y and he public in o m o online
in e ac i e demons a o s signi ican ly enhancing he ou each o scien i ic esul s.
Simila pla o m has been ecen ly launched o coupled p ocess modelling as well
(e.g. h ps://www.opengeosys.o g/docs/benchma ks/).
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3. La es de elopmen s and open gaps in nume ical simula ion o
coupled p ocesses
3.1. Imp o ing models’ ideli y and compu a ional e iciency o s ongly
coupled T-H-M-C p oblems and subp oblems
3.1.1 Coupled p ocesses
This sec ion includes an o e iew o he THM p ocesses and modelling app oaches
associa ed wi h gas anspo in di e en eposi o y concep s h oughou he eposi o y
li e ime; T-H-M-C o canis e /bu e in e ac ions; THC o eac i e anspo associa ed
wi h canis e and i on co osion and glass dissolu ion; he modynamic consis ency o
coupled models.
The modelling o eposi o y sys ems, in pa icula so-called combined eposi o ies,
whe e bo h in e media e and low-le el was e as well as high-le el was e a e o be
s o ed, o en equi es he possibili y o ully coupled THM models. As he ma e o
p ac ical implemen a ion THM and RTP codes (S ee el e al., 2015), a e o en
de eloped by di e en communi ies. The cu en ly conside ed combined eposi o y
concep s o F ance (ILW and HLW in CIGEO) and Swi ze land (I/LLW and SF/HLW in
Nö dlich Läge n) all equi e a ope a ional coupling o hese models (Chu ako , 2024).
Speci ic coupling be ween chemical pe u ba ions and mig a ion
Bo h adionuclide and co-con aminan mig a ion a e conside ed in he sa e y
assessmen o was e disposal. Al hough he o ganic and saline co-con aminan s
eleased by was e packages do no con ibu e di ec ly o he adiological dose, hei
e ec on he mig a ion o adionuclides mus be well documen ed (Descos es e al.,
2017; F alo a e al., 2021). In addi ion o he mechanical and chemical pe u ba ions
induced by he co-con aminan s (pH, Eh, I.S., dissolu ion, gas gene a ion, e c.), he e
is a s ong coupling be ween chemical pe u ba ions and anspo p ope ies
(Poonoosamy e al., 2021). Fo example, he di usion d i en by he g adien o species
ac i i ies is modi ied along he mig a ion pa h o co-con aminan s (Dagnelie e al.,
2015; Hennig & Kühn, 2021). The desc ip ion o he di usion o co-con aminan s in
clay ocks appea s o be su icien ly documen ed o accoun o he pe u ba ions in
mul i-componen o mul i-species models discussed below (Guo e al., 2020).
Expe imen al esul s om in-si u expe imen s conduc ed in unde g ound esea ch
labo a o ies can also be used as inpu da a o benchma k and sensi i i y analyses
ega ding his coupling (Dagnelie e al., 2023).
Assessing he pe o mance o he enginee ed ba ie sys em (EBS) equi es he use
o high- ideli y eac i e anspo models o simula e he eac ions occu ing a he
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3.1.4.3 Su oga es o mechanics and hyd aulics ope a ing di ec ly om images o
ma e ials
Inco po a ing po e-scale dynamics in o eac i e anspo simula ions is c ucial o
enhancing hei accu acy and p edic i e capabili ies (P asianakis e al., 2020; Um e
al., 2018). This in eg a ion is ypically achie ed by upscaling po e-scale simula ion
esul s o de i e e ec i e p ope ies (pe meabili y, e ec i e di usi i y, e ec i e
eac ion a es, e c.), which a e hen embedded in o he eac i e anspo sol e
(Löna z e al., 2023; Poonoosamy e al., 2022; P asianakis e al., 2020). Howe e ,
conduc ing po e-scale simula ions on eal po e ne wo ks de i ed om compu ed
omog aphy (CT) scans o co es o d ill cu ings is compu a ionally expensi e. This
challenge a ises om he ine disc e isa ion equi ed o cap u e he complex
geome ies o hese po e ne wo ks (Maes & Menke, 2021; Mah ous e al., 2022;
Mehmani & Tchelepi, 2017). To educe hese compu a ional cos s, simula ions a e
o en pe o med on ep esen a i e subdomains ha cap u e essen ial ea u es o he
en i e po e ne wo k, see Figu e 2 (Mah ous e al., 2022; Menke e al., 2021). While his
app oach educes compu a ional demands, conduc ing simula ions on mul iple
ep esen a i e subdomains is s ill necessa y o ga he su icien s a is ics o accu a ely
es ima ing e ec i e p ope ies (Mah ous e al., 2022). Consequen ly, he o e all
p ocess emains compu a ionally expensi e. A s a egy is o use su oga e models ha
map po e ne wo k images (co esponding o he size o he ep esen a i e subdomain)
o e ec i e p ope ies, he eby enabling ex ensi e po e-scale simula ions ac oss he
en i e domain.
-
Figu e 2 – Compu a ional app oach o ex ac ing po e-scale dynamics in o ma ion. This
wo k low is summa ised om Mah ous e al. (2022) and Maes & Menke (2021).
Machine lea ning has ecen ly eme ged as a p omising su oga e modelling app oach
o his ask (Alqah ani e al., 2021; Elmo sy e al., 2023; Elmo sy & Zhao, 2022; Liu e
al., 2022; Menke e al., 2021; Niu e al., 2020; San os e al., 2021; Sia ashi e al., 2022;
Wang e al., 2022; Wu e al., 2019; Yong e al., 2024). These models a e ained in a
da a-d i en manne by lea ning he inpu -ou pu ela ionship be ween po e ne wo k
images and e ec i e p ope ies. Gi en ha he inpu s a e image-based, many s udies,

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such as hose by Jiang e al. (2023), Elmo sy and Zhao (2022), Liu e al. (2022),
Sia ashi e al. (2022), Wang e al. (2022), Alqah ani e al. (2021), Menke e al. (2021),
San os e al. (2021), San os e al. (2020), Kam a a e al. (2020), Niu e al. (2020) and
Wu e al. (2019) u ilize con olu ional neu al ne wo k (CNN) a chi ec u es o e ec i ely
map he po e ne wo k images o he e ec i e p ope ies. Howe e , CNN models o en
equi e a la ge numbe o aining samples o ensu e physically consis en p edic ions
(Elmo sy e al., 2023; Elmo sy & Zhao, 2022; Kam a a e al., 2020). Fo example,
Elmo sy and Zhao (2022) used 57,500 samples (p io o da a augmen a ion) o ain a
CNN model o pe meabili y p edic ion.
San os e al. (2020) employ a CNN model, ained in a da a-d i en manne , o map
po e ne wo k images o physical s a es, speci ically eloci y ields, a he han di ec ly
mapping hem o e ec i e p ope ies such as pe meabili y. This app oach ensu es ha
physics is accu a ely cap u ed by he CNN model be o e pe o ming any upscaling o
de i e pe meabili y. Despi e he e o o inco po a e physics in o he upscaling p ocess
using machine lea ning, his me hod s ill demands subs an ial compu a ional
esou ces. In he epo ed s udy aining he model ook as much as 12 hou s.
To imp o e he compu a ional e iciency, Liu e al. (2022) p oposed o educe he
numbe o aining samples by combining a Random Fo es (RF) wi h a Neu al Ne wo k
(NN). Thei app oach eplaces he con olu ional a chi ec u e wi h an RF me hod, which
is used o classi y REV samples in o se e al g oups based on key po e s uc u al
pa ame e s. These s uc u al ea u es a e hen inpu in o a NN model o p edic
e ec i e eac ion a es. By keeping he NN a chi ec u e simple, his app oach educes
he equi ed numbe o aining samples. Howe e , his app oach in oduces
complexi y in de ining he po e s uc u al ea u es o each g oup. When add essing
complex po e-scale phenomena, he numbe o equi ed ea u es migh inc ease
subs an ially, demanding addi ional compu a ional esou ces o obus ly de e mine
classi ica ion ea u es.
Elmo sy e al. (2023) conside ed ano he app oach by employing Physics-In o med
Neu al Ne wo ks (PINN) me hod, whe e physics a e embedded in o he loss unc ion
du ing he aining o he NN model (Raissi e al., 2019). This app oach begins by
pe o ming po e-scale simula ions on small domains o ob ain local pe meabili y
alues, which se e as a educed ep esen a ion o he po e ne wo k image, simila o
he ole o he RF algo i hm in Liu e al. (2022). These local pe meabili y alues a e
hen used as inpu s o he NN model o p edic he pe meabili y o la ge domains. By
inco po a ing physics in he o m o analy ical cons ain s imposed o he p edic ed
pe meabili ies, his me hod signi ican ly educes he numbe o aining samples
equi ed o model aining, om 57,500 samples (as used in Elmo sy and Zhao (2022))
o 15,336 samples o a simila da ase .
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Howe e , he compu a ional e o s o conduc ing small-scale po e-scale simula ions
emains signi ican . Fu he mo e, he PINN su e s om nume ical ins abili y du ing
aining ( anishing o exploding g adien s), which complica es he aining p ocess and
makes i challenging o assign op imum weigh s o he e ms in he loss unc ion
(Chuang & Ba ba, 2022; San oso & Wellmann, 2022). Consequen ly, his can esul in
physically inconsis en p edic ions (Chuang & Ba ba, 2022; San oso & Wellmann,
2022). F om hese h ee s udies, wo key s a egies eme ge o e icien ly cons uc ing
su oga e models o accu a ely cap u e po e-scale dynamics: (1) inco po a ing physics
in o su oga e model de elopmen and (2) educing he dimensionali y o po e ne wo k
images be o e eeding hem in o he su oga e models. Fo he i s s a egy, in addi ion
o using he PINN, o he me hods include:
• he non-in usi e educed basis (NI-RB) me hod, which ep esen s a s a e as a
linea combina ion o basis unc ions and coe icien s, whe e he basis unc ions
main ain he s uc u e o he p oblem, and he coe icien s a e p edic ed using a
NN model (Hes ha en & Ubbiali, 2018),
• en o cing physics in o he s uc u e o machine lea ning models, such as Fou ie
Neu al Ope a o (FNO) (Li e al., 2020), Kolmogo o -A nold Ne wo ks (KAN)
(Liu e al., 2024), and Physics encoded Neu al Ne wo k (PeNN) (Meinde s e
al., 2024), and
• blending nume ical simula ions wi h a U-Ne neu al ope a o , whe e nume ical
simula ions a e conduc ed o only a ew ini ial ime s eps, and he U-Ne neu al
ope a o ex apola es esul s o u u e ime s eps based on he simula ion
ou pu (Oommen e al., 2024).
Fo he second s a egy, besides using RF algo i hm, o he me hods include:
• he Ka hunen-Loè e me hod, which pe o ms dimensionali y educ ion based
on he a iance o each pixel in an image (O’Lea y-Rosebe y e al., 2022),
• he Ac i e Subspaces me hod, which educes dimensionali y by iden i ying he
impo ance o each pixel ela i e o an objec i e unc ion (O’Lea y-Rosebe y e
al., 2022), and
• he Au oencode me hod, which uses an encoding-decoding app oach o
dimensionali y educ ion (Shams e al., 2020; Tschannen e al., 2018).
In eg a ing hese wo key s a egies in o a common wo k low should enable he e icien
use o machine lea ning me hods o p edic ing e ec i e p ope ies om po e ne wo k
images.
Du ing he explo a ion phase o analyzing possible loca ions o he deep geological
eposi o ies, i is common o ex ac and analyze d ill co es which p o ide signi ican
in o ma ion abou he composi ion and hyd aulic p ope ies o he hos ock. A
p omising app oach o accele a ing he modelling wo k lows is he possibili y o ex ac
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he mine alogical con en o d ill co es om hei espec i e high esolu ion images. As
demons a ed in (Boige e al., 2024), ele an o he Swiss deep d illing explo a ion
p og am, i is possible o co ela e he pe ophysical p ope ies o ocks using machine
lea ning (models build on con olu ional neu al ne wo ks) and d ill co e images as inpu .
The achie ed accu acy o selec ed samples was equi alen o labo a o y XRD
measu emen s on samples om he co es. Such me hodology can gene a e almos
ins an ly e y high- esolu ion bo e-hole geological models, o eac i e anspo
simula ions, upon a ailabili y o d ill co e images educing he ime and esou ces
needed o labo a o y analysis.
3.1.4.4 Su oga e geochemical models o eplace he geochemical sol e in eac i e
anspo models in o de o speedup compu a ions
Recen ly, he accu acy o a ious machine lea ning (ML) me hods was e alua ed in
he con ex o ba ch chemical eac ions by (P asianakis e al., 2025). A na u al ollow-
up ques ion is compu a ional pe o mance and cumula i e accu acy o ML emula ion
o geochemical modelling in eac i e anspo simula ions, and mo e speci ically wi h
an in e ace (e.g. clay / cemen ). The complexi y will be in eg a ed sequen ially, s a ing
wi h a simple eac i e anspo sys em wi hou an in e ace. I is planned o e alua e
he bes possible pe o mance o accele a ed eac i e anspo on his simple sys em.
Wi h he democ a isa ion o a i icial in elligence, so did he p oli e a ion o new
a chi ec u es and echniques o dealing wi h eg ession asks. A ew s udies ha e
compa ed a ious ype o machine lea ning me hods in he con ex o eac i e
anspo , anging om mo e adi ional MLPs (mul ilaye pe cep ons) (Demi e e al.,
2023; Ja nieks e al., 2016; Laloy & Jacques, 2022; P asianakis e al., 2025) o mo e
ecen a chi ec u es such as ans o me s (Sil a e al., 2024). O e all, i seems ha a
pu ely da a-d i en app oach lacks he p ecision and s abili y equi ed du ing eac i e
anspo . This is pa icula ly due o he au o- eg essi e na u e o he p oblem and
su oga e models. An al e na i e is o ely on adi ional geochemical sol e s bu
educe hei cos by building a da abase o chemical con igu a ions which can hen be
used o pe o m an in e pola ion as s udied by Leal e al. (2020).
On hese bases, a hyb id app oach, combining bo h su oga e models (such as neu al
ne s) and adi ional geochemical sol e simula ions appea s o be a p omising way
o wa d. This would equi e o de elop me ics o es ima es du ing a eac i e anspo
simula ion o a model’s d i , which when iden i ied would be eplaced by a adi ional
geochemical sol e e alua ion. Se e al me ics can be es ed, o ins ance localised o
global mass o cha ge balance; ins an aneous e o be ween su oga e and
geochemical sol e a disc e e poin s in space and ime, e c.
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Go ae s (2022), wi hin EURAD WP-ACED, p o ided a comp ehensi e compila ion o
model abs ac ion echniques, which includes a g oup o simpli ica ion me hods
ca ego ised as lowe - ideli y nume ical models. These me hods employ s a egies such
as p ede ined model hie a chies, delimi ing inpu domains, scaling changes, and
educing nume ical accu acy. A second g oup o me hods is based on s a is ically
de i ed su oga e models (o me amodels), which aim o simula e he inpu -ou pu
ela ionships o complex models h ough s a is ical ela ionships, wi hou conside ing
he unde lying physics. Su oga e models can be used o emula e ull eac i e anspo
models, eplace he geochemical sol e in eac i e anspo codes, and subs i u e
compu a ionally expensi e p ocess models. Go ae s (2022) demons a ed se e al
cases in which he geochemical model was eplaced by a da a-d i en su oga e model.
Sampe (2024), also wi hin EURAD WP-ACED, p esen ed he applica ion o model
abs ac ion echniques o assessing chemical e olu ion o he HLW and ILW a
disposal cell scales in g ani ic and clay ocks. They in oduced a me amodel o a
simple geochemical sys em ep esen ing s eel/ben oni e in e ac ions and he
p ecipi a ion o co osion p oduc s in an HLW disposal cell in g ani e, based on
Gaussian P ocesses. Sampe (2024) also p oposed a su oga e model o an ILW
disposal cell in g ani e o eplace he geochemical sol e in a eac i e anspo code,
u ilizing ei he a ained deep neu al ne wo k (DNN) o a k-nea es neighbo (kNN)
eg esso .
The Random Fo es Gaussian P ocesses (RF-GP) echnique combines a RF model o
disc imina e be ween a ew “cha ac e is ic geochemical egions” wi h he
co esponding GPs o make a p edic ion. The echnique equi es a low numbe o
pa ame e s, signi ican ly educing he likelihood o model o e i ing and p o iding
es ima es o he accu acy o su oga e p edic ions. The main limi a ions o RF-GP a e
he la ge compu a ional esou ces and memo y equi emen s o aining models wi h
la ge da ase s, pa icula ly o N > 10,000 poin s. To make he me hod applicable o
la ge sys em he e is a need o: 1) Imp o e he pe o mance o RF-GP in ela ion o
he me ics o he cemen case; 2) Enhance he es ima ion o e y low aqueous and
so bed u anium concen a ions in he u anium benchma k case; and 3) Le e age he
con idence in e als o ou pu es ima es p o ided by RF-GP. The bene i s o GPs
should also be explo ed in ela ion o he p ese a ion o mass and cha ge balance.
Se e al u u e ML-based eac i e anspo benchma king cases could be conside ed,
in addi ion o hose al eady ini ia ed in EURAD WP-DONUT. These would in ol e
geochemical sys ems o inc easing complexi y and size, as well as sys ems a eac i e
in e aces, such as glass/co osion p oduc s, co osion p oduc s/cemen , co osion
p oduc s/clay, clay/cemen , and conc e e/g ani e.
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Ja nieks e al. (2016) we e p obably he i s o poin ou ha eplacing he solu ion o
geochemical p ocesses in coupled eac i e anspo models wi h da a-d i en
su oga es ep esen ed a p omising way o educe he compu a ional bu den
associa ed wi h his class o simula ions. In pa icula , he imp o emen s o heo e ical
unde s anding and echnical implemen a ions o many mul i a ia e gene al
app oxima o s by he e ile ields o machine lea ning and a i icial in elligence, such
as Mul i-Laye Pe cep ons (MLP), we e es ima ed o each h oughpu s o many
o de s o magni ude highe han a geochemical sol e , a p ice o mode a e accu acy
loss, also p o i ing om ha dwa e accele a o s o e en inc ease hei compu a ional
e iciency bo h in he aining and in he in e ence phase. Howe e , he numbe o
simula ions needed o aining su oga es and he aining p ocess i sel could p o e
cumbe some and leng hy in a pu ely da a-d i en app oach; mo eo e , a su oga e
such as ANN (a i icial neu al ne wo k) is a all e ec s a "black box” and canno be
in e p e ed by domain expe s. Many a emp s o a ain explainable AI and o hyb idize
a i icial in elligence’s me hods wi h physical o domain knowledge ensued in he las
yea s, such as PINN (Physics In o med NN), bu wi h no applica ion o geochemis y
ye . De Lucia and Kühn (2021) showed ha e en o qui e simple geochemical
sys ems pu e da a-d i en app oach ailed o cap u e many non-linea i ies, such as a
mine al anishing o s a ing o p ecipi a e, and possess limi ed ex apola ion capaci y
ou side he aining pa ame e space. Le e aging knowledge abou he ela ionships
be ween a iables (s oichiome y o eac ions, mass ac ion laws, mass and cha ge
balance) hey cons uc ed a hyb id su oga e which iden i ied egions in he pa ame e
space wi h he same numbe o deg ees o eedoms, and p oceeded o u ilize simple
mono a ia e o low-dimensional eg ession echniques as p edic o s. The same
p inciples we e employed by De Lucia (2024) in applica ion o u anium su ace
complexa ion on clay. Besides he su oga e modelling wi h AI/ML me hods, o he
algo i hmical imp o emen s we e in es iga ed. Among hose he caching in hash
ables and euse o p e ious geochemical simula ions we e demons a ed o p o ide
signi ican speedup in ini ially homogeneous, ad ec ion-domina ed eac i e anspo
simula ions (De Lucia e al., 2021), in pa icula , he massi ely pa allel RTM POET
implemen ed caching in e icien Dis ibu ed Hash Tables in he con ex o HPC.
Replacing he geochemical componen o a eac i e anspo code by a ained ML
algo i hm is a p omising way o accele a e eac i e anspo simula ions. This has
al eady been demons a ed by Laloy and Jacques (2022) o simple o mode a ely
complica ed cemen i ious sys ems. Howe e , Laloy and cowo ke s also shown ha o
cemen sys ems o mode a e complexi y al eady, issues appea wi h (1) he
ep esen a i eness o he aining se used o lea n he ML algo i hm pa ame e s and
(2) he accumula ion o ML-based p edic ion e o s du ing he eac i e anspo
simula ion. Indeed, while he geochemical pa ame e space in which he eac i e
anspo is occu ing is ypically a small subspace o he pa ame e space used o
gene a e he aining se , he su oga e geochemical needs o be highly accu a e o e
ha subspace. Fu he mo e, seemingly small indi idual su oga e p edic ions o

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ce ain poin s in space and ime can accumula e o e he cou se o he eac i e
anspo simula ion, he eby leading o la ge biases in he ML-accele a ed eac i e
anspo esul s.
These p oblems can appea a wo spa ial scales o in e es : (1) he con inuum scale,
whe e he Richa ds equa ion applies o a iably-sa u a ed low modelling, and (2) he
po e scale whe e he la ice-Bol zmann me hod (LBM) is classically employed o
simula e anspo . In he la e case, he YANTRA LBM sol e by KIT IMB/MPA can
be used. A ew 1D and 2D cemen i ious sys ems o inc easing geochemical complexi y
should be de ised o in es iga e hese p oblems and hei po en ial solu ions.
Rega ding he geochemical su oga e model echnique, deep neu al ne wo ks (NNs)
ha e been used a lo , mainly due o hei abili y o handle mul i-ou pu eg ession
p oblems and hei la ge compu a ion speed using mode n lib a ies and GPU ha dwa e
(Demi e e al., 2023; Laloy & Jacques, 2022; P asianakis e al., 2020). Ye i appea s
ha pu ely black-box NNs alone may no be handle he high nonlinea i y o he
geochemical p ocesses happening du ing eac i e anspo in cemen sys ems wi h a
su icien ly high accu acy (Laloy & Jacques, 2022). As w i en a ew imes al eady in
his epo , d awing inspi a ion om he physics-in o med neu al ne wo k (PINN)
amewo k, whe e some physics cons ain s a e added o he NN aining loss unc ion,
migh be a p omising way o wa d. In addi ion, blending ML p edic ions wi h ull
geochemical calcula ions o some g id nodes a some speci ic imes migh p o e
use ul o co ec he eac i e anspo ajec o y while s ill e aining an a ac i e speed
gain compa ed o a ully physics-based simula ion. This could be done andomly (Sil a
e al., 2024) hough ideally, a c i e ion could be de ised o decide when and whe e
igge ing a ull geochemical calcula ion.
3.1.4.5 Su oga e models o model in-si u expe imen s
The physics-in o med neu on ne wo ks (PINNs) a e p omising ools o sol ing
e icien ly coupled he mo-hyd omechanical p oblems. Some speci ic PINNs ha e
been de eloped o sol ing non-iso he mal mul iphase po omechanics he mo-
hyd omechanical p oblems (Amini e al., 2023). Howe e , mos p e ious PINNs a e
de o ed o elas ic po ous media. In he con ex o geological disposal in clayey
o ma ions, he hos ocks exhibi plas ic de o ma ion and induced damage and
c acking. Va ious cons i u i e models ha e been de eloped o such ma e ials (Chen
e al., 2024; Zhao e al., 2022). Fo modelling induced damage and c acking p ocess,
di e en ypes o nume ical me hods a e a ailable. In pa icula , he so-called phase-
ield me hod has been applied o modelling in-si u he mo-hyd omechanical
expe imen s in he unde g ound esea ch labo a o y o ANDRA (Shao e al., 2025; Yu,
Shao, Du eau, e al., 2024; Yu, Shao, & Vu, 2024). New PINNs model o mula ions
could help o accele a e induced damage and c acking simula ion.
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Du ing he EURAD “Moni o ing Equipmen and Da a T ea men o Sa e Reposi o y
Ope a ion and S aged Closu e” (EURAD-MODATS) p ojec , digi al wins we e
de eloped o simula e empe a u e e olu ion in he Full-Scale Emplacemen (FE)
expe imen a Mon Te i (Hu & P ings en, 2023; Hu e al., 2024; Hu e al., 2023). A
e y high esolu ion geome ical model was de eloped o inco po a e all
he e ogenei ies o he sys em and o in eg a e he senso signals. A physical model o
he empe a u e ield was implemen ed while he humidi y e olu ion and sa u a ion was
in eg a ed in he p ojec by using he eal- ime senso da a and machine lea ning. By
combining hese echniques i was possible o inc ease signi ican ly he accu acy o
he simula ions and o p o ide in o ma ion abou possible aul y senso da a.
Accele a ion o calcula ions and a sensi i i y analysis was also conduc ed using
su oga e models. While hese models can se e as an accompanying eal- ime
assis an s hey lack p edic i e capabili y mainly due o he lack o a hyd ological
physical model, which is he na u al o eseen model ex ension.
3.1.5 Benchma k sui es
Benchma king is ge ing mo e and mo e impo an as he complexi y o nume ical
codes inc eases. As numbe o coupled p ocesses inc eases, he benchma king
p ocedu e becomes mo e expensi e. Fu he mo e, o es he di e en p ocess
coupling, a hie a chical app oach is equi ed, i.e. s a ing wi h indi idual p ocesses and
inc easing complexi y in an sys ema ic way (Lehmann e al., 2023; Mollaali e al., 2023;
Pi z e al., 2023). Ano he challenge is he au oma ion o benchma king p ocedu es,
i.e., au oma ed es ing wo k lows in Gi eposi o ies. Pos -p ocessing should also be
au oma ed and ailed benchma ks should be epo ed o he co esponding au ho wi h
code e ision eques . Jupy e no ebooks p o ide a powe ul en i onmen o
au oma ed benchma king p ocedu es and can e en be un on web pla o ms (e.g.
Binde ) o in e ac i e p ocessing. La ge benchma king p ojec s such as DECOVALEX
o wi hin EURAD should ake ad an age o hese new echnologies o au oma ed
benchma king, which will equi e addi ional and conce ed e o s. As examples,
OpenGeoSys (h ps://www.opengeosys.o g/docs/benchma ks/) and FEniCS
(h ps:// enicsp ojec .o g/) al eady o e comp ehensi e benchma k collec ions as
Jupy e no ebook ia web pla o ms.
Sampe (2024) p esen ed a benchma k s udy on mul iphase low and eac i e
anspo modelling in he con ex o adioac i e was e disposal. The s udy ocused on
a 1D column o unsa u a ed ben oni e h ough which wa e , d y ai and CO₂(g) low.
The model included se e al key p ocesses, including aqueous complexa ion,
dissolu ion/p ecipi a ion o calci e and gypsum, ca ion exchange and gas dissolu ion.
The benchma k in ol ed ou modelling codes: INVERSE-FADES-CORE V2, DuMuX,
TOUGHREACT and iCP, and was es ed o e six inc easingly complex scena ios.
These anged om conse a i e ace anspo unde a iable unsa u a ed condi ions
o mo e complica ed simula ions in ol ing wa e low, gas di usion, mine al eac ions
and ca ion exchange. The esul s showed ha all codes p oduced simila o e all
ends. Howe e , small di e ences we e obse ed in conse a i e ace anspo ,
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CO₂(g) concen a ions and pH alues nea he no- low bounda y. Mos o hese
di e ences diminished wi h ime and we e la gely esol ed when all codes used he
same Debye-Hückel app oach o aqueous specia ion.
Recen ly, P asianakis e al. (2025) p esen ed a benchma king exe cise ha aims a
p o iding a se o e e ence da a and models o de eloping and applying ML
echniques o su oga e geochemical calcula ions. Se e al well-known geochemical
specia ion codes we e used o gene a e chemical equilib ium da a o wo main
benchma ks: (i) cemen chemis y wi h inc easing le el o complexi y and (ii) u anium
so p ion on a clay mine al. The pe o mance o di e en ML su oga e echniques was
hen e alua ed in e ms o hei nume ical e iciency and accu acy. The esul s
highligh ed ha depending o he es case and used ML echnique, he e iciency gain
p o ided by ML models can be o wo o se e al o de s o magni ude, compa ed o he
s anda d use o he geochemical sol e s. A op ion o “wa m es a ” o ini ial guess
p o ide u he e iciency gains o he ORCHESTRA geochemical sol e (Meeussen,
2003), wi hou howe e su passing he e iciency o he op-e icien su oga e models.
The exac pe o mance gains du ing ealis ic eac i e anspo simula ions emain o
be in es iga ed. In p ac ical compu a ions ac ual compu a ional speedup s ongly
depends on he coupling and he e iciency o he low sol e and he sys em unde
conside a ion.
3.2. Me hods and ools o unce ain y analysis o THCM models
3.2.1 Upscaling
One o he majo di icul ies in modelling he beha iou o a eposi o y and assessing
i s easibili y is ela ed o he exis ence o se e al leng h and ime scales ha a e
cha ac e is ic o he di e en p ocesses in ol ed. These scales ange om nanosized
po osi y p esen in clay laye s o he la ge-scale he e ogenei ies o he eposi o y and
he a ield. Simila ly, in c ys alline ocks, he size o indi idual ac u es ollows a
powe -law dis ibu ion (Bonne e al., 2001). These he e ogenei ies a e ex emely
di icul o model because o he wide ange o scales in ol ed, and di e en nume ical
s a egies ha e eme ged o model he mac oscopic beha iou o clay o ma ions. A
i s solu ion o his scale dispa i y p oblem is o apply upscaling echniques (e.g.
homogenisa ion, olume a e aging, momen ma ching echniques) ha ela e he
mic oscopic pa ame e s o he obse able mac oscopic ones. This is achie ed by
de eloping mac oscopic anspo equa ions exp essed in e ms o he spa ial (o
ensemble) a e ages o he p ocesses hemsel es. The coun e pa is he di icul y o
dealing wi h complex physical couplings, including non-equilib ium si ua ions, non-
linea i y o in e acial dynamics. Al e na i ely, nume ical upscaling based on di ec
nume ical simula ions (DNS) can also be used (Pazdniakou e al., 2018; Tine e al.,
2020). This implies ha he balance equa ions a e assumed o be known a he scale
o in e es . The e ec i e coe icien s (e.g. ela i e pe meabili y, damage a iable,
he mal conduc i i y, dispe si i y) and he s a e laws desc ibing hei e olu ion, which
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appea in he mac oscopic sys em o equa ions, a e hen de i ed di ec ly by in eg a ion
o he DNS explici ly desc ibing he couplings. The ad an age is o bene i om a ine
desc ip ion a lowe scales o he coupled p ocesses, bu also o he a chi ec u e o he
he e ogenei ies and hei connec i i y.
To desc ibe he s ochas ic he e ogenei y in ac u ed ocks, se e al app oaches a e
commonly used:
1. Con inuum Fields (CF), whe e ock p ope ies a e modelled as scala o
enso - alued andom co ela ed ields.
2. Disc e e F ac u e Ne wo ks (DFN), whe e a sys em o disc e e ac u es is
sampled om a s ochas ic model o indi idual ac u e p ope ies.
3. Disc e e F ac u e-Ma ix (DFM), which couples he con inuum and disc e e
ac u e ep esen a ions, p o iding a lexible in e pola ion be ween he wo.
Since he ac u e sizes in he DFN desc ip ion o en ollow a powe -law dis ibu ion,
he co ela ed ields in he CF desc ip ion a e o en assumed o ha e a co esponding
powe -law co ela ion (Neuman, 2008). In o de o use DFM o cons uc a lexible
mul i- ideli y model, explici upscaling om he DFN o he CF desc ip ion is equi ed.
To achie e his, con olu ional neu al ne wo ks ained on DNS samples ha e been
used (Špe lík e al., 2024).
3.2.2 Sensi i i y analysis
Reac i e anspo simula ions a e ypically compu a ionally in ensi e ope a ions and
sensi i i y analyses (e.g. Sobol analysis) ypically equi e se e al housands o such
simula ions. In Laloy and Jacques (2019) i was shown ha i is possible o c ea e
su oga e models o he ull sol e s (emula o s) and acco dingly pe o m he sensi i i y
analysis based on hese models. Se e al me hods o c ea e he su oga e models we e
es ed, wi h Deep Neu al Ne wo ks (DNN) and Gaussian P ocesses (GP) being he
mos p omising, comple ing he sensi i i y analysis signi ican ly as e wi h easonable
accu acy.
Chu ako e al. (2024) highligh ed he impo ance o unce ain y ea men in he
eac i e anspo models used o pe o mance assessmen in deep geological
disposal sys ems, employing local sensi i i y analysis (LSA) and global sensi i i y
analysis (GSA) me hods. Sampe J (2025) emphasised ha he ou pu s o eac i e
anspo models a e ela ed o inpu pa ame e s h ough complex nonlinea
ela ionships. The impac o pa ame e unce ain y on model ou pu s is add essed
h ough sensi i i y analysis. Sophis ica ed me hods o sensi i i y analysis ha e been
de eloped o nume ical models based on he analysis o model esul s. LSA me hods
quan i y sensi i i y in he icini y o speci ic pa ame e se s, while GSA me hods
e alua e model sensi i i y ac oss selec ed pa ame e in e als. GSA me hods include
Mo is’s "elemen a y e ec s" and i s a ian s (Campolongo, 2007; Mo is, 1991), as
well as Sobol indices (Homma, 1996; Rabi z, 1999; Sobol, 1990; Sobol, 1993; Sobol,
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compu a ional needs e ol ed, newe pla o ms began o inco po a e mo e lexible
in eg a ion s a egies. MOSSCO and Hyd oCouple, o example, used s anda dised
da a o ma s such as Ne CDF and XML, allowing models o in e ace wi h a wide ange
o ex e nal da ase s. Hyd oCouple, in pa icula , was designed o in eg a e eal- ime
hyd ological da a om senso ne wo ks, making i highly sui able o ope a ional wa e
managemen applica ions. Wi h he ise o cloud-based compu ing, pla o ms such as
C3F and Salome (Asch 2016) ha e in oduced API-d i en da a in eg a ion me hods.
By using REST ul APIs, hese pla o ms allow models o dynamically in e ac wi h
emo e da a sou ces, elimina ing he need o p e-con igu ed da a pipelines. This
app oach signi ican ly imp o es he scalabili y and adap abili y o coupled simula ions,
allowing esea che s o inco po a e eal- ime da a s eams om di e se sou ces.
Recen ad ances include machine lea ning and deep lea ning echniques o imp o e
da a assimila ion. Two app oaches a e o pa icula in e es : da a usion (AI echniques
o me ge he e ogeneous da ase s (e.g. sa elli e image y, senso measu emen s and
clima e models) o imp o e simula ion accu acy) and au oma ed ea u e ex ac ion
(deep lea ning me hods o ex ac ele an pa e ns om la ge da ase s o suppo eal-
ime model adjus men s). Se e al open sou ce lib a ies p o ide eusable ools o
in eg a ing AI-d i en da a handling in o simula ion amewo ks. Finally, an example
om a comple ely di e en ield is a collabo a i e and e y ad anced p ojec called
IMAS (ITER In eg a ed Modelling and Analysis Sui e), a so wa e in as uc u e ha
p o ides a s anda d amewo k o da a exchange and code in e acing o he scien i ic
exploi a ion o ITER and o he okamaks (Imbeaux e al., 2015).
3.4. Applica ion o p ocess-based models o ield expe imen s and eposi o y
sys ems
3.4.1 Real ime simula ion o expe imen s
Gas anspo can be simula ed wi h CODE_BRIGHT (COuple De o ma ion BRIne,
Gas and Hea T anspo ) assuming single ac u es embedded in con inuous ini e
elemen s (A nedo e al., 2013; A nedo e al., 2008; Oli ella, 2024). These ac u es
migh open and close as unc ion o he s ains, which depend on he s ess s a e.
These ac u es can ep esen discon inui ies ela ed o bedding planes induced by
ock sedimen a ion o bu e ma e ial compac ion, con ac be ween di e en ma e ials,
c acks induced by he mal desicca ion o discon inui ies de e mined by an app op ia e
mechanical cons i u i e model ha de e mines hem om s ess and s ain o ien a ion.
The e can also be p e e en ial gas low pa hs in ma e ials ha do no ha e ac u es
embedded, like he bu e . In his case, he low pa hs migh appea due o he
he e ogenei y o he ma e ial (Rod iguez-Dono e al., 2023). Bo h mechanisms o gas
low migh be combined (Nogh e ab e al., 2024; Rod iguez-Dono e al., 2024).

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T-H-M-C modelling in CODE_BRIGHT was ini ially enabled by he implemen a ion o
a chemical sub ou ine (Gens e al., 2010; Guima aes e al., 2009). The calcula ion
p ocess was sol ing he THM balance equa ions (ene gy, solids, ai , wa e and
momen um) and he chemical equa ions (balance equa ions ela ed o kine ics, and
equilib ium) sepa a ely. The HMC equa ions we e sol ed oge he in a second e sion
o he chemical implemen a ion in CODE_BRIGHT. The code was applied o s udy he
swelling due o he dissolu ion o anhyd i e and he p ecipi a ion o gypsum (Ramon e
al., 2017). Cu en ly, he chemical equa ions a e implemen ed in CODE_BRIGHT and
sol ed oge he wi h he THM equa ions (Ramon, 2024).
Full-Scale In-Si u Sys em Tes (FISST) a e cu en ly ongoing in he ONKALO®
demons a ion a ea, pa o he Finnish spen nuclea uel disposal acili y unde
commissioning phase (Posi a). Di e en es s we e ca ied ou o he cha ac e isa ion
o he clay ma e ials, Wyoming ben oni e in bu e (Top ak e al., 2024) and I alian and
Bulga ian ben oni es in back ill. THM modelling has al eady been pe o med
(Tsi sopoulos e al., 2023). T-H-M-C modelling can be ca ied ou using a THC
compu e code combined wi h a mechanical (M) compu e code. Ru q is (2014),
Zheng e al. (2015) and (Zheng & Fe nández, 2023) and ha e pe o med T-H-M-C
simula ions combining he THC compu e code TOUGHREACT and he M compu e
code FLAC. The mechanical coupling can be limi ed o ce ain bounda y condi ions
p oblems. Tes in isocho ic condi ions can be simula ed wi h CRUNCHFLOW (Yus es
e al., 2017) o ORCHESTRA (Jenni e al., 2021), whe e double po osi y models
capable o simula e complex THC p ocesses a e combined wi h simple mechanical
and empi ical laws ha p edic chemically induced swelling o in e laye s and calcula e
he swelling p essu e.
When alida ing nume ical models by compa ing hei esul s wi h measu ed da a, he
in luence o geological and geo echnical bounda y condi ions like inhomogenei ies,
ac u es, localised ea u es becomes e iden a all scales (Le asseu e al., 2024).
Wi h la ge scales, hese in luencing ac o s become e en mo e appa en due o he
inc easing complexi y o he sys em on he one hand, bu also due o he limi ed da a
a ailable. Howe e , compa ing measu emen s and modelling esul s on he ield scale
o e s he oppo uni y o achie e an enhanced p ocess and sys em unde s anding by
iden i ying essen ial e ec s and bounda y condi ions like di e en suppo sys ems o
en ila ion and imp o ing model app oaches and se -up acco dingly, as done e.g. in
he DECOVALEX p ojec (Bi kholze e al., 2019).
In-si u expe imen s, such as hose ca ied ou in unde g ound labo a o ies like he Mon
Te i ock labo a o y, enable a comp ehensi e da a basis o his kind o in es iga ions.
Some examples can be ound in Lee e al. (2021) and G aupne e al. (2025). P ocess
a iables such as de o ma ion, wa e con en , po e p essu e and o he s a e moni o ed
o e he long e m and a comp ehensi e cha ac e isa ion o he hos ock p o ides a
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aluable basis o a sound sys em unde s anding (Bossa e al., 2017). Imp o ed
in es iga ions o coupled hyd aulic-mechanical e ec s a e planned in he con ex o
HERMES. In addi ion o he u he de elopmen o classical physical modelling
me hods, machine lea ning (ML) app oaches o e a aluable oppo uni y o use he
collec ed long- e m in-si u da a as an ex ension o classical geophysical app oaches
and hus make mo e ealis ic s a emen s o ele an a eas, e.g. in he nea ield o
exca a ions (Hu e al., 2023; Zie le e al., 2024).
Unde he coo dina ion o ANDRA, a numbe o in-si u expe imen s ha e been
conduc ed in he unde g ound esea ch labo a o y a Bu e (A mand e al., 2017;
Bumbiele , 2020; Conil e al., 2020; Plua, 2023; Tou chi, 2021). These expe imen s
p o ide aluable expe imen al da a on he e olu ions o po e liquid p essu e, gas
p essu e, empe a u e and de o ma ion as well as he dis ibu ion o damaged zones.
Some pa s o hose esul s ha e been used in he p e ious phases o Deco alex
p ojec s (Yu, Shao, Du eau, e al., 2024; Yu, Shao, & Vu, 2024; Yu e al., 2021). In he
cu en phase o Deco alex, some new in-si u es s will be conduc ed, mainly de o ed
o gas injec ion. I is expec ed o de elop and imp o e nume ical models o modelling
hyd omechanical coupling p ocesses in pa ially sa u a ed po ous media wi h mul i-
phase luid low. A se ies o new eal ime h ee-dimensional simula ions o in-si u
expe imen s will hen be ealised, wi h o he pa icipan s o he Deco alex p ojec .
3.4.2 Was e package in eg i y and nea - ield
To assess he adioac i e was e disposal sys ems, he modelling o he chemical
e olu ion o a disposal cell is an impo an poin . The modelling o he inne mos pa s
o he disposal sys em gi es insigh in he du abili y o he di e en nea - ield
componen s bu as well in he chemical backg ound o modelling he specia ion and
mig a ion o adionuclides. These models can se e as aluable inpu s o e alua ing
pe o mance (du abili y) and sa e y (chemical backg ound). Reac i e anspo models
(RTM) play a c ucial ole in comp ehending and assessing he in e play o he mal,
hyd ological, and geochemical p ocesses wi hin hese con ainmen ba ie s. These
ba ie s a e an icipa ed o endu e a ious empe a u e anges and geochemical
condi ions while needing o uphold hei in eg i y o o e 100,000 yea s.
A comp ehensi e o e iew on he modelling o he was e package deg ada ion is
p esen ed in Jacques e al. (2024). This epo con ains he compila ion o ecen
modelling ac i i ies ca ied ou in he amewo k o EURAD. The documen p esen s
concep ual and ma hema ical models ha illus a e he geochemical e olu ion a
in e aces in ol ing s eel. I ou lines a p ac ical app oach o concep ualizing s eel
co osion wi hin coupled eac i e anspo models. Addi ionally, i co e s model
concep s, implemen a ions, and esul s o in e aces wi h ei he clay o cemen , bo h
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in he p esence and absence o glass. The models de ail a ious expe imen al se ups
and condi ions, wi h da a spanning om a ew mon hs o se e al yea s.
Du ing he co osion o s eel in he eposi o y en i onmen , an ini ial ae obic co osion
phase is ollowed by an anae obic co osion phase. The a e o he co osion du ing
he ae obic phase can be desc ibed wi h a cons an a e cons an and a i s -o de
kine ic a e wi h espec o oxygen.
When used in eac i e anspo models, di e en app oaches a e possible:
• Flux bounda y model – he s eel is no explici ly p esen in he anspo domain,
bu implici ly a a bounda y wi h a kine ic Fe- lux owa ds he domain. Based on
he solu ion chemis y o he con ac ing node (o he back ill ma e ial in con ac
wi h he s eel), he s eel co osion a e is calcula ed and he calcula ed amoun
o Fe is added o he solu ion (and, i ele an , eac an s a e emo ed). The
o ma ion o co osion p oduc s can hus only occu in he back ill ma e ial,
di usion is no possible om back ill in o he s eel as in he o he wo app oach
in which (pa o ) he s eel is ep esen ed as a po ous medium;
• Po ous medium ep esen a ion – he s eel is ep esen ed as a po ous medium
wi h a (low ini ial) po osi y. Co osion occu s h oughou he comple e s eel
c oss-sec ion eleasing Fe in he aqueous phase in he s eel and subsequen
di usion owa ds he su ounding ma e ials.
• Laye -by-laye co osion (Figu e 5) – he c oss-sec ion o he s eel is di ided
in o a numbe o small laye s. Co osion only occu s in he ou e mos laye ( he
supe icial laye ); co osion in deepe laye s canno s a i i on emains in he
supe icial laye . Thus, he s eel is ep esen ed as a po ous medium only in he
supe icial laye ; deepe laye s a e no po ous and a e impe meable.
Figu e 5 – Rep esen a ion o he laye -by-laye app oach (a e Lemmens e al. (2024)) in
which only he ou e (supe icial) laye o s eel is a po ous medium and can co ode.
In case o modelling S eel-Clay in e aces he o e all goal is o imp o e and e alua e
he modelling app oaches o complex coupled Fe co osion and Fe-clay in e ac ion
p ocesses wi h coupled eac i e anspo codes (Wi eb ood e al., 2024b).
Ad ancemen s ha e been made wi h espec o:
• Ini ial unsa u a ed condi ions in he ben oni e wi h esa u a ion (unde a
empe a u e g adien ) and swelling aken in o accoun
• Ini ial ae obic condi ions in ben oni e wi h subsequen ansi ion o anae obic
condi ions
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• Modelling he Fe a e in he s eel-ben oni e sys em including:
• P ecipi a ion in he s eel co osion zone
• So p ion by ca ion exchange and su ace complexa ion
• Elec on ans e om Fe(II) o s uc u al Fe(III) in ben oni e
In case o modelling was e packages h ee app oaches we e ou lined:
1. Mixing ank app oach – This app oach accoun s o he geochemical p ocesses in he
was e d ums o package bu neglec s any spa ial aspec o anspo p ocess
(Kosakowski, 2020; Wieland, 2020, 2018). I is a as and simple me hod o assess
mass balances and gi es some indica ions on impac o ma e ial. The app oach
includes bo h he modynamic equilib ium eac ions (cemen ca bona ion p ocesses)
and ime-dependen deg ada ion p ocesses (co osion, o ganic ma e ial deg ada ion,
agg ega e eac ions).
2. Models ocused on wa e and gas low – The close in e ac ion be ween wa e
consump ion, p oduc ion and ing ess, and gas p oduc ion, p essu e and low a he
was e package scale (mul iple was e d ums in a con aine ) is simula ed wi h a
mul iphase eac i e anspo model wi h look-up ables o geochemical p ocesses
( ollowing he app oach desc ibed in Huang e al. (2018, 2021). The model accoun s
o he p ecise geome y and ma e ial dis ibu ion o each was e d um and o he
comple e was e package. An exac geome ical ep esen a ion o (bulk) s eel was e
and in ill mo a is no possible, he inne pa o he was e package is abs ac ed by a
consump ion a e o wa e induced by s eel co osion
3. Coupled eac i e anspo models – This ype o model links de ailed geochemical
calcula ions pe o med wi h a geochemical sol e wi h anspo calcula ions wi h a
anspo sol e . The codes used in his case do no allow mul iphase calcula ions,
he e o e simpli ying assump ion o ully sa u a ed condi ions needed o be aken.
One o he longes - unning p ojec s aiming o es ablish be e unde s anding and
modelling o T-H-M-C (The mo-Hyd o-Mechanical-Chemical) p ocesses is he
DECOVALEX (DE elopmen o COupled THM models and hei VALida ion agains
EXpe imen s) in e na ional esea ch p ojec which is cu en ly in i s nine h phase
(DECOVALEX-2027). The la es comple ed phase publishing inal epo s is
DECOVALEX-2023.
Task C o DECOVALEX aimed a building 3D nume ical models ocusing on he hea
induced po e p essu e changes o he FE (Full-scale Emplacemen ) expe imen
ca ied ou in he Mon Te i Unde g ound Rock Labo a o y (URL) in Swi ze land
(G aupne , 2024). The models by se e al in e na ional eams we e de eloped in a
s epwise ashion ge ing mo e complex in each subsequen s ep. E en in s ep 0 in
which 2D models we e de eloped, some di e ences be ween esul s we e obse ed
esul ing om model sizes and disc e isa ion, and model concep ualisa ion and
assump ions. I demons a ed ha compa ison wi h expe imen s and wi h o he models
p o ides indica ion on unce ain y in model p edic ions. In s ep 1 3D models we e
de eloped and a e an ini ial s age expe imen da a we e p o ided o he modelling
eams o model calib a ion by solely changing ma e ial p ope y pa ame e s. In s ep 2
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u he ea u es (like EDZ and sho c e e) and p ocesses we e added o he models,
and wi h hese a be e ag eemen wi h expe imen da a was achie ed. S ep 3
ep esen s he p edic i e modelling phase, in which models de eloped in s eps 2 and
3 we e used o model he u u e e olu ion o he sys em, and hei ag eemen will be
compa ed wi h da a obse ed in-si u la e on.
Task D o DECOVALEX ollowed a simila app oach, bu he models we e applied o
he Ho onobe ull-scale EBS (Enginee ed Ba ie Sys em) expe imen a he Ho onobe
URL in Japan (Sugi a, 2024). The main di e ence was he inclusion o chemical
p ocesses o model ben oni e-base bu e and back ill ma e ial beha iou . S ep 1 deal
wi h labo a o y in es iga ions, while s ep 2 ex ended i o he URL condi ions. Al hough
his ask achie ed o alida e se e al app oaches applied in he models, and
empe a u e dis ibu ion in he bu e was simula ed well by all eams, wa e con en
showed good ag eemen only on he ou e side o he bu e , esul s o he inne (close
o he hea -emi ing was e package) and middle pa s we e o . Rega ding mechanical
s esses and de o ma ions in he bu e , e en he in-si u measu ed da a by he senso s
could be p oblema ic, and simula ion esul s show di e ences based on whe he
elas ic o elas oplas ic phenomena we e conside ed.
DECOVALEX-2023 was he i s phase in which pos -closu e pe o mance assessmen
(PA) models and me hods we e compa ed (which is con inued in he cu en phase).
Task F did no include in-si u measu emen s, and was spli in o F1, conside ing
c ys alline (Ma ine , 2024), and F2 conside ing sal hos ocks (LaFo ce, 2024). Fo
F1, eams de ined he FEPS (Fea u es, E en s and P ocesses) o be conside ed and
he se o pe o mance measu es agains which modelling esul s had o be compa ed
o. Benchma k p oblems we e designed o compa e he capabili ies o me hods and
models applied o ac u e low and o anspo a di e en scales. The eams we e
able o ap ly model low and anspo in ac u ed media using ei he DFN (Disc e e
F ac u e Ne wo k) and ECPM (Equi alen Con inuous Po ous Medium) modelling
app oaches, o by combining he wo. The di e ences obse ed be ween modelling
esul s a e mainly due o how p ocesses a e conside ed wi hin he eposi o y.
Ano he in e na ional p ojec ocusing on in es iga ing he beha iou o EBS a ull-
scale is he FEBEX (Full-scale Enginee ed Ba ie EXpe imen ) p ojec ca ied ou a
he G imsel URL in Swi ze land. I has also been unning in se e al phases, he cu en
ones, FEBEXe and FEBEX-DP, deal wi h ea ly- ime coupled p ocesses and he
disman ling o he ins alled hea e sys em, espec i ely. Al hough hey ocus on he in-
si u measu emen s, bu also p o ide he oppo uni y o de elop nume ical modelling
ools o T-H-M-C coupled modelling. Sanchez (2023) in es iga ed he e olu ion o he
sys em by using a THM coupled model’s p edic ions compa ed o measu ed
expe imen al da a. They ound ha hei model was able o cap u e he ansien
p ocess well. Kiczka (2024) in es iga ed he eac i e anspo phenomena occu ing
du ing he ea ly-s age o eposi o y closu e in a s eel / ben oni e sys em. They
de eloped a THC eac i e anspo model o desc ibe i on co osion unde bo h
ae obic and anae obic condi ions, he anspo o O2 in gas and liquid phases and he

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chemical e olu ion o he s eel/ben oni e in e ace. They succeeded in modelling he
accumula ion o goe hi e unde ae obic condi ions, and hen he o ma ion o Fe(II) and
Fe(II)/Fe(III) co osion p oduc s unde anae obic condi ions. The model was able o
quali a i ely ep oduce he conca e shape o he Fe accumula ion on in he ben oni e
as obse ed in he expe imen .
The sensi i i y analysis s udy by Swile e al. (2020) in es iga es he anspo o I-129
using an upscaled con inuum model ha inco po a es was e packages, he exca a ion
damaged zone (EDZ), back ill, and a disc e e ac u e ne wo k (DFN). A nes ed
sampling echnique is employed, u ilizing 25 DFN ealisa ions and 40 pa ame e
samples pe DFN, esul ing in a o al o 1,000 simula ions. The DFN is cha ac e ised
using ou g aph me ics o assess ac u e ne wo k connec i i y, while eigh addi ional
model pa ame e s in luence adionuclide anspo . Fi e key quan i ies o in e es
(QoIs) a e analysed, including peak I-129 concen a ion in he aqui e and anspo
luxes. New unce ain y quan i ica ion me hods ha e been applied o he same case
wi hin he la es JOSA g oup epo (Swile e al., 2025).
Reac i e anspo models ocused on he in eg i y o was e packages o HLW o he
chemical e olu ion o he nuclea glass/s eel in e ace a he scale and imescales o a
HLW disposal cell a e limi ed (Bilds ein e al., 2019; Bilds ein e al., 2012; Bilds ein e
al., 2007; De Wind e al., 2006). Modelling he dissolu ion o i i ied was e is a c i ical
aspec o p edic ing he chemical e olu ion in HLW disposal cells in g ani e o clay.
Mon eneg o L (2023), De Wind e al. (2024) and Sampe e al. (2024) p esen ed non-
iso he mal mul icomponen eac i e anspo models o he long- e m geochemical
e olu ion in HLW disposal cells in g ani e and clay. These models ad ance p e ious
app oaches by conside ing he in eg i y o he was e package in e ms o glass
dissolu ion, as well as he in e ac ions be ween glass, s eel, and co osion p oduc s.
3.4.3 Reposi o y design and op imisa ion and digi al wins’ de elopmen
The sa e y case o he pos -ope a ional phase is go e ned by unde lying p inciples as
hey a e o example laid down in he cu en ICRP ecommenda ions (Valen in, 2007).
Any exposu e o wo ke s o he gene al public has o be jus i ied and op imisa ion o
he ecei ed dose is equi ed o ensu e ha as ew pe sons a e exposed wi h as low a
dose as easonably achie able (ALARA p inciple, see o example Oudiz (1986)). By
employing high- ideli y modelling o coupled p ocesses and in a u he s ep by se ing
up digi al wins o a eposi o y sys em his demand o op imisa ion can be ul illed
(Be nie e al., 2017). Se e al s udies al eady demons a e he po en ial o
op imisa ion o he eposi o y design o example conce ning he handling o decay
hea . Kim e al. show in hei s udies dealing wi h he op imised a angemen o spen
uel elemen s and he he mal limi o he bu e ha he e iciency o a disposal sys em
can be inc eased up o a ac o o 2.5, while in o he s udies he possibili y o damage
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due o inc eased he mo-mechanical s ess is modelled (Kim, 2024; Lee e al., 2021;
Ru q is & Tsang, 2024).
Equally impo an p inciples o he sa e y assessmen o he pos -closu e phase a e
he demons abili y and he managemen o unce ain ies. In bo h aspec s digi al wins
can be o immense alue, as hei applica ion will help o demons a e o he egula o
and he gene al public he sa e y and sa is ac o y pe o mance o he disposal sys em.
(Vi ando e al., 2024). Fo he managemen o unce ain ies many ac o s will need o
be conside ed, bu one ele an aspec is he e olu ion o he clima e. As a change in
he en i onmen can igge a change in he edox and he e o e e en ion condi ions
in soil and sedimen , clima e change can ha e a subs an ial impac on he unce ain ies
o anspo o edox-sensi i e adionuclides as Se-79. To manage and minimize he
unce ain y emana ing om hese changes i is essen ial o b eak down global clima e
models o be applicable on egional o si e scale as has al eady been shown in he
ecen IAEA MODARIA p ojec (Lindbo g & Ikonen, 2020).
The p ecise es ima ion o po en ial adionuclide eleases om he nea - ield o a
adioac i e was e eposi o y is an impo an sou ce o unce ain ies in he pos -closu e
sa e y assessmen . Thei managemen equi es he de elopmen o models ha can
desc ibe he elease and anspo o adionuclides om was e packages h ough
enginee ed ba ie s. A amewo k o building hese models is he compa men
app oach, which uses a ne wo k o esis ances and capaci ies o simula e anspo
(C ossland e al., 2005). The s a e o each compa men is in luenced by local
p ocesses such as decay o adionuclides o p ogeny wi h po en ially di e en chemical
p ope ies and exchange p ocesses like ad ec i e and di usi e anspo . The
eposi o y sys em is di ided in o se e al sys em componen s, each cha ac e ised by
ime-dependen physical a iables ha can change o e ime. Examples o hese
p ocesses include hea anspo , wa e up ake, and chemical decomposi ion, which
can occu in he bu e zone. To c ea e a concep ual model o hese coupled
p ocesses, g aphical ep esen a ions such as In e ac ion Ma ices can be used, and
so wa e ools can help in c ea ing compa men models and conduc ing simula ions.
SKB used he so wa e ool Ecolego (simila o No malysa) o c ea ing compa men
models o hei sa e y case. Such concep ual app oaches and compa men al models
can o m he basis o u he high- ideli y models and digi al wins (Ås and, 2022).
Recen coupled eac i e anspo models ha e success ully in eg a ed all ele an
ma e ial and nea - ield p ocesses in HLW disposal cells con aining nuclea glass, s eel,
cemen /ben oni e, and hos ock (g ani e o clay), as epo ed in De Wind e al. (2024)
and (Mon eneg o e al., 2023). Addi ionally, hyd o-chemo-mechanical modelling has
been employed o s udy he e olu ion o he Cigéo eposi o y closu e sys ems, which
a e based on ben oni e-based sealing componen s su ounded by cemen i ious
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ma e ials (Idia , La iña, Cochepin, e al., 2020; La iña, 2023). Chemo-mechanical
couplings in massi e conc e e in as uc u e ha e been add essed in WP MAGIC
h ough mul iscale simula ions anging om nano o cell scale models (Dauzè es e
al., 2022). Sequen ial coupling o eac i e anspo and mechanical codes has been
used o model cemen i ious ma e ial damage due o ca bona ion (Socié e al., 2023).
Fo example, he hyd o-chemo-mechanical a ia ional phase ield ac u e app oach
can handle chemical eac ions, along wi h he esul ing ma e ial dissolu ion and/o
p ecipi a ion caused by hyd a ion o deg ada ion (such as ca bona ion) o ac u ed
cemen i ious ma e ials (Zhang, 2018). Po e-scale simula ions a e also employed o
in es iga e mic os uc u e e olu ion and es ima e he e ec i e mechanical pa ame e s
o he media (Shen, 2020).
IAEA (2020) s a es ha he design p ocess will con inue e en du ing ope a ion as
op imisa ion will be equi ed du ing his long pe iod, due o echnical ad ances, new
in o ma ion and consequen changes. An unambiguous design basis is he e o e
desi able ha can be used o b idge he gap be ween di e en disciplines and
s akeholde s. This design basis should be con inuously upda ed and ex ended, as
mo e and mo e in o ma ion becomes a ailable, and would se e as he base o he
op imisa ion. Sa e y assessmen s play an impo an ole in he design op imisa ion,
which commonly use complex modelling sys ems.
I is desi able o use he la es echnologies o in eg a e he a ious mo ing pa s o he
design and sa e y assessmen s in o one digi al sys em. Digi al wins could p o ide a
solu ion o his p oblem. Digi al win is a “digi al ep esen a ion o an ac i e unique
p oduc , ha comp ises i s selec ed cha ac e is ics, p ope ies, condi ions, and
beha io s by means o models, in o ma ion, and da a wi hin a single o e en ac oss
mul iple li e cycle phases” (Cha i, 2019). Li e a u e o digi al wins in adioac i e was e
disposal is limi ed compa ed o decommissioning ac i i ies (Koldi z e al., 2023). The
PLEIADES H2020 p ojec 3 (Szöke I., 2021) ocuses on digi alisa ion o
decommissioning ac i i ies, including some aspec s o on-si e was e managemen . An
impo an pa o hese digi al wins is he in eg a ion o BIM (Building In o ma ion
Modelling) wi h GIS. BIM-like sys ems in digi al wins could also be used o he
cons uc u e, ope a ion and closu e o geological eposi o ies. One o he majo
challenges iden i ied he e is he in eg a ion o BIM wi h geological en i onmen s
(Jacques, 2023).
The PREDIS p ojec (PRe-DISposal managemen o adioac i e was e) was ano he
o e on o digi al solu ions and da a science in adioac i e managemen . As a way o
op imisa ion o disposal, a digi al pla o m was de eloped o in o ming decisions
ela ed o was e p e-disposal phases u ilizing da a gene a ed by digi al wins o was e
packages including hei his o y o s a e and p edic ed u u e s a es (Jacques, 2023).
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Wi hin he PREDIS p ojec a was e package digi al win was de eloped, ele an o he
p edisposal managemen o adioac i e was e packages. The mixing ank concep was
used o he modelling while he geochemical eac ions we e modelled using GEMS.
Machine lea ning algo i hms we e ained on he physico-chemical model and we e
used o p edic he geochemical and mechanical e olu ion o he was e packages (Hu
& Dähn, 2024). The as calcula ion o he e olu ion o was e packages can allow o
pe o m op imisa ion asks bo h du ing p edisposal as well as du ing he inal disposal
o he was e a he deep geological eposi o y.
Digi al wins o he long- e m disposal a e cu en ly much less ad anced. Commonly,
p ocess-based models a e used o his pu pose. An in eg a ed amewo k has been
de eloped by Nakabayashi and Sugiyama (2018) using a p obabilis ic app oach ha
can assess long- e m sa e y based on dose cons ain s and di ec ly ansla e i in o he
op imisa ion o design. Hyb id physics- and AI-based (da a- ained) models a e also
epo edly gaining ac ion o he ansi ional phase be ween ope a ion and long- e m
disposal (Koldi z e al., 2023). Digi al wins o moni o ing sys ems a e being
de eloped, which inco po a e nuclea was e modules (Di Gio anni e al., 2023).
In eg a ion o moni o ing da a in o pos -closu e digi al wins is essen ial, an example
being he concen a ions o oxygen which due o he co osion o he canis e di ec ly
in luence he elease o adionuclides (Koldi z e al., 2023). Long- e m da a and
knowledge managemen he e o e mus be in he cen e o a en ion o digi al wins
o disposal.
E o s ha e been made o inco po a e machine lea ning o de elop su oga e models
and emula o s o he mo e e icien calcula ions o a ious physical p ocesses.
Jacques (2023) epo 1-4 o de s o magni ude speedup o use cases such as cemen
deg ada ion and u anium adso p ion on clay. The main challenge highligh ed he e is
ha he da a ha is used o he aining o he machine lea ning algo i hm may no be
consis en wi h he use ’s speci ic case.
Machine lea ning solu ions o op imisa ion and model-based design we e explo ed in
he EURAD p ojec ’s DONUT (De elopmen and imp o emen O NUme ical me hods
and Tools o modelling coupled p ocesses) wo k package as well (Cla e e al., 2024).
New nume ical me hods we e de eloped o he op imisa ion o p ocess-based
modelling, mainly o he chemical e olu ion o he sys em and adionuclide anspo
ela ed p ocesses as eac i e anspo modelling commonly poses he highes
compu a ional bu den due o i s complexi y.
The main challenges iden i ied o digi al wins and op imisa ion o he disposal a e
ela ed o da a unce ain y and eliabili y. As he ime and spa ial scales o adioac i e
was e disposal a e la ge and a e conside ed in a ying de ail, meaning ul in eg a ion
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COMSOL. (2024). COMSOL 6.3 - COMSOL Mul iphysics Re e ence Manual.
h ps://doc.comsol.com/6.3
Conil, N., Vi el, M., Plua, C., Vu, M. N., Seyedi, D., & A mand, G. (2020). In si u in es iga ion
o he THM beha io o he Callo o-Ox o dian clays one. Rock Mechanics and Rock
Enginee ing, 53, 2747–2769.
Con i, S., Mülle , S., & O iz, M. (2018). Da a-D i en P oblems in Elas ici y. A chi e o Ra ional
Mechanics and Analysis, 229(1), 79–123. h ps://doi.o g/10.1007/s00205-017-1214-0
C ossland, I., Pinedo, P., Kessle , J., To es-Vidal, C., & Wal e s, B. (2005). “Re e ence
Biosphe es” o solid adioac i e was e disposal: he BIOMASS Me hodology. Jou nal
o en i onmen al adioac i i y, 84(2), 135–149.
Dagnelie, R. V., Wechne , S., Laba , M., Daumas, S., Le Milbeau, C., Le y, Y., & Lundy, M.
(2023). In si u di usion o o ganic compounds in And a's unde g ound labo a o y: a 4-
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