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Assessing the Impact of Lining Polluted Streams on Groundwater Quality: A Case Study of the Eastern Nile Delta Aquifer, Egypt.

Abstract

In this study, we aim to evaluate the impact of the Bahr El Baqar drain system on groundwater quality in the Eastern Nile Delta, Egypt. MODFLOW was used to create a numerical model to simulate groundwater flow in an aquifer and MT3DS was used to simulate solute transport from the open contaminated Bahr El Baqar drain to the groundwater. Two approaches were developed in the study area. The first approach was applied to investigate the impact of increasing the abstraction rates on the contaminant transport into the aquifer, the second approach was developed to identify the effect of lining the drain using different materials on contaminant extension in the aquifer to protect groundwater quality in the east Nile Delta Aquifer.

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Assessing the Impact of Lining Polluted Streams on Groundwater Quality: A Case Study of the Eastern Nile Delta Aquifer, Egypt.

Author: ABD-Elaty, Ismail; M. Said, Abdelrahman; M. Abdelaal, Gamal; Zeleňáková, Martina; Jandora, Jan; F. Abd-Elhamid, Hany
Publisher: MDPI
Year: 2021
DOI: 10.3390/w13121705
Source: https://dspace.vut.cz/bitstreams/d74a44de-2893-4028-b1ac-2d5777902bf2/download
wa e
A icle
Assessing he Impac o Lining Pollu ed S eams on G oundwa e
Quali y: A Case S udy o he Eas e n Nile Del a Aqui e , Egyp
Ismail Abd-Ela y 1, Abdel ahman M. Said 1,2, Gamal M. Abdelaal 1, Ma ina Zeleˇnáko á3,* , Jan Jando a 4
and Hany F. Abd-Elhamid 1,5


Ci a ion: Abd-Ela y, I.; Said, A.M.;
Abdelaal, G.M.; Zeleˇnáko á, M.;
Jando a, J.; Abd-Elhamid, H.F.
Assessing he Impac o Lining Pollu ed
S eams on G oundwa e Quali y: A
Case S udy o he Eas e n Nile Del a
Aqui e , Egyp . Wa e 2021,13, 1705.
h ps://doi.o g/10.3390/w13121705
Academic Edi o s: F édé ic Huneau
and Da id Wido y
Recei ed: 11 Ap il 2021
Accep ed: 16 June 2021
Published: 20 June 2021
Publishe ’s No e: MDPI s ays neu al
wi h ega d o ju isdic ional claims in
published maps and ins i u ional a il-
ia ions.
Copy igh : © 2021 by he au ho s.
Licensee MDPI, Basel, Swi ze land.
This a icle is an open access a icle
dis ibu ed unde he e ms and
condi ions o he C ea i e Commons
A ibu ion (CC BY) license (h ps://
c ea i ecommons.o g/licenses/by/
4.0/).
1Depa men o Wa e and Wa e S uc u es Enginee ing, Facul y o Enginee ing, Zagazig Uni e si y,
Zagazig 44519, Egyp ; [email p o ec ed] (I.A.-E.); [email p o ec ed] (A.M.S.);
[email p o ec ed] (G.M.A.); hany_ a [email p o ec ed] (H.F.A.-E.)
2Highe Ins i u e o Enginee ing, Belbies 55419, Egyp
3Depa men o En i onmen al Enginee ing, Facul y o Ci il Enginee ing, Technical Uni e si y o Kosice,
04001 Košice, Slo akia
4Ins i u e o Wa e S uc u es, Facul y o Ci il Enginee ing, Uni e si y o Technology B no,
60200 B no, Czech Republic; [email p o ec ed].cz
5Cen e o Resea ch and Inno a ion in Cons uc ion Facul y o Ci il Enginee ing, Technical Uni e si y o Kosice,
04001 Košice, Slo akia
*Co espondence: [email p o ec ed]; Tel.: +421-55-602-4270
Abs ac :
G oundwa e is conside ed o be an impo an wa e supply o domes ics, indus y, and
i iga ion in many a eas o he wo ld. Renewable g oundwa e is echa ged by ain all and seepage
om canals and open d ain ne wo ks. Ag icul u al and indus ial d ainage, as well as domes ic
d ainage, ep esen he main discha ges in o open d ains. The e o e, hese d ains a e conside ed
o be a sou ce o echa ge as well as a sou ce o pollu ion. In his s udy, we aim o e alua e he
impac o he Bah El Baqa d ain sys em on g oundwa e quali y in he Eas e n Nile Del a, Egyp .
MODFLOW was used o c ea e a nume ical model o simula e g oundwa e low in an aqui e and
MT3DS was used o simula e solu e anspo om he open con amina ed Bah El Baqa d ain o he
g oundwa e . Two app oaches we e de eloped in he s udy a ea. The i s app oach was applied
o in es iga e he impac o inc easing he abs ac ion a es on he con aminan anspo in o he
aqui e , he second app oach was de eloped o iden i y he e ec o lining he d ain using di e en
ma e ials on con aminan ex ension in he aqui e o p o ec g oundwa e quali y in he eas Nile
Del a Aqui e . The esul s showed ha he TDS alues inc eased by 18.23%, 23.29%, and 19.24% wi h
inc eased abs ac ion a es o 15%, 34%, and 70%, esul ing om popula ion inc eases in 2010, 2025,
and 2040, espec i ely; howe e , he TDS in he aqui e dec eased om 0.6%, o 6.36%, 88.35%, and
90.47% by using lining ma e ials.
Keywo ds: g oundwa e ; con amina ion; open d ains; p o ec ion; MODFLOW
1. In oduc ion
Global g oundwa e abs ac ion quan i ies a e es ima ed o be 982 km
3
/yea [
1
].
G oundwa e sou ces p o ide almos hal o he o al global d inking demands [
2
]. The
o al olume o g oundwa e in he uppe 2 km o he Ea h’s con inen al c us (no
inclusi e o high-la i ude No h Ame ica o Asia) is app oxima ely 22.6 million km
3
,
o which om 0.1 million km
3
o 5.0 million km
3
is less han 50 yea s old (judged as
“mode n” o ecen ly echa ged) [
3
]. G oundwa e in Egyp plays a c i ical ole in wa e
supply. P o ec ing g oundwa e om he pollu ed sou ces imp o es all ac i i ies ha
depend on g oundwa e sou ces. In Egyp , he e a e wo main sou ces o g oundwa e :
(1) enewable g oundwa e which is loca ed in he Nile Del a and Nile Valley sys em and
(2) non- enewable g oundwa e ha is loca ed in he Nubian Sands one Aqui e in he
Wes e n Dese [4].
Wa e 2021,13, 1705. h ps://doi.o g/10.3390/w13121705 h ps://www.mdpi.com/jou nal/wa e
Wa e 2021,13, 1705 2 o 18
Abou 20% o g oundwa e comes om con en ional wa e esou ces whe e he o al
abs ac ion om he Nile Del a Aqui e , Egyp has been es ima ed o be 7 billion cubic
me e s (BCM) in 2016 [5–7].
Annual g oundwa e abs ac ion om he Nile aqui e sys em has been es ima ed o
be 4.6 BCM, while he o al g oundwa e abs ac ion om he Del a, Sinai, and New Valley
egions has been es ima ed o be 5.1 BCM/yea in addi ion o 0.50 BCM/yea abs ac ion
om he Wes e n Dese aqui e s [
4
]. G oundwa e is echa ged om di e en sou ces
which include leakage om i e s, canals, and d ainage sys ems; downwa d leakage
om excess i iga ion; leaks and g oundwa e in e sec ion; in e -aqui e low; and ain all
in il a ion. The main discha ge sou ces include g oundwa e e u n low o canals and
d ains, di ec ex ac ion, e apo anspi a ion, and in e -aqui e low o g oundwa e [
4
].
These sou ces ha e di e en impac s on he g oundwa e echa ge a es om one loca ion
o ano he depending on soil ype, geog aphy, slope, dep h, and empe a u e. The Nile
Del a and he Nile Valley aqui e s in Egyp a e mainly eplenished by seepage om he
Ri e Nile, he ne wo k o canals and d ains, and pe cola ion om ag icul u al wa e [
5
].
Mul iple me hods ha e been applied o in es iga e he e ec o su ace open d ains on he
g oundwa e in he Old Ri e I iga ion a ea, no he n Aus alia. The esul s ha e shown
ha su ace d ain and g oundwa e in e sec ion a e changing o e sho e pe iods o ime
such as seasonally and o e he long e m as he aqui e ills [8].
The sou ces o g oundwa e echa ge in he no heas e n pa o he Nile Valley, Egyp
includes seepage om he cu en Nile wa e and old Nile wa e be o e cons uc ing he
High Aswan Dam, e u n low om he i iga ion wa e , and su ace uno esul ing om
local ains [
9
]. The h ee-dimensional (3D) egional model esul s indica e ha su ace
wa e seepage and e u n i iga ion wa e a e he main sou ces o echa ging he Nile
Del a Aqui e [
10
]. The e is a good and di ec ela ion be ween g oundwa e and echa ge
om su ace wa e sys ems. Bea (1979) p esen ed ou main sou ces o g oundwa e
con amina ion, i.e., en i onmen al, domes ic, indus ial, and ag icul u e sou ces [11].
The main ole o open d ains is o collec excess i iga ion wa e which includes
con aminan s coming om ag icul u al ac i i ies due o excessi e use o pes icides and
e ilize s. In addi ion, hese d ains a e unde con amina ion p essu e om he a ious
indus ial and domes ic was ewa e sou ces ha in oduce di e en o ganic and ino ganic
con aminan s in o he g oundwa e , such as hea y me als, sulpha es, and many ha m ul
compounds om he esiden ial a eas. The main sou ce o d ain wa e con amina ion in
Mahala Kob a is discha ge om household sewage di ec ly in o d ains [
12
]. The open d ain
was ewa e , leakage om sewage ne wo ks, and un ea ed was ewa e om indus ial
a eas ep esen he main g oundwa e con amina ion sou ces [13].
A MODFLOW nume ical model was applied o a hypo he ical case s udy o in es iga e
he impac o con amina ed open d ains on g oundwa e quali y. The model esul s
indica ed ha solu e anspo om open d ains o g oundwa e aqui e s is e y sensi i e
o changes in he pumping schemes [
14
]. A coupled nume ical model using MODFLOW
and MT3DMS was applied o assimila e he di e en wa e supply sys ems including
su ace wa e (pollu ed d ains and canals) and g oundwa e and o de e mine g oundwa e
con amina ion esul ing om d ains, as eshwa e was pollu ed and he con amina ion
le el exceeded he s anda d limi s. The esul s showed ha he lining me hod was he
bes me hod and mos e ec i e sys em o dec easing con aminan mig a ion and ha
his me hod can be applied uni e sally, in addi ion o conside ing he condi ions and
geo echnical soil p ope ies, he ypes o he lining ma e ial, and he sou ce o pollu an
loads and elemen s in hese d ains. P o ec ing g oundwa e om pollu ed open d ains
has become an essen ial issue o imp o ing g oundwa e quali y. A numbe o s udies
ha e p esen ed na u al ma e ials wi h low pe meabili y (clay, ben oni e mix u e, e c.) and
manu ac u ed ma e ials (geomemb ane, conc e e, e c.) o minimize he leakage o open
d ains in o g oundwa e . The impac o hese ma e ials on wa e p oo ing indica es ha
hese ma e ials can be highly e ec i e o wa e p oo ing hyd aulic wo ks and which ype
o choose depends on he unc ion o he ese oi i sel and economic ac o s [
15
]. Using
Wa e 2021,13, 1705 3 o 18
soil-cemen iles o he lining o open canals can signi ican ly dec ease he leakage om
hese canals [
16
]. Using low pe meabili y ma e ials such as clay, ben oni e, geomemb ane,
and conc e e o lining d ain c oss-sec ions has dec eased he solu e ex ension by 43, 89.6,
91.4, and 93%, espec i ely, as compa ed wi h he base case. Wa e apou ansmission es
esul s ha e shown ha he pe meabili y o geomemb ane anges om 1
−13
o
10−15 m/s
,
while he pe meabili y o ben oni e is es ima ed o be 10
−10
m/s [
17
]. The hyd aulic
conduc i i y o conc e e and mo a s has been es ima ed o be 5.67
×
10
−13
m/s and
5.87 ×10−14 m/s
, espec i ely [
18
]. The hyd aulic conduc i i y o sand-ben oni e mix u es
(80% sand and 20% ben oni e) has been es ed and calcula ed o be 0.033 m/d [
19
]. Di e en
nume ical simula ions ha e been applied o s udy p o ec ing g oundwa e om pollu ed
s eams using lining, a cu o wall, and inc easing esh g oundwa e [20–22].
In his s udy, we aim o in es iga e he impac o a pollu ed s eam, he Bah El Baqa
d ain (BED), in eas e n Nile Del a, Egyp on g oundwa e quali y. The pollu ed wa e
in he BED is ecei ed om ag icul u al, indus ial, and domes ic d ainage wi h alues
o 58%, 2%, and 40%, espec i ely [
23
]. The o al dissol ed sal (TDS) alues in he BED
ange om 4971 o 5010 (mg/L) [
24
]. The main sou ces o discha ge in o he BED a e
d ainage wa e om he indus ial a eas in Shoub a El-Khema and Zagazig, as well as
domes ic and ag icul u e d ainage wa e ac i i ies om Belbeis and Qalubeya d ains [
25
].
In he cu en s udy, MODFLOW was used o simula e g oundwa e low and con aminan
anspo . The e a e a numbe o echniques ha can be applied o dec ease solu e anspo
om pollu ed wa e bodies o g oundwa e . In his s udy, we in es iga ed he impac o
using di e en lining ma e ials wi h low hyd aulic conduc i i y such as clay, ben oni e,
geomemb ane, and conc e e on g oundwa e quali y. Finally, he easibili y o each lining
ma e ial was conside ed.
2. S udy A ea Desc ip ion
The Eas e n Nile Del a Aqui e (ENDA) is loca ed be ween la i udes 30
◦
00
0
, 31
◦
30
0
no h and longi udes 31
◦
00
0
, 32
◦
30
0
eas wi h a o al a ea o 14,000 km
2
. The ENDA has
a p edominan ly ag icul u al na u e wi h a high densi y o o e lapping i iga ion and
d ainage ne wo ks which ollow om he sou h o he no h, as shown in Figu e 1[
21
,
26
].
The a ea is bounded by he Damie a b anch in he wes , Suez Canal in he eas , El Manzala
Lake in he no h, and Ismailia canal in he sou h. The Bah El-Baqa d ain sys em consis s
o wo seconda y d ains ( he Bilbeis and he Qalubeya d ains), which me ge downs eam
in o a main d ain [
25
,
27
]. This d ain is conside ed o be one o he la ges open su ace
d ains in Egyp wi h a o al leng h o 85 km. The d ain bo om wid h anges om 100
o 200 m wi h an a e age dep h o 5 m. The d ain conduc ance has been obse ed o be
be ween 0.05 and 0.2 m/d [28,29].
The s udy a ea has low ele a ion e ain ha slopes gen ly o he no he n di ec ion
wi h an a e age slope o 1 m pe 10 km. I is loca ed in an a id egion be ween sou hwes
Asia and no heas A ica wi h he same clima e as a ound he Medi e anean Sea [
30
]. The
minimum and maximum eco ded empe a u e anges om 20.20 o 35.30
◦
C in summe
and om 7.50 o 20.1
◦
C in win e , while he humidi y eaches 74% a Zagazig s a ion and
dec eases o 51% a Suez s a ion [
31
]. The a e age eco ded annual p ecipi a ion anges
om 0.065 mm/day in Cai o Ezbekiya s a ion o 0.380 mm/day in he Bal im s a ion [
32
].
The in il a ion a es a e di e en om one loca ion o ano he depending on he dominan
sedimen a y acies (Food and Ag icul u e O ganiza ion (FAO) o he Uni ed Na ions,
1966) [
33
]. The maximum eco ded e apo a ion a es ha e eached 0.39 mm/day in Cai o
and his a e dec eases owa ds he no h and eas wi h minimum e apo a ion a es equals
o 0.12 mm/day in Mansou a, while he e apo anspi a ion alues inc ease sou hwa ds a
he Suez Canal and Po Said zone due o high-speed wind and high empe a u e [22].
Wa e 2021,13, 1705 4 o 18
Wa e 2021, 13, x FOR PEER REVIEW 4 o 18
Figu e 1. Geologic map o he eas e n Nile Del a [21] (modi ied a e [26]).
The s udy a ea has low ele a ion e ain ha slopes gen ly o he no he n di ec ion
wi h an a e age slope o 1 m pe 10 km. I is loca ed in an a id egion be ween sou hwes
Asia and no heas A ica wi h he same clima e as a ound he Medi e anean Sea [30].
The minimum and maximum eco ded empe a u e anges om 20.20 o 35.30 °C in sum-
me and om 7.50 o 20.1 °C in win e , while he humidi y eaches 74% a Zagazig s a ion
and dec eases o 51% a Suez s a ion [31]. The a e age eco ded annual p ecipi a ion
anges om 0.065 mm/day in Cai o Ezbekiya s a ion o 0.380 mm/day in he Bal im s a ion
[32]. The in il a ion a es a e di e en om one loca ion o ano he depending on he
dominan sedimen a y acies (Food and Ag icul u e O ganiza ion (FAO) o he Uni ed
Na ions, 1966) [33]. The maximum eco ded e apo a ion a es ha e eached 0.39 mm/day
in Cai o and his a e dec eases owa ds he no h and eas wi h minimum e apo a ion
a es equals o 0.12 mm/day in Mansou a, while he e apo anspi a ion alues inc ease
sou hwa ds a he Suez Canal and Po Said zone due o high-speed wind and high em-
pe a u e [22].
Figu e 1. Geologic map o he eas e n Nile Del a [21] (modi ied a e [26]).
3. Ma hema ical Model
In he cu en s udy, MODFLOW (2010) is used o simula e g oundwa e low and
MT3DS is used o simula e he solu e anspo in he ENDA. A g oundwa e ma hema ical
model o cons an densi y h ough po ous ea h ma e ial can be desc ibed by a pa ial
di e en ial equa ion [34]:
∂
∂xKxx ∂h
∂x+∂
∂yKyy ∂h
∂y+∂
∂zKzz ∂h
∂z+W=SS
∂h
∂ , (1)
whe e h(x,y,z, ) is he po en iome ic head (L); K
xx
(x,y,z), K
yy
(x,y,z), and K
zz
(x,y,z) a e
alues o hyd aulic conduc i i y (LT
−1
); W(x,y,z, ) is he olume ic lux pe uni olume
(T
−1
); S
s
(x,y,z) is he speci ic s o age o he po ous ma e ial (L
−1
); and is he ime (T).
The ini ial condi ion desc ibes he po en iome ic head h(x,y,z) in ime = 0 in an aqui e
sys em. Bounda y condi ions speci y low and/o po en iome ic head a he bounda ies
o he aqui e sys em (see Table 1and Sec ion 3.2). To sol e he p oblem o g oundwa e
low, a ini e di e ence me hod is used in MODFLOW.
Wa e 2021,13, 1705 5 o 18
MT3DS uses he ollowing pa ial di e en ial equa ion o an unknown unc ion o
he concen a ion, C, o con aminan s dissol ed in g oundwa e (ML−3) [35]:
∂c
∂ =∂
∂xi Dij
∂c
∂xj!−
∂
∂xi
(ViC)+qS
θCS+
N
∑
K−1
RK, (2)
whe e D
ij
is he hyd odynamic dispe sion coe icien (L
2
T
−1
), V
i
is he seepage o di ec ion
x (LT
−1
) calcula ed in g oundwa e low p oblems, q
S
is he olume ic lux o wa e ,
θ
is
he po osi y o he po ous medium (-), C is he concen a ion o con aminan s dissol ed in
g oundwa e (ML
−3
), C
S
is he concen a ion o con aminan s dissol ed in he olume ic
lux o wa e , and R
k
is he a e o solu e p oduc ion in eac ion K o N di e en eac ions
(ML
−3
T
−1
). The ini ial condi ion desc ibes he concen a ion C(x,y,z, 0) o con aminan s
dissol ed in g oundwa e a ime = 0 in an aqui e sys em. Bounda y condi ions speci y
con aminan lux and/o concen a ion o con aminan s dissol ed in g oundwa e a he
bounda ies o he aqui e sys em.
3.1. Model Geome y
The nume ical domain o he ENDA was ca ied ou using a mesh o 175 ows and
135 columns wi h a cell a ea o 1 km
2
, as p esen ed in Figu e 2a. This domain was di ided
in o ele en laye s, as p esen ed in Figu e 2c,d, in which he i s laye ep esen ed he clay
cap wi h hickness anging om 20 m in he sou h o 50 m in he no h, while he o he
laye s we e di ided by equal hicknesses o ep esen he ac ual aqui e . Mo eo e , Laye s
2–5 we e simula ed o ep esen ine sand wi h lenses o clay ype, Laye s 6–9 ep esen ed
coa se sand o qua e na y p ope ies, and Laye s 10 and 11 ep esen ed g aded sand and
g a el ype.
3.2. Model Bounda y Condi ions
The ENDA has h ee ypes o bounda y condi ions. The i s bounda y condi ion is
he cons an head which ep esen s sea le el wi h a alue o ze o; he second bounda y
condi ion is he i e bounda y which ep esen s he main wa e bodies o he main sys em
o canals; he hi d bounda y condi ion is he d ain bounda y which ep esen s he main
sys em o d ains (p esen ed in Table 1). Figu e 2a shows he head bounda y condi ion o
he ENDA domain. The concen a ion wi h cons an anges om 4971 o 5010 mg/L is
assigned along he Bah El Baqa d ain leng h, as p esen ed in Figu e 2b.
Table 1. The main wa e bodies in he ENDA [36].
Wa e Body To al Leng h (km) Bo om Wid h (m) Mean Dep h (m) Su ace Wa e Le el Range
Damie a b anch 245 0–200 6 16–1.0
El Rayah El Taw iky 63 10–26 5 16–0.5
Ismailia canal 136 10–30 5 16–0.0
El Sha kaweya Canal 32 7–10 5 16.5–13.0
El Basoseya Canal 24 5–10 5 16–12.0
Suez Canal 173 - 16 -
El Manzala Lake (a ea) Km
21500 - 1.2 1–0.0
Bah El Baqa d ain 85 100–200 5 -
Bah Hadous d ain 50 5–40 5 -
El Se w d ain 30 5–10 5 -

Wa e 2021,13, 1705 6 o 18
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Ismailia canal 136 10–30 5 16–0.0
El Sha kaweya Canal 32 7–10 5 16.5–13.0
El Basoseya Canal 24 5–10 5 16–12.0
Suez Canal 173 - 16 -
El Manzala Lake (a ea) Km2 1500 - 1.2 1–0.0
Bah El Baqa d ain 85 100–200 5 -
Bah Hadous d ain 50 5–40 5 -
El Se w d ain 30 5–10 5 -
(a) (b)
(c)
(d)
Figu e 2. The ENDA bounda y condi ions: (a) Head; (b) TDS concen a ion; (c) e ical sec ion in he Y di ec ion om
no h o sou h; (d) e ical sec ion in he X di ec ion om eas o wes .
Figu e 2.
The ENDA bounda y condi ions: (
a
) Head; (
b
) TDS concen a ion; (
c
) e ical sec ion in he Y di ec ion om no h
o sou h; (d) e ical sec ion in he X di ec ion om eas o wes .
3.3. Hyd aulic Pa ame e s
The hyd aulic pa ame e s we e assigned based on p e ious s udies and calcula ions,
as p esen ed in Table 2[
37
]. These pa ame e s include speci ic s o age (S
S
), speci ic yield
(S
y
), e ec i e po osi y (n
e
), and hyd aulic conduc i i y (K) in x,y, and z. The echa ge
alues in he ENDA a y om one loca ion o ano he ; he maximum eco ded echa ge is
0.80 mm/day, while he minimum eco ded a e is 0.25 mm/day [
38
,
39
]. The Eas e n Nile
Wa e 2021,13, 1705 7 o 18
Del a has a high densi y o wells wi h a o al abs ac ion a e o 3.48 Mm
3
/day. Figu e 5b
p esen s he dis ibu ion o abs ac ion wells in he ENDA.
Table 2. Hyd aulic pa ame e s o he ENDA o each laye [36].
Laye No. Laye Type Hyd aulic Conduc i i y (m/Day) S o age Coe icien Speci ic Yield E ec i e Po osi y
Kh K SS (-) Sy (1/m) ne (%)
1 Clay 0.10–0.25 0.01–0.025 10−30.10 50–0
F om 2 o 5 Fine sand wi h
lenses o clay 5–20 0.5–2 5×10−30.15 30
F om 6 o 9 Coa se sand
qua e na y 20–75 2–7.5 2.5 ×10−30.18 25
F om 10 and 11 G aded sand and
g a el 75–100 7.5–10 5×10−40.20 20
3.4. Model Calib a ion
Calib a ion o he model was done using 21 obse a ion wells dis ibu ed in he ENDA
domain based on ield da a, as p esen ed in Figu e 3a. The calib a ion was de eloped by
ial and e o o ma ch be ween he calcula ed head by MODFLOW and he obse ed head
using he piezome ic map which was de eloped by Mo sy in 2009 [
28
].
Figu e 3b
ep e-
sen s a compa ison be ween he calcula ed and obse ed ield da a in which he esidual
alues anged om 0.002 o
−
0.69 m wi h a oo mean squa e (RMS) o 0.382 m and a no -
malized RMS o 2.495%. F om hese esul s, he model p o ided good ag eemen be ween
he calcula ed and obse ed da a, and he e o e he esul s we e sa is ac o y. The calcula ed
o al in low and ou low eached 4,910,400 m
3
/day, while he alida ion a ge achie ed
was 0.0002% less han 1.00% o he o al in low. The o al in low was
4,910,300 m3/da
y and
he o al ou low was 4,910,400 m
3
/day wi h a ne low o
100 m3/day
, which indica ed
ha he disc epancy pe cen age was ze o.
Wa e 2021, 13, x FOR PEER REVIEW 8 o 18
(a) (b)
Figu e 3. Calib a ion o he model o (a) a eal iew and (b) calcula ed e sus obse ed heads.
4. Model Resul s
4.1. G oundwa e Flow in he ENDA
The calib a ed model o he ENDA indica es ha he g oundwa e le els eached 16
m in he sou h o Cai o, deceased owa d he no h, and inally eached 0 m. Figu e 4a
p esen s he con ou map o he g oundwa e heads in he ENDA. The g oundwa e
lows om he high head a Cai o o he low head a Medi e anean Sea a e p esen ed in
Figu e 4a,b. The minimum eloci y calcula ed in he clay laye is 0.0007 m/day while he
a e age eloci y in he qua e na y aqui e is 0.000615 m/day wi h a maximum eloci y o
0.00053 m/day.
(a) (b)
Figu e 3. Calib a ion o he model o (a) a eal iew and (b) calcula ed e sus obse ed heads.
Wa e 2021,13, 1705 8 o 18
4. Model Resul s
4.1. G oundwa e Flow in he ENDA
The calib a ed model o he ENDA indica es ha he g oundwa e le els eached
16 m in he sou h o Cai o, deceased owa d he no h, and inally eached 0 m.
Figu e 4a
p esen s he con ou map o he g oundwa e heads in he ENDA. The g oundwa e
lows om he high head a Cai o o he low head a Medi e anean Sea a e p esen ed in
Figu e 4a,b
. The minimum eloci y calcula ed in he clay laye is 0.0007 m/day while he
a e age eloci y in he qua e na y aqui e is 0.000615 m/day wi h a maximum eloci y o
0.00053 m/day.
Wa e 2021, 13, x FOR PEER REVIEW 8 o 18
(a) (b)
Figu e 3. Calib a ion o he model o (a) a eal iew and (b) calcula ed e sus obse ed heads.
4. Model Resul s
4.1. G oundwa e Flow in he ENDA
The calib a ed model o he ENDA indica es ha he g oundwa e le els eached 16
m in he sou h o Cai o, deceased owa d he no h, and inally eached 0 m. Figu e 4a
p esen s he con ou map o he g oundwa e heads in he ENDA. The g oundwa e
lows om he high head a Cai o o he low head a Medi e anean Sea a e p esen ed in
Figu e 4a,b. The minimum eloci y calcula ed in he clay laye is 0.0007 m/day while he
a e age eloci y in he qua e na y aqui e is 0.000615 m/day wi h a maximum eloci y o
0.00053 m/day.
(a) (b)
Figu e 4.
A eal iew o (
a
) g oundwa e le els and (
b
) low pa e n and eloci y di ec ion in
he ENDA.
4.2. Solu e T anspo in he ENDA
The MT3D model is used o in es iga e he solu e anspo o he g oundwa e
aqui e . The model esul s indica e ha he con amina ion mo es in he same di ec ion
as he g oundwa e low. Figu e 5a p esen s an a ea iew o he con aminan , wi h o al
dissol ed sal (TDS) in he ENDA o isochlo ine 1000 ppm a Laye 4 loca ed be ween
80 and 200 m below he g ound su ace. The simula ed TDS sou ce in and sink ou in
he ENDA wi h a o al sal mass o 6.907
×
10
10
. Two c oss-sec ions in he model domain
a e p esen ed o in es iga e he impac o o e pumping on he g oundwa e quali y in
he s udy a ea. The i s c oss-sec ion is loca ed in zone A which has a la ge numbe o
wells wi h high abs ac ion a es, while he second c oss-sec ion is loca ed in zone B which
has a low numbe o wells wi h low abs ac ion a es, as p esen ed in Figu e 5b. Figu e 6
p esen s he con aminan ex ension o isochlo ine 1000 ppm in he X and Y di ec ions o
zone A. The esul s show a clea ex ension o con aminan in o he s udy domain, while
he esul s p esen ed in zone B show a sha p impac om he d ain in he aqui e .
Wa e 2021,13, 1705 9 o 18
Wa e 2021, 13, x FOR PEER REVIEW 9 o 18
(a) (b)
Figu e 5. A ea iew o (a) TDS in he ENDA and (b) loca ion o he c oss-sec ions wi h abs ac ion
well dis ibu ion.
(a) X di ec ion om eas o wes in zone A (b) Y di ec ion om no h o sou h in zone A
(c) X di ec ion om eas o wes in zone B (d) Y di ec ion om no h o sou h in zone B
Figu e 6. Con aminan ex ension in he ENDA.
4.3. Impac o Inc easing Abs ac ion Ra es on G oundwa e Quali y in he ENDA
Figu e 5. A ea iew o (a) TDS in he ENDA and (b) loca ion o he c oss-sec ions wi h abs ac ion well dis ibu ion.
Wa e 2021, 13, x FOR PEER REVIEW 9 o 18
Figu e 4. A eal iew o (a) g oundwa e le els and (b) low pa e n and eloci y di ec ion in he
ENDA.
4.2. Solu e T anspo in he ENDA
The MT3D model is used o in es iga e he solu e anspo o he g oundwa e aq-
ui e . The model esul s indica e ha he con amina ion mo es in he same di ec ion as
he g oundwa e low. Figu e 5a p esen s an a ea iew o he con aminan , wi h o al dis-
sol ed sal (TDS) in he ENDA o isochlo ine 1000 ppm a Laye 4 loca ed be ween 80
and 200 m below he g ound su ace. The simula ed TDS sou ce in and sink ou in he
ENDA wi h a o al sal mass o 6.907 × 1010. Two c oss-sec ions in he model domain a e
p esen ed o in es iga e he impac o o e pumping on he g oundwa e quali y in he
s udy a ea. The i s c oss-sec ion is loca ed in zone A which has a la ge numbe o wells
wi h high abs ac ion a es, while he second c oss-sec ion is loca ed in zone B which has
a low numbe o wells wi h low abs ac ion a es, as p esen ed in Figu e 5b. Figu e 6 p e-
sen s he con aminan ex ension o isochlo ine 1000 ppm in he X and Y di ec ions o zone
A. The esul s show a clea ex ension o con aminan in o he s udy domain, while he
esul s p esen ed in zone B show a sha p impac om he d ain in he aqui e .
Figu e 5. A ea iew o (a) TDS in he ENDA and (b) loca ion o he c oss-sec ions wi h abs ac ion
well dis ibu ion.
(a) X di ec ion om eas o wes in zone A (b) Y di ec ion om no h o sou h in zone A
Wa e 2021, 13, x FOR PEER REVIEW 10 o 18
(c) X di ec ion om eas o wes in zone B (d) Y di ec ion om no h o sou h in zone B
Figu e 6. Con aminan ex ension in he ENDA.
4.3. Impac o Inc easing Abs ac ion Ra es on G oundwa e Quali y in he ENDA
The i s app oach in his s udy aims o apply he model o in es iga e he impac o
inc easing he abs ac ion a e om he ENDA on he ex ension o con aminan om he
d ain bed in o he aqui e . Th ee scena ios we e applied which in ol ed inc easing he
abs ac ion a es om he base case (100%) o 115%, 134%, and 170%. These a es we e
calcula ed based on an es ima ion o popula ion g ow h a es in 2010, 2025, 2040, and 2060.
The esul s showed ha he con aminan ex ension inc eased in he aqui e domain
wi h an inc ease o o al abs ac ion a es by 15% and 34% in he i s and second scena ios.
The maximum ex ension was obse ed in he lowe pa o he eas ENDA whe e he e
was o e pumping. In addi ion, he TDS alues inc eased om 6.907 × 1010 kg in he base
case o 8.165 × 1010 and 8.519 × 1010 kg in he i s and second scena io.
In he hi d scena io, he abs ac ion a es we e inc eased by 70% and he TDS was
dec eased o zone due o he upwa d low which occu ed in his case because his zone
has high abs ac ion a es in addi ion o an inc ease in hese a es by 70%. The g oundwa-
e low eloci y inc eased causing abs ac ion om he lowe laye s and inc eased he
upwa d eloci y, and o e pumping led o con amina ion abs ac ion om he aqui e . In
zone B, he esul s showed ha he pollu ion in he s udy a ea was inc eased wi h an in-
c ease in abs ac ion because his zone had low abs ac ion a es as compa ed wi h zone
A, he e o e, he upwa d eloci y was less han he eloci y in zone A, and he e o e he
con amina ion was ans e ed om his zone o zone A and ex ended in o he aqui e .
Figu e 7 shows he change in con aminan ex ension o an equi alen concen a ion line
o 1000 mg/L in zones A and B o each inc ease in abs ac ion a es. Figu e 8 p esen s a
e ical dis ibu ion o TDS in zones A and B o all scena ios o abs ac ion in he X di-
ec ion which explains he TDS inc easing and deceasing in he domain ec o s.
The alues o TDS dec eased o 8.239 × 1010 as compa ed wi h 8.519 × 1010 in he sec-
ond scena io, as p esen ed in Table 3.
Table 3. Abs ac ion a es and o al mass o di e en scena ios.
Scena ios No Yea Inc easing Ra e (%) Abs ac ion Ra e (m3) To al Mass A e (kg)
Base case s udy 2010 100 3.480 × 106 6.907 × 1010
Fi s scena io 2025 115 4.002 × 106 8.165 × 1010
Second scena io 2040 134 4.663 × 106 8.519 × 1010
Thi d scena io 2060 170 5.916 × 106 8.239 × 1010
Figu e 6. Con aminan ex ension in he ENDA.
Wa e 2021,13, 1705 16 o 18
Wa e 2021, 13, x FOR PEER REVIEW 16 o 18
Figu e 12. Rela ion be ween abs ac ion a e and o al dissol ed sal (TDS) alues in he ENDA.
Figu e 13 p esen s he ela ion be ween he TDS alues and di e en lining ma e ials
which indica es ha aqui e con amina ion is dec eased by lining he pollu ed s eams o
he BED. In addi ion, o al sal mass dec eased om 6.87 × 1010 in he base case o 6.409 ×
1010, 3.969 × 109, and 3.440 × 109 kg using clay, ben oni e, geomemb ane, and conc e e lin-
ing ma e ials, espec i ely, as shown in Figu e 13.
Figu e 13. To al sal mass o di e en lining ma e ials.
8. Conclusions
One o he ad an ages o g oundwa e is ha i is a sou ce o enewable wa e ha
can be echa ged again om di e en wa e sou ces, bu his ad an age has ano he ha m-
ul e ec on he quali y o uncon ined g oundwa e especially when he echa ge sou ces
a e pollu ed by con amina ions such as pollu ed open d ains. The e o e, in he p esen ed
s udy, a nume ical model using MODFLOW was applied o he mos con amina ed and
la ges d ain, he Bah El Baqa d ain in he Eas Nile Del a Aqui e (ENDA). We p e-
sen ed wo app oaches o de e mine he impac o he d ain on he g oundwa e quali y
in he s udy a ea. In he i s app oach, we s udied inc eased abs ac ion a es o 15%, 34%,
and 70% esul ing om popula ion inc eases in 2010, 2025, and 2040, espec i ely, and he
esul s indica ed ha he TDS alues inc eased by 18.23%, 23.29%, and 19.24%, espec-
i ely. In he second app oach, we s udied he p o ec ion o g oundwa e in he ENDA
using low hyd aulic conduc i i y ma e ials including clay, ben oni e, geomemb ane, and
conc e e; he TDS dec eased om 0.6% o 6.36%, 88.35%, and 90.47% in he aqui e by
using di e en lining ma e ials, espec i ely. A compa ison o he cos s o he di e en
ma e ials indica ed ha geomemb ane was he bes ma e ial o use o lining he Bah El
Figu e 12. Rela ion be ween abs ac ion a e and o al dissol ed sal (TDS) alues in he ENDA.
Figu e 13 p esen s he ela ion be ween he TDS alues and di e en lining ma e ials
which indica es ha aqui e con amina ion is dec eased by lining he pollu ed s eams
o he BED. In addi ion, o al sal mass dec eased om 6.87
×
10
10
in he base case o
6.409 ×1010
, 3.969
×
10
9
, and 3.440
×
10
9
kg using clay, ben oni e, geomemb ane, and
conc e e lining ma e ials, espec i ely, as shown in Figu e 13.
Wa e 2021, 13, x FOR PEER REVIEW 16 o 18
Figu e 12. Rela ion be ween abs ac ion a e and o al dissol ed sal (TDS) alues in he ENDA.
Figu e 13 p esen s he ela ion be ween he TDS alues and di e en lining ma e ials
which indica es ha aqui e con amina ion is dec eased by lining he pollu ed s eams o
he BED. In addi ion, o al sal mass dec eased om 6.87 × 1010 in he base case o 6.409 ×
1010, 3.969 × 109, and 3.440 × 109 kg using clay, ben oni e, geomemb ane, and conc e e lin-
ing ma e ials, espec i ely, as shown in Figu e 13.
Figu e 13. To al sal mass o di e en lining ma e ials.
8. Conclusions
One o he ad an ages o g oundwa e is ha i is a sou ce o enewable wa e ha
can be echa ged again om di e en wa e sou ces, bu his ad an age has ano he ha m-
ul e ec on he quali y o uncon ined g oundwa e especially when he echa ge sou ces
a e pollu ed by con amina ions such as pollu ed open d ains. The e o e, in he p esen ed
s udy, a nume ical model using MODFLOW was applied o he mos con amina ed and
la ges d ain, he Bah El Baqa d ain in he Eas Nile Del a Aqui e (ENDA). We p e-
sen ed wo app oaches o de e mine he impac o he d ain on he g oundwa e quali y
in he s udy a ea. In he i s app oach, we s udied inc eased abs ac ion a es o 15%, 34%,
and 70% esul ing om popula ion inc eases in 2010, 2025, and 2040, espec i ely, and he
esul s indica ed ha he TDS alues inc eased by 18.23%, 23.29%, and 19.24%, espec-
i ely. In he second app oach, we s udied he p o ec ion o g oundwa e in he ENDA
using low hyd aulic conduc i i y ma e ials including clay, ben oni e, geomemb ane, and
conc e e; he TDS dec eased om 0.6% o 6.36%, 88.35%, and 90.47% in he aqui e by
using di e en lining ma e ials, espec i ely. A compa ison o he cos s o he di e en
ma e ials indica ed ha geomemb ane was he bes ma e ial o use o lining he Bah El
Figu e 13. To al sal mass o di e en lining ma e ials.
8. Conclusions
One o he ad an ages o g oundwa e is ha i is a sou ce o enewable wa e ha can
be echa ged again om di e en wa e sou ces, bu his ad an age has ano he ha m ul
e ec on he quali y o uncon ined g oundwa e especially when he echa ge sou ces a e
pollu ed by con amina ions such as pollu ed open d ains. The e o e, in he p esen ed s udy,
a nume ical model using MODFLOW was applied o he mos con amina ed and la ges
d ain, he Bah El Baqa d ain in he Eas Nile Del a Aqui e (ENDA). We p esen ed wo
app oaches o de e mine he impac o he d ain on he g oundwa e quali y in he s udy
a ea. In he i s app oach, we s udied inc eased abs ac ion a es o 15%, 34%, and 70%
esul ing om popula ion inc eases in 2010, 2025, and 2040, espec i ely, and he esul s
indica ed ha he TDS alues inc eased by 18.23%, 23.29%, and 19.24%, espec i ely. In
he second app oach, we s udied he p o ec ion o g oundwa e in he ENDA using low
hyd aulic conduc i i y ma e ials including clay, ben oni e, geomemb ane, and conc e e;
he TDS dec eased om 0.6% o 6.36%, 88.35%, and 90.47% in he aqui e by using di e en
lining ma e ials, espec i ely. A compa ison o he cos s o he di e en ma e ials indica ed

Wa e 2021,13, 1705 17 o 18
ha geomemb ane was he bes ma e ial o use o lining he Bah El Baqa d ain as i
dec eased he TDS by 94.35% wi h a low cos as compa ed wi h conc e e ha educed he
TDS by 95.02% bu wi h a high cos .
Au ho Con ibu ions:
Concep ualiza ion, M.Z.; me hodology, I.A.-E., H.F.A.-E. A.M.S., and G.M.A.;
alida ion, I.A.-E., H.F.A.-E., and A.M.S.; o mal analysis, I.A.-E., A.M.S., and J.J.; in es iga ion, I.A.-E.
and A.M.S.; da a cu a ion, I.A.-E., A.M.S., and H.F.A.-E.; w i ing—o iginal d a p epa a ion, I.A.-E.,
H.F.A.-E., and A.M.S.; w i ing— e iew and edi ing, I.A.-E., A.M.S., H.F.A.-E., M.Z., G.M.A., and J.J.;
supe ision, G.M.A. and M.Z.; p ojec adminis a ion, M.Z.; unding acquisi ion, M.Z. All au ho s
ha e ead and ag eed o he published e sion o he manusc ip .
Funding: This esea ch ecei ed no ex e nal unding.
Ins i u ional Re iew Boa d S a emen : No applicable.
In o med Consen S a emen : No applicable.
Da a A ailabili y S a emen :
The da a a e no publicly a ailable due o ins i u ional p ope y igh s.
Acknowledgmen s:
This wo k was suppo ed by a p ojec o he Minis y o Educa ion o he
Slo ak Republic, VEGA 1/0308/20, Mi iga ion o hyd ological haza ds, loods, and d ough s by
explo ing ex eme hyd oclima ic phenomena in i e basins and p ojec HUS OUA/1702/6.1/0072,
En i onmen al Assessmen o Na u al Resou ces Re i aliza ion in Solo yno o p e en he u he
pollu ion o he Uppe -Tisza Basin h ough he p epa a ion o a complex moni o ing sys em.
Con lic s o In e es : The au ho s decla e no con lic o in e es .
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