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Multispecies Fisheries in the Lower Amazon River and Its Relationship with the Regional and Global Climate Variability

Abstract

This paper aims to describe the spatial-temporal variability in catch of the main fishery resources of the Amazon River and floodplain lakes of the Lower Amazon, as well as relating the Catch per Unit of Effort with anomalies of some of the Amazon River, atmosphere and Atlantic Ocean system variables, determining the influence of the environment on the Amazonian fishery resources. Finfish landings data from the towns and villages of the Lower Amazon for the fisheries of three sites (Óbidos, Santarém and Monte Alegre), were obtained for the period between January 1993 and December 2004. Analysis of variance, detrended correspondence analysis, redundancy analysis and multiple regression techniques were used for the statistical analysis of the distinct time series. Fisheries production in the Lower Amazon presents differences between the Amazon River and the floodplain lakes. Production in the Amazon River is approximately half of the one of the floodplain lakes. This variability occurs both along the Lower Amazon River region (longitudinal gradient) and laterally (latitudinal gradient) for every fishing ground studied here. The distinct environmental variables alone or in association act differently on the fishery stocks and the success of catches in each fishery group studied here. Important variables are the flooding events; the soil the sea surface temperatures; the humidity; the wind and the occurence of El Niño-Southern Oscillation events. Fishery productivity presents a large difference in quantity and distribution patterns between the river and floodplain lakes. This variability occurs in the region of the Lower Amazon as well as laterally for each fishery group studied, being dependent on the ecological characteristics and life strategies of each fish group considered here

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Multispecies Fisheries in the Lower Amazon River and Its Relationship with the Regional and Global Climate Variability

Author: Díaz Pinaya, Walter Hugo; Lobon Cervia, Francisco Javier; Pita, Pablo; Souza, Ronald; Freire, Juan; Isaac, Victoria Judith
Publisher: PLOS
Year: 2016
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0157050
Source: https://minerva.usc.es/bitstreams/8c3e843b-82c6-4498-9bfa-21c39b41a53a/download
RESEARCH ARTICLE
Mul ispecies Fishe ies in he Lowe Amazon
Ri e and I s Rela ionship wi h he Regional
and Global Clima e Va iabili y
Wal e Hugo Diaz Pinaya
1☯¤
*, F ancisco Ja ie Lobon-Ce ia
3☯
, Pablo Pi a
4☯
,
Ronald Buss de Souza
2‡
, Juan F ei e
5‡
, Vic o ia Judi h Isaac
1‡
1Labo a o y o Fishe ies Biology and Managemen o Aqua ic Resou ces, Fede al Uni e si y o Pa á,
Belém, Pa á, B azil, 2Labo a o y o Me eo ology and Sa elli e Oceanog aphy, Sou he n Regional Cen e o
Space Resea ch, Na ional Ins i u e o Space Resea ch, San a Ma ia, Rio G ande do Sul, B azil,
3Depa men o E olu iona y Ecology, Na ional Museum o Na u al Sciences, Mad id, Spain, 4Depa men
o Applied Economics, Facul y o Economics and Business Adminis a ion, Uni e si y o San iago de
Compos ela, San iago de Compos ela, Galicia, Spain, 5G upo de Recu sos Ma inos y Pesque ías,
Uni e sidad de A Co uña, A Co uña, Galicia, Spain
☯These au ho s con ibu ed equally o his wo k.
¤Cu en Add ess: Labo a o y o Me eo ology and Sa elli e Oceanog aphy, Sou he n Regional Cen e o
Space Resea ch, Na ional Ins i u e o Space Resea ch, San a Ma ia, Rio G ande do Sul, B azil
‡These au ho s also con ibu ed equally o his wo k.
*[email p o ec ed]
Abs ac
This pape aims o desc ibe he spa ial- empo al a iabili y in ca ch o he main ishe y
esou ces o he Amazon Ri e and loodplain lakes o he Lowe Amazon, as well as ela -
ing he Ca ch pe Uni o E o wi h anomalies o some o he Amazon Ri e , a mosphe e
and A lan ic Ocean sys em a iables, de e mining he in luence o he en i onmen on he
Amazonian ishe y esou ces. Fin ish landings da a om he owns and illages o he
Lowe Amazon o he ishe ies o h ee si es (Óbidos, San a ém and Mon e Aleg e), we e
ob ained o he pe iod be ween Janua y 1993 and Decembe 2004. Analysis o a iance,
de ended co espondence analysis, edundancy analysis and mul iple eg ession ech-
niques we e used o he s a is ical analysis o he dis inc ime se ies. Fishe ies p oduc ion
in he Lowe Amazon p esen s di e ences be ween he Amazon Ri e and he loodplain
lakes. P oduc ion in he Amazon Ri e is app oxima ely hal o he one o he loodplain
lakes. This a iabili y occu s bo h along he Lowe Amazon Ri e egion (longi udinal g adi-
en ) and la e ally (la i udinal g adien ) o e e y ishing g ound s udied he e. The dis inc
en i onmen al a iables alone o in associa ion ac di e en ly on he ishe y s ocks and he
success o ca ches in each ishe y g oup s udied he e. Impo an a iables a e he looding
e en s; he soil he sea su ace empe a u es; he humidi y; he wind and he occu ence o
El Niño-Sou he n Oscilla ion e en s. Fishe y p oduc i i y p esen s a la ge di e ence in
quan i y and dis ibu ion pa e ns be ween he i e and loodplain lakes. This a iabili y
occu s in he egion o he Lowe Amazon as well as la e ally o each ishe y g oup s udied,
being dependen on he ecological cha ac e is ics and li e s a egies o each ish g oup con-
side ed he e.
PLOS ONE | DOI:10.1371/jou nal.pone.0157050 June 17, 2016 1/29
a11111
OPEN ACCESS
Ci a ion: Pinaya WHD, Lobon-Ce ia FJ, Pi a P,
Buss de Souza R, F ei e J, Isaac VJ (2016)
Mul ispecies Fishe ies in he Lowe Amazon Ri e
and I s Rela ionship wi h he Regional and Global
Clima e Va iabili y. PLoS ONE 11(6): e0157050.
doi:10.1371/jou nal.pone.0157050
Edi o : Ma in Cas onguay, Ins i u Mau ice-
Lamon agne, CANADA
Recei ed: Sep embe 1, 2015
Accep ed: May 24, 2016
Published: June 17, 2016
Copy igh : © 2016 Pinaya e al. This is an open
access a icle dis ibu ed unde he e ms o he
C ea i e Commons A ibu ion License, which pe mi s
un es ic ed use, dis ibu ion, and ep oduc ion in any
medium, p o ided he o iginal au ho and sou ce a e
c edi ed.
Da a A ailabili y S a emen : The en i onmen al
da a and clima e indexes a e a ailable in public
eposi o ies as ollows: Me eo ological da a a e
a ailable in he websi e: www.es l.noaa.go /psd/da a/
g idded/. The sea su ace empe a u e da a a e
a ailable in he websi e: h ps://podaac.jpl.nasa.go /
da ase lis ?sea ch=Pa h inde . The hyd ological da a
a e a ailable in he websi e: h p://www.sni h.go .b /
hid oweb/. Clima e indexes a e a ailable in he
websi e: www.es l.noaa.go /psd/da a/clima eindices/
lis /. The se o aw ishing da a a e ob ained h ough
he B azilian Minis y o Fishe ies and he Chico
In oduc ion
Fishing is a majo ac i i y in he Amazon Ri e since he o igins o he ea lies na i e commu-
ni ies in he egion [1]. In he Lowe Amazon, his ac i i y is di e en om o he egions due
o he la ge amoun o species explo ed, hei p oduc ion and hei di e en impac s on each o
he human communi ies p esen in he egion [2]. The ishe y in his egion is essen ially a i-
sanal and based on a di e si y o ishing me hods, wi h di e en deg ees o echnological de el-
opmen . Di e en ishing ac ics a e equen ly applied, depending on he a ge species and
he local en i onmen [3], con ibu ing o inc ease he unce ain ies o ou unde s anding o
he ishe ies in he Amazon.
The es ima ed numbe o ish species in he Amazon anges om 1500–2000 o 8,000 spe-
cies acco ding o di e en au ho s [4–5]. Howe e , he comme cially exploi ed species a ies
wi hin a na ow ange o six o wel e species ha co espond o abou 80% o he o al ish
biomass landed [2]. The composi ion o he ca ch is ela ed o he speci ic en i onmen ha
p edomina es whe e he ishe y is made as well o he na u e and cos umes o he egional com-
muni ies. This is well exempli ied by he p edominance o scale ishes ela i e o ca ish in he
Cen al Amazon egion which is echoed in he ish supply o he local ma ke s [2].
Fish species exhibi adap a i e ac ics o cope wi h he seasonal changes in he hyd ological
cycle in he egions whe e hey occu : ei he he loodplain lakes and/o in he main cou se o
he Amazon Ri e [2]. In o de o unde s and he dynamics and composi ion o hese ish spe-
cies, i is c i ical o documen hei adap a i e ac ics and, he e o e, new esea ch is needed o
be e unde s and he biological cycles, eeding s a egies, me abolism, indi idual g ow h and
de elopmen and mig a ion beha iou o he Amazonian ish. [6–14].
The dis ibu ion and ecology o ishe y esou ces in he Amazon egion a e de e mined by
he na u al su oundings, a ailabili y o en i onmen s, me eo ological cha ac e is ics and a i-
abili y o he hyd ological cycle. Wi h a highe discha ge, he Amazon Ri e loods i s banks
and expand i sel o e he su ounding loodplains [2]. Thus, he looding dynamics is expec ed
o ac o e he ishe y dynamics. Ea ly wo ks show ha he e is a s ong ela ionship be ween
he Amazonian hyd ological cycle and he local ish ca ches h oughou he yea [15]. Flood-
plains and we land o es s a e ex emely aluable in ensu ing he success o Amazonian com-
me cial ishe ies, which leads o he consequen need o hei conse a ion [16–19].
To ensu e a sus ainable ishe y and i s long- e m conse a ion, he concep o managing
landscape uni s should be conside ed: we ough o unde s and he esou ces wi hin he en i-
onmen as a whole and hei a iabili y wi hin he i e - looding plains sys em. Likewise,
when conside ing he clima e a iabili y and changes, he ecological app oach aken o unde -
s and he ishe ies should conside he meso o mac o spa ial scales. This is pa amoun i we
aim o s eng hen ou public conse a ion policies and imp o e he managemen o he ishe -
ies esou ces in he Amazon Ri e Basin egion. These aspec s indica e he impo ance o
unde s anding he di ec in e ac ions be ween he li ing esou ces and hei en i onmen [2].
Some au ho s ha e s udied he a iabili y o he hyd ological cycle and i s ela ionship wi h
he dynamics, ec ui men and ca ch o comme cial species in inland wa e s, in di e se places
in he wo ld [20–32], bu no in he Amazon Ri e Basin. To con ibu e o his lack o knowl-
edge, his pape aims o s udy he spa ial- empo al a iabili y in ca ch o he main ishe ies
esou ces in he Lowe Amazon, conside ing he di e en aqua ic en i onmen s, i.e., he Ama-
zon Ri e and he loodplain lakes. This pape also aims o desc ibe he ela ionship be ween
ishe y p oduc i i y using he a iable CPUE (Ca ch pe Uni E o ) and anomalies o some
en i onmen al a iables o he i e -a mosphe e-ocean sys em, de e mining he in luence o
he en i onmen on he he success o he local ishe ies.
Mul ispecies Fishe ies in he Lowe Amazon and I s Rela ionship Clima e Va iabili y
PLOS ONE | DOI:10.1371/jou nal.pone.0157050 June 17, 2016 2/29
Mendes Ins i u e o Biodi e si y Conse a ion. The
ishing da a used he e we e p ocessed by he au ho s
o his pape as CPUE (ca ch pe uni e o ) and we e
made a ailable o PLOS ONE eade s in he
supplemen a y ile (S2 CPUE Ri e and S3 CPUE
Lake).
Funding: Funding o ansla ion and publishing was
p o ided by he P o-Rei o ia de Pesquisa e Pos-
G aduacao (www.p opesp.u pa.b ) and Fundacao de
Ampa o e Desen ol imen o da Pesquisa (www.
po al adesp.o g.b ) om Uni e sidade Fede al do
Pa a (www.po al.u pa.b ). WHDP was suppo ed by
B azilian Ph.D. Schola ships om he Coo denacao
de Ape eicoamen o de Pessoal de Ni el Supe io o
B azil (www.capes.go .b ). RBS was suppo ed by
Schola ship in Resea ch P oduc i i y PQ CNPq
308646/2013-4 om he B azilian Na ional Council o
Scien i ic and Technological De elopmen (www.
cnpq.b ). The unde s had no ole in s udy design,
da a collec ion and analysis, decision o publish, o
p epa a ion o he manusc ip . The speci ic ole o his
au ho is a icula ed in he 'au ho con ibu ions'
sec ion.
Compe ing In e es s: The au ho s ha e decla ed
ha no compe ing in e es s exis .
Ma e ials and Me hods
S udy a ea
The s udy a ea co e s he ishe ies g ounds o Óbidos, San a ém and Mon e Aleg e, in he
egion o he Lowe Amazon, be ween la i udes 1° 43’S–2° 37’S and longi udes 55°55’W–53°
46’W(Fig 1).
Ma e ials
Fishe ies da a. In o ma ion on ca ch pe species and ishing e o om Janua y 1993 o
Decembe 2004 was collec ed on a daily basis o each ishing ip by means o in e iews wi h
he skippe s o hose esponsible on he essels ha dock in he majo ca ch landing po s o
he s udy a ea [15]. The ime se ies o ishe ies da a included 163,546 iden i ica ion eco ds o
ishing uni s, whe e each eco d co esponds o a single ishing ip. Wi h he selec ion o a i-
bu es– ishing boa and gill ne – he se ies we e educed o 19,484 eco ds o he i e en i on-
men and 37,624 eco ds o he loodplain lakes, only conside ing he e he ishe ies in he
Lowe Amazon. This selec ion is jus i ied since i is known ha gill ne is he main ishing
me hod in he Lowe Amazon, and he ishing boa s (boa s wi h hei own c ew o ca ching
ish) a e he mos ep esen a i e uni s o his a isanal lee , accoun ing o o e 80% o all he
ishe ies p oduc ion in he egion [33]. A c i e ia o educing he numbe o species s udied
he e om all species caugh in he Lowe Amazon egion included he use o a mul i a ia e
analysis (discussed la e on his ex ). The analysis was pe o med o e a numbe o ish ami-
lies ha ep esen ed abou 80% o he local ish p oduc ion in each o he wo en i onmen s
s udied he e: i e and loodplain lakes.
Due o he low abundances and small impo ance on he egional ishe ies, some ish ami-
lies we e no conside ed he e. They a e: Anos omidae, Se asalmidae and Lo ica iidae a
Fig 1. S udy a ea. The Lowe Amazon and he subdi ision in h ee a eas: Óbidos, San a ém and Mon e
Aleg e.
doi:10.1371/jou nal.pone.0157050.g001
Mul ispecies Fishe ies in he Lowe Amazon and I s Rela ionship Clima e Va iabili y
PLOS ONE | DOI:10.1371/jou nal.pone.0157050 June 17, 2016 3/29
Óbidos ( o he i e en i onmen ); Lo ica iidae and Do adidae a Óbidos and Clupeidae a
Mon e Aleg e ( o he loodplain lakes). The mos ep esen a i e ish amilies o ou s udy a ea
we e he Pimelodidae (in he Amazon Ro e and especially du ing he d y season) and he
Hypoph halmidae (in he lakes and especially du ing he we season).
Hyd ological da a. The hyd ological da a o he Amazon Ri e used he e we e he dis-
cha ge (ARD) o Óbidos, wa e le el (WL) o San a ém and a spa ial a e age o ain all (RF)
o he Lowe Amazon egion we e ob ained om he B azilian Wa e Managemen Agency
(ANA, Agência Nacional de Águas–www.ana.go .b ). Time se ies a he mon hly empo al
esolu ion we e ob ained o he same pe iod o he ishe y da a, co e ing Janua y 1993 o
Decembe 2004. The ime se ies we e used o calcula ing he clima ology means o discha ge,
wa e le el and ain all o he Lowe Amazon Ri e egion du ing he pe iod analysed he e.
Me eo ological and oceanog aphic da a. O he me eo ological da a apa om ain all
we e ob ained om he NCEP/NCAR (Na ional Cen e s o En i onmen al P edic ion /
Na ional Cen e o A mosphe ic Resea ch) Reanalysis P ojec . We used da a om bo h N/N
Reanalysis [34] and Reanalysis 2 [35] da abanks. Mon hly a e ages we e used, dis ibu ed in a
Gaussian G id wi h a spa ial esolu ion o 1.8758 km x 1.9058 km (la i ude/longi ude). The a -
iables s udied he e we e zonal (u) and me idional ( ) wind su ace (10 m) anomalies, su ace (2
m) speci ic humidi y (SPFH), minimum ai empe a u e (TMP), soil empe a u e (TMPs c),
po en ial e apo a ion (PEVPR), la en hea lux (LHF) and uno (RUNOF). The me eo ologi-
cal da a is publicly a ailable on-line (h p://www.es l.noaa.go /psd/da a/g idded/).
Mon hly sea su ace empe a u e (SST) da a we e also ob ained in a 4 × 4 km g id along he
coas o Pa á and Amapá s a es in he B azilian Amazonia, as well as o he mou h o he Ama-
zon Ri e . This oceanog aphic a iable was ob ained om he “Op imum In e pola ion Sea
Su ace Tempe a u e Ve sion 2—Fi s Guess SST Field”da ase , p ocessed wi h he NLSST
(Non Linea Sea Su ace Tempe a u e) algo i hm, a ailable on he da abase o he Pa h inde
p ojec .5. (PV5) de eloped by he NODC (Na ional Oceanog aphic Da a Cen e - h ps://
podaac.jpl.nasa.go /da ase lis ?sea ch=Pa h inde ) and RSMAS (Rosens iel School o Ma ine
and A mosphe ic Science,—Uni e si y o Miami)
Clima ological indices. In o de o ime co ela e he oscilla ions ound in he ishe ies
ime se ies wi h clima ological e en s possibly a ec ing he s udy egion, we used ime se ies o
some known clima ic indices. Owing o known linkages o clima ic e en s such as he El Niño-
Sou he n Oscilla ion (ENSO) and he a iabili y o he SST ields in he A lan ic Ocean [36–
40], we used he Mul i a ia e ENSO Index (MEI), he No h A lan ic Oscilla ion Index (NAO)
and he In e -Hemisphe ic SST G adien o he A lan ic (GITA). The ime se ies o MEI and
NAO indexes we e ob ained om www.es l.noaa.go /psd/da a/clima eindices/lis /. The GITA
index was calcula ed by he di e ence be ween SST anomalies in he No h and he Sou h
A lan ic Ocean [41].
Me hods
CPUE (Ca ch pe Uni o E o ) es ima ion. In o de o measu e p oduc i i y, ca ch pe
uni o e o (CPUE) was es ima ed he e o each ishe y and species. CPUE is de ined as he
amoun o ishe ies esou ce caugh by an e o uni employed. The CPUE was es ima ed by
using ca ch in onnes di ided by he e o (numbe o ishe men x ishing days). The CPUE
es ima e was made by using he Jackkni e me hod, desc ibed as [42]:
CPUE ¼Pn
i¼1CiEi
Pn
i¼1E2
i
ð1Þ
whe e C
1
is he ca ch in a specific mon h and fishe y, and E
1
is he e o o he same mon h
Mul ispecies Fishe ies in he Lowe Amazon and I s Rela ionship Clima e Va iabili y
PLOS ONE | DOI:10.1371/jou nal.pone.0157050 June 17, 2016 4/29
and fishe y. The Jackkni e me hod was selec ed since i is ecommended o si ua ions in which
he e is a lack o knowledge on he beha iou o he choosen a iables, as is he case in he
majo i y o fishe ies s udies [43].
The CPUE, on he o he hand, will be conside ed as being ela ed no only o ca ching he
esou ce, bu also o he a ailabili y o he ishe y en i onmen , i.e., bo h i s ca chabili y (Q)
and i s abundance (A), as shown below:
CPUE  ðA;QÞ;
CPUE /Q!Q ðen i onmen Þð2Þ
Ou Amazonian ishe ies da a we e g ouped acco ding o he axonomic amily and he
mon hly alue o he CPUE was es ima ed o each ishe y si e (Óbidos, San a ém and Mon e
Aleg e) and ishe y en i onmen ( i e and loodplain lakes).
Ma ke Index. The e a e wo di e en ish ma ke s in ou s udy egion. Indus ial ish
p ocessing companies a e loca ed in Óbidos and San a ém while local consump ion ma ke s
a e mainly loca ed in San a ém and Mon e Aleg e. This ac con ibu es o he ishe ies
dynamics in he Lowe Amazon egion. In o de o imp o e ou u u e mul i a ia e s a is ical
analysis, we ook in o accoun he ish ma ke as well as he di e en ish si es and he en i on-
men al a iables. A ish ma ke index was p oduced he e in o de o accoun o he ishe ies
des ina ion, aiming o ake in o conside a ion he economical d i e s o he Lowe Amazon
ishe ies. The ma ke index is se o be 1 (one) when he mon hly ish p oduc ion was des ined
owa d he indus ial p ocessing companies and 0 (ze o) when i was des ined owa d he local
consump ion ma ke s. The es ima e o he ma ke index was made using he ollowing equa-
ions:
MKTR ¼PI ca ch= o al ishing ð3Þ
MKTLk ¼HY ca ch= o al ishing ð4Þ
whe e, MKT
R
is he ma ked index o he Ri e Amazon en i onmen ; MKT
Lk
is he ma ked
index o he lake en i onmen ; PI is he ca ch o Pimelodidae and HY is he ca ch o
Hypoph halmidae, he wo mo e ep esen a i e amilies in he wo s udied en i onmen s. Ma -
ke indexes we e compu ed o he wo di e en en i onmen s and also o he di e en fishe y
locals.
Collinea i y es s be ween he biological and en in onmen al a iables. In o de o
a oid possible dis o ions on ou in e ences as well as weak conclusions all ou biological and
en i onmen al da a we e subjec o a obus s a is ical me hod o es o he collinea i y
among all a iables s udied he e. The me hod is desc ibed in [44]. When some o ou a iables
a e highly co ela ed we can op on despise one o some o hem aiming o no epea ou in e -
p e a ions. Following [45], we used he e he Pea son co ela ion me hod and used dispe sion
diag ams o analize he collinea i y among ou da a.
The esul s om he Pea son co ela ion analysis a e seen in Table 1 and Fig 2. As expec ed,
he analysis indica es ha he looding pulse o he Amazon Ri e loodplains is e y co ela ed
wi h he i e 's discha ge (co ela ion coe icien , cc = 0.79). A he same ime, he su ace (soil)
empe a u e is co ela ed o he ai empe a u e (cc = 0.80) and wi h ENSO e en s (cc = 0.59).
The SST anomalies o he con inen al shel o Amapá, Amazon Ri e mou h and Pa á a e
highly co ela ed among hem (cc >0.90).
A e he collinea i y es s, he en i onmen al a iables used he e we e educed o he ol-
lowing: Discha ge Anomaly o he Amazon Ri e (ARD); Rain all (RF); Wa e Le el (WL);
zonal (u) and me idional ( ) componen s o he wind; Su ace Tempe a u e (TEMP); Ai
Mul ispecies Fishe ies in he Lowe Amazon and I s Rela ionship Clima e Va iabili y
PLOS ONE | DOI:10.1371/jou nal.pone.0157050 June 17, 2016 5/29

Table 1. Pea son’s co ela ion coe icien s. Pea son’s co ela ion coe icien s be ween en i onmen al a iables. (p <0.05).
ARD WL RF u TMPs c TMIN2M SPFH2M SWSoilM PEVPR RUNOF LHF SSTA_AP SSTA_AZ SSTA_PA MEI GITA NAO
ARD 1.00
WL 0.63 1.00
RF 0.24 0.20 1.00
u 0.02 -0.12 0.36 1.00
-0.11 0.16 0.12 0.27 1.00
TMPs c -0.35 -0.26 -0.50 -0.40 -0.02 1.00
TMIN2M -0.44 -0.23 -0.34 -0.27 0.03 0.76 1.00
SPFH2M -0.45 -0.37 -0.12 0.31 0.21 0.07 0.43 1.00
SWSoilM 0.17 0.21 0.41 0.49 0.09 -0.54 -0.18 0.25 1.00
PEVPR -0.04 -0.03 -0.39 -0.61 -0.12 0.69 0.30 -0.50 -0.76 1.00
RUNOF 0.15 0.31 0.28 0.36 0.25 -0.23 0.06 0.14 0.63 -0.42 1.00
LHF -0.04 -0.29 -0.11 -0.01 -0.27 -0.28 -0.22 0.28 -0.05 -0.18 -0.22 1.00
SSTA_AP -0.25 -0.02 -0.05 0.00 0.39 0.32 0.35 0.29 -0.26 0.16 -0.08 -0.08 1.00
SSTA_AZ -0.35 -0.02 -0.15 -0.03 0.35 0.35 0.40 0.33 -0.24 0.18 -0.08 -0.06 0.89 1.00
SSTA_PA -0.34 0.05 -0.07 0.00 0.42 0.30 0.39 0.32 -0.16 0.12 0.00 -0.14 0.82 0.93 1.00
MEI -0.20 -0.45 -0.38 -0.34 -0.26 0.59 0.42 0.16 -0.49 0.45 -0.45 0.20 -0.05 -0.08 -0.12 1.00
GITA -0.28 -0.13 -0.20 -0.06 0.14 0.13 0.05 0.02 -0.19 0.16 -0.19 -0.03 0.20 0.24 0.12 -0.03 1.00
NAO 0.06 0.10 0.03 0.01 -0.03 -0.19 -0.07 0.08 0.17 -0.16 0.14 0.18 -0.06 -0.01 -0.04 -0.06 -0.22 1.00
(ARD) Amazon Ri e Discha ge, (WL) Wa e Le el, (RF) Rain all, (u) Zonal Wind Componen , ( ) Me idional Wind Componen , (TMPs c) Su ace Tempe a u e, (TMIN2m) Ai
Tempe a u e, (SPFH2m) Specific Humidi y a 2 m heigh , (SWSoilM) Wa e Con en o he Soil, (PEVPR) Po en ial E apo a ion, (RUNOF) Runo , (LHF) La en Hea Flux, (SSTA)
Sea Su ace Tempe a u e, (MEI) Mul i a ia e ENSO Index, (GITA) A lan ic In e -Hemisphe ic Sea Su ace Tempe a u e G adien , (NAO) No h A lan ic Oscilla ion, (AP) Con inen al
Shel o Amapá, (AZ) Con inen al Shel o he Amazon, (PA) Con inen al Shel o Pa á.
doi:10.1371/jou nal.pone.0157050. 001
Mul ispecies Fishe ies in he Lowe Amazon and I s Rela ionship Clima e Va iabili y
PLOS ONE | DOI:10.1371/jou nal.pone.0157050 June 17, 2016 6/29
Humidi y (SPFH); Runo (RUNOF); La en Hea Flux (LHF); sea Su ace Tempe a u e
(SSTA); Clima ic indexes MEI, GITA and NAO.
Mul i a ia e s a is ical analysis
Many dis inc ma hema ical and s a is ical models ha e been applied in o ishe ies da a.
Among hem, he mul i a ia e eg ession analysis like he Au o eg essi e In eg a ed Mo ing
A e age (ARIMA) and he Gene al Linea model (GLM) a e highly ecommended [46–53].
Some au ho s also employ e iciency models ela ing ish p oduc ion wi h some en i onmen al
a iables [54–56]. The Redundancy Analysis (RDA) is also a model la gely employed in eco-
logical s udies o analyse da a ime se ies. This me hod when applyed o ishe ies s udies empi -
ically assums ha he se e al en i onmen al a iables egula e he ishe y esou ces' dinamics
as much as he ishe y e o do [45]. This kind o analysis assumes a linea beha io o he
a iables s udied allowing ha he unkown a iables i in o a linea eg ession model.
Fo all he a iables analysed he e, es s o no mali y we e conduc ed and he da a homoce-
das ici y was analysed using he Shapi o-Wilk and Ba le es s, espec i ely, accep ed o he
signi ican le el o p <0.05. The Analysis o Va iance (ANOVA) es was applied aiming o
es he a iance in he mon hly a e age CPUE acco ding o he axonomic amily o he mos
abundan ish species in he Lowe Amazon egion. Fo he ANOVA, he ac o s es ablished
we e he axonomic amilies, he ishe ies egion, he mon hs and he yea s o he ishe ies.
O dina ion was made o he h ee ishing g ounds s udies he e (Óbidos, San a ém and
Mon e Aleg e) as well as o hei espec i e ishe y en i onmen s ( i e and loodplain lakes)
using he De ended Co espondence Analysis (DCA) o he mon hly a e aged CPUE [57].
The CPUE alues analysed he e we e loga i hmically ans o med be o e p oceeding wi h he
analysis [58]. DCA is a s a is ical ool mainly used o explo e he da a and show ini ial ela ion-
ships in one sou ce o da a, al hough i can also be used o choose be ween linea o unimodal
o dina ion me hods [59]. This analysis made possible o g aphically isualize he a ia ion in
he associa ions be ween ou a iables.
The ela ionships be ween he mon hly a e aged CPUE ela ed o he axonomic amily and
he en i onmen al a iables we e analyzed using he RDA and he mul iple eg ession. RDA
Fig 2. Dispe sion diag am and co ela ions among he en i onmen al a iables. (ARD) Amazon Ri e
Discha ge, (WL) Wa e Le el, (RF) Rain all, (u) Zonal Wind Componen , ( ) Me idional Wind Componen ,
(TMPs c) Su ace Tempe a u e, (TMIN2m) Ai Tempe a u e, (SPFH2m) Speci ic Humidi y a 2 m heigh ,
(SWSoilM) Wa e Con en o he Soil, (PEVPR) Po en ial E apo a ion, (RUNOF) Runo , (LHF) La en Hea
Flux, (SSTA) Sea Su ace Tempe a u e, (MEI) Mul i a ia e ENSO Index, (GITA) A lan ic In e -Hemisphe ic
Sea Su ace Tempe a u e G adien , (NAO) No h A lan ic Oscilla ion, (AP) Con inen al Shel o Amapá, (AZ)
Con inen al Shel o he Amazon, (PA) Con inen al Shel o Pa á.
doi:10.1371/jou nal.pone.0157050.g002
Mul ispecies Fishe ies in he Lowe Amazon and I s Rela ionship Clima e Va iabili y
PLOS ONE | DOI:10.1371/jou nal.pone.0157050 June 17, 2016 7/29
was also employed using a ma ix o explana o y a iables (en i onmen al a iables) o quan-
i y he a ia ion in a ma ix o esponse a iables (CPUE), assuming linea ela ionships
be ween all a iables [60]. RDA is a ool ha has been ex ensi ely used o analyze ecological
ela ionships, e.g. be ween abundance da a and en i onmen a iables. En i onmen al da a a e
used o ex ac pa e ns om he explained a ia ion only. RDA was he linea g adien analysis
me hod. The ocus scaling was on in e -species co ela ions and species sco e was di ided by
s anda d de ia ion. We also applied a ou h oo ans o ma ion in o ou species da a which
we e p e iously no malized and s anda dized. The o wa d selec ion o en i onmen a iables
was made by manual selec ion wi h he bes K o 24 a iables and using Mon e Ca lo pe mu a-
ion es s wi h 9999 un es ic pe mu a ions. The da a se was hen andomized and each a i-
able was analyzed on i s own.
The mul iple eg ession me hod used he e was he Backwa d S epwise Me hod applied o a
con idence le el o 2 (F Fishe -Snedeco alue). The dependen a iables we e he CPUE while
he independen a iables we e he en i onmen al a iables and he ma ke index. The ishe ies
da a we e ans o med h ough he ou h oo ans o ma ion. All eg essions signi ican o
p<0.05 we e conside ed he e o u u e analysis. All he s a is ical analysis om he ANOVA
and he mul iple eg ession es s we e made using he STATISTICA7.0
1
so wa e esul ing in
se e al s a is ical models which ela e CPUE wi h he en i onmen al a iables and he ma ke
index. When pe o ming he DCA we used he PCORD so wa e un a he Na u al Sciences
Museum in Mad id, Spain. The RDA was un using he Canoco p og am o Windows 4.54 [60].
Resul s
Fishing in he Lowe Amazon and speci ic composi ion
Fishe ies p oduc ion. Fo he pe iod 1993–2004, he es ima ed o al ishe ies p oduc ion
in he Lowe Amazon egion was 17,482 , wi h a mon hly mean o 122 (s d = 49 ). Augus
and Sep embe o 1994, 1995, 2001 and 2002 we e he mon hs wi h he highes ca ches. These
mon hs we e pa o in e annual pe iods o ebb-d ough in he Amazon Ri e Basin. Decembe
2002 and 2003, Janua y and Feb ua y 2000 and 2004 we e he mon hs wi h he lowes ca ches
in he s udy egion. These pe iods coincide wi h he we pe iod o he s udy egion. The mos
caugh species (81.4% o o al) we e Hypoph halmus ma gina us and H.eden a us (26.9%),
B achypla ys oma ousseauxii (11.6%), P ochilodus nig icans (8.6%), Plagioscion sp. and Pachy-
pops sp. (5.4%), Pseudopla ys oma ascia um and P. ig inum (5.3%), Liposa cus pa dalis
(5.0%), Semap ochiloduns aeniu us and S.insignis (4.5%), Pimelodina la ipinnis (3.8%), Schi-
zodon ascia um and Lepo inus i ascia us (3.4%) and B achypla ys oma aillan i (3.2%). Each
ishing ip p esen ed a mean ishing e o o 6 ishe men (s d = 2 ishe men) and 4 ishing
days (s d = 1 day).
As expec ed, ou esul s show ha he ishe ies p oduc ion in he lo ic en i onmen o he
Lowe Amazon Ri e was cyclic in na u e. The annual peak p oduc ion happened in he pe iod
om Augus o Oc obe (d ough - lood season), wi h less exp essi e alues om Decembe o
Feb ua y (we season). The yea s 1995, 1999, 2001 and 2002 s ood ou o ha ing highe
ca ches, while he yea s 1997, 2000 and 2003 p esen ed he lowe ca ch alues (Fig 3). Ou o all
he species caugh in he lo ic en i onmen , he mos exp essi e ones du ing he s udied pe iod
we e: B achypla ys oma ousseauxii (28.0%), P ochilodus nig icans (11.1%), Semap ochiloduns
aeniu us and S.insignis (8.7%), B achypla ys oma aillan i (7.6%), B achypla ys oma ilamen-
osum (7.0%), Pseudopla ys oma ascia um and P. ig inum (5.6%), Hypoph halmus ma gina us
and H.eden a us (5.5%), Mylossoma du i en e,Myleus schombu gki and Me ynnis a gen eus
(4.2%) and Liposa cus pa dalis (3.8%). These species accoun ed o 81.4% o he ca ches in he
analyzed pe iod, accoun ing o a o al o 4,700 wi h a mon hly mean o 33 (s d = 28 ).
Mul ispecies Fishe ies in he Lowe Amazon and I s Rela ionship Clima e Va iabili y
PLOS ONE | DOI:10.1371/jou nal.pone.0157050 June 17, 2016 8/29
In he len ic en i onmen associa ed o he Amazon Ri e , a ising end was no ed in o al
ish p oduc ion, con a y o wha commonly occu s in i e s. The yea s om 2001 o 2003 had
he highes ish p oduc ion, while he lowes p oduc ions we e eco ded in 1993 and om 1997
o 1999 (Fig 4). The we pe iod be ween Feb ua y and Ma ch p esen ed he highes alues
while he lowes alues we e ela ed o he Amazonian d ough - lood pe iod, om Oc obe o
Decembe . The a ge species mos caugh in loodplain lakes du ing he s udy pe iod we e
Hypoph halmus ma gina us and H.eden a us (50.1%), Plagioscion spp. and Pachypops spp.
(7.3%), Pimelodina la ipinnis (7.1%), Liposa cus pa dalis (6.1%) and P ochilodus nig icans
(4.7%), Colossoma mac opomum (3.5%) and Pseudopla ys oma ascia um and P. ig inum
(3.2%). These species accoun ed o 82.2% o he o al p oduc ion o 12,782 in he s udy
pe iod. The ish p oduc ion mon hly mean was 89 (s d = 43 ).
When we g oup he species caugh in o hei axonomic amilies, he p esence o 20 amilies
o i e o de s a e no ed. The mos impo an amilies a e he Hypoph halmidae, Pimelodidae,
Sciaenidae, P ochilodon idae, Lo ica iidae, Anos omidae, Cichlidae, Clupeidae and Do adidae.
The e olu ion o he CPUE by axonomic amily caugh in he Lowe Amazon indica es an
in e annual a ia ion and speci ici ies ha a y acco ding o he ishe y en i onmen . The am-
ilies Pimelodidae a e mos ly caugh in he i e (Fig 5A) while Hypoph halmidae a e mos ly
caugh in loodplain lakes (Fig 5B). These wo axonomic g oups accoun o a highe CPUE
obse ed in 1996 and 1999.
Du ing he pe iod o his s udy, he ca ch and CPUE a ied acco ding o he en i onmen
and he ishing a ea no always being di ec ly p opo ional (Table 2). To illus a e his, in he
i e en i onmen o San a ém, he mos caugh amily was Pimelodidae wi h a mon hly a e -
age o 12.16 , while he amily wi h he highes CPUE was Hypoph halmidae, wi h, 10.44
kg ishe man
-1
day
-1
and a ca ch mean o only 787 kg pe mon h. In he case o loodplain
Fig 3. Mon hly ishe y p oduc ion by species in he Amazon Ri e . Mon hly ishe y p oduc ion by species
in he Amazon Ri e nea he ishe y g ounds o Óbidos, San a ém and Mon e Aleg e, om Janua y 1993 o
Decembe 2004. (BRV) B achypla ys oma aillan i, (BRA) B achypla ys oma ousseauxii, (SEM)
Semap ochiloduns aeniu us and S.insignis, (BFI) B achypla ys oma ilamen osum, (HYP) Hypoph halmus
ma gina us and H.eden a us, (MYL) Mylossoma du i en e,Myleus schombu gki and Me ynnis a gen eus,
(LIP) Liposa cus pa dalis, (PRO) P ochilodus nig icans, (PSE) Pseudopla ys oma ascia um and P. ig inum.
doi:10.1371/jou nal.pone.0157050.g003
Mul ispecies Fishe ies in he Lowe Amazon and I s Rela ionship Clima e Va iabili y
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Fig 9. RDA o he CPUE in ela ion o he en i onmen al a iables. G aphic illus a ion o he RDA
analysis o he mon hly a e age CPUE in he i e (a) and loodplain lakes (b) o he Lowe Amazon egion o
all axonomic amilies wi h espec o he en i onmen al a iables. Black a ows a e ela ed o he axonomic
amilies while he ed a ows ep esen he se e al en i onmen al a iables conside ed he e. (HY)
Hypoph halmidae, (PI) Pimelodidae, (SC) Sciaenidae, (PC) P ochilodon idae, (LR) Lo ica iidae, (SR)
Se asalmidae, (AN) Anos omidae, (CI) Cichlidae, (CL) Clupeidae, (DR) Do adidae, (ARD) he Amazon Ri e
discha ge, (WL) he Amazon Ri e le el, (u, ) zonal and me idional componen s o he wind, (TEMP) su ace
empe a u e, (SPFH) speci ic humidi y o he ai , (RUNOF) su ace uno , (LHF) la en hea lux, (GITA) In e -
Hemisphe ic SST G adien o he A lan ic, (NAO) No h A lan ic Oscilla ion Index, (MEI) Mul i a ia e Clima ic
Index o ENSO e en s.
doi:10.1371/jou nal.pone.0157050.g009
Mul ispecies Fishe ies in he Lowe Amazon and I s Rela ionship Clima e Va iabili y
PLOS ONE | DOI:10.1371/jou nal.pone.0157050 June 17, 2016 16 / 29

Table 4. Mul iple eg ession model. Bes signi ican esul s o he CPUE o each axnomic amily, ishing g ound and ishing en i onmen om mul iple
eg ession. Signi ican alues p <0.05 and 2 deg ees o eedom.
RIVER
R
2
pεs d o
Es ima e
In e cep ion Model Equa ion
OBIDOS SR 0.2669 0.00000 2.11580 2.0878 SR = 2.0878 + 0.275*MEI—0.41*MKT
HY 0.2654 0.00000 2.50530 2.4609 HY = 2.4609 + 0.361*ARD + 0.195*SSTA + 0.287*RUNOF—0.38*MKT
PI 0.2348 0.00001 1.97816 2.9799 PI = 2.9799–0.25*WL + 0.207*RF—0.20* + 0.261*MKT
PC 0.1807 0.00144 4.92976 4.5017 PC = 4.5017–0.22*MKT
SC 0.2307 0.00016 1.40274 1.1752 SC = 1.1752–0.26*ARD + 0.284*WL + 0.369*u + 0.256*MEI—0.33*MKT
DR 0.1092 0.01761 0.51768 0.3036 DR = 0.3036–0.26*TEMP + 0.306*MEI -0.20*MKT
CL 0.2493 0.00001 1.22029 1.1025 CL = 1.1025 + 0.169*SSTA—0.36*MEI—0.27*RUNOF—0.25*MKT
SANTAREM AN 0.1313 0.00147 1.12772 1.1578 AN = 1.1578–0.23*TEMP—0.20SPFH + 0.267*SSTA
HY 0.1291 0.00067 5.13092 6.1742 HY = 6.1742–0.29*MKT
LR 0.1605 0.00047 2.03290 2.6633 LR = 2.6633 + 0.265*TEMP + 0.190*SPFH—0.37*MEI—0.25*MKT
PI 0.6481 0.00000 1.07017 0.3926 PI = 0.3926 + 0.161*ARD—0.26*WL—0.18*RF -0.13*SPFH + 0.223*SSTA
—0.25*MEI + 0.706*MKT
PC 0.0897 0.04213 2.43577 2.8433 PC = 2.8433–0.21*MKT
SC 0.1147 0.01825 0.67738 1.1215 SC = 1.1215–0.28*WL—0.19*MKT
MONTE
ALEGRE
AN 0.2895 0.00000 1.21969 0.2493 AN = 0.2493–0.23*u—0.43*LHF
SR 0.1018 0.10478 1.15839 1.2407 SR = 1.2407–0.29*WL—0.19*LHF
CI 0.2027 0.00002 0.60253 0.6249 CI = 0.6249–0.37*ARD + 0.233*WL—0.21*MKT
HY 0.1961 0.00003 3.17750 3.5757 HY = 3.5757–0.21*SSTA + 0.210*GITA—0.27*MKT
LR 0.1383 0.00090 1.95819 1.9148 LR = 1.9148 + 0.214*MEI—0.22*MKT
PI 0.5920 0.00000 1.19065 0.8520 PI = 0.8520–0.29*WL—0.22*u—0.21*TEMP—0.26*LHF—0.15*RUNOF
+ 0.753*MKT
PC 0.0935 0.03399 1.68062 1.5994 PC = 1.5995–0.29*WL—0.23*TEMP
SC 0.1313 0.00332 0.86496 0.8101 SC = 0.8101–0.25*TEMP + 0.355*SPFH—0.25*LHF
DR 0.1408 0.00731 1.59834 0.4593 DR = 0.4593 + 0.259*MEI
CL 0.0738 0.02968 1.02307 0.2611 CL = 0.2611–0.18*LHF
R
2
pεs d o
Es ima e
In e cep ion Model Equa ion
OBIDOS AN 0.1801 0.0002 1.1836 0.5663 AN = 0.5663–0.41*u—0.27*TEMP + 0.267*SSTA
SR 0.1402 0.1058 1.5357 1.7031 SR = 1.7031–0.27*WL + 0.202*RF—0.23*u—0.28*MEI
CI 0.0963 0.0202 1.3893 0.5563 CI = 0.5563 + 0.293*WL + 0.196*LHF
HY 0.1787 0.0002 3.4437 3.5962 HY = 3.5962 + 0.256*ARD + 0.215*RF + 0.414*TEMP
LR 0.2713 0.0000 1.7490 0.2788 LR = 0.2788–0.55*ARD + 0.518*WL—0.29*TEMP -0.32*SPFH + 0.310*MEI
—0.25*GITA
PC 0.1253 0.0133 2.5474 1.0287 PC = 1.0287 + 0.271*ARD—0.33*WL—0.29*u—0.42*TEMP
SC 0.1467 0.0037 0.9441 1.3580 SC = 1.3580 + 0.277*ARD + 0.380*TEMP + 0.228*LHF
DR 0.1764 0.0046 0.8924 0.4870 DR = 0.4870–0.31*ARD + 0.365*WL—0.21*u
SANTAREM AN 0.1678 0.0003 0.7664 1.1736 AN = 1.1736–0.23* + 0.237*SSTA—0.20*GITA + 0.197*MKT
SR 0.1573 0.0027 0.5457 1.0539 SR = 1.0539 + 0.244*ARD—0.28*WL + 0.234*TEMP + 0.286*RUNOF
CI 0.2106 0.0000 0.3291 0.7476 CI = 0.7476–0.35*WL—0.19*
HY 0.1457 0.0027 2.5188 2.8879 HY = 2.8879–0.26*WL + 0.188*MKT
PI 0.0824 0.0171 0.7994 1.6174 PI = 1.6174–0.22*ARD—0.17* —0.23*MEI
SC 0.1891 0.0003 0.5361 1.1842 SC = 1.1842–0.19* —0.24*GITA
DR 0.1639 0.0018 0.6842 0.3724 DR = 0.3724 + 0.210*TEMP
MONTE
ALEGRE
AN 0.1546 0.0069 0.9814 0.8905 AN = 0.8905 + 0.192*ARD—0.24*u
(Con inued)
Mul ispecies Fishe ies in he Lowe Amazon and I s Rela ionship Clima e Va iabili y
PLOS ONE | DOI:10.1371/jou nal.pone.0157050 June 17, 2016 17 / 29
We migh expec ha he e ec s o he looding pulse should be s onge du ing he we sea-
son, bu [53] obse ed ha he e ec s o he d y season on he mul ispecies ishe ies in he
Amazon a e equally impo an . The au ho s indica ed ha he ishe ies dynamics in he i e
and loodplains a eas o he Amazon is no simply dependen on he inunda ion pulse.
In he Amazon a he s a o he looding, he le el o he i e is p ac ically s able. The
aqua ic en i onmen s on he loodplain p edomina e whe e a subs an ial pa o he ich hyo-
auna is dispe sed in sea ch o ood [10,19,33–34,66–70]. Du ing his pe iod, ishing is mo e
di icul and he ca chabili y o a ge species is educed because o he conside able dispe sion
o he indi iduals, a ising om he inc ease o habi a s and hidden a eas. Du ing ebb, ish
begin o g oup oge he due o he con ac ion o he aqua ic en i onmen [2,9]. In his pe iod,
ca ching is in ense in he loodplain lakes and i e s. Bo h he loodplains and he o es a e
used by species o he amilies Pimelodidae and Sciaenidae since such ishes p eda e on o he
species ha a e lea ing hese a eas du ing his pe iod [7]. Du ing he d y season, ish a e o ced
o mo e o a eas whe e wa e is abundan in he i e channels [71]. Howe e , no all Amazo-
nian ishing boa s a e able o ope a e in his en i onmen . Du ing his pe iod, he e is a con-
cen a ion o Pimelodidae ca ches in he i e . A he end o he d y season, ishe ies
p oduc ion o Se asalmidae (genus Colossoma) and P ochilodon idae (genus P ochilodus) a e
in ensi ied. A we season, ca ch is concen a ed in o a ge amilies o lake-li ing species ha
ha e a li e cycle mainly associa ed o he loodplain lakes o lake sys ems [72] such as Pimelodi-
dae (genuses Pimelodina and Pseudopla ys oma), Sciaenidae (genus Plagioscion), Lo ica iidae
(genus Liposa cus).
The complexi y o he dynamical p ocesses associa ed o he mul ispecies ishe ies oge he
wi h he lack o ishe ies p oduc ion da a se ies inc ease ou di icul y on e alua ing he impac
o ishing on he na u al s ocks o he Amazon [73–74]. In mul ispecies ishe y, ca ch le els
end o inc ease wi h he inc ease o he ishing e o , un il a s abilizing poin whe e one can-
no inc ease he p oduc ion wi h an inc ease in e o [75]. I is also known ha , con a y o
wha is obse ed in ishe ies wi h a single a ge species which shows a linea d op p opo ional
o he CPUE wi h an inc eased e o , he mul ispecies ishe ies CPUE beha es in a non-linea
manne [76]. The same occu ed in ou esul s: al hough he annual a e age o ishing e o
(numbe o ishe men imes ishing days) was kep p ac ically s able o was educed in he
pe iod om 1993 o 2003 in San a ém, he CPUE inc eased p obably due o o he ac o s.
These ac o s may be ela ed o echnological ad ancemen s in he ishing lee , such as he
inc ease in he a e age size and engine powe o he boa s and/o a be e ice s o age capaci y
Table 4. (Con inued)
SR 0.1317 0.0125 1.3418 1.2193 SR = 1.2193 + 0.209*RUNOF
HY 0.0936 0.0081 3.8455 3.7127 HY = 3.7127 + 0.272*ARD + 0.170*LHF
LR 0.1436 0.0006 1.5032 2.7674 LR = 2.7673 + 0.268*MEI + 0.178*GITA
PI 0.1280 0.0155 1.4128 1.2851 PI = 1.2851–0.41*TEMP—0.22*SPFH—0.22*LHF + 0.234*SSTA
+ 0.281*MEI—0.18*GITA
DR 0.1777 0.0001 0.7176 0.5794 DR = 0.5794–0.22*WL + 0.331*SPFH—0.22*LHF
(AN) Anos omidae, (CI) Cichlidae, (CL) Clupeidae, (DR) Do adidae, (HY) Hypoph halmidae, (LR) Lo ica iidae, (PC) P ochilodon idae, (PI) Pimelodidae,
(SC) Sciaenidae, (SR) Se asalmidae, (ARD) he Amazon Ri e discha ge, (WL) he Amazon Ri e le el, (u, ) zonal and me idional componen s o he
wind, (TEMP) su ace empe a u e, (SPFH) specific humidi y o he ai , (RUNOF) su ace uno , (LHF) la en hea flux, (GITA) In e -Hemisphe ic SST
G adien o he A lan ic, (NAO) No h A lan ic Oscilla ion Index, (MEI) Mul i a ia e Clima ic Index o ENSO e en s, (MKT) ma ke index.
(R
2
) eg ession coe ficien , (p) confidence le el, (ε) s anda d e o o he es ima i e.
doi:10.1371/jou nal.pone.0157050. 004
Mul ispecies Fishe ies in he Lowe Amazon and I s Rela ionship Clima e Va iabili y
PLOS ONE | DOI:10.1371/jou nal.pone.0157050 June 17, 2016 18 / 29
o ish ca ch p ese a ion [71]. These ac o s inc ease he ishing powe and a e no accoun ed
o in his pape .
Some species o he amilies Se asalmidae, Pimelodidae and Scianidae a e known o ha e
being caugh in he Lowe Amazon egion in sizes below he a e age leng h o he i s sexual
ma u a ion—L
50
[76–78], a p ac ice agains he cu en B azilian law ha may comp omise
he main enance o hese ish s ocks in he egion. A subs an ial h ea o he sus ainabili y o
he ishe ies esou ces in he egion is he excessi e concen a ion o ishing e o on jus some
ew a ge species [76]. In his ega d, e o s o di e si y he composi ion o he species caugh
may educe he p essu e on he species al eady highly exploi ed. Meanwhile, despi e hese con-
side a ions, he esul s o ou analyses indica e ha he ishe ies esou ces in he Lowe Ama-
zon appea o be mode a ely exploi ed, ha is, below he maximum expec ed yield [76].
The ishing ac i i y pe o med in i e s is mo e complex ha he one pe o med in lakes in
he Amazon. The Pimelodidae p oduc ion, o ins ance, is p ac ically en i ely di ec ed o he
indus y o p ocessing and is conside ed he mos p o essional ishing ac i i y o he Lowe
Amazon egion. As a consequence, he Pimelodidae ishing is mo e in luenced by he ma ke
han by he en i onmen al ac o s. The mul iple eg ession models used he e a e consis en
wi h his eali y showing ha he e is an inc ease o he Pimelodidae p oduc ion associa ed
wi h he ma ke index inc ease. The opposi e happens wi h he o he ishing amilies ha
a end he local ma ke : when he ma ke index inc eases hei p oduc ion dec eases.
Al hough local ishing in lakes nea Óbidos is mo e oppo unis and di e se, he local ish-
ing ma ke o Ódibos is e y small in compa ison o San a ém and Mon e Aleg e. The ishing
p oduc ion o lake en i onmen s in Óbidos e Mon e Aleg e do no depend on he o e all ma -
ke (indus y ela ed) o being ypically di ec ed o local consump ion. Ou esul s showed
ha he ma ke index was only impo an o he Hypoph halmidae and Anos omidae amilies.
The co ela ions we e low wi h he excep ion o he ishing o Pimelodidae in i e en i on-
men s. We conclude ha he mo e a isanal he ishe ies a e, he highe a e he e o s associ-
a ed o ou s a is ics o co ela e ishing p oduc i i y wi h he en i onmen al a iables.
The ela i e impo ance o he ish p ocessing indus ies in Óbidos and San a ém, as well as
he ish s ocks composi ion in hose si es we e p e iously s udied by [49]. The au ho s used
bo h P incipal Componen s Analysis and a Gene al Linea Model and conclude ha he ishe -
ies in hose wo si es is highly condi ioned o he ca ches o ca ish (Pimemolidae and
Hypoph halmidae). Mo eo e , he ishe ies o hose axonomic amilies o eed he indus y
con ibu e o he o e all ishe ies a iabili y especially in he i e en i onmen . These esul s
a e in ag eemen wi h ou indings when we add he (economic a iable) ma ke index in ou
analysis.
The ishe ies in he Lowe Amazon egion can be di ided in o wo dis inc ishe y ca ego-
ies: (1) pe manen ishe ies in he i e en i onmen ha occu s along he en i e yea and (2)
cyclic ishe ies di ec ed owa ds he lake en i onmen ha is no accessible o he ishing lee
du ing he d y season [61]. Fishing in loodplain lakes, as opposed o ishing in he i e ,
in ol es a low deg ee o specializa ion and occu s h oughou he yea [71]. The species caugh
in he i e a e ex emely ulne able, wi h a high isk o o e exploi a ion since ishing is mo e
specialized and ishe ies p oduc ion a ge s a small numbe o amilies and a ge species. In
addi ion o his, since he main ishing explo a ion a ea is he i e a he han he lakes, i e
species a e no bene i ed by ishe y ag eemen s held by he coas al communi ies o p o ec
loodplain lakes and looded a eas [79]. Fu he mo e, ish species ha mo e be ween looded
a eas and i e s depending on he hyd ological cycle phase ha e a g ea e plas ici y and a e less
ulne able o he isk o o e exploi a ion [71]. These species end o be be e p o ec ed unde
communi y ishe y ag eemen s. Thus, new ishing managemen policies should conside hese
Mul ispecies Fishe ies in he Lowe Amazon and I s Rela ionship Clima e Va iabili y
PLOS ONE | DOI:10.1371/jou nal.pone.0157050 June 17, 2016 19 / 29
wo ca ego ies in o de o p omo e di e en ia ed solu ions o he o dinance and sus ainabili y
o he ishing ac i i y in he Amazon.
Howe e , i is e iden ha only ishe ies egula ion policies a e no su icien o ob ain be e
yields in he ac i i y. Al e a ions in he Amazonian landscape, especially close o he i e
banks and loodplains, ha e impac s on he clima ic cha ac e is ics o he egion a ec ing he
hyd ological cycle. In his ega d, de o es a ion causes di ec and di ec ha m o he ish popu-
la ions due o he educ ion in he amoun and di e si y o ood a ailable and due o he al e -
a ion o he hyd ological cycle. Scien i ic esea ch demons a es ha an inc ease in o es
biomass leads o an inc ease in ish biomass, wi h some species inc easing hei p edominance
in he ish communi ies [80–84]. So, o example, he subs i u ion o o es o g azing land
should cause changes in ish ea ing habi s due o he educ ion in he supply o ui s, seeds and
o he o ms o o ganic ma e o igina ing in he o es . The impac o de o es a ion on he s a-
bili y o he aqua ic ecosys em is g ea e han ha o ishing, e en on ich hyo auna species ha
do no depend di ec ly on he o es , such as hose in he amily Pimelodidae [85]. The ex en
o deg ada ion and modi ica ion o he plain landscape should wo sen wi h he ci ies g ow h
and he economic de elopmen in he Amazon. This can become a conside able h ea o he
Amazonian en i onmen in he long e m, comp omising he aqua ic and ish ecosys ems in
he egion [86–88].
Fishe ies in he Lowe Amazon a e cha ac e ized o co e la ge a eas o lo ic en i onmen s,
such as he Lago G ande o Mon e Aleg e, he G ande de Cu uaí Lake and he Pa ú Lake (Fig
1). The kinema ics o he low and he dynamics o he looding pulse play impo an oles in
he li e cycle o he ich hyo auna in he Lowe Amazon, egula ing he a ailabili y o ood and
shel e , in luencing he ep oduc ion, ood and g ow h o many ish species [69,81–82,89].
Cons an , inc easing modi ica ions o he landscape, change in he i e low due o he con-
s uc ion o ba ie s and o he al e a ions in he aqua ic habi a a e poin ed ou as conside able
h ea s, in he long e m, o he ich hyo auna and o he ishe ies ac i i y in he Lowe Amazon
egion [41,81–83]. In addi ion o he impac s o he landscape and hyd ological al e a ions in
he en i onmen , [53] desc ibe ha side e ec s on he ish popula ions include he in ensi ica-
ion o na u al dea h p ocesses caused by he diminu ion o he body g ow h and he o e all
ec ui men p ocess.
The di e si ica ion o he ac o s esponsible o he clima e egula ion in he Amazon d o e
his esea ch o make use o he highes numbe o possible a iables in o de o unde s and
he clima e dynamics o ou s udy egion as well as he e ec s o hose on he aqua ic sys em
and ishe ies a iabili y. The sola ene gy a ailabili y d i ing he local ene gy balance is known
as an impo an ac o egula ing he clima e o he Amazonian egion [90]. The ene gy ha
a i es a he Ea h's su ace is deli e ed back o he a mosphe e in he o m o sensible and
la en hea lux. While he i s is esponsible o he hea ing, he second one is ela ed o he
e apo anspi a ion p ocess. Ano he impo an a iable o all opical egions o he plane is
he p ecipi a ion o ain all. This a iable d i es he a iabili y o o he me eo ological a i-
ables such as he empe a u e and he ela i e humidi y, being e y he e ogeneous in he Ama-
zon [90].
Pas s udies es ima e ha abou 50% o he wa e apo condensed and p ecipi a ed by he
ain all in he Amazon is locally ecycled h ough he e apo anspi a ion p ocess while he
o he 50% is d i en in o he egion om he A lan ic Ocean [90–92]. The in e annual a iabil-
i y o he ain all and he i e s discha ge a e ela ed o clima ic e en s such as he ENSO. Du -
ing he El Niño (posi i e ENOS phase), he ain all in he Amazon dec eases leading
some imes o se e al d ough s. Du ing hese pe iods he posi ion o he In e opical con e -
gence Zone (ITCZ) in he A lan ic Ocean leads o a weakening o he T ade Winds blowing
owa ds he con inen [93–96].
Mul ispecies Fishe ies in he Lowe Amazon and I s Rela ionship Clima e Va iabili y
PLOS ONE | DOI:10.1371/jou nal.pone.0157050 June 17, 2016 20 / 29
As desc ibed be o e, he hyd ological cycle in he Lowe Amazon is e y much de e mined
by he clima e, and ice e sa [97]. This cycle includes ene gy exchanges, anspo o wa e
apo , ain all, d ainage, in il a ion and di e se wa e s o age mechanisms. All hese p ocesses
depend on he clima e and a e de e minan o he main cha ac e is ics o ecosys ems which, in
u n, a ec he dynamics o he ich hyo auna. Clima ic a iabili y and he dynamics o he
hyd ological cycle in he Lowe Amazon, as well as he cha ac e is ics o he landscape and he
amoun o aqua ic en i onmen s and ood a ailable a ec he dis ibu ion and ecology o he
ishe ies esou ces and, hus, he beha io o he ishe man and he ish. Howe e , his beha io
is also a ec ed by local cul u e and he g ow h o he mac o economy. These a e dynamic
aspec s, which p esen ma ked empo al a ia ions. [98–99] desc ibe ha one mus conside
he empo al and spa ial associa ions o all he a iables in o de o be e de e mine he ela-
ionships be ween he en i onmen al a iables and he ishe ies. In he case o his pape , di id-
ing ou s udy egion in he Lowe Amazon in o h ee di e en si es (Óbidos, San a ém and
Mon e Aleg e) ied o espec he conside a ions abo e men ioned.
Fluc ua ions in ain all in he Amazon a e pa ially associa ed wi h ENOS e en s. Du ing El
Niño yea s he e is a endency o p oduce d ough o accen ua ed ebb while in La Niña yea s
a e associa ed o in ense looding [37,75,96,100–102]. The du a ion and in ensi y o each
pe iod in he hyd ological cycle a e de e mining ac o s o he ich hyo auna o hey use he
loodplains o achie ing success o ec ui men and consequen species su i al [103]. [76,89,
104] desc ibe ha he composi ion o ish communi ies in he Amazon loodplain each yea is
ela ed o he du a ion and in ensi y o he hyd ological cycle in p e ious yea s, sugges ing an
in e annual dependence be ween ecological and en i onmen al a iables. The success o ailu e
o a ep oduc i e s a egy (seasonal, balanced o oppo unis ) and he su i al o young indi-
iduals in he popula ion o ish in he ebb depends on he adap a ion capaci y o each species
o adap o he seasonal luc ua ions o en i onmen al a iables [61,105].
The clima ic a iabili y o he Lowe Amazon egion has a di ec e ec on ish ca ch and
consequen p oduc i i y as i allows o supp esses he ishe man's access o ideal ishing loca-
ions o a ge he di e en ish species. The esul s o all analysis made in his pape indica es
ha he i e -a mosphe e-ocean sys em e ec s he mul ispecies ishe ies in a di e en way o
each s udied egion o he Lowe Amazon, as well o each ish axonomic amily and o each
a ge species. [106] desc ibe ha he empe a u e ac s on he ish g ow h; he winds, humidi y,
ege a ion co e age and he ENSO e en s p omo e o supp esses he a ailabili y o ood, while
he hyd og aphic ca chmen , yield in he Amazon Ri e and he su ace uno d i e he ex en
o he looded a ea. So, due o he ecological and beha io al complexi y o he Amazonian ish
esou ces, he en i onmen al a iables can indi idually o collec i ely a ec hei li e cycles.
A es ed by ou en i onmen al da a ( ime se ies no shown), 1995 was an a ypical yea du -
ing he pe iod o ou s udy. The yea o 1995 was cha ac e ized by an in ense d ough in he
Amazon basin, leading o a conside able educ ion o he aqua ic en i onmen a ea. This mus
ha e le he ich hyo auna indi iduals mo e ulne able. In 1995, ENSO was in i s posi i e
phase (El Niño) bu he e en was conside ed weak p og essing o a La Niña in he nex yea .
Du ing ha yea hough, ou da a (no shown) indica e ha he e was an a ypical inc ease in
sea su ace empe a u e in he A lan ic Ocean, a dec ease in he T ade Winds in ensi y and a
consequen educ ion in he wa e apo anspo in he eas e n po ion o he Amazon Basin
[97,106]. Du ing 1995, a lowe ing in he annual a e aged CPUE occu ed in he loodplain
lakes.
We assume ha du ing 1995 in he d ough e en , he accessibili y o he loodplain lakes
o ishe y was mo e di icul , consequen ly s imula ing he ish ac i i y and an inc ease in p o-
duc i i y in he i e en i onmen . This ac is e idenced in ou da a by he a iabili y in he
CPUE o he axonomic amily Hypoph halmidae. To esume hese ideas, we acknowledge ha
Mul ispecies Fishe ies in he Lowe Amazon and I s Rela ionship Clima e Va iabili y
PLOS ONE | DOI:10.1371/jou nal.pone.0157050 June 17, 2016 21 / 29

he e ec s o he clima ic (en i onmen al) a iabili y on he Lowe Amazon ishe ies a e
impo an and ollow a logic based upon s a is ical dependence. These e ec s can be exp essed
by many logical ways. In Fig 10 we p esen a logical schema ic diag am o illus a e and esume
he indings o his pape wi h espec o he dependence ela ions be ween he CPUE o all
species, he en i onmen al a iables s udied he e and he pe sis ence o posi i e o nega i e
ENSO phenomena. These ela ions a e shown in espec o he di e en seasons (d y o we )
and he ishing en i onmen s ( i e o lakes and loodplains) o ou s udy a ea. This simple,
classic diag am p esen s he a iables and hei di ec o in e se ela ions o dependence indi-
ca ed by he up o down, espec i ely, di ec ion o a ows.
A he p esen we know ha o e he ime he amoun o wa e e ained in he Amazon
Basin has been al e ed, as well as he g ea e pa o i s su ace ege a ion co e age due o long
e m geophysical ac o s [107]. In e annual a iabili y o he lood pulse and o he en i on-
men al pa ame e s, such as ai and su ace empe a u e, ha e a conside able e ec on he di e -
si y o local auna [108] and, as a esul , on he ishe ies ac i i y and p oduc ion [89]. Highe
empe a u es educe he solubili y o oxygen in wa e , which may inc ease he demand o oxy-
gen and ood consump ion o ish due o hei inc eased me abolic a e. The inc ease o he
empe a u e in he su ace laye o he wa e may also p omo e he de elopmen and su i al
o pa asi es and bac e ia. These ac s combined oge he can educe he su i al, g ow h and
ep oduc i e success o ish popula ions [109].
We also know ha he ich hyo auna in he loodplain lakes o he Lowe Amazon ha e a
complex beha io al dynamic. Du ing he we pe iod, ollowing ep oduc ion, la ae and/o
young ish o many ish species a e ca ied ou by he i e cu en in o he looded a eas [19,
61,66,110–111], a ee aqua ic en i onmen whe e hey should sea ch o ood and shel e
agains a ious ypes o p eda o . E en du ing he d y season, ish adul s y o mo e in o he
Fig 10. Logical schema ic diag am illus a ing he dependence ela ions be ween he CPUE, ENSO phenomena and
en i onmen a iables. Logical schema ic diag am illus a ing he dependence ela ions be ween he CPUE o all amilies,
he en i onmen al a iables s udied he e and he pe sis ence o posi i e o nega i e ENSO phenomena. (AN) Anos omidae,
(CI) Cichlidae, (CL) Clupeidae, (DR) Do adidae, (HY) Hypoph halmidae, (LR) Lo ica iidae, (PC) P ochilodon idae, (PI)
Pimelodidae, (SC) Sciaenidae, (SR) Se asalmidae.
doi:10.1371/jou nal.pone.0157050.g010
Mul ispecies Fishe ies in he Lowe Amazon and I s Rela ionship Clima e Va iabili y
PLOS ONE | DOI:10.1371/jou nal.pone.0157050 June 17, 2016 22 / 29
i e s since he aqua ic en i onmen s a e concen a ed in he main channels [61]. This pa icu-
la dynamic is echoed in ish p oduc i i y and in he beha io o he ishe men. The p edicable
e ec s o d ough in he Amazon in global clima e change scena ios include an es ima ed loss
o 7 o 12% o ish species by 2070 in he Amazon Ri e Basin [111].
Conclusion
En i onmen al a iables such as he ai , wa e and soil empe a u es, a mosphe ic humidi y,
he wa e le el, he local winds as well as clima ic a iables measu ed indexes such as he MEI,
NOA and GITA ac a dis inc empo al scales p omo ing an clea e ec on he mul ispecies
ishe ies o he Lowe Amazon egion;
The ela ionship be ween he mon hly a e age CPUE o di e en axonomic amily o a ge
ish p esen s di e en beha io depending on he en i onmen al o clima ic a iable
conside ed;
The ishe y p oduc i i y in he s udy a ea p esen s di e en pa e ns in espec o he en i-
onmen and clima e depending i i is o igina ed om he i e o om he loodplain lakes. A
clea a iabili y occu s bo h along he Ri e Amazon ex end in he Lowe Amazon (longi udi-
nal g adien ) and la e ally ac oss he i e (la i udinal g adien ) o each kind o ishe y s udied
he e. This depends on he ecological cha ac e is ics and li e s a egies o each a ge axonomic
amily conside ed in he ishe y;
The in ensi y o ish explo a ion in he Lowe Amazon egion is appa en ly s ill mode a e;
The p ese a ion o he landscape and he equilib ium o he ene gy and hyd ic balances
should be conside ed o u u e ish managemen policies;
New p og ams aiming he long e m collec ion and p ocessing o ishe y s a is ics da a in
he Amazon Ri e Basin should be pu o wa d and incen i ized. In a Global Change scena io
wi h pe cei ed changes in he ege a ion co e o he Amazon egion we belie e ha he
s eng hening o ou knowledge abou he ela ionship o he en i onmen al and clima ic a i-
ables wi h he ishe ies is c ucial o any u u e en i onmen al modeling o he egion;
Fu u e esea ch should also d i e a en ion owa ds he iden i ica ion o new a iables o be
included in o he mul i a ia e models. Possible new en i onmen al a iables should include
he posi ioning and equency o he ins abili y lines o clouds in he a mosphe e esponsible
o he egion's ain all pa e ns, he In e T opical Con e gence Zone and he Boli ian Heigh
posi ioning and pe sis ence, he lu ial b eeze, wa e quali y a iables ( o example he phy o-
planck on, nu ien s, pollu an s and dissol ed oxigen concen a ions). Ideally, new ishe ies
da a should be p oduced in a be e geo e e ing in e ace such as a Geog aphical In o ma ion
Sys em.
Suppo ing In o ma ion
S1 Da ase . CPUE i e da ase . Da ase o CPUE in he i e o ishing g ounds in Óbidos,
San a ém and Mon e Aleg e and axonomic amilies o ish. (AN) Anos omidae, (SR) Se asal-
midae, (CI) Cichlidae, (HY) Hypoph halmidae, (LR) Lo ica iidae, (PI) Pimelodidae, (PC) P o-
chilodon idae, (SC) Sciaenidae, (DR) Do adidae, (CL) Clupeidae.
(XLSX)
S2 Da ase . CPUE lake da ase . Da ase o CPUE in he loodplain lakes o ishing g ounds in
Óbidos, San a ém and Mon e Aleg e and axonomic amilies o ish. (AN) Anos omidae, (SR)
Se asalmidae, (CI) Cichlidae, (HY) Hypoph halmidae, (LR) Lo ica iidae, (PI) Pimelodidae,
(PC) P ochilodon idae, (SC) Sciaenidae, (DR) Do adidae, (CL) Clupeidae.
(XLSX)
Mul ispecies Fishe ies in he Lowe Amazon and I s Rela ionship Clima e Va iabili y
PLOS ONE | DOI:10.1371/jou nal.pone.0157050 June 17, 2016 23 / 29
S3 Da ase . Ma ke index o each ishing g ound. Ma ke index conside ing i e and lood-
plain lakes o Óbidos, San a ém and Mon e Aleg e ishing g ounds.
(XLSX)
S4 Da ase . CPUE lake da ase . Time se ies o en i onmen al a iables and clima e indeces.
(ARD) Amazon Ri e Discha ge, (WL) Wa e Le el, (RF) Rain all, (u) Zonal Wind Compo-
nen , ( ) Me idional Wind Componen , (TEMP) Su ace Tempe a u e, (SPFH) Speci ic
Humidi y, (RUNOF) Runo , (LHF) La en Hea Flux, (SSTA) Sea Su ace Tempe a u e, (MEI)
Mul i a ia e ENSO Index, (GITA) A lan ic In e -Hemisphe ic Sea Su ace Tempe a u e G adi-
en , (NAO) No h A lan ic Oscilla ion.
(XLSX)
Acknowledgmen s
The au ho s hank he Minis y o Fishe ies and Aquacul u e o B azil o eleasing he ish
da a used he e. The en i onmen al da a was ob ained om B azilian Na ional Wa e Agency
(ANA) and NOAA/NCEP. WDHP wish o hank he Pos -G adua e P og amme in Aqua ic
and Fishing Ecology o he Fede al Uni e si y o Pa á (UFPA), he g oup o Ma ine Resou ces
and Fishe ies a he Facul y o Science in he Uni e si y o A Co uña and he Depa men o
E olu ional Ecology a he Na ional Museum o Na u al Sciences o he oppo uni y o con-
duc pa o his PhD s udies in Spain. Ou hanks a e also di ec ed o Ian Emme who p o-
duced he i s English e sion o his pape .
Au ho Con ibu ions
Concei ed and designed he expe imen s: WHDP VJI. Analyzed he da a: WHDP FJLC PP
VJI. Con ibu ed eagen s/ma e ials/analysis ools: WHDP FJLC PP VJI. W o e he pape :
WHDP RBS VJI PP FJLC JF. Ob ained pe mission o use o ishing da a: WHDP VJI.
Re e ences
1. Gilmo e RM. Fauna e e nozoologia da Amé ica do Sul T opical. In: Ribei o D, edi o . Suma e nológica
B asilei a. Rio de Janei o: FINEP/Vozes; 1986. pp. 189–233.
2. Ba hem RB, Fab é NN. Biologia e di e sidade dos ecu sos pesquei os da Amazônia. In: Ru ino ML,
edi o . A pesca e os ecu sos pesquei os na Amazônia B asilei a. Manaus: P oVá zea; 2004. pp.
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