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Alternatives of how to prepare for the future labor market

Abstract

From time immemorial, one of the crucial questions of mankind has been what the future has in store for us. The future, however, has remained unfathomable up to this day, and even future studies promises only as much as prognosticating what is likely to continue and what will plausibly change in the world. Thus, no wonder, that already the first “real” economists of the 18th century (Adam Smith et al.) considered the creation of the future model of labor economy as a challenge. At the present era of modern labor market, this task is closely connected with the future status of labor market since in a consumer society income acquired by work forms the basis of satisfying needs (Ehrenberg – Smith 2003, Galasi 1994). We are not saying anything new by stating the fact that the demand for labor force is determined by new places of work and that an ideal supply of labor force must be adaptable to the requirements of demand. To meet requirements and to be adaptable is possible only if we are armed with the necessary competencies and capital (Hodges – Burchell 2003, Bourdieu 1998). The question, to what extent students in higher education are prepared for changes in the demand for labor force, arises at this point. What can young people expect on the labor market in this ever changing world? What kind of job opportunities and work conditions are there for them, and how much are they prepared to face these changes?

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Alternatives of how to prepare for the future labor market

Author: Szőcs, Andor; Hamvas, László
Year: 2015
Source: https://dea.lib.unideb.hu/bitstreams/3344e47e-26c5-41e9-82c1-64306be76ef3/download
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DOKTORI MŰHELYEKBŐL
Al e na i es o how o p epa e o
he u u e labo ma ke
ANDOR SZŐCS * – LÁSZLÓ HAMVAS **
* Deb eceni Egye em, Humán Tudományok Dok o i Iskola
Ne elés- és mű elődés udományi dok o i p og am
** Deb eceni Egye em, Humán Tudományok Dok o i Iskola
Szociológia és á sadalompoli ika dok o i p og am
In oduc ion
F om ime immemo ial, one o he c ucial ques ions o mankind has been wha he
u u e has in s o e o us. The u u e, howe e , has emained un a homable up o
his day, and e en u u e s udies p omises only as much as p ognos ica ing wha
is likely o con inue and wha will plausibly change in he wo ld. Thus, no wonde ,
ha al eady he i s “ eal” economis s o he 18 h cen u y (Adam Smi h e al.)
conside ed he c ea ion o he u u e model o labo economy as a challenge. A he
p esen e a o mode n labo ma ke , his ask is closely connec ed wi h he u u e
s a us o labo ma ke since in a consume socie y income acqui ed by wo k o ms
he basis o sa is ying needs (Eh enbe g – Smi h 2003, Galasi 1994).
We a e no saying any hing new by s a ing he ac ha he demand o labo
o ce is de e mined by new places o wo k and ha an ideal supply o labo o ce
mus be adap able o he equi emen s o demand. To mee equi emen s and o
be adap able is possible only i we a e a med wi h he necessa y compe encies
and capi al (Hodges – Bu chell 2003, Bou dieu 1998). The ques ion, o wha ex en
s uden s in highe educa ion a e p epa ed o changes in he demand o labo o ce,
a ises a his poin . Wha can young people expec on he labo ma ke in his e e
changing wo ld? Wha kind o job oppo uni ies and wo k condi ions a e he e o
hem, and how much a e hey p epa ed o ace hese changes?
In his s udy, we do no wish o engage in he di e se ield o u u ology (c . No áki
1994, No áki 1997, No áki 2005); ou p ima y aim is a he o call he a en ion o
he young gene a ion o he u u e de elopmen o labo o ce demand, while elying
on he mos signi ican esul s o wo s udies in u u ology. Ou u he aim is o
call a en ion o he impo ance o con inuous s udying because i makes i possible
o he job seeke on he labo ma ke o ob ain ex a capi al as well as o become
adap able o he u u e equi emen s o labo o ce demand. Finally, we a e going o
p esen he esul s o an in e na ional esea ch which ende s in o ma ion abou
he expec a ions o s uden s in highe educa ion o hei i s u u e wo k place.
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T ends o labo ma ke changes
In ecen decades, he s uc u e o employmen has gone h ough signi ican changes:
while a he beginning o he 20 h cen u y, indus ial wo kplaces p edomina ed,
since he 1950s, se ice indus y has aken o e . One o i s main easons is he
au oma ion o wo k including echnical de elopmen , Taylo ism, as well as he
in oduc ion o in o ma ion echnologies, as a esul o which, machines eplace men
especially in manual labo (Giddens 2008). Wi h companies whose main aim is o
achie e g ow h and e ec i eness, his is a sensible decision, because he axes and
bene i s adding o he expense o human labo we e con inuously inc easing as a
esul o he sp ead o wel a e sys ems. In mo e de eloped pa s o he wo ld, his
endency is ein o ced by possibili ies c ea ed by globaliza ion, since ans e ing
p oduc ion o less de eloped coun ies whe e labo o ce expenses a e much lowe ,
is becoming easie and easie . As a esul o he abo e-men ioned in o ma ion-
communica ion e olu ion, au oma ion has also eached he e ian sec o by now:
we can mo e and mo e o en come ac oss sel -se ice cash-machines, ood and
d ink dispense s, online icke selling sys ems and web shops. Taking all his in o
conside a ion, we can expec a mo e apid inc ease o unemploymen as a esul o
he g owing numbe o economic c ises.
In acco dance wi h ma ke laws, he g owing supply en ails s onge compe i ion
e en on he labo ma ke . This leads o he e osion o wo kplace secu i y. Employe s
o e ixed-(and sho e and sho e )- e m wo k con ac s in place o he un ixed-
e m ones (Cas el 1998). Mo eo e , as a esul o he as changing en i onmen ,
a signi ican po ion o de elopmen s and in es men s is ealized in he o m o
p ojec s (Czibe e – Ko ách 2013). Consequen ly, he widesp ead use o p ojec s—
based on ixed ime limi s—sp eads o e o he labo ma ke .
These endencies lead o he u he segmen a ion o he labo ma ke , o he
sp ead o a ypical o ms o employmen , as well as o he eappea ance o sel -
employmen ins ead o wage labo , all o which o eshadow he o ma ion o an
en i ely new labo ma ke en i onmen (Giddens 2008).
Wo kplaces o he u u e
In ecen yea s, se e al signi ican esea ches and s udies ha e been ca ied ou
in connec ion wi h u u e wo kplaces and wo k oppo uni ies (c . ISS 2020 Vision
2013, Mo gan 2014), o which we a e p esen ing ele an in o ma ion om he
esul s o wo, which can help us o unde s and his new en i onmen .
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In he i s s udy, which was made by he Fas Fu u e Resea ch u u ology
company1 in 2010, p edic ions a e made abou occupa ions which do no e en
exis oday, o he nex wen y yea s, wi h he aim o gi ing assis ance o he
u u e gene a ion in hei ca ee choice, as well as o de ining he cou se o he
ans o ma ion o educa ion sys ems. Acco ding o he au ho s, hese occupa ions
will be in luenced by he de elopmen o he digi al wo ld, by he p o ec ion o he
en i onmen , by a ending o he needs o an aging socie y, and by sa is ying he
equi emen s o comme cial space a els. On he basis o hese—wi h no in en ion
o be exhaus i e— he ollowing occupa ions seem o be he mos likely o occu :
space a el guide, long-dis ance su geon, da a ash ope a o , ime b oke , pe sonal
adema k cons uc o , ne wo king social wo ke , e- o es e , ga bage e-designe ,
nos algis , and qua an ine o ice .
Apa om hese, some al eady exis ing occupa ions a e p edic ed o come o he
o e on , such as e.g. wellness ad iso s o al e na i e ehicle cons uc o s. Tha is
o say, a so-called 10/7 ule will come in o e ec : ou o en kinde ga en pupils, 7
will ha e an occupa ion which does no exis ye . Fu he mo e, he nex gene a ion
will change hei wo kplace 12 imes on a e age. Educa ion sys ems, he e o e, will
ha e o de elop sui able lea ning abili ies and possibili ies including in o mal and
li elong lea ning (The shape o jobs o come 2010).
The second s udy was made by he E icsson Ne wo ked Socie y Lab,2 and was
published wi h he i le “The nex gene a ion wo king—su i al guide 2013. On
he basis o in e iews made wi h human esou ces pe sonnel, chie enginee s,
o ganiza ional expe s, and economis s, hey ad ise he ollowing o u u e
employees:
– Keep ebuilding you sel . Skills and knowledge appealing o he labo ma ke
change con inually. Occupa ions which a e he mos popula nowadays had
no exis ed 10 yea s ago. The le el o gene al quali ica ion is becoming highe
globally, which means ha i is no enough o ha e jus one deg ee. To be
success ul, you ha e o ac acco ding o he philosophy o con inuous lea ning.
Tha ’s wha li e is abou !
– Lea n sel -ma ke ing!
– Keep sea ching o some hing be e —go om one p ojec o job o ano he !
The wo kplace o he u u e is no abou se ling in one job because i is sa e
o easy. Those who achie e success in hei new en i onmen should keep
looking o new possibili ies which may p o ide a be e chance o ewa d,
de elopmen , and challenge (The Nex Gene a ion Wo king Li e—A su i al
Guide 2013).
1 See in mo e de ail: h p:// as u u e.com/
2 See in mo e de ail: h p://www.e icsson.com/ hinkingahead/ne wo ked_socie y
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DOKTORI MŰHELYEKBŐL
These s udies— ela ing o he endencies p esen ed in he p e ious chap e —
p edic a labo o ce en i onmen which is much mo e lexible han he p esen one
and, in which, opinions and expec a ions abou wo k also change e en i , o he ime
being, no as adically as an Ame ican u u ologis o esees i : “You migh be d i ing
Ube pa o he day, en ing ou you spa e bed oom on Ai bnb a li le bi , en ing ou
space in you close as s o age o Amazon, doing deli e y o Amazon o housing he
d one ha does deli e y o Amazon” (Rohi 2015).
Consequen ly, he h ee p io i ies o he “Eu ope 2020 S a egy” a e in elligen
g ow h (based on knowledge and inno a ion), sus ainabili y, and social cohesion.
One o he mos impo an means o achie e hese goals is aising he quali ica ion
le el o he Eu opean popula ion. As a esul , i will be possible o achie e a leading
ole in he compe i ion wi hin knowledge-based indus ies (Adle 2011). This will
equi e lea ning new skills and compe encies, om u u e employees.
The impo ance o capi al in es men
The demand side o labo ma ke equi es conside able capi al in es men om he
pa icipan . Such an in es men is, in he i s place, pa icipa ion in educa ion and
oca ional aining, mobili y, and he sea ch o a new wo kplace. Capi al in es men
en ails expenses in mos cases: (1) expense co e ed di ec ly o paid om pocke ;
(2) unpaid sala y; (3) in he o m o psychic losses (Eh enbe g – Smi h 2003). The
ques ion wha capi al he social ac o , he s uden in highe educa ion p ope , can
in es , may a ise, as hey do no , in gene al, ha e any capi al. I is no economic
capi al ha seems o be necessa y o p epa e o he labo ma ke o he u u e.
Wha one should possess is he con e ible capi al o knowledge and connec ions
which can be ans o med, wi h conscious e o , in o economic capi al. A his poin ,
we should look a ypes o capi al since unde s anding hem can be conduci e o he
ecogni ion o he impo ance o con inuous lea ning.
Types o capi al—wi h special emphasis on social capi al
Acco ding o a classic ep esen a i e o his subjec , Bou dieu (1998), i is posi ion
ul illed in a gi en social space ha gi es ise o expec a ions and e o s owa ds
which he ac i i ies o he social ac o a e di ec ed. The basis o indi idual s a egies
is o med by hese ideas and e o s o , a he , by he sel -in e p e a ion o he
indi idual. Sel -in e p e a ion, in his con ex , means he place occupied in social
space. This place is de ined by he amoun and composi ion o he a ious economic,
cul u al and social o ms o capi al.
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Taking Bou dieu’s in e p e a ion in o conside a ion, we can de ine any hing
as economic capi al ha can be con e ed in o money; cul u al capi al ensu ing
u he success h ough he amily; and social capi al bo n om social ela ions o
a ious magni ude and in ensi y (Bou dieu 1998). Acco ding o ano he app oach,
economic capi al is de ined as ma e ial o physical capi al, and cul u al capi al as
human capi al, whe e e idence o he exis ence o capi al is p o ided by he skills
and quali ica ion o he indi idual (Coleman 1994). Simila ly o Bou dieu (1998),
Coleman (1994) men ions such exis ing ne wo ks o ela ions which a e connec ed
o acquain ances and a ious ela ions o mu ual acknowledgmen . Coleman’s
de ini ion o social capi al, howe e , o e s mo e as i also men ions esou ces based
on belonging o one g oup. These esou ces enhance he impo ance and o ce o
he social capi al in acco dance wi h he powe o no ms wi hin he g oup as well as
he s uc u al s abili y o social ela ions and in e ac ions. Social capi al is a sha ed
cha ac e is ic o he ne wo k o ela ions o people coope a ing in he sys em o
social ading (Coleman 1990). I is impo an o emphasize ha social capi al is also
p oduc i e, ha is, i makes he achie emen o o he wise seemingly una ainable
goals possible. In con as wi h o he o ms o capi al, social capi al appea s in he
s uc u e o ela ions be ween ac o s, ha is, i canno be ound ei he in he ac o s
o in he ma e ial means o p oduc ion (Coleman 1994, 1998).
Bou dieu de ines he ne wo k o ela ions as an in es men s a egy whe e, in
addi ion o he c ea ion and sus enance o unconscious social ela ions, an indi ec
p o i can also be expec ed. Lin (1999) o e s a simila de ini ion when he alks abou
in es men hoped o om p o i s inhe en in he no ion o social capi al.
In connec ion wi h social capi al, Pu nam (2004) holds he iew ha social
ela ions a e he mos impo an de e minan s o a ul illed li e. He connec s ma iage
and joining a gi en communi y o ex a income and he conside s hei absence o
incomple eness as he loss o social capi al, which can lead o c ises. Pu nam (2000),
in his amous wo k, shows playing bowling alone, as a social p ocess, and places
special emphasis on he examina ion o social capi al. He is o he opinion ha ou
ese e o capi al and ne wo k o ela ions ha e allen apa , which in luences ou
li e and ou mic o- and mac o-communi ies in a nega i e way. In o he wo ds, we
e en play bowling alone. The p ocess o social isola ion is a ec ed by wo k, he
composi ion o he amily, subu ban li e, he widesp ead use o TV and compu e ,
as well as he emancipa ion o women, e c. Ou access o social capi al—which is
communal ac i i y and pa icipa ion—is becoming mo e and mo e limi ed, which
impe ils ou ci ilian and pe sonal heal h as well. Coleman (1990) hinks posi i ely
abou access o social capi al: he inds he po en ial o in o ma ion inhe en in social
ne wo ks o ela ions an impo an componen o social capi al.
Pu nam (2004) also s a es ha in communi ies wi h less social capi al, educa ional
esul s a e lowe . I s ands close o Fukuyama’s (2000) app oach, which also holds
g owing indi idualism esponsible o he decline o mo al no ms and alues,

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especially in ela ion o he lessening o he ole o ci il socie y. Acco ding o Pu nam
(2004), social ne wo ks a e aluable, ha is, hey can se e as impo an esou ces
o indi iduals, g oups, and communi ies. He calls social capi al a ci il i ue when
he alludes o ela ions be ween indi iduals and he ne wo ks de eloping om hem,
as well as he p inciples o mu uali y ope a ing hese ne wo ks.
Acco ding o Csizmadia (2002), wo key elemen s o Pu nam’s concep o social
capi al is con idence and mu uali y, which ensu e social coope a ion o mu ual
ad an ages in almos e e y a ea o social exis ence.
Wellman e al. (2001), elying on Pu nam’s concep , di ide social capi al in o wo
componen s and supplemen hem wi h a hi d dimension:
1. Ne wo k capi al: in e ac ions be ween iends, neighbo s o colleagues which
can gi e emo ional, physical suppo o help.
2. Pa icipa ion capi al: i ep esen s he wish, capabili y and willingness o join
poli ical and olun a y o ganiza ions.
3. Commi men o communi ies: shows in e pe sonal ela ions and hei
mo i a ions, as well as he wish o belong somewhe e (Wellman 2001).
Conside ing hese a ious and o en o e lapping o supplemen a y app oaches
owa ds social capi al, we can see ha in hem, he concep o social capi al is
based on a clea and easonable line o hough s. The de ini ion o social capi al as
capi al implies he hypo hesis ha social ne wo ks can be ega ded as esou ces o
indi iduals and communi ies. Consequen ly, social capi al is a ype o esou ces ha
can be c ea ed and u ilized only h ough ne wo ks.
The u iliza ion o capi al means o Pu nam (2004) ha communi ies and socie ies
can ealize aims which could no be ealized o sus ained in a s able way, o only wi h
di icul y, wi hou social capi al. Las bu no leas , we ind i impo an o ema k
ha Pu nam iews social capi al as a con e ible ype o esou ces. Bou dieu (1998)
also uses a simila no ion.
Thus, social capi al con ibu es o he sus ainable economic and social
de elopmen o communi ies o a ious social o ganiza ional le els as well as o he
u iliza ions o hei esou ces. We a e con inced ha his is he kind o capi al o
which he wide ange o elec onic communica ional space—cybe space—such as
Facebook o Linkedin e c. no only se e e e y young pe son as li ebel s, bu i can
also be a po en ial on he labo ma ke o bo h he p esen and he u u e.
The impo ance o con inuous lea ning
In wha ollows, we would like o suppo he a gumen o con inuous lea ning
by emphasizing he necessi y o li elong lea ning based on he human capi al
in es men model. The concep o li elong lea ning is a widesp ead one. Does his
mean ha he “ci izens” o he wo ld a e no sa is ied wi h many yea s o lea ning
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and, he e o e, con inue hei s udies? This may be ue, bu wha i ac ually indica es
is ha in ou as changing and de eloping wo ld we need o ge educa ion besides
o mal schooling o in an uno ganized way in o de o keep pace wi h ou social
en i onmen . This is wha is called li e-long lea ning—as a concep —bu i s idea
and con en goes back o he 17 h cen u y, when Comenius o mula ed he idea o
li elong lea ning (c . Ha angi 2004). Mo eo e , he impo ance o sel -de elopmen
had been ecognized e en by ancien hinke s (Ha angi 2002).
I was in he 1960s ha li elong lea ning became he subjec o deba es and e en
o s udies wi h he p esen meaning and, many imes, iden i ied wi h adul educa ion
o ea ed as make-up o missed o mal educa ion. Acco dingly, a lo people
ob ained hei p ima y o seconda y school ce i ica es wi hin adul educa ion, and
sa by school desks a e inishing wo k o he day.
Nowadays, his concep is used in a wide sense: Philip H. Coombs, commissioned
by he UNICEF, s a ed o implemen school e o ms in he 1970s, and c ea ed he
h ee concep s o o mal, non- o mal and in o mal educa ion (Simon 2009).
We a e igh o hink ha he ob ious cause o con inuous lea ning lies in he
p esen pe o mance-o ien ed labo ma ke , which can accep o u n us down in an
ins an . This can depend on he exis ence o lack o quali ica ion. Apa om his—as
human capi al in es men plays an impo an ole in he labo o ce’s achie emen
o success on he ma ke (c . Eh enbe g – Smi h 2003)—we o en acqui e new skills
and compe encies o documen ed quali ica ions o ou own will by means o o mal
o in o mal educa ion.
Al e na i es on he labo ma ke - no es on a esea ch
The u u e de elopmen o he labo ma ke is de e mined, o a la ge ex en , by how
we iew i in he p esen , and by wha kind o expec a ions and ideas we ha e abou
i (Mo gan 2014). On he basis o he indings o an in e na ional su ey, we can
lea n abou he ideas o college g adua es o hei i s u u e wo kplace.
The T endence G adua e Ba ome e 20153 esea ch examines, in connec ion
wi h college g adua es, as ollows:
– Fi s wo kplace a e inishing s udies
– S uden s’ ideas o employe s
– Some impo an o ms o he media
– S eng hs and weaknesses o employe s
– Opinions on ins i u es o highe educa ion
3 This esea ch is ca ied ou in 952 ins i u es o highe educa ion o 24 Eu opean coun ies, on a
281.000-s ong model on a e age, as an online su ey; he Hunga ian model in be ween Oc obe 2014
and Feb ua y 2015 was 11.800 s ong.
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This esea ch o e s a wide ange o in o ma ion on, among o he s, he wo k
expe ience o he Hunga ian you h and o hose o o he Eu opean na ionali ies who
also s udy a ins i u es o highe educa ion; on hei command o o eign languages;
and on hei ca ee p io i ies in ela ion o hei i s place o wo k. We can also
lea n abou hei willingness o mobili y, hei expec a ions conce ning hei sala y,
and hei opinion abou he ex en o which highe educa ion is adjus ed o he
equi emen s o he labo ma ke .
1. G aph: S uden ’s wo k expe ience (%)
Sou ce: T endence G adua e Ba ome e 2015 Resea ch
The i s g aph (1) shows how wo k done besides s udying is ela ed o s udying.
On he basis o he g aph, i can be s a ed ha he Hunga ian you h ha e mo e
oppo uni ies o do wo k which is ela ed o hei ield o s udy, du ing hei college
yea s, han wha he Eu opean a e age is.4 Simila ly, olun a y wo k is also done
wi h mo e equency in ou coun y. As a as social and poli ical ac i i ies a e
conce ned, he Hunga ian you h, howe e , all sho .
Wo king besides s udying— ega dless o whe he i is paid o olun a y unpaid
wo k—p o es o be an excellen o m o capi al in es men as i con ibu es o
he s eng hening o he endencies o con inuous lea ning. Conce ning o eign
language knowledge, 50 pe cen o he in e iewed people do no speak any o eign
languages apa om Hunga ian, which can be a se ious d awback on he u u e
labo ma ke (c . Mo gan 2014).
4 When examining wo k done besides s udying a a uni e si y, Szőcs ound ha s uden wo k ela ed
o hei ield o s udy occu ed wi h low equency on he Hunga ian egional model (2013, 2014).
METSZETEK
Vol. 4 (2015) No. 4
ISSN 2063-6415
DOI 10.18392/me sz/2015/4/8
www. me sze ek.unideb.hu
154 Ando Szőcs – László Ham as: Al e na i es o how o p epa e …
DOKTORI MŰHELYEKBŐL
2. G aph: ca ee p io i ies (%)
Sou ce: T endence G adua e Ba ome e 2015 Resea ch
G aph 2 shows he g adua es’ expec a ions o wo kplace, mo e p ecisely, ha
mos o hem do no so much expec he de elopmen o gene al skills as o special
ones a e s a ing wo king immedia ely, and no a e aking pa in ainee
p og ams. Acco ding o he T edence esea ch, i is pe manen employmen , majo
co po a ions and specialis posi ion ha s and close o he ideas o he Hunga ian
you h.
3. G aph: Willingness o eloca e (%)
Sou ce: T endence G adua e Ba ome e 2015 Resea ch