Theo y_LUCA 1
Apl. P o . D . D . K. Saalbach
Geos a egy and Geopoli ics
Depa men 1
49069 Osnab ueck
The Theo y o he Las Uni e sal Common
Ances o LUCA
02 Feb ua y 2026
Summa y
This wo king pape p o ides a b ie in oduc ion o he Las Uni e sal Common Ances o LUCA
and he po en ial biosa e y implica ions. LUCA is he hypo he ical p ecu so o all mode n cells,
i.e., he A chaea, he P oka yo es and Euka yo es (which a e he common ances o o bac e ia,
animals, ungi, and plan s). LUCA’s p ope ies and ime ame o exis ence a e ele an o he
pas , i.e., he o igin o li e, bu also o he u u e, i.e., he ques ion whe he he gene a ion o
comple ely syn he ic li e could be possible which would be a majo biosa e y issue.
Cu en ly, all modi ied and syn he ic o ganisms including syn he ic i uses could only be
p oduced in al eady li ing en i onmen s (only li e can c ea e o he li e), i.e., he e is a clea
bo de be ween dead and li ing ma e ials. In his decade, he LUCA esea ch made subs an ial
p og ess by u ilizing apidly g owing genomic da abases and enhanced analysis me hods
(compu ed molecula clock o gene de elopmen combined wi h e idence om mic o ossils).
The gene ally accep ed heo y is ha li e s a ed wi h in e ac ions be ween ibonucleic acid
(RNA) and amino acids which o med complexes o eplica ion in a memb ane, i.e., a physical
bo de be ween cell and en i onmen . This is also known as ‘RNA wo ld’. La e ,
desoxy ibonucleic acid (DNA) was in eg a ed. Ea ly euka yo es in eg a ed alphap o eobac e ia
in o a pe manen symbiosis (now as mi ochond ia in animals, chlo oplas s in plan s) which
enhanced me abolism and allowed he de elopmen o mul i-cellula o ganisms. Howe e , in
Decembe 2025, a calcula ion o mu a ion a es showed ha LUCA seemed o ha e exis ed
al eady sho ly a e he c ea ion o Ea h and Moon which was caused by he collision o wo
p o o-plane s 4.5 billion yea s ago. Some esea che s ound hin s ha LUCA was al eady a
qui e complex o ganism wi h an ea ly immune sys em agains i uses. Bu as LUCA is he las
cell, no he i s one, addi ional ime mus be added o he appea ance o he i s uni e sal
common ances o FUCA. Bu when adding his, he e is e y li le o no ime le (dependen
on he mu a ion a e calcula ion) since c ea ion o Ea h and Moon.
In 2025, expe imen s on he In e na ional Space S a ion ISS showed ha A chaea, Fungi and
Bac e ia su i ed long- e m exposu e o open space. E en he space dus collec ed om he
su ace o he ISS con ained biological objec s. In addi ion, i was shown ha non-enzyma ic
syn hesis o pep ides is possible in space. A s udy om 2025 ound bac e ia in ul a-s e ile
spacec a -assembly NASA clean ooms despi e ex eme condi ions; ano he s udy ha
bac e ia and hei i uses and can adap hemsel es o mic og a i y by co-e olu ion. These
indings may indica e ha biomolecules e.g., om as e oids could ha e enabled and
accele a ed he ea ly phases o li e on he young ea h which was no p o ec ed by a hick
a mosphe e.
Expe imen s o c ea e syn he ic cells we e done wi h Mycoplasma mycoides which we e
enginee ed o minimal genome cells wi h he smalles possible genome ha allows
au onomous li e and eplica ion. These expe imen s showed ha eplica ion below a ce ain
complexi y almos comple ely s opped, i.e., no clues o a hypo he ical simpli ied cell eplica ion
in an RNA wo ld could be shown. Howe e , he apid ad ances o A i icial In elligence (AI) in
genome analysis and c ea ion o na u al and a i icial p o eins as well as he abili y o analyze
e y la ge genomic da a se s may b ing a sudden b eak h ough in he LUCA deba e, bo h o
he unde s anding o o igin o li e as well as o he comple e syn hesis o li ing cells which
could cause majo biosa e y issues ia in ec ion, con amina ion, o misuse.
Theo y_LUCA 2
Con en
1 The LUCA Theo y .................................................................................................................................. 3
1.1 In oduc ion ................................................................................................................................... 3
1.2 The Concep o LUCA ..................................................................................................................... 3
1.2.1 The Ea ly Ea h ....................................................................................................................... 3
1.2.2 FUCA and LUCA ....................................................................................................................... 4
1.2.3 Recen indings ....................................................................................................................... 5
1.3 Minimal Genome Cells .................................................................................................................. 5
1.4 Findings in Ou e Space ................................................................................................................. 6
1.5 Po en ial Impac o A i icial In elligence ...................................................................................... 7
2 Summa y ............................................................................................................................................... 7
3 Re e ences ............................................................................................................................................ 8
Theo y_LUCA 3
1 The LUCA Theo y
1.1 In oduc ion
This wo king pape p o ides a b ie in oduc ion o he Las Uni e sal Common Ances o
LUCA and he po en ial biosa e y implica ions.
The Las Uni e sal Common Ances o LUCA is he hypo he ical p ecu so o all mode n cells,
i.e., he A chaea, he P oka yo es and Euka yo es (cells wi h a nucleus which a e he common
ances o o bac e ia, animals, ungi, and plan s). LUCA’s p ope ies and ime ame o exis ence
a e ele an o he pas , i.e., he o igin o li e, bu also o he u u e, i.e., he ques ion whe he
he gene a ion o comple ely syn he ic li e could be possible. Cu en ly, all modi ied and
syn he ic o ganisms including syn he ic i uses could only be p oduced in al eady li ing
en i onmen s (only li e can c ea e o he li e), i.e., he e is a clea bo de be ween dead and
li ing ma e ials.
In his decade, he LUCA esea ch made subs an ial p og ess by u ilizing apidly g owing
genomic da abases and enhanced analysis me hods.
While a s udy om Delaye e al. in 2005 was based on 20 genomes
1
, an analysis o Tobiasson
e al. 2026 could use he p ok2311 da abase om he Na ional Cen e o Bio echnology
In o ma ion (NCBI) GenBank o 75 million p oka yo ic p o ein sequences om 47,545
comple e p oka yo ic genomes and he EukP o .3 wi h 30 million euka yo ic sequences om
993 species
2
.
O iginally, he sea ch o po en ial LUCA genes and he age calcula ion was based on he sea ch
o common genes be ween he main lineages o li e, he A chaea, P oka yo es and Euka yo es.
The s udy o Moody e al. 2024 compu ed he p obabili y ha a gi en gene was p esen by
compa ing he eme gence o genes and species (gene ees o species ees), he in luence o
common mu a ions esea che s o ge a p obabili y o each gene o be pa o LUCA
3
esul ing
in 399 gene amilies ha encoded app oxima ely 2451 o 2855 p o eins
4
.
Fu he mo e, he age was es ima ed by a molecula clock, whe e he a e a which mu a ions
occu is es ima ed and hen he numbe o mu a ions is coun ed de e mine how much ime has
passed
5
. Bu in addi ion, he clock was c oss-checked agains mic o ossils as he ea lies
po en ial aces o biological li e on Ea h o align he calcula ion wi h geological e idence
6
.
1.2 The Concep o LUCA
1.2.1 The Ea ly Ea h
The sola sys em s a ed wi h he o ma ion o dus o small p o o-plane s caused by g a i y.
App oxima ely 4,510±10 million yea s ago, wo p o o-plane s collided, he p o o-Ea h Tellus
wi h a ma s-like objec called Theia
7
, a hesis which is suppo ed by geological indings on
Ea h and Moon which we e c ea ed by he collision. Geological e idence om mine als
indica es ha he Ea h cooled down o a con inen al c us wi h oceans app oxima ely 100 o
200 million yea s la e
8
which means ha li e could be heo e ically possible hen
9
. The i s
e a, he Hadean, con inued un il 4 billion yea s ago, ollowed by he A chean.
1
Delaye e al. 2024
2
Tobiasson e al. 2026
3
Lambe 2024
4
Goldman/Bece a 2024
5
S a 2024
6
Moody e al. 2024, Neukamm 2024
7
Moody e al. 2024
8
Goldman/Bece a 2024, Lambe 2024
9
Goldman/Bece a 2024
Theo y_LUCA 4
I was a gued ha li e could no su i e he Hadean because o he hypo he ical La e Hea y
Bomba dmen (LHB) app oxima ely 3.7 o 3.9 billion yea s ago by as e oids and celes ial bodies
coming om he Tellus-Theia collision
10
. Howe e , he ime ame o he LHB is unknown.
1.2.2 FUCA and LUCA
The gene ally accep ed heo y is ha li e s a ed wi h in e ac ions be ween ibonucleic acid
(RNA) and amino acids which o med complexes o eplica ion in a memb ane, i.e., a physical
bo de be ween cell and en i onmen . This is also known as ‘RNA wo ld’.
In he 1980ies, ca aly ic p ope ies o RNA we e disco e ed which led o he hypo hesis o an
RNA wo ld
11
. In his wo ld, RNA-based enzymes ( ibozymes) s a ed o bind amino acids
which hen esul ed in he o ma ion o RNA-p o ein complexes and he abili y o eplica e.
Un il oday, all cells syn hesize p o eins wi h ibosomes (RNA-p o ein complexes) which may
indica e ha he Fi s Uni e sal Common Ances o FUCA s a ed wi h a kind o ibosome wi h
an ea ly Pep idyl T ans e ase Cen e PTC which connec s amino acids o pep ides and p o ein
chains
12
. While his likely bu hypo he ical, he e is g owing e idence ha a lease he Las
Uni e sal Common Ances o LUCA al eady had ibosomes
13
.
Some poin s mus be aken in o conside a ion:
Maybe he e was no one FUCA; LUCA may ha e eme ged by ho izon al gene ans e be ween
ea ly li e o ms
14
. Also, i unlikely ha FUCA and LUCA we e alone. LUCA was p obably pa
o a la ge ecosys em, bu is he only cell whe e he successo s su i ed un il oday, while o he
li e o ms did no .
When and how i uses eme ged is unknown. The mos plausible hypo hesis is ha i uses
eme ged as spin-o s om e y ea ly li e o ms and since hen exis in a ne e -ending co-
e olu ion wi h hei hos cells. I was specula ed ha e o i uses may hen ha e in oduced
DNA in o ea ly cells which changed he RNA wo ld in o a DNA wo ld. DNA has he
e olu iona y ad an age o a highe s abili y han RNA.
The indings o Moody e al. 2024, ha LUCA al eady seemed o ha e a CRISPR/Cas (clus e ed
egula ly in e spaced sho palind omic epea s/CRISPR-associa ed p o ein) sys em o
iden i y and emo e i al sequences, suppo s he heo y ha i uses eme ged be o e LUCA.
The LUCA genome shows he impo ance o ibosomes, i.e., nucleic acid (RNA)-p o ein
complexes which d i e me abolism and o m he link be ween genes and p o ein syn hesis.
Meanwhile i was shown ha e en oday phospho us- ich lakes exis which would be ideal o
eme gence o such cells
15
.
In 1976, he esea che Woese analyzed ibosomal subuni s and disco e ed he a chaea as
sepa a e en i y
16
. A e decades o discussion he e is meanwhile g owing e idence om
genome da abase analyses ha LUCA de eloped o ea ly bac e ia and a chaea and ha
euka yo es eme ged om he Asga d subg oup o a chaea
17
. This subg oup in eg a ed
alphap o eobac e ia in o a pe manen symbiosis (now as mi ochond ia in animals, chlo oplas s
10
Moody e al. 2024
11
P osdocimi e al. 2019
12
P osdocimi e al. 2019
13
Moody e al. 2024
14
McClellan 2013, Delaye e al. 2024
15
Uni e si y o Washing on 2019
16
P osdocimi e al. 2019
17
Tobiasson e al. 2026
Theo y_LUCA 5
in plan s)
18
which enhanced me abolism and allowed he de elopmen o mul i-cellula
o ganisms
19
.
Figu e 1 p esen s a simpli ied summa y o he cu en heo ies.
1.2.3 Recen indings
Howe e , in Decembe 2025, a calcula ion o mu a ion a es showed ha LUCA seemed o
ha e exis ed al eady sho ly a e he c ea ion o Ea h and Moon which was caused by he
collision o wo p o o-plane s 4.5 billion yea s ago.
Moody e al. 2024 es ima ed ha LUCA li ed a ound 4.2 Ga, wi h a 95% con idence in e al
om 4.09 o 4.33 Ga.
20
Fu he mo e, hey ound hin s ha LUCA was al eady a qui e complex
o ganism wi h an ea ly immune sys em agains i uses. The es ima ed size o he LUCA
genome wi h 399 gene amilies ha encoded app oxima ely 2451 o 2855 p o eins shows an
o ganism wi h a simila complexi y o bac e ia. In a new analysis om Decembe 2025, Kay e
al. calcula ed an e en ea lie ime ame o LUCA o 4.50 Ga wi h a con idence in e al om
4.43 o 4.52 Ga) which would be di ec ly a e he p o o-plane collision
21
.
Bu as LUCA is he las cell, no he i s one, addi ional ime mus be added o he appea ance
o he i s uni e sal common ances o FUCA. Bu when adding his, he e is e y li le o no
ime le (dependen on he mu a ion a e calcula ion) since c ea ion o Ea h and Moon.
1.3 Minimal Genome Cells
Expe imen s o c ea e syn he ic cells we e done wi h Mycoplasma mycoides which we e
enginee ed o minimal genome cells wi h he smalles possible genome ha allows au onomous
li e and eplica ion. Howe e , hese expe imen s showed ha eplica ion below a ce ain
complexi y almos comple ely s opped, i.e., no clues o a hypo he ical simpli ied cell eplica ion
in an RNA wo ld could be shown.
The minimal genome is he smalles possible genome ha allows au onomous li e and sel -
eplica ion. Since 2010, C aig Ven e and his eam wo ked o de elop a minimal genome cell
18
Kay e al. 2025
19
Tobiasson e al. 2026 assume ha his p ocess was suppo ed by nume ous bu spo adic ho izon al acquisi ions
o genes om o he bac e ia bo h be o e and a e endosymbiosis.
20
Moody e al. 2024, Lambe 2024 In he LUCA publica ions, i is common p ac ice o use Giga (Ga) ins ead o
billions.
21
Kay e al. 2025, Figu e 1
Theo y_LUCA 6
( he i s one was called JCVI-syn1.0 o ‘Syn hia’ wi h 901 genes)
22
. Mycoplasma was he
smalles known au onomous cell ype and hus used as model o ganism since 1984. In 2016, a
new cell, called JCVI-syn3.0, was c ea ed by eplacing he genome o Mycoplasma cap icolum
wi h he genome o Mycoplasma mycoides
23
, wi h emo al o unessen ial deoxy ibonucleic acid
(DNA). I had only 473 genes, bu s ill he unc ion o 149 genes was unknown
24
. A e i was
ound ha a sligh ly la ge genome leads o imp o ed cell g ow h, a modi ied minimal cell was
c ea ed which allowed o educe he numbe o genes wi h unknown unc ion o 30 in he yea
2019
25
. In 2021, a e e se gene ics app oach de e mined ha se en genes a e equi ed oge he
o no mal cell di ision o he minimal cell and he addi ion o hese se en genes o he new
JCVI-syn3A esul ed in a no mal mo phology while JCVI-syn3.0 was pleomo phic wi h a low
eplica ion a e
26
.
A s udy om 2024 showed ha Mycoplasma mycoides and i s de i ed ‘minimal cell’ (JCVI-
Syn3A) could exis wi h a e y simple memb ane which consis ed o a wo-componen
lipidome
27
.
These esul s do no indica e ha he RNA wo ld hypo hesis is w ong, bu ha eplica ion wi h
DNA seems o equi e a ce ain complexi y and no clue o a simpli ied eplica ion in he
hypo he ical RNA wo ld could be ound.
Despi e he esea ch on a i icial and syn he ic cells, all modi ied and syn he ic o ganisms
including syn he ic i uses could only be p oduced in al eady li ing en i onmen s (only li e
can c ea e o he li e), i.e., he e is a clea bo de be ween dead and li ing ma e ials.
1.4 Findings in Ou e Space
In 2025, expe imen s on he In e na ional Space S a ion ISS showed ha A chaea, Fungi and
Bac e ia su i ed long- e m exposu e o open space. The expe imen named "Tes " showed ha
a e wo-yea s exposu e o open space, spo e- o ming bac e ia o he species Bacillus sub ilis,
ungi o he species Au eobasidium pullulans and a chaea o he species Me hanosa cina mazei
S-6T, deposi ed on co on wool, su i ed wi h dec eased numbe s
28
. The dehyd a ion and
pa ial lyophiliza ion in he space acuum may ha e con ibu ed o su i al
29
. E en he space
dus collec ed om he su ace o he ISS con ained biological objec s
30
. “Tes ” was he i s
long- e m ull exposu e o open space while o he expe imen s ("Exposu eE", "Exposu e-R",
"Bio isk", "Tanpopo") e alua ed only pa ial aspec s o space exposu e
31
. Also, inside he ISS.
The bac e ium E. bugandensis was ound which was di e en om e es ial a ian s and was
highly esis an agains an ibio ics by an ibio ic a ge al e a ion, an ibio ic e lux, educed
pe meabili y o an ibio ics, and an ibio ic inac i a ion
32
.
In addi ion, i was shown ha non-enzyma ic syn hesis o pep ides is possible in space
33
. A
s udy om 2025 ound bac e ia in ul a-s e ile spacec a -assembly NASA clean ooms despi e
22
Wang/Zhang 2019
23
Fu he e alua ions we e done wi h Mycoplasma pulmonis, Mycoplasma pnemoniae and Mycoplasma
geni alium, e e o Glass e al. 2017
24
Danchin/Fang 2016
25
Lachance e al. 2019
26
Pelle ie e al. 2021
27
Jus ice e al. 2024
28
Deshe aya e al. 2024
29
Deshe aya e al. 2024
30
Deshe aya e al. 2024
31
Deshe aya e al. 2024
32
Caldwell 2024, Sengup a e al. 2024
33
Baum 2026, Hopkinson e al. 2026
Theo y_LUCA 7
ex eme condi ions
34
; ano he s udy ha bac e ia and hei i uses and can adap hemsel es o
mic og a i y by co-e olu ion
35
.
These indings may indica e ha biomolecules e.g., om as e oids could ha e enabled and
accele a ed he ea ly phases o li e on he young ea h which was no p o ec ed by a hick
a mosphe e.
1.5 Po en ial Impac o A i icial In elligence
Howe e , he apid ad ances o A i icial In elligence (AI) in genome analysis and c ea ion o
na u al and a i icial p o eins as well as he abili y o analyze e y la ge genomic da a se s may
b ing a sudden b eak h ough in he LUCA deba e, bo h o he unde s anding o o igin o li e
as well as o he comple e syn hesis o li ing cells.
This could cause majo sa e y issues, as hese cells may cause in ec ions o con amina e
ecosys ems. The e is also a subs an ial isk o misuse.
Al eady exis ing AI-enabled biological ools we e meanwhile upda ed like he ad anced p o ein
s uc u e analyze AlphaFold-3 and he Cha GPT-like AI sys em E o2. AlphaFold 3 can p edic
he s uc u e o complexes including p o eins, nucleic acids, small molecules, ions, and
modi ied esidues.
36
Technologies like AlphaFold could be epu posed o enginee pa hogens
37
.
E o2 was ained on 9.3 illion DNA base pai s and wo ks wi h 40 billion pa ame e s o p edic
he unc ional impac s o gene ic a ia ions om noncoding pa hogenic mu a ions o clinically
signi ican gene a ian s. In addi ion, E o2 gene a es mi ochond ial, p oka yo ic, and
euka yo ic sequences a genome scale
38
. E o2 is a s ep owa ds designing comple ely new
genomes
39
.
2 Summa y
This wo king pape p o ided a b ie in oduc ion o he Las Uni e sal Common Ances o
LUCA and he po en ial biosa e y implica ions. LUCA is he hypo he ical p ecu so o all
mode n cells, i.e., he A chaea, he P oka yo es and Euka yo es (which a e he common ances o
o bac e ia, animals, ungi, and plan s). In his decade, he LUCA esea ch made subs an ial
p og ess by u ilizing apidly g owing genomic da abases and enhanced analysis me hods.
The gene ally accep ed heo y is ha li e s a ed wi h in e ac ions be ween ibonucleic acid
(RNA) and amino acids which o med complexes o eplica ion in a memb ane, i.e., a physical
bo de be ween cell and en i onmen . This is also known as ‘RNA wo ld’. la e ,
desoxy ibonucleic acid (DNA) was in eg a ed. Ea ly euka yo es in eg a ed euka yo es
alphap o eobac e ia in o a pe manen symbiosis (mi ochond ia in animals, chlo oplas s in
plan s) which enhanced me abolism and allowed he de elopmen o mul i-cellula o ganisms.
Howe e , in Decembe 2025, a calcula ion o mu a ion a es showed ha LUCA seemed o ha e
exis ed al eady sho ly a e he c ea ion o Ea h and Moon which was caused by he collision
o wo p o o-plane s 4.5 billion yea s ago. Some esea che s ound hin s ha LUCA was al eady
a qui e complex o ganism wi h an ea ly immune sys em agains i uses.
Bu as LUCA is he las cell, no he i s one, addi ional ime mus be added o he appea ance
o he i s uni e sal common ances o FUCA. Bu when adding his, he e is e y li le o no
ime le (dependen on he mu a ion a e calcula ion) since c ea ion o Ea h and Moon.
34
Amazouz 2025, Schul z e al. 2025
35
Huss e al. 2026
36
Ab amson e al. 2024
37
Haley/Bu ell 2025
38
B ixi e al. 2025
39
Callaway 2025
Theo y_LUCA 8
In 2025, expe imen s on he In e na ional Space S a ion ISS showed ha A chaea, Fungi and
Bac e ia su i ed long- e m exposu e o open space. E en he space dus collec ed om he
su ace o he ISS con ained biological objec s. In addi ion, i was shown ha non-enzyma ic
syn hesis o A chaea pep ides is possible in space. A s udy om 2025 ound bac e ia in ul a-
s e ile spacec a -assembly NASA clean ooms despi e ex eme condi ions; ano he s udy ha
bac e ia and hei i uses and can adap hemsel es o mic og a i y by co-e olu ion. These
indings may indica e ha biomolecules e.g., om as e oids could ha e enabled and accele a ed
he ea ly phases o li e on he young ea h which was no p o ec ed by a hick a mosphe e.
Expe imen s o c ea e syn he ic cells we e done wi h Mycoplasma mycoides which we e
enginee ed o minimal genome cells wi h he smalles possible genome ha allows au onomous
li e and eplica ion. These expe imen s showed ha eplica ion below a ce ain complexi y
almos comple ely s opped, i.e., no clues o a hypo he ical simpli ied cell eplica ion in an RNA
wo ld could be shown. Howe e , he apid ad ances o A i icial In elligence (AI) in genome
analysis and c ea ion o na u al and a i icial p o eins as well as he abili y o analyze e y la ge
genomic da a se s may b ing a sudden b eak h ough in he LUCA deba e, bo h o he
unde s anding o o igin o li e as well as o he comple e syn hesis o li ing cells which could
cause majo biosa e y issues ia in ec ion, con amina ion, o misuse.
3 Re e ences
Ab amson, J. e al. (2024): Accu a e s uc u e p edic ion o biomolecula in e ac ions wi h
AlphaFold 3. Na u e, Vol 630, 13 June 2024, p.493
Amazouz, L. (2025): 26 Resilien Mic obes Found In NASA Clean ooms Spa k New Fea s
O Ma s Con amina ion. Daily Galaxy Decembe 30, 2025
Baum, S. (2026): Complex building blocks o li e o m spon aneously in space, esea ch
e eals. phys o g
B ixi, G. e al. (2025): Genome modeling and design ac oss all domains o li e wi h E o 2.
A c Ins i u e Pape 2025
Caldwell, S. (2024): Mul i-D ug Resis an Bac e ia Found on ISS Mu a ing o Become
Func ionally Dis inc – NASA Ap il 16, 2024
Callaway, E. (2025): Bigges -e e AI biology model w i es DNA on demand. Na u e 19 Feb
2025
Danchin A., Fang, G. (2016): Unknown unknowns: essen ial genes in ques o unc ion.
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