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TDG/TQ Pre-Data Predictions for the 2025 LHC Pb--Pb Campaign

Author: Rouse, Johnny
Publisher: Zenodo
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17547678
Source: https://zenodo.org/records/17547678/files/Pb_Pb_Collision_Predictions.pdf
TDG/TQ P e-Da a P edic ions o he 2025 LHC Pb–Pb
Campaign
Pa ame e -Locked Fo ecas s wi h Me hods, De ia ions, and Re e ence Geome y
Johnny Rouse (Rouse Nexus LLC)
No embe 6, 2025
Abs ac
This eco d lis s p e-da a, pa ame e - ee p edic ions om he Time-Dila ion Geome y
/ Timeless Quan a (TDG/TQ) amewo k o key Pb–Pb obse ables a ge ed by ALICE,
CMS, ATLAS, and LHCb du ing he 2025 hea y-ion campaign. Each p edic ion is accompa-
nied by i s baseline compa a o (hyd odynamics, pQCD, o clus e ing), me hod, nume ical
alue, de ia ion, and geome ic lock. No pos - un adjus men s will be made. All cons an s,
cu a u e h esholds, and scaling laws o igina e om he companion heo e ical wo k [1].
A i icial in elligence ools we e used solely o assis in documen s uc u ing, LaTeX o -
ma ing, and e e ence consis ency checks; all scien i ic easoning and de i a ions a e he
au ho ’s.
Re e ence Geome y and Co e F amewo k
All scaling laws, cu a u e h esholds, and no maliza ion cons an s used he e a e de ined in
de ail in he companion heo e ical pape :
J. Rouse, Timeless Quan a: A Th eshold Geome y o Mass, En opy, and Time
(Ve sion 3.0, 2025), Zenodo, DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.14693026.
Tha pape es ablishes he single geome ic lock:
c= 0.447 m,Θc= 1.62 ×1038 m−2, K =−1.93 ×1047,
which emain ixed o all Pb–Pb p edic ions below.
1
P edic ion Table (Baselines, Me hods, De ia ions, Lock-In)
Collab. Obse able Baseline TDG/TQ Me hod P edic ion De ia ion Lock-In
ALICE ZDC neu ons
(b < 2 m)
ZDC clus e -
ing ( ypical
abla ion
model)
Cu a u e de achmen a pa ic-
ipan –spec a o bounda y; in e -
ace g adien exceeds Θc.
+35–45%
yield s.
clus e ing
+35–45% c, σ, L
ALICE Ellip ic low
2 s. N k
Hyd o ( is-
cous, uned
η/s)
Cohe ence-b eak h eshold hal s
aniso opy g ow h beyond Θcsa -
u a ion.
15–20% be-
low hyd o o
N k >9k
−15–−20% c, σ
ALICE Pho on/π0
nea
pT∼1 GeV/c
The mal pho-
on baseline
Cu a u e- elease bump om
h eshold elaxa ion o nea -ze o
mode.
+5–8% local
enhance-
men
+5–8% c,Φ
CMS Inclusi e
had on RAA
(6–10 GeV/c)
pQCD+hyd o
baseline
Cu a u e-ampli ied a enua ion:
pa h segmen s abo e h eshold in-
c ease quenching.
0.68 ±0.03 −0.05–
−0.10
c,Φ, L
CMS Z0- agged je s pQCD inclu-
si e
Isola ed e ex exposes ull h esh-
old loss; enhanced a enua ion.
RZ-je =
0.55 ±0.04
−0.10–
−0.15
c,Φ
CMS γ- agged je s pQCD Lowe cu a u e shadowing yields
in e media e a enua ion.
Rγ-je =
0.60 ±0.05
−0.05–
−0.10
c,Φ
ATLAS Dije acopla-
na i y (30–
50%)
Hyd o+ u bulenceHigh-Ξ cu a u e s eaks b oaden
la ge-∆ϕ ails.
+10–15%
ail excess
+10–15% c, L
LHCb Fo wa d bo-
son asymme-
y (η∼2–4)
PDF+shadowing
models
Cohe ence- h eshold g adien
ac oss apidi y induces small bias.
Few-%
asymme y
(sign- ixed)
Ou side
PDF band
c,Θc
Ve i ica ion P o ocol
•Pa ame e lock: All alues de i e om cons an s ixed in [1]; no new i s o unings.
•Compa a o s: De ia ions a e ela i e o ypical hyd odynamic, pQCD, o clus e ing
models ci ed in expe imen al hea y-ion li e a u e.
•A chi al link: Co e geome y, cons an s, and de i a ions — Timeless Quan a (10.5281/zen-
odo.14693026).
Acknowledgmen s
The au ho hanks he CERN ALICE, CMS, ATLAS, and LHCb collabo a ions o hei publicly
accessible baselines and pe o mance documen a ion. A i icial in elligence ools (OpenAI GPT-
5) we e used only o LaTeX o ma ing, ci a ion alignmen , and linguis ic cla i y—ne e o
he physical de i a ions o quan i a i e o ecas s.
Re e ences
[1] J. Rouse, Timeless Quan a: A Th eshold Geome y o Mass, En opy, and Time, Zenodo
(2025), DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.14693026.
2