Geoph y sical Resear ch Letters Can GNSS Reflectometr y Detect Pr ecipitation Over Oc eans? Milad Asgarimehr 1,2 , V alery Zav orotn y 3,4 , Jens W ick er t 1,2 , and Sebastian Reich 5 1 Institute of Geodesy and Geoinformation Science , F aculty VI, T echnische Universität Berlin, Berlin, German y, 2 German Research Centr e for Geosciences GFZ, P otsdam, Germany, 3 C ooperative Institute for Research in En vironmental Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder , B oulder , CO , USA, 4 Ear th Syst em Research Laborator y , NOAA, Boulder , CO , USA, 5 Depar tment of Mathematics, University of P otsdam, Potsdam, Germany Abst ract For the first time , a rain signature in Global Navigation Sat ellite Syst em Reflec t ometr y (GNSS-R) obser vations is demonstrated . Based on the argument that the forward quasi-specular scattering relies upon sur face gra vity waves with lengths lar ger than several wav elengths of the reflected signal, a c ommonly made conclusion is that the scatter ometric GNSS-R measurements are not sensitiv e to the sur face small-scale roughness generated b y raindrops impinging on the ocean surface. On the contrary , this study presents an evidence that the bistatic radar cr oss sec tion 𝜎 0 deriv ed from T echDemoSat-1 data is r educed due to rain at weak winds , lower than ≈ 6 m/s. The decr ease is as large as ≈ 0.7 dB at the wind speed of 3 m/s due to a precipitation of 0 – 2 mm/hr . The simulations based on the recently published scattering theory provide a plausible explanation f or this phenomenon which potentially enables the GNSS-R technique to detect precipitation over oc eans at low winds. Plain Language Summar y Using Global Navigation Sat ellite Syst em (GNSS) signals , reflected off the Ear th’ s surface (GNSS Reflectometr y), is an innovative r emote sensing technique with a broad spectrum of geophy sical applications. Curr ently , recent satellit e missions, such as the U .K . T echDemoSat-1 and U .S. Cyclone Global Na vigation Satellite Sy stem (CY GNSS), pioneer GNSS Reflec tometry as a new space obser vation technology on a global scale . Despite a wide variety of monitored geoph ysical parameters , the reflected signals hav e never been used to obtain rain information. F or the first time, this study demonstrat es a signature in the r eceived sig nals, due to the modified ocean surface waves b y rain splashes, enabling the technique to detect precipitation o ver oceans induced b y weak winds. A plausible ph ysical explanation for this phenomenon is pr ovided based on the rec ent scattering theor y . This study can ser ve as a starting point for dev eloping a new GNSS Reflectometr y application, rain detection over oceans , which might be also implemented f or future low-cost GNSS remote sensing missions . The presented findings also pr ovide a better ph ysical understanding of L band forward scattering mechanism which is directly relevant to the main objective of the currently operational GNSS Reflectometr y satellite missions . 1. Introduction Over the last two decades, there has been a r apidly growing int erest in the use of Global Navigation Satellit e Syst em (GNSS) signals r eflection from the Ear th’ s surface to monitor a variety of geophysical parameters (see, e.g ., Jin et al., 2014; Zavorotn y et al., 2014). Despite a wide variety of GNSS Reflec t ometr y (GNSS-R) applications for Earth ′ s systems monitoring , the reflected signals hav e been hardly consider ed as a potential rain indicator due to lack of both experimental evidence and theor etical substantiation of such a phenomenon. Indeed, it is commonly assumed that GNSS is an all-w eather system due to the fact that frequencies f or the GNSS signals are chosen in the L band , so they would not suffer notic eable attenuation by clouds or typical precipitation, and as a result, they are not sensitiv e to rain. However , the sensitivity to rain might not be limited only to rain attenuation caused by sig nal absorption in drops and accompan ying scattering. Other signal propagation effects may be in volved . F or example, Cardellach et al . (2015) recently pr oposed to use a depolarization effect induced by the flattening of the hea v y precipitation dr ops to detect heavy rains. The sur face eff ec ts of precipitation on micr owav e wind scatterometr y hav e been k no wn already f or several decades, and they ar e well documented (Braun et al ., 2002; C avaleri et al ., 2015; Contreras & P lant, 2006; Contr eras et al., 2003; Craeye et al ., 1997; 1999; Hansen, 1986; Hwang, 2012; Melsheimer et al., 1998; 2001; Milliff et al., 2004; Moore et al., 1979; Nie & Long , 2007; Portabella et al., 2012; Sobiesk i et al., 1999; W eissman RESEARCH LET TER 10.1029/2018GL079708 Key Poi nts : • F irst evidence of rain signature in GNSS Reflectometr y observations enabling the technique to det ect rain over oceans induc ed by weak winds • A novel ph ysical explanation of L-band forward scattering by small-scale ocean surface waves generated by raindr op splashes • Reduction in the value of GNSS-R Bistatic radar cross section during rain events Corr espondence to: M. Asgarimehr , [email protected] Citation: Asgarimehr, M., Zav orotny, V ., Wickert, J., & Reich, S. (2018). Can GNSS Reflectometr y detect precipitation ov er oceans? Geophysical Resear ch Letters , 45 , 12,585–12,592. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079708 Received 20 JUL 2018 Acc epted 1 NOV 2018 Acc epted article online 6 NOV 2018 Published online 20 NOV 2018 ©2018. The Authors. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creativ e Commons Attribution-NonCommer cial-NoDerivs License, which permits use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is pr operly cited, the use is non-commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made. ASGARIMEHR ET AL. 12 , 585 Geoph y sical Research L etters 10.1029/2018GL079708 Fi gu re 1. W ave elevation spectrum (a) at wind speed 3 m/s without rain and modified by rain (rain rate R = 10 mm/hr) along with the k ∗ for incidence angles of 0 ∘ and 60 ∘ shown with v er tical dashed and dash-dotted lines and sur face roughness Rayleigh parameter R a (b) versus wind speed f or a range of rain rates and f or three incidence angles 𝜃 inc . et al., 2002, 2012). These eff ec ts can be explained by the f ollowing impact model. Drops strike the water sur face producing splashes which, in its turn, generat e gravity-capillar y ring waves from which the micr owav e signal scatters . The additional ocean surface roughening can be described in terms of the modified wav e ele - vation spectrum. Naturally , such a roughening eff ect can be mostly noticed at low wind speeds when heights of wind-generated waves are r elatively low . With the emer gence of the GNSS bistatic radar ocean f or war d scatterometry a question has been posed: Can rain sur face eff ects have a similar impact on the GNSS reflected signals? I t is clear that this case r equires a spe - cial consideration because the mechanism of L band f or ward scatt ering significantly differs fr om microwav e backscattering implemented in traditional wind scatt erometr y . Ghavidel and Camps (2016) inv estigated a GNSS-R electromagnetic bias due to the rain and also b y swell and sea currents performing numerical sim- ulations; howev er , the rain sensitivit y of GNSS wind scatt erometr y was not addr essed in that publication. Soisuvarn et al. (2016) analyzed a limited GNSS-R data set under rain c onditions obtained during the UK T echDemoSat-1 ( TDS-1) mission. Although some spread for the signal-t o-noise-ratio (SNR) at differ ent rain rates is shown in this study , the authors draw no conclusion whether or not there is an y effect of rain on GNSS-R measurements and def er it until a substantially larger data set f or statistical analysis is available . Cur- rently , TDS-1 has provided a significantly larger data set being operational for a longer time. C onsequently , a noticeably larger number of observations, especially at higher rain rates, ar e inv estigated in this study . Fi gu re 2. BRCS 𝜎 0 versus wind speed at diff erent rain rates R (mm/hr) along with the number of obser vations and the histogram of incidence angles f or the measurements in each rain rate bin. BRCS = bistatic radar cr oss section. ASGARIMEHR ET AL. 12 , 586 Geoph y sical Research L etters 10.1029/2018GL079708 Fi gu re 3. BRCS versus wind speed at diff erent incidence angles: 0 ∘ ≤ 𝜃 inc < 5 ∘ (a), 5 ∘ ≤ 𝜃 inc < 10 ∘ (b), 10 ∘ ≤ 𝜃 inc < 15 ∘ (c), 15 ∘ ≤ 𝜃 inc < 20 ∘ (d), 20 ∘ ≤ 𝜃 inc < 25 ∘ (e), and 25 ∘ ≤ 𝜃 inc < 30 ∘ (f ). BRCS = bistatic radar cr oss section. At first glance , the GNSS reflec ted signal should not be sensitiv e to gra vity- capillar y wa ves generated by dr op splashes because of the nature of the f or ward quasi-specular scatt ering. Indeed, acc ording to the model pr e - sented by Za vorotn y and V oronovich (2000), the sur face paramet er that controls the intensity of f or ward quasi-specular scattering is the low-pass mean squar e slope, MSS LP , of the ocean sur face . I t is determined b y the par t of the wav e slope spec trum that resides at wa ve numbers smaller than k ∗ = k cos 𝜃 inc ∕ 3 , where 𝜃 inc is an incidence angle and k is the wav e number ( 2 𝜋 ∕ 𝜆 ) of the L band GNSS signal. F igure 1a demonstrates a w ave elevation spectrum (Elfouhaily et al ., 1997) induced by a wind speed of 3 m/s , together with the log Gaussian spectrum (Craeye et al., 1997) used to describe the rain-induc ed ring waves at rain rates of 10 mm/hr . As seen from this plot, the part of the spec trum affected by r ain splashes resides at wave numbers much higher than cut off number k ∗ , which is ≈ 11 rad/m for 𝜃 inc = 0 ∘ and ≈ 5.5 rad/m for 𝜃 inc = 60 ∘ . However , the type of scattering described by Zav orotn y and V oronovich (2000; also known as a strong diffuse scattering) takes plac e for rough surfaces with a high enough ( ≫ 1 ) R a yleigh parameter , ASGARIMEHR ET AL. 12 , 587 Geoph y sical Research L etters 10.1029/2018GL079708 Fi gu re 4. BRCS versus the incidence angle at diff erent wind speeds: 0 ≤ U 10 < 2 m/s (a), 2 ≤ U 10 < 4 m/s (b), 4 ≤ U 10 < 6 m/s (c), 6 ≤ U 10 < 8 m/s (d), and 8 ≤ U 10 < 10 m/s (e). BRCS = bistatic radar cross section. R a = kh cos 𝜃 inc , where h is the root-mean-squar e of sur face heights. A t such conditions, the forward bistatic scattering can be described by the geometric optics appr oximation which in volv es sur face slopes of wav es with wave numbers smaller than k ∗ as described abo ve . F or typical ocean conditions, this happens f or winds with speed U 10 > 4 – 5 m/s. F or weaker winds (and , respectively , R a ≤ 1 ) the scattering mechanism changes. Instead of quasi-specular scattering, driv en by sur face slopes, it becomes mor e like a higher-order Bragg scat- tering , driven by paramet er R a . Since R a is proportional to h , which in its turn results from integr ating the entire sur fac e elevation spec trum, it also includes the spectral inter val aff ec ted by r ain splashes. V oronovich and Zavor otny (2017) proposed a bistatic scattering model that describes such a weak diffuse scatt ering pro- viding a smooth transition to the reg ime of strong diffuse scattering . F or weak enough winds, the magnitude of the spectral peak due to wind- generat ed waves becomes c omparable to the one of the secondary peak due to the rain-generated ring waves . As a result, the r oot-mean-square of sur face heights (and , therefore , ASGARIMEHR ET AL. 12 , 588 Geoph y sical Research L etters 10.1029/2018GL079708 Fi gu re 5. BRCS 𝜎 0 versus the scattering angle f or U 10 = 3 m/s at different rain rates R . BRCS = bistatic radar cross section. the Rayleigh parameter) becomes sensitive t o the rain-generated ring waves . F igure 1b show s R a versus the wind speeds between 1.5 and 3 m/s and how it responds t o a range of rain rates at incidence angles of 0 ∘ ,3 0 ∘ , and 60 ∘ . In this study , for the first time, the sensitivity of GNSS-R obser vations to the rain splash effect, in terms of changes in the bistatic radar cross section (BRCS), is discussed. The in vestigation is conducted using both the data from TDS-1 and simulations based on the scattering model ( V oronovich & Zavor otny , 2017). Sec tion 2 briefly describes the used data, wher eas, in section 3, the rain effect on the real obser vations is demonstrated. Section 4 discusses the model-based simulations. F inally , the concluding remarks are present ed. 2. Data Description GNSS-R measurements of TDS-1 ar e analyzed in this study . The Lev el 1b data cov ering the temporal interval from June 2015 to July 2017 are used . The ice-aff ected ocean obser vations whose latitude is abov e 55 ∘ (or below − 55 ∘ ), as well as measur ements with a negative SNR ( < 0 dB), ar e omitted from the analy ses. The data ar e available to the users b y the Mea- surement of Earth-Reflec ted Radio navigation Signals By Sat ellite. F or each obser vation, BRCS 𝜎 0 is c omputed using the bistatic radar equation (Zavor otny & V oronovich, 2000) and as described by F oti et al. (2015). ERA-Interim reanalysis measur ements, based on the Integr ated F orecast System E uropean Centr e for Medium-Range Weather F orecasts (ECMWF) model , are used as the match-up data set in this study . The model winds are analyzed b y a four-dimensional variational analysis with a 12-hr analysis window . The reanaly sis assimilates data from v arious sources including satellit e and ground-based observations (Dee et al., 2011). Six-hourly data with a spatial resolution of 0.75 ∘ ar e used. F or TDS-1, 𝜎 0 was computed from the peak zone of the Doppler-delay map (DDM) corresponding to a spatial r esolution bet ween 22 and 30 km (median value 25 km) depending on the incidence angle of the specular point (see, e. g ., Unwin et al., 2016). The deriv ed TDS-1 BRCSs are collocat ed both spatially and temporally within 60 km and 30 min, and the resultant measurements are analyzed . The precipitation value of each TDS-1/ERA-Interim measur ement is obtained from 3-hourly combined L evel 3 microw ave-IR estimat es (3B42 V ersion 7) of The T ropical Rainfall Measuring M ission ( TRMM). The TRMM 3B42 product is obtained from TRMM merged with other sat ellite measurements . This data set has a 3-hr tempo- ral and 0.25 ∘ spatial resolution and co vers fr om 60 ∘ St o6 0 ∘ N (Huffman & Bolvin, 2015), which consequently meets the requir ements for the analyses in this study . However , global precipitation measurement alt erna- tively pr ovides half-hourly Lev el 3 R estimates with a higher spatial resolution of 0.1 ∘ , which can be also used for futur e studies (Huffman et al., 2015). F inally , the data collocation results in 346,091 measur ements from which 25,994 obser vations are c ollected during precipitation. T o be more specific , 20,465, 3,517, and 1,051 measurements ar e at rain rates 0 – 2, 2 – 4, and 4 – 6 mm/hr , respectively , and the rest are at higher rat es. Considering the curr ent level of retrieval unc er tainty and the spatiotemporal resolution of spac eborne GNSS-R, and the fact that this study is the first and preliminar y demonstration of rain detection feasibility using this technique , one can be satisfied with the above data sets f or rain signature analyses . Howev er , future studies might consider other phenomena aff ecting the GNSS-R measurements such as swell and wav e age by incorporating the wa ve inf ormation from wav e obser vations or models such as the National Oceanic and Atmospheric A dministration W avewatch III ® ( T olman, 2009). W e cannot exclude a possibility that some other processes ar e inv olved such as ocean surface roughening by air downdrafts ( W eissman et al., 2012). At the same time, spatial inhomogeneity of rain and wind speed in the low wind speed r egime, so-called light and variable winds, can be potentially studied , but the current spatial resolution of the GNSS-R technique is too coarse to r esolve a spatial structure of wind and precipitation. A ccor dingly , this study stays satisfied with the preliminary objec tive of sho wing the existence of rain signatur e, while future inv estigations may include the quantitative analyses of pot ential phenomena using CY GNSS measurements. 3. Rain Signatures in TDS-1 Measur ements F igure 2, demonstrates the a verage derived BRCS v ersus wind speed U 10 . The figure shows a syst ematic decrease in BRCS due to rain at winds w eaker than ≈ 6 m/s. A t wind speeds lower than 2 m/s , the differenc e ASGARIMEHR ET AL. 12 , 589 Geoph y sical Research L etters 10.1029/2018GL079708 Fi gu re 6. BRCS 𝜎 0 versus wind speed f or scattering angles of 0 ∘ (a) and 30 ∘ (b) at different rain rat es R . BRCS = bistatic radar cross section. between obtained 𝜎 0 during rain and the one derived in a rain-fr ee environment becomes g reater in siz e as the rain rate increases . The cur v es corresponding t o different r ain rates con verge each other at the wind speed of almost 6 m/s, showing no sig nificant differ ence. In Figur e 3, the data are divided into six groups of diff erent incidence angles. The BRCS in the rain-fr ee area (red) and during rain ev ents (blue) are shown v ersus the wind speed. Ac cordingly , the decrease in BRCS persists at any range of incidenc e angles. In addition, BRCS versus the incidence angle is sho wn by F igure 4 splitting the data into five g roups of wind speed sev erity . The decrease in BRCS is evident f or first t w o groups , U 10 < 2 m/s and 2 ≤ U 10 < 4 . An ar tificial upwar d trend is also observed which is due to the omission of the data with insufficient quality , which means obser vations with negative SNRs here . Acc ording to the discussed r esults in this section, the change in BRCS due to rain is significantly evident. This change is such that, as shown in F igure 2, at a wind speed of less than 2 m/s, BRCS is dr opped as large as almost 1 dB due to a precipitation of 0 – 2 mm/hr . The results demonstrate that BRCS is independent of rain at winds higher than almost 6 m/s which is shown in F igures 2 and 3 as well as 4c – 4e. The analysis is not able to r eveal how the rain eff ec t changes in siz e at differ ent incidence angles due to the existing inaccuracies . 4. Model-Based Simulations Based on the scattering model from V oronovich and Za vorotny (2017), which used the small slope appr ox- imation of the first order , the sur face eff ect of rain on L band BRCS can be expec ted only at w eak diffuse scattering . Indeed, numerical simulations using this scattering model demonstrate that there is a sensitivity of the BRCS, 𝜎 0 , to various rainfall rates f or a range of low wind speeds. In these simulations, the wav e spectrum from Elf ouhaily et al. (1997) was used f or the case of fully developed seas. Results of simulations are pr esented in F igures 5 and 6. The dependence of modeled BRCS in a nominal specular dir ection for various rainfall rates R as a function of the incidence/scattering angle at U 10 = 3 m/s is shown in F igure 5. It is seen that sensitivity of the BRCS to the sur face rain eff ec t reduc es with the scattering angle. The dependenc e of modeled BRCS in a nominal specular direction for various rainfall rates R as a function of wind speed for the incidence/scattering angles of 0 ∘ and 30 ∘ is shown in F igure 6. The thin lines at winds below 4 m/s ar e obtained using the scattering model from V oronovich and Zav orotn y (2017), whereas the thick solid lines repr esent the result valid f or the regime of strong diffuse scattering , such as in Zavorotn y and V oronovich (2000). It is seen that being accurate for high winds, these curves at winds below 4 m/s underestimat e the true 𝜎 0 dependence on wind speed. They do not show an y sensitivity to the rain rate for the entire r ange of winds as well. It should be noted that, for the case of R a ≤ 1 , together with a diffuse incoher ent component, a coher ent component emerges . Howev er , because of a strong effect of the decorrelation factor exp (− 4 R 2 a ) , the coherent component can be neglected for winds U 10 > 2 m/s acc ording to the modeling r esults presented b y Zavor otny and V oronovich (2018). They sho w that the coherent c omponent is, to some extent, sensitive t o rain, but it decays v er y fast as the Rayleigh parameter gr ows abov e 1, yielding to the incoherent component. ASGARIMEHR ET AL. 12 , 590 Geoph y sical Research L etters 10.1029/2018GL079708 5. Discussion and C onclusions A possible rain effect on TDS-1 GNSS-R data was studied. The analysis of the data demonstrat ed a significant decrease in the BRCS during rain ev ents at winds weaker than ≈ 6 m/s. At a wind speed of 3 m/s , the average decrease in the BRCS is about 0.7 dB due to pr ecipitations of 0 – 2 mm/hr . The reduction is almost 1 dB for winds weaker than 2 m/s at the same rain rates . The decrease in the BRCS persists at an y range of incidence angles; howev e r , the rain effect might var y in siz e at differ ent incidence angles which cannot be well seen due to existing noise and various uncertainties in the obser vations. The simulations qualitatively pr edict similar trends in the BRCS dependencies on wind speed and the inci- dence angle f or various rain rates in the range of low wind speeds . The sensitivity of the modeled BRCS cur ves to changes in rain rate f or the inter val of w eak winds is due the fac t that the BRCS for such wind c onditions is controlled b y the sur face Rayleigh parameter rather than by the L band lo w-pass mean square slope. Our mod- eling study predicts this phenomenon only for the low wind speeds , below 4 – 5 m/s, which ar e not that rare on the global scale since the median global wind speed is ar ound 6 m/s. A presenc e of swell probably can dimin- ish the rain effect on the BRCS, but the limitations of the numerical scheme used here did not allow us t o model the influence of swell . For wind speeds higher than 4 – 5 m/s the previous str ongly diffuse (quasi-specular) scattering model is still valid. A s expected, it does not demonstrate any sensitivity to the pr ecipitation. F rom the comparison between the measur ed and modeled BRCS it is seen that there is no exac t quanti- tative match between them. T his is mainly due to the limitations imposed by the data uncertainties and current spatiotemporal r esolution of the measurements , as well as due to existenc e of other oceanic phenom- ena affecting the retriev ed BRCS discussed in section 2. On the other hand, the model for the rain-modified spectrum is rather simplistic and is not fully validated for field conditions , so it might be subjec t t o some refinements . O v erall, the modeling results demonstrat e that the obser ved BRCS sensitivity to pr ecipitation does not contradict the physics of bistatic f or war d scattering of the GNSS signals at weak winds and , more - over , can be qualitatively explained b y the ocean sur face r oughening due to raindrop splashes . As a result, one can conclude from this study that r ain can be detected by GNSS-R obser vations at weak winds . Refer ences Braun, N., Gade, M., & Lange, P . (2002). The effect of artificial rain on wave spectra and multi-polarisation X band radar backscatter . 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