Eskande , Shaikh; Mahmud, Minhaj Uddin
Wo king Pape
Heal h e ec s o clima e change and mi iga ing e ec s o
clima e policies: E idence om Bangladesh
ADB Economics Wo king Pape Se ies, No. 756
P o ided in Coope a ion wi h:
Asian De elopmen Bank (ADB), Manila
Sugges ed Ci a ion: Eskande , Shaikh; Mahmud, Minhaj Uddin (2024) : Heal h e ec s o clima e
change and mi iga ing e ec s o clima e policies: E idence om Bangladesh, ADB Economics
Wo king Pape Se ies, No. 756, Asian De elopmen Bank (ADB), Manila,
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ADB ECONOMICS
WORKING PAPER SERIES
NO. 756
Decembe 2024
Heal h E ec s o Clima e Change and Mi iga ing E ec s o Clima e Policies
E idence om Bangladesh
This pape explo es he mi iga ing e ec s o clima e policies in add essing clima e-induced heal h
ad e si ies. I in es iga es he e ec o in u e o exposu e o ain all a ia ions on child heal h in Bangladesh,
inding nega i e e ec s on child en’s an h opome ic ou comes. I exploi s he he e ogenei y in loca ion
and iming o dis ic -le el alloca ions o clima e p ojec s unde he Bangladesh Clima e Change T us Fund
o iden i y ha some o hese ain all-induced heal h ad e si ies can be mi iga ed h ough clima e policies.
Abou he Asian De elopmen Bank
ADB is commi ed o achie ing a p ospe ous, inclusi e, esilien , and sus ainable Asia and he Paci ic,
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loans, equi y in es men s, gua an ees, g an s, and echnical assis ance.
HEALTH EFFECTS OF CLIMATE
CHANGE AND MITIGATING
EFFECTS OF CLIMATE POLICIES
EVIDENCE FROM BANGLADESH
Shaikh Eskande and Minhaj Mahmud
ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK
The ADB Economics Wo king Pape Se ies
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ADB Economics Wo king Pape Se ies
Shaikh Eskande and Minhaj Mahmud
No. 756 | Decembe 2024
Shaikh Eskande (eskande @uab.edu) is an assis an
p o esso a he School o Public Heal h, Uni e si y
o Alabama Bi mingham and a isi ing ellow a he
G an ham Resea ch Ins i u e on Clima e Change
and he En i onmen , London School o Economics
and Poli ical Science. Minhaj Mahmud (mmahmud@
adb.o g) is a senio economis a he Economic
Resea ch and De elopmen Impac Depa men ,
Asian De elopmen Bank.
Heal h E ec s o Clima e Change and Mi iga ing E ec s
o Clima e Policies: E idence om Bangladesh
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ABSTRACT
This pape explo es he mi iga ing e ec s o clima e policies in add essing clima e-induced heal h
ad e si ies. We i s in es iga e he e ec o in u e o exposu e o ain all a ia ions on child heal h
ou comes in Bangladesh and ind ha in u e o exposu e o ain all a ia ions nega i ely a ec s
child en’s an h opome ic ou comes. We hen exploi he he e ogenei y in loca ion and iming o
dis ic -le el alloca ions o clima e p ojec s unde he Bangladesh Clima e Change T us Fund o
iden i y ha some o hese ain all-induced heal h ad e si ies can be mi iga ed h ough clima e
policies. Ou indings a e obus o al e na i e empi ical speci ica ions and ha e impo an policy
implica ions.
Keywo ds: clima e change, clima e inance, heal h, ain all
JEL codes: Q54, Q58, I38
________________________
We g a e ully acknowledge excellen esea ch assis ance om Mus a a Kamal and help ul commen s and
sugges ions by he pa icipan s o ADB Economis s Fo um 2023 and Asian Economic De elopmen
Con e ence 2024.
1. In oduc ion
The e is g owing e idence sugges ing ha clima e change and ex eme wea he e en s ha e
de imen al e ec s on human heal h, li es, and li elihoods. Ex eme empe a u e, sea-le el ise,
salini y, loods, s o ms, and d ough s a e some o he mos common clima e change-induced
e en s (F umkin e al. 2008, Pa z e al. 2000). A ailable li e a u e sugges s ha some clima e
e en s ha e a di ec impac on heal hca e in as uc u e and hus indi ec consequences on
indi idual heal h. Fo example, se e al empi ical pape s ha e ound ex eme empe a u es o
p edic mo ali y (Cu ie o e al. 2002; Haja e al. 2006; Goldbe g e al. 2011; Son e al. 2016;
Rod igues, San ana, and Rocha 2019) and hospi aliza ion (Bobb e al. 2014; Schwa z, Same ,
and Pa z 2004; Son, Bell, and Lee 2014). The 2020 Lance Coun down epo (Wa s e al. 2020)
concludes ha he heal h impac s o clima e change a e wo sening o e ime wi h u he
de e io a ing clima e, and coun ies and popula ions wi h he e ogenous a ibu es expe ience
hose impac s disp opo iona ely. Simila ly, clima e e en s may educe ood p oduc ion and
hampe ood dis ibu ion o ha e he same de imen al e ec s on people’s heal h. A sys ema ic
e iew o he e idence o heal h e ec s o d ough s by S anke e al. (2013), o example, e eals
ha d ough s as a consequence o clima e change can lead o ad e se indi ec heal h ou comes
such as malnu i ion and in ec ious disease. A ecen s udy iden i ied, in e alia, ha he e can be
long- e m sus ained e ec s o clima e ex emes on he a ec ed child en including lowe heal h
s a us du ing adul hood (Eskande and Ba bie 2022).
While he li e a u e documen ing he heal h e ec s o clima e change has been g owing,
igo ous empi ical e idence ocusing on he mos ulne able coun ies such as Bangladesh is s ill
e y limi ed. Fu he mo e, he exis ing esea ch based on seconda y, high- equency da a is
limi ed o a ew de eloped economies since he da a equi ed o such esea ch is a ailable o
only hese coun ies. Fo example, a ecen s udy by Guimbeau e al. (2024) ocused on ocean
salini y and i s impac on child an h opome ic measu es in Bangladesh. Mullins and Whi e (2020)
ound ha communi y heal h cen e s in he Uni ed S a es ha e been success ul in educing he
hea - ela ed mo ali y (bu no cold) by 14.2%. Mo e ecen ly, Nyq is e al. (2023) showed ha in
Uganda, access o communi y heal hca e cen e s educed in an mo ali y amid ad e se wea he
shocks. Howe e , he e is a lack o e idence on mi iga ing he e ec s o clima e ac ions o educe
heal h ulne abili y in such a con ex , which emains a lacuna o policies.1
1 Sus ainable De elopmen Goal 13 “Clima e Ac ion” emphasizes he need o s eng hen esilience and adap i e
capaci y o clima e- ela ed ex eme e en s.
2
In his pape , we conside he po en ial mi iga ing e ec s o clima e inance on heal h
ad e si ies a ising om equen disas e exposu es such as ain all a ia ions in he con ex o
Bangladesh. Using h ee ounds o he household su ey da a om Bangladesh, we empi ically
es ima e he childhood heal h e ec s o in u e o exposu e o ain all a ia ions and he mi iga ing
e ec s o clima e policy on hese ain all-induced heal h ad e si ies. Ou esul s i s in o m ha
in u e o exposu e o ain all a ia ions signi ican ly educes exposed child en’s an h opome ic
ou comes, especially hei heigh - o -age (s un ing) and weigh - o -age (unde weigh ) z sco es.
We hen iden i y ha clima e inancing p ojec s ela ed o adap a ion and mi iga ion ha e some
mi iga ing e ec s on such ad e si ies, by imp o ing child en’s an h opome ic ou comes.
Especially o de eloping economies like Bangladesh, hese indings a e e y impo an since
bo h he public and p i a e sec o s ace epea ed budge c ises du ing and a e a disas e and
ou indings, he e o e, could a leas be gene alized o coun ies expe iencing simila si ua ions
and impac s.
While he clima e isks a e uni e sal, he adeo ha a de eloping economy like
Bangladesh aces equi es addi ional a en ion as hese ha m ul e ec s o clima e change and
disas e s a e u he heigh ened in such a con ex (In e go e nmen al Panel on Clima e Change
2012). The sca ci y, o o en absence, o isk mi iga ion o insu ance p og ams o p o ec li e,
p ope y, and ag icul u al c ops necessi a es p i a e coping s a egies by he a ec ed households.
In such cases, he poo e households se hei p ima y ocus on mee ing immedia e subsis ence
needs while expe iencing equen clima e e en s, and, he e o e, may ha e o comp omise on
hei p epa a ion o acing such u u e clima ic shocks. Clima e policies such as clima e
legisla ion, ac ion plans, and inancing mechanisms adop ed by go e nmen s owa d isk
mi iga ion and/o adap a ion could limi he ha m ul e ec s o clima e change in such a con ex .
Due o i s geog aphic loca ion and land cha ac e is ics, Bangladesh is p one o ecu en
looding and equen opical s o m e en s: 26% o he popula ion a e a ec ed by cyclones and
70% li e in lood-p one egions (Cash e al. 2014). The Bangladesh Clima e Change T us Fund
(BCCTF) is a na ional und es ablished in 2010 by he Go e nmen o Bangladesh o inance
clima e change ac i i ies in he coun y. I is suppo ed by con ibu ions om he go e nmen ,
in e na ional dono s, and p i a e sec o o ganiza ions. The BCCTF is esponsible o p o iding
inancial esou ces o a a ie y o clima e change ac i i ies in Bangladesh. BCCTF suppo ed
p ojec s such as he de elopmen o ea ly wa ning sys ems o ex eme wea he e en s, he
p omo ion o enewable ene gy sou ces, and he de elopmen o clima e- esilien in as uc u e.
We exploi he he e ogenei y in he loca ion and iming o dis ic -le el alloca ions o clima e
3
p ojec s unde he BCCTF o iden i y i ain all-induced heal h ad e si ies can be mi iga ed h ough
clima e policies.
The ou line o his pape is as ollows: Sec ion 2 desc ibes ou da a and he empi ical
s a egy and Sec ion 3 epo s he esul s o he heal h e ec s o ain all a ia ions. Sec ion 4
epo s he esul s o he mi iga ing e ec s o clima e policy. Finally, Sec ion 5 concludes he
pape .
2. Da a and Empi ical S a egy
We use h ee ounds o he Bangladesh In eg a ed Household Su ey (BIHS), 2011–2012, 2015,
and 2018–19, o he child en’s heal h ou come a iables. BIHS is a na ionally ep esen a i e u al
household su ey conduc ed by he In e na ional Food Policy Resea ch Ins i u e(IFPRI), de ails
o which can be ound in Ahmed (2013). Table 1 p o ides desc ip i e s a is ics.
Table 1: Va iable Desc ip ion and Summa y S a is ics
Va iables
Desc ip ion
Mean
SD
Minimum
Maximum
Child’s a ibu es
Males
Child’s gende : 1 i male, 0 i emale
0.511
0.500
0
1
Age
Child’s age in ( ull) mon hs
29.50
16.84
0
60
Weigh
Child’s weigh in kilog am
10.51
2.941
2.100
23.70
Heigh
Child’s heigh in cen ime e
82.92
13.01
45.10
110
Mo he ’s a ibu es
Mo he ’s age
Mo he ’s age in ( ull) yea s
27.33
5.835
16
65
Mo he ’s weigh
Mo he ’s weigh in kilog am
48.26
9.094
26.90
94.30
Mo he ’s heigh
Mo he ’s heigh in cen ime e
150.8
5.686
101.4
195.4
Decision making
Indica o o empowe men : 1 i emales a e
in ol ed in ood ela ed decisions, 0 i no
0.792
0.406
0
1
Mo he ’s schooling
Schooling indica o : 1 i he mo he has
some schooling, 0 i no
0.795
0.404
0
1
Household-le el
a ibu es
Ag icul u e
P opo ion o wo king-age household
membe s wo king in sel -employed
ag icul u e
0.136
0.163
0
0.833
Food insecu i y
Sel - epo ed measu e o ex eme po e y: 1
i he household equen ly su e s om
hunge , 0 i no .
0.0911
0.288
0
1
Child ma iage
Numbe o aged 18 o below cu en ly
ma ied, widowed, di o ced, o sepa a ed
women in he household
0.0163
0.131
0
2
Regional a ibu es
RWI
Rela i e weal h index, dis ic le el measu e
-0.00453
0.356
-0.963
1.184
C op di e si ica ion
He indahl–Hi schman index o alue o
ag icul u al p oduc ion, dis ic le el measu e
0.260
0.0381
0
0.386
Con inued on he nex page
4
Va iables
Desc ip ion
Mean
SD
Minimum
Maximum
Heal h ou comes
HAZ
Leng h/heigh - o -age (cm)
-1.572
1.430
-10.62
8.301
WAZ
Weigh - o -age (kg)
-1.436
1.123
-8.609
3.566
WHZ
Weigh - o -leng h (kg)
-0.674
1.233
-12.10
9.057
Clima e measu es
Rain all a ia ions
De ia ion o a e age in u e o ain all om
espec i e long- e m a e age le el
-3.086
35.48
-92.00
185.2
Rain all a ia ions
T1
De ia ion o a e age i s imes e ain all
om espec i e long- e m a e age le el
-2.402
54.37
-236.0
404.9
Rain all a ia ions
T2
De ia ion o a e age second imes e
ain all om espec i e long- e m a e age
le el
-3.349
54.61
-236.3
407.3
Rain all a ia ions
T3
De ia ion o a e age hi d imes e ain all
om espec i e long- e m a e age le el
-3.507
55.19
-185.9
372.3
Flood
F equency o loods in dis ic , 1990-2020: 0
Low (0-5), 1 Medium (6-11) o 2 High (12-
18)
0: 44.06%
1: 31.45%
2: 24.49%
S o m
F equency o s o ms in dis ic , 1990-2020: 0
Low (0-5), 1 Medium (6-11) o 2 High (12-
18)
0: 44.06%
1: 39.94%
2: 16.00%
Ex eme
empe a u e
F equency o ex eme empe a u e e en s in
dis ic , 1990-2020: 0 Low (0-4), 1 Medium
(5-8) o 2 High (9-12)
0: 9.82%
1: 72.92%
2: 17.26%
Clima e policy
BCCTF
Dis ic -le el alloca ion unde he BCCTF
p ojec , aka pe capi a
81.37
115.9
0
607.7
CC
BCCTF ea ed coho s: 1 i he coho is
ea ed by BCCTF clima e unds (i.e., yea s
2012-18), 0 i no (i.e., yea s 2007-11)
0.504
0.500
0
1
DD
BCCTF ea ed dis ic s: 1 i he dis ic is
ea ed by BCCTF clima e unds, 0 i no
0.850
0.357
0
1
CC2
BCCTF ea ed child: 1 i he child is in a
ea ed dis ic in ea ed yea (i.e., CC=1
and DD=1), 0 i o he wise
0.208
0.406
0
1
No. o Obs.
6,802
BCCTF = Bangladesh Clima e Change T us Fund, CC = child coho , CC2 = child coho 2, DD = dis ic
dummy, HAZ = heigh - o -age z-sco e, WAZ = weigh - o -age z-sco e, WHZ = weigh - o -leng h z-sco e.
No es: Summa y s a is ics a e o he es ima ed sample o 6,802 child en aged 0–60 mon hs whose mo he s
we e su eyed in any o he h ee ounds o he Bangladesh In eg a ed Household Su ey (BIHS) da a.
Sou ce: Au ho s’ calcula ions using he Bangladesh In eg a ed Household Su ey da ase (Ahmed 2013,
In e na ional Food Policy Resea ch Ins i u e [IFPRI] 2016, IFPRI 2020).
2.1. Child en’s Heal h Ou comes
Among o he s, he BIHS da ase epo s age, bi h mon h, bi h yea , heigh , and weigh o child en
aged 0-60 mon hs whose mo he s we e in e iewed du ing he h ee su ey ounds. Comple e
da a a e a ailable o a o al o 6,802 child en (3,475 males and 3,327 emales), who we e bo n
be ween 2007 and 2018, wi h an a e age age o 29.50 mon hs, weigh o 10.51 kilog ams (kg),
11
Following he hypo hesis 1, we a e in e es ed in he es ima ed coe icien o 𝑐𝑐𝑑𝑑𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖, and we
expec ha g ea e (smalle ) clima e isk (i.e., ain all a ia ions) dec eases (inc eases) heal h
ou comes, i.e., 𝛼𝛼�1< 0.
Hypo hesis 2 hen e e s o he e ec s o public suppo aiming a mi iga ing he ha ms o
clima e shock conside ed in he pape . We ocus on he 2010 BCCTF ha p o ides he unding
alloca ions o di e en clima e change- ela ed p ojec s in Bangladesh. We in es iga e he
mi iga ing e ec s o BCCTF on clima e-induced heal h ad e si ies desc ibed he e. Fo his
pu pose, we employ he ollowing eg ession:
ℎ𝑖𝑖𝑑𝑑𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 =𝛽𝛽0+𝛽𝛽1𝑐𝑐𝑑𝑑𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 +𝛽𝛽2𝑇𝑇𝑖𝑖+𝛽𝛽3𝐹𝐹𝑑𝑑+𝛽𝛽4𝑐𝑐𝑑𝑑𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑇𝑇𝑖𝑖+𝛽𝛽5𝑐𝑐𝑑𝑑𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝐹𝐹𝑑𝑑+𝛽𝛽6𝑇𝑇𝑖𝑖𝐹𝐹𝑑𝑑+𝛽𝛽7𝑐𝑐𝑑𝑑𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑇𝑇𝑖𝑖𝐹𝐹𝑑𝑑+𝑋𝑋𝑖𝑖𝑑𝑑𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖
′𝛿𝛿+𝜎𝜎𝑖𝑖
+𝜆𝜆𝑖𝑖+𝜌𝜌𝑟𝑟+𝜂𝜂𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 +𝜃𝜃𝑖𝑖𝑟𝑟 +𝜑𝜑𝑖𝑖𝑟𝑟 +𝜔𝜔𝑑𝑑
𝑓𝑓+𝜔𝜔𝑑𝑑
𝑠𝑠+𝜔𝜔𝑑𝑑
𝑥𝑥+𝜖𝜖𝑖𝑖𝑑𝑑𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖, (2)
whe e ℎ𝑖𝑖𝑑𝑑𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖, 𝑐𝑐𝑑𝑑𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖, 𝑋𝑋𝑖𝑖𝑑𝑑𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖
′ and he se o ixed e ec s a e as de ined o equa ion (1). 𝑇𝑇𝑖𝑖 deno es a
s agge ed measu e o clima e policy ins umen (de ined as 1 i child 𝑖𝑖 is ea ed by clima e policy
and 0 i no ), whe eas 𝐹𝐹𝑑𝑑 is a measu e o ac ual alloca ion o BCCTF unding (de ined as he
in e se hype bolic sine ans o ma ion o dis ic -le el pe -capi a BCCTF alloca ion).
The e o e,, we a e in e es ed in he es ima ed coe icien o he in e ac ion be ween 𝑐𝑐𝑑𝑑𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖,
𝑇𝑇𝑖𝑖, and 𝐹𝐹𝑑𝑑. Following hypo hesis 2, we expec ha clima e policies educe clima e-induced heal h
ad e si ies so ha 𝛽𝛽
7> 0.
The ec o o con ols 𝑋𝑋𝑖𝑖𝑑𝑑𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖
′ includes selec ed child-, mo he -, and household-le el
a ibu es ha a e iden i ied in ela ed li e a u e o ha e po en ial con ounding e ec s on he heal h
ad e si ies o ain all a ia ions and he mi iga ing e ec s o clima e policies. In all eg ession
speci ica ions, we con ol o he child’s gende (i.e., 1 i male and 0 i emale), age (in ull mon hs),
and squa ed age. Mo he -le el con ols include age (in ull yea s), weigh (in kg), and heigh (in
cm) o he mo he . We also con ol o household-le el p e alence o ood insecu i y (i.e., 1 i he
household has ecen ly encoun e ed an ex eme po e y si ua ion such as una ailabili y o ood,
0 i no ). We addi ionally con ol o egional c op di e si y and ela i e weal h index.
Equa ions (1) and (2) include a se ies o empo al and spa ial ixed e ec s o con ol o
unobse ed he e ogenei y ha migh a ise om seasonal and egional a ia ions. In pa icula ,
mon h-o -bi h ixed e ec s accoun o seasonal a ia ions, whe eas mon h- and yea -o -bi h
ixed e ec s con ol o idiosync a ic changes ha a e common ac oss su ey clus e s. AEZ ixed
e ec s con ol o he unobse ed ime-in a ian cha ac e is ics speci ic o he ag oecological
zone. In addi ion, AEZ-mon h ixed e ec s con ol o local seasonal a ia ions, AE-yea ixed
e ec s con ol o AEZ-speci ic annual pa e ns in heal h ou comes, and mon h-yea ixed e ec s
12
con ol o yea -speci ic seasonal a ia ions. Mo eo e , lood, s o m, and ex eme empe a u e
ixed e ec s con ol o dis ic -speci ic he e ogenei y in he equency o disas e s.
Con olling o abo e- ixed e ec s allows us o iden i y he causal e ec s o ain all a ia ions
on heal h ou comes and also he mi iga ing e ec s o clima e policies on ain all-induced heal h
ad e si ies (e.g., Dell e al. 2014). Pa ame e 𝛼𝛼1 in equa ion (1) allows o di e en ial e ec s o
ain all on child heal h ou come and we hypo hesize ha 𝛼𝛼�1< 0. On he o he hand, pa ame e
𝛽𝛽7 allows o di e en ial e ec s o clima e policies in educing ain all-induced child heal h
ad e si ies and we hypo hesize ha 𝛽𝛽
7> 0. We assume ha
𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐(𝜖𝜖𝑖𝑖𝑑𝑑𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖,𝑐𝑐𝑑𝑑𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖|ℛ1)= 0
𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐(𝜖𝜖𝑖𝑖𝑑𝑑𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖,𝑐𝑐𝑑𝑑𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑇𝑇𝑖𝑖𝐹𝐹𝑑𝑑|ℛ2)= 0, (3)
whe e ℛ1 and ℛ2 deno e he se o explana o y a iables in equa ions (1) and (2) espec i ely.
Ou iden i ying assump ion, he e o e, is he independence be ween he dis u bances and he
measu e o ain all a ia ions, condi ional on pe manen di e ences be ween he dis ic s o bi h
and o he con ol a iables. This implies ha he e a e no omi ed a iables ha could be
co ela ed wi h ain all a ia ions, child heal h ou comes and clima e policies. Howe e , 𝜖𝜖𝑖𝑖𝑑𝑑𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 =
𝜂𝜂𝑖𝑖𝑑𝑑𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 +𝑢𝑢𝑖𝑖, whe e 𝑢𝑢𝑖𝑖 is he whi e noise e o e m, bu 𝜂𝜂𝑖𝑖𝑑𝑑𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 may be co ela ed ac oss 𝑖𝑖 wi hin 𝑑𝑑.
We clus e he s anda d e o s a he sub-dis ic o hana le el o o e come his p oblem, which
allows o illage-le el co ela ions in he e o e ms.
We i s adop an o dina y leas squa es (OLS) me hod o es ima e equa ions (1) and (2).
Howe e , his is highly likely ha ain all a ia ions a e collinea wi h some o he ixed e ec s. To
add ess his, we also employ a double-lasso a iable selec ion s a egy o selec he ixed e ec s
(e.g., Belloni e al. 2014, Guimbeau e al. 2024). This s a egy i s eg esses he a iables o
in e es on he ull se o con ol a iables and ixed e ec s o selec a subse o con ol a iables,
and hen eg esses he ou come a iable on he a iables o in e es and selec ed con ols and
ixed e ec s in he second s ep. The double-lasso s a egy is a obus model selec ion amewo k
ha selec s a smalle subse o con ol a iables om all po en ial con ols.
3. Heal h E ec s o Rain all Va ia ions
Table 2 epo s he heal h e ec s o ain all a ia ions. Panels A and B epo OLS and
LASSO esul s, espec i ely. O e all, all models a e s a is ically signi ican , and es ima ed
coe icien s ha e expec ed signs.
13
Table 2: Heal h E ec s o Rain all Va ia ions
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
A. OLS esul s
B. LASSO esul s
Va iables
HAZ
WAZ
WHZ
HAZ
WAZ
WHZ
Rain all a ia ions
-0.0022***
-0.0018**
-0.0009
-0.0015**
-0.0014**
-0.0008
(0.0008)
(0.0007)
(0.0008)
(0.0007)
(0.0006)
(0.0007)
Males
-0.0438
0.0214
0.0084
-0.0596*
0.0056
-0.0012
(0.0373)
(0.0295)
(0.0322)
(0.0321)
(0.0255)
(0.0300)
Age
-0.0913***
-0.0394***
0.0024
-0.0912***
-0.0372***
0.0049
(0.0066)
(0.0056)
(0.0077)
(0.0073)
(0.0058)
(0.0073)
Squa ed age
0.0013***
0.0004***
-0.0001
0.0013***
0.0004***
-0.0002
(0.0001)
(0.0001)
(0.0001)
(0.0001)
(0.0001)
(0.0001)
Food insecu i y
-0.1954***
-0.1800***
-0.0782
-0.2270***
-0.1811***
-0.0541
(0.0576)
(0.0508)
(0.0567)
(0.0552)
(0.0443)
(0.0510)
Mo he ’s age
-0.0043
-0.0082***
-0.0078**
-0.0058**
-0.0085***
-0.0068***
(0.0038)
(0.0027)
(0.0030)
(0.0030)
(0.0023)
(0.0026)
Mo he ’s weigh
0.0179***
0.0267***
0.0227***
0.0178***
0.0278***
0.0245***
(0.0021)
(0.0020)
(0.0023)
(0.0020)
(0.0016)
(0.0019)
Mo he ’s heigh
0.0423***
0.0227***
-0.0050
0.0421***
0.0221***
-0.0058*
(0.0036)
(0.0028)
(0.0037)
(0.0033)
(0.0025)
(0.0031)
Cons an
-7.4281***
-5.2635***
-0.7633
(0.5501)
(0.4003)
(0.5233)
No. o Obs.
6,760
6,760
6,760
6,802
6,802
6,802
R2
0.2887
0.2860
0.1687
Chi2
680.5***
830.6***
190.6***
Bi h yea FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
Bi h mon h FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
AEZ FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
Bi h yea × Bi h
mon h FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
Bi h yea × AEZ FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
Bi h mon h × AEZ
FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
Flood FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
S o m FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
Ex eme
Tempe a u e FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
AEZ = ag o-ecological zone, FE = Fixed E ec s, HAZ = heigh - o -age z-sco e, LASSO = leas absolu e
sh inkage and selec ion Ope a o , OLS = o dina y leas squa es, WAZ = weigh - o -age z-sco e, WHZ =
weigh - o -heigh z-sco e.
No es: Robus s anda d e o s clus e ed a hana le el in pa en heses. ***, **, and * ep esen s a is ical
signi icance a 1-, 5-, and 10-pe cen le els, espec i ely. All a iables ollow hei espec i e de ini ions in
Table 1. Dependen a iables a e epo ed in column heade s. We es ima e he heal h e ec s o ain all
a ia ions using OLS (columns 1–3) and LASSO (columns 4–6) eg essions acco ding o equa ion (1),
whe e ou es ima ed coe icien o in e es is gi en by he coe icien s o he a iable “Rain all a ia ions.”
All eg essions include he ull se o ixed e ec s and con ol a iables.
Sou ce: Au ho s’ calcula ions using he Bangladesh In eg a ed Household Su ey da ase (Ahmed 2013,
In e na ional Food Policy Resea ch Ins i u e [IFPRI] 2016, IFPRI 2020).
14
We only ocus on he coe icien s o LASSO es ima es. Column (4) shows ha a one-uni
inc ease (dec ease) in in u e o ain all a ia ions leads o 0.0015-uni dec ease (inc ease) in HAZ.
Simila ly, column (5) shows ha a one-uni inc ease (dec ease) in in u e o ain all a ia ions leads
o 0.0014-uni dec ease (inc ease) in WAZ, while column (6) shows ha a one-uni inc ease
(dec ease) in in u e o ain all a ia ions leads o 0.0008-uni dec ease (inc ease) in WHZ.
We iden i y signi ican he e ogenei y among male and emale child en in e ms o HAZ: male
child en ha e lowe HAZ han emale child en. In gene al, HAZ and WAZ indices dec ease a an
inc easing a e wi h age, al hough he espec i e age coe icien s a e s a is ically insigni ican o
WHZ. As expec ed, child en om ood-insecu e households, and hose bo n o olde mo he s,
ha e lowe heal h s a us. Mo he ’s weigh has signi ican and posi i e e ec s on all he measu es
o child heal h s a us, whe eas he mo he ’s heigh a ec s HAZ and WAZ posi i ely, bu WHZ
nega i ely.
We also conduc se e al obus ness analyses. Appendix Table A1 also epo s he esul s
o bina y heal h ou come a iables whe e we de ine “s un ed” as HAZ<-2, “unde weigh ” as
WAZ<-2, and “was ed” as WHZ<-2. O e all, esul s con i m he p esence o heal h ad e si ies
om exposu e o ain all a ia ions and he e o e suppo ou main esul s in Table 2, i.e., ain all
a ia ions inc ease he p obabili y o s un ing by 0.05%, unde weigh by 0.05%, and was ed by
0.03%.
Ou esul s a e b oadly consis en wi h esul s o a speci ica ion wi h imes e ain all
a ia ions. Appendix Table A2 epo s he esul s whe e we di ide o al in u e o ain all a ia ions
o a ia ions du ing h ee imes e s sepa a ely. O e all, we iden i y ha HAZ is signi ican ly
a ec ed by he second imes e ain all a ia ions, whe eas WAZ is signi ican ly a ec ed by he
second and hi d imes e ain all a ia ions.
Conside ing he widescale use o i iga ion o ag icul u e in Bangladesh, i is possible ha
nega i e ain all a ia ions may ha e low o ze o ad e se e ec s on ag icul u al ou pu s and
he e o e on heal h ou comes. Appendix Table A3 epo s sepa a e esul s o d ough and lood
si ua ions ha a e de ined as nega i e and posi i e ain all a ia ions, i.e., 𝑐𝑐𝑑𝑑𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 < 0 and 𝑐𝑐𝑑𝑑𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 > 0,
espec i ely. As expec ed, we do no iden i y any s a is ically signi ican heal h ad e si ies om
ain all a ia ions du ing he d ough si ua ion. Howe e , ain all a ia ions du ing lood si ua ions
ha e s a is ically signi ican nega i e e ec s on heal h ou comes.
Appendix Table A4 epo s quan ile eg ession esul s. While we s ill obse e he signi ican
and nega i e e ec o ain all a ia ions on HAZ, he e a e no such ad e si ies o WAZ anymo e.
15
Toge he wi h ou main esul s and esul s o lood si ua ions, i is possible ha WAZ e ec s o
ain all a ia ions migh be mo e p o oundly el du ing hea y loods ha c ea e widesp ead ood
sca ci ies.
3.1. He e ogenous Heal h E ec s
Table 3 epo s he esul s o he he e ogenous impac , whe e we in e ac ed indica o a iables
o gende , ood insecu i y, mo he ’s heal h, and popula ion densi y wi h ain all a ia ions o
iden i y espec i e he e ogenei y.
Table 3: He e ogenous Heal h E ec s
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
A. Gende
B. Food insecu i y
Va iables
HAZ
WAZ
WHZ
Va iables
HAZ
WAZ
WHZ
Rain all a ia ions
-0.0017**
-0.0015**
-0.0008
Rain all a ia ions
-0.0014*
-0.0013**
-0.0007
(0.0008)
(0.0007)
(0.0008)
(0.0007)
(0.0006)
(0.0007)
Males
-0.0580*
0.0063
-0.0010
Food insecu i y
-0.2310***
-0.1879***
-0.0599
(0.0321)
(0.0255)
(0.0300)
(0.0554)
(0.0454)
(0.0520)
Rain all a ia ions
× Males
0.0005
0.0002
-0.0000
Rain all a ia ions ×
Food insecu i y
-0.0007
-0.0009
-0.0006
(0.0009)
(0.0007)
(0.0008)
(0.0017)
(0.0014)
(0.0016)
No. o Obs.
6,802
6,802
6,802
No. o Obs.
6,802
6,802
6,802
Se o FEs
YES
YES
YES
Se o FEs
YES
YES
YES
Con ols
YES
YES
YES
Con ols
YES
YES
YES
Chi2
682.7***
832.0***
190.7***
Chi2
680.5***
830.8***
190.7***
(7)
(8)
(9)
(10)
(11)
(12)
C. Mo he 's heal h
D. Popula ion densi y
Va iables
HAZ
WAZ
WHZ
Va iables
HAZ
WAZ
WHZ
Rain all a ia ions
-0.0009
-0.0020**
-0.0018**
Rain all a ia ions
-0.0015*
-0.0014**
-0.0010
(0.0009)
(0.0008)
(0.0009)
(0.0008)
(0.0006)
(0.0007)
Sho
-0.4663***
-0.2716***
0.0098
High densi y
0.1568***
0.1360***
0.0522
(0.0454)
(0.0367)
(0.0442)
(0.0494)
(0.0408)
(0.0465)
Rain all a ia ions
× Sho
-0.0007
0.0006
0.0011
Rain all a ia ions ×
High densi y
0.0013
0.0010
0.0007
(0.0012)
(0.0010)
(0.0011)
(0.0010)
(0.0008)
(0.0009)
Thin
-0.3116***
-0.3892***
-0.2746***
(0.0471)
(0.0377)
(0.0446)
Rain all a ia ions
× Thin
-0.0003
0.0021**
0.0031***
(0.0012)
(0.0010)
(0.0012)
Sho × Thin
0.0124
-0.0106
-0.0274
(0.0655)
(0.0526)
(0.0624)
Rain all a ia ions
× Sho × Thin
-0.0003
-0.0025*
-0.0033**
(0.0018)
(0.0015)
(0.0017)
No. o Obs.
6,802
6,802
6,802
No. o Obs.
6,802
6,802
6,802
Se o FEs
YES
YES
YES
Se o FEs
YES
YES
YES
Con ols
YES
YES
YES
Con ols
YES
YES
YES
Chi2
622.4***
673.3***
108.5***
Chi2
687.7***
823.3***
191.6***
FE = Fixed E ec , HAZ = heigh - o -age z-sco e, LASSO = Leas Absolu e Sh inkage and Selec ion
Ope a o , WAZ = weigh - o -age z-sco e, WHZ = weigh - o -leng h z-sco e.
No es: Robus s anda d e o s clus e ed a hana le el in pa en heses. ***, **, and * ep esen s a is ical
signi icance a 1-, 5-, and 10-pe cen le els, espec i ely. All a iables ollow hei espec i e de ini ions in
Table 1. Dependen a iables a e epo ed in column heade s. We explo e he he e ogenei y in he heal h
Con inued on he nex page
16
e ec s o ain all a ia ions using LASSO eg essions, whe e we ex ended equa ion (1) by in oducing
addi ional in e ac ion e ms wi h ain all a ia ions o each case in Panels A–D which p o ides ou
es ima ed coe icien o in e es . All eg essions include he ull se o ixed e ec s and con ol a iables.
Sou ce: Au ho s’ calcula ions using he BIHS da ase (Ahmed 2013, In e na ional Food Policy Resea ch
Ins i u e [IFPRI] 2016, IFPRI 2020).
Panel A epo s he e ogenei y impac on gende . While he e a e signi ican nega i e e ec s
o ain all a ia ions on HAZ and WAZ and male child en ha e signi ican ly lowe HAZ, male
child en ha ing in u e o exposu e o ain all a ia ions do no ha e any signi ican addi ional heal h
ad e si ies.
Panel B epo s he he e ogenous impac o he household’s ood insecu i y s a us. Like ou
main esul s in Table 2, hese esul s con i m ha he e a e signi ican nega i e e ec s o ain all
a ia ions on HAZ and WAZ and ood-insecu e child en ha e signi ican ly lowe HAZ and WAZ.
Howe e , we do no iden i y any exace ba ing e ec s o ood insecu i y as he es ima ed
coe icien s o he in e ac ion e m, hough nega i e, a e s a is ically insigni ican .
Panel C epo s he he e ogenous impac o he mo he ’s heal h. We measu e a mo he ’s
heal h by median heigh (i.e., 1 i below median heigh o sho , 0 i abo e median heigh ) and
median weigh (i.e., 1 i below median weigh o hin, 0 i no hin o abo e median weigh ).
In e es ingly, he esul s show ha child en bo n o sho mo he s ha e signi ican ly lowe HAZ
and WAZ, and child en bo n o hin mo he s ha e signi ican ly lowe HAZ, WAZ and WHZ. The e
a e no addi ional ad e si ies om in u e o ain all a ia ions o child en o sho o hin mo he s.
Howe e , while child en bo n o sho and hin mo he s ha e simila heal h s a us, hose who
expe ienced in u e o ain all a ia ions and bo n o sho and hin mo he s ha e signi ican ly lowe
WAZ and WHZ.
Panel D epo s he e ogenei y by dis ic -le el popula ion densi y pe squa e kilome e . I is
belie ed ha egions wi h mo e acili ies a e inhabi ed by mo e people, and because o hei
p oximi y o big u ban cen e s, hey also ecei e disas e and clima e isk educ ion in es men s
as e . Consis en wi h his na a i e, ou esul s con i m ha child en bo n in mo e densely
popula ed dis ic s ha e be e heal h s a us. Howe e , al hough posi i e, s a is ically insigni ican
coe icien s o he in e ac ion e m in o m ha high densi y does no ha e any mi iga ing e ec s
on ain all-induced heal h ad e si ies.
17
3.2. Po en ial Mechanisms o Heal h E ec s
Disas e s and clima e e en s damage ag icul u al ou pu s and he e o e c ea e ood sho ages in
a ec ed egions. In u e o exposu e o such ad e si ies he e o e could a ec he physical g ow h
and de elopmen o exposed child en. On he o he hand, weal hie egions migh ha e g ea e
adap i e capaci y o shocks and he e o e may expe ience lowe , i no ze o, ad e si ies. To
con i m hese no ions, we conside ela i e weal h index and c op di e si ica ion as po en ial
mechanisms behind ain all-induced heal h ad e si ies. Table 4 epo s he esul s whe e we
include ela i e weal h index and c op di e si ica ion as addi ional con ols o see whe he he
es ima ed esul s a y om hose in Table 2.
Table 4: Heal h Ad e si y Mechanisms
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
Weal h Index
e si ica ion
Va iables
HAZ
WAZ
WHZ
HAZ
WAZ
WHZ
Rain all a ia ions
-0.0016**
-0.0014**
-0.0008
-0.0015**
-0.0013**
-0.0008
(0.0007)
(0.0006)
(0.0007)
(0.0007)
(0.0006)
(0.0007)
RWI
0.1787***
0.1152***
0.0031
(0.0493)
(0.0384)
(0.0464)
C op di e si ica ion
-0.9222
-0.3988
0.1323
(0.5799)
(0.4754)
(0.5531)
Males
-0.0592*
0.0057
-0.0009
-0.0598*
0.0060
-0.0024
(0.0321)
(0.0256)
(0.0301)
(0.0320)
(0.0255)
(0.0300)
Age
-0.0921***
-0.0379***
0.0046
-0.0915***
-0.0375***
0.0047
(0.0073)
(0.0058)
(0.0073)
(0.0072)
(0.0058)
(0.0072)
Squa ed age
0.0013***
0.0004***
-0.0001
0.0013***
0.0004***
-0.0001
(0.0001)
(0.0001)
(0.0001)
(0.0001)
(0.0001)
(0.0001)
Food insecu i y
-0.2122***
-0.1764***
-0.0597
-0.2136***
-0.1781***
-0.0651
(0.0556)
(0.0446)
(0.0513)
(0.0555)
(0.0445)
(0.0512)
Mo he ’s age
-0.0052*
-0.0082***
-0.0069***
-0.0057*
-0.0087***
-0.0072***
(0.0030)
(0.0023)
(0.0026)
(0.0030)
(0.0023)
(0.0026)
Mo he ’s weigh
0.0173***
0.0273***
0.0242***
0.0180***
0.0278***
0.0244***
(0.0020)
(0.0016)
(0.0019)
(0.0020)
(0.0016)
(0.0019)
Mo he ’s heigh
0.0428***
0.0225***
-0.0057*
0.0422***
0.0221***
-0.0060*
(0.0033)
(0.0025)
(0.0031)
(0.0033)
(0.0025)
(0.0031)
Obse a ions
6,802
6,802
6,802
6,802
6,802
6,802
Chi2
689.4
833.2
186.3
687.9
822.8
187.8
Bi h yea FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
Bi h mon h FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
AEZ FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
Bi h yea × Bi h mon h
FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
Bi h yea × AEZ FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
Bi h mon h × AEZ FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
Flood FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
S o m FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
Ex eme Tempe a u e FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
Con inued on he nex page
18
AEZ = ag o-ecological Zone, FE = Fixed E ec s, HAZ = heigh - o -age z-sco e, LASSO = Leas Absolu e
Sh inkage and Selec ion Ope a o , RWI = ela i e weal h index, WAZ = weigh - o -age z-sco e, WHZ =
weigh - o -leng h z-sco e.
No es: Robus s anda d e o s clus e ed a hana le el in pa en heses. ***, **, and * ep esen s a is ical
signi icance a 1-, 5-, and 10-pe cen le els, espec i ely. All a iables ollow hei espec i e de ini ions in
Table 1. Dependen a iables a e epo ed in column heade s. We explo e he ole o RWI and c op
di e si ica ion as ansmission mechanisms. Using LASSO eg essions, we addi ionally include hese
a iables in ou speci ica ion in equa ion (1). Ou es ima ed coe icien o in e es is gi en by he coe icien s
o he a iable “Rain all a ia ions.” All eg essions include he ull se o ixed e ec s and con ol a iables.
Sou ce: Au ho s’ calcula ions using he Bangladesh In eg a ed Household Su ey (BIHS) da ase (Ahmed
2013, In e na ional Food Policy Resea ch Ins i u e [IFPRI] 2016, IFPRI 2020).
Panel A epo s esul s whe e we include he ela i e weal h index as an addi ional con ol
a iable. As expec ed, child en om weal hie egions ha e s a is ically signi ican ly highe HAZ
and WAZ, and highe bu insigni ican WHZ.
Panel B epo s esul s whe e we include egional c op di e si ica ion, a measu e o
ag icul u al di e si y, as an addi ional con ol a iable. Al hough s a is ically insigni ican , we
obse e nega i e ela ionships o HAZ and WAZ wi h c op di e si ica ion.
3.3. Selec ion Issues
I is possible ha he heal h ad e si ies om exposu e o in u e o ain all a ia ions a ise om
di e en sou ces o sel -selec ion bias. Fo example, male child bias, he p e alence o child
ma iage, and he mo he ’s heal h, en i lemen , and educa ion migh in luence ou es ima es in
Table 2. Fo his, we collapse da a o he hana-bi h-yea le el, calcula e measu es o hese
po en ial sou ces o selec ion bias, and hen un wo-way ixed e ec eg essions o hem on
ain all a ia ions.
Table 5: Selec ion Issues
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
Va iables
Male bias
Selec i e
e ili y
En i led
mo he
Educa ed
mo he
Child
ma iage
Rain all a ia ions
-0.0002
0.0010
-0.0002
0.0001
0.0001
(0.0003)
(0.0011)
(0.0002)
(0.0002)
(0.0002)
Cons an
0.5107***
2.6488***
0.8058***
0.8041***
0.0433***
(0.0078)
(0.0013)
(0.0056)
(0.0055)
(0.0042)
No. o Obs.
2,569
2,569
2,569
2,569
2,569
R2
0.1160
0.3971
0.2640
0.3156
0.1729
No. o hana
271
271
271
271
271
Se o FEs
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
Con ols
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
FE = Fixed E ec s, OLS = O dina y Leas Squa es.
Con inued on he nex page
19
No es: Robus s anda d e o s clus e ed a hana le el in pa en heses. ***, **, and * ep esen s a is ical
signi icance a 1-, 5-, and 10-pe cen le els, espec i ely. All a iables ollow hei espec i e de ini ions in
Table 1. Dependen a iables a e epo ed in he column heade s. We explo e he possibili ies o di e en
selec ion issues by collapsing da a o hana-bi h-yea le el, and hen unning OLS eg essions on ain all
a ia ions. We do no include any con ol a iables o ixed e ec s.
Sou ce: Au ho s’ calcula ions using he Bangladesh In eg a ed Household Su ey da ase (Ahmed 2013,
In e na ional Food Policy Resea ch Ins i u e [IFPRI] 2016, IFPRI 2020).
Table 5 epo s he esul s whe e we explo e hese possibili ies. Fi s , i he e is a bias o
male child en, ou esul s can be biased since he e can be gende ed di e ences in ulne abili y
o wea he ex emes (e.g., A o a-Jonsson 2011, Pea se 2017). To check his possibili y, we un
a eg ession o he -bi h-yea le el a e age p opo ion o male child en on a e age ain all
a ia ions o see whe he he e is any sys ema ic gende selec ion in ou es ima ing sample.
Howe e , ou es ima ed coe icien , epo ed in column (1), is s a is ically insigni ican and
he e o e ules ou he possibili y o gende selec ion.
Nex , women may selec hei e ili y and decide no o gi e bi h du ing wea he and
economic ad e si ies. I his is he case, he e will be a signi ican ly nega i e ela ionship be ween
ain all a ia ions and incidences o bi h. To check his possibili y, we collapse da a o he hana-
bi h yea le el and coun he o al numbe o child en bo n in a pa icula yea in each locali y.
We hen use his hana-bi h yea panel o eg ess he o al numbe o child en bo n in ha yea
on exposu e o ain all a ia ions. S a is ically insigni ican esul s in column (2) con i m ha
mo he s in ou es ima ing sample did no selec hei e ili y decisions.
Columns (3) and (4) epo esul s o en i lemen (measu ed by hei pa icipa ion in he
household’s ood- ela ed decisions) and educa ion (measu ed by ha ing any schooling) o he
mo he . I is possible ha p egnan women would ecei e p io i ies when women a e in ol ed in
he household’s ood- ela ed decisions and when women a e educa ed. I his is he case, hen
he mo he ’s en i lemen and educa ion should ha e some mi iga ing e ec s on hei child’s
ain all-induced heal h ad e si ies, and we would ha e o include hem in ou main speci ica ions
as addi ional con ols. To explo e hese possibili ies, we un eg essions o hana-bi h-yea le el
a e age en i lemen and educa ion o mo he s on a e age ain all a ia ions. Es ima ed
coe icien s a e s a is ically insigni ican , and he e o e, con i m ha mo he ’s en i lemen and
educa ion do no necessa ily ha e mi iga ing e ec s in ou es ima ing sample.
Finally, ain all a ia ions migh a ec he incidence o child ma iage. The ex en o een
p egnancy and o he ela ed p oblems migh be g ea e in egions wi h g ea e incidences o child
ma iage. This migh bias ou main esul s since child en bo n o younge mo he s may be mo e
20
ulneable o clima e and wea he a iabili ies (e.g., Rylande e al. 2013). To explo e his
possibili y, we collapse da a o he hana-bi h-yea le el and coun he o al numbe o ma ied
women aged below 18 yea s. We hen use his hana-bi h-yea panel o eg ess o al numbe o
child ma iages on ain all a ia ions. S a is ically insigni ican esul s con i m ha he e is no
egional bias a ising om excessi e incidences o child ma iage in ou es ima ing sample.
4. Mi iga ing E ec s o Clima e Policy
4.1. Mi iga ing E ec s o Clima e Fund
We now in es iga e he mi iga ing e ec s o clima e policy wi h ega d o heal h ad e si ies om
in u e o exposu e o ain all a ia ions acco ding o equa ion (2). Since we use a s agge ed
ea men o he measu e o clima e policy, i is impo an o check o balancing p ope y and
pa allel ends. Fi s , Appendix Table A5 shows ha mos o he con ol a iables ha e signi ican
a ia ions ac oss bi h yea and bi h dis ic . The e o e, i is impo an o include he componen s
o he ec o 𝑋𝑋𝑖𝑖𝑑𝑑𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖
′ as con ols in all ou eg essions. Then, Appendix Table A6 shows he esul s
o p e- ea men coho s and un ea ed dis ic s. Resul s o p e- ea men coho s in Panel A
show ha he p e- ea men coho s om ea ed dis ic s wi h in u e o exposu e o ain all
a ia ions ha e s a is ically signi ican ly lowe HAZ and WAZ. Resul s a e s a is ically insigni ican
o un ea ed dis ic s (Panel B). Toge he , hese esul s imply ha o any causal impac o clima e
policies in educing ain all-induced heal h ad e si ies, es ima ed coe icien s o in e es mus be
posi i e and s a is ically signi ican .
Table 6 epo s he mi iga ing e ec s o clima e policy on heal h ad e si ies om in u e o
exposu e o ain all a ia ions o h ee an h opome y measu es acco ding o equa ion (2). Panels
A and B epo OLS and LASSO esul s, espec i ely. O e all, all models ha e o e all s a is ical
signi icance, and es ima ed coe icien s exhibi expec ed di ec ions o ela ionship wi h he
espec i e ou come a iable. Since esul s a e simila ac oss es ima ing s a egies, we only
desc ibe he coe icien s om LASSO eg essions. We also es ic ou discussion o he main
coe icien s o ou in e es .
27
Figu e A2: Bangladesh Clima e Change T us Fund Alloca ion
BCCTF = Bangladesh Clima e Change T us Fund.
Sou ce: Au ho s’ calcula ions using he BCCTF da ase .
28
Table A1: Heal h E ec s o Rain all Va ia ions—Bina y Ou come Va iables
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
A. OLS esul s
B. LASSO esul s
Va iables
S un ed
Unde weigh
Was ed
S un ed
Unde weigh
Was ed
Rain all a ia ions
0.0007**
0.0007**
0.0002
0.0005*
0.0005**
0.0003*
(0.0003)
(0.0003)
(0.0002)
(0.0003)
(0.0002)
(0.0002)
Males
0.0147
-0.0170
-0.0027
0.0201*
-0.0110
-0.0004
(0.0133)
(0.0120)
(0.0079)
(0.0113)
(0.0108)
(0.0077)
Age
0.0184***
0.0096***
-0.0019
0.0188***
0.0083***
-0.0020
(0.0022)
(0.0023)
(0.0020)
(0.0023)
(0.0023)
(0.0018)
Squa ed age
-0.0003***
-0.0001***
0.0000
-0.0003***
-0.0001**
0.0000
(0.0000)
(0.0000)
(0.0000)
(0.0000)
(0.0000)
(0.0000)
Food insecu i y
0.0573***
0.0781***
-0.0003
0.0613***
0.0714***
0.0005
(0.0220)
(0.0228)
(0.0148)
(0.0206)
(0.0206)
(0.0144)
Mo he ’s age
0.0014
0.0020*
0.0005
0.0015
0.0026***
0.0005
(0.0012)
(0.0011)
(0.0007)
(0.0010)
(0.0010)
(0.0007)
Mo he ’s weigh
-0.0059***
-0.0080***
-0.0030***
-0.0058***
-0.0086***
-0.0034***
(0.0008)
(0.0008)
(0.0005)
(0.0007)
(0.0007)
(0.0005)
Mo he ’s heigh
-0.0130***
-0.0087***
0.0003
-0.0131***
-0.0083***
0.0006
(0.0012)
(0.0013)
(0.0009)
(0.0011)
(0.0010)
(0.0008)
Cons an
2.3294***
1.7744***
0.2414*
(0.1872)
(0.1737)
(0.1314)
No. o Obs.
6,760
6,760
6,760
6,802
6,802
6,802
R2
0.2247
0.2093
0.1358
Chi2
491.1***
501.9***
75.33***
Se o FEs
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
FE = ixed e ec s, HAZ = heigh - o -age z-sco e, LASSO = Leas Absolu e Sh inkage and Selec ion
Ope a o , OLS = o dina y leas squa es, WAZ = weigh - o -age z-sco e, WHZ = weigh - o -heigh z-sco e.
No es: Robus s anda d e o s clus e ed a hana le el in pa en heses. ***, **, and * ep esen s a is ical
signi icance a 1-, 5-, and 10-pe cen le els, espec i ely. All a iables ollow hei espec i e de ini ions in
Table 1. Dependen a iables a e epo ed in he column heade s, whe e s un ed is de ined as HAZ<-2,
unde weigh as WAZ<-2, and was ed as WHZ<-2. We es ima e he heal h e ec s o ain all a ia ions using
OLS (columns 1–3) and LASSO (columns 4–6) eg essions acco ding o equa ion (1), whe e ou es ima ed
coe icien o in e es is gi en by he coe icien s o he a iable “Rain all a ia ions”. All eg essions include
he ull se o ixed e ec s and con ol a iables.
Sou ce: Au ho s’ calcula ions using he Bangladesh In eg a ed Household Su ey da ase (Ahmed 2013,
In e na ional Food Policy Resea ch Ins i u e [IFPRI] 2016; IFPRI 2020).
29
Table A2: Heal h E ec s o T imes e Rain all Va ia ions
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
OLS esul s
LASSO esul s
Va iables
HAZ
WAZ
WHZ
HAZ
WAZ
WHZ
Rain all a ia ions T1
-0.0009
-0.0002
0.0003
-0.0000
0.0002
0.0004
(0.0005)
(0.0004)
(0.0005)
(0.0004)
(0.0003)
(0.0004)
Rain all a ia ions T2
-0.0009*
-0.0007*
-0.0005
-0.0008*
-0.0007**
-0.0005
(0.0005)
(0.0004)
(0.0005)
(0.0004)
(0.0003)
(0.0004)
Rain all a ia ions T3
-0.0005
-0.0009**
-0.0007
-0.0006
-0.0008**
-0.0005
(0.0005)
(0.0004)
(0.0005)
(0.0004)
(0.0003)
(0.0004)
Males
-0.0439
0.0218
0.0090
-0.0529
0.0074
-0.0041
(0.0373)
(0.0295)
(0.0322)
(0.0322)
(0.0254)
(0.0299)
Age
-0.0913***
-0.0394***
0.0024
-0.0891***
-0.0370***
0.0048
(0.0066)
(0.0056)
(0.0077)
(0.0073)
(0.0059)
(0.0074)
Squa ed age
0.0013***
0.0004***
-0.0001
0.0012***
0.0004***
-0.0001
(0.0001)
(0.0001)
(0.0001)
(0.0001)
(0.0001)
(0.0001)
Food insecu i y
-0.1949***
-0.1811***
-0.0801
-0.2311***
-0.1849***
-0.0574
(0.0574)
(0.0509)
(0.0570)
(0.0552)
(0.0444)
(0.0512)
Mo he ’s age
-0.0043
-0.0082***
-0.0078**
-0.0058*
-0.0086***
-0.0070***
(0.0038)
(0.0027)
(0.0030)
(0.0030)
(0.0023)
(0.0026)
Mo he ’s weigh
0.0179***
0.0267***
0.0227***
0.0179***
0.0276***
0.0241***
(0.0021)
(0.0020)
(0.0023)
(0.0020)
(0.0016)
(0.0019)
Mo he ’s heigh
0.0423***
0.0227***
-0.0051
0.0421***
0.0222***
-0.0056*
(0.0036)
(0.0028)
(0.0037)
(0.0033)
(0.0025)
(0.0031)
Cons an
-7.4250***
-5.2569***
-0.7513
(0.5490)
(0.4009)
(0.5251)
No. o Obs.
6,760
6,760
6,760
6,802
6,802
6,802
R2
0.2888
0.2861
0.1691
Chi2
670.5***
817.8***
184.8***
Bi h yea FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
Bi h mon h FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
AEZ FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
Bi h yea × Bi h mon h
FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
Bi h yea × AEZ FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
Bi h mon h × AEZ FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
Flood FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
S o m FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
Ex eme Tempe a u e FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
AEZ = ag o-ecological zone, BCCTF = Bangladesh Clima e Change T us Fund, FE = ixed e ec s, HAZ =
heigh - o -age z-sco e, IHS = in e se hype bolic sine, LASSO = leas absolu e sh inkage and selec ion
ope a o , OLS = o dina y leas squa es, WAZ = weigh - o -age z-sco e, WHZ = weigh - o -leng h z-sco e.
No es: Robus s anda d e o s clus e ed a hana le el in pa en heses. ***, **, and * ep esen s a is ical
signi icance a 1-, 5-, and 10-pe cen le els, espec i ely. All a iables ollow hei espec i e de ini ions in
Table 1. Dependen a iables a e epo ed in column heade s. We es ima e he heal h e ec s o ain all
a ia ions using OLS (columns 1–3) and LASSO (columns 4–6) eg essions acco ding o equa ion (1),
whe e ou es ima ed coe icien o in e es is gi en by he coe icien s o he a iables “Rain all a ia ions
T1”, “Rain all a ia ions T2” and “Rain all a ia ions T3”. All eg essions include he ull se o ixed e ec s
and con ol a iables.
Sou ce: Au ho s’ calcula ions using he Bangladesh In eg a ed Household Su ey da ase (Ahmed 2013,
In e na ional Food Policy Resea ch Ins i u e [IFPRI] 2016; IFPRI 2020).
30
Table A3: Heal h E ec s Du ing D ough and Flood Si ua ions
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
D ough si ua ion
Flood si ua ion
Va iables
HAZ
WAZ
WHZ
HAZ
WAZ
WHZ
Rain all a ia ions
0.0011
0.0001
-0.0008
-0.0041***
-0.0017*
0.0011
(0.0016)
(0.0013)
(0.0015)
(0.0012)
(0.0010)
(0.0011)
Males
-0.0470
0.0194
0.0057
-0.0734
0.0081
0.0102
(0.0417)
(0.0336)
(0.0398)
(0.0509)
(0.0403)
(0.0471)
Age
-0.1004***
-0.0455***
0.0034
-0.0761***
-0.0250***
0.0044
(0.0088)
(0.0072)
(0.0091)
(0.0121)
(0.0091)
(0.0119)
Squa ed age
0.0014***
0.0005***
-0.0001
0.0010***
0.0002
-0.0001
(0.0001)
(0.0001)
(0.0001)
(0.0002)
(0.0001)
(0.0002)
Food insecu i y
-0.1897***
-0.1279**
-0.0118
-0.3741***
-0.3568***
-0.1975**
(0.0724)
(0.0553)
(0.0635)
(0.0873)
(0.0750)
(0.0857)
Mo he ’s age
-0.0011
-0.0030
-0.0023
-0.0099**
-0.0151***
-0.0127***
(0.0039)
(0.0031)
(0.0035)
(0.0047)
(0.0035)
(0.0040)
Mo he ’s weigh
0.0153***
0.0283***
0.0271***
0.0232***
0.0277***
0.0199***
(0.0026)
(0.0021)
(0.0025)
(0.0032)
(0.0026)
(0.0030)
Mo he ’s heigh
0.0401***
0.0191***
-0.0091**
0.0474***
0.0268***
-0.0029
(0.0044)
(0.0032)
(0.0043)
(0.0048)
(0.0040)
(0.0044)
No. o Obs.
4,109
4,109
4,109
2,693
2,693
2,693
Chi2
393.7***
489.1***
129.4***
321.3***
351.6***
66.49**
Bi h yea FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
Bi h mon h FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
AEZ FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
Bi h yea × Bi h mon h FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
Bi h yea × AEZ FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
Bi h mon h × AEZ FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
Flood FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
S o m FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
Ex eme Tempe a u e FE
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
AEZ = ag o-ecological zone, FE = ixed e ec s, HAZ = heigh - o -age z-sco e, IHS = in e se hype bolic
sine, LASSO = leas absolu e sh inkage and selec ion ope a o , OLS = o dina y leas squa es, WAZ =
weigh - o -age z-sco e, WHZ = weigh - o -heigh z-sco e.
No es: Robus s anda d e o s clus e ed a hana le el in pa en heses. ***, **, and * ep esen s a is ical
signi icance a 1-, 5-, and 10-pe cen le els, espec i ely. All a iables ollow hei espec i e de ini ions in
Table 1. Dependen a iables a e epo ed in he column heade s. We es ima e he heal h e ec s o ain all
a ia ions using LASSO eg essions acco ding o equa ion (1) o d ough and lood si ua ions ha a e
de ined as nega i e and posi i e ain all a ia ions, i.e., 𝑐𝑐𝑑𝑑𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 < 0 and 𝑐𝑐𝑑𝑑𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 > 0, espec i ely. Ou es ima ed
coe icien o in e es is gi en by he coe icien s o he a iable “Rain all a ia ions”. All eg essions include
he ull se o ixed e ec s and con ol a iables.
Sou ce: Au ho s’ calcula ions using he Bangladesh In eg a ed Household Su ey da ase (Ahmed 2013,
In e na ional Food Policy Resea ch Ins i u e [IFPRI] 2016, IFPRI 2020).
31
Table A4: Heal h E ec s o Rain all Va ia ions: Quan ile Reg essions
(1)
(2)
(3)
Va iables
HAZ
WAZ
WHZ
Rain all a ia ions
-0.0010**
0.0001
-0.0000
(0.0005)
(0.0006)
(0.0005)
Males
0.0998**
0.0000
0.0690*
(0.0418)
(0.0519)
(0.0359)
Age
-0.0146***
-0.0204***
-0.0229***
(0.0054)
(0.0052)
(0.0029)
Squa ed age
0.0001
0.0002***
0.0002***
(0.0001)
(0.0001)
(0.0000)
Food insecu i y
-0.0136
0.0138
0.0462
(0.0544)
(0.0628)
(0.0842)
Mo he ’s age
0.0019
0.0027
-0.0011
(0.0047)
(0.0029)
(0.0036)
Mo he ’s weigh
-0.0033
-0.0011
0.0015
(0.0033)
(0.0020)
(0.0024)
Mo he ’s heigh
0.0029
0.0044
-0.0001
(0.0046)
(0.0028)
(0.0036)
Cons an
1.4330**
0.9430**
1.7823***
(0.6831)
(0.4261)
(0.5297)
No. o Obs.
6,802
6,802
6,802
Se o FEs
NO
NO
NO
FE = ixed e ec s, HAZ = heigh - o -age z-sco e, WAZ = weigh - o -age z-sco e, WHZ = weigh - o -heigh
z-sco e.
No es: Robus s anda d e o s clus e ed a hana le el in pa en heses. ***, **, and * ep esen s a is ical
signi icance a 1-, 5-, and 10-pe cen le els, espec i ely. All a iables ollow hei espec i e de ini ions in
Table 1. Dependen a iables a e epo ed in he column heade s. Quan ile eg essions ollow he
speci ica ion (1) excluding he ixed e ec s. Ou es ima ed coe icien o in e es is gi en by he coe icien s
o he a iable “Rain all a ia ions”.
Sou ce: Au ho s’ calcula ions using he Bangladesh In eg a ed Household Su ey da ase (Ahmed 2013,
In e na ional Food Policy Resea ch Ins i u e [IFPRI] 2016, IFPRI 2020).
32
Table A5: Balancing P ope ies
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
(7)
CC 0
CC 0
CC 1
CC 1
Va iables
DD 0
DD 1
DD 0
DD 1
(2) – (1)
(3) – (1)
(4) – (1)
Males
0.526
(0.500)
0.496
(0.500)
0.496
(0.501)
0.525
(0.499)
-0.0299
-0.0298
-0.0006
Age
34.25
(16.93)
33.57
(17.20)
25.48
(15.37)
25.37
(15.47)
-0.6814
- 8.7756***
-8.8840***
Weigh
11.03
(2.901)
10.93
(2.965)
10.07
(2.844)
10.09
(2.869)
-0.0922
-0.952***
-0.936***
Heigh
85.56
(12.78)
84.91
(13.18)
80.89
(12.46)
80.86
(12.59)
-0.6495
-4.6717***
-4.6951***
Mo he ’s age
27.10
(5.941)
27.73
(5.973)
27.33
(5.537)
26.99
(5.707)
0.6328**
0.2304
-0.1047
Mo he ’s weigh
46.76
(8.460)
46.78
(8.490)
49.65
(9.562)
49.72
(9.416)
0.0271
2.8970***
2.9660***
Mo he ’s heigh
150.3
(5.216)
150.6
(5.886)
150.7
(5.608)
151.0
(5.577)
0.3101
0.4348
0.7184***
Decision making
0.687
(0.464)
0.722
(0.448)
0.845
(0.363)
0.871
(0.336)
0.0356*
0.1577***
0.1838***
Mo he ’s schooling
0.705
(0.456)
0.732
(0.443)
0.853
(0.355)
0.862
(0.344)
0.0268
0.1478***
0.1573***
Ag icul u e
0.201
(0.193)
0.175
(0.178)
0.0841
(0.123)
0.0950
(0.131)
-0.0259***
-0.1170***
-0.1060***
Food insecu i y
0.101
(0.301)
0.118
(0.323)
0.0714
(0.258)
0.0667
(0.250)
0.0174
-0.0293*
-0.0340***
Child ma iage
0.00549
(0.0740)
0.00530
(0.0774)
0.0294
(0.181)
0.0268
(0.166)
-0.0002
0.0239***
0.0213***
RWI
-0.0382
(0.355)
-0.00870
(0.355)
-0.0414
(0.370)
0.0116
(0.354)
0.0295*
-0.0032
0.0499***
C op di e si ica ion
0.246
(0.0355)
0.261
(0.0377)
0.249
(0.0405)
0.262
(0.0377)
0.0154
0.0034
-0.0161***
HAZ
-1.824
(1.386)
-1.820
(1.397)
-1.394
(1.280)
-1.317
(1.443)
0.0043
0.4301***
0.5065***
WAZ
-1.644
(1.100)
-1.607
(1.099)
-1.320
(1.061)
-1.252
(1.128)
0.0377
0.3242
0.3920***
WHZ
-0.742
(1.193)
-0.679
(1.196)
-0.678
(1.119)
-0.657
(1.290)
0.0631
0.0644
0.0856
No. o Obs.
546
2,828
476
2,952
BCCTF = Bangladesh Clima e Change T us Fund, HAZ = heigh - o -age z-sco e, IHS = in e se hype bolic
sine, OLS = o dina y leas squa es, RWI = ela i e weal h index, WAZ = weigh - o -age z-sco e, WHZ =
weigh - o -heigh z-sco e.
No es: Balancing p ope ies a e o he es ima ing sample o 6,802 child en aged 0–60 mon hs whose
mo he s we e su eyed in any o he h ee ounds o he Bangladesh In eg a ed Household Su ey (BIHS)
da a. CC deno es BCCTF- ea ed coho s, i.e., 1 i he coho is ea ed by BCCTF clima e unds (i.e., yea s
2012–2018), 0 i no (i.e., yea s 2007–2011), whe eas DD deno es BCCTF ea ed dis ic s, i.e., 1 i he
dis ic is ea ed by BCCTF clima e unds, 0 i no .
Sou ce: Au ho s’ calcula ions using he Bangladesh In eg a ed Household Su ey da ase (Ahmed 2013,
In e na ional Food Policy Resea ch Ins i u e [IFPRI 2016], IFPRI 2020).
33
Table A6: Pa allel T ends
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
P e- ea men coho s
Un ea ed dis ic s
Va iables
HAZ
WAZ
WHZ
HAZ
WAZ
WHZ
Rain all a ia ions
0.0019
0.0026
0.0019
0.0019
0.0026
0.0019
(0.0020)
(0.0016)
(0.0018)
(0.0020)
(0.0016)
(0.0018)
T ea ed dis ic s
-0.0237
0.0026
0.0454
(0.0829)
(0.0579)
(0.0614)
Rain all a ia ions × T ea ed
dis ic s
-0.0045**
-0.0056***
-0.0029
(0.0022)
(0.0018)
(0.0020)
T ea ed coho s
0.4217***
0.3058***
0.0491
(0.0870)
(0.0650)
(0.0615)
Rain all a ia ions × T ea ed
coho s
-0.0038
-0.0010
0.0006
(0.0027)
(0.0021)
(0.0023)
Cons an
-1.8123***
-1.6283***
-0.7310***
-1.8123***
-1.6283***
-0.7310***
(0.0758)
(0.0510)
(0.0544)
(0.0767)
(0.0516)
(0.0550)
No. o Obs.
3,374
3,374
3,374
1,022
1,022
1,022
R2
0.0026
0.0060
0.0012
0.0274
0.0258
0.0051
Se o FEs
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
Con ols
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
FE = ixed e ec s, HAZ = heigh - o -age z-sco e, WAZ = weigh - o -age z-sco e, WHZ = weigh - o -heigh
z-sco e.
No es: Robus s anda d e o s in pa en heses. ***, **, and * ep esen s a is ical signi icance a 1-, 5-, and
10-pe cen le els, espec i ely. All a iables ollow hei espec i e de ini ions in Table 1. Dependen
a iables a e epo ed in he column heade s. The es ima ed sample is es ic ed o he un ea ed
households only, he e o e p o iding a es o pa allel end assump ion.
Sou ce: Au ho s’ calcula ions using he Bangladesh In eg a ed Household Su ey da ase (Ahmed 2013,
In e na ional Food Policy Resea ch Ins i u e [IFPRI] 2016; IFPRI 2020).
34
Table A7: Mi iga ing E ec s o Clima e Policies: Bina y Ou come Va iables
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
OLS esul s
LASSO esul s
Va iables
S un ed
Unde weigh
Was ed
S un ed
Unde weigh
Was ed
Rain all a ia ions
0.0007
0.0002
-0.0001
0.0005
0.0000
0.0000
(0.0005)
(0.0005)
(0.0003)
(0.0005)
(0.0004)
(0.0003)
T ea ed child en
-0.0050
-0.0340
0.0206
-0.0097
0.0019
0.0093
(0.0740)
(0.0720)
(0.0459)
(0.0694)
(0.0623)
(0.0502)
Rain all a ia ions × T ea ed
child en
0.0011
0.0030**
0.0017
0.0014
0.0035**
0.0017
(0.0014)
(0.0013)
(0.0011)
(0.0015)
(0.0014)
(0.0011)
IHS(BCCTF)
-0.0058
-0.0060
-0.0022
-0.0044
-0.0044
-0.0017
(0.0051)
(0.0041)
(0.0028)
(0.0040)
(0.0039)
(0.0026)
Rain all a ia ions × IHS(BCCTF)
-0.0000
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0002*
0.0001
(0.0001)
(0.0001)
(0.0001)
(0.0001)
(0.0001)
(0.0001)
T ea ed child en × IHS(BCCTF)
0.0087
0.0146
0.0006
0.0074
0.0067
0.0018
(0.0160)
(0.0139)
(0.0094)
(0.0139)
(0.0125)
(0.0099)
Rain all a ia ions × T ea ed
child en × IHS(BCCTF)
-0.0002
-0.0006**
-0.0003
-0.0002
-0.0008***
-0.0003
(0.0003)
(0.0003)
(0.0002)
(0.0003)
(0.0003)
(0.0002)
Males
0.0146
-0.0169
-0.0026
0.0194*
-0.0118
-0.0010
(0.0134)
(0.0121)
(0.0079)
(0.0115)
(0.0110)
(0.0078)
Age
0.0184***
0.0098***
-0.0019
0.0189***
0.0083***
-0.0021
(0.0022)
(0.0023)
(0.0020)
(0.0023)
(0.0023)
(0.0018)
Squa ed age
-0.0003***
-0.0001***
0.0000
-0.0003***
-0.0001**
0.0000
(0.0000)
(0.0000)
(0.0000)
(0.0000)
(0.0000)
(0.0000)
Food insecu i y
0.0568**
0.0773***
-0.0008
0.0585***
0.0699***
-0.0030
(0.0220)
(0.0227)
(0.0148)
(0.0208)
(0.0209)
(0.0143)
Mo he ’s age
0.0015
0.0021*
0.0005
0.0014
0.0023**
0.0007
(0.0012)
(0.0011)
(0.0007)
(0.0010)
(0.0010)
(0.0007)
Mo he ’s weigh
-0.0059***
-0.0080***
-0.0030***
-0.0058***
-0.0083***
-0.0034***
(0.0008)
(0.0008)
(0.0005)
(0.0007)
(0.0007)
(0.0005)
Mo he ’s heigh
-0.0129***
-0.0086***
0.0003
-0.0131***
-0.0086***
0.0006
(0.0012)
(0.0013)
(0.0009)
(0.0011)
(0.0010)
(0.0008)
Cons an
2.3373***
1.7869***
0.2422*
(0.1898)
(0.1728)
(0.1305)
No. o Obs.
6,760
6,760
6,760
6,802
6,802
6,802
R2
0.2252
0.2107
0.1367
Chi2
480.7***
489.5***
76.05**
Se o FEs
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
BCCTF = Bangladesh Clima e Change T us Fund, FE = ixed e ec s, HAZ = heigh - o -age z-sco e, IHS
= in e se hype bolic sine, LASSO = leas absolu e sh inkage and selec ion ope a o , OLS = o dina y leas
squa es, WAZ = weigh - o -age z-sco e, WHZ = weigh - o -heigh z-sco e.
No es: Robus s anda d e o s clus e ed a hana le el in pa en heses. ***, **, and * ep esen s a is ical
signi icance a 1-, 5-, and 10-pe cen le els, espec i ely. All a iables ollow hei espec i e de ini ions in
Table 1. Dependen a iables a e epo ed in he column heade s, whe e s un ed is de ined as HAZ<-2,
unde weigh as WAZ<-2, and was ed as WHZ<-2. We es ima e he mi iga ing e ec s o clima e policy on
he heal h e ec s o ain all a ia ions using OLS (columns 1–3) and LASSO (columns 4–6) eg essions
acco ding o equa ion (2). Ou es ima ed coe icien s o in e es a e gi en by he coe icien s o he
in e ac ion e m “Rain all a ia ions × T ea ed child en × IHS(BCCTF)”. All eg essions include he ull se
o ixed e ec s and con ol a iables.
Sou ce: Au ho s’ calcula ions using he Bangladesh In eg a ed Household Su ey da ase (Ahmed 2013,
In e na ional Food Policy Resea ch Ins i u e [IFPRI] 2016, IFPRI 2020).
35
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