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Dynamic evolution of a hydraulic-mechanical-electric system with randomly fluctuating speed based on Chebyshev polynomial approximation method

Abstract

The research proposed in this paper focuses on the dynamic evolution of a hydraulic-mechanical-electric system under the effect of randomly fluctuating speed. The rapid growth of installed wind power capacity may potentially affect the stability of power grids, causing larger fluctuations of the generator speed to hydropower stations. In this work, a probabilistic component is associated to the generator speed of a deterministic hydraulic-mechanical-electric system providing a novel random model. This latter is analyzed to investigate the dynamic evolution of the system adopting the Chebyshev polynomial approximation method. A careful comparison of the numerical application results obtained by the deterministic and the probabilistic approaches is carried out. In addition, the influence of the fluctuation intensity (D) on the differential gain (kd) of the PID is investigated, proposing a law for kd as function of D. Finally, the operating ranges of the grid water hammer and of the elastic water hammer models are compared in order to validate the consistence of the law. The results of the study provide robust bases for the stable and safe operation of hydropower stations.

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Dynamic evolution of a hydraulic-mechanical-electric system with randomly fluctuating speed based on Chebyshev polynomial approximation method

Author: Xu, Beibei; Chen, Diyi; Caraballo Garrido, Tomás
Publisher: Springer
Year: 2018
DOI: 10.1007/s11071-018-4163-8
Source: https://idus.us.es/bitstreams/fc9e010a-683b-4b2a-875c-a368c21be554/download
Dynamic e olu ion o a hyd aulic-mechanical-elec ic sys em wi h
andomly luc ua ing speed based on Chebyshe polynomial
app oxima ion me hod
Beibei Xua, Diyi Chen*a,b, Ca aballo, Tomasc
aIns i u e o Wa e Resou ces and Hyd opowe Resea ch, No hwes A&F Uni e si y, Shaanxi
Yangling 712100, P. R. China
bKey Labo a o y o Ag icul u al Soil and Wa e Enginee ing in A id and Semia id A eas, Minis y o
Educa ion, No hwes A & F Uni e si y, Shaanxi Yangling 712100, P. R. China
cDep o. Ecuaciones Di e enciales y Análisis Numé ico, Facul ad de Ma emá icas, Uni e sidad de
Se illa, c/ Ta ia s/n, E-41012 Se illa, Spain
Co esponding au ho : Diyi Chen
Mailing Add ess: Ins i u e o Wa e Resou ces and Hyd opowe Resea ch, No hwes A&F Uni e si y, Shaanxi
Yangling 712100, China
Telephones: 086-181-6198-0277
E-mail: [email p o ec ed]
Abs ac The esea ch p oposed in his pape ocuses on he dynamic e olu ion o a
hyd aulic-mechanical-elec ic sys em unde he e ec o andomly luc ua ing speed. The apid
g ow h o ins alled wind powe capaci y may po en ially a ec he s abili y o powe g ids, causing
la ge luc ua ions o he gene a o speed o hyd opowe s a ions. In his wo k, a p obabilis ic
componen is associa ed o he gene a o speed o a de e minis ic hyd aulic-mechanical-elec ic
sys em p o iding a no el andom model. This la e is analyzed o in es iga e he dynamic e olu ion
o he sys em adop ing he Chebyshe polynomial app oxima ion me hod. A ca e ul compa ison o
he nume ical applica ion esul s ob ained by he de e minis ic and he p obabilis ic app oaches is
ca ied ou . In addi ion, he in luence o he luc ua ion in ensi y (D) on he di e en ial gain (kd) o
he PID is in es iga ed, p oposing a law o kd as unc ion o D. Finally, he ope a ing anges o he
g id wa e hamme and o he elas ic wa e hamme models a e compa ed in o de o alida e he
consis ence o he law. The esul s o he s udy p o ide obus bases o he s able and sa e ope a ion
o hyd opowe s a ions.
Key wo ds: ib a ion cha ac e is ics; hyd aulic-mechanical-elec ical sys em; andomly luc ua ing
gene a o speed; elas ic wa e hamme ; Chebyshe polynomial app oxima ion;
1. In oduc ion
O e he las decades, he hyd opowe sec o has expe ienced a apid de elopmen in China,
wi h he cons uc ions o powe s a ions in e e y co ne o he coun y, eaching an ins alled
capaci y o en hund ed million kilowa s [1-4]. Fu he mo e, acco ding o he 2014 plan ag eed by
mos in e na ional hyd opowe indus ies, he cons uc ion o new hyd opowe ins alla ions will be
p omo ed in o de o double he wo ldwide ins alled capaci y wi hin he nex hi y yea s [5, 6]. Due
o his apid expansion, he eliabili y and sa e y o such ins alla ions ha e nou ished he conce ns o
he public opinion as well as o he egula o s [7-12]. In pa icula , he
hyd aulic-mechanical-elec ical sys em is a c ucial componen which plays an essen ial ole o he
sa e y o indi idual ins alla ions and can hence a ec he s abili y o he whole elec ic powe g id.
The e o e, he analysis o he s abili y o hyd aulic-mechanical-elec ic sys ems is a high-p io i y
opic o esea ch. In spi e o his, he scien i ic li e a u e in his ield is s ill qui e limi ed. S udies
ocusing on hyd aulic-mechanical-elec ic sys ems can be oughly classi ied in wo g oups. The i s
ocuses on he g id wa e hamme heo y, aiming a es ablishing de e minis ic models o he
hyd aulic-mechanical-elec ic sys em [13-16]. This app oach is sui able o desc ibe he dynamic
e olu ion o hyd opowe s a ions wi h sho pens ocks cha ac e ized by uni o m geome y. The
wo ks belonging o he second g oup adop he elas ic wa e hamme heo y o he de ini ion o he
de e minis model [17-25]. This app oach is used o accu a ely analyze he dynamic cha ac e is ics
o hyd opowe s a ions wi h long pens ocks and allows o ake in o accoun e en ual shape changes
in he geome y o he pens ock.
In addi ion o wa e powe , enewable ene gy includes sola , wind, geo he mal o idal powe
amongs o he s [26-31]. Mo eo e , as highligh ed by he las Global Wind Ene gy Ou look, he wind
powe sec o has g own apidly o e he las decades in e ms o bo h echnological and comme cial
compe i i eness: his is expec ed o esul in an ins alled capaci y o nea ly 2 TW by 2030, supplying
be ween 16.7% and 18.8% o global elec ici y [32]. Ob iously, his end may po en ially a ec he
s abili y o powe g ids, leading o la ge andom luc ua ions o hyd o- u bine gene a o s speed
[33-36]. High-in ensi y andom luc ua ions can lead o he b eaking o he o que balance o
hyd o- u bine gene a o uni s and hence h ea en i s ope a ing s abili y. Lo s o s udies ha e ocused
on he inc easing andomness o powe g id. The e o e, he inc easing gene a ion capaci y o wind
powe ins alla ions in oduces new impo an challenges o he s able ope a ion o hyd opowe
s a ions o any size.
A ligh o his, ou wo k p oposes a no el app oach o he s abili y analysis o he
hyd aulic-mechanical-elec ic sys em wi h espec o he exis ing li e a u e. Fi s , a p obabilis ic
componen u is in eg a ed wi h he gene a o speed
w
, ob aining a no el p obabilis ic model o he
hyd aulic-mechanical-elec ic sys em. Second, by compa ing he dynamic e olu ions o he
de e minis ic and p obabilis ic app oaches, he ad an ages and d awbacks o each me hod a e
iden i ied. Thi d, a ma hema ical de ini ion o he di e en ial gain kd o he PID in unc ion o he
luc ua ion in ensi y D is p oposed. Finally, he consis ence o such de ini ion is e i ied h ough a
nume ical applica ion.
The con en o his pape is o ganized as ollows: Sec ion 2 p esen s he nonlinea p obabilis ic
model o he hyd aulic-mechanical-elec ic sys em. Nume ical simula ions along wi h de ailed
analysis o he esul s ob ained a e p esen ed in Sec ion 3. Conclusi e ema ks and discussions a e
included in Sec ion 4.
2. Nonlinea andom models o hyd aulic-mechanical-elec ic sys ems
The hyd aulic-mechanical-elec ic sys em conside ing he elas ic wa e hamme model adop ed
in his s udy is shown in Eq. (1):
12
23
3011223
''
2
''
4
4
1[ sin sin 2 ]
2
1(( ) )
s
qs d q
s
ab ddq
pid
y
xx
xx
xaxaxaxy
EV x x
V
mD
Txxx
yk kxky
T
x
dww
wddw
ww
w
SS
SSS
=
ì
ï=
ï
ï=- - - +
ï
=
ï
ï-
í=- - -
ï
ï
ï
=-+--
ï
ï
ï=-
î
(1)
De ails abou he pa ame e s in Eq. (1) can be ound in Re . [24].
Fig. 1 E olu ion in ime o gene a o speed luc ua ion
Acco ding o he na u e o he luc ua ion a ec ing he gene a o speed, wo di e en ypes can
be iden i ied: he i s e e s o a limi ed ange, o abou 49.5~50.5 /min, as shown in Fig. 1 o
alues o ime lowe han 120 s. This ype o luc ua ion is di icul o de ec om he gene a o
unning sound due o he negligibili y o he associa ed noise compa ed o ha o he ope a ing
en i onmen . The second ype e e s o luc ua ions wi hin he ange 49.5~50.5 /min, as shown in
Fig. 1 o ime alues highe han 120 s. Bo h he ypes o iden i ied luc ua ion ha e he po en ial
o b eak he dynamic balance o o ques be ween he hyd o- u bine and he gene a o . In ligh o his,
a p obabilis ic ep esen a ion o he o que caused by he speed luc ua ion is essen ial o ob ain he
s a e-space ep esen a ion o he gene a o speed. Le
Du
w
be he andom o que, hen he
gene a o speed can be w i en as:
''
2
''
1sin sin 2
2
qs d q
s
ab ddq
EV x x
V
mDDu
Txxx
wddww
SS
SSS
éù
-
=- - --
êú
êú
ëû
(2)
whe e u is he andom a iable in oduced in his s udy. I s p obabili y densi y unc ion, shown in
Fig. 2, can be desc ibed as [37]
2
21; 1.
()
0; 1.
uu
pu
u
p
ì-£
ï
=í
ï>
î
(3)
-1 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
u
p(u)
Fig. 2 The diag am o he p obabili y densi y unc ion
()pu
.
Chebyshe polynomial app oxima ion is used o simpli y he p obabilis ic model o he
hyd aulic-mechanical-elec ic sys em. Such app oxima ion can be p esen ed as:
22
0
(1)( )!
() (2)
!( 2 )!
n
k
nk
n
k
nk
Uu u
kn k
-
=
--
=
-
å
. (4)
I s ecu ence ela ion is
[ ]
11
1
() () ()
2
nnn
nU u U u U u
-+
=+
, (5)
and he app oxima ion p ope y is
12
1
1,
21()()
0,
ij
ij
uU uU udu ij
p
-
=
ì
-=
í¹
î
ò
(6)
Acco ding o he app oxima ion heo y o o hogonal polynomials and he abo e analysis, he
andom a iables o he sys em can be w i en as

( )
( )
( )
( )
( )
( )
11
0
22
0
33
0
0
0
0
44
0
(, ) () ( )
(, ) () ( )
(, ) () ( )
(, ) () ( )
(, ) () ( )
(, ) () ( )
() () ( )
N
i
i
i
N
i
i
i
N
i
i
i
N
i
i
i
N
i
i
i
N
i
i
i
N
iii
i
x u x Uu
x u x Uu
x u x Uu
u U u
u U u
y u y U u
x x Uu
dd
ww
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
ì=
ï
ï
ï=
ï
ï
ï=
ï
ï
ï
ï=
í
ï
ï
=
ï
ï
ï
=
ï
ï
ï
ï=
ï
î
å
å
å
å
å
å
å
, (7)
whe e N is he maximum numbe o Chebyshe polynomials;
( )
1
11
1
() ( ) (, ) ( )
i
i
x pux uUudu
+
-
=ò
;
( )
1
22
1
() ( ) (, ) ( )
i
i
x pux uUudu
+
-
=ò
;
( )
1
33
1
() ( ) (, ) ( )
i
i
x pux uUudu
+
-
=ò
;
1
1
() ( ) (, ) ( )
ii
pu uUudu
dd
+
-
=ò
;
1
1
() ( ) (, ) ( )
ii
pu uUudu
ww
+
-
=ò
;
1
1
() ( ) (, ) ( )
ii
y puy uUudu
+
-
=ò
;
1
44
1
() ( ) (, ) ( )
iii
x pux uUudu
+
-
=ò
.
A ligh o his, he andom s a e-space equa ions o he hyd aulic-mechanical-elec ic sys em can be
ew i en as:
( ) ( )
( ) ( )
( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( )
( )
12
00
23
00
3011223
00000
0
() ( ) () ( )
() ( ) () ( )
() ( ) () ( ) () ( ) () ( ) () ( )
() ( )
NN
ii
ii
ii
NN
ii
ii
ii
NNNNN
iiiii
iiiii
iiiii
N
i
i
i
dx Uu x Uu
d
dx Uu x Uu
d
dx Uu a x Uua x Uua x Uu y Uu
d
d U u
d
d
==
==
=====
=
éù
=
êú
ëû
éù
=
êú
ëû
éù
=- - - +
êú
ëû
åå
åå
ååååå
( )
( )
( )
( )
( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( )
0
'
00
4
00000
() ( )
1
() ( ) () ( )
1
() ( ) ( ( () ( )) () ( ) () ( ) () ( ))
N
si
i
i
NN
i e i
ii
ii
ab
NNNNN
ip iiid i i
iiiii
iiiii
y
U u
d U u m P D Du U u
d T
dd
y Uu k Uu k x Uu k Uu y Uu
d T d
ww
ww
ww
=
==
=====
éù
=
êú
ëû
éùé ù
=--+
êúê ú
ëûë û
éù éù
=-+- -
êú êú
ëû
ëû
åå
åå
ååååå
( ) ( )
4
00
() ( ) () ( )
NN
ii
ii
ii
dx Uu Uu
d
w
==
ì
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
í
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ïéù
ï=-
êú
ïëû
îåå
(8)
whe e
( ) ( )
''
2
'
''
00
sin ( ) ( ) sin 2 ( ) ( )
2
NN
qs d q
s
ei i
ii
ii
ddq
EV x x
V
P Uu Uu
xxx
dd
åå
==
ååå
-
éù éù
=-
êú êú
ëû ëû
åå
.
F om Eq. (5), he ollowing ela ionship can be ob ained:
2
00
01 1
12 3 1
()
22
22()
Uu U
UU U
UU U U
=
=
=+
(9)
Combining he exp essions ob ained so a ,
( )
0
( ) ( ) ( )
N
i
i
i
Du U u
w
=
éù
êú
ëû
å
can be simpli ied as:
Du( )
ω
i
( )
( )Ui(u)
i=0
N
∑
"
#
$
$
%
&
'
'
=1
2
D
ω
i
( )
( )Ui−1(u)+Ui+1(u)
"
#%
&
i=0
N
∑=1
2
D
ω
i−1
( )
( )+
ω
i+1
( )
( )
"
#
$%
&
'Ui(u)
i=0
N
∑
, (10)
whe e
1
w
-
=0, and
1N
w
+
=0.
Replacing Eq. (10) in o Eq. (8), he p obabilis ic model o he sys em can be w i en as:
( ) ( )
( ) ( )
( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( )
( )
12
00
23
00
3011223
00000
0
() ( ) () ( )
() ( ) () ( )
() ( ) () ( ) () ( ) () ( ) () ( )
() ( )
NN
ii
ii
ii
NN
ii
ii
ii
NNNNN
iiiii
iiiii
iiiii
N
i
i
i
dx Uu x Uu
d
dx Uu x Uu
d
dx Uu a x Uua x Uua x Uu y Uu
d
d U u
d
d
==
==
=====
=
éù
=
êú
ëû
éù
=
êú
ëû
éù
=- - - +
êú
ëû
åå
åå
ååååå
( )
( ) ( ) ( ) ( )
( ) ( ) ( ) ( )
0
11
000
4
000
() ( )
11
() ( ) () ( ) () () ( )
2
1
() ( ) ( ( () ( )) () ( ) () (
N
si
i
i
NNN
i e i i
iiii
iii
ab
NNN
ip iiid i
iiii
iii
y
U u
d U u m P D U u D U u
d T
dd
y Uu k Uu k x Uu k Uu
d T d
ww
wwww
ww
=
-+
===
===
éù
=
êú
ëû
éùé ù
éù
=-- - +
êúê ú
ëû
ëûë û
éù
=-+-
êú
ëû
åå
ååå
ååå
( )
( ) ( )
00
4
00
)()())
() ( ) () ( )
NN
i
i
ii
NN
ii
ii
ii
y Uu
dx Uu Uu
d
w
==
==
ì
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
í
ï
ï
ï
ï
ïéù
ï-
êú
ïëû
ïéù
ï=-
êú
ïëû
î
åå
åå
(11)
Le us mul iply he abo e sys em o equa ions by
()
i
Uu
. Conside ing he ma hema ical expec a ion
wi h ega d o he andom a iable u on bo h sides o Eq. (11), and se ing i=0, 1, 2, 3, and 4, he
ini ial p obabilis ic model can be app oxima ed by he sys em in Eq. (12):
10 20
20 30
30 0 10 1 20 2 30 0
00
''
2
00 0 0 1
''
00
0 0 40
11
()sin () () ()sin2 () ()
22
1
s
NN
qs d q
s
ii ii
ii
ab ddq
pi d
y
xx
xx
xaxaxaxy
EV x x
V
mE Uu Uu Uu Uu D D
Txxx
ykkxk
T
dww
wd dww
ww
SS
==
SSS
=
=
=- - - +
=
éù
æö
-
æö æö
=-+--
êú
ç÷
ç÷ ç÷
ç÷
èø èø
êú
èø
ëû
=-+-
åå
( )
00
40 0
11 21
21 31
31 0 11 1 21 2 31 0
11
''
2
11 1 1 0
''
00
1
2
11
()sin () () ()sin2 () ()
22
s
NN
qs d q
s
ii ii
ii
ab ddq
y
x
xx
xx
xaxaxaxy
EV x x
V
mE Uu Uu Uu Uu D D
Txxx
w
dww
wd dww
SS
==
SSS
ì
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
í
ï
ï
ï
ï-
ï
ï=-
î
=
=
=- - - +
=
æö
-
æö æö
=-+--+
ç÷
ç÷ ç÷
ç÷
èø èø
èø
åå
( )
2
1 1 41 1 1
41 1
14 24
24 34
34 0 14 1 24 2 34 4
44
''
2
44 4 4
''
0
1
1
2
1()sin () () ()s
2
pi d
y
s
N
qs d q
s
ii
i
ab ddq
d
ykkxky
T d
x
xx
xx
xaxaxaxy
EV x x
V
mE Uu Uu Uu
Txxx
w
ww
w
dww
wd
SS
=
SSS
ì
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
íéù
ïêú
ïêú
ëû
ï
ïæö
=-+- -
ç÷
ïèø
ï
ï=-
î
=
=
=- - - +
=
-
æö
=-+
ç÷
èø
å3
0
4 4 44 4 4
43 4
1
in 2 ( ) ( ) 2
1
N
ii
i
pi d
y
U u D D
d
ykkxky
T d
x
dww
ww
w
=
ì
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
í
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ïì
ïï
ïï
ïï
ïï
ïï
ïï
ïï
í
ïéù
æö
æö
ï
ï--
êú
ç÷
ç÷
ç÷
ï
ïèø
êú
èø
ëû
ï
ïïæö
ï=-+- -
ç÷
ï
ïèø
ï
ïï
ï=-
î
î
å
(12)
The o mula o he ma hema ical expec a ion o he elec omagne ic o que
'
e
P
can be hen
w i en as:
( ) ( )
( ) ( )
''
2
'
''
00
''
2
44
1
''
100
sin ( ) ( ) sin 2 ( ) ( )
2
sin ( ) ( ) sin 2 ( ) ( ) ( )
2
NN
qs d q
s
ei i
ii
ii
ddq
qs d q
s
ii
ii
ii
ddq
EV x x
V
EP E Uu Uu
xxx
EV x x
V
U u U u pudu
xxx
dd
dd
åå
==
ååå
åå
-==
ååå
æö
-
éù éù
éù
=-
ç÷
ëû êú êú
ç÷
ëû ëû
èø
æö
-
éù éù
=-
ç÷
êú êú
ç÷
ëû ëû
èø
åå
åå
ò
(13)
Finally, he a e age esponse can be e alua ed acco ding o he Eq. (12):
[ ]
( )
[ ]
( )
[ ]
( )
[ ]
( )
[ ]
( )
[ ]
( )
[ ]
4
11 10
0
4
22 20
0
4
33 30
0
4
0
0
4
0
0
4
0
0
44
(, ) () ( ) ()
(, ) () ( ) ()
(, ) () ( ) ()
(, ) () ( ) ()
(, ) () ( ) ()
(, ) () ( ) ()
(, ) ()
i
i
i
i
i
i
i
i
i
i
i
i
i
i
i
i
i
i
ii
Ex u x U u x
Ex u x U u x
Ex u x U u x
E u Uu
E u Uu
Ey u y Uu y
Ex u x U
dd d
ww w
=
=
=
=
=
=
==
==
==
==
==
==
=
å
å
å
å
å
å
4
40
0
() ()
i
i
ux
=
ì
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
í
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï
ï=
ï
îå
(14)
3. Nume ical simula ions
The p oposed model has been applied o a case-s udy in o de o p o e he e iciency and
consis ency o he app oach. The alues adop ed o he pa ame e s in ol ed in he compu a ion
ha e been selec ed wi hin ealis ic anges: he a ed gene a o speed is
s
w
=314; he ine ia ime
cons an o he hyd o- u bine gene a o uni is
ab
T
=8.0; he damping ac o o he gene a o is
D =0.5; he ansien in e nal ol age o he a ma u e is
'
q
E
=1.35; he di ec axis ansien eac ance
is
'
d
xå
=1.15; he quad a u e axis eac ance is
'
q
xå
=1.474; he majo elay connec e esponse ime is
y
T
=0.1 and he bus ol age a in ini y is
s
V
=1.0. The i s -o de pa ial de i a i e alue o low a e
wi h espec o wa e head is
qh
e
=0.5; he i s -o de pa ial de i a i e alue o o que wi h espec
o wicke ga e is ey=1.0; he in e media e a iable is e=0.7; he leng h o he phase o he wa e
hamme wa e is T =1.0; he elas ic ime cons an o he pens ock is hw=2.0; he e e ence inpu is
=0; he p opo ional gain o he PID con olle is kp=2 and he in eg al gain o he PID con olle
ki=1.
The ini ial alues o he de e minis ic model o he hyd aulic-mechanical-elec ic sys em (1) a e
[x1(0), x2(0), x3(0),
(0)
d
,
(0)
w
, y(0), x4(0)]=[0.001, 0.001, 0.001, 0.001, 0.001, 0.001, 0.001].
Simila ly, he ini ial alues o he andom hyd aulic-mechanical-elec ic sys em (11) a e
di e en alues o he in ensi y D and kd a ying om 0 o 6. The end associa ed wi h poin 3,
namely he alue o kd o which he gene a o speed
w
pass om he non- unable o he ib a ion
s a e, is shown in Tab. 3.
-8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8
-0.05
0
0.05
0.1
kd
ʍ
-8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8
-0.05
0
0.05
0.1
kd
ʍ
D=0.06 D=0.16
-8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8
-0.05
0
0.05
0.1
kd
ʍ
-8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8
-0.05
0
0.05
0.1
kd
ʍ
D=0.36 D=0.52
Fig. 6 Dynamic e olu ion o he gene a o speed
w
o he p obabilis ic model in Eq. (15) wi h
di e en alues o he andom in ensi y D and kd a ying om -8 o 8. (a) D=0.06; (b) D=0.16; (c)
D=0.36; (d) D=0.52;
Tab. 3 Loca ion o poin 3 acco ding o inc easing alues o he andom in ensi y D
D
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.12
0.16
0.20
0.24
0.28
0.32
0.36
0.40
Poin 3
-5.854
-5.646
-5.542
-5.021
-4.604
-3.979
-3.25
-2.521
-1.479
-0.2292
0.083
As shown in Fig. 6 and Tab. 3, inc easing le els o he in ensi y D cause he egion o he
domain associa ed wi h he non- unable s a e shi ing o he igh , while he ope a ing s a e on he
igh o poin 3 emains unchanged. As expec ed, he end egis e ed o he p obabilis ic model in
Eq. (15), conside ing he igid wa e hamme model, ma ches pe ec ly he esul s ob ained o he
p e ious p obabilis ic model o Eq. (11).
In addi ion o his, as shown in Fig. 5(a) and Fig. 6(a), i can be no iced ha when he sys em

ope a es in he egula ib a ion s a e, he ampli ude o he luc ua ions o he p obabilis ic model o
Eq. (11) a ies in he ange o [0.0188, 0.02015], and he adjus able ange o kd is [1.951, 2.563].
Rega dless o he shape changes o he pens ock wall, he ampli ude o he luc ua ions o he
p obabilis ic model in Eq. (15) a ies in he ange [0.01754, 0.02281], which is simila o he
p e ious case. Con e sely, he adjus able ange o kd, which is [0.083, 4.458], esul s much la ge
han ha associa ed wi h he p e ious p obabilis ic model. Mo eo e , when he hyd o- u bine
gene a o uni ope a es in he quasi pe iodic ib a ion s a e, al hough he ampli ude o he
luc ua ions associa ed wi h he model o Eq. (11) is simila o ha o he model o Eq. (15), he
ange o kd is much la ge han ha associa ed wi h he la e p obabilis ic model.
4. Conclusions
In his s udy, a andom a iable u is in eg a ed wi h he gene a o speed o he de e minis ic
model o a hyd aulic-mechanical-elec ic sys em o es ablish he co esponding p obabilis ic model.
Using his la e , he dynamic e olu ion o he sys em is analyzed, and h ee main conclusions can be
achie ed. Fi s , al hough he dynamic e olu ion o he andom sys em is b oadly simila o ha o
he de e minis ic app oach, he wo se s o esul s show signi ican di e ences, ca e ully
in es iga ed in he pape . Second, he poin 3, which highligh s he ansi ion om he no - unable
s a e o he andom ib a ion s a e, shi s o he igh wi h inc easing alues o he andom in ensi y
D, which leads o he dec easing adjus able ange o kd. Thi d, he consis ence o he ends
highligh ed by he p obabilis ic model implemen ed in his pape is compa ed and e i ied h ough
he use o ano he model. Mo eo e , when he shape o he pens ock is assumed no uni o m, he
adjus able ange o kd is na owed om le o igh and he ope a ing s a e o he sys em becomes
less s able. A ligh o he ob ained esul s and o he apid de elopmen o wind powe , i is
ecommendable o selec alues o he di e en ial gain kd o he PID go e no as la ge as possible.
Acknowledgmen -
This wo k was suppo ed by he scien i ic esea ch ounda ion o Na ional Na u al Science
Founda ion--Ou s anding You h Founda ion (51622906), Na ional Na u al Science Founda ion
(51479173), Fundamen al Resea ch Funds o he Cen al Uni e si ies (201304030577), Scien i ic
esea ch unds o No hwes A&F Uni e si y (2013BSJJ095), Science Fund o Excellen Young
Schola s om No hwes A&F Uni e si y and Shaanxi No a p og am (2016KJXX-55).
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