scieee Science in your language
[en] (orig)

Empirical evidence of ideal filter approximation: pheriperal and selected EU countries application

Abstract

We compare three filters commonly used for business cycle analysis: the Baxter-King, the Christiano-Fitzgerald and the Hamming window filter. Empirical contribution of the paper is numerical evaluation of the approximation of the ideal band-pass filters in the discussion of the filters theoretical properties (gain and attenuation within the business cycle frequencies, as well as the leakage in the remaining frequencies). We consider the truncation factor for the Baxter-King filter and the sample size for the latter two. We show that the leakage and attenuation of the Christiano-Fitzgerald and the Hamming window filter perform similarly across the range of chosen sample sizes and better than the Baxter-King filter. Moreover, we apply the filters to data of selected EU countries and point out differences in their estimation of growth business cycles. Our findings indicate that Christiano-Fitzgerald filter and the Hamming window both are appropriate for the identification of a business cycle. The Hamming window filter introduces smaller attenuation near the edges but in case of small samples its approximation of ideal filter is very rough.

Read accessible full text

Empirical evidence of ideal filter approximation: pheriperal and selected EU countries application

Author: Dluhá, Jitka; Maršálek, Roman
Publisher: Prague University of Economics and Business
Year: 2015
DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.512
Source: https://dspace.vut.cz/bitstreams/4cbc3ea2-e957-427f-950e-22f49cf08507/download
ONLINE FIRST
PRAGUE ECONOMIC PAPERS / ONLINE FIRST
1
© UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICS, PRAGUE
EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE OF IDEAL FILTER
APPROXIMATION: PERIPHERAL AND
SELECTED EU COUNTRIES APPLICATION
Ji ka Poměnko á, 1Roman Ma šálek*
Abs ac :
We compa e h ee i l e s commonly used o business cycle analysis: he Bax e -King, he
Ch is iano-Fi zge ald and he Hamming window i l e . Empi ical con ibu ion o he pape is
nume ical e alua ion o he app oxima ion o he ideal band-pass i l e s in he discussion o he
i l e s’ heo e ical p ope ies (gain and a enua ion wi hin he business cycle equencies, as well
as he leakage in he emaining equencies). We conside he unca ion ac o o he Bax e -
King i l e and he sample size o he la e wo. We show ha he leakage and a enua ion o he
Ch is iano-Fi zge ald and he Hamming window i l e pe o m simila ly ac oss he ange o chosen
sample sizes and be e han he Bax e -King i l e . Mo eo e , we apply he i l e s o da a o selec ed
EU coun ies and poin ou di e ences in hei es ima ion o g ow h business cycles. Ou i ndings
indica e ha Ch is iano-Fi zge ald i l e and he Hamming window bo h a e app op ia e o he
iden i i ca ion o abusiness cycle. The Hamming window i l e in oduces smalle a enua ion nea
he edges bu in case o small samples i s app oxima ion o ideal i l e is e y ough.
Keywo ds: band-pass i l e s, business cycle, equency ans e unc ion, gain, a enua ion,
leakage.
JEL Classi i ca ion: C15, C02, E32, E37
1. In oduc ion
Economic li e a u e p esen s se e al de i ni ions and me hods on how o measu e business
cycles. Bu ns and Mi chell (1946) de i ne a classical business cycle concep e e ing o
he cycle in he le els o he ou pu se ies. Ha ding and Pagan (2005) de elop a busi-
ness cycle concep dis inguishing classical and g ow h (de ia ion) cycles. G ow h cycles
a e cycles ob ained om an inpu ime se ies by emo ing he pe manen componen
(Cano a, 1998). The sensi i i y o esul s o he me hod used o isola ing he business
cycle om he inpu da a is also discussed (Ha ding and Pagan, 2005; Cano a, 1998).
The iden i i ca ion o g ow h business cycle is in he on o empi ical wo k especially
in he con ex o analysis small samples, such as ansi ion o pe iphe al economies. The
ocus is on he p ocess o economic in eg a ion, on analysis o business cycle como e-
men , synch oniza ion o business cycles du ing he c isis, analysis o in e na ional ade
linkages and many o he s.
* 1 Ji ka Poměnko á, Depa men o Radio Elec onics (DREL), B no, Uni e si y o Technology,
Czech Republic ([email p o ec ed].cz);
Roman Ma šálek, Depa men o Radio Elec onics (DREL), B no, Uni e si y o Technology,
Czech Republic ([email p o ec ed].cz).
The esea ch desc ibed in he pape was i nanced by Czech Minis e y o Educa ion in ame o
Na ional Sus ainabili y P og am unde g an LO1401. Fo esea ch, in as uc u e o he SIX Cen e
was used. We app ecia e help ul commen s om Ja ko Fid muc and S a opluk Kapounek.
P ague Economic Pape s
DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.512
Accep ed: 25. 6. 2014
Published: 24. 6. 2015
ONLINE FIRST
ONLINE FIRST
PRAGUE ECONOMIC PAPERS 2
Ou mo i a ion o e alua ing he quali y o ideal i l e app oxima ion by a ious
band-pass i l e s de i es om he e y equen use o hese i l e s o iden i ying economic
cycles. The aim o his pape ollows consequen s eps. The i s aim/s ep is o nume ically
e alua e he quali y o he app oxima ion o selec ed band-pass i l e s o he ideal i l e
equency ans e unc ion. Fo his we selec he Bax e -King (Bax e and King, 1999),
he Ch is iano-Fi zge ald (Ch is iano and Fi zge ald, 2003) and he Hamming Window
i l e (Iacobucci and Noulez, 2005). As app o ed by many empi ical s udies, hese h ee
i l e s ep esen common widely use band-pass i l e s sui able o business cycle analy-
sis. The e also exis o he me hods such as a high-pass Hod ick-P esco i l e , ARMA
p ocesses, and i s o de di e ence (FOD) o eg ession unc ions (Bonenkamp e al.,
2001; Poměnko á, 2012) o business cycle iden i i ca ion. Bu hose a e c i icised in he
li e a u e as ha ing limi ed abili y o le only he business cycle equencies pass (Ha ey
and Jage , 1993; Guy and S -Aman , 2005). The e o e, we do no conside hem. The
quali y o he app oxima ion is assessed by using h ee me ics: undesi ed gain ( u he
deno ed as gain) in he business cycle egion, undesi ed leakage ou side he business cycle
egion ( u he deno ed as leakage) and a enua ion in he business cycle egion ( u he
deno ed as a enua ion).
In he second s ep we p o ide an empi ical e idence o ideal i l e app oxima ion.
He e we use applica ion on selec ed Eu opean coun ies, namely G eece, I eland, Po ugal,
Spain, I aly and Aus ia. The aim is an empi ical con ibu ion o ob ained knowledge om
he s ep one. Because he ans e unc ion o he Bax e -King i l e is in l uenced by he
cu -o pa ame e K while he Ch is iano-Fi zge ald’s and he Hamming Window i l e ’s
app oxima ions bo h depend on he sample size, we also conside he pe cen age o da a
loss o se e al selec ed sample sizes.
The las hi d s ep is ocused on he compa ison o di e en i l e ing echniques app o-
p ia e o empi ical analysis ocussing on ime pe iods a ec ed by global c isis shocks.
The e o e, we also conduc a co ela ion analysis be ween he business cycles iden i i ed
o he selec ed coun ies and he business cycles iden i i ed o Ge many. We include
Ge many as he hea o he eu o a ea and i s economically mos signi i can coun y.
The empi ical analysis e eals addi ional p oblems such as edge e ec s o he Hamming
window. No e ha edge (bounda y) e ec s will be e e ed o a si ua ion a he end o he
sample size whe e es ima ed alues o i l e ed ime se ies a e biased. Ou i ndings sugges
ha he Ch is iano-Fi zge ald and Hamming window i l e s bo h a e app op ia e o iden-
i ying business cycles. The Ch is iano-Fi zge ald i l e is sui able e en o small sample
sizes, while he Bax e -King and he Hamming window i l e equi e a compa ably la ge
sample size. The Hamming window i l e also in oduces smalle a enua ion nea he edges
bu in case o small samples i s app oxima ion o ideal i l e is e y ough.
The pape is o ganized as ollows: in he nex sec ion we ou line he li e a u e e iew
and consequen ly me hodological backg ound o he h ee selec ed i l e s. The hi d sec ion
con ains a desc ip ion o he chosen da a se and e alua ion o he i
l e s. In Sec ion 4 we
p esen ou esul s and hei p ac ical and heo e ical implica ions. Sec ion 5 is ocused on
compa ison o he esul s ia co ela ion analysis. Sec ion 6 concludes and summa izes he
pape .
ONLINE FIRST
ONLINE FIRST
PRAGUE ECONOMIC PAPERS 3
2. Li e a u e Re iew
The li e a u e paying a en ion o he i l e ing me hod use ul o he business cycle iden-
i i ca ion is ex ensi e. Gene ally, we can see wo s eams which a e nicely p esen ed by
Cano a (1998). He men ioned s a is ical p ocedu es (polynomial unc ions o ime, i s
o de di e ence, Be e idge and Nelson’s p ocedu e, equency domain me hods, unob-
se ed componen s model) and economic p ocedu es (a model o common de e minis ic
o s ochas ic ends, Hod ick-P esco i l e ). E en his ca ego isa ion applica ion o any
me hod canno be done wi hou sa is ac ion o assump ion supplemen ed abou economic
backg ound.
As we men ioned in he in oduc ion band-pass i l e s a e commonly used o i l e ing.
The sui abili y o band-pass i l e s is gi en by hei p ope y o wholly selec ing only he
da a componen belonging o a speci i c equency band (called pass-band) while elimina ing
all o he componen s o ou side his speci i c band (Bax e and King 1999). O iginally, he
use o band-pass i l e s o business cycle equency analysis was p oposed by Bu ns and
Mi chel (1946). Mode n empi ical mac oeconomics uses a a ie y o echniques o pe o m
he decomposi ion o ime se ies in o end componen s and cyclical componen s such as
de e minis ic model, s ochas ic model o i l e s. Many o hose sui able o business cycle
analysis a e based on he applica ion o a wo-sided mo ing a e age. A p ecise (pe ec )
band-pass i l e is an in i ni e o de mo ing a e age i l e ha le s only he componen s in
a gi en equency ange pass. This is only a heo e ical concep and in easible in p ac ice;
such a i l e is hus called “an ideal i l e ”. Fo p ac ical applica ions i is he e o e necessa y
o use an app oxima ion o his ideal i l e . The main p oblem hen becomes cons uc ing
he closes possible app oxima ion. As s a ed by Bax e and King (1999) i is sui able o
such an app oxima ion ha should le as much as possible o he da a o he p ede i ned band
o equency pass, while a ec ing he o he equencies as li le as possible. Then i is he
op imal app oxima ion o he ideal i l e .
Th ee band-pass i l e s commonly used o he business cycle analysis in ecen
li e a u e a e he Bax e -King i l e (Bax e and King, 1999), he Ch is iano-Fi zge ald
i l e (Ch is iano and Fi zge ald, 2003) and he Hamming Window i l e (Iacoboucci and
Noulez, 2005). Guaya and S -Aman (2005) assess he abili y o he Bax e -King i l e and
he Hod ick-P esco i l e o ex ac he business-cycle componen o mac oeconomic ime
se ies by using wo di e en de i ni ions o he business-cycle componen . They show ha
bo h i l e s do ela i ely well when applied o se ies ha ha e a peak in hei spec a a
business-cycle equencies. Bu hey do poo ly wi h se ies whose spec a dec ease sha ply
and mono onically a highe equencies. The e o e, as w o e Ha ey and Jage (1993) o
Haug and De ald (2004) he Ch is iano-Fi zge ald i l e can be aken as imp o emen o
Bax e -King i l e , because i chose he weigh s o he i l e in equency domain, i.e. i
uses spec a es ima ions as weigh ed unc ion.
Haug and De ald (2012) also use band-pass i l e s o ex ac cycles (no e en business
cycles) in p e-de i ne ange (2-8 and 8-40 yea s) om ime se ies. They use l uc ua ions
o co ela ion analysis and o assessmen o como emen be ween se ies. Because he
band-pass i l e s p o ide possibili y o i l e p ede i ned equency ange, hey dis inguish
he long- e m componen and sho - e m componen by speci i ca ion o i l e s bands. This
app oach allows analysis o pa s o ime se ies sepa a ely. F om he g oup o band-pass
i l e s Haug and De ald (2012) chose he Ch is iano-Fi zge ald i l e . Fo obus ness hey
ONLINE FIRST
ONLINE FIRST
PRAGUE ECONOMIC PAPERS 4
checked hei esul s wi h he Bax e -King i l e . They ound ha he i l e ed componen s
we e almos iden ical and ha he phase shi (which can occu in he Ch is iano-Fi zge ald
i l e case due o i s non-symme y) in he i l e ed se ies is likely negligible. Acco ding o
hei i ndings he Ch is iano-Fi zge ald i l e p o ides he closes app oxima ion o he ideal
i l e . Ou i ndings in his a icle suppo his s a emen .
Iden i i ca ion o cyclical l uc ua ion in he con ex o con e gence analysis is used in
D ake and Mills (2011). They ocused on examina ion o p ope ies o GDP in he eu o
a ea wi h he s ess o he adop ion eu o in 1999. D ake and Mills (2011) ha e pa icula
in e es in he ime se ies decomposi ion in o end and cyclical componen s using Ch is-
iano-Fi zge ald i l e , and he Bax e -King i l e . They ake he Ch is iano-Fi zge ald i l e
as supe io o he adi ional Hod ick-P esco i l e . They suppo hei decision by he ac
ha he asymme ic e sion is be e a es ima ing cycle in eal ime and nea a he end o
he sample. As hey also men ioned, he e a e wo app oaches o con e gence analysis,
compa ison o cycles be ween hemsel es o compa ison o cycles wi h he benchma k
coun ies such as Ge many. We a e going o use his idea in di e en way. On he basis o
known empi ical esul s we can e alua e he sui abili y o selec ed band-pass i l e s i s
acco ding o he le el o he measu emen o ideal i l e app oxima ion and in he con ex
o he esul s o como emen analysis wi h Ge many.
C oux e al. (2001) ocused on heo y and empi ics o como emen o economic
a iables asking whe he i can be explained by la ge agg ega e shocks o i he answe
should be ound in non-linea p opaga ion mechanism. They p opose dynamic co ela ion
and cohesion as he ele an measu emen o como emen analysis. Mac oeconomic
li e a u e o en p esen s s anda d app oach o co ela ion p e- i l e ed (high-pass o
band-pass i l e applica ion) da a. C oux e al. (2001) discuss he di e ence be ween
co ela ion o p e- i l e ed da a and applica ion o dynamic measu e. They p e e wo-sided
i l e which elimina es all he inapp op ia e wa es. As inapp op ia e wa es hey deno e
all he wa es whose equency is ou o he ele an in e al and lea es unchanged he
ampli ude o he wa es wi hin he in e al.
F om a me hodical poin o iew in he las decade he ime domain and he equency
domain (Iacobucci, 2003; Iacobucci and Noullez, 2005) analysis has been ex ended o an
in eg a ed iew o he ime- equency domain (C oux e al., 2001; Halle and Rich e ,
2007; Rua, 2010; Ma šálek e al., 2013). In all hese i elds he impo ance o app op ia ely
iden i ying business cycle phases o l uc ua ions in economic ac i i y a ises. The e o e he
abili y o p ecisely iden i y business cycles can inc ease he e i ciency o economic policy
ins umen s and he assessmen o he como emen o economies.
3. Selec ed Band Pass Fil e s
We can analyse a ime se ies, yn, n = 1, ..., N ei he in he ime o he equency domain.
The app oach p oposed by Bax e and King (1999) o Ch is iano and Fi zge ald (2003)
is o pe o m he i l e ing in he ime domain, while he equi emen s a e speci i ed in
he equency domain. In he ime domain ep esen a ion o he ideal, hough in easible,
wo-sided linea i l e is gi en by he in i ni e mo ing a e age p oducing i l e ed ime
se ies un:
,
njnj
j
uby



 (1)
ONLINE FIRST
ONLINE FIRST
PRAGUE ECONOMIC PAPERS 5
whe e yn is he inpu ime se ies and bj a e i l e weigh s (Ch is iano and Fi zge ald,
2003). This linea ans o m selec s only he da a componen s in he speci i ed band o
angula equencies [ω1, ω2], called pass-band. The componen s ou side o his band a e
elimina ed. The adjec i e “ideal” co esponds o he equi emen o an in i ni e amoun o
da a. The equencies speci ying he pass-band ( he so-called cu -o equencies) a e
112 2
2/ , 2/ ,qq
 

whe e q1 and q2 deno e he longes and sho es pe iod o
cycles passed h ough he i l e .
In he equency domain, he ideal band-pass i l e is de i ned by he equency ans-
e unc ion G(ω) equal o 1 o equencies in he ange [ω1, ω2], and ze o o all o he
equencies. The powe spec um SU , (ω), o he i l e ed ime se ies can be compu ed as
  
2,
Uy
SGS

 (2)
whe e Sy , (ω) is he spec um o he inpu ime se ies. The i l e equency ans e unc-
ion can be decomposed as G(ω) = |G (ω)|ei

(ω) whe e he absolu e alue o G(ω) deno ed
as |G(ω)| is a module cha ac e is ic ep esen ing how he ampli ude o equency compo-
nen s a e al e ed by he i l e ,

(ω) is he phase shi caused by he i l e and desc ibing
how di e en equency componen s a e delayed and i is he complex uni . The squa ed
module |G(ω)|2 hus de e mines he weigh s co esponding o he componen s o he
powe spec um Sy (ω) a he angula equencies ω. Fo mo e de ails ega ding he module
and phase cha ac e is ics, we e e eade s e.g. o Pollock (2009). No e ha he symme ic
i l e s ha e linea phase cha ac e is ics as a unc ion o equency. Consequen ly, a g oup
delay o all equency componen s is l a (cons an ). This is ad an ageous, as in such
a case all componen s a he i l e inpu , ega dless hei equency a e delayed by he
same amoun . Thus he phase dis o ion is a oided.
The main ep esen a i es o i l e s based on a easible app oxima ion o he in i ni e
mo ing a e age a e he Bax e -King, he Ch is iano-Fi zge ald and he Hamming window
i l e s.
3.1 The Bax e -King (BK) i l e
The BK i l e is a wo-sided linea mo ing a e age band-pass i l e . In he case o business
cycle equencies i s pass-band co esponds o cycle pe iods be ween six qua e s and eigh
yea s. The componen s ou side his ange o equencies a e emo ed. Bax e and King
(1999) p opose he app oxima ion o an ideal i l e by he i ni e symme ic linea mo ing
a e age i l e o he odd o de M = 2K+1 such ha
ˆ
ˆ.
K
njnj
jK
uby


 (3)
The weigh s o he i l e ˆj
b a e compu ed in he equency domain by minimizing he loss
unc ion Q (Bax e and King, 1999; Ch is iano and Fi zge ald, 2003) o he di e ences
be ween he ideal i l e G(ω) and he easible i l e H(ω):
2
1() () ,
2
QGHd






 (4)
whe e () .
Kij
j
jK
Hbe




 Acco ding o Kowal (2005), his i l e has a numbe o
desi able p ope ies. Fi s , since i is eal and symme ic, i does no in oduce a phase shi

ONLINE FIRST
ONLINE FIRST
PRAGUE ECONOMIC PAPERS 6
and lea es he ex ac ed componen s una ec ed excep o hei ampli udes. Second, being
o cons an i ni e leng h and ime-in a ian , i is s a iona y.
3.2 The Ch is iano-Fi zge ald (CF) i l e
Ano he i l e which well app oxima es he ideal i l e is he CF i l e (Ch is iano and
Fi zge ald, 2003). A i l e ed es ima e ˆn
u o he N-obse a ions long da a se yn can be
w i en as
,
,
ˆ
ˆ
p
p
njnj
j
uby


 (5)
whe e = N – n and p = n – 1 o n = 1, ..., N and ,
ˆp
j
ba e he ime- a ying i l e weigh s.
Simila ly o he BK i l e , he CF i l e weigh s a e designed wi h he aim o minimizing
he mean squa e e o be ween he ou pu o he ideal i l e and i s app oxima ion. In he
equency domain his p oblem can be w i en in he o m
2
,
1() () () ,
2
p
y
QGBSd






 (6)
whe e ,,
() p
p p i j
j
j
Bbe




. The i l e s weigh s a e se wi h espec o he impo ance
o he spec um in he gi en equency and he e o e depend on he p ope y o he
analysed ime se ies. I possible, he end componen should be emo ed om he o iginal
ime se ies p io o he CF i l e applica ion (Ch is iano and Fi zge ald, 2003; Haug and
De ald, 2004; Iacobucci and Noullez, 2005). We ha e ollowed his ecommenda ion in
ou analysis.
3.3 The Hamming-Window (HW) i l e
In he case o i ni e-leng h sample sizes i is impossible o design an ideal band-pass i l e .
An in e es ing i l e ha p o ides e y simple (easily applicable) and e i cien solu ion
o an ideal i l e app oxima ion de eloped wi h espec o applica ion on a sho ime
se ies was p oposed by Iacoboucci and Noulez (2005). In con as o CF i l e , he HW
i l e is symme ic and s a iona y, in con as o BK i l e i s applica ion esul s in no da a
loss. As e i i ed u he (see Figu e 1) i s equency ans e unc ion is much l a e han
in he case o CF and BK i l e s. I consis s in smea ing he ideal i l e esponse wi h
a selec ed window and i leads o good a enua ion o he spec al powe ou side he pass-
band, allowing almos comple e emo al o undesi ed equency componen . The use o
a window is ad an ageous o supp ession o a Gibbs phenomenon, Haykin and an Veen
(2003), ha can esul in he appea ance o spu ious oscilla ions a he end o ime se ies
(edge e ec s). In con as o he wo abo e-men ioned (BK, CF) i l e s, he HW i l e
is applied in he equency domain. Thus, al hough he o he wo i l e s can be de i ned
easily in he ime domain, he HW i l e has o be de i ned in he equency domain. In he
ollowing we adop ed he o iginal HW i l e de i ni ion p o ided in Iacoboucci and Noulez
(2005). Fi s a ime se ies syn is con e ed o he equency domain by he calcula ion o
i s disc e e Fou ie ans o m yn ,
1
2/
0
, 0,1... / 2
N
iknN
kn
n
Yye k N






. (7)
ONLINE FIRST
ONLINE FIRST
PRAGUE ECONOMIC PAPERS 7
A e ha , he Hamming windowed i l e is applied acco ding o he o mula

*
kkkk
UWGY, (8)
whe e Gk ep esen s he equency ans e unc ion o he ideal i l e , i.e. he i l e ha
i l e s ou all he equency componen s ou side he business cycle band, Wk co esponds o
he selec ed window unc ion, e.g. Hamming window (Iacobucci, 2003) and he ope a o *
deno es a linea con olu ion. Finally, he i l e ed ime se ies is compu ed coming back
om he equency domain o he ime domain using he In e se Disc e e Fou ie T ans-
o m, Haykin and an Veen (2003) o Uk

/2
2/ *2/
1
0
0
ˆ, 0,1... 1
N
iknN iknN
nkk
N
k
uU Ue Ue n N





   



, (9)
whe e * in he supe sc ip means complex conjuga ion.
4. E alua ion o he Fil e s
4.1 Da a
The e alua ion is done wi h espec o he in l uencing ac o , which is he unca ion ac o
o he BK i l e and he sample size o he CF and HW i l e . Fo he applica ion we use
GDP da a in qua e ly alues, deno ed in millions o na ional cu ency, ans o med in o
chain-linked olumes and based on he e e ence yea 2000 (including ‘eu o i xed’ se ies
o eu o a ea coun ies). The da a a e seasonally adjus ed and ans o med by na u al
loga i hm o business cycle iden i i ca ion. The sou ce o ou da a is he s a is ical o i ce
o he Eu opean Union (Eu os a , 2012). We choose Aus ia as a benchma k coun y, ep e-
sen ing a s able and de eloped economy in he EU co e, and pe iphe al eu o a ea coun ies
in a ailable sample sizes. Fo compa ing he app oxima ion esul s o he i l e s we also
use Ge many as ano he ep esen a i e o a co e EU coun y. A ailable sample sizes a e:
Po ugal (N =68) om 1995/Q1–2011/Q4, I eland (N=59) om 1997/Q1–2011/Q3, I aly
(N=84) om 1991/Q1–2011/Q4, G eece (N=45) om 2000/Q1–2011/Q11, Spain (N=68)
om 1995/Q1–2011/Q4, Aus ia (N=96) om 1988/Q1–2011/Q4 and Ge many (N=84)
om 1991/Q1–2011/Q4. These coun ies we e selec ed due o opicali y o he economic
si ua ion du ing he deb c isis. Ano he impo an ac o is he di e en sample size o
he selec ed coun ies.
4.2 Quali y o app oxima ion
As s a ed in Ch is iano and Fi zge ald (2003) i he aw da a be o e applica ion o band-
pass i l e s ha e a non-ze o mean o a e co a iance s a iona y abou a end, hen he end
has o be emo ed p io o analysis o op imal i l e design. This s a emen is ollowed
by Iacobucci and Noullez (2005) in wo k ocused on a equency selec i e i l e used o
sho -leng h ime se ies. They also ecommend as one solu ion o op imal i l e design
o sub ac de e minis ic end be o e i l e ing. The e o e, we use o his he high-pass
Hod ick-P esco (HP) i l e (Hod ick and P esco , 1997). The use o he BK i l e does
no equi e his s ep.
ONLINE FIRST
ONLINE FIRST
PRAGUE ECONOMIC PAPERS 8
The equency ans e unc ion plo s (Figu e 1, Figu e 3 in Appendix A) a e
p esen ed in he no malized equency ange (0, 0.5). In he ange (0.5, 1) he equency
ans e unc ion o he band-pass i l e o business cycle equencies is ze o. No e ha
he no malized equency 1 s ands o hal o he sampling equency and ha he e is
a s aigh o wa d ela ionship be ween he no malized equency and he cyclic compo-
nen pe iod T: no malized = 2/T. No malized equencies o 0.0625 (T1 = 32 qua e s) and
0.33 (T2 = 6 qua e s) co espond o he pe iods delimi a ing he business cycle equency
band (Bu nsch and Mi chell, 1946).
Figu e 1 | Example o he Ideal Fil e App oxima ion Using he Band-Pass Fil e s, K=10, N=45 (Solid
Line A ea: The Gain, Dashed and Do ed Line A ea: The A enua ion, Do ed Line A ea: The Leakage)
To de e mine he quali y o app oxima ion, we quan i y he (undesi ed) gain o he
i l e app oxima ion in he business cycle equency ange, he (undesi ed) a enua ion in
he business cycle equency ange and he (undesi ed) leakage o he i l e app oxima ion
ou side he business cycle equency ange. In all cases he me ic alue is calcula ed as
he a ea unde /abo e he i l e equency ans e unc ion wi h espec o he ideal i l e .
The mo i a ion o selec hese h ee me ics is gi en by he shape o he ec angle o
ideal i l e . Looking a he Figu e 1 we decided o e alua e how big he a ea o leakage is,
because in case o big leakage he i l e gi es he pass o such cyclical mo emen s close o
ONLINE FIRST
ONLINE FIRST
PRAGUE ECONOMIC PAPERS 9
he es ablished bands which does no belong o de i ned ange. We also decided o e alua e
a enua ion and he gain o he cyclical componen belonging o he de i ned ange (in ou
case business cycle ange). In case o big gain (a enua ion) he i l e ed ime se ies can
excauda e (inhibi ) impo ance o cyclical componen . The e o e, in all h ee cases o
app oxima ion o ideal i l e ec angle consecu i e analysis (como emen analysis e c.)
using ime se ies i l e ed by such i l e can indica e bias esul s.
As he ans e unc ion o he CF i l e is ime a ian , hese me ics we e compu ed
in he ime ins an n = N/2 ( he bes ideal i l e app oxima ion). Fo he desc ip ion and
illus a ion o he selec ed me ics see Figu e 1 abo e Among hese h ee obse ed quan i-
ies, he leakage and he a enua ion a e mo e c i ical o business cycle isola ion han he
undesi ed gain in he business cycle equency ange. The gain magni i es he iden i i ed
componen s so in some sense i can be bene i cial o his applica ion.
4.2.1 Bax e -King i l e app oxima ion
The desc ip ion o he BK i l e in Equa ion 3 shows ha bo h he leng h o i s impulse
esponse and i s equency ans e unc ion as well depend on he unca ion ac o
K only and no on he inpu sample size. The e o e, he measu es o he app oxima ion
o he ideal i l e using he BK i l e will be he same o an a bi a y sample size. The
a ia ion o sample size esul s only in a ela i e loss o da a change. This loss is caused
by sho ening he analysed ime se ies by K obse a ions om bo h sides o he da a
se . The e o e, we de i ne he indica o o ela i e da a loss (RDL) as a a io be ween he
numbe s o educed da a om bo h sides (2K) and he sample size (N):
2100
K
N
RDL  . (10)
We a ied he unca ion ac o in a ange o K = 5, …, 19. The esul s a e p esen ed in
Table 1.
A de ailed g aphical ep esen a ion o he esul s in Table 1 can be ound in Appen-
dix A (Figu e 3). As we men ioned abo e, he equency ans e unc ion does no depend
on he analysed da a o on i s sample size, bu only on he unca ion ac o K. Thus, he
op imum alue o he pa ame e K is he alue o which he app oxima ion o he ideal
i l e esul s in minimum alues o (undesi ed) gain, a enua ion and leakage wi h espec
o minimized da a loss. We can s a e ha his condi ion is ul i lled o he alue K=10.
Fo K g ea e han 10, he alue o leakage has a descending endency, bu on he con a y
he ela i e loss o da a is ascending. Fo p ac ical easons du ing he applica ion on eal
da a we equi e a loss o da a as small as possible. We can obse e ha undesi ed gain is
also ising o highe K alues and he di e ence be ween he leakage o app oxima ion
o pa ame e K=10 (0.0125) and K=11 (0.0107) is no signi i can . I is hus p e e able o
accep a ma ginally highe alue o leakage in o de o achie e a smalle da a loss. No e
ha his esul is in good acco dance wi h he o iginal ecommenda ion o an op imum
selec ion o he K alue (Bax e and King, 1999) wi hou conside ing da a loss.
ONLINE FIRST
ONLINE FIRST
PRAGUE ECONOMIC PAPERS 16
loss close o a minimum. This esul is in good acco dance wi h he o iginal ecommen-
da ion o op imum K alue selec ion (Bax e and King, 1999). Ou heo e ical i ndings
show ha ega ding leakage and a enua ion he Ch is iano-Fi zge ald and he Hamming
window i l e pe o m simila ly ac oss he ange o chosen sample sizes, while yielding
be e esul s han he Bax e -King i l e .
Secondly, we apply he i l e s o GDP da a o selec ed EU coun ies. The empi ical
analysis e eals addi ional p oblems such as edge e ec s and shape o equency ans-
e unc ion o i l e s. We sugges ha he Ch is iano-Fi zge ald i l e migh be he mos
app op ia e o he iden i i ca ion o business cycles e en o small sample sizes, while he
Hamming window i l e o Bax e -King especially equi e a compa ably la ge sample size.
Ou i ndings a e suppo ed by he esul s o a co ela ion analysis be ween Ge many and
I eland, G eece, Spain, Po ugal, I aly and Aus ia.
Re e ences
Bax e R., King R. G. (1999), “Measu ing Business Cycles: App oxima e Band–Pass Fil e s
o Economic Time Se ies.” Re iew o Economic and S a is ics, Vol. 81, No. 4, pp. 575–593.
Blumens ein J., Poměnko á, J., Ma šálek, R. (2012), “Compa a i e S udy o Time-F equency
Analysis App oaches wi h Applica ion o Economic Indica o s.” In 26 h Eu opean
Con e ence on Modelling and Simula ion ECMS 2012. Digi ald uck Pi o , Ge many,
pp. 291–296.
Bonenkamp J., Jacobs, J., Kupe , G. H. (2001), “Measu ing Business Cycles in he Ne he lands,
1815–1913: ACompa ison o Business Cycle Da ing Me hods.” h p://ccso.eldoc.ub. ug.nl/
FILES/ oo /2001/200110/200110.pd . Accessed on 21 Ma ch 2012.
Bu ns, A. F., Mi chell, W. C. (1946), “Measu ing Business Cycles.” New Yo k, Na ional Bu eau
o Economic Resea ch, 590.
Cano a, F. (1998), “De- ending and Business Cycle Fac s.” Jou nal o Mone a y Economics,
Vol. 41, pp. 533–540.
Ch is iano, L. J., Fi zge ald, T. J. (2003), “The Band-Pass Fil e .” In e na ional Economic Re iew,
Vol. 44, No. 2, pp. 435–465.
C oux, C., Fo ni, M., Reichlin, L. (2001), “AMeasu e o Como emen o Economic Va iables:
Theo y and Empi ics.” The Re iew o Economics and S a is ics, MIT P ess, Vol. 83, No. 2,
pp. 232–241.
D ake, L., Mills, T. C. (2011), “T ends and Cycles in Eu o A ea Real GDP.” Applied Economics,
Vol. 42, No. 21, pp. 1397–1401.
Eu os a (2012), “Na ional Accoun s (including GDP).” A ailable a h p://epp.eu os a .
ec.eu opa.eu/po al/page/po al/na ional_accoun s/da a/da abase. Accessed on 21 Ma ch
2012.
Fid muc, J., Ko honen, I. (2006), “Me a-Analysis o he Business Cycle Co ela ion be ween
he Eu o A ea and he CEECs.” Jou nal o Compa a i e Economics, Else ie , Vol. 34, No. 3,
pp. 518–537.
Guay, A., S -Aman , P.(2005), “Do he Hod ick-P esco and Bax e -King Fil e s P o ide aGood
App oxima ion o Business Cycles?” Annales d’Economie e de S a is ique, ENSAE, Vol. 77,
pp. 133–155.
Halle , A. H., Rich e , Ch. R. (2007), “Time Va ying Cyclical Analysis o Economies in
T ansi ion.” CASE S udies & Analyses No. 334, Cen e o Social and Economic Resea ch.

ONLINE FIRST
ONLINE FIRST
PRAGUE ECONOMIC PAPERS 17
Halle , A. H., Rich e , Ch. R. (2011), “Is The e Clus e ing among he Eu ozone Economies?
E idence om how he EU New Membe S a es A e Con e ging.” Jou nal o Policy Re o m,
Vol. 14, No. 2, pp. 127–150.
Ha ding, D., Pagan, A. (2002), “ACompa ison o Two Business Cycle Da ing Me hods.” Jou nal
o Economic Dynamics and Con ol, Vol. 27, No. 9, pp. 1681–1690.
Ha ding, D., Pagan, A. (2005), “ASugges ed F amewo k o Classi ying he Modes o Cycle
Resea ch.” Jou nal o Applied Econome ics, Vol. 20, No. 2, pp.151–159.
Ha ey, A. C., Jaege , A. (1993), “De- ending, S ylized Fac s and he Business Cycle.” Jou nal
o Applied Econome ics, Vol. 8, pp. 231–47.
Haug, A. A., Dewald, W. G. (2004), “Longe -Te m E ec s o Mone a y G ow h on Real and
Nominal Va iables, Majo Indus ial Coun ies, 1880–2001.” Wo king Pape Se ies, No. 382,
Eu opean Cen al Bank.
Haug, A. A., Dewald, W. G. (2012), “Money, Ou pu , and In l a ion in he Longe Te m: Majo
Indus ial Coun ies, 1880–2001.” Economic Inqui y, Vol. 50, No. 3, pp. 773–787.
Haykin, S., an Veen, B. (2003), Signals and Sys ems. New Yo k: John Wiley.
Hod ick, R. J., P esco , E. C. (1997), “Pos -Wa U.S. Business Cycles: An Empi ical In es iga ion.”
Jou nal o Money, C edi and Banking, Vol. 29, No. 1, pp. 1–16.
Iacobucci, A. (2003), “Spec al Analysis o Economic Time Se ies.” OFCE Wo king Pape
No. 2003–07.
Iacobucci, A., Noullez, A. (2005), “AF equency Selec i e Fil e o Sho -Leng h Time Se ies.”
Compu a ional Economics, Vol. 25, No. 1–2, pp. 75–102.
Kowal, P.(2005), “Op imal Fil e ing.” Wa saw School o Economics. h p://www.emu.edu. /
mbalcila / eaching2008/econ604/no es/ i l e s.pd . Accessed on 10 Janua y 2009.
Ma šálek, R., Poměnko á, J., Kapounek, S. (2014), “AWa ele -Based App oach o Fil e Ou
Symme ic Mac oeconomic Shocks.” Compu a ional Economics, Vol. 44, No. 3, pp. 477–488.
Pollock, D. S. G. (2009), “Realisa ions o Fini e-Sample F equency-Selec i e Fil e s.” Jou nal
o S a is ical Planning and In e ence, Vol. 139, No. 4, pp. 1541–1558.
Poměnko á, J. (2010), “An Al e na i e App oach o he Da ing o Business Cycles:
Nonpa ame ic Ke nel Es ima ion.” P ague Economic Pape s, Vol. 19, No. 3, pp. 251–272.
Poměnko á, J. (2012), “Business Cycle Iden i i ca ion”. Jou nal o Economic, Vol. 60, No. 9,
pp. 899–917.
Rome , D. (2001), Ad anced Mac oeconomics. 2nd Edi ion, Uni e si y o Cali o nia, McG aw-Hill
Companies.
Rua, A. (2010), “Measu ing Como emen in he Time-F equency Space.” Jou nal
o Mac oeconomics, Vol. 32, No. 2, pp. 685–691.
Sa lan, H. (2001), “Cyclical Aspec s o Business Cycle Tu ning Poin s.” In e na ional Jou nal
o Fo ecas ing, Vol. 17, No. 3, pp. 369–382.
ONLINE FIRST
ONLINE FIRST
PRAGUE ECONOMIC PAPERS 18
Appendix A
Figu e 3 | Fil e App oxima ion Using he Bax e -King Fil e wi h T unca ion Fac o K= 5, …, 19
(Solid Line A ea: The Gain, Dashed and Do ed Line A ea: The A enua ion, Do ed Line A ea: The
Leakage), (X-Label: No malized F equency, Y-Label: The F equency T ans e Func ion)