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Altman Model Verification Using a Multi-Criteria Approach for Slovakian Agricultural Enterprises

Abstract

The Altman model is still one of the most widely used predictive models in the 21st century, and it aims to highlight the differences between bankrupt and healthy enterprises. This model has been modified several times; its most well-known forms are from 1968, 1983 and 1995. However, the use of the Altman Z-score for Slovak enterprises is more than questionable. The unsuitability of the model for the conditions of Slovak companies has been confirmed by several empirical surveys. The objective of this study was to verify the validation of these three variants of the Altman model, depending on how an unprosperous company is identified, using a sample of 996 agricultural enterprises operating in the Slovak Republic. Four indicators were selected for the identification of an unprosperous enterprise – economic results, total liquidity, equity, and economic value added – and they were monitored over the last year or, as the case may be, over the last three years from 2014 to 2016. Using the Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) and Coefficient of variation (CV) methods as an objective method for weight determination, a combination of the Altman model from 1968 and the negative total liquidity in the last reference year was determined to be the best. One of our main findings is that the way in which an unprosperous enterprise is identified is a significant factor affecting the overall reliability of the Altman model. The Altman model from 1968 and 1983 confirmed the differences resulting from the natural conditions in which the enterprises operate. The economic results and economic value added (EVA) proved to be inappropriate as indicators for defining an unprosperous enterprise in the conditions of the Slovak Republic.

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Altman Model Verification Using a Multi-Criteria Approach for Slovakian Agricultural Enterprises

Author: Vavrek, Roman
Publisher: Technická Univerzita v Liberci
Year: 2021
Source: https://dspace.tul.cz/bitstreams/3181119a-26ee-4673-83c4-b774c4b09700/download
146 2021, XXIV, 1
Finance
DOI: 10.15240/ ul/001/2021-1-010
ALTMAN MODEL VERIFICATION USING
A MULTI-CRITERIA APPROACH FOR
SLOVAKIAN AGRICULTURAL ENTERPRISES
Roman Va ek1, Pe a Gundo á2, I ana K a čáko á Vozá o á3,
Ras isla Ko ulič4
1 Technical Uni e si y o Libe ec, Facul y o Economics, Depa men o In o ma ics, Czech Republic, ORCID:
0000-0002-6047-9434, [email p o ec ed];
2 Ma ej Bel Uni e si y in Banská Bys ica, Facul y o Economics, Depa men o Co po a e Economics and
Managemen , Slo akia, ORCID: 0000-0003-2335-0073, [email p o ec ed];
3 Uni e si y o P ešo , Facul y o Managemen , Depa men o Economics and Economy, Slo akia, ORCID:
0000-0002-3056-5294, [email p o ec ed];
4 Uni e si y o P ešo , Facul y o Managemen , Depa men o Economics and Economy, Slo akia, ORCID:
0000-0002-8341-3016, as isla [email p o ec ed].
Abs ac : The Al man model is s ill one o he mos widely used p edic i e models in he 21s
cen u y, and i aims o highligh he di e ences be ween bank up and heal hy en e p ises. This
model has been modi ied se e al imes; i s mos well-known o ms a e om 1968, 1983 and 1995.
Howe e , he use o he Al man Z-sco e o Slo ak en e p ises is mo e han ques ionable. The
unsui abili y o he model o he condi ions o Slo ak companies has been con i med by se e al
empi ical su eys. The objec i e o his s udy was o e i y he alida ion o hese h ee a ian s o
he Al man model, depending on how an unp ospe ous company is iden i ied, using a sample o
996 ag icul u al en e p ises ope a ing in he Slo ak Republic. Fou indica o s we e selec ed o he
iden i ica ion o an unp ospe ous en e p ise – economic esul s, o al liquidi y, equi y, and economic
alue added – and hey we e moni o ed o e he las yea o , as he case may be, o e he las
h ee yea s om 2014 o 2016. Using he Technique o O de o P e e ence by Simila i y o Ideal
Solu ion (TOPSIS) and Coe icien o a ia ion (CV) me hods as an objec i e me hod o weigh
de e mina ion, a combina ion o he Al man model om 1968 and he nega i e o al liquidi y in he
las e e ence yea was de e mined o be he bes . One o ou main indings is ha he way in which
an unp ospe ous en e p ise is iden i ied is a signi ican ac o a ec ing he o e all eliabili y o he
Al man model. The Al man model om 1968 and 1983 con i med he di e ences esul ing om
he na u al condi ions in which he en e p ises ope a e. The economic esul s and economic alue
added (EVA) p o ed o be inapp op ia e as indica o s o de ining an unp ospe ous en e p ise in he
condi ions o he Slo ak Republic.
Keywo ds: Unp ospe ous en e p ise, Al man model, TOPSIS echnique, Coe icien o a ia ion
me hod.
JEL Classi ica ion: B23, Q14.
APA S yle Ci a ion: Va ek, R., Gundo á, P., K a čáko á Vozá o á, I., & Ko ulič, R. (2021).
Al man Model Ve i ica ion Using a Mul i-c i e ia App oach o Slo akian Ag icul u al En e p ises.
E&M Economics and Managemen , 24(1), 146–164. h ps://doi.o g/10.15240/ ul/001/2021-1-010
In oduc ion
In he 21s cen u y, a p e equisi e o
a success ul business is good knowledge o
pas and cu en ends, o he igh long- e m
decisions o be made. Acco ding o B ealey e
al. (2011), knowing whe e a company s ands
oday is a necessa y p elude o con empla ing
whe e he company migh end up in he u u e.
One o he op ions o suppo ing sho - e m
and long- e m decisions is inancial analysis
147
1, XXIV, 2021
Finance
and inancial a ios. Financial a ios ha e
adi ionally been indica o s o a co po a e’s
o e all pe o mance (Rahman e al., 2017) and
may help o quan i y he po en ial impac o
in e nal a ings on inancial pe o mance (Belas
e al., 2012; Klieš ik e al., 2020).
The simples and na owes de ini ion o
inancial analysis is based on he ac i i ies
ha his e m includes wi hou speci ying hei
pu pose, i.e., inancial analysis is an analysis
o company da a, which is based on accoun ing
(Sů o á & Knai l, 2008). I is ocused on
e alua ing he inancial heal h o a company
and iden i ying i s weaknesses and s eng hs
(M k ička & Kolář, 2006). Acco ding o Bank
e al. (2006), his assessmen is dependen on
he company’s liquidi y and sho - e m inancial
liabili ies, which ep esen i s abili y o egula e
sou ces o unding. Acco ding o Bocha o
(2007), i is necessa y also o conside inancial
analysis in he long e m, i.e., as a sys ema ic
p ocess o con olling inancial esou ces. F om
a ime pe spec i e, we can di ide inancial
analysis in o e ospec i e ex-pos analysis
and ex-an e analysis ocusing on p edic ion.
The la e can iden i y c i ical ac o s ha could
h ea en he su i al o an en e p ise, i.e., an
app op ia e esponse o he esul s o ex-an e
analysis in he o m o eco e y measu es can
signi ican ly a ec a company’s u u e inancial
si ua ion o ensu e i s sus ainabili y. Financial
dis ess can be de ined in many di e en
ways, and simila ly, he e minology e e ing
o companies expe iencing such also di e s
– bank up , insol en , and in de aul (Čámská
& Klecka, 2020; Alaka e al., 2018). Se e al
p edic ion me hods based on ex-an e inancial
analysis ha e been e i ied o da e (e.g.
Mihalo ič, 2018; Ga ú o á e al., 2017; Ko e
al., 2017).
The aim o his s udy was o e i y he
explana o y powe o h ee a ian s o he
Al man model ( om 1968, 1983 and 1995)
depending on how a non-p ospe ous en e p ise
is iden i ied, using a sample o 996 ag icul u al
en e p ises ope a ing in Slo akia. To e i y
he ou pu s o ex-an e inancial analysis, i
is also necessa y o iden i y p ospe ous and
unp ospe ous en e p ises ( i s pa ). The e
a e usually wo app oaches, depending on
he legisla i e and heo e ical de ini ions.
The legisla i e de ini ion o an unp ospe ous
en e p ise is de e mined by he legisla ion o
a gi en coun y; in his case, we encoun e he
concep o bank up cy. The heo e ical de ini ion
is gi en by he quan i ica ion o a selec ed se
o inancial indica o s and hei subsequen
scaling (see ex an e me hods). In he ollowing
ex , he a ious app oaches aken by bo h
o eign and domes ic au ho s o de ining an
unp ospe ous en e p ise a e desc ibed, and
he equen pene a ion o indi idual c i e ia
can be obse ed. The second pa is ocused
on a se o ou own indica o s used o iden i y
an unp ospe ous en e p ise, i.e., me hodology.
The hi d pa desc ibes he esul s o ou own
esea ch, i.e., he e i ica ion o he p edic i e
abili y o he Al man model applied o a sample
o 996 ag icul u al en e p ises in he Slo ak
Republic. The use o a mul i-c i e ion app oach
in he o m o he CV-TOPSIS echnique as
a me hodological ex ension o he discussed
app oaches o he e i ica ion o he explana o y
powe o p edic ion models can be desc ibed as
o iginal and new (see Pa 1). The ou h pa
p esen s a discussion o he ob ained esul s
in he con ex o o he au ho s’ hough s and
esea ch. The las pa p esen s he conclusion
and an e alua ion o he ob ained esul s.
1. Di e en App oaches oDe ining
an Unp ospe ous En e p ise
In he p e ious sec ion, we deal wi h de ining
an unp ospe ous en e p ise om di e en
pe spec i es, i.e., hose ha can be applied
o en e p ises ega dless o he egion in
which hey a e loca ed. Fo an app op ia e
de ini ion, we conside i necessa y also o
ake in o accoun he local condi ions in which
a company ope a es. This is hen e lec ed
in a mo e p ecise de ini ion o he condi ions
unde which he en e p ise can be conside ed
unp ospe ous.
Bakeš and Valáško á (2018) p oposed
c i e ia o iden i ying an unp ospe ous
company ha would ake in o accoun cu en ly
alid Slo ak legisla ion along wi h economic
and inancial aspec s. Such c i e ia include
a a io o equi y o liabili ies o <0.08, a o al
liquidi y o <1, and nega i e ea nings a e
ax. Ďu ica (2018) desc ibed an unp ospe ous
en e p ise as an en e p ise in c isis, when he
o al amoun o hei cu en liabili ies is highe
han he alue o hei cu en asse s, he a io
o equi y o liabili ies is less han 0.04, and
he company has gene a ed a loss ( alid o
analysis in 2016). Klieš ik e al. (2018) and
Mendelo á and Bieliko á (2017) iden i ied an
148 2021, XXIV, 1
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unp ospe ous en e p ise as one ha mee s he
c i e ion ound in applicable legisla ion o he
Slo ak Republic, i.e., he alue o i s liabili ies
due exceeds he alue o i s asse s, o he
en e p ise is in nega i e equi y.
Bieliko á e al. (2014) desc ibed a mo e
complex iew, exp essed by h ee c i e ia
acco ding o which an en e p ise can be
conside ed unp ospe ous, namely, i i :
 Mee s he legisla i e de ini ion o an
en e p ise in he Slo ak Republic, i.e., he
en e p ise is obliged o conduc accoun ing
p ocedu es acco ding o a special
egula ion, i has mo e han one c edi o
and he alue o i s liabili ies exceeds he
alue o i s asse s, i.e., he en e p ise is in
nega i e equi y;
 Has made a loss o wo consecu i e yea s;
 Has a nega i e e u n on sales (ROS) and
o al liquidi y (L3) less han 1.
This se o c i e ia was also used by
Bieliko á (2016), who addi ionally ake in o
accoun he ollowing:
 The legisla i e de ini ion o a company in
p olonga ion in he Slo ak Republic, i.e.,
he same c i e ion as in he p e ious case;
 The Eu opean Union guidelines 2004/C
244/02 on s a e aid o escuing and
es uc u ing i ms in di icul y, which de ine
a i m in di icul y as one in which mo e han
hal o he basic capi al is co e ed by loss
and mo e han a qua e o ha basic capi al
was co e ed by loss du ing he p e ious 12
mon hs;
 A loss in wo consecu i e pe iods.
Boďa and Ú adníček (2016) and K áľ e
al. (2016) p esen ed a se o h ee c i e ia o
iden i ying an unsuccess ul business. These
c i e ia include nega i e equi y and ea nings
a e ax (EAT <0), as well as a o al liquidi y
(L3) less han 1. Acco ding o Valáško á e al.
(2018a, 2018b), an unp ospe ous company
is one wi h a a io o equi y o o al deb less
han 0.4, a o al liquidi y (L3) less han 1, and
nega i e ea nings a e ax (EAT). Acco ding o
Ko áčo á and Kubala (2018), i is an en e p ise
ha :
 Did no achie e posi i e equi y, o in o he
wo ds, he di e ence be ween asse s and
liabili ies, including he acc ual o liabili ies,
was nega i e;
 Had a leas wo mone a y liabili ies mo e
han 30 days o e due (because we we e
unable o iden i y his in o ma ion di ec ly
om he inancial s a emen s, i has been
eplaced by a de e mina ion o he o e all
liquidi y indica o h eshold, i.e., L3 <1);
 Exhibi ed he ollowing alues o he sel -
inancing coe icien (equi y and liabili ies
a io): in 2016, <0.08; in 2015, <0.06; and
in 2014, <0.04.
Fo an independen g oup o au ho s, he
key c i e ion o assessing business p ospe i y
is he economic alue added, which ep esen s
an agg ega e cha ac e is ic o a company’s
inancial pe o mance. This g oup includes
Šo anko á e al. (2017), Neumaie o á and
Neumaie (2016), Čámská (2016), Maňaso á
(2008) and o he s; in all cases, an unp ospe ous
en e p ise is one ha has achie ed nega i e
economic alue added in a ce ain pe iod.
Along wi h Lesáko á e al. (2015), Zalai e
al. (2013) and o he s, we conside economic
alue added as an impo an c i e ion, as he e
has been a ecen shi in hinking away om
adi ional indica o s owa ds he ma ke alue
o a company. This is con i med by he ac ha
he EVA indica o is now inc easingly being
used in inancial managemen and decision-
making.
2. TheAl manModelasaMe hod
o Mul idimensionalDisc imina ion
Analysis
As a esul o he ecen wo ldwide inancial
c isis and economic ecession, he demand o
bank up cy-p edic ion models and inancial-
isk analysis has gained s ong a en ion. The
inabili y o accu a ely p edic bo h bank up cy
and c edi isk can ha e de as a ing socio-
economic e ec s (An unes e al., 2017). To
da e, many models o p edic bank up cy ha e
been in oduced, bu esea ch in his ield
is e e cons an (Le e al., 2018; Zelenko
e al., 2017). Se e al au ho s (Alaka e al.,
2018; Ka as & Režnáko á, 2012; Sušický,
2011) a gue ha me hods o mul idimensional
disc imina ion analysis a e he wo ld’s mos
widely used me hods o p edic ing he inancial
heal h o businesses. Among hei suppo e s
a e Balcaen and Oooghe (2006) and Sun e al.
(2014), who app ecia e hei good classi ica ion
capabili y.
The ounde and pionee o he use o
mul idimensional disc imina ion analysis is
Al man (1968). The Al man Z-sco e is cu en ly
he mos well-known and widely used p edic ion
model (Ga ú o á e al., 2017; Delina & Packo á,
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1, XXIV, 2021
Finance
2013). I is o en modi ied and e i ied o he
needs o na ional economics. In he Slo ak
Republic, hese applica ions a e o e ed by
Kabá (2011a) and Boďa and Ú adníček (2016,
2019); in he Czech Republic, by Schön eld e
al. (2018) and Režňáko á and Ka as (2015);
and ab oad, by Li and Fa (2019), Almany e al.
(2016), Sulub (2014) and Li schu z and Jacobi
(2010).
The model was c ea ed using a sample o
33 US companies ha wen bank up be ween
1946 and 1965, while a second g oup included
33 US companies ha p ospe ed in his pe iod
(Kočišo á & Mišanko á, 2014). Al man (2002)
conside ed he limi ed da a a ailable o be
a majo p oblem, causing he g oup o selec ed
businesses o be ela i ely he e ogeneous.
The au ho ini ially wo ked wi h a se o 22
selec ed inancial indica o s om i e classes –
liquidi y, p o i abili y, deb , sol ency and ac i i y
(Hosaka, 2019; Kabá , 2011a). Conce ning
Al man’s Z-sco e, i ms a e g ouped in o he
h ee zones o disc imina ion iden i ied by
Al man: he Dis ess Zone, G ey Zone and Sa e
Zone (Meggison e al., 2019). Al man’s goal
was o selec a small numbe o a io indica o s
ha would bes highligh he di e ence be ween
a bank up and a heal hy en e p ise. Ra io
indica o s we e selec ed based on he g ea es
di e ences in he alues be ween he di e en
se s o en e p ises (see Tab. 1).
In his manne , Al man c ea ed a i e-
ac o model. In he o iginal s udy om 1968,
he success ully classi ied 94% o bank up
US en e p ises and 97% o p ospe ous US
p oduc ion en e p ises based on a Z-sco e
wi h an annual ad ance. In he 30 yea s
ollowing he c ea ion o he model, he es ed
i s p edic i e abili y, and ano he 86 p oblema ic
en e p ises we e analyzed om 1969 o
1975. F om 1976 o 1995, Al man es ed 110
bank up en e p ises, and in he pe iod om
1997 o 1999, he numbe o en e p ises
wen up o 120. The h eshold o p oblema ic
businesses was se a 2.67, and businesses
we e only es ed wo yea s be o e bank up cy
(Maňaso á, 2008). Al man (2006) s a es ha
he main eason o he highe e o a e o he
model is ha , a ha ime, US businesses we e
a highe isk compa ed o when he model was
c ea ed. The highe isk le el is e lec ed in he
change in he a iables X2 and X4. In 1983, an
upda ed Al man Z-sco e model was c ea ed ( o
businesses ha did no ha e publicly aded
sha es) and included he same a io indica o s
as he o iginal model. Howe e , he weigh s o
he indi idual a io indica o s we e changed,
and hus, he e alua ion c i e ia also changed.
The same changes ook place in 1995, when
a hi d model was c ea ed o he pu pose o
e alua ing non-p oduc i e en e p ises; i was
also used in i s own esea ch. E en Al man’s
models based on mul iple disc iminan analysis
ha e p o ed qui e success ul and s ood up
o c i icism (Pe ei a e al., 2016). Acco ding
o Klieš ik e al. (2015), he limi a ions o he
models a e as ollows. The models ake only
a no mal dis ibu ion o independen a iables
in o accoun , conside only homogenei y o he
a ia ion-co a ia ion ma ix, and assume only
a linea ela ionship be ween he independen
a iables. Al man’s models a e accoun ing-
based, which educes hei abili y o p edic
inancial dis ess and bank up cy eliably. Li
and Fa (2019) a gue ha unde he going-
conce n p inciple, hei applica ion is limi ed, as
p edic ions o a i m’s u u e inancial condi ion
may be less in o ma i e when hey a e based
on he i m’s pas pe o mance.
Indica o Heal hy en e p ises Bank up en e p ises
Wo king capi al/ o al asse s X10.414 −0.061
Re ained ea nings/ o al asse s X20.355 −0.626
Ea nings be o e in e es and ax/ o al asse s X30.154 −0.318
Ma ke capi alisa ion/ o al liabili ies X42.477 0.401
Sales/ o al asse s X51.900 1.500
Sou ce: Al man (1968)
Tab. 1: A e age alues o Al man es indica o s in 1968
150 2021, XXIV, 1
Finance
3. Resea chMe hodology
A e a heo e ical o e iew o he di e en iews
on wha cons i u es an unp ospe ous en e p ise
and a speci ica ion o he basics o he Al man
model, i is possible o de ine he aim o he
p esen ed manusc ip as a e i ica ion o he
Al man model’s p edic i e abili y depending on
how an unp ospe ous en e p ise is iden i ied.
Based on he heo e ical de ini ion o he
di e en iews on wha highligh s an unp ospe ous
en e p ise, we p esen a summa y o e iew
(Tab. 2), which also se es o de ine i s own iew.
Fo he pu poses o he u he analysis
o unp ospe ous en e p ises, we will conside
ones ha mee :
 Sepa a ely, one o he ou condi ions
e e ed o abo e in he las e e ence yea ,
2016 (Va ian s A1, A2, A3, A4);
 Sepa a ely, one o he ou condi ions
e e ed o abo e h oughou he pe iod
unde e iew, in 2014, 2015 and 2016
(Va ian s B1, B2, B3, B4);
 A he same ime, all ou o he abo e
condi ions in he las e e ence yea , 2016
(Va ian C).
Wi hin he amewo k o he p esen ed
esea ch, we discuss he explana o y abili y
o h ee a ian s o he Al man model, i.e., he
models om 1968, 1983 and 1995 ( o mo e
de ails and di e ences, see Ko ulič e al., 2018),
which a e calcula ed as ollows:
Z1968 = 1.2X1 + 1.4X2 + 3.3X3 + 0.6X4 + 0.999X5 (1)
Z1968 = 0.717X1 + 0.847X2 + 3.107X3 +
+ 0.420X4 + 0.998X5 (2)
Z1995 = 6.56X1 + 3.26X2 + 6.72X3 + 1.05X4 (3)
whe e: X1 = Ne wo king capi al/ o al asse s;
X2 = Re ained ea nings/ o al asse s;
X3 = Ea nings be o e in e es and ax/
o al asse s;
X4 = Ma ke alue o equi y/ o al
liabili ies;
X5 = Sales/ o al asse s.
As can be seen om he cons uc ion o
indi idual models o modi ica ions o he Al man
model, he s uc u e o he indica o s used
emains he same. Views on hei impo ance
has changed o e he yea s, exp essed by
a change in he weigh s assigned o each
indica o . These changes in weigh we e
subsequen ly e lec ed in a change in he
in e als/bounda ies o he iden i ica ion o an
unp ospe ous en e p ise, o a heal hy one, as
he case may be (Tab. 3).
The explana o y abili y o he Al man model
is subsequen ly e i ied by he calcula ion o
he ype I e o (α), ype II e o (β) and o e all
eliabili y, which a e shown in Tab. 4.
Acco ding o Ga ú o á e al. (2017) and
Delina and Packo á (2013), he ollowing
calcula ion is based on he abo e able o :
 Type I e o , i.e., he p opo ion o
misclassi ied bank up companies ( he
alse-nega i e a e):
FNR = FN
TP + FN (4)
Va ian Condi ion Au ho
A1 B1
C
1. P o i < 0
Bakeš & Valáško á, 2018; Ďu ica, 2018; Valáško á e al.,
2018a, 2018b; Boďa & Ú adníček, 2016; K áľ e al., 2016;
Bieliko á e al., 2014
A2 B2 2. Equi y < 0
Klieš ik e al., 2018; Ko áčo á & Kubala, 2018;
Mendelo á & Bieliko á, 2017; Boďa & Ú adníček, 2016;
K áľ e al., 2016; Bieliko á e al., 2014
A3 B3 3. L3 < 1
Bakeš & Valáško á, 2018; Ko áčo á & Kubala, 2018;
Valáško á e al., 2018a, 2018b; Boďa & Ú adníček, 2016;
K áľ e al., 2016; Bieliko á e al., 2014
A4 B4 4. EVA < 0,
(EAT − e × E) < 0
Šo ánko á e al., 2017; Čámská, 2016; Neumaie o á &
Neumaie , 2013, 2016; Maňaso á, 2008
Sou ce: own
Tab. 2: Condi ions o iden i ying an unp ospe ous en e p ise

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 Type II e o , i.e., he p opo ion o
misclassi ied p ospe ous companies ( he
alse-posi i e a e):
FPR = FP
FP + TN (5)
 O e all eliabili y (o e all accu acy), i.e., he
p opo ion o co ec ly classi ied en e p ises:
ACC = TP + TN
TP + TN + FP + FN (6)
The da a o he analyses we e d awn om
da a o ag icul u al companies (balance shee s
and p o i and loss s a emen s) p o ided by he
Minis y o Ag icul u e o he Slo ak Republic in
he o m o in o ma ion shee s o anonymous
ag icul u al subjec s. The o al ile included 1,867
subjec s o legal and na u al pe sons wi h up o
19 and 20 o mo e employees in he pe iod 2014–
2016. By using he SOFINA_s anda d economic
so wa e o inancial planning and manage ial
economy, we iden i ied 996 businesses ( om
he o al se ) o which he e was a con inuous
eco d o inancial da a o he e e ence pe iod
and which had ull eco ds o balance shee s and
inancial s a emen s (see Fig. 1).
Di e ences in he economic esul s o hese
en i ies can also be obse ed wi h espec o
he na u al condi ions in which hey ope a e.
Ko ulič e al. (2017) di ided he e i o y o he
Slo ak Republic in o wo g oups (Fig. 2) on his
basis.
Financial p oblems G ay zone Heal hy en e p ise
Z-sco e (1968) – A68 <1.81 <1.81–2.99> >2.99
Z-sco e (1983) – A83 <1.2 <1.2–2.9> >2.9
Z-sco e (1995) – A95 <1.1 <1.1–2.6> >2.6
Sou ce: Boďa and Ú adníček (2016)
P edic ion-bank up cy P edic ion-non-bank up cy
Fac -bank up cy he co ec esul (TP) e o ype I (FN)
Fac -non-bank up cy e o ype II (FP) he co ec esul (TN)
Sou ce: Klepáč and Hampel (2017)
Tab. 3: E alua ion bounda ies o indi idual Al man models
Tab. 4: Type I and II e o
Fig. 1: S uc u e o he esea ch sample
Sou ce: own
152 2021, XXIV, 1
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The me hod o Damoda an (2004, 2014)
was used o calcula e he cos o equi y capi al
( e) acco ding o he EVA indica o (Tab. 2); i
was also applied by Šo ánko á e al. (2017)
and Mařík e al. (2011). The analyses we e
pe o med in MS Excel, S a is ica 13.4 and
S a g aphics XVIII.
3.1 TOPSISTechniqueasaTool o 
Assessing heExplana o yAbili y
o  heModel
MCDM (Mul i C i e ia Decision Making)
me hods we e de eloped o assis decision-
making ega ding ei he anking a known
se o al e na i es o a p oblem o making
a choice om among his se while conside ing
he con lic ing c i e ia (Ma dani e al., 2016).
Acco ding o Za adskas e al. (2014), he
Technique o O de o P e e ence by Simila i y
o Ideal Solu ion (TOPSIS) is one o he mos
widely used MCDM me hods. The o igin o his
me hod can be a ibu ed o Hwang and Yoon
(1981) and Yoon (1980), who de eloped i as
an al e na i e o he ELECTRE me hod. The
esul o he TOPSIS echnique is desc ibed
by S eimikine e al. (2012) as a solu ion
wi h he sho es dis ance o a posi i e-ideal
solu ion (PIS), in e ms o Euclidean dis ance.
The TOPSIS me hod o e s a solu ion ha is
he closes o he abo emen ioned PIS unde
he gi en condi ions and, a he same ime,
he a hes om he nega i e-ideal solu ion
(NIS) (Za adskas e al., 2016). The TOPSIS
echnique was pe o med acco ding o Va ek
and Bečica (2020) and Va ek (2019).
The indica o s used o he abo e
calcula ion a e he esul o an e alua ion o he
Al man model’s explana o y abili y:
 I1 = Type I e o (FNR) wi h a minimizing
cha ac e ;
 I2 = Type II e o (FPR) wi h a minimizing
cha ac e ;
 I3 = O e all eliabili y (ACC) wi h
a maximizing cha ac e .
Fo each o he MCDM me hods, he i s
and essen ial s ep is de e mining he weigh s
o he indi idual indica o s. Ke šuliene e al.
(2010) di ide he app oaches o weigh ing
in o ou g oups: subjec i e, expe , objec i e
and in eg a ed (which combines he p e ious
app oaches). Subjec i e me hods e lec he
decision-make ’s pe sonali y and indi idual
p e e ences. Objec i e me hods de e mine
weigh s based on a p ede e mined ma hema ical
model unique o each me hod, wi h he decision-
make ha ing no in luence on he ou come. They
include CRITIC (CRi e ia Impo ance Th ough
Fig. 2: Spa ial dis ibu ion o analyzed subjec s (LFA – he dis ic s wi h wo se na u al
condi ions; NONLFA – he dis ic s wi h be e na u al condi ions)
Sou ce: own
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1, XXIV, 2021
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In e c i e ia Co ela ion), MW (mean weigh ), SD
(s anda d de ia ion), SVP (S a is ical Va iance
P ocedu e) and o he s (see Sude & Kah aman,
2018; Yalcin & Unlu, 2018, and o he s). Fo ou
own p ocessing, he Coe icien o a ia ion
me hod (CV) was used, which was de ised by
Singla e al. (2017) and u he desc ibed in he
s udies o Va ek and Cho anco á (2019) and
Yalcin and Unlu (2018).
The aim o he CV-TOPSIS combina ion is
an objec i e assessmen o he Al man model’s
explana o y abili y o indi idual a ian s, which
would e lec he eliabili y o no only he model
(ACC) as a whole bu also speci ic esul s (FNR
and FPR), which we belie e should also be
conside ed. These esul s a e supplemen ed by
addi ional ma hema ical and s a is ical me hods
o which we can add he Mann-Whi ney es
(W), K uskal-Wallis es (Q), Le ene es (LE)
and Kolmogo o -Smi no es (K-S).
4. Resea chResul s
The esul s o ou own esea ch can be di ided
in o se e al sepa a e pa s. In he i s , he o e all
e alua ion esul s a e desc ibed and s a is ically
compa ed. In he second, he e alua ion o a se
o 996 en i ies is ca ied ou sepa a ely using
each condi ion o iden i ying unp ospe ous
en e p ises in he las moni o ed yea , 2016 (i.e.,
Va ian s A1, A2, A3, A4), one o he condi ions
o he las h ee yea s is ul illed sepa a ely (i.e.,
Va ian s B1, B2, B3, B4), and all ou condi ions
o iden i ying unp ospe ous en e p ises in he
las yea o he pe iod unde e iew a e hen
ul illed simul aneously (i.e., Va ian C). The las
pa is a mul i-c i e ia e alua ion o he ob ained
esul s using he CV-TOPSIS echnique.
4.1 O e allE alua ionResul s
wi h heAl manModel
The a iabili y o he o e all e alua ion o
he esul s using he a ian s o he Al man
model ( om he yea s 1968, 1983 and 1995)
is shown in Fig. 3, om which di e ences can
be iden i ied, especially when compa ing he
ange o a ia ion (RA68 = 71.31, RA83 = 50.39,
and RA95 = 162.40), which, in combina ion wi h
he changing subjec -classi ica ion in e als,
unde lines o e all signi ican di e ences
(Q = 26.667; p < 0.01; LE = 121.036; p < 0.01).
Howe e , he pa icula a ian o he Al man
model does no a ec he shape o he o e all
esul s o hei dis ibu ion unc ion, because in
all h ee cases, we can conside he esul s o
be posi i ely skewed and mo e poin ed han
a no mal dis ibu ion.
Fig. 3: O e all esul s o he e alua ion o subjec s wi h he Al man model (Z-sco e)
Sou ce: own
154 2021, XXIV, 1
Finance
This s uc u e o he absolu e esul s is
e lec ed in a classi ica ion o he inancial
heal h o indi idual en e p ises (Fig. 4). The
Al man model om 1968 and 1983 ma ked
he inancial heal h o he majo i y o he a ed
en i ies as nega i e, and signaled inancial
p oblems o hese en i ies in he upcoming
pe iod (60% o 53%, as he case may be). By
con as , he Al man model om 1995 indica ed
a sa is ac o y inancial si ua ion o up o 43% o
all he en i ies (426).
Di e ences in inancial heal h can also
be obse ed when compa ing en e p ises
ope a ing in be e , o wo se, na u al condi ions
(LFA/NONLFA). S a is ically signi ican
di e ences we e ound in he case o he Al man
model om 1968 and 1983, when no only he
median alue bu also he o e all s uc u e o
he esul s, i.e., hei dis ibu ion unc ion, was
di e en (see Tab. 5).
The assessmen o inancial heal h h ough
a ian s o he Al man model om 1968 and
1983 is de e mined by he quali y o he soil, i.e.,
he na u al condi ions. S a is ically signi ican
di e ences using hese a ian s we e also
demons a ed in he dis ibu ion unc ions,
bu we no e hei homoskedas ici y. Howe e ,
in he case o he 1995 model, he na u al
condi ions did no in luence his assessmen .
Pa adoxically, subjec s ope a ing in dis ic s wi h
be e na u al condi ions (NONLFA) showed
a be e a e age a ing. Based on hese esul s,
we can say ha e en in he 21s cen u y, he
assessmen o inancial heal h using he Al man
Fig. 4: Classi ica ion o he inancial heal h o subjec s acco ding o he Al man model
Sou ce: own
Model Medians check Va iance check DF check A e age
LFA NON
Al man 68 W = 131417 (<0.01) LE = 0.007 (0.934) K-S = 1.996 (<0.01) 2.37 1.99
Al man 83 W = 136857 (<0.01) LE = 0.0003 (0.985) K-S = 2.483 (<0.01) 1.90 1.51
Al man 95 W = 120612 (0.287) LE = 0.039 (0.843) K-S = 0.910 (0.383) 3.18 3.08
Sou ce: own
Tab. 5: Compa ison o esul s o he Al man model (LFA/NONLFA)
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Finance
his egion. In addi ion, we plan, in he u u e, o
e i y he p edic i e abili ies o he Gu čík index
and Ch as ino a model, which we e designed
exp essly o he needs o Slo ak a ms.
Ano he limi a ion is he e i o y o he Slo ak
Republic. In o de o inc ease he objec i i y o
he esea ch esul s, we ecommend ex ending
he esea ch sample o subjec s wo king he
soil in o he V4 coun ies and compa ing hem.
Acknowledgmen s: Suppo ed by he g an
No. CZ.02.2.69/0.0/0.0/16_027/0008493 “In e -
na ional mobili y o TUL esea che s” o he
“Minis y o Educa ion, You h and Spo o he
Czech Republic”, he g an No. 024PU-4/2020
“Inno a ion o he s uc u e, con en and way
o eaching economic subjec s o he s udy
p og am Managemen and En i onmen al
Managemen a he PhD le el” o he “Cul u al
and Educa ional G an Agency o he Minis y
o Educa ion, Science, Resea ch and Spo o
he Slo ak Republic”, he g an No. 1/0578/18
“Modi ica ion o me hodologies o sus ainable
assessmen and managemen ” o he “Scien i ic
G an Agency o he Minis y o Educa ion,
Science, Resea ch and Spo o he Slo ak
Republic and he Slo ak Academy o Sciences”.
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