219
Ch onicle o a dea h o e old: Lepan hes nasa iana (O chidaceae,
Pleu o hallidinae), a newly desc ibed high-Andean o chid acing a
wo s -case clima e change scena io
Juan Sebas ián Mo eno1,2 , Angie Ta iana He e a Cobo3, Rubén Da ío Palacio1, Nicolas A. Hazzi4,5
1 Fundación Eco onos, Cali, Colombia, C a. 72 #13A 56, Cali, Valle del Cauca, Colombia
2 Ja dín Bo ánico de Cali, Fundación Zoológica de Cali, C a. 2 Oe. #21, Cali, Valle del Cauca, Colombia
3 Wildli e Conse a ion Socie y (WCS), Ca e a 24 D No. 6 Oes e – 10, Cali, Valle del Cauca, Colombia
4 Escuela de Biología, Facul ad de Ciencias, Uni e sidad Indus ial de San ande , Buca amanga, San ande , Colombia
5 Fundación Eco onos, Cali, Valle del Cauca, Colombia
Co esponding au ho : Juan Sebas ián Mo eno ([email p o ec ed])
Copy igh : © Juan Sebas ián Mo eno e al.
This is an open access a icle dis ibu ed unde
e ms o he C ea i e Commons A ibu ion
License (A ibu ion 4.0 In e na ional – CC BY 4.0).
Resea ch A icle
Abs ac
Newly disco e ed species a e inc easingly ound o be h ea ened. Fo some, hei o mal
desc ip ion may al eady o e ell hei ex inc ion, a phenomenon we he e e m he “Nasa
E ec .” This phenomenon is inspi ed by he agic a e o San iago Nasa , he p o ago-
nis o Gab iel Ga cía Má quez’s Ch onicle o a Dea h Fo e old, whose impending dea h is
known o e e yone bu himsel . The Nasa E ec is pa icula ly e iden in clima e- ulne -
able ecosys ems, whe e species may be p ojec ed o ex inc ion based on d ama ic cli-
ma e-d i en habi a loss. We illus a e he “Nasa E ec ” h ough he desc ip ion o a new
o chid species, Lepan hes nasa iana (Lepan hes subsec . B e es), endemic o he cloud
o es s and pá amos o he Wes e n and Cen al Andes o Colombia, be ween 2,800 and
3,600 m ele a ion. The species inhabi s mossy b anches in shaded, humid en i onmen s
and is mos simila o L. me ueensis, om which i di e s by i s oblong-lanceola e lea es,
alca e pe al lobes, and na owly o a e lip blades wi h an in lexed appendix, among o he
cha ac e s. Based on i s cu en ex en o occu ence (27,502 km2) and a ea o occupancy
(12,775 km2), L. nasa iana is p elimina ily assessed as Leas Conce n (LC) ollowing he
IUCN Red Lis guidelines. Howe e , species dis ibu ion models p ojec ed o 2090 unde
he SSP5–8.5 scena io indica e a 96% loss o sui able habi a , which would quali y he
species as C i ically Endange ed (CR) unde C i e ion A3(c). Wi hou immedia e and con-
ce ed global e o s o mi iga e emissions, L. nasa iana exempli ies he po en ial a e o
many species desc ibed om clima e- ulne able ecosys ems, such as he high Andean
moun ains, whe e hey may al eady be on a p edes ined sho pa h o ex inc ion.
Key wo ds: Biodi e si y loss, conse a ion s a egies, endemism, ex inc ion isk, habi a
agmen a ion, habi a sui abili y, high-emission scena ios, mon ane ecosys ems
In oduc ion
The ongoing human-caused plane a y c isis is d i ing an unp eceden ed a e o
biodi e si y loss, h ea ening ecosys ems and he balance o li e on Ea h (Ca -
dinale e al. 2012; Díaz e al. 2019). Ala mingly, many species ace ex inc ion
Academic edi o : João Fa minhão
Recei ed:
8 June 2025
Accep ed:
20 Oc obe 2025
Published:
19 No embe 2025
Ci a ion: Mo eno JS, He e a Cobo
AT, Palacio RD, Hazzi NA (2025)
Ch onicle o a dea h o e old:
Lepan hes nasa iana (O chidaceae,
Pleu o hallidinae), a newly desc ibed
high-Andean o chid acing a wo s -
case clima e change scena io.
Phy oKeys 266: 219–240. h ps://doi.
o g/10.3897/phy okeys.266.161410
Phy oKeys 266: 219–240 (2025)
DOI: 10.3897/phy okeys.266.161410
220
Phy oKeys 266: 219–240 (2025), DOI: 10.3897/phy okeys.266.161410
Juan Sebas ián Mo eno e al.: A new Andean Lepan hes unde clima e isk
be o e hey a e e en disco e ed (Liu e al. 2022), spa king a ace agains ime
o iden i y, desc ibe, and ca alog new species be o e hey anish (Cos ello e
al. 2013; Boehm and C onk 2021). I is es ima ed ha h ee ou o ou unde-
sc ibed plan s may al eady be h ea ened (B own e al. 2023), gi en concu en
habi a loss and clima e change (Boonman e al. 2024) pa e ns. These unde-
sc ibed species a e o en a e endemics con ined o ex emely limi ed anges
(Pimm e al. 2014; Enquis e al. 2019). Many o hem a e ound in moun ain
ecosys ems, whe e clima e change e ec s ha e been iden i ied as one o he
mos signi ican h ea s (Fos e 2001; Kohle e al. 2010; Ala cón Hincapié and
Pabón Caicedo 2013; Schmelle e al. 2022).
Clima e change impac s on moun ain ecosys ems ex end a beyond ising
empe a u es, igge ing a cascade o ecological dis up ions. These include
shi s in p ecipi a ion pa e ns, al e ed hyd ological cycles, and educed cloud
co e (Helme e al. 2019; Pabón-Caicedo e al. 2020; Ma a-Guel e al. 2023;
Guzmán Q. e al. 2024). Collec i ely, hese changes heigh en he isk o habi a
loss and diminish he a ailabili y o sui able en i onmen al niches o moun-
ain species (Richa ds 2021; Cues a e al. 2023). Many o hese species, con-
s ained by na ow anges and ele a ion-dependen habi a s, may s uggle o
mig a e o mo e a o able condi ions (Bell e al. 2014), wi h ou comes hea -
ily in luenced by species-speci ic en i onmen al esponses (Maman o e al.
2021). While some species may ack coole empe a u es by shi ing o highe
ele a ions, pa icula ly in opical egions (F eeman e al. 2021), o o he s he
lack o highe ele a ions makes upwa d mig a ion impossible.
Ul ima ely, clima e change pa e ns pose a se e e h ea o he su i al
o highly specialized moun ain species, exace ba ing he biodi e si y c i-
sis in hese ecosys ems. This is pa icula ly conce ning in he opical An-
des, one o he mos biodi e se egions on he plane , exhibi ing high le els
o endemism and species u no e (Mye s e al. 2000; Hazzi e al. 2018).
This egion ha bo s an ex ao dina y ichness o plan species, many o
which emain undisco e ed (Rahbek e al. 2019). O pa icula impo ance
a e epiphy es, which cons i u e 30–50% o he ascula lo a in neo opi-
cal moun ains (Niede e al. 1999; Kelly e al. 2004; Gómez González e al.
2017; Taylo e al. 2022) and a e highly ulne able, wi h an es ima ed 60%
o neo opical epiphy es al eady acing ex inc ion isk (Ca mona-Higui a e
al. 2024). O chids, he mos di e se g oup o ascula epiphy es and one o
he la ges plan amilies globally, ace heigh ened isks due o hei highly
specialized habi a equi emen s, including na ow mic oclima ic ole anc-
es and speci ic ecological in e ac ions (Zo z 2013; Mond agón e al. 2015;
Ace edo e al. 2020). These cons ain s make hem pa icula ly ulne able
o habi a loss and en i onmen al change.
Clima e change can also dis up c i ical phenological e en s, leading o mis-
ma ches be ween lowe ing pe iods and pollina o ac i i y (Robbi e al. 2014;
Hu chings e al. 2018). Al hough such misma ches ha e been documen ed in
o he plan g oups, hei implica ions o o chids emain insu icien ly explo ed
(W ai h and Picke ing 2018). Howe e , eme ging e idence sugges s his gap
is na owing. Fo ins ance, Wa eyn e al. (2025) modeled he po en ial spa ial
decoupling be ween wild Vanilla Plum. ex Mill. species and hei pollina o s un-
de clima e change scena ios, showing ha species wi h na ow pollina ion
niches a e a pa icula ly high isk o losing ep oduc i e success due o u u e
221
Phy oKeys 266: 219–240 (2025), DOI: 10.3897/phy okeys.266.161410
Juan Sebas ián Mo eno e al.: A new Andean Lepan hes unde clima e isk
ange misma ches. Simila ly, Ka emans (2024) highligh s how he unce ain y
su ounding he iden i y and e ec i eness o pollina o s o Vanilla plani olia An-
d ews—combined wi h i s low na u al ui se and clima e-d i en ulne abili y—
unde sco es he u gency o in eg a ing pollina o dynamics in o conse a ion
s a egies o o chids and hei wild ela i es.
Lepan hes Sw. is no only one o he mos di e se gene a o o chids bu
is also conside ed a megadi e se plan genus globally, wi h 1,196 desc ibed
species (Ka emans e al. 2023; Moonligh e al. 2024). Colombia is he
coun y wi h he highes ichness o Lepan hes, o aling 386 species, ac-
coun ing o 20% o he Pleu o hallidinae sub ibe in he coun y (Ka emans
e al. 2023). Despi e hei wide dis ibu ion, mos Lepan hes species exhibi
high le els o endemism (Lue and Thoe le 2012), wi h many known om
a single locali y (Lue and Thoe le 2012; Pupulin and Boga ín 2012; Ka e-
mans e al. 2023), such as moun ain op slopes (Pupulin and Boga ín 2012).
This ecological specializa ion makes Lepan hes highly suscep ible o he e -
ec s o clima e change (T emblay e al. 1998; C ain 2012; Lue and Thoe le
2012; Pupulin and Boga ín 2012; Ace edo e al. 2020).
In his s udy, we desc ibe a newly disco e ed species o Lepan hes wi h a
na ow dis ibu ion in high-ele a ion cloud o es s and pá amo ecosys ems o
he Wes e n and Cen al Co dille as o he Colombian Andes. We apply species
dis ibu ion models (SDMs) o assess i s cu en and po en ial u u e dis ibu-
ion unde di e en clima e change scena ios. Based on hese analyses, we
use IUCN Red Lis c i e ia o e alua e i s p esen and p ojec ed conse a ion
s a us (Zu ell e al. 2023; Pe domo e al. 2024). Addi ionally, using his species
as a case s udy, we explo e he b oade implica ions o wha we e m he “Na-
sa E ec ”, a phenomenon in which newly desc ibed species a e p edic ed o
ace imminen ex inc ion. This e ec highligh s he u gen challenges o biodi-
e si y disco e y and conse a ion in an e a o apid en i onmen al ans o -
ma ion, unde sco ing he need o accele a ed e o s o documen and p o ec
species be o e hey a e los .
Ma e ials and me hods
Taxonomic desc ip ion
Desc ip ions and d awings we e p epa ed om li ing specimens and low-
e s p ese ed in 70% e hanol. Vege a i e s uc u es we e measu ed om
d ied ma e ial, and ep oduc i e s uc u es om spi i ma e ial. Digi al im-
ages we e aken wi h a Nikon D750 came a and a 105 mm /2.8 mac o
lens. Ske ches om specimens we e digi ized and used o c ea e a d a
empla e in Adobe Pho oshop® CS6. A digi al composi e line d awing was
hen made (lines and s ippling) using he P oc ea e illus a ion applica ion
on an iPad 6 h-gene a ion able compu e (Boga ín Cha es e al. 2019). The
new species was desc ibed ollowing s anda d bo anical e minology (S ea-
n 1992; Lue and Thoe le 2012; Been je 2016). In addi ion, all o iginal de-
sc ip ions o ela ed species we e consul ed o de ailed compa isons (Lue
1996; Dodson and Lue 2011; Lue and Thoe le 2012). The ypology o he
in lo escences ollows he classi ica ion p oposed by Rojas-Al a ado and
Ka emans (2024) o Pleu o hallidinae.
222
Phy oKeys 266: 219–240 (2025), DOI: 10.3897/phy okeys.266.161410
Juan Sebas ián Mo eno e al.: A new Andean Lepan hes unde clima e isk
Occu ence and en i onmen al da a
A o al o nine eco ds we e ob ained o he new species, along wi h
specimens consul ed om he ollowing he ba ia: AMES, CAUP, COL, CUVC,
HUA, JAUM, JBB, TOLI, and VALLE. These eco ds p o ided he da a used o
model he species’ dis ibu ion. En i onmen al da a we e e ie ed om he
Wo ldClim da abase (h ps://www.wo ldclim.o g; Fick and Hijmans 2017),
which p o ides key bioclima ic a iables such as empe a u e, p ecipi a ion,
and clima ic a iabili y, including measu es o seasonali y and ex eme
condi ions (e.g., empe a u e annual ange, p ecipi a ion seasonali y).
To educe mul icollinea i y among p edic o a iables, which can lead o
in la ed a iance and un eliable model es ima es, we selec ed a iables
wi h Pea son co ela ion < 0.75. In addi ion, a iables we e chosen based
on hei biological ele ance and in e p e abili y o he species’ ecology.
Fo example, we e ained annual mean empe a u e (Bio1) ins ead o highly
co ela ed a iables such as maximum empe a u e o he wa mes mon h
(Bio5), because Bio1 p o ides a mo e ecologically meaning ul ep esen a ion
o he he mal en i onmen . The inal se o p edic o s included annual mean
empe a u e (Bio1), mean diu nal empe a u e ange (Bio2), empe a u e
seasonali y (Bio4), annual p ecipi a ion (Bio12), p ecipi a ion seasonali y
(Bio15), and p ecipi a ion o he wa mes qua e (Bio18). These a iables
we e used as p edic o s o he cu en pe iod (1950–2000) and u u e
scena ios o 2070 (2061–2080) and 2090 (2081–2100). Fo u u e
scena ios, we u ilized downscaled and calib a ed p ojec ions om Gene al
Ci cula ion Models (GCMs) based on AR6 (Masson-Delmo e e al. 2021) o
he In e go e nmen al Panel on Clima e Change (IPCC) unde wo Sha ed
Socioeconomic Pa hways (SSPs): SSP5–8.5, ep esen ing a pessimis ic
scena io, and SSP2–4.5, ep esen ing an op imis ic “s abiliza ion” scena io.
These con as ing scena ios we e chosen o cap u e a ange o possible
u u e clima e policies. We did no include SSP1–2.6, he mos op imis ic
pa hway, because ecen analyses indica e ha cu en global g eenhouse
gas emission ends mo e closely ollow SSP2–4.5 and make he deep
educ ions equi ed o SSP1–2.6 inc easingly unlikely o be achie ed
(Haus a he and Pe e s 2020; UNEP 2023; Ri chie and Dowla abadi 2024).
F om a conse a ion biology pe spec i e, i is p uden o base conse a ion
s a us assessmen s on ealis ic- o-wo s -case clima e ajec o ies
a he han o e ly op imis ic ones, ollowing he p ecau iona y p inciple.
O e es ima ing u u e habi a s abili y could unde es ima e ex inc ion
isk, leading o insu icien o delayed conse a ion ac ion. The modeling
a ea was de ined by conside ing he accessible a ea o he species—
based on he BAM diag am (Ba e e al. 2011)—o e ele an ime pe iods,
encompassing his o ical ac o s associa ed wi h he species’ dis ibu ion,
wi hou explici ly conside ing SDMs. Based on eco ds o he new species
and he geog aphic and biogeog aphic ea u es o he Andes (Hazzi e al.
2018), we hypo hesized i s accessible a ea (i.e., he egion ha he species
could ha e eached o e ele an ime pe iods, gi en his o ical dispe sal
ba ie s and biogeog aphic cons ain s; see Sobe ón and Pe e son 2005) in
he Wes e n and Cen al Co dille as o Colombia, as well as he wa m Cauca
Ri e alley.
223
Phy oKeys 266: 219–240 (2025), DOI: 10.3897/phy okeys.266.161410
Juan Sebas ián Mo eno e al.: A new Andean Lepan hes unde clima e isk
Dis ibu ion modeling
The dis ibu ion o he new species was es ima ed using he Maxen algo i hm
(Eli h e al. 2006; Phillips e al. 2006). Models we e un wi h andom seed, main ain-
ing he maximum numbe o andom backg ound poin s a 1,000. To assess model
pe o mance, we applied a k- old c oss- alida ion p ocedu e, spli ing occu ences
in o aining and es ing da ase s (80% and 20%, espec i ely), and eplica ing he
p ocess 15 imes. Models we e e alua ed using he A ea Unde he Cu e (AUC)
me ic, which compa es model esul s wi h null expec a ions using a h eshold-in-
dependen measu e and indica es he model’s accu acy, wi h alues close o 1.0
ep esen ing be e pe o mance. We a e aged he AUC alues om he eplica es
and cons uc ed 95% con idence in e als o assess model signi icance compa ed
o andom expec a ions (AUC > 0.5). P ojec ions o p esen clima ic sui abili y o
u u e scena ios we e p oduced using Maxen ’s de aul se ings, and clamping
maps we e inspec ed o assess any “ex apola ion” o cu en condi ions o u u e
scena ios. Ou pu s we e plo ed as con inuous pixel alues ep esen ing clima ic
sui abili y, which we e subsequen ly con e ed o bina y p esence/absence (sui -
able/unsui able) alues using he minimum p esence h eshold. This h eshold
was deemed app op ia e because all eco ds we e ob ained and geo e e enced by
he au ho s, minimizing po en ial e o s in geo e e encing o species iden i ica ion.
We a e aged u u e p ojec ions o each GCM and scena io, es ima ing he coe i-
cien o a ia ion o e alua e geog aphic unce ain y in ou mean u u e p edic ions.
Finally, changes in clima ic sui abili y be ween cu en and u u e scena ios we e
assessed by calcula ing he di e ence be ween u u e and p esen in bo h con in-
uous and bina y models. All spa ial analyses we e pe o med using A cGIS 10.1.
Conse a ion s a us assessmen
To assess he conse a ion s a us o he new Lepan hes species, we applied
IUCN Red Lis c i e ia A and B (IUCN 2024). In line wi h Annex 1 o he Guide-
lines, we adop ed a p ecau iona y bu ealis ic app oach o unce ain y, docu-
men ing all assump ions, inpu da a, and es ima es o e o .
Fo C i e ion A, which e alua es popula ion educ ions based on pas , p es-
en , o p ojec ed declines, we used species dis ibu ion models (SDMs) o es-
ima e habi a loss o e ime. P ojec ions we e calcula ed o 2090 unde wo
clima e scena ios (SSP2–4.5 and SSP5–8.5). Al hough he s ic applica ion o
C i e ion A equi es declines o be measu ed o e h ee gene a ions o 10 yea s
(whiche e is longe , up o 100 yea s), gene a ion leng h is cu en ly unknown
o Lepan hes nasa iana and mos ela ed minia u e o chids. We he e o e used
habi a educ ion as a p ecau iona y p oxy o popula ion educ ion, as ecom-
mended in he IUCN Red Lis Guidelines and in line wi h T acewski e al. (2016).
These p ojec ions a e hus p esen ed as an explo a o y assessmen o isk
a he han a de ini i e Red Lis ca ego iza ion.
Fo C i e ion B, we es ima ed he cu en ex en o occu ence (EOO) and
a ea o occupancy (AOO) using he ConR package in R (Dauby e al. 2017). EOO
was calcula ed using a minimum con ex polygon a ound all known locali ies,
and AOO was e ined using he sui able habi a iden i ied in cu en SDMs o
imp o e ecological ealism. These me ics we e hen compa ed agains IUCN
h esholds o C i e ion B.
224
Phy oKeys 266: 219–240 (2025), DOI: 10.3897/phy okeys.266.161410
Juan Sebas ián Mo eno e al.: A new Andean Lepan hes unde clima e isk
We no e ha ou ex inc ion isk analyses based solely on SDMs do no mee
he me hodological s anda ds equi ed o a o mal assessmen unde C i e i-
on E, which is ypically based on popula ion iabili y analyses (PVAs) o cou-
pled habi a –popula ion models. Consequen ly, esul s om such analyses a e
p esen ed he e as an explo a o y e alua ion o clima e-d i en isk, bu no as a
o mal applica ion o C i e ion E unde he Red Lis amewo k.
All spa ial analyses we e conduc ed using A cGIS P o 2.8 (Es i, Redlands,
CA, USA) and R 4.1.0 (R Co e Team 2021), wi h he packages ‘sp,’ ‘ as e ,’ and
‘dismo’ (Hijmans e al. 2023).
Resul s
Taxonomic ea men
Lepan hes nasa iana J.S.Mo eno & Hazzi, sp. no .
u n:lsid:ipni.o g:names:77372105-1
Figs 1, 2
Type. Colombia • Valle del Cauca: Municipio de Cali, Ve eda Peñas Blancas,
PNN Fa allones de Cali, Minas del Soco o, Queb ada La Española, 3115 m, 29
Janua y 2020, R. Galindo-T, A. Fie o, G. Rod íguez, and M. Espi ia 1473 (holo-
ype: CUVC; iso ype: CUVC).
Diagnosis. The new species is mos simila o Lepan hes me ueensis Lue &
R.Escoba , bu i can be dis inguished mainly by i s succulen , oblong-lanceo-
la e lea es ( s. ellip ic lea es); ans e sely bilobed pe als wi h bo h lobes na -
owly iangula , alca e, and a ma ginal iangula midlobe ( s. lobes na owly
oblong); and he lip wi h blades na owly o a e wi h a ili o m and pubescen
in lexed appendix ( s. o a e blades and a ili o m, e lexed appendix).
Desc ip ion. Plan s small in size, epiphy ic, caespi ose, up o 4.5–5.0 cm all;
oo s slende , lexuous, ili o m, 0.5 mm in diame e . Ramicauls slende , igh , sub-
e ec 18–23 mm long, enclosed by 4–5 acumina e, u owed, and mic oscopical-
ly pubescen lepan hi o m shea hs, wi h a dila ed, cilia e os ia. Lea es pu ple ab-
axially, co iaceous, succulen , oblong-lanceola e, 15.7–20.3 × 3.3–4.7 mm, apex
ema gina e wi h an abaxial apiculum in he middle, base cunea e, con ac ed in o
a pe iole 2–3 mm long. In lo escence a conges ed, dis ichous aceme, 12–20
successi ely many- lowe ed, up o 18 mm long, including he pseudopeduncle
o each mul i- lowe ed co lo escence, held app essed o he abaxial su ace o
he lea by a ili o m, e e e pseudopeduncle, 3 mm long, bo ne nea he apex
o he amicaul; lo al b ac s pu ple, conical, acumina e, minu ely e uculose,
0.5–0.7 mm long; pedicels e e e, up o 1 mm long. O a y e e e, cos a e, spa se-
ly e ucose, up o 0.7 mm long. Flowe s wi h bu gundy do sal sepals wi h sa -
on ma gins, he la e al sepals sa on, sligh ly inged wi h ligh bu gundy along
he mid ein; pe als wi h a e milion uppe lobe and sa on lowe lobe wi h he
apex inged wi h ligh bu gundy; lip blades c imson, deg ading o sa on owa ds
he apex, column c imson deg ading o whi e nea he apex. Do sal sepal o a e,
acumina e, den icula e, apex e lexed, 3- eined, ca ina e, 2.6–2.7 × 1.4–1.5 mm,
conna e o he la e al sepals o 0.5 mm. La e al sepals o a e, acumina e, den-
icula e, oblique, sligh ly a enua e, 1- eined, 2.5–2.6 × 0.9–1.0 mm, conna e
o 1 mm. Pe als ans e sely bilobed, lobes na owly iangula , alca e, cilia e,
225
Phy oKeys 266: 219–240 (2025), DOI: 10.3897/phy okeys.266.161410
Juan Sebas ián Mo eno e al.: A new Andean Lepan hes unde clima e isk
mic oscopically pubescen , ob use, 0.5–0.6 × 1.4–1.6 mm, wi h a ili o m ma gin-
al iangula midlobe. Lip bilamina e, mic oscopically pubescen ; blades na owly
o a e, acu e, bases ounded, 0.88–0.90 × 0.24–0.31 mm, suppo ed by cunea e
connec i es om nea he base; body b oad, adna e o he base o he column; si-
nus ob use, wi h a ili o m, oblong, pubescen , in lexed appendix, eme ging om
he base o he main s uc u e, concealed in do sal iew and isible only in la e al
iew. Column e e e, dila ed, wi h he s igma bilobed wi h oblong lobes, 0.9–1.0
mm long, an he do sal, s igma en al. An he cap co da e, cuculla e, 0.2 mm
wide. Pollinia 2, yellow, py i o m, na owly obo oid, 0.4 mm long.
Figu e 1. Lepan hes nasa iana J.S.Mo eno & Hazzi. A. Habi ; B. Flowe ; C. Dissec ed pe ian h showing he do sal sepal,
la e al sepals, pe als, and lip; D. Lip, column, and o a y (la e al iew); E. Lip: le , do sal iew in na u al posi ion wi h he
an he cap; igh , expanded iew showing he laminae, body, and connec i es; F. An he cap and pollinia: le , do sal iew
o an he cap; igh , en al iew showing i s a achmen su ace and pai ed pollinia. D awing by J.S. Mo eno.
226
Phy oKeys 266: 219–240 (2025), DOI: 10.3897/phy okeys.266.161410
Juan Sebas ián Mo eno e al.: A new Andean Lepan hes unde clima e isk
E ymology. The speci ic epi he nasa iana e e s o San iago Nasa , he p o-
agonis o he no el “Ch onicle o a Dea h Fo e old” by Colombian au ho Gab iel
Ga cía Má quez. The name was chosen in allusion o he cha ac e ’s agic a e—
unawa e o he h ea s a ound him, he is doomed o die p ema u ely. This mi o s
he si ua ion o he newly desc ibed species: al hough i may appea s able oday,
i s ex inc ion is p edic ed in he nea u u e. The species is expec ed o unde go a
“ o e old dea h” due o he inc easing equency and in ensi y o ex eme clima ic
e en s, d i en by an h opogenic accele a ion o clima e change. While clima e has
always luc ua ed na u ally, i is he unp eceden ed speed and magni ude o cu en
shi s—caused by human ac i i y— ha now pose a c i ical h ea o biodi e si y.
Figu e 2. Lepan hes nasa iana J.S.Mo eno & Hazzi in i o, Ronces alles, Tolima. A. Flowe , on al iew; B. Lea , showing i s
hick, succulen mo phology; C. Habi o he plan in si u, showing he g ow h o m and habi a . Pho og aphs by J.S. Mo eno.
227
Phy oKeys 266: 219–240 (2025), DOI: 10.3897/phy okeys.266.161410
Juan Sebas ián Mo eno e al.: A new Andean Lepan hes unde clima e isk
Habi a and ecology. The species occu s in high Andean o es s and pá amos
o he Wes e n and Cen al Andes, ex ending owa d he Colombian Massi . I
h i es in highly humid o es s wi h small-s a u ed ees nea s eams, o en dom-
ina ed by abundan moss. These o es s a e cha ac e ized by ee species such
as B unellia goudo ii Tul., Hespe omeles e uginea (Juss. ex Pe s.) Ben h., My ci-
an hes hopaloides (Kun h) McVaugh, Weinmannia pubescens Kun h, and Wein-
mannia ollo ii Killip. Co-occu ing epiphy ic o chids commonly ound in hese
habi a s include Lepan hes in onsa Lue , Fe nandezia my illus (Rchb. .) Ga ay &
Duns ., Gomphichis al issima Renz, and Epidend um es epoanum A.D.Hawkes
Addi ional specimens examined (pa a ypes). Colombia • Valle Del Cauca:
Municipio de P ade a, Finca La Espe anza, sob e camino ceja que conduce al
pá amo de las Tinajas, 3482 m, Jul 2018, G. Reina, I. Nicholls & H. A enas 2651
(CUVC); • Cauca: Municipio de Pu acé, Co egimien o de Pale a á, ía Pale a á
– Isnos, PNN Pu acé, 3100 m, July 2024, A. Zuluaga & J.S. Mo eno 6347 (CUVC);
Municipio de To o ó, Co egimien o de Gab iel López, 3110 m, Ma ch 2016, J.S.
Mo eno & A. E azo 260 (CAUP); • Caldas: Municipio de Riosucio, A oyo Hondo,
bosque de la uche a de los Alpes ía Ja dín–Andes, 2800 m, Oc obe 2021,
T. A ias, S. Viei a, E. Res epo & D. Cada id 711 (CUVC); • Quindío: Municipio de
Salen o, ce ca de las C es as de Salen o, p edio p i ado, 2900 m, Oc obe 2024,
E. Res epo & S. S yles 296 (JBB); • Tolima: Municipio de Ronces alles, Ye ba-
buena, 3366 m, No embe , 2018 M. Rincón & J.S. Mo eno 2350 (TOLI).
Addi ional eco ds. Colombia. An ioquia: Municipio de U ao, Pá amo de
F on ino, 3413 m, Augus 2021, S. Viei a & E. Dominguez (Pho o!); Municipio de
U ao, Al o del Diablo, 3584 m, No embe 2020, S. Viei a & E. Dominguez (Pho o!).
Taxonomic no es. Lepan hes nasa iana belongs o subgenus Lepan hes, sec-
ion Lepan hes, subsec ion B e es Lue (1996), mo phologically cha ac e ized
by ha ing one- eined la e al sepals and acemes in which he achis be ween
lo al b ac s exceeds he pedicels (Lue 1996). The subsec ion is ep esen -
ed by nea ly 100 species in he Neo opics, wi h pa icula ly high ichness in
he no he n Andes (Lue and Thoe le 2012). In Colombia, L. subsec . B e es
comp ises abou 40 species, mos o hem es ic ed o high Andean o es s
and pá amos, making i a signi ican componen o he na ional Lepan hes lo-
a, which cu en ly includes o e 370 desc ibed species. Recen phylogene ic
analyses (A ias e al. 2025) ha e con i med he dis inc i eness o he “Monop-
e a” clade, which encompasses he ype species o L. subsec . B e es (Lep-
an hes monop e a Lindl.) and many o he membe s adi ionally placed in his
subsec ion. Al hough mo phological homoplasy is common in Lepan hes, he
uni eined la e al sepals emain a p ac ical diagnos ic ea u e ha uni es spe-
cies o L. subsec . B e es o iden i ica ion pu poses. In Boli ia, he subsec ion
shows an e en highe ela i e di e si y, including 24 o he 67 Lepan hes spe-
cies (o e one- hi d) eco ded in he coun y, wi h some axa exhibi ing unusual
ea u es such as plica e o in olu e la e al sepals, unde sco ing he mo pholog-
ical b ead h o he g oup ac oss i s ange (Lue and Thoe le 2010).
As s a ed in he diagnosis, L. me ueensis, a species o L. subsec . B e es
es ic ed o he Co dille a O ien al o Colombia (No e de San ande ), is he
mos simila o L. nasa iana. Howe e , L. nasa iana can be eadily dis inguished
by i s plan s wi h succulen , oblong-lanceola e lea es, pu ple abaxially ( s. co-
iaceous, ellip ic lea es, g een abaxially); amicauls sho e , enclosed by 4–5
acumina e, u owed lepan hi o m shea hs ( s. 7–9 long-cilia e shea hs wi h
234
Phy oKeys 266: 219–240 (2025), DOI: 10.3897/phy okeys.266.161410
Juan Sebas ián Mo eno e al.: A new Andean Lepan hes unde clima e isk
Nicolas A. Hazzi h ps://o cid.o g/0000-0002-7657-8963
Da a a ailabili y
All o he da a ha suppo he indings o his s udy a e a ailable in he main ex o
Supplemen a y In o ma ion.
Re e ences
Ace edo MA, Beaud o L, Meléndez-Acke man EJ, T emblay RL (2020) Local ex inc ion
isk unde clima e change in a neo opical asymme ically dispe sed epiphy e. Jou -
nal o Ecology 108: 1553–1564. h ps://doi.o g/10.1111/1365-2745.13361
Ala cón Hincapié JC, Pabón Caicedo JD (2013) El cambio climá ico y la dis ibución
espacial de las o maciones ege ales en Colombia. Colombia Fo es al 16: 171–185.
A ias T, Mo eno JS, Reyes S, Llano-Alma io M, Se na-Sánchez A, I u alde GA, Valencia J,
Baque o L, Zuluaga A (2025) Plas ome phylogenomics o he di e se neo opical o chid
genus Lepan hes wi h emphasis on subgenus Ma sipan hes (Pleu o hallidinae: O chida-
ceae). BMC Ecology and E olu ion 25: 79. h ps://doi.o g/10.1186/s12862-025-02396-6
Ba e N, Ba e V, Jiménez-Val e de A, Li a-No iega A, Mahe SP, Pe e son AT, Sobe ón J,
Villalobos F (2011) The c ucial ole o he accessible a ea in ecological niche model-
ing and species dis ibu ion modeling. Ecological Modelling 222: 1810–1819. h ps://
doi.o g/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2011.02.011
Been je HJ (2016) The Kew plan glossa y: an illus a ed dic iona y o plan e ms. 2nd
ed. Kew Publishing, Richmond.
Bell DM, B ad o d JB, Lauen o h WK (2014) Moun ain landscapes o e ew oppo uni-
ies o high-ele a ion ee species mig a ion. Global Change Biology 20: 1441–1451.
h ps://doi.o g/10.1111/gcb.12504
Boehm MMA, C onk QCB (2021) Da k ex inc ion: he p oblem o unknown his o ical
ex inc ions. Biology Le e s 17: 20210007. Royal Socie y. h ps://doi.o g/10.1098/
sbl.2021.0007
Boga ín Cha es DG, Kaes E, Díaz Mo ales M (2019) Lepan hes elusi a – a new species
o Lepan hes (O chidaceae: Pleu o hallidinae) om Tapan í A ea in Ca ago, Cos a
Rica. Die O chidee 5: 17–28.
Boonman CCF, Se a-Diaz JM, Hoeks S, Guo W-Y, Enquis BJ, Mai ne B, Malhi Y, Me-
ow C, Bui enwe R, S enning J-C (2024) Mo e han 17,000 ee species a e a isk
om apid global change. Na u e Communica ions 15: 166. h ps://doi.o g/10.1038/
s41467-023-44321-9
B own MJM, Bachman SP, Nic Lughadha E (2023) Th ee in ou undesc ibed plan spe-
cies a e h ea ened wi h ex inc ion. New Phy ologis 240: 1340–1344. h ps://doi.
o g/10.1111/nph.19214
Caballe o-Villalobos L, Faja do-Gu ié ez F, Calbi M, Sil a-A ias GA (2021) Clima e
Change can d i e a signi ican loss o sui able habi a o Polylepis quad ijuga, a
eeline species in he Sky Islands o he No he n Andes. F on ie s in Ecology and
E olu ion 9: 661550. h ps://doi.o g/10.3389/ e o.2021.661550
Ca dinale BJ, Du y JE, Gonzalez A, Hoope DU, Pe ings C, Venail P, Na wani A, Mace
GM, Tilman D, Wa dle DA, Kinzig AP, Daily GC, Lo eau M, G ace JB, La igaude ie A,
S i as a a DS, Naeem S (2012) Biodi e si y loss and i s impac onhumani y. Na u e
486: 59–67. h ps://doi.o g/10.1038/na u e11148
Ca mona-Higui a MJ, Mendie a-Lei a G, Gómez-Díaz JA, Villalobos F, Ramos FN, Elias
JPC, Jiménez-López DA, Zuluaga A, Hols B, Kessle M, Ma hieu G, Zizka A, Zo z G,
235
Phy oKeys 266: 219–240 (2025), DOI: 10.3897/phy okeys.266.161410
Juan Sebas ián Mo eno e al.: A new Andean Lepan hes unde clima e isk
K öme T (2024) Conse a ion s a us o ascula epiphy es in he neo opics. Bio-
di e si y and Conse a ion 33: 51–71. h ps://doi.o g/10.21203/ s.3. s-2773328/ 1
Co le RT (2023) Achie ing ze o ex inc ion o land plan s. T ends in Plan Science 28:
913–923. h ps://doi.o g/10.1016/j. plan s.2023.03.019
Cos ello MJ, May RM, S o k NE (2013) Can we name Ea h’s species be o e hey go ex-
inc ? Science 339: 413–416. h ps://doi.o g/10.1126/science.1237254
C ain B (2012) On he ela ionship be ween b yophy e co e and he dis ibu ion o Lep-
an hes spp. Lankes e iana 12: 13–18. h ps://doi.o g/10.15517/lank. 12i1.18270
C ain BJ, T emblay RL (2014) Do ichness and a i y ho spo s eally ma e o o chid
conse a ion in ligh o an icipa ed habi a loss? Di e si y & Dis ibu ions 20: 652–
662. h ps://doi.o g/10.1111/ddi.12179
Cues a F, Ca illa J, Llambí LD, Mu iel P, Lencinas MV, Meneses RI, Feeley KJ, Pauli H, Agu-
i e N, Beck S, Be na di A, Cuello S, Duchicela SA, Eguigu en P, Gamez LE, Halloy S, Hud-
son L, Ja amillo R, Pe i PL, Ramí ez LA, Rose o-Añazco P, Thompson N, Yage K, To a
C (2023) Composi ional shi s o alpine plan communi ies ac oss he high Andes.
Global Ecology and Biogeog aphy 32: 1591–1606. h ps://doi.o g/10.1111/geb.13721
Dauby G, S é a T, D oissa V, Cosiaux A, Deblauwe V, Simo-D oissa M, Sose MSM,
Low y PP, Scha z GE, Ge eau RE, Cou eu TLP (2017) ConR: An R package o assis
la ge-scale mul ispecies p elimina y conse a ion assessmen s using dis ibu ion
da a. Ecology and E olu ion 7: 11292–11303. h ps://doi.o g/10.1002/ece3.3704
Díaz S, Se ele J, B ondízio ES, Ngo HT, Aga d J, A ne h A, Bal ane a P, B auman KA,
Bu cha SHM, Chan KMA, Ga ibaldi LA, Ichii K, Liu J, Sub amanian SM, Midgley
GF, Milosla ich P, Molná Z, Obu a D, P a A, Polasky S, Pu is A, Razzaque J, Rey-
e s B, Roy Chowdhu y R, Shin Y-J, Visse en-Hamake s I, Willis KJ, Zayas CN (2019)
Pe asi e human-d i en decline o li e on Ea h poin s o he need o ans o ma i e
change. Science 366: eaax3100. h ps://doi.o g/10.1126/science.aax3100
Dodson CH, Lue CA (2011) O chidaceae (Lepan hes and A ilia es). In: Pe sson C, S åhl
B (Eds) Flo a o Ecuado . Depa men o Plan and En i onmen al Sciences, Gö ebo g
Uni e si y, Gö ebo g, 455 pp.
Eli h J, G aham CH, Ande son RP, Dudík M, Fe ie S, Guisan A, Hijmans RJ, Hue -
mann F, Lea hwick JR, Lehmann A, Li J, Lohmann LG, Loiselle BA, Manion G,
Mo i z C, Nakamu a M, Nakazawa Y, O e on JMcCM, Pe e son AT, Phillips SJ,
Richa dson K, Scache i-Pe ei a R, Schapi e RE, Sobe ón J, Williams S, Wisz MS,
Zimme mann NE (2006) No el me hods imp o e p edic ion o species’ dis ibu-
ions om occu ence da a. Ecog aphy 29: 129–151. h ps://doi.o g/10.1111/
j.2006.0906-7590.04596.x
Enquis BJ, Feng X, Boyle B, Mai ne B, Newman EA, Jø gensen PM, Roeh danz PR,
Thie s BM, Bu ge JR, Co le RT, Cou eu TLP, Dauby G, Donoghue JC, Foden W,
Lo e JC, Ma que PA, Me ow C, Midgley GF, Mo ue a-Holme N, Ne es DM, Oli ei-
a-Filho AT, K a NJB, Pa k DS, Pee RK, Pille M, Se a-Diaz JM, Sandel B, Schildhaue
M, Šímo á I, Violle C, Wie inga JJ, Wise SK, Hannah L, S enning J-C, McGill BJ (2019)
The commonness o a i y: Global and u u e dis ibu ion o a i y ac oss land plan s.
Science Ad ances 5: eaaz0414. h ps://doi.o g/10.1126/sciad .aaz0414
Fick SE, Hijmans RJ (2017) Wo ldClim 2: New 1‐km spa ial esolu ion clima e su aces
o global land a eas. In e na ional Jou nal o Clima ology 37: 4302–4315. h ps://
doi.o g/10.1002/joc.5086
Fos e P (2001) The po en ial nega i e impac s o global clima e change on opical
mon ane cloud o es s. Ea h-Science Re iews 55: 73–106. h ps://doi.o g/10.1016/
S0012-8252(01)00056-3
236
Phy oKeys 266: 219–240 (2025), DOI: 10.3897/phy okeys.266.161410
Juan Sebas ián Mo eno e al.: A new Andean Lepan hes unde clima e isk
F eeman BG, Song Y, Feeley KJ, Zhu K (2021) Mon ane species ack ising empe a u es
be e in he opics han in he empe a e zone. Ecology Le e s 24: 1697–1708.
h ps://doi.o g/10.1111/ele.13762
Ga cía Má quez G (1983) Ch onicle o a Dea h Fo e old. Knop , New Yo k.
Gómez González DC, Rod íguez Quiel C, Zo z G, Bade MY (2017) Species ich-
ness and biomass o epiphy ic ege a ion in a opical mon ane o es in wes -
e n Panama. T opical Conse a ion Science 10: 1940082917698468. h ps://doi.
o g/10.1177/1940082917698468
Guzmán QJA, Hamann HF, Sánchez-Azo ei a GA (2024) Mul i-decadal ends o low-
clouds a he T opical Mon ane Cloud Fo es s. Ecological Indica o s 158: 111599.
h ps://doi.o g/10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.111599
Haus a he Z, Pe e s GP (2020) Emissions – he “business as usual” s o y is misleading.
Na u e 577: 618–620. h ps://doi.o g/10.1038/d41586-020-00177-3
Hazzi NA, Mo eno JS, O iz-Mo lia C, Palacio RD (2018) Biogeog aphic egions and
e en s o isola ion and di e si ica ion o he endemic bio a o he opical Andes.
P oceedings o he Na ional Academy o Sciences o he Uni ed S a es o Ame ica
115: 7985–7990. h ps://doi.o g/10.1073/pnas.1803908115
Helme EH, Ge son EA, Bagge LS, Bi d BJ, Ruzycki TS, Voggesse SM (2019) Neo-
opical cloud o es s and pá amo o con ac and d y om declines in cloud
imme sion and os . PLOS ONE 14: e0213155. h ps://doi.o g/10.1371/jou nal.
pone.0213155
Hijmans RJ, Phillips S, Lea hwick J, Eli h J (2023) dismo: Species Dis ibu ion Modeling.
h ps://CRAN.R-p ojec .o g/package=dismo
Hollenbeck EC, Sax DF (2024) Expe imen al e idence o clima e change ex inc ion isk
in Neo opical mon ane epiphy es. Na u e Communica ions 15: 6045. h ps://doi.
o g/10.1038/s41467-024-49181-5
Hu chings MJ, Robbi KM, Robe s DL, Da y AJ (2018) Vulne abili y o a specialized pol-
lina ion mechanism o clima e change e ealed by a 356-yea analysis. Bo anical Jou -
nal o he Linnean Socie y 186: 498–509. h ps://doi.o g/10.1093/bo linnean/box086
IUCN (2024) Guidelines o using he IUCN Red Lis ca ego ies and c i e ia, e sion 16.
P epa ed by he IUCN SSC S anda ds and Pe i ions Commi ee. h ps://www.iucn e-
dlis .o g/ esou ces/ edlis guidelines [Accessed on 14 No embe 2024]
Ka emans AP (2024) A his o ical e iew o he a i icial pollina ion o Vanilla plani olia:
The impo ance o collabo a i e esea ch in a changing wo ld. Plan s 13(22): 3203.
h ps://doi.o g/10.3390/plan s13223203
Ka emans AP, Mo eno JS, Gil-Amaya K, Gu ié ez Mo ales N, Espinosa F, Mesa S, Re-
s epo E, Rincón-González M, Se na A, Sie a-A iza M, Viei a-U ibe S (2023) Colombi-
an O chidaceae: A Ca alogue o he Pleu o hallidinae. Lankes e iana 23: 181–400.
h ps://doi.o g/10.15517/lank. 23i2.56158
Kelly DL, O’Dono an G, Feehan J, Mu phy S, D angeid SO, Ma cano-Be i L (2004) The
epiphy e communi ies o a mon ane ain o es in he Andes o Venezuela: Pa e ns
in he dis ibu ion o he lo a. Jou nal o T opical Ecology 20: 643–666. h ps://doi.
o g/10.1017/S0266467404001671
Keppel G, S albe g D, Mo elli TL, Bá o i Z (2024) Managing clima e-change e ugia
o p e en ex inc ions. T ends in Ecology & E olu ion 39: 800–808. h ps://doi.
o g/10.1016/j. ee.2024.05.002
Kohle T, Gige M, Hu ni H, O C, Wiesmann U, on Dach SW, Maselli D (2010) Moun ains
and Clima e Change: A Global Conce n. Moun ain Resea ch and De elopmen 30:
53–55. h p://dx.doi.o g/10.1659/MRD-JOURNAL-D-09-00086.1
237
Phy oKeys 266: 219–240 (2025), DOI: 10.3897/phy okeys.266.161410
Juan Sebas ián Mo eno e al.: A new Andean Lepan hes unde clima e isk
Liu Q, Chen J, Co le RT, Fan X, Yu D, Yang H, Gao J (2015) O chid conse a ion in
he biodi e si y ho spo o sou hwes e n China. Conse a ion Biology: The Jou nal
o he Socie y o Conse a ion Biology 29: 1563–1572. h ps://doi.o g/10.1111/
cobi.12584
Liu J, Slik F, Zheng S, Lindenmaye DB (2022) Undesc ibed species ha e highe ex inc ion
isk han known species. Conse a ion Le e s 15: e12876. h ps://doi.o g/10.1111/
conl.12876
Lue CA (1996) Icones Pleu o hallidina um XIV. The genus Lepan hes subgenus Lepan-
hes in Ecuado (O chidaceae).
Lue CA, Thoe le L (2010) Icones Pleu o hallidina um XXXI: Lepan hes o Boli ia. Mono-
g aphs in Sys ema ic Bo any om he Missou i Bo anical Ga den 120: 1–64.
Lue CA, Thoe le L (2012) Icones Pleu o hallidina um XXXII: Lepan hes o Colombia
(O chidaceae). Missou i Bo anical Ga den P ess, S . Louis.
Maman o MA, Gibson-Reineme DK, Linck EB, Sheldon KS (2021) Clima e-d i en ange
shi s o mon ane species a y wi h ele a ion. Global Ecology and Biogeog aphy 30:
784–794. h ps://doi.o g/10.1111/geb.13246
Manes S, Cos ello MJ, Becke H, Debna h A, De enish-Nelson E, G ey K-A, Jenkins R,
Khan TM, Kiessling W, K ause C, Maha aj SS, Midgley GF, P ice J, Talukda G, Vale MM
(2021) Endemism inc eases species’ clima e change isk in a eas o global biodi-
e si y impo ance. Biological Conse a ion 257: 109070. h ps://doi.o g/10.1016/j.
biocon.2021.109070
Ma a-Guel EO, Soh MCK, Bu le CW, Mo is RJ, Razgou O, Peh KS-H (2023) Impac s o
an h opogenic clima e change on opical mon ane o es s: An app aisal o he e i-
dence. Biological Re iews o he Camb idge Philosophical Socie y 98: 1200–1224.
h ps://doi.o g/10.1111/b .12950
Masson-Delmo e V, Zhai P, Pi ani A, Conno s SL, Péan C, Be ge S, Caud N, Chen Y,
Gold a b L, Gomis MI, Huang M, Lei zell K, Lonnoy E, Ma hews JBR, Maycock TK,
Wa e ield T, Yelekçi O, Yu R, Zhou B [Eds] (2021) Clima e Change 2021: The Physical
Science Basis. Con ibu ion o Wo king G oup I o he Six h Assessmen Repo o
he In e go e nmen al Panel on Clima e Change Chap e 4 – Fu u e Global Clima e:
Scena io-based P ojec ions and Nea - e m In o ma ion. Camb idge Uni e si y P ess,
Camb idge and New Yo k, 553–672.
Moonligh PW, Baldasz i L, Ca doso D, Ellio A, Sä kinen T, Knapp S (2024) Twen y yea s
o big plan gene a. P oceedings o he Royal Socie y B: Biological Sciences 291:
20240702. h ps://doi.o g/10.1098/ spb.2024.0702
Mond agón D, Val e de T, He nández M (2015) Popula ion ecology o epiphy ic angio-
spe ms: A e iew. T opical Ecology. h ps://doi.o g/10.13140/2.1.4043.5849
Mo elli TL, Daly C, Dob owski SZ, Dulen DM, Ebe sole JL, Jackson ST, Lundquis JD, Mil-
la CI, Mahe SP, Monahan WB, Nydick KR, Redmond KT, Sawye SC, S ock S, Beissing-
e SR (2016) Managing clima e change e ugia o clima e adap a ion. PLOS ONE 11:
e0159909. h ps://doi.o g/10.1371/jou nal.pone.0159909
Mo eno JS (2024) Pa ones de di e sidad y e aluación del es ado de conse ación del
géne o Lepan hes en Colombia. Tesis de Maes ía. Uni e sidad del Valle. Facul ad de
Ciencias Na u ales y Exac as. Depa amen o de Biología, Cali, Colombia.
Mo eno JS, Sando al-A ango S, Palacio RD, Alza e NF, Rincón M, Gil K, Mo ales NG,
Ha ding P, Hazzi NA (2020) Dis ibu ion models and spa ial analyses p o ide
obus assessmen s o conse a ion s a us o o chid species in Colombia: The
case o Lepan hes muc ona a. Ha a d Pape s in Bo any 25: 111–121. h ps://doi.
o g/10.3100/hpib. 25iss1.2020.n14
238
Phy oKeys 266: 219–240 (2025), DOI: 10.3897/phy okeys.266.161410
Juan Sebas ián Mo eno e al.: A new Andean Lepan hes unde clima e isk
Mye s N, Mi e meie RA, Mi e meie CG, da Fonseca GAB, Jenni e Ken (2000)
Biodi e si y ho spo s o conse a ion p io i ies. Na u e 403: 853–858. h ps://doi.
o g/10.1038/35002501
Niede J, Engwald S, Ba hlo W (1999) Pa e ns o Neo opical epiphy e di e si y.
Selbyana 20: 66–75.
Pabón-Caicedo JD, A ias PA, Ca il AF, Espinoza JC, Bo el LF, Goubano a K, La ado-Casimi o
W, Masiokas M, Solman S, Villalba R (2020) Obse ed and p ojec ed hyd oclima e chang-
es in he Andes. F on ie s o Ea h Science 8. h ps://doi.o g/10.3389/ ea .2020.00061
Pe domo O, Zuluaga A, T ujillo-T ujillo E (2024) Conse a ion assessmen o i e new
eco ds o he O chidaceae o Colombia. Check Lis 20: 950–961. h ps://doi.
o g/10.15560/20.4.950
Phillips SJ, Ande son RP, Schapi e RE (2006) Maximum en opy modeling o species geo-
g aphic dis ibu ions. Ecological Modelling 190: 231–259. h ps://doi.o g/10.1016/j.
ecolmodel.2005.03.026
Pimm SL, Jenkins CN, Abell R, B ooks TM, Gi leman JL, Joppa LN, Ra en PH, Rob-
e s CM, Sex on JO (2014) The biodi e si y o species and hei a es o ex inc-
ion, dis ibu ion, and p o ec ion. Science 344: 1246752–1246752. h ps://doi.
o g/10.1126/science.1246752
Pounds JA, Fogden MP, Campbell JH (1999) Biological esponse o clima e change on a
opical moun ain. Na u e 398: 611–615. h ps://doi.o g/10.1038/19297
Pupulin F, Boga ín D (2012) Lepan hes no ae Tapan ienses. O chid Diges 76: 20–29.
R Co e Team (2021) R: A language and en i onmen o s a is ical compu ing. R Founda-
ion o S a is ical Compu ing, Vienna, Aus ia. h ps://www.R-p ojec .o g/
Rahbek C, Bo egaa d MK, Colwell RK, Dalsgaa d B, Hol BG, Mo ue a-Holme N,
Nogues-B a o D, Whi ake RJ, Fjeldså J (2019) Humbold ’s enigma: Wha caus-
es global pa e ns o moun ain biodi e si y? Science 365: 1108–1113. h ps://doi.
o g/10.1126/science.aax0149
Richa ds JH (2021) Assessing he s eng h o clima e and land-use in luences on mon-
ane epiphy e communi ies. Conse a ion Biology: The Jou nal o he Socie y o
Conse a ion Biology 35: 1496–1506. h ps://doi.o g/10.1111/cobi.13679
Ri chie J, Dowla abadi H (2024) Nea - e m global emissions pa hways: Plausibili y and
implica ions. npj Clima e and A mosphe ic Science 7: 47. h ps://doi.o g/10.1038/
s41612-024-00693-3
Robbi KM, Robe s DL, Hu chings MJ, Da y AJ (2014) Po en ial dis up ion o pollina-
ion in a sexually decep i e o chid by clima ic change. Cu en Biology 24: 2845–
2849. h ps://doi.o g/10.1016/j.cub.2014.10.033
Rojas-Al a ado G, Ka emans AP (2024) A ypological and mo phological analysis o
he Pleu o hallidinae (O chidaceae) In lo escences. Bo anical Re iew 90: 221–250.
h ps://doi.o g/10.1007/s12229-024-09303-6
Schmelle DS, U bach D, Ba es K, Ca alan J, Cogălniceanu D, Fishe MC, F iesen J, Fü ed-
e L, Gaube V, Ha e M, Jacobsen D, Le Roux G, Lin Y-P, Loyau A, Macha e O, Maye A,
Palomo I, Plu za C, Sen enac H, Somma uga R, Tibe i R, Ripple WJ (2022) Scien is s’
wa ning o h ea s o moun ains. The Science o he To al En i onmen 853: 158611.
h ps://doi.o g/10.1016/j.sci o en .2022.158611
Sobe ón J, Pe e son AT (2005) In e p e a ion o models o undamen al ecological nich-
es and species’ dis ibu ional a eas. Biodi e si y In o ma ics 2: 1–10. h ps://doi.
o g/10.17161/bi. 2i0.4
S ea n WT (1992) Bo anical La in: His o y, G amma , Syn ax, Te minology and Vocabu-
la y. 4 h edi ion. Da id & Cha les, New on Abbo , De on.
239
Phy oKeys 266: 219–240 (2025), DOI: 10.3897/phy okeys.266.161410
Juan Sebas ián Mo eno e al.: A new Andean Lepan hes unde clima e isk
Taylo A, Zo z G, Weigel P, Cai L, Ka ge DN, König C, K e H (2022) Vascula epiphy es
con ibu e disp opo iona ely o global cen es o plan di e si y. Global Ecology and
Biogeog aphy 31: 62–74. h ps://doi.o g/10.1111/geb.13411
To a C, Ca il AF, Gu ié ez AG, Ah ends A, Fi a L, Zaninelli P, Flombaum P, Aba zúa AM,
Ala cón D, Asche o V, Báez S, Ba os A, Ca illa J, Fe e o ME, Flan ua SGA, Gonzáles P,
Menéndez CG, Pé ez-Escoba OA, Paucha d A, Ruscica RC, Sä kinen T, Sö ensson AA,
S u AM, Villalba R, Hollingswo h PM (2022) Unde s anding clima e change impac s
on biome and plan dis ibu ions in he Andes: Challenges and oppo uni ies. Jou nal
o Biogeog aphy 49: 1420–1442. h ps://doi.o g/10.1111/jbi.14389
T acewski Ł, Bu cha SHM, Di Ma co M, Fice ola GF, Rondinini C, Symes A, Whea ley H,
Be es o d AE, Buchanan GM (2016) Towa d quan i ica ion o he impac o 21s -cen-
u y de o es a ion on he ex inc ion isk o e es ial e eb a es. Conse a ion Biol-
ogy 30: 1070–1079. h ps://doi.o g/10.1111/cobi.12715
T emblay RL, Zimme man JK, Leb ón L, Bayman P, Sas e I, Axel od F, Ale s-Ga cía J
(1998) Hos speci ici y and low ep oduc i e success in he a e endemic Pue o Ri-
can o chid Lepan hes ca i ensis. Biological Conse a ion 85: 297–304. h ps://doi.
o g/10.1016/S0006-3207(97)00163-8
UNEP [Uni ed Na ions En i onmen P og amme] (2023) Emissions Gap Repo 2023:
B oken Reco d – Tempe a u es hi new highs, ye wo ld ails o cu emissions (again).
Uni ed Na ions En i onmen P og amme, Nai obi. h ps://www.unep.o g/ esou ces/
emissions-gap- epo -2023
Valencia JB, Mesa J, León JG, Co és AJ (2020) Clima e Vulne abili y Assessmen o he
Espele ia Complex on Pá amo Sky Islands in he No he n Andes. F on ie s in Ecology
and E olu ion 8: 565708. h ps://doi.o g/10.3389/ e o.2020.565708
Wa eyn C, F emou T, Ka emans AP, Van Mee beek K, Janssens SB, de Backe S, Lip-
ińska MM, Muys B (2025) Wild Vanilla and pollina o s a isk o spa ial misma ch in
a changing clima e. F on ie s in Plan Science 16: 1585540. h ps://doi.o g/10.3389/
pls.2025.1585540
W ai h J, Picke ing C (2018) Quan i ying an h opogenic h ea s o o chids using he
IUCN Red Lis . Ambio 47: 307–317. h ps://doi.o g/10.1007/s13280-017-0964-0
Zo z G (2013) The sys ema ic dis ibu ion o ascula epiphy es – a c i ical upda e. Bo-
anical Jou nal o he Linnean Socie y 171: 453–481.
Zu ell D, F i z SA, Rönn eld A, S einbaue MJ (2023) P edic ing ex inc ions wi h spe-
cies dis ibu ion models. Camb idge P isms: Ex inc ion 1: e8 (1–10). h ps://doi.
o g/10.1017/ex .2023.5
240
Phy oKeys 266: 219–240 (2025), DOI: 10.3897/phy okeys.266.161410
Juan Sebas ián Mo eno e al.: A new Andean Lepan hes unde clima e isk
Supplemen a y ma e ial 1
Supplemen a y igu e S1
Au ho s: Juan Sebas ián Mo eno, Angie Ta iana He e a Cobo, Rubén Da ío Palacio,
Nicolas A. Hazzi
Da a ype: jpg
Explana ion no e: Unce ain y in ecological niche models o Lepan hes nasa iana
J.S.Mo eno & Hazzi unde cu en and u u e clima e scena ios, based on he coe i-
cien o a ia ion (CV) ac oss 15 Maxen eplica es. G een indica es highe unce ain y,
while blue indica es g ea e model ag eemen . A SSP2-4.5 scena io o 2070 B SSP5-
8.5 scena io o 2070 C SSP2-4.5 scena io o 2090 D SSP5-8.5 scena io o 2090.
Copy igh no ice: This da ase is made a ailable unde he Open Da abase License
(h p://openda acommons.o g/licenses/odbl/1.0/). The Open Da abase License
(ODbL) is a license ag eemen in ended o allow use s o eely sha e, modi y, and
use his Da ase while main aining his same eedom o o he s, p o ided ha he
o iginal sou ce and au ho (s) a e c edi ed.
Link: h ps://doi.o g/10.3897/phy okeys.266.161410.suppl1