Co-movement and causality dynamics linkages between conventional and Islamic stock indexes in Bangladesh: A wavelet analysis

Sahabuddin, Mohammad et al. Article Co-movement and causality dynamics linkages between conventional and Islamic stock indexes in Bangladesh: A wavelet analysis Cogent Business & Management Provided in Cooperation with: Taylor & Francis Group Suggested Citation: Sahabuddin, Mohammad et al. (2022) : Co-movement and causality dynamics linkages between conventional and Islamic stock indexes in Bangladesh: A wavelet analysis, Cogent Business & Management, ISSN 2331-1975, Taylor & Francis, Abingdon, Vol. 9, Iss. 1, pp. 1-16, https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2022.2034233 This Version is available at: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/288349 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. 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If the documents have been made available under an Open Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Full Terms & Conditions of access and use can be found at https://www.tandfonline.com/action/journalInformation?journalCode=oabm20 Cogent Business & Management ISSN: (Print) (Online) Journal homepage: www.tandfonline.com/journals/oabm20 Co-movement and causality dynamics linkages between conventional and Islamic stock indexes in Bangladesh: A wavelet analysis Mohammad Sahabuddin, Md. Farjin Hassan, Mosab I. Tabash, Mohammad Ahmad Al-Omari, Md. Kausar Alam & Fakir Tajul Islam To cite this article: Mohammad Sahabuddin, Md. Farjin Hassan, Mosab I. Tabash, Mohammad Ahmad Al-Omari, Md. Kausar Alam & Fakir Tajul Islam (2022) Co-movement and causality dynamics linkages between conventional and Islamic stock indexes in Bangladesh: A wavelet analysis, Cogent Business & Management, 9:1, 2034233, DOI: 10.1080/23311975.2022.2034233 To link to this article: https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2022.2034233 © 2022 The Author(s). This open access article is distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution (CC-BY) 4.0 license. Published online: 12 Feb 2022. Submit your article to this journal Article views: 1928 View related articles View Crossmark data Citing articles: 8 View citing articles BANKING & FINANCE | RESEARCH ARTICLE Co-movement and causality dynamics linkages between conventional and Islamic stock indexes in Bangladesh: A wavelet analysis Mohammad Sahabuddin 1 *, Md. Farjin Hassan 2 , Mosab I. Tabash 3 , Mohammad Ahmad Al- Omari 3 , Md. Kausar Alam 4 and Fakir Tajul Islam 5 Abstract: The study examines the co-movement and dynamic causality between conventional and Islamic stock indexes in Bangladesh from 20 January 2014 to 31 August 2019. This study employs multi-scales and wavelet-based techniques in examining the co-movement and causality between variables. The results reveal that the co-movement between Islamic and conventional stock indexes is very high in the long run. Furthermore, the results of this study indicate that there is a lead– lag relationship between Islamic and conventional index using wavelet-based decomposed Granger Causality methods. The results point out that the causality varies in time and scales domain properties. However, the Dhaka Stock Exchange Shariah Index (DSES) shows significant influences on DSEX and creates a bidirectional causality for the selected brand scales over the study period. The ABOUT THE AUTHOR Mohammad Sahabuddin is working at the University of Science and Technology Chittagong, Bangladesh. He is also a postdoctoral researcher in Universiti Malaysia Perlis. His area of interests is Islamic finance and Shariah compliant stock market. Md. Farjin Hassan is doing research in Finance at Universiti Putra Malaysia, Malaysia. His research interests include financial performance and Islamic finance. Mosab I. Tabash is currently working as MBA Director at the College of Business, Al Ain University, UAE. His research interests include Islamic banking, financial performance, and investments. Mohammad Ahmad Al-Omari works as Assistant Professor at College of Business, Al Ain University, UAE. He published many papers in his area of research. Md. Kausar Alam, works as Assistant Professor at BRAC Business School, BRAC University, Bangladesh. His research interests are Shariah governance, institutional theory, and Islamic banking. Fakir Tajul Islam is currently working at University of South Asia, Bangladesh. He is an enthusiastic learner of various fields of Business including Investment & Finance, Banking, and Risk Management. PUBLIC INTEREST STATEMENT Assets allocation and risk mitigation are the prime investment strategy for all investors. A robust comovement among the assets leads to achieve the expected gain and affects the risk pattern in a particular portfolio. Moreover, stock markets have become interconnected and maintained complex linkages throughout the globe. This indicates that investors can enjoy the movement of funds and shift their investment decisions in different regions and holding periods. However, technology has a powerful two-edged sword that drives the world financial markets toward a convergent and divergent movement. Due to the scarcity and thrive of information, they are worried and concerned about their decision in future investments. Therefore, co-integration relationship is not enough for predicting the appropriate market trend across the counties. Along with the time domain properties, investors should consider the time-frequency domain properties for facing the challenges and predicting the appropriate level of co-movement in different stock markets. Sahabuddin et al., Cogent Business & Management (2022), 9: 2034233 https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2022.2034233 Page 1 of 16 Received: 05 February 2021 Accepted: 24 December 2021; *Corresponding author: Mohammad Sahabuddin, University of Science and Technology Chittagong, Bangladesh E-mail: [email protected] Reviewing editor: David McMillan, University of Stirling, Stirling, United Kingdom Additional information is available at the end of the article © 2022 The Author(s). This open access article is distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution (CC-BY) 4.0 license. findings contribute to the existing literature by adding new evidence on the comovement and causality linkages between Islamic and conventional stock indexes and provide one more index for gaining portfolio diversification benefits among national and international investors. Subjects: Economics; Finance; Business, Management and Accounting Keywords: Co-movement; causality; Islamic and conventional stock indexes; Bangladesh 1. Introduction Stock market co-movement is a crucial specific concept in finance literature (Mensi et al., 2018, 2017). It has increased the growing interest among investors, fund managers, academicians, and policymakers in financial markets across the countries. To attain the portfolio diversification benefits, co-movement is highly applicable in both national and international investment avenues (Dewandaru et al., 2014). Assets allocation and risk mitigation are the prime investment strategy for all investors. A robust co-movement among the assets leads to achieving the expected gain, and it affects the risk pattern in a particular portfolio. Moreover, stock markets have become interconnected and maintained complex linkages throughout the globe. This indicates that investors can enjoy the movement of funds and shift their investment decision in different regions and holding periods (Khan, 2011). Moreover, technology has a powerful two-edged sword that drives the world financial markets toward a convergent and divergent movement (Buriev et al., 2018). Due to the scarcity of information, investors are worried and concerned about their decisions in future investments (Zhang et al., 2018). Particularly, the long-run co-integration relationship is not an adequate approach in predicting the perspective of the market trend across the countries. Moreover, along with the time-domain properties, there are many determinants such as macroeconomics, world uncertainty, ethics, investors’ behavior that influence stock returns. Thus, investors face challenges in predicting the appropriate level of co-movement in different stock markets. In addition, the modern financial world has witnessed drastic changes in financial markets. They have seen an optimistic trend of Islamic finance during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) period of 2007–2008. After GFC, Islamic Capital Market (ICM) has exerted considerable influence on the mainstream market (Jawadi et al., 2020). ICM is fundamentally different from the conventional capital market. Riba (interest), Gharar (uncertainty), and Maysir (gambling) are strongly prohibited in Islamic capital markets, whereas these are common practices in conventional capital markets (Shamsuddin, 2014). Distinct from conventional banking, the Islamic banking structure has several additional mechanisms in its corporate governance system for attaining trust, confidence and ethics (Mollah & Zaman, 2015). Among these, the Audit and Shariah committee, internal control, Shariah Department, Shariah auditor make differentiate Islamic corporate governance system. Particularly, the Audit and Shariah committee accomplish their role in a different way compared to conventional corporate governance. The audit committees of conventional banks drive bank risk lower via incentives to maintain higher capital ratios as well as through the reallocation effect for profit, but the Shariah committees drive bank risk lower via incentives to increase efficiency and reduce the volatility of profits in Islamic banks (Nguyen, 2021, p. 2). However, to quantify the Islamic stock, an Islamic business concern or firm comply the two-tires (qualitative and quantitative) screening method in their stock index for drawing the intention of customers. Qualitative screening criteria deal with the basic principles of Shariah within the business which are mandatory to follow and quantitative screening criteria deals with the monitory functions which are limit the corporate debt by a certain percentage for confirming the lower level of debt as well as a lower level of bankruptcy (Jaballah et al., 2018; Qoyum et al., 2021). In order to give effect to the modern portfolio theory (MPT), also known as mean-variance analysis Harry Markowitz wrote an essay titled “Portfolio Selection” in 1952, MPT can be likened Sahabuddin et al., Cogent Business & Management (2022), 9: 2034233 https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2022.2034233 Page 2 of 16 to the investment-based theory. This theory aims to ensure the maximization of the returns from a portfolio, through a proportionate alteration and selection from the bundles of assets in a specific portfolio. In addition, this theory is more suitable to express how the best possible diversifications can be ascertained. For example, when investors have the option of choosing from two or more portfolios with equal values, and a similar rate of returns, the MPT is a guide to the investors on how to make a choice based on the one that produces the lesser risk. The Islamic Finance framework consists of an ethically-oriented trade system and boasts the presence of social and responsible investments as well as sustainable finance and banking, on a highly regulated financial system. These ethical and moral assumptions and high caution of Islamic investments make this alternative financial system a “Safe Haven” to improve performance, especially in stormy times with high conventional financial risk (Delle Foglie & Panetta, 2020; Jawadi et al., 2014). However, due to the rapid growth of the world financial system sector, ICM has shown positive momentum and a rapid development rate. According to the Islamic Fiancé Development Report- IFDI (2018), the size of the Islamic finance industry has grown up to $2.438 trillion in 2017. Besides, the phenomenal growth and consistent development of Islamic finance have not only attracted Muslim investors but have become a viable alternative investment instrument to non- Muslim investors. Therefore, the Islamic stock market works in parallel in many developed and developing countries (Lahsasna et al., 2018). GFC (2007–2008) is the turning point for the Islamic finance industry. After GF, Islamic stock markets become more visible and highlighted. Interestingly, during the GFC period, both conventional and Islamic stock markets have been affected (Arshad & Rizvi, 2013). However, due to the unique features of Shariah law, Islamic stock markets have shown resilience as demonstrated in more conclusive evidence in the previous empirical literature. However, there are inclusive results found by the researchers between conventional and Islamic stock markets (Delle Foglie & Panetta, 2020); interestingly, most of the empirical studies have reported that the Islamic stock index shows relatively better performance, and also provide better diversification benefits in crisis and non-crisis period (Abbes & Trichilli, 2015). Previous studies focused on stock market co-movement in developed countries showing cointegration relationships using parametric time domain-based approaches. Rua and Nunes (2009) introduce time and frequency domain approaches in their first study, finding out a lower and higher level of co-movement in different times and scales dynamics. The evidence suggests that a lower level of co-movement encourages portfolio diversification opportunities. On the other hand, a higher level of co-movement diminishes the portfolio diversifications opportunities. This study aims to examine the co-movement and causality dynamics between Islamic and conventional stock indexes in Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE), Bangladesh. The findings would assist the national and international investors to diversify their capital and attain maximum gain with minimum risk. Several studies examined the co-movement of developed countries’ stock markets (Chowdhury Diebold & Yilmaz, 2009; Harris & Pisedtasalasai, 2006; Kogid et al., 2022; Wagner & Szimayer, 2004; Xiao & Dhesi, 2010). Nonetheless, there are very few studies exploring the comovement and causality dynamics between Islamic and conventional stock market indexes in developing countries (Arshad & Rizvi, 2013; Majdoub & Mansour, 2014; Saadaoui & Boujelbene, 2015). This study would increase the standing literature in numerous ways. First, this is the first study to examine the co-movement and causality dynamics between conventional and Islamic stock indexes in Bangladesh using a nascent continuous and multi-scales wavelet-based analysis. Second, this study would increase potential knowledge of the standing literature regarding rising economy countries such as Bangladesh. Third, by applying various econometric models to express the interdependence between conventional and Islamic stock indexes, the study offers robust results. It is noteworthy that the present study applies a sophisticated model that could control Sahabuddin et al., Cogent Business & Management (2022), 9: 2034233 https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2022.2034233 Page 3 of 16 time-frequency domain properties in time series data better. Particularly, a set of wavelet techniques would allow an estimation of frequency brand properties without losing the merit of timedomain properties. Besides, this model could assist to uncover the stock markets’ co-movement and dynamic causality linkages without bothering the stationarity and non-stationarity testing which are hard to estimate when using other econometric models. Therefore, this approach may provide several insights into changing the pattern of co-movement and causality dynamic linkages which could provide a good assessment of long term, short term, and mid-term stock markets comovement simultaneously and detect the changes of causality dynamic over time. The paper is structured as follows. Section one narrates the introduction. Section two illustrates the literature review. While section three describes the methodology, whereas section four provides the findings of the discussions. Section five concludes the manuscript with some policy implications, recommendations and limitations. 2. Literature review International finance consists of two important concepts; one is financial markets’ integration and the other one is stock markets’ co-movement. The financial markets’ integration is the mechanism that enables the markets of a country to get reliably associated with other nations or regions. It is a general concept representing the complex inter-relationship among several financial markets. On the other hand, the concept of co-movement is more specific and closely associated with international finance. It is understood in relation to the nature and extent of interdependency among the asset returns (Panda & Nanda, 2017). Moreover, financial markets’ inter-dependency and linkages throughout the globe have also important implications in the modern world. For instance, if stock markets, in particular, those in the US experience the occurrence of certain events, their reactions may affect other financial markets in other parts of the globe immediately (Sheikh et al., 2020). Stock market co-movement is significant and theoretically growing in international finance literature for taking advantage of cross-countries investment horizons. Markowitz (1952) identified a low correlation between the different assets classes in the domestic market which led to motivating the portfolio diversifications benefits. Nevertheless, compared to domestic market portfolios, international market diversification produces higher returns and lesser risks (Annaert & Verdickt, 2021; Grauer & Hakansson, 1987; Grubel, 1968). Moreover, investors do not need to focus on the domestic investment market but may look forward to carrying out business in the international stock market. Therefore, the current study principally takes into account the portfolio diversification, Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) theories as to the theoretical underpinning items. Moreover, portfolio diversifications benefits and stock market co-movement show opposite directions in theoretical perspectives. When a particular stock market shows a low level of comovement, it leads to better portfolio benefits. On the other hand, the portfolio diversification benefits diminish when a high level of co-movement exists across the countries’ stock markets (Rua & Nunes, 2009). According to Markowitz (1952), portfolio diversifications benefit is possible at a low level of correlation in domestic markets. From the seminal work and empirical evidence of Tobin (1958) and Grubel (1968), it has been acknowledged that international portfolio diversifications mitigate the total risk of portfolios. Therefore, it is important to assess the significance level of co-movement for investment decisions and portfolio diversifications in international financial markets avenues. When two or more markets are moving together and have increased the co-movement between two asset prices, the returns can moderate the benefit of investment portfolios diversifications. Interestingly, this trend can be used to change the pattern of co-movement, which is known as the adjustment of the portfolio (Bacchetta & Van Wincoop, 2021; Ling & Dhesi, 2010). Potential gains can be earned from international portfolio diversifications when returns are not perfectly correlated with Sahabuddin et al., Cogent Business & Management (2022), 9: 2034233 https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2022.2034233 Page 4 of 16 investments in different domestic stock markets. The evidence has suggested domestic and foreign investors look forward at low levels of co-movement of stock prices for attaining portfolio diversification benefits. Investors are continually ready to take the opportunity to adverse the risk and increase their expected returns by allocating their assets in different countries and different assets’ lines. Therefore, many investors like segregating their investment strategies and investing some of their capital in foreign markets as well as purchasing the shares of foreign firms (Panda & Nanda, 2017). Arshad and Rizvi (2013) point out the crisis period movements have affected the Islamic and conventional markets. Similarly, Hasan et al. (2021) examine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Islamic and conventional stock markets. They suggest that both markets show a similar trend of volatility and higher co-movement during the pandemic period. On the other hand, Majdoub and Mansour (2014) suggest that Islamic stock markets are weakly correlated to US stock markets. Therefore, investors may minimize risk and diversify their funds. Saiti et al. (2014) provided insights on the topic of Islamic stock market performance. They pointed out some unique criteria of the Islamic stock index like ethical and ratio screening, the limit of interest-based leveraged, exclusion of interest-based financial sector and assets. Therefore, they have concluded that the risk-return trade of chemistry should be different from conventional and Islamic stock indexes. In addition, Khamlichi et al. (2021) analyze the performance between developed and emerging countries from Islamic and conventional stock markets perspectives. They reveal that the conventional stock market performs better in emerging countries’ perspectives. On the other hand, Islamic stock markets perform better in the developed counties’ stock markets perspectives. Nazlioglu et al. (2015) point out that the Islamic stock markets movement and stocks transmission mechanism are not much different from conventional stock markets during the crisis period. Besides, they have suggested that due to the contagion effect, both markets show a similar type of response in the crisis period. In their view, there is a drought to gain from a diversified portfolio. Sahabuddin et al. (2018) examine the co-movement between FTSE Bursa Malaysia EMAS (FBMEMAS) and sectoral indexes in Bursa Malaysia. The results show that the sectoral stock index moves together with the Shariah-based stock index in the long run. However, the speed of adjustment varies in the short run amongst variables. Hasan and Abu (2019) studied the conventional and Islamic stock index co-movement and volatility transmission using ARDL bound testing co-integration model and EGARCH and GARCHBEEK estimations respectively. The evidence reveals that there are short-run and long-run linkages between the two indexes, and he found a remarkable volatility transmission mechanism in Islamic as compared to conventional stock indexes. Therefore, portfolio diversification benefits are not applicable between the two series. However, policymakers, investors, and fund managers should add and find other faith-based categories of assets in their risk-return portfolios. Finally, Sahabuddin et al. (2020) examined the long-term and short-term movement between conventional and Islamic stock markets in Bangladesh and Malaysia. The results show that there is a significant relationship between the variables. Likewise, Jawadi et al. (2020) examined the relationship between Islamic and conventional stock markets in the USA after the global financial crisis (GFC). The findings suggest that there is a significant relationship between two stock markets during the study period from 1996–2018. Moreover, Delle Foglie and Panetta (2020) systematically reviewed a set of sample studies that were published in different journals from 2009 to 2019. They report that there is no comprehensive overview regarding the safe haven issue between conventional and Islamic stock markets. Consequently, Qoyum et al. (2021) investigate Islamic firms’ level performance on social, environmental and governance perspectives. They find out that firms level performances vary on social, Sahabuddin et al., Cogent Business & Management (2022), 9: 2034233 https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2022.2034233 Page 5 of 16 environmental and governance perspectives. Islamic firms’ level performance is better on social and environmental perspectives but not in governance perspectives. Therefore, there is a research gap concerning the empirical and theoretical context. Previous studies focused only on time domain properties, particularly long-run and short-run relationships among the variables in Bangladesh. To the best of our knowledge, there is no study about Shariah and conventional indexes using time and frequency domain properties in the Bangladesh stock market. Thus, this research is an attempt to fill this research gap by exploring the decomposedbased long-term, mid-term, and short-term relationship between conventional and Islamic stock indexes. 3. Methodology 3.1. Data In this study, daily data were used. All data were collected from the DataStream and the Dhaka Stock Exchange website (www.dsebd.org). The study period extends from 20 March 2014 to 31 August 2019. Due to the growing markets demand for Islamic products and services, many non-Muslim countries are in the line to introduce the Islamic stock indexes. For example, Dow Jones first introduced the Islamic stock indexes in 1999, while Dow Jones Islamic Market Titans 100 Index was introduced in 2009. Interestingly, until August 2011, the Dow Jones family has included 68 indexes all over the world (Farooq & Reza, 2014). Consequently, The Dhaka Stock Exchange Shariah (DSES) index is based on Shariah-compliant principles that are considered as a proxy of the Islamic index. This index strictly maintains Shariah standards in selecting the companies under the DSES index. The first Islamic stock index in Bangladesh has been introduced by the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) in 2014. The introduction has been made in view to enable investors’ participation in equity investments that are attuned with Shariah principles. It is expected to oblige as Shariah-compliant broad market benchmark in evaluating the Bangladesh equity market performance. There is no eventual event or date to take the data. It is a continuous process to develop and introduce Islamic indexes in response to the demand and supply economic theory. Therefore, due to the availability of data, the researchers specified the span of the study and collected the data accordingly. The data sets were not divided into different periods due to the use of relatively new wavelet-based econometric analysis. 3.2. Model specification The data of the study is computed; the stock returns of conventional and Islamic markets by the first differences of the natural logarithm form of daily price indexes and expressed as percentages by multiplying 100 times. In other words, the formula for deriving stock returns can be written as follows: Rt¼log Pt = Pt1 � ��100 ¼ ðlog Ptlog Pt1Þ�100 (1) where Rt indicates the returns and P represents index levels at the time t and t − 1. Due to the national holidays, bank holidays, or any other reasons and time differences, data were missing of the respective stock markets; stock prices were assumed to stay the same as those of the previous day. All stock returns are calculated by the first difference of the natural logarithms form of each stock-price index and expressed as percentages (multiplied by 100 times). 3.3. Wavelet approach Wavelet is a popular and powerful method that has been developed recently. It is not only used in signal processing in engineering sectors but also econometric predictors in finance literature. Because of signal processing methodology, the wavelet critically analyses time-frequency causality between time-series economic data. The focus of this technique is to develop a fruitful interrelationship at multi-dimensional-based frequency brand properties. Since this method decomposes data at multiscales solutions, it can provide a robust outcome besides standard time series estimators (Ferrer Sahabuddin et al., Cogent Business & Management (2022), 9: 2034233 https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2022.2034233 Page 6 of 16 et al., 2016). Moreover, frequency and scales show an interesting movement like higher frequency (lower scale). This movement permits the user to distinguish the different scales and frequency ranges (Aguiar-Conraria et al., 2008). Apart from the frequency and time domain properties, this nascent method discusses the econometric synergy, which covers the shortcoming of error terms and structural breaks (Antonakakis et al., 2017; Yang et al., 2017). This methodology is run by a small wave packet that grows and decays over time. The role of this method is based on the calculation of location and estimation of scale parameters. The wavelet function is defined as: Ψτ;s tð Þ ¼ 1 ffiffiffiffiffiffi Sj j pΨtτ s � �s;τ2R;s�(2) Here, S defines the length of the parameter, where τ indicates the position of the parameter. In addition, s denotes the normalization dynamic that causes one-unit wavelet variance and Ψτ;s¼1 shows the relationship between frequency and scales. Moreover, the study makes use of Morlet wavelet that describes the smoothest (father) and detailed (mother) functions of the wavelet family. This function is widely used in economics and fiancé literature due to its strong practical implications (Reboredo et al., 2017). The equation of this function is as follows: Ψmtð Þ ¼ 1 4π1=4ei$otet2=2(3) Where, 4π 1/4 conserves the wavelet energy as a band and it maintains central frequency. On the other hand, ϖο refers to the localizations that maintain the balance between time and frequency. However, e −t2/2 indicates the Gaussian envelope, and e iϖοt denotes a complex analytic wavelet. 3.4. The continuous wavelet transformation (CWT) The wavelet approach mainly contains two parts, namely CWT and Discrete Wavelet Transformation (DWT). However, due to the colorful graphical presentation and simple interpretation, CWT is more friendly and popular than DWT (Aguiar-Conraria & Soares, 2011). Where CWT is a multiresolution-based analysis for dilatation and contraction of wavelet functions, DWT is a multiresolution filters-based analysis for decomposition and re-composition of data. wxSð Þ ¼ ò 1  1Xtð Þ 1 ffiffiffiffi S pΨ�t S � � (4) Here, Ψ denotes the function of the mother wavelet and * depicts the complex conjugate function. In addition, τ denotes the translation of the parameter as well as S is representing for the scales of a parameter. 3.5. Wavelet coherence Wavelet is a set of analysis techniques that maintain a big family. These are WPS, CWT, and wavelet coherence transform (WCT) that are commonly used to examine the dependency between two-time series. These techniques are superior to any other approaches due to time and frequency domain characteristics (Reboredo et al., 2017). Aguiar-Conraria et al. (2008) state that WCT as the ratio of the cross-spectrum to the spectrum element of each series can be regarded as the spatial similarity (both in frequency and time) between two series. This is represented as the coefficient of time-frequency space correlation. Coherence for wavelets is defined as follows: Rn2Sð Þ ¼ jSðs1Wx=yn sð Þj2 Sðs1Wnxsð Þj j�Sðs1jWn sð Þyj2(5) where R 2 represents the coherence of wavelets and S is a smoothing operator. The value range of WCT is 0 to 1. WCT is an appropriate technique for analyzing co-movement between two markets or indexes. 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