Innovation and firm performance: The moderating and mediating roles of firm size and small and medium enterprise finance
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Ploypailin Kijkasiwat; Pongsutti Phuensane Article Innovation and firm performance: The moderating and mediating roles of firm size and small and medium enterprise finance Journal of Risk and Financial Management Provided in Cooperation with: MDPI – Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute, Basel Suggested Citation: Ploypailin Kijkasiwat; Pongsutti Phuensane (2020) : Innovation and firm performance: The moderating and mediating roles of firm size and small and medium enterprise finance, Journal of Risk and Financial Management, ISSN 1911-8074, MDPI, Basel, Vol. 13, Iss. 5, pp. 1-15, https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13050097 This Version is available at: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/239185 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. Terms of use: Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your personal and scholarly purposes. You are not to copy documents for public or commercial purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. If the documents have been made available under an Open Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Journal of Risk and Financial Management Article Innovation and Firm Performance: The Moderating and Mediating Roles of Firm Size and Small and Medium Enterprise Finance Ploypailin Kijkasiwat * and Pongsutti Phuensane Faculty of Business Administration and Accountancy, Khon Kaen University, 123 Mittraphap Rd., Muang KhonKaen 40002, Thailand; [email protected] *Correspondence: [email protected] Received: 17 April 2020; Accepted: 13 May 2020; Published: 15 May 2020 Abstract: This study examines the moderating effect of firm size on the relationship between innovation and firm performance of small and medium enterprises in 29 countries in Eastern European and Central Asia. The study also investigates whether the impact of innovation in products and processes on firm performance is affected by financial capital. The method applied is partial least square structural equation modelling. The findings indicate that firm size and the financial capital both moderate and mediate the impact of innovation on firm performance, positively or negatively. The findings have implications for decision makers by highlighting the significance of firm size and financial sources when planning to introduce innovations to enhance firm performance. Keywords: SMEs; innovation; firm performance; financial capital 1. Introduction Innovation can play a significant role in enhancing economic growth and has the potential to bring about change and create opportunities for every business. A supportive environment in terms of resources and information in the industry 4.0 provides an opportunity for both large-sized firms and small and medium enterprises (SMEs 1 ) in Eastern Europe and Central Asia to use innovative technology to improve firm performance (Andries and Faems 2013). In the digital era, access to technological innovation is generally found globally, including in European and Asian countries. Technological adoption is mainly found in Eastern European SMEs rather than in Central Asian countries where the average number of employees hired in Central Asian firms is lower. (Damaskopoulos and Evgeniou 2003; Purcarea et al. 2013). The literature recognises innovation as a key factor contributing to firm performance. A number of studies analyse the direct effects of innovation on corporate performance (Mustafa and Yaakub 2018;Prange and Pinho 2017;Rosli and Sidek 2013;Ullah 2020;Wang 2016): however, little is known of the mechanisms that underlie firm-level innovation. There is mixed evidence about whether firm size affects firm performance (Andries and Faems 2013;Benfratello et al. 2008; Dooley et al. 2016). Correspondingly, there is still value in a further investigation of whether the size 1 There is no standard for defining SMEs, as the SME definition differs across countries depending on the specific criteria used. According to European Union (EU) criteria, SMEs are the firms having less than 250 employees (OECD 2017) while SMEs in Central Asia are defined differently depending on the size of fixed asset and the number of employees is less than 200 (OEDC 2018). This study follows the definition of SMEs from the Business Environment and Enterprise Performance Survey 2013, cooperatively developed by the World Bank, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), the European Investment Bank (EIB), and the European Commission (EC) (www.enterprisesurveys.org). SMEs are defined as enterprises which have five to 99 employees. Small firms are firms having five to 19 employees, whereas medium firms are those having 20 to 99 employees. J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020,13, 97; doi:10.3390/jrfm13050097 www.mdpi.com/journal/jrfm
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020,13, 97 2 of 15 of a firm affects the performance of innovative SMEs. This study aims to contribute to this debate by further exploring the moderating effect of firm size and its impact on the relationship between innovation and the firm performance of SMEs. SMEs are typically opaque in terms of their financial health as they are not required to present financial statements to the public. To invest in technology and innovation, external finance from banks and financial institutions are the main sources of funding (Benfratello et al. 2008). However, due to a lack of collateral in a majority of SMEs (Duarte et al. 2017), their credit trustworthiness is lower than that of large-sized firms. As a result, many SMEs experience difficulties in accessing financial capital (Calcagnini et al. 2011). A number of scholars have investigated this direct relationship between SMEs’ finance and firm performance, and the results have indicated either positive or negative relationships. However, there are still insufficient studies that examine whether different types of financing in firms with innovation are associated with an improvement in firm performance. In other words, further consideration needs to be given to the ways in which formal and informal financing impacts on the performance of innovative SMEs. The types of innovative activities in SMEs and large firms are different (Dooley et al. 2016), so financial support could affect their firm performance in various ways. Although many studies examine the effect of technology usage and financial resources on SMEs’ performance (Budiarto and Pramudiati 2018), there is an absence of research that focuses on how these two factors impact on firm performance at the same time. Therefore, the second aim of this study is to examine the mediating effect of financing, specifically how financial capital mediates the relationship between innovation and firm performance. This contributes to prior research regarding the mediating effect of different type of finance on the performance of SMEs (Fernandez 2017). This study extends previous research about capital structure in large-sized firms and SMEs, which mostly discuss funding in relation to liability and equity (Revest and Sapio 2012). It also contributes to the literature by showing that firm size is a relevant factor in the financing behaviour of SMEs and their innovation level. The study uses the Business Environment and Enterprise Performance Survey (BEEPS), which provides cross-country firm-level data for Eastern Europe and Central Asian countries collected in a 2013 survey. The findings of this study contribute to prior research focusing on a single-country level (Sibanda et al. 2018). The current study analyses 12,890 SMEs across Eastern Europe and Central Asian countries in order to provide precise findings to add to the previous literature regarding the broader picture of the impacts of innovation. The next section of this article explains the development of the research hypotheses. The third section sets out the research methodology and the data analysis method, which is followed by an account of the empirical findings. The article ends with a discussion and a conclusion. 2. Hypotheses Development 2.1. Impacts of Innovation on Firm Performance Technology usage promotes sustainability, growth (Fowowe 2017) and can facilitate business success (Budiarto and Pramudiati 2018). Various types of innovative developments are associated with different aspects of performance (Saunila 2014). Previous studies mention a positive relationship between the innovation and performance of SMEs (Centobelli et al. 2019;Chege and Wang 2020; Mashal 2018). The impacts of innovation on the performance of a firm can be demonstrated by both financial and non-financial indicators (Mashal 2018). The positive impacts of innovation include the ability to compete with others (Anwar 2018;Conto et al. 2016), financial accessibility (Abdu and Jibir 2018), connection and communication (Radzi et al. 2017), marketing (Adam et al. 2017), and export performance (Azar and Ciabuschi 2017;Love et al. 2016;Prange and Pinho 2017). However, some critics have a different perspective. For example, Karabulut (2015) found that innovation has negative impacts on firm growth. It has also been suggested that a failure to consider the potential negative effects of innovation could eventually impact on the environment and lead to uncontrollable business growth (Laforet 2011). In spite of reservations like these about potential negative impacts, there is strong
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020,13, 97 3 of 15 support in the literature for the positive effects of innovation on firm performance. Based on previous studies, the first research hypothesis is developed as follows. H1. Innovation positively affects the performance in small and medium enterprises. 2.2. Impacts of Financial Capital on Firm Performance of SMEs Financial capital plays an important role in enhancing firm performance (Contessi and De Nicola 2012; Jaradat et al. 2018;Sibanda et al. 2018). Compared with large firms, SMEs obviously invest less in innovative technology and use less sophisticated technical equipment. Difficulty in accessing external finance is the main barrier to adopting technological innovations. The opacity of SMEs regarding their ability to pay back loans creates difficulties when they wish to access financial capital (Berger and Udell 2006). To access external finance from banks and financial institutions, SME owners are normally required to provide collateral as a guarantee for a loan as this signals the financial health of a firm to lenders (Hanedar et al. 2014). Insufficient finance can later generate a decline in firm performance (Jaradat et al. 2018;Sibanda et al. 2018). SMEs are more likely to access financial support for working capital rather than for enhancing firm growth (Fanta 2012). Short-term credit finance supports day-to-day operation (Leonidou et al. 2018). This credit shows the liquidity of a firm and establishes its credit trustworthiness for suppliers. At the same time, asset liquidity is an important determinant of innovation (Pham et al. 2018). From prior studies, finance seems to be the most significant factor relating to firm performance as compared with other barriers. Regarding the relationship between accessing finance and firm performance, scholars have different opinions. Sibanda et al. (2018) found that there was a negative impact of access to finance on SME firm performance. In contrast, Jaradat et al. (2018) state that financial accessibility constraints are negatively associated with SMEs’ performance. Financial constraints are seen as the main barrier to innovation by SMEs (Boži´c and Rajh 2016). The constraints include the accessibility of long-term debt and short-term credit for daily operation. Based on the literature, the second hypothesis is developed. H2. Financial capital positively affects the performance of small and medium enterprises. Innovation activities are driven by the availability of finance. Abdu and Jibir (2018) confirm that SMEs’ innovation activities are limited by internal finance. The decrease in the internal finance of a large-sized firm does not lead to a decline in innovative performance, as they can obtain replacement capital from external formal financial institutions. In contrast, SMEs having problems in generating internal finance have a higher probability of a decline in cash flow. Then, they tend to face difficulties in obtaining formal finance from banks and formal financial institutions. Financial constraints are particularly severe in firms with innovative activities (Boži´c and Rajh 2016). Some studies indicate a positive relationship between product and process innovation and support in terms of formal finance, which then impacts firm performance (Ayyagari et al. 2010). Lee et al. (2015) demonstrate that innovative firms are more likely than other firms to be turned down for finance, particularly in SMEs in which performance is related to innovative products or services. This is because of the high cost of innovation which is less likely to be spent by SMEs (Santiago et al. 2017). To enhance firm performance, it is suggested that innovative SMEs should try to obtain financial support from either formal or informal institutions, or both (Benfratello et al. 2008). Based on the literature, the third hypothesis is developed as follows. H3. Financial capital mediates the relationship between innovation and the performance of small and medium enterprises. 2.3. Impacts of Firm Size on Firm Performance Innovative activities within the same physical capital structure in SMEs and in large-sized firms are different (Noori et al. 2017). Innovative projects normally involve large fixed costs. Large firms have a greater ability to access external finance to progress research and development (R&D) projects
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020,13, 97 4 of 15 compared with SMEs (Noori et al. 2017;Schumpeter 1942). This capacity can have a positive impact on firm performance (Sachs and McArthur 2002). Large-sized firms and SMEs typically undertake different types of innovative activities. External innovative activities draw on internal resources and external knowledge as well as technological skills. These activities mainly involve improvements to the productivity of a firm. Internal innovation relates to a company’s resources and capabilities that are associated with innovative R&D activities (Kim et al. 2016). The study states that while both external and internal innovative R&D activities impact the performance of large-sized firms, only internal innovative R&D activities affect the performance of SMEs (Kim et al. 2016). Similarly, Mabenge et al. (2020) state that the impact of innovation seems to be stronger in bigger and younger firms. From these statements, the final hypotheses are created as follows. H4. Firm size is associated with the performance of small and medium enterprises. H5. Firm size moderates the relationship between innovation and the performance of small and medium enterprises. In summary, the five research hypotheses formulated above have been integrated into a research model (Figure 1). J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13, 97 4 of 16 compared with SMEs (Noori et al. 2017; Schumpeter 1942). This capacity can have a positive impact on firm performance (Sachs and McArthur 2002). Large-sized firms and SMEs typically undertake different types of innovative activities. External innovative activities draw on internal resources and external knowledge as well as technological skills. These activities mainly involve improvements to the productivity of a firm. Internal innovation relates to a company’s resources and capabilities that are associated with innovative R&D activities (Kim et al. 2016). The study states that while both external and internal innovative R&D activities impact the performance of large-sized firms, only internal innovative R&D activities affect the performance of SMEs (Kim et al. 2016). Similarly, Mabenge et al. (2020) state that the impact of innovation seems to be stronger in bigger and younger firms. From these statements, the final hypotheses are created as follows. 𝐇𝟒: Firm size is associated with the performance of small and medium enterprises. 𝐇𝟓: Firm size moderates the relationship between innovation and the performance of small and medium enterprises. In summary, the five research hypotheses formulated above have been integrated into a research model (Figure 1). Figure 1. Research model and hypotheses. 3. Research Methodology 3.1. Samples and Data Collection The empirical analysis was based on samples of firms across 29 countries in Eastern Europe and Central Asia. This study analyses 12,890 SMEs with 5–99 employees as samples. Data were collected from BEEPS 2013 generated by the World Bank and the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development. The survey comprises various sections including innovation and finance. With the stratified random sampling technique, firms operating in different sectors and geographic region were surveyed. This reduces the selection bias and make samples generalizable. Figure 1. Research model and hypotheses. 3. Research Methodology 3.1. Samples and Data Collection The empirical analysis was based on samples of firms across 29 countries in Eastern Europe and Central Asia. This study analyses 12,890 SMEs with 5–99 employees as samples. Data were collected from BEEPS 2013 generated by the World Bank and the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development. The survey comprises various sections including innovation and finance. With the stratified random sampling technique, firms operating in different sectors and geographic region were surveyed. This reduces the selection bias and make samples generalizable.
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020,13, 97 5 of 15 Descriptive statistics provide an overview of the data. Table 1illustrates that, overall, medium firms have a higher percentage of both product and process innovation compared with small firms. The main source of finance for small firms is informal finance, (59.27%), which is received from friends and family, whereas for medium firms, the main source is formal finance from banks (45.98%). Additionally, small firms incorporate innovation into their products around two times more than integrating it into the enterprise process. Similar to medium firms, the percentage of product innovation is nearly three times higher than the percentage of process innovation, of 40.8 percent and 14.7 percent, respectively. This could be because technological licences are critical for SMEs to promote their performance. While strategic emphasis on innovative training brings new knowledge and skills to firms, this seems beneficial to human capital rather than corporate performance (Branzei and Vertinsky 2006). Table 1. Frequency of innovation and financial capital for all countries. Variable Small Medium Product innovation 30.51% 40.80% Process innovation 12.30% 14.70% Formal finance-bank 54.02% 45.98% Formal finance-nonbank 54.07% 45.93% Informal finance 59.27% 40.73% Descriptive statistics in Table 2show that approximately half of the sample are small sized firms. The majority of fixed assets in the samples is increased from the previous year. Regarding product innovation, many firms have technological licences in their products. Most firms provide training programmes for staffto improve service quality and the overall management system. On average, about 10 percent of finance is accessed from banks while around 2 percent is by using finance from family and friends. Compared with non-bank finance, SMEs still prefer using bank loans for their operation. Table 3presents the correlation of latent variables in this study. There is a significant association between the performance of small and medium enterprises and the type of finance accessed. The relationship between firm performance of SMEs and innovation is statistically high. Similarly, the association between financial capital and innovation is found at a significance level of 0.001. Table 2. Descriptive statistics for all countries. Variable Method of Measurement Obs Mean Std. dev Min Max Firm size 1=Small 2=Medium 12,890 1.42 0.49 1 2 Fixed asset 1=Increased 2=Not increased 12,890 1.62 0.48 1 2 Product innovation 1=Having a technological innovative licence 2=Not having a technological innovative licence 12,890 1.87 0.34 1 2 Process innovation 1=Having innovative training programmes 2=Not having innovative training programmes 12,890 1.65 0.48 1 2 Formal finance-bank Formal finance from banks (%) 12,890 9.96 21.47 0 100 Formal finance-nonbank Formal finance from non-banks (%) 12,890 0.85 6.41 0 100 Informal finance Informal finance (%) 12,890 2.13 10.91 0 100 Table 3. Correlation analysis. Variable Firm Performance Innovation Financial Capital Firm performance 1.000 Innovation 0.318 *** 1.000 Financial capital 0.160 *** 0.127 *** 1.000 Note: *** p<0.001.
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020,13, 97 6 of 15 3.2. Measures Firm performance (FP): The endogenous (dependent) variable in this study is firm performance, which captures how well a firm is performing in meeting the multiple financial aspects of business sustainability. Following the measures reported in previous studies of (Wang 2016;Mabenge et al. 2020; Brockman et al. 2012;Jun et al. 2020), firm performance in this study is indicated by total sales and the amount of fixed asset investment. Respondents were asked to indicate the total annual sales in the fiscal year (Sales), and the amount of fixed assets purchased for innovative activities (Fixed_Asset). These two indicators are continuous values. The exogenous (independent) variable in this study is innovation (Inno). Although some studies use patent (Noori et al. 2017) and R&D expenditure (Lööf and Nabavi 2016;Noori et al. 2017) as proxies of innovation, these two indicators are normally found in large firms rather than SMEs (Gorodnichenko and Schnitzer 2013). This study follows Wellalage and Fernandez (2019), who employed two direct measures of innovation. In this research, the focus is on innovative products and processes. Regarding product innovation, respondents were asked whether their products had a technologically innovative licence. Product_Inno is a dummy variable that takes the value of one if the firms’ products have an innovative licence, and two otherwise. In terms of process innovation, respondents were asked whether their employees are trained in programmes which aim to improve the skills of technology and innovation. Process_Inno is a dummy variable that takes the value of one if the firm has training programmes to improve employees’ technical and innovative skills, and two otherwise. Financial capital (Fin_Cap): This study captures formal and informal finances for working capital and follows Wellalage and Fernandez (2019) for the proxy used to identify financial capital. Data are taken from survey questions that ask respondents about the proportion of the business’s working capital that was financed from different sources. Formal finance includes loans from banks (state-owned and private) and non-bank institutions. Formal_Fin is a continuous variable presenting as a percentage. Informal finance includes trade credits and loans from friends, families and money lenders. Informal_fin is a continuous variable presenting as a percentage. Table 4demonstrates measurement of variables. Table 4. Measurement of variables. Variables Indicators of Variables Description of Indicators Firm performance (FP) Total sales (Sales) Fixed asset investment (Fixed_Asset) The total sale The amount of money invested in fix asset Innovation (Inno)Product innovation (Product_Inno) Process innovation (Process_Inno) Products having a technological innovative licence Training programs for improving employees technical and innovative skills Financial capital (Fin_Cap) Formal finance (Formal_fin) Informal finance (Informal_fin) Loans from banks (state-owned and private) and non-bank institutions. Trade credits and loans from friends, families and money lenders. 3.3. Control Variable The control variables chosen for the analysis are standard in the literature, for instance, as indicated in Adam et al. (2017), Wellalage and Fernandez (2019), Rubera and Kirca (2012), and Guariglia and Liu (2014). Following these examples, the current study controls variables representing firm age and firm type. 3.3.1. Firm Age Different levels of innovation and financial capital are associated with firm performance differently, particularly when SMEs operate for different time periods. Wellalage and Fernandez (2019) identified SMEs’ finance and innovation, and found a positive relationship between formal financing and
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020,13, 97 7 of 15 innovative products and process. The impact of types of finance is greater for early-stage SMEs than for mature counterparts (Rubera and Kirca 2012). However, informal finance has a more significant impact on mature firms’ product innovation. This contributes to different levels of sales growth and corporate profit (Kerr et al. 2014). Cowling (2006) states that younger firms focus more on the survival of the firm rather than the growth rate. Therefore, the firm age could affect the performance of SMEs if taken into consideration and included into the model. 3.3.2. Firm Type SMEs which operate in different sectors typically have diverse primary activities, so the ways in which they engage in innovation are not the same. Abdu and Jibir (2018) state that, in terms of the firm sector, manufacturing firms were the most innovative, followed by service firms then retailing firms. For manufacturing SMEs involved in developing products, innovative technology as well as employees’ advanced skills in using tools and machinery may be required. Research and development also play critical roles in promoting new skills and techniques, training, and even the incorporation of raw material in the upstream supply chain. SMEs that operate in the service sector tend to use innovative technology for customer service with the aim of increasing customer satisfaction. Adopting innovation mainly relates to improving staffskills (Gubrium and Holstein 2002). Firms in the retail sector tend to incorporate the benefits of innovative product design from manufacturers and technical skills from the service sector to increase firm performance. Retail firms choose design-driven innovation as a strategy embodied in strategic innovation projects designed to achieve superior performance and gain competitive advantage (Bellini et al. 2017). The various features of SMEs that operate in different sectors in the ways that they engage in technology and innovation may result in a range of possible impacts on their firm performance. 4. Data Analysis 4.1. Reflective Measurement Model Assessment The study tests the reliability and validity of constructs to ensure the outer (measurement) model is robust (Fornell and Larcker 1981;Hair et al. 2010). 4.1.1. Construct and Indicator Reliability The indicator’s reliability is evaluated through factor loading between constructs and their items. According to Hair et al. (2016), factor loading estimates should be higher than 0.70. For internal consistency reliability, composite reliability (CR) should be higher than 0.70 (Fornell and Larcker 1981). The results (Table 5) show that all item loadings are higher than the recommended value, suggesting acceptable indicator reliability. The composite reliability varies between 0.709 and 0.854 indicating that the constructs employed have acceptable levels of internal consistency reliability. Table 5. Factor loading. Latent Variable Indicators Factor Loading AVE CR Firm performance Sales 0.762 0.549 0.709 Fixed_Asset 0.720 Innovation Product_Inno 0.786 0.585 0.738 Process_Inno 0.743 Financial capital Formal_Fin 0.859 0.746 0.854 Informal_Fin 0.868 Notes: Factor weighting scheme; mean 0, var. 1; max. Iterations =300.
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020,13, 97 8 of 15 4.1.2. Convergent Validity To evaluate whether indicators of each latent variable theoretically explain the constructs, the researcher tested convergent validity of the reflective measured constructs (Carmines and Zeller 1979). The convergent validity is evaluated by average variance extracted (AVE), and it should be higher than 0.50 as this indicates that, on average, the construct explains over 50 percent of the variance of its items (Sarstedt et al. 2014). Composite reliabilities for the three reflectively measured constructs ranged from 0.709 to 0.854, exceeding the minimum requirement of 0.70. 4.1.3. Discriminant Validity Discriminate validity demonstrates the extent to which a construct is categorised from other constructs because of either similarity or difference values (Sarstedt et al. 2014). Fornell and Larcker (1981) and Hair et al. (2010) suggest that the square root of AVE should be higher than inter-construct correlations, and maximum shared variance (MSV) should be lower than AVE. Table 6demonstrates the Fornell–Larcker test of discriminant validity. This is correspondingly confirmed by cross loadings which are less than all indicator loadings. Table 6. Fornell–Larcker test of discriminant validity. Firm Performance Innovation Financial Capital Firm performance 0.741 Innovation 0.318 0.765 Financial capital 0.160 0.127 0.864 4.2. Structural Model and Hypotheses Testing Regarding the inner (structural) model, innovation has the strongest effect on firm performance (path coefficient of 0.304, t-statistics of 24.036), followed by financial capital (path coefficient of 0.122, t-statistics of 10.113). The positive statistical effect shows that the higher the level of innovation, the higher the firm performance. The higher the level of financial capital, the higher the level of firm performance that will result. From the results, hypothesis 1 and 2 are supported. 4.2.1. Structural Model Assessment The criteria facilitate the structural model assessment including coefficient of determination (R square), cross-validity of redundancy (Q square) and the path coefficients. The empirical finding shows the R-square of 0.117 which mean both innovation and financial capital explain the variance of firm performance of 11.7 percent. We assess the model’s predictive relevance by evaluating the Q square. The smaller the difference between predicted and originated values, the greater the Q square. After running blindfolding, the Q square is above zero for a particular endogenous construct, demonstrating the accuracy in the path model’s prediction (firm performance: 0.063; financial capital: 0.012) (Sarstedt et al. 2014). The strength and significance of the path coefficient are evaluated for the relationships hypothesized between the constructs. After running bootstrapping, we found our path coefficient values to be significant. This is presented by t-statistics which range from − 1 to 1. This finding indicates that innovation and financial capital play important roles in driving firm performance with path coefficients of 0.304 and 0.122, respectively. This shows that innovation has a stronger direct effect on firm performance than financial capital. Additionally, the study focuses on both direct effects and total effects, that is the sum of direct effects and indirect effects between an exogenous and an endogenous construct in the structural model. We further explore whether there is an indirect effect of innovation on firm performance via the mediator financial capital.
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