Ecological footprint and human well-being nexus: Accounting for broad-based financial development, globalization, and natural resources in the Next-11 countries
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Nathaniel, Solomon Prince Article Ecological footprint and human well-being nexus: Accounting for broad-based financial development, globalization, and natural resources in the Next-11 countries Future Business Journal Provided in Cooperation with: Faculty of Commerce and Business Administration, Future University Suggested Citation: Nathaniel, Solomon Prince (2021) : Ecological footprint and human well-being nexus: Accounting for broad-based financial development, globalization, and natural resources in the Next-11 countries, Future Business Journal, ISSN 2314-7210, Springer, Heidelberg, Vol. 7, Iss. 1, pp. 1-18, https://doi.org/10.1186/s43093-021-00071-y This Version is available at: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/246674 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. Terms of use: Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your personal and scholarly purposes. You are not to copy documents for public or commercial purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. If the documents have been made available under an Open Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Nathaniel Futur Bus J (2021) 7:24 https://doi.org/10.1186/s43093-021-00071-y RESEARCH Ecological footprint andhuman well-being nexus: accounting forbroad-based financial development, globalization, andnatural resources intheNext-11 countries Solomon Prince Nathaniel1,2* Abstract The Next-11 (N11) countries have witnessed great advancements in economic activities in the past few years. However, the simultaneous attainment of environmental sustainability and improved human well-being has remained elusive. This study probes into ecological footprint (EF) and human well-being nexus in N11 countries by applying advanced estimation techniques compatible with heterogeneity, endogeneity, and cross-sectional dependence across country groups. From the findings, human well-being, captured by the human development index, increases the EF, and EF also increases human well-being which suggests a strong trade-off between both indicators. This shows that policies that are channeled toward promoting human well-being are not in consonance with environmental wellness. Financial development and biocapacity increase the EF, while natural resources and globalization reduce it. Human well-being increases the EF in all the countries except in Egypt. This study argues that strong institutions could help mitigate the trade-offs and ease the simultaneous attainment of both environmental preservation and improved human well-being. The limitations of the study, as well as, possible directions for future research are discussed. Keywords: Human well-being, Globalization, Ecological footprint, Financial development, Sustainable development, AMG © The Author(s) 2021. This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http:// creat iveco mmons. org/ licen ses/ by/4. 0/. Introduction Environmental matters are now a serious issue and are gaining more popularity by the passing of each day. But, the challenge of maintaining a sustainable environment without inhibiting human well-being is still ubiquitous. Many factors have been found culpable of environmental degradation, but the human factor, is most often than not, ignored. However, human factors are the major drivers of ecological distortions [42, 43, 52, 53]. The link between ecological conditions and human wellbeing cannot be overemphasized. Better environmental management, could, in principle, come with lots of good outcomes for humanity, with a positive synergy between human well-being and environmental conditions [41]. A positive synergy between human well-being and environmental quality is quite ideal and desirable, but it would be erroneous to believe that both are, or should be mutually reinforcing. A trade-off is expected especially in a situation where environmental and growth policies are not well-designed [75]. It is most likely that variables/factors like urbanization, globalization, energy consumption, and natural resources exploration can promote ecological distortions and increase the demands for health, food, education, and wealth which are core human development elements [2, 5, 6, 44, 47, 54, 72]. Open Access Future Business Journal *Correspondence: [email protected] 1 Department of Economics, University of Lagos, Akoka, Nigeria Full list of author information is available at the end of the article
Page 2 of 18 Nathaniel Futur Bus J (2021) 7:24 The United Nations rolled out the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in 2015 and listed; Quality Education (Goal 4), No Poverty (Goal 1), Climate Action (Goal 13), Good Health and Well-Being (Goal 3), Zero Hunger (Goal 2), Reduced Inequality (Goal 10), Life on Land (Goal 15), etc., as some of the tenets of the SDGs. The idea behind these goals is to improve human well-being and place humans at a level where they can efficiently contribute to environmental wellness. However, the improvement of human well-being in some of the N11 countries is still in a pitiable state. Also, the simultaneous attainment of Goal 3 and Goal 15 still remains elusive. Though these countries (N11) have witnessed persistent growth in their GDP over the years, there are still some key issues capable of declining human well-being that is yet to be appropriately addressed. As such, the Human Development Index (HDI) of these countries has witnessed little or no improvement. See Table1. Table 1 reveals that all the countries have their EF higher than their BIO, inferring ecological deficit. Korea has the highest HDI, and also the worst environmental records, as the country’s EF is exceedingly higher than its BIO. A closer look at Table1 reveals that each country has witnessed an increase in its HDI between the time periods. The questions begging for answers remain; is there a trade-off between human well-being and environmental quality in the N11 countries? Does the drain in biocapacity, or drench in EF influence human wellbeing in the N11 countries? What is the influence of globalization on human well-being in the N11 countries? This study will assist policymakers in these countries to align their objectives of improving human well-being and the quality of life, with that of preserving the natural ecosystems. Attaining human well-being without deteriorating environmental quality is required in N11 countries. A better understanding of how both are connected is of utmost importance in these countries. This knowledge will inform a desirable human well-being development plan that will enhance sustainable growth and maintain environmental quality. This study is super useful for the N11 countries where factors like globalization, economic growth, urbanization, financial development, and other socio-economic conditions are depleting the biocapacity, causing resource depletion, and increasing the regions ecological footprint (EF). Of little wonder, all the N11 countries are now occupying an ecological deficit territory. Figure1 presents the study framework. Energy consumption, natural resources exploration, and financial development may have consequences on the quality of the environment [16]. Financial development instigates higher loan disbursement to customers at low costs. This access to funding gives the firm the opportunity to create demand for their outputs thereby promoting industrialization [86]. Industrialization stimulates urbanization and energy consumption which gives room for ambient air pollution. Also, air pollution hampers human well-being by creating sickness, infant mortality, and other health defects [51]. At the early stage of financial development, emissions level is expected to rise. However, as financial development persists, emissions decline since the former promotes energy innovations, which might result in energy generation from cleaner sources [86, 87]. This study contributes from the following angles: (1) this is the pioneer study to examine the influence of biocapacity, EF, and financial development on human well-being in the N11 countries. (2) This study employs Table 1 Biocapacity, ecological footprint, and HDI in the N11 countries. Sources Global Footprint Network [25] and UNDP [76] BIO biocapacity Countries 2014 2015 2016 EF BIO HDI EF BIO HDI EF BIO HDI Bangladesh 0.80 0.40 0.57 0.87 0.40 0.58 0.84 0.40 0.59 Egypt 1.96 0.45 0.68 1.91 0.45 0.69 1.81 0.44 0.69 Indonesia 1.68 1.26 0.69 1.63 1.27 0.69 1.68 1.22 0.70 Iran 3.34 0.74 0.78 3.23 0.75 0.78 3.19 0.73 0.79 South Korea 5.73 0.67 0.89 5.85 0.67 0.89 6.00 0.66 0.90 Mexico 2.57 1.20 0.75 2.56 1.16 0.75 2.60 1.17 0.76 Nigeria 1.17 0.70 0.52 1.13 0.70 0.52 1.08 0.68 0.52 Pakistan 0.82 0.38 0.54 0.81 0.36 0.55 0.83 0.36 0.55 Philippines 1.09 0.57 0.69 1.15 0.56 0.70 1.32 0.54 0.70 Turkey 3.25 1.44 0.79 3.34 1.50 0.80 3.35 1.43 0.80 Vietnam 1.78 1.02 0.67 2.01 1.05 0.68 2.12 1.01 0.68
Page 3 of 18 Nathaniel Futur Bus J (2021) 7:24 a positive and comprehensive environmental indicator (EF) that accommodates forest land, built-up land, grazing land, carbon footprint, ocean, and cropland. Furthermore, second-generation econometric techniques have been employed to address heterogeneity, endogeneity, and CD. (3) The augmented mean group (AMG) estimator, Driscoll–Kraay (DK), Panel-corrected standard error (PCSE), and the cross-sectionally augmented autoregressive distributed lag (CS-ARDL) model approach are applied to achieve robust estimates which can inform policy formulation that will enhance environmental sustainability and the improvement of human well-being in general, and N11 countries in particular. This study is arranged thus: “Literature review” section presents the literature, and “Methodology, model, and data source” section addresses the methodology and data source. Results are presented and discussed in “Results” section. “Conclusions” section concludes. Literature review Theoretical background/underpinning Gross domestic product (GDP) has been widely used as a measure of economic wellness. The GDP is just the monetary value of goods and services produced within a country, usually for 1year. This metric (GDP) has its limitations as it fails to capture human welfare, health impairment, and education relating to environmental awareness [17]. The intuition here is clear; there is a need for an all-embracing metric that addresses welfare effects, accounts for society’s education, income, and health in the environmental quality-welfare debate. For this reason, the HDI meets our demand. There are studies in the literature that support a positive association between education and life expectancy (both components of HDI) and environmental disasters but failed to establish the same association between the aforementioned variables and GDP [13]. The EF is a relatively new concept, and it appears that only a few studies have used this tool to measure human well-being activities impact the environment. As such, limited research has been completed on human wellbeing as it relates to environmental sustainability. Theoretically, studies in the past have tried to develop an index that addresses social-economic and environmental difficulties (see, for instance, [12]). The two theories that evolve from such integrated sustainable HDI are the win–win and the trade-off approach. The win–win approach believes society/community can achieve double benefits of improved environmental quality and wellbeing, while the trade-off approach argued that both are not self-enforcing that a trade-off is inevitable. This study intends to examine both approaches for the N11 countries with EF as the environmental indicator and HDI as the human well-being indicator. The EF measures mankind’s demand for the regenerative capacity of our planet: Earth’s biocapacity [21]. Apart from being an accounting tool, the EF is an area-based indicator that measures the intensity by which humans use resources and generate waste, relative to that area’s capacity to provide for these activities. It is also referred to as “appropriated carrying Fig. 1 Study framework
Page 4 of 18 Nathaniel Futur Bus J (2021) 7:24 capacity” since every person appropriates the productive capacity of nature [15, 23]. It is expected that the outcome of this study will give insight and propose policy directions that will balance these two targets (human well-being and environmental wellness) simultaneously in the N11 countries. HDI, globalization, biocapacity, andecological footprint Most recent studies have tried to link HDI/human development to economic growth and financial development (see, [26, 73]). However, the possibility abounds that HDI can also impact the EF. Environmental pollution and a fragile ecological environment impairs human well-being and health and causes ecological distortions [11, 89]. Environmental degradation affects human wellbeing adversely and inhibits ecological balance. Also, the desire to improve the quality of life exacts pressure on the natural environment which in turn reduces the bio-pro- ductive land. Ahmed etal. [7] examined if human capital reduces the EF in G7 countries. The outcome was in the affirmative. The authors further noted that the level of human development matters for environmental wellness. Zafar etal. [85] explored the impact of human capital on the EF in the USA for the period 1970–2015 through the ARDL approach. Their findings suggest human capital that reduces the EF. Ahmed etal. [4] used the same approach as Zafar etal. [85] and also discovered a similar relationship between human capital and EF in China. Kassouri and Altıntaş [31] discovered that biocapacity and globalization reduce the EF after applying the Interactive Fixed Effects estimator on a panel of 13 MENA countries. There are studies that have tried to link globalization with environmental quality. Shahbaz etal. [67] used the GMM technique to examine the influence of institution, globalization, and trade on the environment in the G7 countries from 1980 to 2014. They discovered that globalization harms the environment. In a similar gesture, Liu etal. [39] explored the effect of renewable energy and globalization on the quality of the environment in G7 countries between 1970 and 2015. From their findings, renewable energy adds to environmental quality, while globalization promotes pollution. Acheampong etal. [1] arrived at a similar result as regards the devastating impact of globalization on the environment in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). The findings of Shahbaz etal. [67], Liu etal. [39], and Acheampong etal. [1] contradict the recent findings of Saud etal. [66] who discovered that globalization mitigated the EF in one-belt-one-road (OBOR) initiative countries. Hassan etal. [27] used the ARDL approach to investigate the impact of biocapacity, human capital, and growth on the EF in Pakistan. Biocapacity and economic growth influence the environment negatively, while human capital declines the EF. Hassan etal. [28] further probed the influence of natural resource and biocapacity on the EF in Pakistan. The ARDL results revealed that biocapacity and natural resource increase EF. Also, causality flows from both variables to the EF. Pandey etal. [57] investigated the impact of biocapacity and globalization on the environment in Asia from 1971 to 2014. In contrast to the findings of Shahbaz etal. [67] and Acheampong etal. [1], they discovered that globalization promotes environmental quality, while biocapacity exacts a reverse influence on environmental quality. Financial development, urbanization, economic growth, andecological footprint There is an on-going gradual transition from the use of CO2 emissions as an environmental indicator to EF in the cause of measuring the impact of financial development, urbanization, and economic growth on the environment. Zafar etal. [85] and Ahmed etal. [4] used the ARDL technique to investigate the impact of economic growth on the EF in the USA and China, respectively. Both studies agreed that economic growth increases the EF. Ahmed etal. [4] further reported that urbanization contributes to ecological pressure in China. Ahmed etal. [4] argued that urbanization in China is not sustainable and therefore called on policymakers to enact legislation that will enhance urban sustainability considering the population growth rate in China. Nathaniel etal. [49] investigated the interaction between economic growth, urbanization, and EF in CIVETS nations. The AMG estimator was employed. Long-run interaction was found among the variables. Economic growth decreases environmental deterioration, while urbanization increases it in CIVETS countries. Nathaniel etal. [50] studied the effect of urbanization on the EF in the MENA nations. They adopted the AMG algorithm for their study. The result indicated that urbanization and economic growth add to environmental deterioration. Further findings affirmed a one-way directional causality from urbanization and economic growth to the EF in MENA nations. Saud etal. [66] applied the PMG approach to investigate the impact of globalization and financial development on the EF in OBOR countries from 1990 to 2014. Their findings affirmed that financial development increases the EF, while globalization reduces it. Ansari et al. [9] investigated the impact of economic growth on material footprint and EF in 37 Asian countries from 1991 to 2017 using the PMG, GMM, and DOLS techniques. Their findings showed that economic growth increases both indicators (material footprint and EF). Sharif etal. [68] also discovered that economic growth drives the EF in Turkey. Kassouri and Altıntaş [31]
Page 5 of 18 Nathaniel Futur Bus J (2021) 7:24 explored the effect of financial development and urbanization on EF in MENA countries. They discovered that both variables increase EF, but exact the opposite influence on human well-being. In conclusion, the literature survey reveals that studies seldom examine the effects of HDI on EF. More so, there is no single study that has investigated the impact of HDI on the EF in N11 countries. The recently introduced financial development index by the IMF has never been used for any analysis that involves the N11 countries. This is the only study that tried to examine the existence of the win–win or trade-off hypothesis in N11 countries. The effect of urbanization, financial development, and globalization on the EF is still murky as consistency in findings remains elusive. Methodology, model anddata source Methods This study adopts econometric procedures that are consistent with the properties of the data used in the study. A wrong procedure will yield bias and inconsistent estimates. To avoid such outcomes, this study proceeds with the CD test. Cross‑sectional dependence As earlier mentioned, results could be biased if CD is ignored. Earlier studies failed to consider the possibility of CD in their empirical analysis; knowing fully well that the world is now a global village where countries are closely knitted. CD is now common due to spillover effect, financial crisis, trade agreements, and international treaties, among others. As such, this study applies the CD tests suggested by Pesaran [60] given as: where ρij = cross sections correlation of error between i and j. T is the time horizon, and N represents cross sections. This study will be more concerned with the first two tests because they are robust in panels where T (time dimension) >N (cross section); which is the exact feature of our dataset. Unit root Apart from the CD tests, the integration properties of the data are also necessary. The presence of CD will determine the choice of the unit root tests. Second-generation tests are preferred in the vicinity of CD. Therefore, this study used the cross-sectionally augmented ADF (CADF) and cross-sectionally augmented IPS (CIPS) introduced by Pesaran [61]. Both tests account for CD and heterogeneity. Pesaran [61] suggested a Dickey–Fuller based tests (CADF) (1) CD = � 2T N(N−1) N−1 � i=0 N−1 � j=i+1 ρij N(0, 1 ) that is consistent with structural breaks, heterogeneity and CD. The CADF test equation is given as: ρi is the proxy of the unobservable common factor which Pesaran [61] introduced to eliminate CD emanating from common shocks that might affect all the units. Also, Pesaran [61] suggested a cross-sectional augmented version of the IPS test given as: Both tests (CADF and CIPS) have unique properties. They can address serial correlation and perform better than all the first-generation tests. Cointegration When variables have the same order of integration, let us say, I(1), it becomes necessary to ascertain if they have a long-run relation. The study applies the Westerlund [79] test to investigate the possibility of a cointegrating relationship among the variables. The test controls for CD and nuisance arising from endogeneity. It has a greater explanatory power compared to dynamic cointegration tests. Westerlund [79] constructed four statistics. Two of the four statistics are the group mean statistics, which tests the cointegration of the whole panel, and the panel mean tests, which examines the existence of cointegration in at least one of the units. The test applies bootstrap approach to account for CD and non-strictly exogenous regressors. Parameter estimation The current study adopted the AMG estimator of Bond and Eberhardt [14] because it is consistent with the characteristics of our data. Also, it accounts for heterogeneity and CD which are the two core panel data issues [19]. The AMG is performed in two stages: (2) � yit =�ϕit +βixit−1+ρiT+ n j = 1 θij�xi,t−j+ε it (3) CIPS = 1 N N j = 1 CADF t (4) G τ= 1 N N i=1 αi SE( α i ) and Gα= 1 N N i=1 T αi αi(1 ) (5) P τ= α i SE( αi) and Pα=T α (6) AMG-Stage1 :�yit =αi+bi�xit +cift+ T t=2 dt�Dt+e it
Page 6 of 18 Nathaniel Futur Bus J (2021) 7:24 xit and yit are the observables. ft represents the unobserved common factor. The country-specific estimates of coefficients, the AMG estimator, and the time dummies are, respectively bt , bAMG , and dt . In addition, the DK, CS-ARDL, and the PCSE approach are used to ascertain the robustness of the findings. The DK is robust amidst serial and spatial dependence, heteroscedasticity, and CD. It accommodates balanced and unbalanced panels, both large and small sample sizes, and missing values [10]. The PCSE shares almost the same properties with the DK approach. Besides, the CS-ARDL accommodates non-stationary data, and is capable of addressing CD and endogeneity issues [3]. Causality One limitation of the AMG estimator is that it does not give information about causality. Since the direction of causality aids policy direction, the Dumitrescu and Hurlin [20] test is applied to check the direction of causality. The DH equation is given as: (7) AMG-Stage2 : bAMG =N−1 N i=1 b i The intercept and coefficient ςi and πi = π(1) i,...π(p) i are fixed. The autoregressive parameter and regression coefficient are, respectively ξ(p) i and π(p) i (Fig.2). Data andmodel The study made use of annual data spanning 1990–2016 for N11 countries; a decision informed by data availability. The variables have been carefully selected with respect to economic theory, data availability, and empirical literature. Two core sustainability indicators (HDI and EF) have been used. The EF has been widely embraced as a comprehensive environmental indicator [45, 46, 49, 50, 52]. The EF is superior to other metrics as it goes further to show how production, investment, and consumption inhabit the regenerative capacity of the Earth [55]. On the other hand, the HDI, designed by the UNDP, is a composite index that englobes three components (adult literacy, per capita gross national income, and life expectancy at birth). Today, the HDI is widely used as an indicator of human well-being [40, 65], though it has its limitation. See the concluding section of this study for the limitations of HDI as an indicator of human well-being. Unlike previous studies that (8) yi,t=ςi+ p i=1 ξ(p) iyi,t−n+ p i=1 π(p) ixi,t−n+µi, t Fig. 2 Methodological schema of the study
Page 7 of 18 Nathaniel Futur Bus J (2021) 7:24 used the ratio of private credit to GDP, the ratio of current liabilities to GDP, and the ratio of deposits and loans to GDP to measure financial development, the current study used a broad-based financial development index recently introduced by the IMF. This index is way superior to those used by earlier studies in that, it considers the complex multidimensional nature of financial development. It summarizes how developed financial institutions and financial markets are, in terms of access, depth, and efficiency. See Sahay etal. [64] for more information on the index. However, recent studies like Iorember etal. [30] and Kassouri and Altıntaş [31] have used this index. The development of the financial system is associated with access to funds. When people have access to funding, they are more like to consume renewables, hence an improvement in environmental quality. Unsustainable natural resource consumption and exploration reduce the biocapacity, deplete forest, and cause the EF to rise [46]. Despite its contribution to knowledge, innovation, and economic development, urbanization spreads emissions, negatively impacts local food production [80], decreases soil fertility [8], and generates environmental degradation. Globalization opens up the economy and allows for the importation of products, and technologies that could improve human well-being or add to the already existing emissions level [70]. To investigate whether the win–win or trade-off hypothesis is evident in N11 countries, we need to estimate the effect of EF on HDI, and HDI on EF. This study further considered the role of globalization, financial development, urbanization, biocapacity, and natural resource as major determinants of sustainability. The consideration of these variables will give a clearer picture of the applicability of (SDGs 3) and (SDGs 15) simultaneously. The models for this study are: (9) lnef it =τ 0 +τ 1lnhd it +τ 2lnfd it +τ 3ub it +τ 4lnbi it +τ 5lngbit +τ 6nr it +µi 1t (10) lnhd it = ξ0 + ξ1lnef it + ξ2lnfd it + ξ3ub it + ξ4lnbi it + ξ5lngbit + ξ5nr it + µ i 2 t τ0−τ6 and ξ0 − ξ6 are the parameters to be estimated in Model 1 and 2, respectively. t and i are the time dimension and country, respectively. i=1, 2, ..., 11, and as t=1, 2, ...27. µi1t and µi2t are the error terms in model 1 and 2, respectively. Two variables (natural resources rent and urbanization) were not logged because these variables are already in their growth rates. See Table2 for the measurements, symbols, and sources of the variables. Results This section presents the trend of the variables, descriptive statistic and correlation, CD tests, unit root tests, cointegration, and the parameter estimation results. Trend ofthevariables In Fig.3, South Korea and Iran are the two countries with the largest EF. However, the EF appears to be relatively constant only in Pakistan and the Philippines. Figure4 reveals declining biocapacity in almost all the countries, especially in Mexico, Indonesia, Turkey, and Iran. In Fig.5, all the countries have witnessed an increase in their HDI over the years; suggesting improvement in human well-being. Figures6, 7, and 8 present a clearer picture of the trend of each of these variables in the individual N11 countries (see “Appendix”). Table3 presents the summary statistic of the variables in relation to their mean, minimum value, standard deviation, and maximum value. From the results, globalization has the highest average followed by urbanization. These show how urbanized and globalized the N11 countries Table 2 Description of variables S/N Variables Measurement Source Symbols 1 Ecological Footprint global hectares per capita GFN (2019b) ef 2 Biocapacity global hectares per capita GFN [24] bi 3 Natural resource Natural resources rent (% of GDP) WDI [81] nr 4 Urbanization % of total population WDI [81] ub 5 Globalization Overall KOF index KOF [35] gb 6 Financial development Broad‐based index of financial depth access and efficiency IMF [29]fd 7 Human development index Score UNDP [76] hd
Page 8 of 18 Nathaniel Futur Bus J (2021) 7:24 are. Urbanization is the most volatile of the variables while financial development is the least volatile of the variables. All the variables, except natural resources, are positively associated with EF. Apart from EF, the remaining variables show a negative correlation with natural resources. HDI, globalization, and biocapacity are positively associated with financial development and urbanization. Table4 confirms the presence of CD. This finding is not strange, as all the N11 countries are signatories to various environmental sustainability treaties, like the Paris Agreement of 2015. Both unit root tests (see Table5) affirmed non-stationarity of the variables at their level form. However, the stationarity of the variables was confirmed after their first difference. With these results, we can comfortably proceed with the cointegration test. Table6 confirms cointegration. Gt and Pt, in both models show probability values that are significant which makes it difficult to reject the null hypothesis of no cointegration. Cointegration is a prerequisite for parameter estimation. Since this condition has been met, we now proceed with the AMG and other estimations. The findings in Table7, Model 1, reveal that natural resources and globalization reduce the EF. A one percent increase in natural resources rent reduce the EF by 0.023%, 0.239%, and 0.412% in the AMG, PCSE, and DK estimators, respectively. The intuition here is that natural resources rent does not harm the environment in the N11 countries. Also, a one percent increase in globalization reduces the EF by 0.049%, 0.087%, and 0.085% in the AMG, PCSE, and DK estimators, respectively. The negative relationship between globalization and EF as shown in the three estimators confirmed that globalization is consistent with environmental sustainability in the N11 countries. Conversely, urbanization, biocapacity, and financial development increase EF. A one percent increase in urbanization is associated with 0.14%, 0.21%, and 0.03% increase in EF in the AMG, PCSE, and DK estimators, respectively. The nexus between financial development and EF is positive and significant across the three estimators; suggesting that financial development increases the EF by 0.02%, 0.01%, and 0.27% in the AMG, Fig. 3 EF in N11 countries Fig. 4 Biocapacity in N11 countries Fig. 5 HDI in N11 countries
Page 15 of 18 Nathaniel Futur Bus J (2021) 7:24 Fig. 7 Biocapacity in the individual N11 countries Fig. 8 HDI in the individual N11 countries
Page 16 of 18 Nathaniel Futur Bus J (2021) 7:24 Abbreviations N11: Eleven fastest emerging economies; CD: Cross-sectional dependence; EF: Ecological footprint; AMG: Augmented mean group; MEA: Millennium Ecosystem Assessment; SDGs: Sustainable development goals; DH: Dumitrescu and Hurlin; OBOR: One-belt-one-road; FGLS: Feasible generalized least squares; DK: Driscoll and Kraay; PCSE: Panel-corrected standard errors; HDI: Human development index; PMG: Pooled mean group; CIPS: Cross-sectionally augmented IPS; CS-ARDL: Cross-sectionally augmented autoregressive distributed lag; CADF: Cross-sectionally augmented ADF. Acknowledgements The author expresses his gratitude to the anonymous reviewers for their efforts in reviewing the paper and suggesting key modifications that have enhanced the quality of the article. The author also thanks the editor for his cooperation during the review process. Authors’ contributions The study was solely carried out by the corresponding author. Funding No funding was received for this study. Availability of data and materials The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request. Declaration Competing interests The author declares no competing interest. Author details 1 Department of Economics, University of Lagos, Akoka, Nigeria. 2 S chool of Foundation, Lagos State University, Badagry, Nigeria. Received: 3 November 2020 Accepted: 26 April 2021 References 1. Acheampong AO, Adams S, Boateng E (2019) Do globalization and renewable energy contribute to carbon emissions mitigation in Sub- Saharan Africa? Sci Total Environ 677:436–446 2. Adedoyin FF, Nathaniel S, Adeleye N (2021) An investigation into the anthropogenic nexus among consumption of energy, tourism, and economic growth: do economic policy uncertainties matter? Environ Sci Pollut Res 28(3):2835–2847 3. 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