Recovery measures for the tourism industry in Andalusia: Residents as tourist consumers

Cruz-Ruiz, Elena; Ruiz Romero de la Cruz, Elena; Caballero-Galeote, Lidia Article Recovery measures for the tourism industry in Andalusia: Residents as tourist consumers Economies Provided in Cooperation with: MDPI – Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute, Basel Suggested Citation: Cruz-Ruiz, Elena; Ruiz Romero de la Cruz, Elena; Caballero-Galeote, Lidia (2022) : Recovery measures for the tourism industry in Andalusia: Residents as tourist consumers, Economies, ISSN 2227-7099, MDPI, Basel, Vol. 10, Iss. 6, pp. 1-18, https://doi.org/10.3390/economies10060133 This Version is available at: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/328433 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. 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Economies 10: 133. https://doi.org/10.3390/ economies10060133 Academic Editor: Aleksander Panasiuk Received: 30 March 2022 Accepted: 30 May 2022 Published: 8 June 2022 Publisher’s Note: MDPI stays neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations. Copyright: © 2022 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https:// creativecommons.org/licenses/by/ 4.0/). economies Article Recovery Measures for the Tourism Industry in Andalusia: Residents as Tourist Consumers Elena Cruz-Ruiz 1, Elena Ruiz-Romero de la Cruz 2,* and Lidia Caballero-Galeote 1 1 Department of Economics and Business, University of Málaga, 29013 Málaga, Spain; [email protected] (E.C.-R.); [email protected] (L.C.-G.) 2Department of Economic Theory and Economic History, University of Málaga, 29013 Málaga, Spain *Correspondence: emr[email protected] Abstract: The pandemic caused by the coronavirus continues to test barriers around the world. In this sense, the tourism industry has become the sector most affected by the crisis with more than 900 million euros in losses. Recovery will require a great effort, especially in countries where the sector accounts for a large share of the economy and employment. This study analyzes the perceptions and proposals of the residents of the autonomous community of Andalusia. A total of 658 surveys were conducted during the closure. A quantitative and qualitative thematic analysis was carried out using SPSS and NVivo Pro programs. The findings provide significant insights into the economic recovery of society after the pandemic. The Andalusians have opted for local tourism so that the residents become the consumers of the tourist products of their territory. The deployment of new technologies and marketing campaigns should provide the basic strategies for structural changes and innovations. The residents demand a united Europe and disagree with the statements of some political leaders. The conclusions have practical and theoretical implications for tourist destinations. Keywords: residents’ perceptions; marketing; consumer behavior; tourist recovery; new technologies; COVID-19 1. Introduction Tourism is one of the most important economic activities in developed economies. However, it is more vulnerable than other sectors to critical situations (Baum and Hai 2020 ; Laws et al. 1998;Gössling et al. 2020;Ma et al. 2020;Ritchie et al. 2020). While the world is trying to overcome the pandemic, they are facing the consequences of the war between Ukraine and Russia. The tourism sector needs a calm environment and depends on international politics, transportation, gasoline, economic cycles (Nundy et al. 2021; Khan et al. 2020), and the success of marketing campaigns (Kaur 2017). Over the past decades, there has been a sustained research activity about the contribution of tourism to employment, social development, and climate change (Leonard 2015 ; Kizielewicz 2020;Clemente et al. 2020). It is a sector that influences and is, in turn, influenced by a multitude of factors (Zopiatis et al. 2019), such as natural causes (Durocher 1994;Pottorff and Neal 1994;Pearlman and Melnik 2008;Rittichainuwat 2013), political issues (Ioannides and Apostolopoulos 1999;Mansfeld 1999), or the most predictable factor, economic issues (Henderson 1999a,1999b;Prideaux 1999). Therefore, the interactions generated by tourism activity entail positive and negative impacts on local communities (Lin and Lu 2016). Positive effects are related to the opportunities for investment, profitability, and employment generation (Chen et al. 2021). Tourism favors the creation of new infrastructures and the value of the natural and historical resources (Wang and Pfister 2008; Andereck and Nyaupane 2011;Dyer et al. 2007;Gursoy et al. 2002). However, the crisis can hurt tourism, especially when this sector is the driving force behind the development of a territory (Ritchie and Jiang 2019;Jiang et al. 2019). In recent years, there has been renewed interest in the study of the impacts on the residents and their relations with the Economies 2022,10, 133. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies10060133 https://www.mdpi.com/journal/economies Economies 2022,10, 133 2 of 18 tourists. In fact, tourism activity can cause damage and negative attitudes to be perpetuated (Almeida-García et al. 2016). Frequently perceived impacts are related to overcrowding of infrastructure and public spaces (Lindberg and Johnson 1997;Sheldon and Abenoja 2001), drug and alcohol consumption (Diedrich and García-Buades 2009;Haralambopoulos and Pizam 1996), noise and insecurity, and an increase in prices (Liu and Var 1986). The COVID-19 pandemic, as with other crises, can exacerbate inequalities (Jamal and Higham 2021). However, health crises, such as COVID-19, seem to be recurrent, generating uncertainty in financial markets and causing severe economic problems. Therefore, it is not only interesting to observe their impacts, but also possible solutions from different points of view. Examples are the 1918/1919, 1957/1958, and 1968/1969 cycles, in which epidemics caused higher mortality rates and negative consequences in relation to the economy. The repercussions have been magnified, increasing the risks of disease spread, favored by conflicts, population movements, social interactions, and climate change (Hidalgo García 2019;Saunders-Hastings and Krewski 2016). Therefore, after the pandemic declaration, many countries opted to close their borders to curb the virus. However, the current global business model is contrary to the complete isolation of almost any territory. Tourism has been an engine of recovery in the past crisis of 2008, despite the fact it has suffered some uncertainties due to Brexit, other geopolitical issues, and social tensions. Therefore, recovery is a complex process. The first thing to do is to re-conceptualize the indicators and figures provided by the forecasts before the health crisis and think based on a world that is temporarily crumbling in many economic sectors, especially tourism (Torres and Fernández 2020). These have undermined their development, leading to economic losses and social problems (Clavellina Miller and Domínguez Rivas 2020). As part of its global mission, the UNWTO was to review the growth model foreseen for 2020–2021, which placed an increase in activity between 3 and 4%. However, current data brings us closer to business recovery forecasts throughout 2022 and 2023. The first 2022 issue of the UNWTO World Tourism Barometer indicated that International tourism rebounded moderately during the second half of 2021, with international arrivals down 62% in both the third and fourth quarters compared to pre-pandemic levels. According to limited data, international arrivals in December were 65% below 2019 levels (UNWTO 2022). In its most recent history, tourism has become one of the most relevant economic activities of the Spanish economy (Vallejo-Pousada 2013;Larrinaga and Vallejo Pousada 2013). The Andalusian tourism sector needs to reinvent itself to maintain its leadership as one of the most visited territories in Spain. However, although their long-term marketing strategy was focused on the search for a tourist with high purchasing power, tourism managers have opted for operational marketing strategies to return to the previous state. After this introduction, this paper proceeds as follows: Section 2introduces a complete review of the literature. Section 3proposes the research model through a mixed methodology. Finally, Section 4shows the results obtained, and Sections 5and 6offer a discussion and conclusions, limitations, and potential topics for future research. 2. Literature Review In contemporary times, the word crisis is also used to refer to a ‘profound and consequential change in a process or situation, or in the way, it is appreciated’ (RAE 2021). Economic history shows that crises are part of the normal operations of economies. They occur over time and constitute economic cycles, affecting both the developed world and the Third World (Schumpeter 2002;De Huerta Soto 2009). Moreover, the reasons for a crisis are innumerable. For example, the relationship between tourism and terrorism has been studied in the academic literature. Not only because of the impact that a terrorist attack has on a tourist destination, but also because of the recovery process that it requires (Kepel 2002;Blake and Sinclair 2003;Essner 2003; Kuto and Groves 2004;Bhattarai et al. 2005;Hu and Goldblatt 2005;Yuan 2005;YoungSook 2006;Araña and León 2008;Korstanje 2015;Aledo et al. 2020). In this relationship, media management plays a fundamental role since perceptions and attitudes can be easily Economies 2022,10, 133 3 of 18 manipulated in times of crisis (Korstanje and Clayton 2012). Insecurity, therefore, makes destinations vulnerable (Calgaro et al. 2014) because destinations are perceived as less attractive by potential tourists (Glaesser 2003). In the case of COVID-19, the crisis has been global. The epidemic has been a tragedy for society, but it has also provided an opportunity for change in the world (Hall et al. 2020 ; Gills 2020). This perception is shared by Sneader and Singhal (2020) who assert that the pandemic has led to a restructuring of the world economic order. However, there is previous experience in health catastrophes, such as the case of Taiwan’s SARS (Yang and Chen 2009;Xu and Grunewald 2009, p. 104). Tourism is a very complex sector that benefits from the movement of people, so any situation that impedes free movement poses a risk to the continuation of the activity. Indeed, the impacts on the tourism industry are difficult to solve (Laws and Prideaux 2006). Some authors affirm that to overcome it, a retrospective analysis should be carried out (Faulkner and Vikulov 2001). This is in addition to the importance of tourism in the economy of the territory. If tourism contributes a high percentage of the GDP, a paralysis of the sector would trigger an economic crisis. Hence, there is a need to have efficient tourist planning (Gurtner 2016). Economic historians affirmed the existence of including tourism as an explanatory theory of the development of the Spanish economy in the 20th century (Vallejo-Pousada 2013) . By the early 1930s, Spain had already become one of the thirteen major tourist countries in the world (Vallejo-Pousada 2019). In 1936, France established the first ‘paid holidays’, and this favored the recovery of Europe after the Second World War. A little later, mass tourism was imposed in Spain. The tertiary sector, which includes tourism, helped to curb the crisis of the 1970s in Spain, consolidating itself in the following decades as a formula for growth and overcoming conflicts (Ybañez Bueno 1997). Many decades have passed between the so-called Great Recession of 1929 and the economic crisis of 2008, decades that have been analyzed from various perspectives in a global work dedicated to explaining the Great Depression and the Great Recession of the first decade of the 20th century (Martín-Aceña 2012). The recent economic crisis that began in 2008 has also affected the Spanish tourism sector, especially the behavior of domestic tourism consumption (Cuadrado-Roura and López Morales 2015). However, attention was once again focused outside Spain’s borders. Attracting the attention of international tourists with high purchasing power was the solution to an economy based on tourism and construction. When foreign investment ceased and the mass tourist was only looking for low prices, the economy went into recession. One of the main drawbacks was the interruption in the flow of financing, but the liquidity injections managed to reverse negative trends. In the case of the autonomous community of Andalusia, the previous economic crisis showed that foreign tourism became the economic engine that improved the balance of payments (Dancausa Millán et al. 2021). In any strategic situation, the capacity to handle a crisis and the measures applied for the economic recovery will be transcendental in the mediumand long-term projection of the crisis (Ritchie 2004,2008). A study by Rittichainuwat (2006) referring to Thai tourism after the tsunami crisis in 2004 revealed that lowering prices for tourist packages was not a good long-term tool. In addition, the tourists returned to the destination after verifying that the necessary measures had been taken to restore security. Although crises seem to disappear and many destinations return to normality within one year (Alvarez de la Torre and Rodríguez-Toubes Muñiz 2013;Rodrigues and Mallou 2014), the repercussions in the economy could be suffered for years. It is, at this point, that the resident becomes most important. In the absence of external income, domestic consumption must become more valuable. The pandemic has affected the way we live and relate to each other, partly because of the measures that governments had to put in place to stop the spread of the disease. Restrictions would have been unthinkable in any other context (Baum and Hai 2020). Economies 2022,10, 133 4 of 18 Along with this, social effects caused by distancing (Sikali 2020) and the use of masks (Aranaz Andrés et al. 2020) have become two common elements in everyday life. Therefore, for tourism, making successful decisions in change processes is very important because they can determine its future (Hanlan et al. 2006). For this reason, it is important to act quickly to foster a climate of confidence with the creation of new policies that allow the recovery of the destination (Persson-Fischer and Liu 2021;Karl 2018). The return to normality is particularly slow in this sector, and different solutions will have to be implemented in coordination with the agents involved. The step before planning should include close collaboration between all the actors in the territory. Preparing an action plan will be fundamental (Waller et al. 2014;Gurtner 2016;Martens et al. 2016), and this should include the perceptions of institutions and citizens (Floyd et al. 2004). In this sense, residents appear as a key element both for the evaluation of impacts (Teixeira and Ribeiro 2020) and for the better management of the territories through their brand (Cruz-Ruiz et al. 2019). The literature is extensive in talking about possible crisis tools, but not in analyzing the residents’ perceptions of these possibilities and studying their feasibility. In addition, the tourism product needs local support not only for the growth of the destination, but also for its sustainable development (Allen et al. 1988; Williams and Lawson 2001;Byrd et al. 2009;Gursoy et al. 2010;Nunkoo and Gursoy 2012; Sharpley 2014). A crisis plunges the destinations into chaos, and this situation needs to be recovered (Prideaux et al. 2003). In this sense, the opinion of residents is important for the global reconstruction of the sector (Floyd et al. 2004). Communication among stakeholders, the media, events, and marketing messages were necessary elements for reconstruction (Hayden 2009;Walters and Mair 2013;Séraphin et al. 2019;Perkins et al. 2020;Ghannad et al. 2020;Xu et al. 2020). Attention must be paid to elements such as the lack of disaster management plans, damage to the image and reputation of the destination, and changes in tourist behavior after the crisis (Mair et al. 2016, p. 1). The marketing of a tourist destination depends fundamentally on the options for generating positive images (Salazar and Graburn 2014), and residents are projecting an image with their messages, behaviors, and opinions. Media coverage seems to be another crucial agent. As stated by Yu et al. (2020), media could dynamically change the perceptions of tourists. For them, the risk of travel must be taken into account, as it facilitates decision making and planning in a health crisis (Reisinger and Mavondo 2005). Communication channels will be vital in the return to normality (Hass 2009;Carlsen and Liburd 2008). However, the resident who became a tourist may not pay attention to all these aspects. In this sense, during the pandemic, institutions have not been working on attracting residents, but on how to attract tourism when COVID-19 disappears. Previous research showed the value of knowing the typology of tourists who are more resistant to insecurity and the factors involved in decision making (Hajibaba et al. 2015), especially in post-crisis scenarios (Muñiz and Fraiz Brea 2010;Rodríguez-Toubes Muñiz and Fraiz Brea 2012;Mair et al. 2016;Domdouzis et al. 2016). Marketing strategies should be taken into account in the future reconstruction of tourist cities. These actions can be useful to restore lost identity and confidence in the territories (Avraham and Ketter 2017;Qureshi and Dada 2019;Avraham 2020). Lanquar and Hollier (2002) refer to the fact that that tourism marketing increasingly reflects the opinion of tourists and locals, although this perception is less studied in the literature (Lawton 2005; Stylidis et al. 2017;Zerva et al. 2019). The success of tourism policies largely depends on the participation of the local population (Gursoy et al. 2002;Besculides et al. 2002;Gursoy and Rutherford 2004;Ritchie and Inkari 2006;Zhang et al. 2006;Tovar and Lockwood 2008; Fredline et al. 2013;Vargas-Sánchez et al. 2014;Sharpley 2014). New technologies should play a key role in the recovery of the tourism industry. Information and communication technologies (ICT) will play a crucial role in the fight against COVID-19 (Takenaka et al. 2020). Technological advances have reduced the dependence on physical connectivity, offering alternative methods and maintaining urban functionality in times of crisis (Sharifi et al. 2021). Economies 2022,10, 133 5 of 18 On the other hand, these advances, most notably ICT, the Internet of Things (IoT), artificial intelligence (AI), deep learning, and cloud computing have become the most relevant issues for smart cities. Indeed, the pandemic has offered an unprecedented opportunity to test their effectiveness (Chen et al. 2021;Almeida et al. 2020). Consequently, since the beginning of the pandemic, numerous companies have relied on smart solutions to contain the spread of the virus and improve their ability to respond. Analyzing the impact of new technologies on both business strategies and consumer behaviors will provide more efficient management of the recovery from the economic crisis (Grewal et al. 2020). RQ 1. How has the pandemic impacted residents in Andalusia? RQ 2. Why do consumers of tourism products reject some destinations? RQ 3. How can the tourism sector curb the current crisis from the residents’ perspective? 3. Methodology 3.1. Study Area The present research was conducted in Andalusia. It is one of the seventeen autonomous communities of Spain. It is located in the extreme southwest of the European Union (Figure 1). Surrounded by two seas and two continents, this distinctive geographical feature has marked its history and has given this territory an open and multicultural identity (Junta de Andalucía 2020). Economies 2022, 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW 5 of 19 2002; Gursoy and Rutherford 2004; Ritchie and Inkari 2006; Zhang et al. 2006; Tovar and Lockwood 2008; Fredline et al. 2013; Vargas et al. 2014; Sharpley 2014). New technologies should play a key role in the recovery of the tourism industry. Information and communication technologies (ICT) will play a crucial role in the fight against COVID-19 (Takenaka et al. 2020). Technological advances have reduced the dependence on physical connectivity, offering alternative methods and maintaining urban functionality in times of crisis (Sharifi et al. 2021). On the other hand, these advances, most notably ICT, the Internet of Things (IoT), artificial intelligence (AI), deep learning, and cloud computing have become the most relevant issues for smart cities. Indeed, the pandemic has offered an unprecedented opportunity to test their effectiveness (Chen et al. 2021; Almeida et al. 2020). Consequently, since the beginning of the pandemic, numerous companies have relied on smart solutions to contain the spread of the virus and improve their ability to respond. Analyzing the impact of new technologies on both business strategies and consumer behaviors will provide more efficient management of the recovery from the economic crisis (Grewal et al. 2020). RQ 1. How has the pandemic impacted residents in Andalusia? RQ 2. Why do consumers of tourism products reject some destinations? RQ 3. How can the tourism sector curb the current crisis from the residents’ perspective? 3. Methodology 3.1. Study Area The present research was conducted in Andalusia. It is one of the seventeen autonomous communities of Spain. It is located in the extreme southwest of the European Union (Figure 1). Surrounded by two seas and two continents, this distinctive geographical feature has marked its history and has given this territory an open and multicultural identity (Junta de Andalucía 2020). Figure 1. Map of Andalusia (Spain). Source: maphill. (CC BY-ND). According to data from the Survey of Tourist Movements at the Andalusian Border, this territory received 12,079,017 international tourists in 2019, which was an increase of Figure 1. Map of Andalusia (Spain). Source: maphill. (CC BY-ND). According to data from the Survey of Tourist Movements at the Andalusian Border, this territory received 12,079,017 international tourists in 2019, which was an increase of 3.4% compared to 2018 (INE 2020). Although the forecast indicated a positive trend in 2020, COVID-19 completely paralyzed the tourist activity. According to the Office of the National Statistics Institute (INE), Andalusia received 4.2 million international tourists in 2021, approximately one-third of pre-COVID-19 levels. The number of tourists received by Andalusia between October and December 2021 exceeded five million two hundred thousand, 229.5% more than in the same quarter of 2020. In 2021, tourists increased by 49.8%, exceeding twenty million, and 70.3% of tourists came from Spain. The average daily expenditure made by tourists in Andalusia was 67.08 euros, 9.9% higher than the previous year (Junta de Andalucía 2022). It represents a timid recovery compared to pre-pandemic Economies 2022,10, 133 6 of 18 data. Although a positive balance is expected for the summer of 2022, new variants of the coronavirus, Brexit, and the conflict between Ukraine and Russia have once again set off alarm bells, as international tourism is the basis of this region. 3.2. Sampling, Data Collection, and Analysis The study applies a quantitative and qualitative approach to deal with the research questions. This research examines the coronavirus crisis from Andalusians’ perceptions and the future implications for the tourism sector in this region. For this study, we employed data collected from a survey. A pilot study (25 surveys) was carried out to ensure the applicability and relevance of this instrument. No substantial alteration was made. The questionnaire was translated into Spanish and English. This is because there are residents from different nationalities. As indicated by Etikan et al. (2016), the snowball sampling method (non-probability sampling) is particularly suitable when the population of interest is difficult to reach. In this regard, due to quarantines and lockdown, it was impossible to conduct face-to-face surveys. Therefore, social networks were used. The questionnaire was created through Lime Survey Software and the link was sent via WhatsApp. Thanks to the progress of technology, these tools open new ways to conduct studies for a fraction of the time and cost. The study proceeded in two stages: in the first step, the survey was distributed among the author’s contacts, and in the second step, these contacts sent the survey to others, and so on. One of the potential risks of this type of sampling is that respondents will send the link to others with similar characteristics. This is why the initial set of participants was 63 people and the link was also sent by mail to create another answer network. All respondents participating in this study have given their consent for being part of this research. IBM ISPSS and NVIVO software were used to analyze the data and to present the findings of the study. The questionnaire was divided into five sections. The first was related to sociodemographic characteristics. The variables analyzed were gender, age, level of studies, and level of income. The second was related to the trips per year and whether the participant had postponed or canceled a trip due to COVID-19. Whether the destination was national or international, and if, from the participant’s perception, tourism could help the economy to curb the crisis were the last questions in this group. The third part of the questionnaire included questions related to future purchase intent, the destination of future trips, changes due to the coronavirus, and proposals about how to re-start after the pandemic. The last part of the study focuses on the answers to the open questions. An analysis, categorization, and synthesis were carried out to provide an orderly presentation of the results. 4. Results A total of 658 respondents participated in this research. No missing data were obtained because subjects had to answer each question before proceeding to the next. Regarding the socio-demographic characteristics of participants, the distributions are presented in Table 1. Table 1. Sample characteristics. Geographical Area Andalusia (Spain) Universe 8,427,000 (50.3% men, 49.7% women) Sampling Error 3.9% Sampling Size 658 Reliability 95% Fieldwork Activities April–June 2020–2021 Source: Authors. The distribution between gender showed that there was a high percentage of women (61.4%) answering the questionnaire in comparison with men (38.6%) (Table 2). With regard to age, a high response (57.3%) was giving by people from 46 to 60 years old (28.9%), followed by the 36 to 45 group (28.4%). The majority of respondents were graduated. These Economies 2022,10, 133 7 of 18 data are representative of Andalusia as it is the only Spanish community in which each of its seven provinces has at least one university. Regarding the level of income, the sample was well distributed among the groups (17.6%: 0 to 12,000 € ; 25.5%: 12,001 to 24,000 € ; 28.9%: 24,000 to 40,000 €; 28%: more than 40,000 €). Table 2. Gender distribution. Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent Valid Man 254 38.6 38.6 38.6 Woman 404 61.4 61.4 100.0 Total 658 100.0 100.0 Source: Authors. Of the respondents, 64.59% had a job, although 41.79 belonged to companies that had carried out temporary employment regulation expenditures. In these circumstances, companies were exempted from paying worker wages. This legal figure is a labor flexibilization measure that allows companies to reduce or suspend employment contracts. Although the workers were not working, they received a subsidy from the State. It was relevant for the research to know how many trips the participant takes a year. The result has been compared with the level of income to examine if there was a relationship between the variables (Table 3). The Chi-Square Test is show in Table 4. Table 3. Trip per year and level of income crosstabulation. Level of Income Total 0 to 12,000 €12,001 to 24,000 €24,000 to 40,000 €More than 40,000 € Trip per year 1 Count 50 68 52 38 208 Expected Count 35.6 53.4 60.4 58.5 208.0 2Count 36 50 66 30 182 Expected Count 31.2 46.8 52.9 51.2 182.0 3Count 16 26 42 64 148 Expected Count 25.3 38.0 43.0 41.6 148.0 4Count 4 18 20 24 66 Expected Count 11.3 17.0 19.2 18.6 66.0 5Count 6 6 10 28 50 Expected Count 8.6 12.8 14.5 14.1 50.0 Total Count 112 168 190 184 654 Expected Count 112.0 168.0 190.0 184.0 654.0 Source: Authors. Table 4. Chi-Square Tests. Value df Asymptotic Significance (2-Sided) Pearson Chi-Square 76,469 a12 0.000 Likelihood Ratio 76,643 12 0.000 Linear-by-Linear Association 48,404 1 0.000 N of Valid Cases 654 Source: Authors. a0 cells (0.0%) have expected count less than 5. The minimum expected count is 8.56. The pvalue (0.001) is less than 0.05 so there is no difference between the means, and one can conclude that a significant difference does exist. The lower the level of significance, the stronger the evidence that an event is not due to mere coincidence (randomness). As the number of trips per year increases, so does the level of income. One of the main questions in this study was related to the change or cancelation of travel plans due to COVID-19. In this sense, 344 people affirmed to have had to cancel a trip for touristic purposes due to the coronavirus (Table 5). Regarding the destination of the canceled trip, there were no significant differences between national and international. Economies 2022,10, 133 8 of 18 Table 5. Destination of canceled trips. Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent Valid National 188 54.7 54.9 54.9 International 154 45.0 45.1 100.0 Total 344 99.7 100.0 Total 344 100.0 Source: Authors. Epidemics, as we have analyzed in the literature review, could affect the purchase intent of tourism products and services. In this sense, participants were asked about their willingness to travel within Spain, long-distance travel, or Europe (international). There was an increase of 18.6% in the intention to travel within the country. The main findings came when cross-referencing data on income and willingness to travel. Subjects who claimed to have higher incomes (over 40,000) were the most likely to travel internationally (69%). However, participants who reported incomes up to 12,000 euros had the willingness to travel within Spain (94%). Overall, there is a greater willingness to travel within a Spanish territory (Table 6). It should be mentioned that only 15.2% have the willingness to travel within Andalusia. Table 6. Destination of future trips. Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent Valid National 482 73.3 73.3 73.3 International 176 26.7 26.7 100.0 Total 658 100.0 100.0 Source: Authors. They were also asked about when they will start traveling and, in this sense, the participants indicated that they would travel within Spain when the vaccination process was more advanced (80%), followed by I will travel regardless of how the vaccination progresses (20%). No participants chose any of the following options: I do not plan to travel until we are back to normal, or I will travel depending on the conditions at the destination. The data suggest that after COVID-19, there will be many changes in the form that tourism products are purchased. In this regard, 24.88% of participants (144 respondents) stated that they had removed some countries from their destination lists due to the pandemic. Although 66% of the participants had already chosen a travel destination, they chose to change it for a safer place. In this sense, the countries where the participants would not be safe are presented in Figure 2. Specifically, the destinations listed in Figure 2were rejected for different reasons. A content analysis was carried out through the repetition of words mentioned by the participants. Table 7shows the data of the countries mentioned by at least 25% of the participants. Concerning whether tourism would help mitigate the effects of the economic crisis, 80.5% agreed. One of the participants concluded that “the reconstruction of the economy should not be built on a paralyzed sector” while another added, “the economy of a territory like Andalusia cannot be based on such vulnerable tourism. Tourism is too dependent, and the economy must have a balance”. Economies 2022,10, 133 15 of 18 Byrd, Erick T., Holly E. Bosley, and Meghan G. Dronberger. 2009. 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