The trust broker game: A three-player trust game with probabilistic returns and information asymmetry
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Tagat, Anirudh; Kapoor, Hansika Working Paper The trust broker game: A three-player trust game with probabilistic returns and information asymmetry Economics Discussion Papers, No. 2017-33 Provided in Cooperation with: Kiel Institute for the World Economy – Leibniz Center for Research on Global Economic Challenges Suggested Citation: Tagat, Anirudh; Kapoor, Hansika (2017) : The trust broker game: A three-player trust game with probabilistic returns and information asymmetry, Economics Discussion Papers, No. 2017-33, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), Kiel This Version is available at: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/162574 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. Terms of use: Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your personal and scholarly purposes. You are not to copy documents for public or commercial purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. If the documents have been made available under an Open Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Received May 18, 2017 Accepted as Economics Discussion Paper June 7, 2017 Published June 14, 2017 © Author(s) 2017. Licensed under the Creative Commons License - Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) Discussion Paper No. 2017-33 | June 14, 2017 | http://www.economics-ejournal.org/economics/discussionpapers/2017-33 The trust broker game: a three-player trust game with probabilistic returns and information asymmetry Anirudh Tagat and Hansika Kapoor Abstract This paper experimentally investigates trust and trustworthiness in a repeated and sequential three-player trust game with probabilistic returns and information asymmetry. It adds to the existing literature by combining experimental features from recent work in the trust game. The authors use random variations in the multiplier value, a third player without an initial endowment, undisclosed termination rules, and variations in information availability related to transactions. The framework is novel in that the game continues even if the first player transfers no amount to the second player. Using participants from India, the results are broadly consistent with past evidence on the trust game. All players are more trusting when information of their transfers and earnings are made available to other players. The third player (termed the "trust broker") transfers a larger amount when information on transfers is disclosed to other players. The authors find that information availability leads to a significant increase in the trust broker’s reciprocity, as defined by the amount that is returned to Player 2. Social desirability, cultural contexts, and learning effects are discussed in terms of scope for future research. JEL C91 C92 D64 D70 Keywords Trust game; multi-level games; uncertainty; trustworthiness; selfishness; reciprocity Authors Anirudh Tagat, Monk Prayogshala, Mumbai, India, [email protected] Hansika Kapoor, Department of Psychology, Monk Prayogshala, Mumbai, India We thank two anonymous referees for comments on earlier drafts of the paper and Jonathan Schulz for valuable suggestions. We also thank Ritu Dewan for allowing us to run experiments at the Department of Economics, Mumbai University, Khushboo Balani and Avantika Sharma for assistance in data collection, and Sharanya V. for assistance with data analysis. Citation Anirudh Tagat and Hansika Kapoor (2017). The trust broker game: a three-player trust game with probabilistic returns and information asymmetry. Economics Discussion Papers, No 2017-33, Kiel Institute for the World Economy. http://www.economics-ejournal.org/economics/discussionpapers/2017-33
2 The Trust Broker Game: A Three-player Trust Game with Probabilistic Returns and Information Asymmetry Trust and trustworthiness are at the core of understanding social preferences among economic agents. In recent years, there has been extensive focus on extending the nature and dynamics of the trust game originally proposed by Berg, Dickhaut, and McCabe (1995). Trust in this framework is measured by the amount of transfer as a proportion of their initial endowment, while trustworthiness is defined by the amount of transfer returned as a proportion of the amount available to return. An extensive review of the literature suggests several generalizable findings from the experiment (Johnson and Mislin 2011). First, players sent, on average, half of their initial endowment, and were returned a little more than onethirds of the other players’ available funds. This is a consistent indication of rejection of the standard assumption of rationality and self-interest, even though the actual amounts that were sent and received are known to vary widely. Second, the value of the multiplier that determines returns to trust varies significantly with the amounts sent, suggesting that this factor is crucial to understanding behaviour. Last, there is strong evidence that geography and culture has a significant role to play in outcomes of the trust game. For example, trust and trustworthiness in studies conducted in Africa and South America were at much lower levels than their counterparts in North America and Europe. These findings suggest that even minor changes in experimental design or protocol can affect trust behaviour. In the present framework of the trust game, there is no option that allows for reciprocal behaviour, without trust being initiated by the first-mover. For instance, without the first-mover transferring a positive amount to the trustee, there is no scope for the secondmover to create an impression that he/she is trustworthy. Thus, one is unable to infer conditional or unconditional kindness (McCabe, Rigdon, and Smith 2003) on the part of the second-mover, without first assessing conditional or unconditional kindness on the part of the
3 first-mover.1 In a sequential trust game with multiple players, this can be relaxed by allowing for the continuation of the game, even if the first-mover transfers nothing. Here, the (endowed) second-mover can display trust to a third player, who can reciprocate it by displaying trustworthiness to the second player. Then, the second-mover can choose to display trustworthiness (motivated by conditional or unconditional kindness) to the firstmover. To further dispute the implicit assumption of no trustworthiness without trust, it is essential to provide a choice to the second-mover to initiate trust and trustworthiness (without being trusted first). This is because conditional or unconditional kindness by the secondmover may precede conditional or unconditional kindness from the first-mover, as a signal of reciprocity being motivated by other-regarding or self-regarding preferences.2 One scenario in which such a game might be important is that of financial market transactions. Consider the case where an investor seeking to invest funds in a financial market instrument must do so via an intermediary, typically a broker. An investor relies on the broker to invest in a portfolio of instruments that provide high returns, for which the broker extracts a commission. Our laboratory experiment set up corresponds to a case where a potential investor’s decision to invest in a financial market (e.g. a stock market) is mediated by a broker. The investment decision (similar to that of a trust game) is extended here to understand how trust and trustworthiness may vary when there are uncertain returns, information asymmetry, and a mediating player (i.e. the broker). This paper aimed to contribute a novel experimental approach to understanding trust, trustworthiness, and reciprocity, when the initiation of trust was distributed between the first and second player. Our study is an extension of the original investment game that introduces variables that allow for asymmetric information and uncertain returns (similar to financial 1 Brülhart and Usunier (2012) argued that trustors making a transfer to trustees may be motivated by selfishness, to gain more from the trustee’s returned amount. This could be considered as second-order selfishness, as the trustor must first trust to be self-interested. 2 The Faith game (Kiyonari et al. 2006) provided a similar set-up where the second-mover assumed the role of a dictator, therefore altering the trustor-trustee framework of the trust game.
4 investment scenarios) and other players to initiate trust. Hence, we call this game the Trust Broker Game (TBG, henceforth), where the third player acts as an intermediary with no initial endowment who can facilitate or blunt trusting and trustworthiness in the game. Three conditions were extended: (a) instead of a constant multiplier factor of 3, a variable multiplier (randomly taking values of 1 to 3) was used (similar to Güth et al. 2014); (b) a third player multiplied the amounts exchanged in the course of the game (similar to Rietz et al. 2013); and (c) information availability in transfers made by all three players, to incorporate information asymmetries (similar to Anderhub, Engelmann, and Güth 2002). A constant multiplier of 3 (or another number) in the trust game makes the returns deterministic in nature, as opposed to uncertain returns that often characterize financial markets. This is because the experimenter guarantees that the amount transferred from A to B in the trust game is tripled before B receives the money. Hence, to mimic uncertain market conditions, the experimenter’s deterministic stance must be replaced by uncertainty. Güth, Mugera, Musau, and Ploner (2014) found that uncertain environments (such as when payoffs are randomly determined) reduced reciprocity in trust games. Similarly, Vranceanu, Sutan, and Dubart (2012) modelled the consequences of “Nature” interfering with the investment game. Here, if trustors decided to send money to trustees, Nature mediated randomly by allowing the transaction to continue or not. This allowed the trustee to defect by violating trust and hiding behind the possibility that Nature ended the transaction. Nature represents a third player, whose decisions were unknown to the trustor, allowing the trustee to defect. Although such a game sampled selfishness accurately and introduced randomness in whether the game continued, Nature was only nominally a third entity, and the game did not represent multi-level trust. However, the game showed whether and when trust could break down in such relationships, owing to self-interested behaviours from the trustee, especially in financial trades with brokers.
5 It is also important to consider recent multi-level variations of the trust game. Sheremeta and Zhang (2013) introduce a sequential three-player trust game, where A may invest in B, who in turn, may invest in C. In each transfer, the amounts are tripled; C then makes transfers to A and B. Thus, A displays direct trust in B and indirect trust in C. On the other hand, C may display trustworthiness to both A and B. This variation endowed the three players equally, but the standard termination rule implied that the initiation of trust was unique to the first-mover—a feature of the design we extend in this study to the secondmover. Another multi-level trust game by Rietz et al. (2013) followed the sequential setup of having A (investor) trust B (intermediary), who then trusts C (borrower). Consistent with most experimental variations of the trust game, all amounts are tripled before they reach the trustee. The sequence of return moved from C to B to A, unlike Sheremeta and Zhang (2013). Thus, C might display direct trustworthiness to B, while B might display trustworthiness to A. Again the sequential set-up implies that only the first-mover could produce trust at the start of the game. While the trust game inflated the amount that was available for return due to a constant multiplier, both these experiments multiply transfer amounts twice, potentially inflating trust and trustworthiness. Given the existence of deterministic returns and termination of the game, trust and trustworthiness therefore appear to be generated in an environment of high certainty. Similar multi-player trust games (e.g. Bigoni et al. 2013; Bauernschuster, Falck, and Große 2013) attempt to split the trustworthiness or trusting decision among two players, but retain a fixed multiplier value and sequential play between the three players. Recent research has investigated the implications of playing the trust game, either on behalf of others (“clients”; Kvaløy and Luzuriaga 2014) or with other people’s money (Jones 2013). When studied in the context of a multi-level trust game, such ‘brokering’ could enable an understanding of the decisions individuals made when not handling their own resources. In addition to introducing
6 a third player (Player C), randomizing multiplier values at one transaction point (B to C) serves to mimic uncertain market conditions where investor A trusts intermediary B to gain returns from broker C. As the multiplier is random, trusting and trustworthy behaviour can be elicited in the absence of guaranteed returns, for the trustors and trustees. Finally, information asymmetry often influences strategies in games in conjunction with existing reputation effects arising out of repeated play. Lunawat (2013) describes two types of information treatments where reputation effects are reversed when disclosure was voluntary under specific experimental protocols. Since trustees have an incentive to mimic a trustworthy player, the trustor faces the problem of identifying a consistently trustworthy trustee. This was assessed by updating the probability beliefs in trustors and trustees. However in this set-up, disclosure was voluntary, while the TBG did not leave the option of disclosure to players. Other studies focussing on information asymmetry, such as Charness, Du, and Yang (2011) showed an incidence of indirect reciprocity, which implied that information on past transfers significantly influenced contemporaneous transfers in the game. They find that providing a history of returns and trusting behaviour greatly induced trust among players; a finding that will be tested in the presence of probabilistic returns and multiple players. Our paper is novel in that it jointly incorporates three important extensions in the trust game framework to improve the study of trustworthiness in a probabilistic-return setting with information asymmetry and multiple players. This is an important context to study trust and trustworthiness since it adds uncertainty to the decision-making framework, similar to financial markets where transactions often involve intermediaries. To the best of our knowledge, there has been little study of how these three independent features may interact with each other in a repeated-play setting. The current work introduced the TBG and evaluated the transactions between the three players under varying information conditions. We are specifically interested in: (a)
7 What is the role of information availability on trust and trustworthiness between three players when returns were probabilistic? (b) What would be the effect of the random multiplier on amounts transacted between the three players? (c) Further, would information asymmetries and reputational concerns jointly interact with the multiplier value to influence decisions? (Johnson & Mislin, 2011) Our key finding is that information availability significantly influences levels of trust and trustworthiness in the set-up of the Trust Broker Game. This is particularly the case for player C, who does not have any initial endowment. When the value of the multiplier is randomly determined, a higher multiplier was associated with player C retaining a larger proportion of the available endowment. Regression analyses show that for a given level of return, information availability is more likely to result in a higher level of reciprocal behaviour for player C than in the case where no information was available. This suggests that C returned a higher amount of available endowment when all transfers or earnings were observable. Our results show that in an environment of uncertain returns, a third player is less likely to reciprocate trust, unless all actions were observable by other players. The rest of the paper is organized as follows. Section 2 describes the set-up of the Trust-Broker Game and contrasts it with the original trust game of Berg et al. (1995). Section 3 outlines the experimental design to implement the set-up. We then describe the key results from manipulating information availability and introducing uncertain environments. Section 4 concludes and outlines areas for future research. The Trust Broker Game Setup Consider a three-player repeated investment game, which proceeds as follows (Figure 2): In the first stage, Player A decides what portion of her initial endowment (𝑀𝑎) to send to Player B (who has an endowment of 𝑀𝑏). We denote the a006Dount sent by player 𝑖 to
8 player 𝑗 is denoted by 𝑀 𝑗 𝑖, where 𝑀 𝑗 𝑖∈{0, 1, 2, … 10}. At the end of stage one, the payoffs are 𝑃 𝑎 1=𝑀𝑎− 𝑀𝑏 𝑎 and 𝑃𝑏 1=𝑀𝑏+ 𝑀𝑏 𝑎 for Players A and B, respectively. In the second stage, Player B decides to transfer a portion from 𝑃𝑏 1 ∈{0, 1, … 𝑃𝑏 1} to Player C, who is designated as the broker.3 The broker label follows from the conditions that (i) C has no initial endowment (𝑀𝑐= 0), and (ii) the transferred amount is multiplied at the time of transfer to Player C. These conditions are imposed to provide an incentive for C to be trustworthy in a repeated-game setting and maintain a reputation of being trustworthy. All the earnings of C are therefore contingent on the trust-trustworthiness dynamic with B. The multiplier is a random number 𝑘 ∈ {1, 2, 3}4 and thus results in a transfer 𝑀𝑐 𝑏⋅ 𝑘 for Player C. At the end of the second stage, the payoffs for Players B and C are 𝑃𝑏 2=𝑃𝑏 1− 𝑀𝑐 𝑏and𝑃 𝑐 2= 𝑀𝑐 𝑏⋅ 𝑘, respectively. The multiplied transfers are henceforth referred to as dividends. Figure 1 here At the start of stage three, Player C decides to transfer a portion of 𝑃 𝑐 2 such that 𝑀𝑏 𝑐 ≥ 𝑀𝑐 𝑏. Any 𝑀𝑏 𝑐 selected by C must be at least the amount that he5 received from B. This restriction is put in place to ensure continuity of the game.6 However, C has the choice of either keeping the remaining amount from the dividend for himself or reciprocating B’s trust (if any). Thus, there are two distinct strategies for C; for convenience, the two cases are 𝑀𝑏 𝑐= 𝑀𝑐 𝑏(returns exactly the amount sent to him by B), and 𝑀𝑏 𝑐>𝑀𝑐 𝑏. Thus, the payoff for Player C at the end of stage three is 𝑃 𝑐 3= 𝑀𝑐 𝑏⋅ 𝑘 − 𝑀𝑏 𝑐 and for Player B at the end of stage three is 𝑃𝑏 3=𝑃𝑏 2+𝑀𝑏 𝑐. Finally, in stage four, Player B decides whether to return part of her 3 In the experimental setting, Player C was not identified as the ‘broker’ to prevent framing effects. 4 The multiplier was the prevailing market condition. For example, no significant return is when 𝑘𝑐= 1, and highest possible return is when 𝑘𝑐= 3. Zero was not added as a random value, since it would represent an unforeseen loss, and is not incentive-compatible (Berg et al., 1995). 1 represented the baseline, wherein no additional money was generated. 5 To distinguish between the broker and the players, ‘he’ was used for Player C only. 6 Consider the case where C can return less than the amount he receives from B, such that 𝑀𝑏 𝑐<𝑀𝑐 𝑏. Taken together with the fact that C is the only player without an initial endowment, we stipulate an exogenous level of trustworthiness (say, a ‘market’ level of trustworthiness) that must be adhered to, without which any additional trustworthiness cannot be generated.
15 be associated with higher transfers throughout the game. In terms of C’s selfishness, we find a higher (positive) correlation with proportion of initial transfer (A’s trust in B) when information is available. This is in contrast to C retaining more of his available amount being associated with B’s trust in C when no information on earnings or transfers was disclosed. We therefore infer that information has a strong role to play in determining behaviour of trustees and trustors, particularly under conditions of uncertain returns and a third player. The influence of information availability on decisions was also seen in the context of the multiplier. Of interest are the lower correlations between proportions and the multiplier in the case of no information and higher (and in some cases even statistically significant) correlations when information was available. While correlations between proportion of transfers and the multiplier in the no information condition were not statistically significant (and close to zero), we find negative correlations between the multiplier and the initial transfers (AB and BC) when information on the multiplier was available. Thus, under uncertain conditions, information availability is strongly associated with transfer decisions between players B and C in the context of a random multiplier. The correlations between C’s selfishness and the multiplier suggested that at higher values of the multiplier, C retained more of his available endowment while choosing the amount to transfer to B. The correlation was stronger when transfer amounts or earnings were observable, r = .562. These suggest that disclosure of information on transfers/earnings was associated with higher selfishness for player C, rather than reciprocity. It is also possible that this was on account of knowledge of a higher multiplier, a finding we explore later in this section. This was counterintuitive since information availability serves as a deterrent for selfishness and an incentive to be socially desirable.15 15 Baran et al. (2010) however, found that social desirability is not associated with reciprocity in the trust game. In comparing the strong correlation of alumni donations to business schools, they argued for stronger (unbiased) reciprocal behaviour in a laboratory setting relative to field data.
16 Given the clear implications of information availability for behaviour of the third player, we test for causal effects in the presence of a random multiplier using a simple linear regression approach as outlined below. Measures of selfishness and reciprocity were regressed on previous transfers (A to B and B to C), the dividend, as well as a binary categorical variable of information disclosure (0 = no information, 1 = information). To allow for a non-linear effect of the information condition, an interaction term was used along with the dividend produced. We also report a separate model accounting for round fixed-effects (to control for learning effects). The results are presented in Table 3. Table 3 here The results (when round fixed-effects are accounted for) show that a higher multiplied value under no information increased the amount retained by C over the available endowment by 0.55, less than reciprocity (0.45). This disparity was much larger when information about transfers or earnings was made public but in the opposite direction: a higher multiplied value under no information increased selfishness by 0.31, but had a large positive effect on reciprocity (0.68). This implied that greater information availability, on average, had a stronger influence on C’s decision to be reciprocal, relative to the strategy to retain more of his available endowment. This is in strong contrast to the correlation coefficients discussed earlier, where C’s selfishness was more positively associated with the multiplier in the information group, relative to the control group. Although a higher transfer from A to B had no statistically significant effect on C’s trust and trustworthiness, a higher B-C transfer sharply reduced C’s reciprocity (B = -0.70) more than his selfishness (-0.29). Thus, when B made a higher transfer to C, he reduces the reciprocal transfer to B by 0.7 but also reduces the amount retained by nearly 0.3. For player B, trusting C therefore almost always results in a lower return on investment, as was indicated by correlations reported under no information in Table 2 (r = .582). In line with Güth et al. (2014), we find low incidence reciprocity (less
17 than a unit change) in the case of uncertain returns. Although reciprocity levels are improved under information availability, they continue to remain low. Despite not being aware of the exact number of rounds, players had incentives to signal their ‘type’ as trusting or trustworthy due to repeated play and information availability. Round fixed-effects show that relative to the base period (round 1), C was most likely to be reciprocal of trust only in the last round. This is surprising given that no player had knowledge beforehand of the number of rounds that they would be required to play. Figure 2 here Figure 2 displays trust and trustworthiness behavior between information conditions and across values of the multiplier. We first note that there was no transfer from player C to B over and above what was invested in C when the multiplier was 1. A multiplier value of 1 is taken to represent no additional returns from trusting behavior, and therefore might indicate the lack of transfers here. Note that while C’s selfishness increased with multiplier values when no information was available about transfer or earnings, it reduces (with a concomitant increase in reciprocity) with a higher multiplier value when information was made available. This shows that under conditions of information disclosure in uncertain environments, a higher multiplier is likely to be associated with a higher level of reciprocity, rather than selfishness. Discussion and Conclusion The primary motivation of this paper was to extend the existing paradigm of trust, trustworthiness, and reciprocity by introducing a variable multiplier, a third player, and information asymmetry in the context of a repeated trust game setup. We sought to examine
18 reciprocal and selfish behaviours among players within the proposed TBG by manipulating the amount of information available to players. There were significant differences in trust and trustworthiness under such uncertain conditions (of a probabilistic multiplier), which also varied by information availability. This indicates that players’ beliefs about reputation play a vital role in choosing the level of transfers, and ultimately the initiation and reciprocation of trust in the given framework. For example, where information on earnings or transfers was available, all transfers between players were higher, indicating the positive influence of information availability. This was evident even in the proportion of available (or initial) endowment transferred, which showed greater individual trust and trustworthiness for each player under information availability. Correlations suggested that the trust broker’s selfishness was positively associated with the transfer he receives from player B, but when all transfer information is disclosed, this association is no longer statistically significant or positive. Although we do not have a deterministic multiplier group to compare the results of having a random multiplier, correlations suggest that a higher multiplier was associated with more selfishness for the trust broker, regardless of whether information is available. Knowledge of the value of the random multiplier thus, had varied consequences for trust, trustworthiness, and reciprocal behaviours in the game. This was in line with Güth et al. (2014), who suggested that players altered their behaviour when choices were probabilistic rather than deterministic. We probed further into these associations using linear regressions that interact the multiplied values with information availability. These results show that the initial trusting decision (transfer from A to B) did not determine the trust broker’s decisions. Even when learning effects (over rounds) are controlled for, we find strong evidence that information availability leads to a statistically significant increase in the trust broker’s reciprocity. In contrast, when no players have no information about transfers and earnings of other players,
19 the trust broker is more likely to be selfish than reciprocating the trust from player B. We interpret these results as implications of incentivizing players to think about their (and other players’) reputations. Similar to the theory in Lunawat (2013), heterogeneous prior beliefs about the ‘type’ of trustor or trustee drove such behaviour. Overall, summary statistics suggest that Player A was more likely to maximize earnings when all other transfers were high when information was available. This was similar to the ‘transparency effects’ found in Rietz et al. (2013); welfare gains (as determined by player earnings) accrued significantly to Player A, and less so to the other players. More evidence of signalling trustworthiness was observed through correlations between B’s and C’s trustworthiness. Under a repeated game setting with information asymmetry and uncertainty in the multiplier, players chose to be more trusting and trustworthy since they had the opportunity to build a reputation to be a trustworthy and gain higher earnings during the course of the game. In transfers where all amounts were doubled and such information was known, the trust broker retained a greater proportion of his available endowment, relative to the case where other players did not know the multiplier value. However, when transfers where the multiplier was three, information availability deterred the trust broker from retaining more, while raising the levels of trust among all players. We highlight the limitations of current work, so that future research in this area can narrow the gap on understanding of trust and trustworthiness in a multi-player framework. First, both samples consisted of novice student participants with administrative constraints preventing efficient implementation of the double-blind procedure, which compromised the execution of the experiment; future work with diverse samples will ensure greater generalizability and external validity of results. Second, since the game required engaging in trusting and trustworthy behaviour in an experimental setting, participants’ desire to portray
20 themselves in a favourable light may have confounded the results. We acknowledge that this may have been particularly an issue in the full information treatment, where participants were required to call out their values. Social desirability effects may have also precluded the display of selfish behaviour; hence, experimenters replicating the paradigm can measure and control social desirability in the future. Likewise, personality correlates of selfishness, Machiavellianism, and subclinical psychopathy may be useful metrics to pre-screen participants to manipulate their role allocation (A, B, or C) in the trust game framework (Eamonn et al. 2011). Altering the source of the money in the game (earnings versus endowments), and revealing ambiguous market conditions through verbal statements (“The market has recorded an all-time high”) are other adaptations of the TBG worthy of investigation. To conclude, our extension permits the exploration of trust and trustworthiness in a multi-level, uncertain environment, and information asymmetric trust game. We attempted to introduce realistic ambiguity in the vein of financial markets via a random multiplier and random termination rule. The third player allowed for the bifurcation between reciprocal and selfish behaviour when the first-mover and the second-mover can produce trust. The presence of information asymmetries and repeated play allowed us to probe how reputation concerns interacted with transparency (or lack thereof). Thus, the TBG meets its goals of examining multiple transactions, in uncertain market conditions, under varying levels of information. References Anderhub, Vital, Dirk Engelmann, and Werner Güth. 2002. “An Experimental Study of the Repeated Trust Game with Incomplete Information.” Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 48: 197–216. doi:10.1016/S0167-2681(01)00216-5. Baran, Nicole M, Paola Sapienza, and Luigi Zingales. 2010. “Can We Infer Social Preferences from the Lab? Evidence from the Trust Game.” 15654. NBER Working Papers. http://www.nber.org/papers/w15654.
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22 versus Probabilistic Consequences of Trust and Trustworthiness: An Experimental Investigation.” Journal of Economic Psychology 42: 28–40. doi:10.1016/j.joep.2013.11.003. Johnson, Noel D., and Alexandra A. Mislin. 2011. “Trust Games: A Meta-Analysis.” Journal of Economic Psychology 32 (5). Elsevier B.V.: 865–89. doi:10.1016/j.joep.2011.05.007. Jones, Daniel. N. 2013. “What’s Mine Is Mine and What’s Yours Is Mine: The Dark Triad and Gambling with Your Neighbor’s Money.” Journal of Research in Personality 47 (5): 563–71. doi:10.1016/j.jrp.2013.04.005. Kiyonari, T., T. Yamagishi, K. S. Cook, and C. Cheshire. 2006. “Does Trust Beget Trustworthiness? Trust and Trustworthiness in Two Games and Two Cultures: A Research Note.” Social Psychology Quarterly 69 (3): 270–83. doi:10.1177/019027250606900304. Kvaløy, Ola, and Miguel Luzuriaga. 2014. “Playing the Trust Game with Other People’s Money.” Experimental Economics 17 (4): 615–30. doi:10.1007/s10683-013-9386-4. Lunawat, Radhika. 2013. “An Experimental Investigation of Reputation Effects of Disclosure in an Investment/trust Game.” Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 94: 130–44. doi:10.1016/j.jebo.2013.07.018. McCabe, Kevin A., Mary L. Rigdon, and Vernon L. Smith. 2003. “Positive Reciprocity and Intentions in Trust Games.” Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 52: 267– 75. doi:10.1016/S0167-2681(03)00003-9. Normann, HT, and B Wallace. 2012. “The Impact of the Termination Rule on Cooperation in a Prisoner’s Dilemma Experiment.” International Journal of Game Theory 41 (3): 707– 18. doi:10.1007/s00182-012-0341-y. Rietz, Thomas A., Roman M. Sheremeta, Timothy W. Shields, and Vernon L. Smith. 2013. “Transparency, Efficiency and the Distribution of Economic Welfare in Pass-through Investment Trust Games.” Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 94: 257–67. doi:10.1016/j.jebo.2012.09.019. Sheremeta, Roman M;, and Jingjing Zhang. 2013. “Three-Player Trust Game with Insider
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24 Table 1 Descriptive Statistics for Average and Proportionate Transactions between Players A, B, and C (information treatments) VARIABLES No Information (Median) Information (Median) Mann-Whitney U test Robust Rank Order Test Average transfer A to B 2 4 -3.102*** -3.154*** Average transfer B to C 2 4 -3.010*** -3.068*** Average transfer C to B 3 4.500 -3.192*** -3.256*** Average transfer B to A 2 3 -4.351*** -4.647*** Amount C gives over the principal 0 1 -3.348*** -3.119*** Amount C retains over the principal 1 2 -0.958 -0.921 Earnings of Player A 9 10 -3.901*** -4.137*** Earnings of Player B 13 13 0.147 0.145 Earnings of Player C 6 6 0.107 0.106 Proportion transferred from A to B 0.268 0.333 1.515 -1.514 Proportion transferred from B to C 0.160 0.214 -2.891*** -2.986*** Proportion transferred from C to B 0.333 0.429 -2.431** -2.458** Proportion transferred from B to A 0.111 0.200 -3.741*** -3.971*** Proportion retained by C 0.854 0.775 0.211 0.199 Proportion given by C 0.146 0.225 -0.211 -0.199 Note. *** p< .01; ** p< .05; * p< 0.1.
31 Appendix B: Variable Definitions Variable Definition Average transfer A to B The amount of money transferred from the first player to the second player over all rounds, both of whom have initial endowments of Rs. 10 Average transfer B to C The amount of money transferred from the second player to the third player (the trust-broker) over all rounds, where only the second player has an initial endowment of Rs. 10 Average transfer C to B The amount of money transferred from the third player to the second player over all rounds Average transfer B to A The amount of money transferred from the second player to the first player over all rounds; this is the last transfer in an iteration of the game Amount C gives over the principal ( Mb c−Mc b ) The amount returned to the second player by the third player, less the amount that he received from the second player. This cannot be less than zero (Reciprocity) Amount C retains over the principal The amount retained by the third player, over the amount that he received from the second player (Selfishness) Earnings of Player A (Pa 4) The cumulative payoff for the first player at the end of an iteration of the game. Earnings of Player B (Pb 4) The cumulative payoff for the second player at the end of an iteration of the game. Earnings of Player C (Pc 4) The payoff for the third player at the end of an iteration of the game. Proportion transferred from A to B ( Mb a/Ma ) The fraction of amount transferred out of the endowment at the start of the ith round from the first player to the second player. Proportion transferred from B to C ( Mc b/Mb ) The fraction of amount transferred out of the endowment at the second stage of the ith round from the second player to the third player. Proportion transferred from C to B ( Mb c/ k ∙Mc b ) The fraction of amount transferred out of the endowment at the third stage of the ith round from the third player to the second player. Proportion transferred from B to A ( Ma b/ Pb 3 ) The fraction of amount transferred out of the endowment at the fourth stage of the ith round from the second player to the first player Proportion given by C Amount C gives over the principal as a fraction of the multiplied amount (Reciprocity) Proportion retained by C Amount C Retains over the principal as a fraction of the multiplied amount (Selfishness)
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