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1 This is the peer reviewed version of the article accepted for publication in Journal of Thermal 1 Biology, Volume 96, 2021, 102856, which has been published in final form at 2 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtherbio.2021.102856 It is deposited under the terms of the Creative 3 Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License 4 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, 5 distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, 6 and is not altered, transformed, or built upon in any way.” 7 Running Title: CTmax variation in wetlands 8 9 Variation in upper thermal tolerance among 19 species from temperate wetlands 10 11 Marco Katzenberger 1, 2*, Helder Duarte 1, Rick Relyea 3, 4, Juan Francisco Beltrán 5, Miguel 12 Tejedo 1 13 14 1 Department of Evolutionary Ecology, Estación Biológica Doñana, CSIC, c/ Américo 15 Vespucio s/n, 41092 Sevilla, Spain 16 2 Laboratório de Bioinformática e Biologia Evolutiva, Department of Genetics, Universidade 17 Federal de Pernambuco, Av. Prof. Moraes Rego, 1235 - Cidade Universitária, CEP 18 50670-901 Recife, Pernambuco, Brazil 19 3 Darrin Fresh Water Institute, Department of Biological Sciences, Rensselaer Polytechnic 20 Institute, Troy, NY 12180 USA 21 4 Department of Biological Sciences, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA 15260, USA 22 5 Departament of Zoology, Universidad de Sevilla, Avda. Reina Mercedes s/n, 41012-Sevilla, 23 Spain 24 25 * corresponding author. E-mail: [email protected] 26 ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0023-9655 27
2 ABSTRACT 28 Communities usually possess a multitude of interconnected trophic interactions within 29 food webs. Their regulation generally depends on a balance between bottom-up and top- 30 down effects. However, if sensitivity to temperature varies among species, rising 31 temperatures may change trophic interactions via direct and indirect effects. We examined 32 the critical thermal maximum (CTmax) of 19 species from temperate wetlands (insect 33 predators, amphibian larvae, zooplankton and amphipods) and determined if they vary in 34 their sensitivity to warming temperatures. CTmax differed between the groups, with predatory 35 insects having higher CTmax than amphibians (both herbivorous larval anurans and predatory 36 larval salamanders), amphipods and zooplankton. In a scenario of global warming, these 37 differences in thermal tolerance may affect top-down and bottom-up processes, particularly 38 considering that insect predators are more likely to maintain or improve their performance at 39 higher temperatures, which could lead to increased predation rates on the herbivores in the 40 food web. Further studies are needed to understand how the energy flows through 41 communities, how species’ energy budgets may change and whether other physiological and 42 behavioral responses (such as phenotypic plasticity and thermoregulation) can buffer or 43 increase these changes in the top-down regulation of wetland food webs. 44 45 Keywords: critical thermal maximum; top-down regulation; amphibians; insects; 46 zooplankton; climate change 47
3 1. INTRODUCTION 48 Predicting the impacts of climate change and understanding species’ responses to 49 accelerating environmental changes has been a major challenge for the scientific community. 50 There is increasing evidence that species’ phenologies and distributions are changing in 51 response to current climate change (e.g., Parmesan and Yohe 2003, Parmesan 2006). 52 Renewed interest in thermal physiology has produced large databases that enable a global 53 perspective of species’ physiological limits and their relation to the environment (e.g., 54 Deutsch et al., 2008; Duarte et al., 2012; Katzenberger et al., 2014; Sunday et al., 2014;). 55 These data have given new insights into how species (and some communities) may respond 56 to current and future climate change and are providing a general assessment of which taxa 57 may be the most vulnerable. 58 In spite of increasing information on the responses of species and populations to 59 climate change, robust models of ecological systems are still badly needed to forecast the 60 future state of communities and ecosystems under long-term environmental changes (Jochum 61 et al., 2012; Shurin et al., 2012). However, the multitude of factors that affect ecosystems and 62 their complex interactions have hindered the development of these models. Predicted 63 environmental changes include an increase in the frequency of heat waves and other extreme 64 events (Diffenbaugh and Ashfaq, 2010; Schär et al., 2004). Shifts in UV radiation, 65 precipitation and temperature patterns are expected to vary geographically (IPCC, 2013). 66 Furthermore, several aspects of the environment are simultaneously affected by geochemical 67 cycles and changes in these cycles may influence local environmental conditions 68 (Christensen et al., 2006; Vinebrooke et al., 2004). Apart from the physical environment data, 69 models should also incorporate information about species’ physiological and life-history 70 traits. Differential evolutionary responses of species’ physiological traits to climate change 71 may also promote shifts in community interactions, food web dynamics and ecosystem 72
4 processes (Coulson et al., 2011; Gilman et al., 2010). However, current experimental 73 evidence is limited (Jochum et al., 2012). Moreover, the direct effects on species’ physiology 74 and demographics may be further altered by indirect effects via ecological interactions in 75 food webs (Bothwell et al., 1994; Ockendon et al., 2014; Suttle et al., 2007). 76 The critical thermal maximum (CTmax) is the temperature at which an organism loses 77 its ability to avoid the conditions that will lead to its death (Cowles and Bogert, 1944). 78 Thermal performance curves are usually asymmetrical, with the interval between the 79 optimum temperature and the critical thermal maximum commonly characterized by a steep 80 decline in performance (Huey and Kingsolver, 1989). However, determining optimum 81 temperature is usually methodologically more difficult than determining CTmax (e.g., 82 Katzenberger et al. 2014). Since optimum temperature and CTmax have been established as 83 co-adaptive traits (Angilletta, 2009; Huey et al., 2009), a species with high CTmax is expected 84 to also have a high optimum temperature. Hence, determining interspecific variation in CTmax 85 and warming tolerance (the difference between CTmax and current environmental 86 temperatures) is a simple way to assess species vulnerability to the direct effects of climate 87 change (Deutsch et al., 2008; Tewksbury et al., 2008). 88 Current global warming may promote changes in species interactions and community 89 structure (Dell et al. 2011), particularly when species have contrasting thermal niches. A 90 reduction in available niche space for species with low heat tolerance can potentially enhance 91 density-dependent interactions, whereas species with high heat tolerance could benefit from 92 the release of competitive pressures (Diamond et al., 2017). Warm-adapted consumers are 93 also expected to exert increased top-down pressure, leading to a reduction in the biomass of 94 species from the lower trophic levels if the latter are less heat tolerant (Urban et al., 2017). 95 Species asymmetries in thermal responses may also affect the dynamics of consumer– 96 producer interactions due to differences in activation energies (the life-dinner principle) 97
5 (Dawkins and Krebs, 1979; Dell et al., 2014, 2011). Top predators may be closer to their 98 tolerance limits (Pincebourde et al., 2008; Twomey et al., 2012), with carnivores having peak 99 performances at temperatures 10ºC lower than herbivores (Dell et al., 2014; Voigt et al., 100 2003). However, much more information is needed to establish a comprehensive 101 generalization of thermal tolerance across trophic levels. 102 Differences in thermal tolerance across trophic levels may also affect top-down and 103 bottom-up effects in food webs (Relyea and Ricklefs, 2018). Warming can influence trophic 104 interactions and alter the relative importance of these top-down and bottom-up effects by 105 increasing the metabolic requirements of species (Dillon et al., 2010). Several studies have 106 demonstrated that top-down effects increase with warming, strengthening the trophic cascade 107 from consumers to producers (Hoekman, 2010; Jochum et al., 2012; Kratina et al., 2012; 108 O’Connor et al., 2009; Shurin et al., 2012). This occurs when the metabolic requirements of 109 consumers increase faster with temperature than that of producers (Allen et al., 2005), 110 resulting in an increase in consumer activities (Dillon et al., 2010; Hoekman, 2010; O’Connor 111 et al., 2009; Shurin et al., 2012). However, metabolic demands can increase faster than 112 feeding rates (Rall et al., 2010) and increased feeding rates may also lead to resource 113 competition. Moreover, decreased food intake may also reduce growth rates, reduce optimal 114 temperatures, and reduce upper thermal limits for growth (Huey and Kingsolver, 2019). 115 Therefore, in the long-term, consumers may suffer from reduced fitness, lower abundance 116 and reduced biomass when compared to producers, thereby weakening the top-down effects 117 (O’Connor et al., 2011). In addition, warming tends to favor organisms that compete better 118 for nutrients (Falkowski and Oliver, 2007) and smaller organisms (Daufresne et al., 2009; 119 Yvon-Durocher et al., 2011; Yvon-Durocher and Allen, 2012). Both of these factors should 120 influence community size structure and alter species composition (Yvon-Durocher et al., 121 2011). 122
6 We aimed to understand how the current climate-change scenario may affect a 123 temporary freshwater wetland community by determining the critical thermal maxima of 124 species from different trophic levels. The species include primary consumers (tadpoles, 125 zooplankton and amphipods) and secondary and tertiary consumers (salamander larvae and 126 predatory insects, respectively; Fig. 1). These taxa have been used to study the dynamics of 127 food web structure and the mechanisms controlling the bottom-up and top-down processes in 128 temperate wetlands for several decades (Jones et al., 2016; Leibold and Wilbur, 1992; Stoler 129 and Relyea, 2016; Wilbur, 1997). CTmax values may be phylogenetically constrained (Huey, 130 1982; Huey et al., 2009; Kellermann et al., 2012), although they are adaptively associated 131 with environmental temperatures even when controlling for phylogeny (e.g., Duarte et al. 132 2012). Hence, we expected to find differences in thermal physiology among higher 133 taxonomic groups (e.g., Duarte et al. 2012; Sunday et al. 2014) and among trophic levels. 134 Based on previous studies, we expected predatory insect species to have higher CTmax values 135 than amphibians (e.g., Sunday et al. 2014). We also expected body mass to be a good 136 predictor of upper thermal resistance across species of ectotherms (Klockmann et al., 2017), 137 although this relationship may not be evident within species (Duarte et al., 2012). 138 139 2. METHODS 140 2.1. Field collection and animal husbandry 141 In spring 2010, we collected 11 species of amphibians (egg masses), four species of 142 aquatic insects, three species of amphipods and one species of zooplankton (Cladocera) from 143 natural ponds and wetlands. Each species was collected at a single location (Tables 1-2). All 144 animals were brought to the Pymatuning Laboratory of Ecology (University of Pittsburgh), in 145 northwest Pennsylvania, USA. Microenvironmental pond temperatures were measured in 146 seven locations by placing HOBO Pendant® temperature dataloggers in most collection sites 147
7 at the deepest part of the pond (Table 2). When thermal stratification occurs, usually during 148 sunny days with little to no wind (Boeckman and Bidwell, 2015), these measurements are 149 assumed to represent the minimum environmental temperatures to which the animals are 150 exposed during the time period considered; other locations within the pond (shallower 151 locations or higher in the water column) presumably had higher temperatures (Bancroft et al., 152 2008; Boeckman and Bidwell, 2015; Oberle et al., 2019; Song et al., 2013). Water 153 temperature was recorded every 5–15 min during the period in which most species in the 154 community were present. 155 The species we used belong to different trophic levels of a wetland food web, 156 including herbivores, detritivores, and predators (Figure 1). Most of these species overlap in 157 distribution so they can co-occur (at least partially) and interact. Since feeding preferences of 158 anuran larvae depend on species and may include multiple resources, such as periphyton, 159 zooplankton, phytoplankton and detritus (Altig et al., 2007; Arribas et al., 2015; Carreira et 160 al., 2016; Montaña et al., 2019), we considered several potential energy pathways for this 161 group. In the laboratory, the zooplankton and amphipod species were kept in plastic 162 containers (40 x 25 x 20 cm) with approximately 10 L, to which an aliquot of filtered (397- 163 mm net) local pond water was added as source of algae. Aquatic insects were kept 164 individually in 500-mL plastic cups (filled with 400 mL of water) and fed tadpoles every 2 d. 165 Outdoor pools were filled with aged well water to accommodate the amphibian eggs. All egg 166 masses from the same species were placed together in the same pool. Tadpoles were then fed 167 rabbit pellets ad libitum and allowed to grow until reaching the desired developmental stage. 168 Moreover, salamander larvae were fed zooplankton ad libitum. 169 170 2.2. Critical thermal maximum assessment 171
8 Sets of amphibian aquatic larvae (anuran tadpoles and larval salamanders) were 172 brought indoors to acclimate for the experiment. Amphibian larvae were tested at a 173 developmental stage where they were able to swim freely and begin feeding independently. 174 In most anuran species, this occurs after reaching Gosner stage 25 (Gosner, 1960). Other 175 organisms were tested at the same developmental stage as they were when collected (Table 176 3). Amphibian larvae, insects, amphipods and zooplankton were kept at an acclimation 177 temperature of 20°C (approximately the average temperature experienced in the outdoor 178 pools), with a 12L:12D photoperiod, for four days, as in previous studies (Duarte et al., 2012; 179 Gutiérrez-Pesquera et al., 2016; Simon et al., 2015). This allowed to the animals to acclimate 180 to the lab temperature and stabilize their CTmax (Allen et al., 2012; Brattstrom, 1968; 181 Buchanan et al., 1988; Hutchison, 1961). After the acclimation period, the species were tested 182 for their CTmax (Brattstrom, 1968; Hutchison, 1961) using Hutchison’s dynamic method 183 (Lutterschmidt and Hutchison, 1997a). 184 The CTmax trials used a water bath which consisted of a 250-mL container filled with 185 200 mL of dechlorinated water at 20 °C placed within a larger 2-L container, set upon a 186 magnetic stirrer hotplate. Water temperature was measured in the smaller container, whereas 187 the magnetic stirrer was placed in the larger container to avoid perturbing the organisms. We 188 exposed the organisms to a constant heating rate of 1.0 °C min-1, as in previous studies 189 (Duarte et al., 2012; Simon et al., 2015). This heating rate is fast enough to avoid acclimation 190 during the CTmax trials but also slow enough to avoid both heat shock and a significant lag 191 between water and body temperatures (Lutterschmidt and Hutchison, 1997a, 1997b). While 192 approaching their upper thermal limit, organism first lose their righting response, then go 193 through a stage of complete immobility before reaching the onset of spasms, which precedes 194 death (Lutterschmidt and Hutchison, 1997a, 1997b). For tadpoles, the onset of spasms was 195 considered the experimental endpoint. In the case of the insects, amphipods and zooplankton, 196
9 since spasms could not be observed during the experiment, we used complete immobility as 197 the endpoint of the critical thermal tolerance experiments. Once CTmax was reached, we 198 placed all organisms into cooler water (20°C) to allow for complete recovery. Those 199 individuals unable to recover were excluded for the analyses. All experiments were approved 200 by the Institutional Animal Care and Use Committee from the University of Pittsburgh 201 (Protocol #12050451). 202 203 2.3. Statistical analysis 204 To determine how the upper thermal limits varied across species, we conducted a 205 generalized linear model (log-linked gamma distribution) using CTmax as the dependent 206 variable, species as a categorical factor and mass as a covariate (including the interaction 207 between species and mass). Although it is recommended to incorporate phylogenetic 208 information (Felsenstein, 1985; Garland Jr. et al., 1992), we could not implement a PGLS 209 analysis since the number of species (n=19) is below the recommended threshold of >20 210 (Blomberg et al., 2003). Therefore, to account for the non-independence of species, we also 211 conducted a generalized linear mixed model (log-linked gamma distribution), that included 212 the taxonomic levels (from species to phylum) as nested, random effects (Seebacher et al., 213 2015), We then compared both models using the Akaike information criterion (AIC) (Akaike, 214 1974), to determine if the inclusion of higher taxonomic levels improved our model. Next, we 215 conducted Tukey HSD post-hoc tests to see which species differed from each other. To 216 examine the potential link between body size and CTmax, we also assessed the relationship 217 between CTmax and mass, within each species, using Pearson’s correlation coefficient. 218 Our second analysis examined the effects of trophic level on CTmax. For each species, 219 trophic level was determined as the longest chain length from a consumer to a basal species, 220 plus one (Pimm, 1980). The obtained trophic levels were then used as a grouping variable in 221
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Table 5. Generalized linear mixed model (log-link gamma distribution) to determine the 701 effects of trophic level, body mass and their interaction on CTmax. Taxonomic levels from 702 species to phylum were included as nested, random effects to account for the non- 703 independence of related species. 704 705 Fixed effects df Sum sqt Mean Sq F p trophic 3 0.0820 0.0273 150.2 < 0.001 mass 1 0.0011 0.0011 5.8 0.017 trophic*mass 3 0.0003 0.0001 0.6 0.636 Random effects Variance ± SD phylum <0.00001 ± <0.00001 class <0.00001 ± 0.00004 order <0.00001 ± 0.00005 family <0.00001 ± 0.00011 genus 0.00002 ± 0.00426 species 0.00010 ± 0.00977 Residual 0.00018 ± 0.01349 706
Figure 1. Simplified wetland food web with trophic relations between the studied species 707 (modified from Wilbur 1997). Solid arrows indicate the primary direction of energy flow. 708 Doted arrows indicate potential energy flow pathways, depending on tadpole species (Altig et 709 al., 2007; Arribas et al., 2015; Montaña et al., 2019). Dashed arrow indicates a secondary 710 energy flow that occurs when salamander larvae grow bigger than some tadpole species and 711 are then able to consume them. A) predatory insects: Anax longipes, Erythemis simplicollis, 712 Lethocerus americanus and Noctonecta sp.. B) larval salamanders: Ambystoma laterale. C) 713 larval anurans: Anaxyrus americanus, Hyla versicolor, Pseudacris crucifer, P. feriarum, P. 714 triseriata, Rana catesbeiana, R. clamitans, R. palustris, R. pipiens and R. sylvatica. D) 715 zooplaknton: Daphnia magna. E) Amphipods: Hyalella sp., H. spinicauda and H. wellborni. 716 717 Figure 2. Boxplot (median and quartiles) of critical thermal maximum (CTmax) of the studied 718 species. Species were grouped according to their taxonomy. Amphipods and zooplankton 719 were grouped together (Zoo/Apod group) since they represent the main phytoplankton 720 consumers. Dashed lines indicate the average CTmax for each group and the respective 721 standard deviation. Species: ALO, Anax longipes; ESI, Erythemis simplicollis; LAM, 722 Lethocerus americanus; NOC, Noctonecta sp.; ALA, Ambystoma laterale; AAM, Anaxyrus 723 americanus; HVE, Hyla versicolor; PCR, Pseudacris crucifer; PFE, P. feriarum; PTR, P. 724 triseriata; LCA, Rana catesbeiana; RCL, R. clamitans; RPA, R. palustris; RPI, R. pipiens; 725 RSY, R. sylvatica; DMA, Daphnia magna; HYA, Hyalella sp.; HSP, H. spinicauda; HWE, 726 H. wellborni. 727 728 729 730 731