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1 Comparing the impact of presence patterns on energy demand in residential buildings using measured data and simulation models Author names: Elena Cuerda*, Olivia Guerra-Santin **, J.J. Sendra ***, Fco.Javier Neila González* *Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, España ** Eindhoven University of Technology, Department of the Built Environment *** Instituto Universitario de Arquitectura y Ciencias de la Construcción, Escuela Técnica Superior de Arquitectura, Universidad de Sevilla E-mail address of correspondence: [email protected] Acknowledgement This research has been funded by Universidad Politécnica de Madrid and partially by INTERREC IVB and the Building Technology Accelerator (BTA) – Climate Kic. We would also like to show our gratitude to TEP 130 research group with special thanks to Jessica Fernandez-Agüera for assistance with the Blower Door test. ABSTRACT Prediction of the energy performance of buildings helps designers with decision-making during the design process in new construction, as well as in renovation projects. Simulation software is used as a prediction tool to calculate the energy performance of buildings. However, numerous studies question its reliability due to the existing discrepancy (gap) between calculated and actual energy performance.
2 Although occupant behaviour is identified as a factor of major impact on the energy performance of buildings, the complex stochastic nature of user behaviour makes it difficult to define actual occupancy patterns. As a result, standard and normative data are usually used as input in energy simulation models. The aim of this research is to test the effect of the use of actual presence profiles on energy demand simulations compared to the use of international normative presence profiles. A study on energy demand has therefore been developed, using dynamic simulation and monitoring campaigns. The results show that the heating and cooling energy demand may differ by up to 15% depending on whether actual or standard presence profiles are used. Therefore, presence profiles should be considered as a significant factor in the adjustment of input data in renovation projects. The final aim of this investigation is to determine the effect of using more accurate building and occupancy simulation parameters when assessing the feasibility of building renovation (payback period calculation for example). This paper focuses on the effect of presence profiles. Keywords: Building energy performance, Occupant patterns, Occupant schedules, Occupant behaviour, Occupancy monitoring, Post-occupancy evaluation 1. Introduction At present, improving energy efficiency in buildings is one of the key objectives pursued by European policymakers. To achieve this objective, dynamic thermal simulation programs are used as predictive calculation methods to determine the energy performance of buildings during design phases. These calculations are often used to
3 determine the feasibility of building renovation (for example, payback periods) or the capacity to attain a design goal, sometimes in relation to building regulations (for example, energy neutrality or energy performance coefficients). Consequently, numerous studies (Branco et al., 2004; De Wilde, 2014; Jones et al., 2015; Menezes et al., 2012) have shown a gap between calculated and actual energy performance of buildings. Thus, the highly predictive potential of these tools in the design process is reduced, generating a lack of certainty on the final calculated energy efficiency. The International Energy Agency defines the factors that have the greatest influence on the energy consumption of buildings in Annex 53 (IEA, 2016) , and these are described as follows: (1) climate, (2) building envelope, (3) building energy and services systems, (4) indoor design criteria, (5) building operation and maintenance, and (6) occupant behaviour. However, despite the major advances in the study and prediction of the first five factors, the study of occupant behaviour continues to be a topic for research, as its analysis is much more complex due to its stochastic nature. 1.1. Occupant behaviour Numerous studies show that energy efficiency is not merely a technological problem, as it is influenced by occupant behaviour. In fact, the human factor has a major impact in studies concerning the gap between predicted and actual energy performance of buildings. For example, the impact of occupant behaviour on retrofitting processes should be considered since investment payback periods can be seriously affected. According to Santangelo & Tondelli (Santangelo & Tondelli, 2017), “the more the uncertainties related to the impact of the human factor are addressed, the more the payback time of the retrofitting interventions may be reduced, increasing the attractiveness of such investments”.
4 It should be noted that according to data from 2013 ((INE), 2013) and 2015 ((INE), 2015), Spanish households have changed in recent years. In 2013, 24.2 % of households consisted of single people, and in 2015 this figure increased to 25%. Of this 25% in 2015, 40.6% were aged 65 or over, and of these 72.9% were women. These assumptions do not allow us to suitably predict the energy performance of buildings at the design stage in renovation projects. The energy consumption for heating in dwellings of the same characteristics can differ by up to three times due to user influence (Gram-Hanssen, 2010). This confirms that a better understanding of user attitudes is required and as a result, “more sophisticated evaluation strategies that interrelate human factors directly with the physical performance of housing also need to be developed” (Stevenson & Leaman, 2010). Other research, however, suggests that there are many different situations that may occur in the domestic environment, and the information available about occupants is therefore scarce (Kim, 2016). This has prompted the introduction of a new term, "Life Style Factor", which aims to include the range of parameters related to users of residential buildings, such as family composition and user lifestyle. She also considers the term “occupant behaviour model” to be a misnomer, given that energy simulation models are not capable of representing highly complex human behaviour in buildings. In its place Kim suggests the term “occupancy model” as an alternative which truly represents “a reductionist version of true occupant behaviour models” One of the key factors for developing energy-saving policies for residential buildings, and specifically for different household styles, is the understanding of user profiles (Guerra-Santin, 2011). Likewise, technological advances should take occupant characteristics into account: social, cultural, economic, and energy-conscious attitudes.
5 “Energy-conscious households save more energy with systems that require active involvement, while less energy-conscious households save more energy that do not require active involvement” (Santangelo & Tondelli, 2017). Sun & Hong (Sun & Hong, 2017) quantified the impact of occupant behaviour considering three occupant behaviour styles (austerity, normal, wasteful) in terms of energy consciousness. They conclude that occupant behaviour style has significant influence on the energy used in heating systems in buildings as “buildings occupied by energy spenders could consume more than twice the energy of the energy savers”. 1.2. Modelling occupant behaviour in buildings Building modelling is the tool that designers normally use to predict the energy performance of buildings. However, despite its widespread use in the building design process, it is still under development in the retrofit processes of existing buildings (Hong et al., 2018). In the case of the study of occupant behaviour, it is crucial to use fit-for-purpose modelling (Gaetani et al., 2016), selecting the most appropriate model for each case study analysed. Simulation software such as Design Builder uses predefined occupancy profiles which respond to a conventional family made up of four active people who are not at home during the central hours of the day, a pattern which does not always correspond to the reality studied. As Motuziene et al. (Motuziene & Vilutiene, 2013) point out, the results of the simulations show that the behaviour, age and number of occupants are variables to be taken into consideration when performing energy simulations. In addition, the use of real occupation profiles shows major differences compared to predefined ones.
6 Therefore, the choice of input data related to occupancy profiles can affect the energy consumption calculations of the building. To avoid these errors, it is advisable to collect as much information as possible about the occupation of the house and preferences in order to develop more accurate profiles, based on the occupancy patterns of real building users (D’Oca & Hong, 2015). Carpino et al. (Carpino et al., 2018) have created and distributed a questionnaire among 80 families collecting occupancy data. An average trend of occupancy profile has been developed in order to facilitate working on energy simulation. Ouf et al. (Ouf et al., 2018) propose recommendations on how to improve building performance simulation (BPS) tools, specifically occupant-related parameters. For example, they suggest increasing direct input in BPS tools related to occupant-related parameters to simplify the data collection process for building practitioners. They also highlight the need to update standards and building energy codes which currently employ a simplistic approach, which provides schedules that do not match those of the real users. In contrast, Dong et al. (Dong et al., 2018) propose that occupancy databases be shared by researchers in view of the difficulty of collecting real data on occupancy behaviour. Mora et al. (Mora et al., 2017) suggest modelling 3 occupancy profiles (Regulation, Current-use, Statistical) to evaluate variations in energy building performance. This investigation concludes that the Regulation scenario underestimates heating energy consumption in comparison with the Current scenario, while for the Statistical family, the heating consumption increases by 19%. Guerra-Santin et al. (Guerra-Santin et al., 2018) propose an approach for renovation projects in the Netherlands in which monitored occupants’ data are used to determine occupancy patterns to be used as input in simulations for calculating energy demand for
7 the sizing of PV panels in energy neutral projects. In the 2ndSkin case study, they reported a three-fold difference in heating demand between single seniors and single adults; and a two-fold difference between nuclear families and single-parent households, and between senior couples and adult couples. Zhang et al. (Zhang et al., 2018) identified gaps in existing research regarding the role of occupant behaviour in building energy performance: “the need for understanding occupants´ behaviour in a systematic framework; for stronger empirical evidence beyond individual buildings and at a larger city scale; for linking occupant behaviour to socio-economic and policy variables; and for evaluating the role of occupant behaviour in the effectiveness of building energy efficiency policy”. Research by Carpino et al. (Carpino et al., 2017) analyses the influence of behavioural variables and occupancy patterns in Nearly Zero Energy Buildings. They propose two different occupancy scenarios, with different family compositions (a four-member family and a two-member family) and simulate three different occupant behaviours (saver, medium and waster). They confirm the correct use of the “Nearly” Zero term because this depends not only on the construction of the building, but also on the consumption of lighting and appliances, which are also greatly influenced by user behaviour. The objective of this research is to analyse the influence of users’ occupancy patterns (obtained from real users and international normative occupancy profiles) on the calculation of energy demand in residential buildings. This research focuses on the influence of occupants’ presence on the internal heat gains of buildings but not on the use of the systems (e.g. the use of artificial lighting or HVAC systems). The effect of
8 occupants’ control and interaction with the building systems is considered in a further phase of this research but lies outside the scope of this paper. The normative and standard profiles studied are the Spanish Technical Building Code (CTE, 2016), ASHRAE 90.1 (Prototype Building Modelling Specifications) (ASHRAE_90.1, 2013), ISO/TR17772-1 (Energy performance of buildings — Indoor environmental quality) (ISO/TR17772-1:, 2017), and Th-BCE (French calculation method for energy performance) (Th-BCE., 2012). This article aims to demonstrate that the fixed presence profiles, commonly used as input data for dynamic simulation software, are not always representative of user presence in buildings, and thus reduce the predictive potential of energy demand of these tools. It first develops various presence patterns from different data sources: real users (through mixed-method methodology) (Section 3) and international norms and standards (Section 4). Subsequently, the presence patterns were introduced as input data into a building simulation model (Section 5) of a representative case study from 1970s housing stock in Madrid. Finally, a comparison between standard and actual occupancy profiles were presented and a parametric analysis performed to calculate the influence of the individual presence patterns on the energy demand of the building (Section 6). 2. Methodology A more in-depth presentation of the research framework used in this investigation is found in previous publications (Cuerda et al., 2018; Cuerda et al., 2015, 2016; Cuerda et al., 2014; Guerra-Santin et al., 2016) within research which aims to further explain the influence of different factors on the “performance gap”, that is to say, the difference between predicted and actual energy performance of buildings.
9 In this paper, the specific factor studied is occupant presence, following a four-step methodology (Figure 1). Firstly, the building characteristics and the occupant behaviour of the residents of the case study were obtained through collecting real data. Secondly, a building energy model was developed using Design Builder software to include the input data from the field study. Seven transient energy Design Builder models were then created using the seven different presence schedules (current and standard data) as input to analyse their impact on the energy demand. Thirdly, parametric analysis was carried out to determine the influence of the different presence profiles on energy demand. Finally, the results obtained were analysed and conclusions were drawn. Figure 1. Methodology To study the energy demand, a building energy base model was created incorporating input data from the field study for a real refurbished building. Data were collected for two dwellings (CP17 and CP18) located in two originally identical buildings, although one was refurbished between 2009 and 2011. A monitoring campaign was carried out from July 2014 to July 2015 to obtain information regarding: 1) the measurement of parameters of the building envelope, 2) the electricity consumption measurement and 3) occupant behaviour data, subjective
16 probability that there is occupancy in the house, and it was obtained as the average presence per hour for the year. Thus, if a value of 0.5 is observed at 12:00 pm on Wednesdays, it means that the user was at home on 12:00 pm on half of the Wednesdays of the measured year. The results plotted can be seen in Figure 4 for weekdays and Figure 5 for weekends. 4. After 21:00 hours (on weekdays) and after 22:00 hours (on weekend days), and until 7:00 hours, the electricity consumption decreases dramatically (see figures), suggesting that the residents have gone to sleep. For these time intervals, it was assumed that the occupants were at home but not using electricity and it was coded as 1.0. 5. Electricity consumption increases after 7:00 hours (on weekdays) and after 8:00 hours (on weekend days), indicating that the residents start with their daily routines. 6. Between 9:00 and 22:00 values range from 0 and 1.0 depending on the probability of occupancy in the house. 7. The mixed-method approach was used to analyse the plots. The information collected from interviews and walkthroughs with residents was used to further develop the occupancy profiles (see Figure 4 and Figure 5), for instance, corroborating the selfreporting schedules of the residents (cooking times, leaving home, etc.). 8. Week profiles were created based on the triangulated information from the analysis. The result of the triangulation between qualitative and quantitative information can be seen in Figure 4 and Figure 5. The development of occupancy profiles is further explained in E. Cuerda et al. (Cuerda et al., 2018), while a similar method can be found in Barbosa et al. (Barbosa, 2016).
17 Figure 4. Weekday hourly electrical energy (above). Weekday presence profile (below). Figure 5. Weekend hourly electrical energy (above). Weekend occupant profile (below).
18 4. Standard and normative occupant profiles After developing actual occupant profiles for the case studies, occupancy schedules were studied from standards or energy codes, which are based upon generalised assumptions that do not match the real users. The standards and regulations selected come from the Spanish Building Code (Spain) (CTE, 2016), the Méthode de la réglementation thermique (France) (Th-BCE., 2012), ASHRAE (American Society of Heating, Refrigerating and Air-Conditioning Engineers) (ASHRAE_90.1, 2013) and ISO (International Organization for Standardization) (ISO/TR17772-1:, 2017). Plots are represented according to the following premises: - The schedules are drawn up based on a daily profile, distinguishing between weekend and weekdays, and are composed of hourly values that correspond to a fraction of the occupancy peak load. - The occupancy index is represented in the vertical axis from 0 to 1.0 (0 was assigned when it was assumed that the occupants were not at home, and a 1 when homes have full occupancy).
19 Figure 6. Occupancy profile for energy calculations. Weekdays Figure 7. Occupancy profile for energy calculations. Weekend days According to Figure 6 and Figure 7: Spanish household members are absent from 8:00 to 15:00 hours, with only a few members back in the dwelling during the afternoon, and everybody back at home at night.
20 In France, household members are absent from 11:00 to 18:00 hours, with everybody back at home during the afternoon and the night. In this case, residential buildings are fully occupied at the weekends. The members of the household schedule provided by ASHRAE are usually away from home between 9:00-17:00. This profile of residential buildings shows no differences between weekdays and weekends. ISO/TR 17772-1:2017 included two different occupant schedules: a specific profile for retired households and another corresponding to residential buildings, including both apartment and detached houses. The profile for retired people considers these dwellings to be fully occupied throughout the day, weekdays and weekend days included. However, in the residential building profile, members gradually leave home from 7:00 to 9:00 hours, and gradually return home from 14:00 to 19:00. During the night, everybody is back at home. For weekend days, the profile is more regular, and apartments and detached houses have a very high occupancy rate between 7:00 and 22:00 hours. Other building codes and national normative studied were not included given the limited information regarding residential occupancy profiles. For example, in the regulations from Italy (Legge_90/13, 2015), and Portugal (Decreto-Lei_79/2006, 2006),we found data regarding occupant profiles for different building types but not for residential buildings. HETUS (Harmonised European Time Use Survey) is a European database (Eurostat). Since the 1990s, the organisation and activities of everyday life in fifteen European countries have been collected from surveys. It provides a wide variety of statistical images of people’s use of time in these countries. The information is divided into the
21 following activities: work, study, domestic work, travel, sleep, having meals, use of personal car, and free time. Even though this information can be very useful when studying the time spent on each activity, in different countries and groups of people, it is not possible to develop occupancy profiles based on when residents are away or at home, as some of the tasks can be carried out both inside or outside the house (for example free time or domestic work). 5. Energy simulation model This section examines the effect of using actual presence profiles on the energy demand in building simulations. Therefore, to isolate the studied parameter (i.e. presence profiles), only the refurbished building of the case studies (CP17) was modelled as the base model for the study. A sensitive analysis was performed, modelling seven transient models, only varying the different occupancy patterns developed. All other variables in the building simulation are kept constant. This sensitivity analysis will allow us to ascertain the possible impact on energy demand caused by using standardised occupancy patterns on building simulations. Further studies will look at the optimization of the other building and occupancy parameters. The information to be used as input in the model was collected from various sources: Geometry: Building drawings and other documents were obtained from the original architectural design team. Building geometry was then generated based on this information. Constructive building elements: In the renovated building, the original masonry façade was retrofitted with a system consisting of a 4-cm layer of expanded polystyrene (SATE system). In addition, the single layer glazing (3 mm) and aluminium
22 frames were updated by adding an external window with aluminium frame and Climalit 4/6/4 glazing without solar treatment. Some of the characteristics of the dwelling were monitored (Section 2.2), while others were based on the Spanish regulation and an officially recognised database (Table 3). Table 3. Building construction parameters Input variable Element Values Expected performance Measured Performance U- values External wall - 0.89 W/m2K Floors 0.3 W/m2K - Windows (north-south oriented) 2.08 W/m2K (SHGC 0.63) - Roof 0.57 W/m2K - Air tightness Air changes rate at 50 Pa (n50) Building envelope - 4.08 h-1 *SHGC: Total Solar Transmission Weather data: The weather data used were provided by a meteorological station located within the neighbourhood, near the case studies. Weather data were collected for two years at 10-minute intervals and used to generate a new weather file in Design Builder. The data collected were dry bulb temperature (ºC), relative humidity (%), global horizontal radiation (Wh/m2), wind direction (deg), and wind speed (m/s). Operation parameters: The operation parameters selected are illustrated in Table 4. All these parameters were considered input according to current regulation and recognised Spanish databases (CTE, 2016).
23 The HVAC system consists of an individual natural gas boiler and radiators (heating) and fan coil units (cooling) in all rooms. The simulation period for winter was December 1st to February 28th and for summer June 1st to September 30th (Table 4). Table 4. Operation parameters Parameter Values/Data HVAC Winter/heating period Summer/cooling period Heating and cooling period 1DEC-28FEB 1JUN-30SEPT Max Min Tsp heating (ºC) 20 17 Tsp cooling (ºC) 25 27 Mechanical ventilation Winter period (ach) 1.2 (24/7) Summer period (ach) 1.2 (8:00-00:00) - 4 (00:00-8:00) Lighting and appliances Power density (W/m2) 4.4 Schedule Weekdays, Sat. and Sun.: 16:00-00:00 Occupancy parameters: The occupancy schedules vary from model to model, as illustrated in Table 5. The household composition (occupancy density) in the base model was calculated from the case study CP17 (0.02 per/m2). According to the standard and normative household composition studied (BOE), occupancy density value is 0.04 per/m2 (Table 5). Table 5. Energy models and varying occupancy parameters Base model Transient model 1 Transient model 2 Transient model 3 Transient model 4 Transient model 5 Transient model 6 Transient model 7 Energy models Mod-AD- CP17 Mod-AD- CP18 Mod-CTE Mod- ASH Mod-ISO- RET Mod-ISO- AP/DET Mod-FR- Th Mod- UNNOC Occupancy schedule CP17 (See Fig.4, 5) CP18 (See Fig.4, 5) SPANISH (See Fig.6, 7) ASHRAE (See Fig.6, 7) ISO-RET (See Fig.6, 7) ISO-APAR (See Fig.6, 7) FRANCE (See Fig.6, 7) UNNOC (occupanc y off)
24 Occupancy density (people/m2) 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 The occupancy parameters relating to internal gains due to people are illustrated in Table 6. Table 6. Occupancy parameters Parameter Value/Activity Schedule and occupancy density See Table 5 Occupancy gains (W/per) 117.2 Winter clothing (CLO) 1 Summer clothing (CLO) 0.5 6. Results 6.1. Comparison standard vs. actual occupancy profiles In this section, the standard or normative profiles are compared with the actual occupancy profiles from the case studies. The goal is to identify the differences between the standard and the actual presence profiles and schedules. Standard occupancy profiles usually include a household consisting of a nuclear family (four occupants). However, the occupancy profiles studied (CP17 and CP18) consist of only one occupant per home. This difference is reflected in the occupancy density in Table 5. Table 7 shows the occupant schedules summarised. Table 7. Occupancy schedules. Actual data and Standard and normative data. CP17, CP18, Spanish Technical Code (CTE), ASHRAE 90.1, ISO-FDIS 17772-1, French Building Regulation (Th-BCE). Weekdays and weekends.
25 In Table 7, the first columns represent the occupancy profiles developed for the two case studies presented in section 3 resulting from the mixed-method approach. The household characteristics of CP17 and CP18 show similarities: both consist of single elderly women with similar routines. However, occupant schedules show some differences. According to the interviews, during morning weekdays, the resident of CP17 leaves the house because she works part-time. The CP18 resident also leaves the house in the morning, but for a shorter period (10:00-12:00 hours). In CP18, cleaning and cooking between 8:00 and 10:00 increases the energy consumption (Figure 4).
32 These differences between the standard profiles do not show significant variations in the results of the simulation since the results of heating and cooling demand using ASHRAE, FR and CTE profiles are very similar, with variations between 0.5 kWh in cooling demand and 1kWh in heating demand. However, the differences between the actual and the standard profiles were larger. The results highlighted that the variation between the highest and lowest results of total heating and cooling demand using standard and actual profiles is 6.5 kWh (heating) and 3.4 kWh (cooling). In both cases, this represents a variation of 15%. The results highlight that the use of a specific profile for retired people can be useful because it has an important influence on cooling and heating demand, but that it should be adjusted to different climatic and socio-cultural situations. This paper has proposed a way forward in terms of methodology for the designers using simulation programs to predict the energy performance of buildings. The results obtained show the need for a future review of the simplification and standardization of occupancy profiles commonly used by practitioners to calculate energy demand in the design phase of buildings. Specifically, incorporating socio-cultural aspects in the definition of presence profiles is needed, since the analysis shows that although the regulations of the countries investigated include different profiles according to diverse types of households; these profiles still fall short of reflecting a variety of socioeconomical parameters relating to lifestyle, heath condition or family situation. This investigation has shown that the application of the mixed-method approach, in which the monitored data of different building variables combined with user surveys makes it possible to define actual occupancy profiles. This study has shown that the analysis of monitored data on user behaviour allows us to adjust the occupancy patterns
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