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Using Remote Sensing to Quantify the Joint Effects of Climate and Land Use/Land Cover Changes on the Caatinga Biome of Northeast Brazilian

Jardim, Alexandre Maniçoba da Rosa Ferraz,Araújo Júnior, George do Nascimento,Silva, Marcos Vinícius da,Santos, Anderson dos,Silva, Jhon Lennon Bezerra da,Pandorfi, Héliton,Oliveira-Júnior, José Francisco de,Teixeira, Antônio Heriberto de Castro,Teodoro,

Abstract

Caatinga biome, located in the Brazilian semi-arid region, is the most populous semi-arid region in the world, causing intensification in land degradation and loss of biodiversity over time. The main objective of this paper is to determine and analyze the changes in land cover and use, over time, on the biophysical parameters in the Caatinga biome in the semi-arid region of Brazil using remote sensing. Landsat-8 images were used, along with the Surface Energy Balance Algorithm for Land (SEBAL) in the Google Earth Engine platform, from 2013 to 2019, through spatiotemporal modeling of vegetation indices, i.e., leaf area index (LAI) and vegetation cover (VC). Moreover, land surface temperature (LST) and actual evapotranspiration (ETa) in Petrolina, the semi-arid region of Brazil, was used. The principal component analysis was used to select descriptive variables and multiple regression analysis to predict ETa. The results indicated significant effects of land use and land cover changes on energy balances over time. In 2013, 70.2% of the study area was composed of Caatinga, while the lowest percentages were identified in 2015 (67.8%) and 2017 (68.7%). Rainfall records in 2013 ranged from 270 to 480 mm, with values higher than 410 mm in 46.5% of the study area, concentrated in the northern part of the municipality. On the other hand, in 2017 the lowest annual rainfall values (from 200 to 340 mm) occurred. Low vegetation cover rate was observed by LAI and VC values, with a range of 0 to 25% vegetation cover in 52.3% of the area, which exposes the effects of the dry season on vegetation. The highest LST was mainly found in urban areas and/or exposed soil. In 2013, 40.5% of the region’s area had LST between 48.0 and 52.0 C, raising ETa rates (~4.7 mm day1). Our model has shown good outcomes in terms of accuracy and concordance (coefficient of determination = 0.98, root mean square error = 0.498, and Lin’s concordance correlation coefficient = 0.907). The significant increase in agricultural areas has resulted in the progressive reduction of the Caatinga biome. Therefore, mitigation and sustainable planning is vital to decrease the impacts of anthropic actions.

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  Ci a ion: Ja dim, A.M.d.R.F.; A aújo Júnio , G.d.N.; Sil a, M.V.d.; San os, A.d.; Sil a, J.L.B.d.; Pando i, H.; Oli ei a-Júnio , J.F.d.; Teixei a, A.H.d.C.; Teodo o, P.E.; de Lima, J.L.M.P.; e al. Using Remo e Sensing o Quan i y he Join E ec s o Clima e and Land Use/Land Co e Changes on he Caa inga Biome o No heas B azilian. Remo e Sens. 2022,14, 1911. h ps://doi.o g/ 10.3390/ s14081911 Academic Edi o s: Baojie He, Ayyoob Sha i i, Chi Feng and Jun Yang Recei ed: 3 Ma ch 2022 Accep ed: 1 Ap il 2022 Published: 15 Ap il 2022 Publishe ’s No e: MDPI s ays neu al wi h ega d o ju isdic ional claims in published maps and ins i u ional a il- ia ions. Copy igh : © 2022 by he au ho s. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Swi ze land. This a icle is an open access a icle dis ibu ed unde he e ms and condi ions o he C ea i e Commons A ibu ion (CC BY) license (h ps:// c ea i ecommons.o g/licenses/by/ 4.0/). emo e sensing A icle Using Remo e Sensing o Quan i y he Join E ec s o Clima e and Land Use/Land Co e Changes on he Caa inga Biome o No heas B azilian Alexand e Maniçoba da Rosa Fe az Ja dim 1,2,*, Geo ge do Nascimen o A aújo Júnio 1,2, Ma cos Vinícius da Sil a 1, Ande son dos San os 1, Jhon Lennon Beze a da Sil a 1, Héli on Pando i 1, JoséF ancisco de Oli ei a-Júnio 3, An ônio He ibe o de Cas o Teixei a 4, Paulo Edua do Teodo o 5, João L. M. P. de Lima 6,7 , Ca los An onio da Sil a Junio 8, Luciana Sand a Bas os de Souza 2, Emanuel A aújo Sil a 9and Thie es Geo ge F ei e da Sil a 1,2 1Depa men o Ag icul u al Enginee ing, Fede al Ru al Uni e si y o Pe nambuco, Reci e 52171-900, B azil; [email p o ec ed] (G.d.N.A.J.); ma [email p o ec ed] (M.V.d.S.); [email p o ec ed] (A.d.S.); [email p o ec ed] (J.L.B.d.S.); [email p o ec ed] (H.P.); [email p o ec ed] (T.G.F.d.S.) 2Academic Uni o Se a Talhada, Fede al Ru al Uni e si y o Pe nambuco, Se a Talhada 56909-535, B azil; [email p o ec ed] 3Ins i u e o A mosphe ic Sciences, Fede al Uni e si y o Alagoas, Maceió57072-970, B azil; [email p o ec ed] 4Wa e Resou ces Depa men , Fede al Uni e si y o Se gipe, São C is ó ão 49100-000, B azil; [email p o ec ed] 5Depa men o Ag onomy, Fede al Uni e si y o Ma o G osso do Sul, Chapadão do Sul 79560-000, B azil; [email p o ec ed] 6MARE—Ma ine and En i onmen al Sciences Cen e, Uni e si y o Coimb a, 3000-456 Coimb a, Po ugal; [email p o ec ed] 7Depa men o Ci il Enginee ing, Facul y o Sciences and Technology, Uni e si y o Coimb a, 3030-788 Coimb a, Po ugal 8Depa men o Geog aphy, S a e Uni e si y o Ma o G osso (UNEMAT), Sinop 78555-000, B azil; [email p o ec ed] 9Depa men o Fo es Sciences, Fede al Ru al Uni e si y o Pe nambuco, Reci e 52171-900, B azil; [email p o ec ed] *Co espondence: alexand e.ja [email p o ec ed] Abs ac : Caa inga biome, loca ed in he B azilian semi-a id egion, is he mos populous semi-a id egion in he wo ld, causing in ensi ica ion in land deg ada ion and loss o biodi e si y o e ime. The main objec i e o his pape is o de e mine and analyze he changes in land co e and use, o e ime, on he biophysical pa ame e s in he Caa inga biome in he semi-a id egion o B azil using emo e sensing. Landsa -8 images we e used, along wi h he Su ace Ene gy Balance Algo i hm o Land (SEBAL) in he Google Ea h Engine pla o m, om 2013 o 2019, h ough spa io empo al modeling o ege a ion indices, i.e., lea a ea index (LAI) and ege a ion co e (V C ). Mo eo e , land su ace empe a u e (LST) and ac ual e apo anspi a ion (ET a ) in Pe olina, he semi-a id egion o B azil, was used. The p incipal componen analysis was used o selec desc ip i e a iables and mul iple eg ession analysis o p edic ET a . The esul s indica ed signi ican e ec s o land use and land co e changes on ene gy balances o e ime. In 2013, 70.2% o he s udy a ea was composed o Caa inga, while he lowes pe cen ages we e iden i ied in 2015 (67.8%) and 2017 (68.7%). Rain all eco ds in 2013 anged om 270 o 480 mm, wi h alues highe han 410 mm in 46.5% o he s udy a ea, concen a ed in he no he n pa o he municipali y. On he o he hand, in 2017 he lowes annual ain all alues ( om 200 o 340 mm) occu ed. Low ege a ion co e a e was obse ed by LAI and V C alues, wi h a ange o 0 o 25% ege a ion co e in 52.3% o he a ea, which exposes he e ec s o he d y season on ege a ion. The highes LST was mainly ound in u ban a eas and/o exposed soil. In 2013, 40.5% o he egion’s a ea had LST be ween 48.0 and 52.0 ◦ C, aising ET a a es (~4.7 mm day −1 ). Ou model has shown good ou comes in e ms o accu acy and conco dance (coe icien o de e mina ion = 0.98, oo mean squa e e o = 0.498, and Lin’s conco dance co ela ion Remo e Sens. 2022,14, 1911. h ps://doi.o g/10.3390/ s14081911 h ps://www.mdpi.com/jou nal/ emo esensing Remo e Sens. 2022,14, 1911 2 o 27 coe icien = 0.907). The signi ican inc ease in ag icul u al a eas has esul ed in he p og essi e educ ion o he Caa inga biome. The e o e, mi iga ion and sus ainable planning is i al o dec ease he impac s o an h opic ac ions. Keywo ds: opical d y o es ; su ace ene gy balance; B azilian semi-a id; SEBAL; ac ual e apo anspi a ion 1. In oduc ion The Caa inga biome occupies a la ge po ion o he B azilian semi-a id egion. I has a high ecological di e si y o plan species, and i is conside ed he la ges in he wo ld unde semi-a id condi ions [ 1 , 2 ]. I occupies an a ea o 900,000 km 2 , which co esponds o app oxima ely 70% o he no heas egion o B azil (NEB). Howe e , only 7.5% o his habi a is p o ec ed by law [ 3 – 5 ]. The municipali y o Pe olina, PE, B azil, is loca ed in he semi-a id egion o he Caa inga biome. I is wi hin he hyd og aphic basin o he São F ancisco i e , which a o s he de elopmen o i iga ed ag icul u e in he egion, mainly ui -g owing (e.g., g apes and mangoes) [ 6 – 8 ], and i leads o posi i e socioeconomic implica ions, bu also inc eases con lic s ega ding wa e use [2,9]. Caa inga is loca ed in he wo ld’s mos popula ed d y a ea, wi h mo e han 53 million inhabi an s and a popula ion densi y close o 34 inhabi an s pe km 2 . This biome has been a ec ed by en i onmen al deg ada ion and loss o biodi e si y o e he las decades, mainly by he in ensi ica ion o ag icul u e (e.g., ain ed and i iga ed c ops cul i a ion), u ban expansion, and he ad ance o pas u e a eas eplacing he na u al ege a ion [ 10 – 12 ]. Expanding ag icul u al ac i i ies has led o he de o es a ion o na i e a eas, soil dis u - bance, changes in he hyd ological cycle, and highe ca bon emissions [ 13 – 15 ]. Toge he wi h clima e changes, such as educed ain all and in ensi ied d ough e en s, his makes he Caa inga biome and he B azilian ecosys em he mos h ea ened and suscep ible o dese i ica ion. Fu he mo e, hese changes ha e been inc easingly comp omising na u al esou ces and en i onmen al sus ainabili y [ 16 – 19 ] due o he changes in su ace p ope ies and biophysical a iables, such as ege a ion co e (V C ), land su ace empe a u e (LST), and e apo anspi a ion (ET) [ 20 – 22 ]. ET is one o he main esponse pa ame e s o ege- a ed a eas as a unc ion o local wa e condi ions, and i is also an impo an componen o he hyd ological cycle [23,24]. The e o e, moni o ing physical–wa e indica o s o en i onmen al change condi ions, such as he loss o biodi e si y o biomes and land use and occupa ion, is i al in managing sca ce wa e esou ces. Fu he mo e, hese indica o s may be help ul in he planning o ag icul u al ac i i ies, as well as in he managemen o d y a eas and he sus ainable use and managemen o na u al esou ces [17,25–30]. In his scena io, emo e sensing has been used as a ool ha p esen s as and low ope a ional cos s, being e icien in calcula ing he biophysical pa ame e s used in he ene gy, wa e , and ege a ion balances (e.g., [ 31 – 33 ]). In ecen yea s, emo e sensing has also been conside ed a good al e na i e o eplacing expensi e and di icul - o-ob ain equipmen used in in si u s udies [ 34 ]. Fu he mo e, he modeling used in hese balances is pe o med wi h he help o algo i hms, which a e essen ial echniques in he ex ac ion o in o ma ion om sa elli e images on a egional and global scale [ 27 , 28 , 33 , 35 ]. I may ha e i s e iciency imp o ed by he use o open-sou ce cloud p og amming languages, e.g., Google Ea h Engine (GEE). In GEE, he use can e ec i ely implemen algo i hms and p ocess la ge da a olumes [36]. In his con ex , he e a e se e al su ace ene gy balance models, such as Mapping E apoT anspi a ion a high Resolu ion wi h In e nalized Calib a ion (METRIC), Su ace En- e gy Balance Sys em (SEBS), Simple Algo i hm o E apo anspi a ion Re ie ing (SAFER), A mosphe e–Land Exchange In e se (Alexi), and he Ene gy Balance Algo i hm o Land (SEBAL), based on emo e sensing da a. The app oach is subs an ia ed on biophysical pa ame e s, such as LST, albedo, No malized Di e ence Vege a ion Index (NDVI), and Remo e Sens. 2022,14, 1911 3 o 27 emissi i y, ha a e c ucial o es ima ing ET [ 16 , 37 – 42 ]. The SEBAL algo i hm has been widely and success ully applied o a ious wo ld ecosys ems, including semi-a id condi- ions in B azil [ 43 – 46 ]. Mo eo e , his me hod seeks o elimina e he p opaga ion o e o s in he pa i ioning o he ene gy balance and he need o a mosphe ic co ec ion in he es ima e o su ace empe a u e. These in e ac ions allow he gene a ion o he sensible hea lux co ec ed o a mosphe ic s abili y and ins abili y condi ions [ 47 – 51 ]. NDVI is one o he mos widely used indices in he li e a u e o ege a ion co e analysis, en i onmen al deg ada ion, and ege a ion p ima y p oduc ion esilience, and i also helps in moni o ing ag icul u al c ops, o es ecosys ems, and d ough assessmen s [ 52 – 55 ]. Wi h applica ions in se e al coun ies, Bas iaanssen e al. [ 49 ] ha e ob ained highly accu a e esul s using he SEBAL algo i hm on di e en ege a ed su aces wi h o es s, ag icul u al c ops (i iga ed and ain ed), and e en ex eme landscapes, such as dese a eas. P e ious s udies ha e shown ha he SEBAL can be used in Pe olina, PE, B azil, o he algo i hm has al eady been calib a ed and alida ed o he egion in a ious ecosys ems wi h good ag eemen be ween o bi al images and ield measu emen s [44,56–59]. Based on he abo e, he main objec i e o his pape is o de e mine and analyze he changes in land co e , land use, and occupa ion on biophysical pa ame e s in he Caa inga biome in he semi-a id egion o B azil. In he p esen s udy, he changes we e assessed om 2013 o 2019 using Landsa image y, and biophysical pa ame e s (ne adia ion, ene gy balance, LAI, V C , ET a , and LST) we e es ima ed by u ilizing emo e sensing. Addi ionally, he SEBAL model was applied o de e mine he su ace ene gy balance in di e en ege a ion en i onmen s. A e applying he model, he da ase p o ided by SEBAL allowed us o de e mine he u bulen luxes and ac ual e apo anspi a ion (ET a ) o he di e en land use and land co e (LULC) ypes. Thus, h ough he SEBAL p oduc s, he spa io empo al a ia ion pa e ns o ETain ag icul u al and o es y a eas we e e alua ed. 2. Ma e ials and Me hods 2.1. S udy A ea The s udy was ca ied ou in he municipali y o Pe olina, loca ed in he S a e o Pe nambuco, B azil. The egion comp ises he domain o he Caa inga biome and i belongs o he semi-a id egion o he sub-mean o he São F ancisco Valley. The own is conside ed he la ges ui -g owing cen e o he B azilian semi-a id egion due o he easy access o he São F ancisco i e , which supplies he i iga ed pe ime e s. The municipali y comp ises a e i o ial a ea o 4561.870 km 2 (Figu e 1), wi h an es ima ed popula ion o 349,145 inhabi an s [38]. A cha ac e is ic o he Caa inga biome is he p esence o di e en lo is ic mosaics, con- sis ing o an a ea o ee and sh ub ege a ion, which p esen s i s dis ibu ion condi ioned o clima ic and en i onmen al a ia ions, especially ain all in ensi y and equency [ 60 ], as well as geological con igu a ions and soil p ope ies [ 5 ]. The ege a ion o his biome p esen s deciduous species adap ed o wa e de ici condi ions and wi h exp essi e biomass p oduc ion in ainy seasons, esul ing om he local clima ic condi ions [ 40 , 61 ]. The canopy co e o he species o he Caa inga biome p esen s discon inuous cha ac e is ics, making possible he soil exposu e in d y pe iods, p esence o he baceous s a um, cac us species, and sh ubs [ 23 , 61 ]. I is wo h no ing ha his egion p esen s an exp essi e modi ica ion o he na i e landscape (Caa inga) in a eas o i iga ed ag icul u al cul i a ion. Remo e Sens. 2022,14, 1911 4 o 27 Figu e 1. Spa ial loca ion o he s udy a ea, municipali y o Pe olina, Pe nambuco, No heas B azil. Acco ding o he Köppen–Geige clima e classi ica ion, he egion’s clima e is o he BSh ype, cha ac e ized as semi-a id opical, wi h an a e age ai empe a u e o 26.4 ◦ C, a e age ela i e humidi y o 62%, and annual ain all o 520 mm [ 62 , 63 ]. Rain all pa e n is i egula h oughou he yea , esul ing om i s geog aphical loca ion and he In e op- ical Con e gence Zone (ITCZ) in luence, wi h ain all p edomina ing om Feb ua y o May [ 10 , 64 , 65 ]. The p edominan soils in he municipali y a e Typic Qua zipsammen , Ul isol Plin hic, A enosol, and Haplic Ac isol [66–68]. 2.2. Sa elli e Images and Wea he Da ase s Annual eco ds o a e age ai empe a u e ( ◦ C), global adia ion (MJ m −2 ), ela i e humidi y (%), a mosphe ic p essu e (kPa), wind speed (m s −1 ), and ain all (mm) we e ob ained om he da abase o he Na ional Ins i u e o Me eo ology [ 69 ] (Figu e 2). The a e age ai empe a u e (T a ) anged be ween 24.1 and 30.7 ◦ C, in which 2015 and 2019 we e he wa mes yea s s udied (T a 28 ◦ C). O e all, No embe , Decembe , Janua y, Feb ua y, and Ma ch p esen ed Ta alues abo e 28 ◦C (Figu e 2). The yea s 2013 (334.4 mm) and 2019 (221.6 mm) showed he highes ain all a es. Mos o he ain all eco ded o Pe olina was concen a ed om Decembe o Ma ch (Figu e 2). Such clima ic condi ions conce ning he municipali y we e also epo ed in he li e a u e (e.g., [2,70]). Rain all da a co esponding o he 30 days p io o he ou imaging da es s udied used we e ob ained om he Clima e Haza ds G oup In aRed P ecipi a ion wi h S a ion (CHIRPS). CHIRPS a e new p ecipi a ion p oduc s co e ing he coo dina es 50 ◦ S–50 ◦ N and 180 ◦ E–180 ◦ W, wi h 0.05 ◦ ( ± 5.3 km) spa ial esolu ion and daily o seasonal, empo al esolu ions, a ailable wo ldwide since 1981 [ 71 ]. CHIRPS da a we e ex ac ed om he Google Ea h Engine pla o m (h ps://ea hengine.google.com/, accessed on 20 Augus 2021) using Ja aSc ip p og amming language. Then, hey we e expo ed in sp eadshee o ma (*.xls), using he da ase since 1981 om he collec ion ee.ImageCollec ion (“UCSB- CHG/CHIRPS/DAILY”). Remo e Sens. 2022,14, 1911 5 o 27 Figu e 2. Mon hly me eo ological a ia ions ( ain all, a e age ai empe a u e, and global sola adia ion) o he municipali y o Pe olina, B azil, om 2013 o 2019. We used Ope a ional Land Image (OLI) Collec ion 1 Le el 1 bands 2 (0.450–0.51 µ m), 3 (0.53–0.59 µ m), and 4 (0.64–0.67 µ m) in he isible spec um, 5 (0.85–0.88 µ m) in he nea -in a ed, and 6 (1.57–1.65 µ m) and 7 (2.11–2.29 µ m) in he sho wa e in a ed, all wi h a spa ial esolu ion o 30 m, as well as band 10 om he The mal In a ed Senso (TIRS) wi h a 100 m spa ial esolu ion. Besides his, we used ou Landsa -8 OLI/TIRS images, pa h 217 and ow 66, co esponding o he yea s 2013, 2015, 2017, and 2019 ( o he da es and imes o he sa elli e o e pass, see Table 1). The choice c i e ia adop ed we e he absence o clouds (10%) and he images co esponding o he ansi ion pe iod be ween he d y and ainy seasons in he egion unde s udy, om he yea s o 2013 o 2019. This pe iod p esen ed se e e and ex eme d ough e en s in he no heas [ 23 , 72 ]. All he images we e ob ained om he Uni ed S a es Geological Su ey (USGS) pla o m (h ps://ea hexplo e .usgs.go /, accessed on 10 Augus 2021) and p ocessed h ough he Land Su ace Re lec ance Code (LaSRC). Table 1. Da e o he Landsa -8 sa elli e pass, ollowed by he Julian day (JD), Ea h–Sun dis ance (d , as onomical uni s—AU), local ime o he equa o pass (h, hou ; min, minu es), zeni h angle ( θ , ◦ ), sola ele a ion angle (E, ◦ ), and sun azimu h angle ( ϕ , ◦ ) o he municipali y o Pe olina, Pe nambuco, B azil. Acquisi ion Da e JD d Local Time θEϕ 5 Oc obe 2013 278 0.99 9 h 49 min a.m. 0.90 65.12 82.93 12 No embe 2015 316 0.99 9 h 48 min a.m. 0.90 64.85 113.46 16 Oc obe 2017 289 0.99 9 h 48 min a.m. 0.91 65.81 92.82 7 No embe 2019 311 0.99 9 h 48 min a.m. 0.90 65.41 110.36 No e: zeni h angle (θ) = sin(E). Sou ce: USGS/NASA [73]. 2.3. Vege a ion Indices The No malized Di e ence Vege a ion Index (NDVI) was calcula ed o ep esen he amoun and quali y o ege a ion p esen on he su ace, cha ac e ized as an indica o o we condi ions, calcula ed using Equa ion (1). NDVI =ρNIR −ρRed ρNIR+ρRed (1) whe e ρNIR and ρRed a e he e lec ances measu ed in he nea -in a ed and ed bands (i.e., Landsa -8 mul ispec al bands 5 and 4 o he OLI senso ), espec i ely, hey ange om − 1 o +1. Values close o 1 on a posi i e scale co espond o high pho osyn he ic ac i i y, and when nega i e, gene ally co espond o wa e bodies. Remo e Sens. 2022,14, 1911 6 o 27 Based on he NDVI, we calcula ed he ege a ion co e (V C ) o he s udy a ea (Equa ion (2)) , acco ding o Gao e al. [54]. VC=NDVI −NDVIS NDVIV−NDVIS ·100 (2) whe e V C is he ege a ion co e , NDVI S is he minimum NDVI alue om ba e soil pixels ob ained in he s udy a ea, and NDVI V is he maximum NDVI alue ound in ege a ed a eas, i.e., om ully ege a ed pixels. The NDVI S and NDVI V used o calcula e V C we e ob ained om he domain o each NDVI image pe cen ile map ob ained om he NDVI his og ams. Soil-Adjus ed Vege a ion Index (SAVI) was calcula ed o obse e he ege a ion co e o he a ea (Equa ion (3)). SAVI =(1+L)·(ρNIR −ρRed) (L+ρNIR+ρRed)(3) whe e Lis he adjus men ac o o he soil, which a ies be ween 0 and 1. The alue 0 does no each change, and esembles he NDVI. In a eas wi h low-densi y ege a ion, he alue 1 is assigned; o in e media e-densi y ege a ion a eas, he alue o 0.5; and o a eas wi h high-densi y ege a ion, he alue 0.25 is assigned [ 74 ]. The adjus men ac o o 0.5 was adop ed due o he s udy egion indica ing an in e media e ege a ion co e age in mos o he yea , wi h p edominan ege a ion o he Caa inga biome, in he B azilian semi-a id egion [75–77]. To e alua e changes in ege a ion biomass, he lea a ea index (LAI, m 2 m −2 ) was de e mined (Equa ion (4)), a undamen al biophysical a iable o moni o ing s udies o ag icul u al land and ege a ion mois u e condi ions [50]. LAI = −ln0.69−SAVI 0.59  0.91 (4) 2.4. Me hodology o Es ima ing E apo anspi a ion Using Sa elli e Images E apo anspi a ion was es ima ed using he Ene gy Balance Algo i hm o Land (SEBAL). Fo his, ou ine me eo ological da a and spec al bands om he Landsa -8 sa elli e we e used. The SEBAL algo i hm was implemen ed using Ja aSc ip code h ough he Google Ea h Engine (GEE) pla o m. The da a we e expo ed in sp eadshee o ma (*.xls). SEBAL uses ma hema ical modeling and ope a ions o calcula e he su ace ene gy balance componen s and de e mine e apo anspi a ion. Thus, ene gy balance componen s a e compu ed pixel-by-pixel, as desc ibed in Figu e 3. He e, we show ha he algo i hm has a good pe o mance and high accu acy, as well as being calib a ed and alida ed wi h simul aneous ield and Landsa sa elli e measu emen s [47–49,56,59,61,78,79]. Remo e Sens. 2022,14, 1911 7 o 27 Figu e 3. Flowcha o he SEBAL model o es ima ing e apo anspi a ion. No e: LST and LSE a e he land su ace empe a u e and land su ace emissi i y, espec i ely, NDVI is he No malized Di e ence Vege a ion Index, εa is he a mosphe ic emissi i y, u* is he ic ion eloci y, T a is he ai empe a u e, R n is he ne adia ion, Gis he soil hea lux, z om is he momen um oughness leng h, z 1 and z 2 a e he wo heigh s be ween he su ace o he ancho pixels, ah is he nea -su ace ae odynamic esis ance o hea anspo , DEM is he digi al ele a ion model, dT is he nea -su ace ai empe a u e g adien , aand ba e he calib a ion coe icien s, LST o T s is he land su ace empe a u e, ρai is he ai densi y, C p is he speci ic hea o ai , His he sensible hea lux, ψm and ψh a e he s abili y co ec ion ac o s o momen um and sensible hea , espec i ely, kis he on Ka man cons an , u 200 is he wind speed a he heigh o 200 m, and Λ is he e apo a i e ac ion. These p e- and p ocessing s eps we e pe o med inside Google Ea h Engine (GEE) cloud pla o m. The ac onyms and symbols used in his s udy a e summa ized in he Abb e ia ions sec ion. Su ace Albedo Adjus men The su ace albedo ( αsup ) co esponds o a measu e o he e lec i i y o he Ea h’s su ace, o each pixel, wi h a mosphe ic co ec ion ob ained acco ding o Equa ion (5) [ 50 , 80 ]. αsup =α oa −αpa h τsw2(5) whe e α oa is he albedo a he op o he a mosphe e, ha is, be o e a mosphe ic co ec ion, αpa h is he a mosphe ic e lec ance (se o 0.03, as used by Sil a e al. [ 80 ]), and τsw is he a mosphe ic ansmissi i y o clea sky condi ions, acco ding o Equa ion (6) [50,80]: τsw=0.35 +0.627 ·exp"−0.00146 ·Pa K ·cos(θ)−0.075W cos(θ)0.4#(6) whe e P a is he a mosphe ic p essu e (kPa), wi h da ase a ailable eely in h ps://po al. inme .go .b / (accessed on 10 Augus 2021), K is he u bidi y coe icien o he a mosphe e (K = 1.0, o a clea sky day), acco ding o Allen e al. [ 47 ] and Sil a e al. [ 80 ], θ is he sola zeni h angle, and Wis he p ecipi able wa e (mm), es ima ed om Equa ion (7) [81]. W=0.14 ·ea·Pa+2.1 (7) whe e e a is he ac ual a mosphe ic wa e apo p essu e (kPa), es ima ed om Equa ion (8). ea=HR ·es 100 (8) Remo e Sens. 2022,14, 1911 8 o 27 whe e HR is he ins an aneous ela i e humidi y (%), and e s is he wa e apo sa u a ion p essu e (kPa), es ima ed om Equa ion (9). es=0.6108 ·exp17.27 ·T0 237.3 +T0(9) whe e T0is he ins an aneous ai empe a u e (◦C) a he momen o he sa elli e pass. Fo ob aining α oa , a linea combina ion o he spec al e lec ance o he six e lec i e OLI bands was pe o med acco ding o Equa ion (10) [80]: α oa =0.300 2+0.277 3+0.233 4+0.143 5+0.036 6+0.001 7(10) whe e 2 , 3, 4 , 5, 6 , and 7 a e he su ace spec al e lec ances o bands 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, and 7 o he Landsa -8 OLI, espec i ely. We use Equa ion (11) o ob ain each o he spec al e lec ances. b=Addb+Mul b·DN cos(θ)·d (11) whe e he e ms Add b and Mul b belong o he adiome ic escaling g oup, speci ically e lec ance_add_band (equal o − 0.1) and e lec ance_mul _band (equal o 0.00002), espec- i ely, p esen ed in he me ada a o each OLI—Landsa -8 image, DN is he digi al numbe alue co esponding o he pixel, θ is he sola zeni h angle a he da a acquisi ion ime, and d is he Ea h–Sun dis ance in as onomical uni s. 2.5. De e mina ion o Su ace-ene gy Pa i ioning Based on he su ace ene gy balance componen s, he e apo a i e ac ion was de- e mined. Ini ially, he su ace adia ion balance o ne adia ion—R n was calcula ed, which is dis ibu ed by he ene gy pa i ioning in on o he sensible hea luxes—H, la en —LE, and soil hea lux—G[ 47 – 50 , 61 , 78 , 79 ]. By pe o ming his p ocess, a linea ela ionship be ween he su ace and ai empe a u e g adien was conside ed o exis . F om his ela ionship and he in e nal calib a ion p ocess o ex eme condi ions such as empe a u e and humidi y, i was es ablished he need o ob aining he knowledge o he so-called “ancho pixels”, i.e., ho and cold pixels, which a e indica i e o ze o and maximum e apo anspi a ion, espec i ely [47,48,61] (Figu e 3). The land su ace empe a u e (LST) in K (Kel in) was ob ained using he spec al adiance in band 10 o he TIRS senso and he emissi i y in he nea es band— εnb by he modi ied Planck’s Law [82], as desc ibed in Equa ion (12). LST =K2 ln” nb·K1 L10 +1(12) whe e K 1 and K 2 a e adia ion cons an s speci ic o he Landsa -8 TIRS band 10, equaling 774.89 W m−2s −1µm−1and 1321.08 K, espec i ely, p o ided by NASA/USGS; and L10 is he adiance a he wa eleng h ecei ed by he senso s (band 10, he he mal band). The εnb was calcula ed based on he LAI o each pixel acco ding o Equa ion (13) [ 41 ]. ” nb=0.97 +0.0033 ·LAI (13) Ini ially, he empe a u e a ia ion and ae odynamic esis ance o hea anspo in all pixels o he s udy a ea (Pe olina, Pe nambuco) we e de e mined. The a mosphe e was ini ially assumed o be in a neu al s abili y condi ion. Fo his s udy, he ho pixel was conside ed in he exposed soil plo s (i.e., no ege a ion co e and/o li le ege a ion and low mois u e con en ), assuming LE equal o ze o. The cold pixel was conside ed in g ape o cha d plo s i iga ed by mic o-sp inkle s, when Hcan be conside ed ze o [ 47 , 48 , 61 , 78 , 79 , 83 ] (see Figu e 3). Since u bulen e ec s a ec a mosphe ic condi ions and ai esis ance, he Remo e Sens. 2022,14, 1911 9 o 27 Monin–Obukho simila i y heo y was applied and conside ed in he compu a ion o Hin all pixels o he s udy a ea. I is wo h no ing ha he Monin–Obukho leng h was used o co ec ions o he ini ial s able condi ion o he a mosphe e [47–49,78,79]. Calcula ion o Ene gy Fluxes (Hand LE) and E apo a i e F ac ion The sensible hea lux (H) in SEBAL is calcula ed using an i e a i e p ocedu e om he ae odynamic unc ion (Equa ion (14)) [47–49,78,79]. H=ρai ·Cp·(a+b·LST) ah (14) whe e ρai is he mois ai densi y (kg m −3 ), C p is he ai speci ic hea a cons an p es- su e (1004 J kg −1 K −1 ), aand ba e calib a ion cons an s o he empe a u e di e ence be ween wo heigh s (i.e., be ween he oughness leng h o hea ans e and he e e ence heigh , usually 0.1 and 2.0 m abo e he displacemen plane), and ah is he nea -su ace ae odynamic esis ance o hea anspo (s m −1 ). Fundamen ally, he coe icien s aand ba e de e mined h ough an in e nal calib a ion o each sa elli e image by in e ac i e p ocesses. We conside ex eme pixels o we /cold and d y/ho spo s. They we e selec ed o de elop a linea ela ionship be ween he ae odynamic empe a u e o he su ace and he ai empe a u e di e ence, and he LST. By knowing he componen s o he su ace ene gy balance, such as he ne adia ion (R n ,Wm −2 ), sensible hea lux (H,Wm −2 ), and soil hea lux (G,Wm −2 ), he la en hea lux (LE,Wm −2 ) was de e mined, bo h co esponding o he ime o he sa elli e pass o e he s udy a ea, acco ding o Equa ion (15). LE =Rn−H−G(15) Subsequen ly, we de e mined he e apo a i e ac ion ( Λ ) acco ding o Equa ion (16). Λ=LE Rn−G(16) 2.6. Es ima e o ETaUsing SEBAL Me hod Finally, as a SEBAL p oduc , we de e mine he ac ual e apo anspi a ion (ET a , mm day −1 ) [ 84 ] based on Equa ion (17) below, o each sa elli e image used. In his s udy, he implemen ed SEBAL model had al eady been ex ensi ely alida ed and calib a ed unde o es s and ag icul u al land condi ions [56,61,85]. ETa=Λ·Rn24 ·86, 400 ˘(17) whe e R n24 is he daily ne adia ion (W m −2 ), 86,400 is a cons an o daily imescale con e sion (i.e., con e s om seconds o days), and λ is he la en hea o apo iza ion o wa e (J kg −1 ). Then, he la en hea o apo iza ion allows he ET a exp ession in mm day −1 . Hence, accu a e es ima ion o R n24 (Equa ion (18)) was de e mined acco ding o Bas iaanssen e al. [49], and Lee and Kim [86]: Rn24=Λ·(1−αsup)·Rn−a·τsw(18) whe e ais a eg ession coe icien o he ela ionship be ween ne longwa e adia ion and a mosphe ic ansmissi i y on a daily scale, o which we assigned he alue 143, as p oposed by Teixei a e al. [ 61 ]. The ac onyms and symbols used in his s udy a e summa ized in he Abb e ia ions sec ion. Remo e Sens. 2022,14, 1911 16 o 27 dis ibu ion o ain all accumula ion in he p e ious days. On he o he hand, du ing he da es s udied he e, he highes mean LAI alues s ood ou only in a eas o a bo eal Caa inga (0.58 ± 0.45 m 2 m −2 ) and ag icul u e (0.75 ± 0.49 m 2 m −2 ), wi h he maximum alues being associa ed wi h i iga ed ag icul u al a eas, mo e speci ically o cha ds, wi h inc eased biomass p oduc ion. Howe e , in a eas o pas u e, u ban in as uc u e, and a eas o a bo eal and he baceous Caa inga, he LAI alues we e close o o equal o ze o, making i s a ia ion mo e homogeneous, ha is, close o he daily mean, wi h s anda d de ia ion (SD) anging be ween 0.05 and 0.10 m2m−2wi hin he land co e classes (Figu e 7). 3.4. Land Su ace Tempe a u e (LST) in he S udied Classes In he p esen s udy, he minimum LST alues we e seen in a eas o wa e bodies, while he maximum LST alues we e seen in a eas o exposed soils, loca ed a poin s o pas u e and deg aded Caa inga, u ban in as uc u e (asphal , conc e e, and g a el su aces), and ag icul u al a eas unde going soil p epa a ion o cul i a ion (Figu e 8). This esul is expec ed in ba e soil loca ions unde in ense an h opic ac i i y due o he ans o ma ion o land use/land co e classes in o non-e apo a ing su aces. This makes he place’s empe a u e highe and educes wa e a ailabili y in he soil, which causes se ious p oblems in ag icul u al c ops. The compu ed LST map is shown in Figu e 8. Figu e 8. Spa io empo al dis ibu ion o he land su ace empe a u e—LST ( ◦ C) in he municipali y o Pe olina, Pe nambuco, B azil, on he imaging da es 5 Oc obe 2013 ( a ), 12 No embe 2015 ( b ), 16 Oc obe 2017 (c) and 7 No embe 2019 (d). Due o he eplacemen o p ima y ege a ion wi h pas u es, ag icul u al c ops, and u ban occupa ion, changes in land use can subs an ially a ec he hea and mass exchange in he soil–plan –a mosphe e sys em, p opi ia ing he e en ion o a highe amoun o hea by he Ea h’s su ace [ 2 , 52 ]. Land abandonmen and excessi e mechanical dis u bance o he soil may also al e he hea exchange wi h he en i onmen and cause lowe he mal and adian ene gy lag; hus, he land con e sion had inc eased LST in he a ea o he non-e apo a ing su aces. I can be obse ed ha he a e age LST alues o he da es s udied we e highe in he a eas domina ed by pas u e (47.69 ± 1.47 ◦ C), he baceous Caa inga (47.28 ± 1.27 ◦ C), and sh ub Caa inga (46.07 ± 1.44 ◦ C), e en highe han hose obse ed in a eas wi h u ban Remo e Sens. 2022,14, 1911 17 o 27 in as uc u e (45.80 ± 1.52 ◦ C) (Figu e 8). Acco ding o Zhao e al. [ 110 , 111 ], si es wi h di e en land co e ypes may ha e an LST inc ease g adien along he u ban o u al p o ile. The high LST in he pas u e, he baceous, and sh ub Caa inga a eas is ela ed o he lowe pe cen age o g ound co e ing by ege a ion (see Figu e 6), which esul s in d ie exposed soil, wi h highe albedos and lowe e apo a i e cooling lux a es, a ac o ha inc eases LST. Ano he ela ed ac o con ibu ing o he high LST o pas u es is ha g asses ha e shallowe oo s. The e o e, hey can only access he wa e a ailable in he supe icial soil laye s, which deple es as e han in deepe laye s [ 2 ]. Vege a ion canopy can e ain ainwa e and dec ease g oundwa e echa ge by al e ing e apo a i e lux and aising he land su ace empe a u e. On he o he hand, i is obse ed, in gene al, ha in a eas domina ed by a bo- eal Caa inga and ag icul u e, he a e age LST alues a e lowe (38.99 ± 2.48 ◦ C and 43.11 ± 2.30 ◦ C, espec i ely) (Figu e 8). The highes ege a ion co e and he highes soil humidi y in he a eas domina ed by hese classes a o LST educ ion. Howe e , hey p esen he g ea es spa ial a ia ions o LST among all land use and land co e classes, acco ding o he s anda d de ia ion alues ( ± SD). The main ad an age o using LST da a om sa elli e images is he o al su ace co e age. In his way, each ime se ies o pixels o he LST map can be conside ed a “ i ual wea he s a ion” [112]. 3.5. Va ia ions o he Ac ual E apo anspi a ion (ETa) o Land Use Classes Rain all egime di ec ly in luenced ET a , so ha on 16 Oc obe 2017 (Figu e 9c), he da e wi h he lowes ain all accumula ion in he p e ious days, he lowes ET a a es we e ound, wi h an a e age alue o 2.02 mm day −1 . On he o he hand, on 7 No embe 2019 (Figu e 9d), he pe iod wi h he highes ain all accumula ion, a e age ET a a es we e 2.62 mm day −1 (Figu e 9). Acco ding o Teixei a e al. [ 20 ], high e apo anspi a ion alues in Caa inga a eas occu igh a e ains. The e o e, he p e ious ain all aises soil wa e a ailabili y and keeps na i e species wi h u gid s uc u es and g eene canopy. Figu e 9. Spa io empo al dis ibu ion o ac ual e apo anspi a ion (ET a , mm day −1 ), calcula ed wi h Su ace Ene gy Balance Algo i hm o Land (SEBAL), in he municipali y o Pe olina, Pe nambuco, B azil, on he imaging da es 5 Oc obe 2013 ( a ), 12 No embe 2015 ( b ), 16 Oc obe 2017 ( c ), and 7 No embe 2019 (d). Remo e Sens. 2022,14, 1911 18 o 27 The ET a es ima ed by he SEBAL model showed a ia ion bo h wi hin and be ween land use and land co e classes. The lowes ET a obse a ions in all he e alua ed da es we e obse ed in he a eas occupied by pas u e and mosaic o ag icul u e and pas u e classes, wi h a e age alues o 0.70 ± 0.73 mm day −1 and 1.01 ± 0.96 mm day −1 , espec i ely (Figu e 9). These a eas ha e d yland cul i a ion p ac ices, which causes he lowe wa e a ailabili y o a ec he e apo anspi a ion a es; mo eo e , he he e ogenei y o he a eas causes sudden a ia ions in ETa. On he o he hand, due o he e ec o he inc ease in ai empe a u e and a mosphe ic demand e i ied h oughou he d y season in Pe olina, combined wi h he p esence o p ese ed ipa ian o es s along s e ches o wa e bodies and con inuous i iga ion in c ops, highe mean ET a alues we e obse ed in he a bo eal Caa inga (4.73 ± 0.49 mm day −1 ) and ag icul u e (3.07 ± 1.23 mm day −1 ) classes. Fo p esen ing a eas wi h i iga ed and d y cul i a ion, he a e age alues o his class become mo e a iable. When he e is a g ea e con ibu ion o mois u e added o mo e dense ege a ion, he e is a a o ing o he local mic oclima e in he egion [113,114], a phenomenon epo ed in a eas o a bo eal ege a ion. The sh ub and he baceous Caa inga classes showed g ea e he e ogenei y indica ed by he la ges s anda d de ia ions (2.42 ± 0.76 mm day −1 ) and (1.46 ± 0.71 mm day −1 ), espec i ely, ela i e o he a bo eal Caa inga class (Figu e 9). Folhes e al. [ 115 ] epo ed ha he e apo anspi a ion alues (2.0 mm day −1 ) du ing he d y season o species o he baceous–sh ubby Caa inga. In d y pe iods, he Caa inga ege a ion uses he a ailable ene gy as sensible hea lux (H), limi ing anspi a ion and pho osyn hesis, hus educing e apo anspi a ion alues [ 20 ]. Howe e , a bo eal ege a ion is able o compensa e he high apo p essu e de ici in he ai , e en in d y pe iods, when compa ed o sh ub and he baceous ege a ion, due o he deep oo sys em keeping up wi h he wa e s o ed in he soil [70,116,117]. The a bo eal and sh ub species play a undamen al eco-hyd ological ole, main aining soil humidi y and s uc u ing i s po osi y, gua an eeing he main enance o in il a ion capaci y and a o ing he su i al o species [116]. 3.6. S a is ical Rela ions be ween he Va iables S udied and Land Use In his s udy, we pe o med a PCA o he en i onmen al a iables in ela ion o land use and land co e classes. The e o e, he i s wo componen s wi h eigen alues g ea e han 1.0 we e ex ac ed sepa a ely o he yea s 2013, 2015, 2017, and 2019 (Figu e 10). In 2013, he wo p incipal componen s explained 94.77% o he o al a ia ion, wi h 70.39% in he p incipal componen 1 (PC1) and 24.38% in he p incipal componen 2 (PC2). On he o he hand, in 2015, 2017, and 2019, when added oge he , PC1 and PC2 ep esen ed 94.01, 92.34, and 94.56% o he o al a ia ion, espec i ely (Figu e 10). In addi ion, i can be seen ha he LULC class, wi h he leas in luence on componen s 1 and 2 in all yea s, is sh ub Caa inga, wi h a e age eigen alues (0.31 and 0.37, espec i ely). In addi ion, he classes wi h he g ea es in luence on PC1 wi h posi i e and nega i e eigen alues a e wa e bodies (2.69), ag icul u e ( − 2.35), a bo eal Caa inga ( − 1.92), pas u e (0.34), mosaic (0.16), and u ban a ea (0.35). In PC2, he classes o LULC we e wa e bodies ( − 4.36), mosaic (2.10), ag icul u e (−1.0), and a bo eal Caa inga (−3.40) (Figu e 10). Remo e Sens. 2022,14, 1911 19 o 27 Figu e 10. Sco es ob ained by p incipal componen analysis (PCA) o en i onmen al a iables and land use and land co e . PC1 and PC2 a e he i s and second dimensions o PCA da a, espec i ely. The ou inse ed panels below he PCA sco es plo s e e o he loadings plo s o he i s wo p incipal componen s om 2013 o 2019. Th ough PCA, we obse ed ha he o de ing o a iables in each p incipal componen (PC) o he axes was in luenced by he deg ee o ege a ion co e and su ace wa e s a us o he LULC classes (Figu e 10). Thus, PC1 con ibu ed mo e o he a iabili y o he esponse o a iables ela ed o ene gy balance. The e o e, in PC2, he land use and land co e classes (i.e., pas u e, mosaic, u ban a ea, and he baceous Caa inga) in luenced he a iables R n ,LE, ET a , and emissi i y wi h highe mean loadings ( − 0.95, − 0.94, − 0.99, and − 0.80, espec i ely). On he o he hand, hey showed a high co ela ion wi h he a iables H, LST, and albedo. Fo hese LULC classes, his may be ela ed o he p esence o ba e soil and hin ege a ion co e s ha a ec he egional mic oclima e and soil–plan –a mosphe e sys em luxes, esul ing in highe albedos, lowe a es o e apo a i e cooling luxes, and highes LST [2,105]. On he o he hand, PC2 con ibu ed mo e o he a iabili y o he esponses o he a iables ega ding he canopy in e ac ions (LAI and V C ) due o he s ong nega i e co ela ion wi h cul i a ed land (i.e., ag icul u e class) (Figu e 10). In all yea s, he e was a p edominance o LE and LAI in a eas wi h a bo eal Caa inga and ag icul u e, wi h ag icul u e p esen ing he highes V C . Caa inga p esen s a s ong ela ionship wi h LAI in ainy pe iods due o he g ea e a ailabili y o wa e in he soil [ 118 ]. In he p esen s udy, he samples we e aken in he pe iod wi h low ain all, so he LAI was no exp essi e compa ed o ag icul u al a eas, which use i iga ion and he e o e inc ease he LAI. Thus, Remo e Sens. 2022,14, 1911 20 o 27 he emissi i y in he Caa inga ege a ion is lowe , o he emissi i y o he soil is gene ally lowe han ha o he lea es [2]. The esul s o he analysis o a iance (ANOVA) and mul iple eg ession analysis o he es ablished model a e p esen ed in Table 3. Fo he combina ion o wo- a iable models, he wo bes p e-es ablished pa ame e s based on he PCA esul s we e he a iables LST and H, used o build he eg ession model. In pa icula , hese wo a iables a e o g ea ele ance in ans e ing ene gy o he a mosphe e. The ANOVA esul s also showed ha he model alues a e signi ican . Due o he obse a ions, a join analysis o he coe icien o de e mina ion ob ained (R 2 = 0.98) can be pe o med, emphasizing he P- alue ob ained om ou eg ession model, which was less han 0.001, hus indica ing g ea e model accu acy and eliabili y (Table 3). No ably, i can be seen ha he model’s F- alue was 16,692.84, being g ea e han he c i ical alue o F 0.05 = 3.018, which con i ms he signi icance o he p oposed model. In addi ion, he a iables used p o ided a high R 2 and LCCC, being essen ial o he model’s accu acy. Fu he mo e, he esul s showed ha he mul iple linea eg ession model o de e mine ET a achie ed a coe icien o de e mina ion o 0.98, RMSE o 0.498, MAE o 0.413, and dequal o 0.9620. I also esul ed in PBIAS, NSE, and LCCC alues a e aged be ween − 13.32%, 0.826, and 0.907, espec i ely (Table 3). F om he s a is ical analysis, his model is desc ibed as ET a = 6.89 − 0.0527LST − 0.0120H. Based on he RMSE, LCCC, and do his applica ion, he use o he ET a model, besides p esen ing a s ong co ela ion be ween he a iables Hand LST, as seen in Figu e 10, exp esses a biophysical model wi h enough e iciency and high ag eemen o de e mine ETa. Table 3. Analysis o a iance (ANOVA) and eg ession coe icien s esul s o he sugges ed model. Sou ce o Va ia ion d SS MS F-Value p-Value Reg ession 2 464.41 232.21 16,692.84 0.0001 LST 1 335.29 335.29 24,103.8 0.0001 H1 129.12 129.12 9281.9 0.0001 E o 397 5.52 0.01 To al 399 469.93 Reg ession s a is ics P edic o s in model Reg ession coe icien s β0β1β2R2 LST, H6.89 −0.0527 −0.0120 0.98 Model S a is ical me ics RMSE MAE PBIAS (%) NSE LCCC d 0.498 0.413 −13.32 0.826 0.907 0.9620 d : deg ees o eedom, SS: sum o squa es, MS: mean squa e, LST: land su ace empe a u e, H: sensible hea lux, β0 : in e cep , β1 and β2 : es ima ed coe icien o he ac o x, R 2 : coe icien o de e mina ion, RMSE: oo mean squa e e o , MAE: mean absolu e e o , PBIAS: pe cen bias, NSE: Nash–Su cli e e iciency coe icien , LCCC: Lin’s conco dance co ela ion coe icien , and d: Willmo ’s index o ag eemen . Based on F- es , a a p obabili y o 0.05 (p< 0.05), signi icance o equa ion pa ame e s o each esponse a iable was de e mined. The high d(0.9620) alues o ET a indica ed ha he e was a good ag eemen be ween simula ed and measu ed ET a . In gene al, he ET a model showed excellen ag eemen (LCCC 0.9), high pe o mance, and low RMSE (0.498) (Table 3). The PBIAS and MAE alues o ET a we e be ween − 13.32% and 0.413, con i ming he close ag eemen . Consequen ly, his esul desc ibes he abili y o simpli y and accu a ely p edic ET a in de ici en i onmen s. Applica ions o eg ession model analysis wi h en i onmen al a iables a e common in he li e a u e in d y o es s [ 118 – 120 ]. Howe e , hese implemen a ions o a iables in p e ious s udies may be challenging o acqui e o speci ic loca ions, equi ing mo e simpli ied models. Ou esul s also indica e he ela ionship be ween Hand he LST o ecosys ems o de e mine ETa, an impo an a iable in he ene gy balances o en i onmen s wo ldwide. Remo e Sens. 2022,14, 1911 21 o 27 4. Conclusions In his s udy, we poin ou a signi ican endency o inc ease he ag icul u al a eas, which esul s in he p og essi e dec ease o he B azilian Caa inga biome. The ege a ion co e is di ec ly in luenced by he soil–wa e egime; yea s o highe ain all esul in a lowe pe cen age o supp ession o he na i e o es in he municipali y o Pe olina, Pe nambuco (B azil). The a eas wi h pas u e class p esen ed ho spo s due o deg ada i e p ocesses and highe su ace empe a u es, in luenced by he sensible hea lux. A g adual inc ease in LST is obse ed in he municipali y and i may cause u u e isks o o es a eas. The SEBAL algo i hm used in a semi-a id en i onmen is a help ul ool o de e mine he ene gy and mass luxes in di e en ecosys ems. No ably, he Caa inga biome has pa icula i ies in biophysical pa ame e s, acco ding o he land co e and soil exposu e on in a and in e -annual scales. The he e ogenei y o he su ace o he municipali y o Pe olina, as a unc ion o land use and land co e pa e ns, al e s he ene gy exchange wi h he a mosphe e. Ou esul s also sugges a simpli ied and alida ed model o ET a de e mina ion in a semi-a id en i onmen . The eg ession model could accu a ely p edic he spa ial dis ibu ion o ETa, wi h high R2and LCCC and low RMSE alue. Thus, i is possible o sugges ha he implemen a ion o ag icul u al ac i i ies in he Pe olina should be ca ied ou in a planned and sus ainable way in o de o mi iga e he impac s ha an h opic ac ion causes on he Caa inga, especially wi h he inc eased ulne abili y o his biome o he dese i ica ion p ocess. Howe e , u he esea ch is needed o in es iga e he spa ial a ia ions o he ypes o c ops co e ing he soil in he municipali y, as well as he dynamics o i es and hei impac s on he di e si y o he Caa inga biome. Field su eys and he use o unmanned ae ial sys ems (UAS) could p o ide mo e de ailed in o ma ion a an in e media e and ine scale. Supplemen a y Ma e ials: The ollowing a e a ailable online a h ps://www.mdpi.com/a icle/ 10.3390/ s14081911/s1, Figu e S1: Land use/land co e changes in Pe olina be ween 2013 and 2019. Posi i e alues indica e an expansion o he espec i e land co e , nega i e alues a con ac ion. The e ical axe is in million hec a es (Mha). Please see Supplemen a y Table S1 o access alues o land use/land co e changes; Table S1: A eas o expansion and con ac ion o land use/land co e changes in Pe olina be ween 2013 and 2019. Posi i e alues indica e an expansion o he espec i e land co e , nega i e alues a con ac ion. The alues a e in million hec a es (Mha). Au ho Con ibu ions: Concep ualiza ion, A.M.d.R.F.J. and G.d.N.A.J.; me hodology, M.V.d.S., A.d.S., and A.M.d.R.F.J.; so wa e, M.V.d.S., A.d.S., and A.M.d.R.F.J.; alida ion, J.F.d.O.-J. and A.H.d.C.T.; in es iga ion, J.L.B.d.S., H.P., P.E.T., L.S.B.d.S., and C.A.d.S.J.; da a cu a ion, M.V.d.S., A.d.S., A.M.d.R.F.J., and G.d.N.A.J.; w i ing—o iginal d a p epa a ion, A.M.d.R.F.J.; w i ing— e iew and edi ing, T.G.F.d.S., J.L.M.P.d.L., and E.A.S.; isualiza ion, J.L.M.P.d.L. and A.H.d.C.T.; supe ision, A.H.d.C.T., T.G.F.d.S., and J.F.d.O.-J.; p ojec adminis a ion, T.G.F.d.S. and J.L.M.P.d.L.; unding acquisi ion, J.L.M.P.d.L. All au ho s ha e ead and ag eed o he published e sion o he manusc ip . Funding: This esea ch was unded by he Po uguese Founda ion o Science and Technology (FCT), h ough p ojec s ASHMOB (CENTRO-01-0145-FEDER-029351), GOLis (PDR2020-101-030913, Pa - ne ship n . 344/Ini ia i e n . 21), MUSSELFLOW (PTDC/BIA-EVL/29199/2017), MEDWATERICE (PRIMA/0006/2018), and h ough he s a egic p ojec UIDB/04292/2020 g an ed o MARE—Ma ine and En i onmen al Sciences Cen e, Uni e si y o Coimb a, Coimb a, Po ugal. Ins i u ional Re iew Boa d S a emen : No applicable. In o med Consen S a emen : No applicable. Da a A ailabili y S a emen : Landsa -8 image cou esy o he USGS/NASA (h ps://www.usgs. go /co e-science-sys ems/nli/landsa , accessed on 10 Augus 2021); MapBiomas da a p esen ed in his s udy a e a ailable a websi es o B azilian Annual Land Use and Land Co e Mapping P ojec (h ps://mapbiomas.o g/en/p ojec , accessed on 20 Augus 2021); and he me eo ological da a p esen ed in his s udy a e a ailable a he websi e o he Na ional Ins i u e o Me eo ology (h ps://po al.inme .go .b /, accessed on 10 Augus 2021). Remo e Sens. 2022,14, 1911 22 o 27 Acknowledgmen s: The au ho s would like o hank he Resea ch Suppo Founda ion o he Pe - nambuco S a e (FACEPE, B azil—APQ-0215-5.01/10 and FACEPE - APQ-1159-1.07/14), he Na ional Council o Scien i ic and Technological De elopmen (CNPq, B azil) and also unds h ough he ellowship o he Resea ch P oduc i i y P og am (CNPq 305286/2015-3, 304060/2016-0, 309681/2019- 7, and 303767/2020-0), and he Coo dina ion o he Imp o emen o Highe Educa ion Pe sonnel (CAPES, B azil - Finance Code 001) o he esea ch and s udy g an s. The au ho s a e also g a e ul o inancial suppo om he Po uguese Founda ion o Science and Technology (FCT), and he Uni e si y o Coimb a, Po ugal. In addi ion, we also would like o hank he anonymous e iewe s o hei insigh ul commen s, o which signi ican ly inc eased he alue o his s udy. Con lic s o In e es : The au ho s decla e no con lic o in e es . Abb e ia ions Summa y o all he symbols and ac onyms used in his pape . I em Desc ip ion aand bA e he calib a ion coe icien s CpSpeci ic hea o ai dWillmo ’s index o ag eemen DEM Digi al ele a ion model dT Nea -su ace ai empe a u e g adien eaAc ual a mosphe ic wa e apo p essu e esWa e apo sa u a ion p essu e ETaAc ual e apo anspi a ion GSoil hea lux GEE Google Ea h Engine HSensible hea lux HR Ins an aneous ela i e humidi y k on Ka man cons an LAI Lea a ea index LCCC Lin’s conco dance co ela ion coe icien LE La en hea lux LSE Land su ace emissi i y LST Land su ace empe a u e LULC Land use and land co e MAE Mean absolu e e o NDVI No malized Di e ence Vege a ion Index NSE Nash-Su cli e e iciency coe icien PBIAS Pe cen bias PCA P incipal componen analysis ah Nea -su ace ae odynamic esis ance o hea anspo RMSE Roo mean squa e e o RnNe adia ion Rn24 Daily ne adia ion R2Coe icien o de e mina ion SAVI Soil-Adjus ed Vege a ion Index T0Ins an aneous ai empe a u e TaAi empe a u e u* F ic ion eloci y u200 Wind speed a he heigh o 200 m VCVege a ion co e WP ecipi able wa e Remo e Sens. 2022,14, 1911 23 o 27 I em Desc ip ion z1and z2A e he wo heigh s be ween he su ace o he ancho pixels zom Momen um oughness leng h αsup Su ace albedo εaA mosphe ic emissi i y ΛE apo a i e ac ion λLa en hea o apo iza ion o wa e ρai Ai densi y ψmand ψhS abili y co ec ion ac o s o momen um and sensible hea , espec i ely Re e ences 1. 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