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A Bi-level optimization approach to reduce the pollution burden of lake water with ecological compensation

Linhuan, He; Varbanov, Petar Sabev; Yao, Liming

Abstract

Lake Ecological Compensation (LEC) mechanism is a localized approach of payment for ecosystem services to address the conflict between economic development and ecological conservation. However, how to motivate regional stakeholders to participate in water quality protection is a challenge. Based on the traditional Coase Theorem, vertical eco-compensation mechanism has been proposed to solve pollution of lake basin. The quan-tification of LEC is characterized by key water quality indicators (NH3-N and COD) in this paper. Integrating LEC mechanism with the ecological-economic model, this paper proposes a bi-level optimization framework for the conservation of the lake water environment. Referring to Coase's theory, the leader's goal is to distribute waste load permits equally to sub-regions while followers aim to minimize environmental costs. The appropriate application of this method to Taihu Basin demonstrates its efficiency and practicality. The LEC mechanism with different scenarios is analyzed and suggestions for lake water quality are made. The results show that: (1) Considering equitable principle, the new COD allocation scheme has reduced the total amount of emissions by 17% compared to the data in 2020, and the total amount of NH3-N has decreased by 16%. (2) With the coop-eration of lake basin institutions, the LEC mechanism is proved to be an effective measure in promoting the conservation of the lake water environment. (3) The spillover effect of environmental and ecological policies in lake water indicates the need to upgrade industrial structure. This paper proposes to provide a more reliable the conservation of the lake water environment paradigm.

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Ecological Indica o s 151 (2023) 110334 A ailable online 12 May 2023 1470-160X/© 2023 The Au ho s. Published by Else ie L d. This is an open access a icle unde he CC BY-NC-ND license (h p://c ea i ecommons.o g/licenses/by- nc-nd/4.0/). A Bi-le el op imiza ion app oach o educe he pollu ion bu den o lake wa e wi h ecological compensa ion Linhuan He a , b , Liming Yao a , * , Pe a Sabe Va bano b a Business School, Sichuan Uni e si y, Chengdu 610065, China b Sus ainable P ocess In eg a ion Labo a o y –SPIL, NETME Cen e, Facul y o Mechanical Enginee ing, B no Uni e si y o Technology - VUT B no, Technick´ a 2896/2, 616 69 B no, Czech Republic ARTICLE INFO Keywo ds: Wa e en i onmen al ecosys em Lake ecological compensa ion Bi-le el op imiza ion Equi abili y Cos -e iciency ABSTRACT Lake Ecological Compensa ion (LEC) mechanism is a localized app oach o paymen o ecosys em se ices o add ess he con lic be ween economic de elopmen and ecological conse a ion. Howe e , how o mo i a e egional s akeholde s o pa icipa e in wa e quali y p o ec ion is a challenge. Based on he adi ional Coase Theo em, e ical eco-compensa ion mechanism has been p oposed o sol e pollu ion o lake basin. The quan- i ica ion o LEC is cha ac e ized by key wa e quali y indica o s (NH 3 -N and COD) in his pape . In eg a ing LEC mechanism wi h he ecological-economic model, his pape p oposes a bi-le el op imiza ion amewo k o he conse a ion o he lake wa e en i onmen . Re e ing o Coase’s heo y, he leade ’s goal is o dis ibu e was e load pe mi s equally o sub- egions while ollowe s aim o minimize en i onmen al cos s. The app op ia e applica ion o his me hod o Taihu Basin demons a es i s e iciency and p ac icali y. The LEC mechanism wi h di e en scena ios is analyzed and sugges ions o lake wa e quali y a e made. The esul s show ha : (1) Conside ing equi able p inciple, he new COD alloca ion scheme has educed he o al amoun o emissions by 17% compa ed o he da a in 2020, and he o al amoun o NH 3 -N has dec eased by 16%. (2) Wi h he coop- e a ion o lake basin ins i u ions, he LEC mechanism is p o ed o be an e ec i e measu e in p omo ing he conse a ion o he lake wa e en i onmen . (3) The spillo e e ec o en i onmen al and ecological policies in lake wa e indica es he need o upg ade indus ial s uc u e. This pape p oposes o p o ide a mo e eliable he conse a ion o he lake wa e en i onmen pa adigm. 1. In oduc ion Paymen o Ecosys em Se ices (PES) has been p oposed and ope a ed as economic incen i es o ecological conse a ion ac oss di e en egions and coun ies o abou wo decades (Engel e al., 2008; Ouyang e al., 2016; Zhang e al., 2022; Wunde e al., 2008). Ecological conse a ion is a gene al beha io a ge ing he na u al en i onmen . The di e si ica ion o PES p ac ice is an ine i able esul o a ious en i onmen al and ins i u ional se ings (Zeng e al., 2021). Fo es Res o a ion P og ams in he wes e n US (Bela enu i e al., 2022), he Oka ango Ri e Basin in Sou h A ica (Wang and Nuppenau, 2021), and he Lake E ie Wa e shed (Xu e al., 2018) a e all success ul applica ions o PES. How he PES mechanism adop ed, comp ehended and imple- men ed by he Chinese local go e nmen s is no ewo hy o ecological conse a ion. Fo he localiza ion o PES in o he Chinese ecological conse a ion, eco-compensa ion is concep ualized as a na ional en i onmen al p o ec ion policy in China (Feng e al., 2018). Wa e shed PES (US$24.7 billion in 62 coun ies in 2015) (Salzman e al., 2018), also known as wa e shed ecological compensa ion, mainly es ic s he beha io o pollu e s h ough he design o a ewa d and punishmen mechanism. The ecological compensa ion mechanism, as an e ec i e en i onmen al policy, ha uses economic ins umen s o co- o dina e he in e es s o s akeholde s has been he ocus o many schola s (Conno e al., 2022; Jiang e al., 2019). Howe e , ew o hem syne gize he ins i u ional s uc u e o lake basins wi h ecological compensa ion mechanisms. Exis ing s udies ha e paid li le a en ion o lake ecological compensa ion (LEC) o he conse a ion o he lake wa e en i onmen , which means speci ic beha io a ge ing wa e quali y. Lake basin, as in eg a ed place o accommoda e wa e bodies, plays i al ecological oles such as lood egula ion and s o age, wa e di e - sion o i iga ion, d inking wa e sou ces, aquacul u e, and ou ism * Co esponding au ho . E-mail add ess: [email p o ec ed] (L. Yao). Con en s lis s a ailable a ScienceDi ec Ecological Indica o s jou nal homepage: www.else ie .com/loca e/ecolind h ps://doi.o g/10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110334 Recei ed 15 Ma ch 2023; Recei ed in e ised o m 28 Ap il 2023; Accep ed 4 May 2023 Ecological Indica o s 151 (2023) 110334 2 (Wa son e al., 2016; Woolway e al., 2021). Howe e , he con inuous de e io a ion o lake ecological en i onmen has become an impedimen o he sus ainable de elopmen o social economy. The inc easing nu- ien s in lakes has pu wa e quali y a isk wo ldwide. Va ying deg ees o wa e eu ophica ion and wa e quali y deg ada ion ha e been disco e ed in he No h Ame ican G ea Lakes (Riccia di and MacIsaac, 2000), Lake Biwa in Japan (Ma e al., 2022), Lake Bolsena and Lake Chiusi in cen al I aly (Fische e al., 2016), and Lake E hai in China (Lin e al., 2021). Acco ding o he Uni ed Na ions’ Sus ainable De elopmen Goals (SDGs) (Pe ei a and Ma ques, 2021; Wang e al., 2022), clean wa e o SDGs 6 and 4 is u gen ly needed o he whole wo ld. Based on wa e quali y moni o ing and combined wi h modelling s udies (V¨ o ¨ osma y e al., 2010), e iews o global wa e pollu ion indica e e ec i e measu es need o be aken o con ol he ecosys em pollu ion o lake wa e s. LEC mechanism is one o he sensible economic means o wa e pollu ion con ol and ecological conse a ion (Shen e al. 2021). I seeks o in e nalize he ex e nali ies ela ed o human beha io s and c ea es incen i es o sub- egions o ensu e ecological se ice p o ision. To cla i y ha , he dominan pape s o PES esea ches a e summa ized in Table 1. The quan i ica ion o compensa ion is a key link in he imple- men a ion o ecological compensa ion o wa e quali y pollu ion. Nash equilib ium model (Nimubona and Pe eau), op imal model (Zhao e al., 2013), S ackelbe g game (Fe nandez, 2013), and he e olu iona y game (Gao e al., 2019) a e ypical me hodologies used in p e ious esea ch. Wa e quali y equi emen s o he lake and discha ge s anda ds a e he aim o pollu ion planning and he key indica o s o decision-making. To he bes o he au ho s’ knowledge, exis ing li e a u e lacks comp ehensi e s udies ha combine ma hema ical models o lake wa e en i onmen al ecology and was e load alloca ion o quan i y he lake ecological compensa ion mechanism. Wha ’s mo e, in he ins i u- ional s uc u e sys em, wo le els o decision-make s a e included which a e he Lake En i onmen Commi ee and sub- egional au ho - i ies. The Lake En i onmen Commi ee is he p io i y decision-make ha makes i necessa y o alloca e he was e load pe mi s e ec i ely. The sub- egional au ho i ies, as he lowe -le el decision make s, y o minimize he en i onmen al cos s unde he LEC mechanism. This pape makes signi ican con ibu ions in h ee aspec s. Fi s ly, i e ines an analy ical amewo k o quan i y lake ecological compensa- ion, which helps o esol e he con lic be ween economic de elopmen and he conse a ion o he lake wa e en i onmen . Secondly, a bi-le el op imiza ion model is p oposed based on he Coase Theo em, which enables equi able was e load alloca ion and easonable annual planning o wa e quali y con ol. Thi dly, a ious scena ios o join go e nance o he lake wa e ecosys em in Taihu Basin a e discussed, p o iding suppo o i s sus ainable de elopmen . 2. Key p oblem s a emen The o e -exploi a ion o wa e esou ces in lakes has agg a a ed he de e io a ion o wa e quali y. The e o e, how o coo dina e egional economic de elopmen wi h wa e en i onmen al p o ec ion has a ac ed widesp ead a en ion. In his pape , wo pe spec i es a e conside ed which a e was e load amoun con ol and wa e pollu ion concen a ion con ol based on he go e nance sys em. Each pe spec i e has mul iple conside a ions. This esea ch is conduc ed o shed ligh on he s a egy o main aining sus ainable de elopmen o he lake wa e ecosys em. 2.1. Mul i-s akeholde go e nance sys em The o ma ion and e olu ion o lakes a e no only a ec ed by he changes o na u al ac o s in he basin bu also in luenced by human ac i i ies. Hence, lakes p esen di e en egional e olu iona y cha ac- e is ics and ecological p oblems. Coase Theo em (Hahn, 2013), p oposed by a Nobel P ize winne , is well-known in ecological conse a ion. Based on Coase Theo em, en i- onmen al ex e nali ies a e u ned in o p ope y igh p oblems, as i uses a ma ke mechanism o maximize he en i onmen al and economic bene i s based on clea p ope y igh s. Coase’s heo y also suppo s he quan i ica ion and equi able alloca ion o was e load pe mi s. The con- se a ion o he lake wa e en i onmen is mainly mani es ed mainly in h ee aspec s. 1. The apid economic de elopmen o he lake a eas, as he ocus o local go e nmen s, will ine i ably cause wa e quali y deg ada ion, o he pollu an -holding capaci y o lakes is limi ed. The equi able alloca ion o limi ed was e load pe mi s (WLP) is a easible me hod o he conse a ion o he lake wa e en i onmen . 2. The lack o an e ec i e beha io al egula o y mechanism a ec s he sus ainable de elopmen o lakes. I he local go e nmen conduc s li le in e en ion in local sewage discha ge, he pollu ion o lakes will be disas ous. 3. The sus ainabili y o he wa e ecosys em in he basin needs mul i- index and mul i-dimensional measu es ins ead o simple e alua- ion. Mul i-sec o al in ol emen , co e ing Lake En i onmen Com- mi ee and sub- egional au ho i ies, is equally i al. Fo he ins i u ional s uc u e o lake managemen , he Lake En i- onmen Commi ee wo ks as he uppe -le el decision make (Leade ) and sub- egional au ho i ies o lakes a e he lowe -le el decision make s (Followe s). As he supe iso o he o e all wa e quali y in he lake basin, he Lake En i onmen Commi ee ocuses on how o a ionally alloca e he o al amoun o WLP as i is limi ed. Fu he mo e, he Lake En i onmen Commi ee o mula es he LEC mechanism and egula es egional beha io s by moni o ing sec ion da a. Regional go e nmen s mainly wo k on he annual a e age concen a ion o pollu an s wi hin Table 1 P ac ice and applica ion o paymen o ecosys em se ices. A icles Resea ch objec Key p oblem and inno a ion Eco-compensa ion Mechanism Me hods Nimubona and pe eau, 2022 We land To analyze he economic e iciency be ween he bene icia ies and p o ide s hough no el paymen schemes. √ A Nash equilib ium model wi h h ee ypes o agen s Zhao e al., 2013 Lake To compu e he cos o minimized ans e ax a e along wi h he educ ion quan i ies o indi idual egions. A bi-le el p og amming amewo k Fe nandez, 2009; 2013 T ansna ional i e To help s akeholde s bea pollu ion aba emen cos s and sha e wa e moni o ing esponsibili y. A S ackelbe g game and Nash Equilib ium Gao e al., 2019 T ansbounda y i e To explo e how ecological bene i s a e dis ibu ed be ween di e en go e nmen s. √ An e olu iona y game o mul i- go e nmen s Lu e al., 2020 T ansbounda y i e To build an econome ic model o economic loss and calcula e he amoun o compensa ion o economic loss due o wa e pollu ion. An econome ic model o calcula e he economic loss Smi h e al., 2019 Land To design a land paymen o ecosys em se ices mechanism and examine spa ial coo dina ion on he demand side o he ma ke . √ Spa ial simula ion modelling L. He e al. Ecological Indica o s 151 (2023) 110334 3 he mechanism. The decision a iables ep esen he ac ual discha ge amoun in he egion om he leade pa and he annual a e age wa e quali y concen a ion o he moni o ing sec ion om he lowe pa . The goal is o ind he balance be ween economic bene i s and he sus ain- abili y o he wa e ecosys em. 2.2. S uc u ing incen i e mechanism A g owing amoun o esea ch sugges s ha using he LEC mecha- nism as economic incen i es o main ain wa e sus ainabili y is a mo e di ec app oach o achie ing he goal (Guan e al., 2021; Li e al., 2022). Howe e , he exis ing quan i a i e analysis o lake eco-compensa ion is no su icien ly sys ema ic and is somewha de ec i e. To ill hese gaps, we explo e he es ablishmen o LEC mechanism based on wa e quali y and he quan i y o discha ged con aminan s. A adeo occu s when was ewa e emission inc eases because o economy p oduc ion and ecology alue educes acco dingly . Howe e , a syne gy wo ks when all sub- egions ake he sus ainabili y o lake wa e en i onmen as hei own mission. The LEC mechanism is an embodimen o PES which e e s o ewa d and punishmen . Beha io s ha p o ec he wa e en i onmen a e ewa ded, while beha io s ha cause damages a e punished (Wu e al. 2018). In essence, he LEC is an en i onmen al and economic incen i e policy and i akes he o m o iscal unding be ween he Lake En i- onmen Commi ee and indi idual sub- egions. Fu he mo e, as he e is no s ic di ision be ween ups eam and downs eam in he lake, how o judge he impac o sewage among di e en egions is also ega ded as a ough assignmen . The con ol o pollu an concen a ion is he main indica o o he LEC mechanism. Th ough he da a analysis o he moni o ing sec ion, he ewa d and punishmen o sub- egions can be judged. The lake eco- compensa ion mechanism is exp essed as he ollowing unc ion g(yij): g(yij) = {− α pi,0<pi⩽1 βpi,pi>1 α ,β>0(1) Pi= μ 0∑ n j=1 kj yij Cijo (2) whe e p is he compensa ion index o he moni o ing sec ion, i is he sub- egion loca ed a he same lake, and j p esen s di e en con aminan s. μ 0 is he lake wa e quali y s abili y coe icien which mainly conside s he in luence o na u al condi ions such as ain all and uno ;kj is he indica o weigh coe icien ;yij is he annual mean concen a ion alue o he indica o ;Cij0 is he basic limi o he indica o , whe e he lowe limi o he III class o wa e quali y is used as he s anda d. The decision amewo k o lake wa e en i onmen managemen is illus a ed in Fig. 1. Fig. 1. Decision amewo k o lake wa e en i onmen managemen in his pape . L. He e al. Ecological Indica o s 151 (2023) 110334 4 3. Me hod A bi-le el op imiza ion model has been de eloped o he lake eco- compensa ion mechanism o he wa e shed by analyzing he s uc u e o he lake wa e en i onmen managemen . The o mula ion p ocess placed a s ong emphasis on he model’s easibili y and p ac icali y, aking in o accoun he eal-wo ld con ex o he p oblem. 3.1. F amewo k o he model 3.1.1. Assump ion The comple e he conse a ion o he lake wa e en i onmen e- qui es he Lake En i onmen Commi ee o alloca e was e load pe mi s equally o sub- egional au ho i ies. On he o he hand, sub- egional au ho i ies should con ol he a e age annual concen a ion o wa e con aminan s wi hin he LEC egula ion amewo k. The implemen a- ion o he LEC mechanism has s imula ed he p o ec ion o wa e quali y in he egion. Be o e es ablishing he basic model, ou hy- po heses a e made as ollows. Assump ion 1.The e is no ob ious ups eam o downs eam ela ionship in he lake. Regional au ho i ies sha e equal powe in lake managemen , and he Lake En i onmen Commi ee has he p io i y igh o supe ise all o hem. Assump ion 2.Each sub- egion o he lake is willing o implemen he lake ecological compensa ion mechanism. Assump ion 3.The planned in e al is one yea . The concen a ion o wa e con aminan as an indica o is based on he a e age alue o he moni o ing sec ion in sub- egions. Assump ion 4.Regional au ho i ies a e esponsible o wa e pollu ion aba emen cos s and ake cos minimiza ion as he objec i e unc ion o de- cision-making. 3.1.2. Uppe -le el op imiza ion model Equi able alloca ion o WLP is conside ed o be he main goal o he Lake En i onmen Commi ee based on he Coase Theo em. As he leade decision-make , Lake En i onmen Commi ee concen a es on a ionally alloca ing he annual amoun o he sewage o sub- egion. Gini (Dal on, 1920) p oposed he Gini coe icien o measu e income inequali y, and i also has been used o measu e land inequali y and wa e alloca ion inequali y in ecen yea s. The h eshold o he Gini coe icien is 0 o 1, and he lowe he alue, he mo e equi y i is. Speci ically, he Gini coe icien can be cons uc ed o was e load alloca ion in he wa e shed sys em (Hou e al., 2021). Equi y is speci - ically exp essed as he di e ence o in was e load pe mi s pe uni o economic bene i wi hin sub- egions. This pape p oposes ha he smalle he di e ence, he mo e easonable i is. The speci ic model is exp essed in e ms o he Gini coe icien . The i s op imiza ion objec- i e can be w i en as: MinG =∑ n j=1 1 2m∑m i=1 xij EBi∑ m l=1∑ m h=1 xlj EBl −xhj EBh (3) whe e xij is he decision a iable, which means he amoun o WLP alloca ed o suba ea i o con aminan j. m is he egion ela ed o he same lake. EB i is he annual a e age o economic bene i s as an indica o o egional economic de elopmen . The cons ain s a e o mula ed as ollows. (1) Limi ed was ewa e load capaci y cons ain . The o al en i onmen al ca ying capaci y o he whole lake basin is limi ed. Tj is he o al amoun o WLP ha can be alloca ed by he Lake En i onmen Commi ee unde he condi ion o ensu ing he sus ainable de elopmen o he wa e shed. ∑ m i=1 xij⩽Tj(4) (2) Sa is ac ion o basic de elopmen cons ain . When making decisions, he uppe le el needs o conside ha he ac ual emission igh s o he egion a e g ea e han he ac ual amoun o pollu ion emi ed. The ac ual discha ge o egional wa e pollu an s should be lowe han he alloca ed amoun . ϕi p esen s he educ ion a e o con aminan . Qi ep esen s he a e age annual was ewa e low. yij is he annual concen a ion o he moni o ing sec ion con olled by he sub- egion au ho i ies unde he LEC mechanism. ∑ n i=1 h1+ϕi)xij⩾∑ n i=1 Qiyij (5) 3.1.3. Lowe -le el op imiza ion model Sub- egional au ho i ies implemen he ac ic o achie e i s op imal a e age annual concen a ion a he lowes en i onmen al cos unde he lake eco-compensa ion mechanism. Fo lake sub- egions, he To al En i onmen al Cos (TEC) con ains wo pa s, co e ing pollu ion educ ion cos and eco-compensa ion ee. MinTECi=∑ n j=1 η ijϕixij +g(yij)(6) whe e η ij is he uni educ ion cos o con aminan . g(yij)is he exp es- sion o he lake eco-compensa ion mechanism which is shown as Eq.(1). yij is he decision a iable. The ecological compensa ion alue can be posi i e o nega i e. A posi i e numbe ep esen s an inc ease in he o al en i onmen al cos o penal ies due o he high concen a ion o wa e discha ged. Nega i e alue is he opposi e. The cons ain s a e o mula ed as ollows. (1) Limi ed was ewa e load capaci y cons ain . Fo a sub- egion o he lake, ac ual annual discha ge amoun should no exceed he allowable emission pe mi s. The educ ion o con aminan s can inc ease he o al amoun o emission pollu ion. Qi ep esen s he a e age annual was ewa e low. Qiyij⩽h1+ϕi)xij (7) (2) Sa is ac ion o minimum equi emen cons ain . As pollu- ion emission and economic de elopmen a e closely ela ed in some way. The igh o pollu ion emission can be seen as he igh o economic de elopmen . In o de o ensu e he basic de elopmen o economy, he o al amoun o pollu an s has a minimum alue. Qiyij⩾Mmin ij (8) whe e Mmin ij is he basic emission equi emen o egional economic de elopmen . (3) Wa e quali y index cons ain . Pollu an concen a ion is a signi ican indica o in lake wa e en i onmen managemen . The main unc ion o he wa e quali y moni o ing sec ion o he lake is o de ec he pollu ion concen a ion. yij⩽Cmax j0(9) whe e Cmax j0 is he uppe limi o he concen a ion s anda d. 3.2. Global model In e ac i e decision-making managemen be ween Lake En i on- men Commi ee and mul iple sub- egional au ho i ies in he lake is p oposed in ou model. Hie a chical decision p ocess is conside ed as a S ackelbe g game model (Fische i e al., 2017). The objec i e unc ion o he uppe le el is o maximize he equi y o alloca ion, and he lowe le el is mainly o minimize he en i onmen al cos s. L. He e al. Ecological Indica o s 151 (2023) 110334 5 MinG =∑ n j=1 1 2m∑m i=1 xij EBi∑ m l=1∑ m h=1 xlj EBl −xhj EBh s. ⎧ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎨ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎩ ∑ m i=1 xij⩽Tj ∑ n i=1 h1+ϕi)xij⩾∑ n i=1 Qiyij xij⩾0 MinTECi=∑ n j=1 η ijϕixij +g(yij) s. ⎧ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎨ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎩ g(yij) = ⎧ ⎨ ⎩ − α pi,0<pi⩽1 βpi,pi>1 Pi= μ 0∑ n j=1 kj yij Cij0 Qiyij⩽h1+ϕi)xij Qiyij⩾Mmin ij yij⩽Cmax j0 yij⩾0 μ 0>0 α ,β>0 (10) 4. Case s udy and esul s 4.1. S udy a ea Taihu Basin, spanning Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Shanghai, co e s a o al a ea o 31,800 km 2 . As a majo pa o he Yang ze Ri e Del a, he a ea wi nesses a la ge popula ion densi y, de eloped indus ial and ag icul- u al p oduc ion, as -g owing GDP and high pe capi a income. In his case, Taihu Basin includes 4 ci ies in Jiangsu P o ince (Suzhou, Wuxi, Changzhou and Zhenjiang), 3 ci ies in Zhejiang P o ince (Huzhou, Jiaxing and Hangzhou), and 3 owns in Shanghai (Lian ang, Jinze and Zhujiajiao). Fig. 2 displays he loca ion o Taihu Basin and demons a es he poo wa e quali y in he basin. Acco ding o he change in he nu ien index in he Taihu Lake Heal h S a us Repo (2012–2018), he wa e body o Taihu Lake is in a mode a ely eu ophic s a e. The e o e, e ec i e measu es o he conse a ion o he lake wa e en i onmen a e necessa y o he sus ainable de elopmen o he lake. 4.2. Da a collec ion The da a collec ed in his case is om he O e all Plan o Comp e- hensi e Wa e En i onmen Managemen in Taihu Basin in 2013 and 2022 om he Na ional Bu eau o S a is ics in China and he Depa men o Ecology and En i onmen o he h ee a eas. Acco ding o he la es documen , he main pollu ion indica o s o he basin a e COD and NH 3 - N. Basic da a o Taihu Basin in 2020 a e shown in Table 2. As shown in he able, Jiangsu has he la ges a ea in he basin while Shanghai has he smalles . I can be seen om Table 2 ha Jiangsu P o ince in Taihu Basin has he wides a ea and he la ges amoun o sewage. Only a small pa o Shanghai is loca ed in he Taihu Basin, so he index alue is he smalles acco dingly. As i s pollu ion load in o he lake is ela i ely la ge, Jiangsu is conside ed as a key a ea o he p e en ion and con ol o pollu ion loads. Fo mo e de ailed da a, o calcula e he op imal model, he ini ial assignmen based on his o ical da a is summa ized in Table 3. In e ms o loca ion, Jiangsu and Zhejiang ha e mo e es ua ies ela ed o he lake, while Shanghai is close o he lowe each o Taihu. The e o e, Shanghai poses a ela i ely smalle impac on he lake. In he calcula ion alue o he P i , 15 mg/L was used as he basic limi o COD and 0.5 mg/L o NH 3 -N. 4.3. Op imal esul s A e assigning he pa ame e alues, he so wa e is u ilized o calcula e he op imiza ion model in his sec ion. In addi ion, he cha - ac e is ics o egional decision-making beha io in di e en scena ios a e also discussed. Fu he mo e, i p o ides da a suppo o he p o- ec ion and sus ainable de elopmen o he lake ecological en i onmen . Acco ding o he abo e model cons uc ion, his is a linea bi-le el op imiza ion p oblem ega ded as NP-ha d. Bi-le el p og amming is mo i a ed by S ackelbe g o sol e he unbalanced economic ma ke p oblems (Colson e al. 2005). Gene ally, Ka ush-Kuhn-Tucke (KKT) (Lu e al., 2006; Shi e al., 2005; Sinha and Sinha, 2002) ans o ma ion app oach has been applied o mul i-le el decen alized op imiza ion model. This pape ega ds P i >1 as he base scena io. Th ee egions a e chosen as he paye s o ecological compensa ion o economic de el- opmen . En i onmen Commi ee o Taihu Lake as he leade pu sues he equi able alloca ion o WLP, and ini ial esul s a e shown in Fig. 3. The alue o he uppe objec i e unc ion is 0.58. Zhejiang has been alloca ed he la ges amoun , Jiangsu he second and Shanghai he leas . Al hough Jiangsu has a la ge a ea han Zhejiang, he decision make gi es Zhejiang mo e WLP. Fo he eason, economic de elopmen is one ac o , and on he o he hand, Zhejiang is willing o pay mo e compensa ion. The annual a e age pollu an concen a ion o moni- o ing poin s is used as he main indica o o ewa d and punishmen , and is supe ised by he uppe le el. The new COD alloca ion scheme has educed he o al amoun o emissions by 17% compa ed o he 2020 da a, and he o al amoun o NH 3 -N has dec eased by 16%. The ed moni o ing poin s in Fig. 3 a e no ac ual moni o ing poin s, bu only ep esen he phenomenon o wa e quali y de ec ion, which is no mal in eali y. The e a e many ac ual moni o ing poin s o na ional and p o incial le els. Wi h hese wa e quali y da a, manage s can p e en excessi e wa e pollu ion, and local go e nmen can adjus policy di ec i es h ough he concen a ion da a. The ini ial calcula ion esul s o lowe le el a e shown in Table 4, which con ain he annual a e age concen a ion o pollu an s, o al en i onmen al cos s and ecological compensa ion alues. The eco- compensa ion alues a e all posi i e, meaning ha all h ee egions ha e op ed o pay pollu ion ines. Zhejiang has he la ges ecological compensa ion alue. I is demons a ed ha in his case, in o de o de elop he economy, Zhejiang would like o pay o wa e pollu ion. 5. Discussion 5.1. Scena io analysis Unde he ecological compensa ion mechanism, each egion has wo L. He e al. Ecological Indica o s 151 (2023) 110334 6 op ions: ei he be penalized o a la ge amoun o pollu an discha ge o be ewa ded o educing emissions. As he di e en choices o sub- egions will a ec he alloca ion made by uppe -le el decision-make s. The Taihu Basin is di ided in o h ee egions, esul ing in a o al o eigh scena ios. Fig. 4 p esen s a scena io analysis, which mainly e lec s he egional go e nmen s’ p io i ies ega ding en i onmen al p o ec ion. P i ep esen s he willingness o local go e nmen o pa icipa e in en i onmen al p o ec ion. P i >1 means ha he egion chooses o pay he compensa ion alue, he eby expanding he amoun o sewage. 0 < P i ≤1 means o be ewa ded wi h ecological compensa ion o con- olling pollu an discha ge. P1 ep esen s Jiangsu, P2 p esen s Zhejiang and P3 p esen s Shanghai. As can be seen in Fig. 4, h ee egions choose o be punished in scena io 1. Jiangsu chooses o be ewa ded and Zhe- jiang and Shanghai choose o be punished in scena io 2. Zhejiang chooses o be ewa ded and Jiangsu and Shanghai choose o be punished in scena io 3. Shanghai chooses o be ewa ded and Jiangsu and Zhe- jiang choose o be punished in scena io 4. Shanghai chooses o be punished and Jiangsu and Zhejiang chooses o be ewa ded in scena io 5. Zhejiang choose o be punished and Jiangsu and Shanghai chooses o be ewa ded in scena io 6. Jiangsu chooses o be punished and Zhejiang and Shanghai chooses o be ewa ded in scena io 7. Th ee egions choose o be ewa ded in scena io 8. As can be seen in Fig. 4, when a egion chooses o ecei e ecological compensa ion incen i es, he annual a e age concen a ion o pollu - an s will dec ease. The main objec i e o he lowe le el is o minimize he en i onmen al cos s ha a e a ec ed by he go e nance cos and ecological compensa ion alue. The index ha a ec s LEC alue is he concen a ion o pollu an s. Regional go e nmen s can con ol he o al en i onmen al cos s h ough he annual concen a ion o pollu an s. As shown in Fig. 3, he e a e many wa e quali y moni o ing poin s, and his pape uses he annual a e age concen a ion o wa e quali y moni o ing poin s o ep esen he alue. Acco ding o Eq. (1), di e en concen a ion alues will a ec he ecological compensa ion alue. The Table 2 Basic da a o Taihu Basin in 2020. Sub egion A eas loca ed a he basin A ea da a GDP (10 9 yuan) Main wa e quali y indica o s ( ) Basin a ea (km 2 ) P opo ion COD NH 3 -N Jiangsu 4 ci ies 16,854 53.0% 4366 327,690 22,000 Zhejiang 3 ci ies 10,621 33.4% 2482 156,897 11,894 Shanghai 3 owns 4325 13.6% 277 5257 538 Taihu Basin — 31,800 100% 7125 489,844 34,432 Fig. 2. Loca ion map and wa e quali y si ua ion o Taihu Basin. L. He e al. Ecological Indica o s 151 (2023) 110334 7 op imal concen a ion is in scena io 8, whe e each egion chooses o con ol wa e pollu ion discha ge, and hus ecei es a ewa d. As can be seen in Fig. 4, he willingness o local go e nmen s o pa icipa e in wa e ecological en i onmen p o ec ion will di ec ly a ec he local wa e quali y concen a ion. When local go e nmen s a e willing o make e o s o p o ec wa e quali y, he concen a ion o pollu an s will be lowe . Economic incen i e policies ha e a ce ain deg ee o in luence on ecological and en i onmen al p o ec ion, bu he a i ude o local go e nmen s is also e y impo an . On he one hand, local go e nmen s should ollow he cen al en i onmen al policy. On he o he hand, i should adjus he en i onmen al p o ec ion s a egy acco ding o local eali ies. 5.2. LEC sensi i i y analysis How do changes o he ewa d and punishmen se ings o he LEC mechanism impac he concen a ions o pollu an s? The es ablishmen and implemen a ion o a c edible scien i ic LEC mechanism has become an e ec i e go e nance measu e o coo dina e he ela ionship be ween p o i and loss wi hin a i e basin, and also an impo an gua an ee o p omo e equi able de elopmen among egions. This pa discusses he sensi i i y o LEC in eigh scena ios om 1 o 8. Posi i e numbe s o eo- compensa ion mean being punished, and nega i e numbe s mean being ewa ded. En i onmen al policy is an impo an measu e o p omo e he sus- ainable and coo dina ed de elopmen o bo h he economy and he en i onmen . The en i onmen al policy could be di ided in o h ee ypes: command-con ol en i onmen al policy, ma ke -based en i on- men al policy and public pa icipa ion en i onmen al policy. En i on- men al policy is mainly h ough he design o en i onmen al mechanisms o educe pollu ion emissions. Ma ke -based en i onmen al policy is ega ded as an incen i e-based egula ion app oach which e- lies on ma ke incen i es o educe pollu ion and minimize pollu ion con ol cos s. Acco ding o Fig. 5, when he punishmen is inc eased, he concen- a ion will dec ease. The maximum punishmen o LEC can each 180.90 million yuan and he maximum ewa d can each 89.4 million yuan. High paymen cos s d i e egions o con ol he concen a ion o pollu an s. Fo Jiangsu, he LEC alues o scena ios 2, 5, 6, and 8 a e posi i e, which means ha Jiangsu chose o pay he penal y ee. In scena ios 1, 3, 4, and 7, Jiangsu chose o be ewa ded. Zhejiang is punished in scena ios 1, 2, 4, and 6, and ewa ded in scena ios 3, 5, 7, and 8. Shanghai chose o be punished in scena ios 1, 2, 3, and 5, and ewa ded in scena ios 4, 6, 7, and 8. Di e en egions ha e di e en sensi i i ies o en i onmen al policies. Jiangsu is he mos sensi i e one o policies, indica ing ha i s egional de elopmen is closely ela ed o policies. Shanghai is less a ec ed by policies due o i s smalle a ea. Table 3 Ini ial assignmen o main pa ame e s o model calcula ion. Sub egion Quan i y o was ewa e (Qi, 10 6 m 3 ) Reduc ion a e (ϕi,%) Demand limi (Mij, ) Adjus men coe icien ( μ 0) Concen a ion uppe limi (Cmax j0, mg/L) Compensa ion coe icien (yuan) COD NH 3 -N COD NH 3 -N α β Jiangsu 3120 85 158,978 16,800 0.75 30 1.5 10 6 10 7 Zhejiang 1575 80 139,259 8490 0.8 30 1.5 10 6 10 7 Shanghai 840 70 5157 416 0.85 30 1.5 10 6 10 7 Fig. 3. The calcula ion esul s o uppe le el a ini ial pa ame e alue. Table 4 The ini ial esul s o lowe decision a iables and objec i e unc ion. Sub egion Decision a iables o he lowe le el (mg/L) Objec i e unc ion alue o he lowe le el (TECi,10 8 yuan) Lake ecological compensa ion alue (g (y), 10 8 yuan) Yi1 Yi2 Jiangsu 12.82 0.85 2.3 3.4 Zhejiang 16.93 0.95 2.8 4.2 Shanghai 9.52 0.74 1.4 2.7 L. He e al. Ecological Indica o s 151 (2023) 110334 8 Fig. 4. Op imal concen a ion o COD and NH 3 -N unde eigh scena ios. L. He e al. Ecological Indica o s 151 (2023) 110334 9 F om he esul s o he en i onmen al Gini coe icien in Fig. 5, i can be ound ha local beha io will a ec he decision o uppe -le el decision- make s. When all h ee egions choose o p o ec he en i onmen , he Gini coe icien is a i s lowes a 0.46, indica ing ha he uppe -le el decision-make s a e making he mos equi able alloca ion. 5.3. Policy ecommenda ions Th ee policies o wa e quali y managemen in he Taihu Basin a e p oposed om he pe spec i es o s akeholde s, incen i e mechanism, and ex ensibili y, based on he compu a ional esul s and analysis p e- sen ed abo e. 5.3.1. In e ac i e hie a chical ins i u ional s uc u e is equi ed F om he pe spec i e o pa icipa ing s akeholde s, he in e ac i e communica ion be ween di e en le els is o g ea help o wa e en i onmen managemen wi hin he basin. Collabo a i e go e nance o ansbounda y wa e sheds e e s o he o ma ion o a join go e - nance mechanism o ansbounda y en i onmen al pollu ion manage- men in acco dance wi h he idea o di ision o labo , cos sha ing, and bene i sha ing. I highligh s he join p o ec ion o he ecological en i onmen in Taihu Basin. The go e nance o Taihu Basin equi es no only he managemen commi ee om he uppe le el, bu also he ac i e pa icipa ion o local go e nmen s om he lowe le el. The uppe -le el go e nmen needs o decide he e ec i e alloca ion o WLP acco ding o he o e all si ua ion o he wa e shed and local beha io s. Meanwhile, Fig. 5 illus a es ha local go e nmen s need o adjus hei de elopmen s a egies acco ding o he uppe policies. As shown in Fig. 1, he coupling managemen be ween mul iple subjec s makes he go e nance o he en i e wa e shed e en mo e e ec i e. 5.3.2. LEC mechanism is an e ec i e economic incen i e policy F om he pe spec i e o incen i e mechanism, eco-compensa ion o lake can e ec i ely mo i a e egional au ho i ies o con ol pollu ion emissions, and i he punishmen is inc eased, he e ec will be mo e ob ious as demons a ed in Fig. 4 and Fig. 5. LEC is an economic incen i e means o e ec i ely balance he ela ionship be ween wa e shed economic de elopmen and wa e quali y p o ec ion. The es ablishmen and implemen a ion o a scien i ic and easonable ecological compensa ion mechanism has become an e ec i e go e - nance measu e o coo dina e he ela ionship be ween p o i and loss wi hin lake basins. Based on he abo e analysis, a sound basin LEC mechanism should co e he ollowing basic con en s: basin manage- men mechanism, compensa ion s anda ds, compensa ion mode, and compensa ion subjec and objec . These in e ela ed con en s wo k oge he o o m he amewo k o LEC mechanism wi h an aim o achie e he goals o ecological g een de elopmen , coo dina ed eco- nomic g ow h, and common social p og ess in he lake basin. 5.3.3. Spillo e e ec o lake en i onmen al conse a ion policy dese es a en ion F om he pe spec i e o ex ensibili y, he spillo e e ec o lake wa e en i onmen al policy dese es a en ion (B¨ o ne e al., 2017). The spillo e e ec o lake en i onmen al policy means ha when he go - e nmen implemen s an en i onmen managemen policy o he lake, i will no only p omp he adjus men o he emission o he o al pollu ion as expec ed, bu also has an impac on local indus ial ins i u ions (Feng e al., 2021). The adjus men o pollu an amoun s o ces he ans- o ma ion o indus ial s uc u e. Taihu Basin, loca ed in he Yang ze Ri e Del a as shown in Fig. 2, is one o he egions wi h he mos ac i e economic de elopmen , he highes deg ee o openness and he s on- ges inno a ion capabili y in China. The go e nance o Taihu Basin wa e en i onmen will ine i ably p omo e he change o indus ial s uc u e in he Yang ze Ri e Del a. Al hough his pape does no analyze he beha io s o en e p ises, he managemen o he lake en i- onmen canno be sepa a ed om he pa icipa ion o local en e p ises. The upg ada ion o indus ial s uc u e is su ely conduci e o i s en i onmen - iendly de elopmen . 6. Conclusion and u u e wo ks An analy ical amewo k is e ined o localize he PES o add ess he con lic be ween economy and he conse a ion o he lake wa e en i onmen . Acco ding o Coase Theo em, a bi-le el op imal model is Fig. 5. The alue o LEC and Gini coe icien unde di e en scena ios. L. He e al.