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The use of remotely sensed data for forest biomass monitoring : a case of forest sites in north-eastern Armenia

Khudinyan, Manvel

Abstract

In recent years there has been an increasing interest in the use of synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data and geospatial technologies for environmental monitoring․ Particularly, forest biomass evaluation was of high importance, as forests have a crucial role in global carbon emission. Within this study we evaluate the use of Sentinel 1 C-band multitemporal SAR data with combination of Alos Palsar L-band SAR and Sentinel 2 multispectral remote sensing (RS) data for mapping forest aboveground biomass (AGB) of dry subtropical forests in mountainous areas. Field observation from National Forest Inventory was used as a ground truth data. As the SAR data suffers greatly by the complex topography, a simple approach of aspect and slope information as forestry ancillary data was implemented directly in the regression model for the first time to mitigate the topography effect on radar backscattering value․ Dense time-series analysis allowed us to overcome the SAR saturation by the forest phenology and select the optimal C-band scene. Image texture measures of SAR data has been strongly related to the biomass distribution and has robustly contributed to the prediction․ Multilinear Stepwise Regression allowed to select and evaluate the most relevant variables for AGB. The prediction model combining RS with ancillary data explained the 62 % of variance with root-mean-square error of 56.6 t ha¯¹. The study also reveals that C-band SAR data on forest biomass prediction is limited due to their short wavelength. Further, the mountainous condition is a major constraint for AGB estimation. Additionally, this research demonstrates a positive outcome in forest AGB prediction with freely accessible RS data.

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i THE USE OF REMOTELY SENSED DATA FOR FOREST BIOMASS MONITORING A case o o es si es in No h-Eas e n A menia Man el Khudinyan ii THE USE OF REMOTELY SENSED DATA FOR FOREST BIOMASS MONITORING A case o o es si es in No h-Eas e n A menia Disse a ion supe ised by: Joel Sil a, PhD. In o ma ion Managemen School, No a Uni e si y o Lisbon, Lisbon, Po ugal Goha Ghaza yan, MSc. Cen e o Remo e Sensing o Land Su aces (ZFL), Uni e si y o Bonn, Bonn, Ge many Ignacio Gue e o, PhD. Uni e si a Jaume I, Cas ellón de la Plana, Spain Feb ua y, 2019 iii ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I am especially indeb ed o my supe iso PhD Joel Sil a o he g ea suppo and echnical guidance he has o e ed. I would also like o pa icula ly hank my co- supe iso PhD Goha Ghaza yan o he con inuous suppo and cons uc i e commen s. I am also e y hank ul o co-supe iso P o . Ignacio o he ime he has de o ed o my hesis. This wo k would no ha e been possible wi hou P o . D . Ma co Painho, P o . B ox and e e y membe o s a a UNL and i gi who I ha e o hank o my wonde ul s udy expe ience. I would especially like o hank P o . Ho ik Sayadyan who p o ided he ield da a (no da a – no hesis), o suppo ing my ideas and o he encou agemen . I am also g a e ul o PhD Go ik A e isyan and A man Kanda yan o he da a hey p o ided, as well as my iends, o es e s PhD Vahe Ma i osyan and PhD Vahe Ma sakyan o he consul a ions on he o es s and hei help. Las bu no leas I would like o hank my amily, my iends and my classma es o hei cons an suppo and ca e. i THE USE OF REMOTELY SENSED DATA FOR FOREST BIOMASS MONITORING A case o o es si es in No h-Eas e n A menia ABSTRACT In ecen yea s he e has been an inc easing in e es in he use o syn he ic ape u e ada (SAR) da a and geospa ial echnologies o en i onmen al moni o ing․ Pa icula ly, o es biomass e alua ion was o high impo ance, as o es s ha e a c ucial ole in global ca bon emission. Wi hin his s udy we e alua e he use o Sen inel 1 C-band mul i empo al SAR da a wi h combina ion o Alos Palsa L-band SAR and Sen inel 2 mul ispec al emo e sensing (RS) da a o mapping o es abo eg ound biomass (AGB) o d y sub opical o es s in moun ainous a eas. Field obse a ion om Na ional Fo es In en o y was used as a g ound u h da a. As he SAR da a su e s g ea ly by he complex opog aphy, a simple app oach o aspec and slope in o ma ion as o es y ancilla y da a was implemen ed di ec ly in he eg ession model o he i s ime o mi iga e he opog aphy e ec on ada backsca e ing alue․ Dense ime-se ies analysis allowed us o o e come he SAR sa u a ion by he o es phenology and selec he op imal C-band scene. Image ex u e measu es o SAR da a has been s ongly ela ed o he biomass dis ibu ion and has obus ly con ibu ed o he p edic ion․ Mul ilinea S epwise Reg ession allowed o selec and e alua e he mos ele an a iables o AGB. The p edic ion model combining RS wi h ancilla y da a explained he 62 % o a iance wi h oo -mean-squa e e o o 56.6 ha¯¹. The s udy also e eals ha C-band SAR da a on o es biomass p edic ion is limi ed due o hei sho wa eleng h. Fu he , he moun ainous condi ion is a majo cons ain o AGB es ima ion. Addi ionally, his esea ch demons a es a posi i e ou come in o es AGB p edic ion wi h eely accessible RS da a. KEYWORDS Syn he ic Ape u e Rada Fo es Abo eg ound Fo es Biomass Mul ilinea S epwise eg ession Sen inel 1 Sen inel 2 ALOS PALSAR GLCM i ACRONYMS AGB – Abo eg ound Biomass SAR – Syn he ic Ape u e Rada REDD+ – Reducing Emission om De o es a ion and o es Deg ada ion UN – Eu opean Union NDVI – No malized Di e ence Vege a ion Index NDMI – No malized Di e ence Mois u e Index RVI – Simple Ra io Vege a ion Index FAO – Food and Ag icul u e O ganiza ion o he Uni ed Na ions NFI – Na ional Fo es In en o y ESA – Eu opean Space Agency SRTM - Shu le Rada Topog aphy Mission SWR – S ep Wise Reg ession JAXA – Japanese Ae ospace Explo a ion Agency DBHOB – Diame e on B es Heigh O e Ba k GEE – Google Ea h Engie UNDP – Uni ed Na ion De elopmen P og am GEF – Global En i onmen al Facili y ii INDEX OF THE TEXT Page ACKNOWLEDGMENTS .......................................................................................... iii ABSTRACT ................................................................................................................. i KEYWORDS ................................................................................................................ ACRONYMS ............................................................................................................... i INDEX OF THE TEXT ............................................................................................. ii INDEX OF TABLES .................................................................................................. ix INDEX OF FIGURES ................................................................................................. x 1.1 Theo e ical F amewo k ........................................................................................... 1 1.2 S a emen o he P oblem ........................................................................................ 3 1.3 Aims and Objec i es ............................................................................................... 5 1.4 Ou line ..................................................................................................................... 6 LITERATURE REVIEW ........................................................................................... 7 2.1 In oduc ion o Abo eg ound Fo es Biomass ...................................................... 7 2.2 SAR and Op ical emo e sensing da a o AGB es ima ion .................................. 12 2.2.1 Combina ion o Mul isou ce Da a o AGB Moni o ing ................................... 14 2.2.2 SAR D awbacks ............................................................................................................ 15 2.2.3 SAR Dense Time-Se ies Analysis ........................................................................... 17 2.3 Fo es AGB p edic ion models: Model diagnos ics .............................................. 18 DATA AND STUDY AREA ..................................................................................... 21 3.1 In oduc ion o he S udy A ea .............................................................................. 21 3.2 In oduc ion o Da a .............................................................................................. 23 3.2.1 Field Da a ........................................................................................................................ 23 3.2.2 Sen inel 1 Da a ............................................................................................................... 24 3.2.3 Sen inel 2 Da a ............................................................................................................... 25 3.2.4 Alos Palsa Da a ............................................................................................................ 26 3.2.5 Fo es y Ancilla y Da a ............................................................................................... 27 APPROACHES, METHODOLOGY, DATA PREPARATION ........................... 28 4.1 App oach and Gene al Me hodology .................................................................... 28 iii 4.2 Tools ..................................................................................................................... 31 4.3 Field Da a Calcula ion .......................................................................................... 32 4.4 Sen inel 1 P e-p ocessing ...................................................................................... 34 4.5 Palsa P e-p ocessing ............................................................................................ 36 4.6 Sen inel 2 P e-p ocessing ...................................................................................... 36 4.7 Ancilla y Da a P e-p ocessing .............................................................................. 37 4.8 GLCM ex u e analysis ......................................................................................... 38 DATA PROCESSING․ FOREST BIOMASS MONITORING ............................. 41 5.1 Fo es /Non-Fo es classi ica ion ........................................................................... 41 5.2 Resul s o Reg ession analysis .............................................................................. 44 5.2.1 Model Compa ison and P edic o E alua ion....................................................... 46 5.2.2 Model Compa ison on Si e Le el ............................................................................ 49 5.3 Discussion ............................................................................................................. 52 5.4 Limi a ions and Recommenda ions o Fu u e Resea ch ....................................... 56 CONCLUSION .......................................................................................................... 58 BIBLIOGRAPHIC REFERENCES ......................................................................... 59 ix INDEX OF TABLES Table 1. Bene i s and limi a ions o a ailable me hods o es ima e na ional-le el o es ca bon s ocks (da a sou ce: Gibbs e al., 2007) ....................................................... 8 Table 2. Common ada bands used in Remo e Sensing (da a sou ce: Pohl. 2017) .... 12 Table 3. Field sampling da a pe s a a ........................................................................ 23 Table 4. Tools and ela ed p ocessing .......................................................................... 31 Table 5. AGB allome ic equa ions o dominan ee species .................................... 32 Table 6. Fo mulas o GLCM ex u e measu es .......................................................... 40 Table 7. Valida ion con usion ma ix o o es non- o es classi ica ion ................... 42 Table 8. Inpu a iables o eg ession analysis ........................................................... 44 Table 9. E alua ion o s a is ics o eg ession analysis o each model ...................... 47 6 1.4 Ou line The s uc u e o he disse a ion is as ollows: Chap e 2 p esen s he e iew o exis ing li e a u e on he opic o his esea ch. Chap e 3 desc ibes he condi ions and speci ica ion o he s udy a ea and he da a used wi hin his s udy. Chap e 4 discusses he app oaches and me hodology, also desc ibes he da a p e-p ocessing s eps in e y de ails. Chap e 5 p esen s and discusses he esul s o o es /non- o es classi ica ion and o eg ession analysis, also ema ks he limi a ions and u u e possible esea ches. Sec ion Conclusion sums up he esul s o his esea ch and e alua es i s con ibu ions. 7 LITERATURE REVIEW 2.1 In oduc ion o Abo eg ound Fo es Biomass Be o e s a ing he analysis o emo ely sensed da a o o es abo eg ound biomass es ima ion, i is essen ial o unde s and he concep o o es AGB, he adi ional echniques and me hods o es ima ion, which gi es be e unde s anding and ision o he pa ame e s and condi ions should be conside ed be o e applying emo e sensing me hods. Abo eg ound li e biomass includes he li ing biomass o ees, sh ubs and he bs abo e he soil including s em, s ump, b anches, ba k, lea es (UNDP-GEF 00091048, 2015), and ep esen s he la ges pool o ca bon s ock (Gibbs e al., 2007). AGB is widely used o co ela ions and es ima ions o ca bon s o age in some o he o he pools such as oo biomass and consequen ly he ca bon s ocks (app oxima ely 20 % o AGB (Gibbs e al., 2007)) and dead wood o li e ca bon pool (app . 10-20 % in na u al o es s (UNDP-GEF 00091048, 2015)). Thus, he o es AGB es ima ion is an essen ial s ep in quan i ying he ca bon s ocks in he o es s. The e a e se e al me hods de eloped o AGB es ima ion wi h di e en demands and le el o accu acy. The mos accu a e and s aigh o wa d me hod o quan i y he o es biomass is es ablishing sampling si es on he ield and ha es ing all he ees, d ying hem (in pa icula , o ca bon s ock es ima ion) and weigh ing he biomass (Gibbs e al., 2007). This me hod is e y expensi e and has des uc i e a ec ion on he expe imen al si e. I is p ecise o ha one loca ion only, and imp ac ical in o he egions o coun y le el analysis (Chen e al., 2018). Such me hods canno be applied ac oss he landscape. Consequen ly, many in es men s we e pu in o de elopmen o models ha a e able o “scale up” he ield measu emen esul s o e la ge a eas. Gibbs did sum up in glance he main me hods used o o es AGB es ima ion wi h hei ad an ages and limi a ions (Table 1) (Gibbs e al., 2007). 8 Me hod Bene i s Limi a ions Unce ain y Biome a e ages • Immedia ely a ailable could inc ease accu acy • Da a e inemen s could inc ease accu acy • Globally consis en • Fai ly gene alized • Da a sou ces no p ope ly sampled o desc ibe la ge a eas High Fo es in en o y • Gene ic ela ionships eadily a ailable • Low- ech me hod widely unde s ood • Can be ela i ely expensi e as ield- labo is la ges cos • Gene ic ela ionships widely unde s ood • Low- ech me hod inexpensi e as • Can be ela i ely ield-labo is la ges cos Low Op ical emo e senso s • Sa elli e da a ou inely a ailable a global scale • Globally consis en • Limi ed abili y o de elop good models o opical • Spec al indices sa u a e a ela i ely low ca bon s ocks • Can be echnically demanding High Rada emo e senso s • Sa elli e da a a e no always ee •New sys ems launched a e expec ed o p o ide imp o ed da a • accu a e o young o spa se o es • Less accu a e in ma u e o es s because signal sa u a es also inc eases e o s • Moun ainous e ain also inc eases e o s • Can be expensi e Medium Table 1. Bene i s and limi a ions o a ailable me hods o es ima e na ional-le el o es ca bon s ocks (da a sou ce: Gibbs e al., 2007) Bou e and Gibbs a e di iding biome-a e age me hod in o wo main s eps (Bou e e al., 2018; Gibbs e al., 2007). Fi s , da a ga he ing is being done h ough NFIs. Un il now he bes esul s a e gained by ield calcula ions using expe imen al plo s, ha es ing and ac ual o es olume es ima ion (Kachamba e al., 2016). In second s ep allome ic models a e applied o calcula e a e age biomass o a sampling plo loca ed wi hin a ce ain s a um. La e , na ional le el o ca bon s ock can be p edic ed by applying he a e age biomass and ca bon densi y alues (de Bad s, 2002) o e he egion o he same o es s a a (Bou e e al., 2018; Kachamba e al., 2016). Unlike he high le el o unce ain y compa ed o he o es ha es ing me hod, his me hod can be immedia ely a ailable and p o ide in o ma ion abou AGB on a wide scale landscape. G ound-based o es in en o y ocused on ield campaigns and o es in en o y measu emen s o es ima ion o o es AGB. Measu emen s include diame e a b eas heigh (DBH), a e age ee heigh and ee ype, and h ough which o es biomass is being calcula ed using allome ic ela ionships (Cha e e al., 2005; Gibbs e al., 2007). Only DBH is desc ibing AGB wi h 95 % accu acy (Cha e e al., 2005). Zhang o e s o collec da a abou he ege a ion ype and soil ype as well (Zhang e al., 2018). As he AGB consis o s em, ba k, b anches and lea es o needles depending on he o es 9 ype, he assumes o o ganize ield da a acquisi ion di e en ly o coni e ous and deciduous o es s and exclude lea e biomass o win e calcula ions in deciduous o es s (Cle ici e al., 2016). Fo ield da a collec ion he e a e se e al app oaches o sampling poin s selec ion. Sys ema ic and andom sampling designs a e he mos used ones. Sys ema ic sampling uses? egula g id o plo loca ion selec ion, and he andom selec ion is applied o andomly alloca ed sampling poin s. Bo h o he app oaches a e no conside ing o es ype s a i ica ion and o es dis ibu ion. This, bo h schemes can unde - o o e -sample as a as he pa e ns in na u e ha e na u ally clumpy and andom dis ibu ion is less likely (Gibbs e al., 2007). One o he unce ain ies o AGB es ima ion by con e ing ee measu emen s da a is he lack o s anda d me hod. Li e a u e e iew shows di e en app oaches by di e en au ho s o AGB es ima ion e en o he same ype o o es s (Cha e e al., 2005; Cle ici e al., 2016; Gibbs e al., 2007). Gibbs p esen s a comple e o e iew o o es AGB es ima ions by di e en au ho s o he same coun ies, and as he a icle poin s ou , o Sh i-Lanka he AGB es ima ion by di e en me hods can al e in he ange o 138–509 Mg/m2. The unce ain y occu s when shi ing om one o es ype o ano he . In opical o es s 1 ha o es a ea can con ain 300 di e en ee species. This means ha one canno use species-speci ic eg ession model, which is common o apply while wo king wi h empe a e o bo eal o es s. In such condi ions be e esul s a e achie ed by mixed-species eg ession model (Cha e e al., 2005). Amongs exis ing numbe o s a is ical me hods o AGB acquisi ion based on sampled allome ic measu emen s, Cha es sugges s “biome-diame e -heigh eg ession” and “biome-diame e eg ession” models o hei simplici y and wide applica ion (Cha e e al., 2005). Biome-diame e -heigh eg ession includes in o ma ion abou ee heigh (H), diame e (D), and wood speci ic g a i y (ρ) (Dawakin’s eg ession model): ln(𝐴𝐺𝐵) = α + ln(D²Hρ) (1) Bo h o he eg ession and he es a e applied using linea models. Field sampling da a does no always include he ee heigh in o ma ion. In his case Cha es assumes ela ionship be ween loga i hm o heigh , In(H), and he loga i hm o diame e , In(D). A polynomial ela ionship be ween log. heigh and log. diame e 10 gi es a easonable gene aliza ion o he powe -low model. Hence, he model will ha e ollowing equa ion: ln(𝐴𝐺𝐵) = a + b*ln(D²Hρ) + c*ln(D²) + d*ln(D³)+ β*3ln(ρ) (2) The powe -low is pa ame ized as c=d=0 (Cha e e al., 2005). All hose con en ional models a e accu a e o he loca ion o sampling si e bu a e di icul o ex end o e la ge a ea and a e being done no mo e han once o ce ain a ea because o pa amoun esou ce demand. Ins ead, emo ely sensed da a p o ides use ul o AGB es ima ion da a o he whole globe and wi h empo al esolu ion, bu canno measu e he biomass di ec ly, hus equi e g ound- u h da a (Gibbs e al., 2007; Kuma e al., 2015). Ano he impo an ad an age o emo e sensing is he abili y o easily collec da a on he places whe e g ound access is limi ed. Op ical emo e sensing da a om di e en senso s (see chap e 1.1) ha e been implemen ed ( ied) o o es AGB indi ec es ima ion ia s a is ical ela ionship be ween ield measu ed da a and sa elli e-obse ed ege a ion indices (Fassnach e al., 2014). As he op ical senso eco ds he in o ma ion e lec ed om he o es canopy and is dependen on he lea s uc u e, pigmen a ion and mois u e and ha e week pene a ion possibili ies, hus he unce ain y is high, especially, in dense opical o es s wi h big amoun o biomass (Chen e al., 2018; Joshi e al., 2016; T euha e al., 2017). In he con a y, compa a i ely low unce ain y and highe co ela ion be ween senso -da a and ield-da a a e eco ded in bo eal o es s whe e he hie a chical s uc u e is absen in he o es s and indi idual ees can be ixed on he pho os (Gibbs e al., 2007; Kachamba e al., 2016). Cle ici a i ms ha e y high- esolu ion (VHR) op ical image y imp o es he AGB es ima ions in o es s (Cle ici e al., 2016) using a io ege a ion index (RVI), no malized ege a ion index (NDVI), ans o med ege a ion index (TVI), while he Vege a ion Index Numbe (VIN) eco ded he wo s pe o ming. Kuma o e s a use o hype spec al senso da a, pa icula ly unde lying he impo ance o mid-in a ed (MIR) e lec ance as he bes desc ibe o o es biomass. He s a es ha MIR has ad an ages o e isible and nea - in a ed (NIR) e lec ance (L. Kuma e al., 2015). Signal sa u a ion in he o es s is he main cons ain o op ical emo e sensing o AGB es ima ion and almos all he e iewed a icles de ec ed o be su e ing wi h his issue. 11 Wi h he launch o di e en SAR senso s wi h eely dis ibu ed da a, he e is inc easing in e es in he use o hese obse a ions o o es AGB es ima ion. This in e es s a ed in 2000s when Te aSAR-X, Alos, Palsa L-band we e launched, and become mo e popula , when in 2014 i s Sen inel 1 C-band da a became eely a ailable. Fo ins ance, he majo i y o he s udies o SAR in AGB es ima ions we e published in he las 3-5 yea s (Be engue e al., 2018; Be ninge e al., 2018; Cle ici e al., 2016; Joshi e al., 2016; Kuma e al., 2015; Na a o e al., 2016; Reiche e al., 2018; San i e al., 2017; San o o & Ca us, 2018; Va aei e al., 2018; Yu & Saa chi, 2016). Gene ally, he mos egula ly used me hods o o es AGB es ima ion using SAR da a can be classi ied in o se e al g oups. The simples and subsequen ly he mos used me hod is he measu ing backsca e ing coe icien om Pola ime ic SAR (PolSAR) o e eal he oughness o he su ace. This is called 2D PolSAR me hod (Zhang e al., 2018). As i was men ioned be o e, he bes esul s a e ob ained wi h c oss-pola iza ion dual pola iza ion which is mo e sensi i e o he o es AGB. Mos o hem applied loga i hm o biomass and used he backsca e ing coe icien o o es biomass p edic ion (Lau in e al., 2018; Zhang e al., 2018). This me hod s ill has some limi a ions such as sa u a ion, which depends on he wa eleng h and he incidence angel (Joshi e al., 2016). The capabili ies, ad an ages and d awbacks o SAR backsca e da a in o es AGB es ima ion, will be discussed in de ails in he nex subchap e s In e e ome ic SAR (InSAR) o Pola ime ic InSAR (PolInSAR) by using in e e ome ic phase o cohe ence omog aphy o InSAR a e able o eco d he ele a ion o he g ound and he op o he o es , and hus, hey can de i e he o es heigh which hen can be ans o med in o o es biomass by allome ic equa ion models. This model is p omising and has mo e po en ial, and i can educe he sa u a ion in some ex an (Chen e al., 2018). A numbe o s udies show imp o ed AGB es ima ion esul s by using InSAR da a (Huang, Zini i, To bick, & Ducey, 2018; San o o & Ca us, 2018; Zhang e al., 2018). The e a e also o he me hods o AGB es ima ion h ough Lase scanning and LiDAR scanning (Joshi e al., 2016), which a e no i ing in he scopes o his esea ch, he e o e hey will no be discussed in de ails. 12 2.2 SAR and Op ical emo e sensing da a o AGB es ima ion SAR a e ac i e mic owa e ada s ope a ing in be ween 1 cen ime e and se e al me e s o elec omagne ic spec um. A pa o he impulse ene gy om ada , once mee ing he Ea h’s su ace, i is being sca e ed back owa ds he senso . This is wha he Rada eco ds and measu es. Depending on he su ace ype and s uc u e, di e en amoun o ene gy is sca e ed back and hus, di e en pa ame e s o he su ace a e eco ded on he image. The image in ensi ies depend on he backsca e ed signal cha ac e is ics such as wa eleng h, incidence angle, signal pola iza ion, scan di ec ion, in addi ion o such pa ame e s as su ace oughness, mois u e, dielec ic p ope ies, geome ic shape, o ien a ion (Pohl C., 2017). The equency, incidence angle, pola iza ion and scan di ec ion a e p ope ies o sys em and he dielec ic cha ac e is ics, o ien a ion, su ace oughness and he mois u e a e a ge p ope ies (Pe iasamy e al., 2018). Those a e he pa ame e s ha a e in luencing on he backsca e ed signal and hus, desc ibing he su ace objec s, hey a e co e o ada image p ocessing. SAR images o he same a ea a y as he sys em pa ame e s change. Fo ins ance, he pene a ion capabili y o he signal is dependen on he wa eleng h: The longe wa eleng h he la ge objec s hey pene a e. Acco ding o he ule o humb he pene a ion leng h is he hal o he wa eleng h. Acco ding o he same ule, highe he backsca e in ensi y he oughe he su ace ha is being imaged (CRISP 2001, n.d.). Rada Band Wa eleng h (cm) F equency (GHz) X 2.5–3.75 8–12 C 3.75–7.5 4–8 S 11.11–7.69 2.7–3.9 L 15–30 1–2 P 100 0.3 Table 2. Common ada bands used in Remo e Sensing (da a sou ce: Pohl. 2017) Depending on he used wa eleng h, SAR senso s a e di ided in o se e al bands (namely: K, X, S, C, L, P, VHF) (Timo hy e al., 2016). Table 2 desc ibes he wa eleng h and app op ia e equencies o he SAR bands mos commonly used o land co e su eys. L and P- band (15-100 cm oge he ) ha e p i ileges o e C-band (3.75-7.5 cm) in e ms o o es e ical alues desc ip ion. C-band can pene a e only lea es and 13 needles and small b anches, while L and P-bands p o ide s onge backsca e o m unk and la ge b anches (Figu e 1) (Joshi e al., 2016). This leads o a di e en esul when calcula ing o es AGB ough abo e-men ioned SAR bands. Acco ding o he e iewed li e a u e L-band analysis eco ds highe co ela ion wi h g ound da a compa ed wi h he C-band (Bou e e al., 2018; Lau in e al., 2016, 2018; Me moz e al., 2015; Yu & Saa chi, 2016). Figu e 1. Vege a ion pene a ion capabili ies o X, C and L ada bands (da a sou ce: Pohl. 2017) Pola ime ic SAR senso s a e capable o ansmi and de ec he e ical (V) and ho izon al (H) componen s o he backsca e ed adia ion (Pohl C., 2017). Hence, he e a e ou possible pola iza ion con igu a ions: co-pola iza ion- HH, VV, c oss- pola iza ion- HV, VH, and hei combina ions (Aula d-Macle M., R. Ba s ow, 2011). Pola ime ic SAR backsca e ed ene gy is di ec ly depending on he physical p ope ies o he ege a ion elemen s and in luences on backsca e ing mechanism (Pohl C., 2017). The ough su ace signi ican ly depola izes he signal in a g ea e magni ude while smoo he su ace depola izes he signal a he lowe magni ude. Thus, deg ee o pola iza ion can p o ide aluable s uc u al in o ma ion abou he o es s (Pe iasamy, 2018). Lau in and San o o in hei a icles a i m ha c oss- pola iza ion has p io i ies o e co-pola ized backsca e in o es biomass in o ma ion e ie al (Lau in e al., 2018; San o o & Ca us, 2018). A numbe o s udies poin ou he VH backsca e om Sen inel 1 C-band and HV backsca e o m Alos Palsa and Alos2 Palsa 2 L-band SAR o ha e mo e eliable co ela ion wi h AGB da a o e he co-pola iza ion and o he pola iza ion con igu a ions (Huang e al., 2018; Lau in e al., 2016) Li e a u e e iew shows se e al a emp s o image ex u e cha ac e is ics implemen a ion o biomass es ima ion using op ical image y back in he pas (Ecke , 14 2012). In he mo e esen li e a u e e iew by San o o & Ca us (2018) he in es iga ion o ex u e cha ac e is ics and pola iza ion decomposi ions o SAR image y a e b inging smalle e ie al e o s in o es AGB es ima ion compa ed o only backsca e alues. Pape s published by Be ninge , Thapa and Huang depic imp o ed co ela ions be ween image ex u e (namely, homogenei y, con as , en opy, olume sca e ing) and he ield da a om allome ic calcula ions (Be ninge e al., 2018; Huang e al., 2018; Thapa e al., 2016). In case o SAR da a, he ex u e is a measu e o he spa ial homogenei y o he backsca e ing and desc ibes he p ope ies o su ace, such as smoo hness, egula i y and onal a ia ion, and so, should enclose in o ma ion abou o es s uc u e (San o o & Ca us, 2018). Chen e al. also show ha Sen inel 1 image ex u es a e he mos ela i e and impo an p edic o s o AGB es ima ion compa ed o he o iginal backsca e ing da a (Chen e al., 2018). This e iew shows ha he implemen a ion o ex u e me hods o o es biomass e ie al a e unde s udied ye and seem o ha e high po en ial in imp o ing he es ima ion accu acy. 2.2.1 Combina ion o Mul isou ce Da a o AGB Moni o ing Combina ion o SAR and op ical da a is being in ensi ely implemen ed mos ly in he las couple o yea s and shows high po en ial o imp o e he o es biomass p edic ion accu acy (Joshi e al., 2016; Kuma e al, 2016; Lau in e al., 2018). Joshi e al 2016, in his e iew o exis ing li e a u e inds ha di e en SAR da a wi h conjunc ion o op ical da a ha e compa a i ely highe accu acy han SAR and op ical da a alone (Joshi e al., 2016). Besides he p edic ion accu acy imp o emen , combina ion o globally a ailable op ical senso s such as Landsa 8, Sen inel-2, and SAR senso s like Palsa -2 and Sen inel-1 wi h high empo al esolu ion, is becoming a e y impo an ool in a way ha ensu es ope a ional and con inuous global o es co e moni o ing in consis en and obus manne (Reiche e al., 2016). Joshi e al. (2016) and Reiche e al. (2106) assume ha ope a ing on di e en physical p inciples, hence, he SAR and op ical senso s p o ide syne gis ic in o ma ion on he o es p ope ies. As we al eady saw, he i s is dependen on he size, o ien a ion and dielec ic p ope ies, densi y, while he second is dependen on he lea s uc u e, mois u e and pigmen a ion. This le s hem conside ha combina ion o hose di e en sa elli e image y should be 15 p omising app oach o inc easing he accu acy o AGB es ima ion in o es s (Joshi e al., 2016; Reiche e al., 2016). The e is g owing ocus on his app oach and he majo i y o he esea ches e iewed a e om 2018 (Chen e al., 2018; Kuma e al., 2016; Lau in e al., 2018; Pe iasamy, 2018; Va aei e al., 2018). The mos o en used op ical senso is Sen inel-2 because o he high esolu ion, ee a ailabili y and he global co e wi h high equency e isi cycle. Lau in e al. in hei pape (2018) showed ha combina ion o Sen inel-1 and Sen inel-2 s ongly imp o ed he o es AGB es ima ion in Medi e anean sh ublands (a ound 14% wi h espec o he senso s sepa a ely). As an inpu o he p edic ion model all he bands o m Sen inel 2 as di e en a iables we e used. Chen e al. (2018) gene a ed numbe o ege a ion indices and biophysical a iables as inpu a iables o he p edic ion models. The esul s show ha he ege a ion biophysical a iables a e ou s anding compa ed o he o he Sen inel-2 p oduc s while combining wi h Sen inel-1 p oduc s (Chen e al., 2018). Lau in e al (2018) and Chen e al (2018) highligh ha combina ion o mul i-sou ce sa elli e image y imp o es he sa u a ion le el o o es AGB es ima ion. Lau in e al in hei esea ch (2018) go up o 400 ones/ha accu a e es ima ion combining Sen inel 1,2 and Palsa 2 sa elli e image y. Zhang assumes ha in e e ome ic phase and cohe ence me hods ha e po en ial o o e come he sa u a ion in some ex ends (Zhang e al., 2018). 2.2.2 SAR D awbacks The e a e numbe o challenges while analyzing and in e p e ing SAR images o land applica ions and pa icula ly o o es y. Th ee main d awbacks o SAR da a can be sepa a ed ha se e ely a ec he measu emen accu acy, namely, speckle noise, he bias on he backsca e alue because o he moun ain elie and sa u a ion o elec omagne ic signal. Speckle noises: The majo p oblems a e he speckle noises on SAR images ha migh cause o poo classi ica ion (Joshi e al., 2016). Unlike he op ical emo e sensing, ada scanning is cohe en in e ac ion o he signal wi h he su ace objec s. As he esul o cohe en summa ion o he signal sca e ed o m, he g ound sca e e s has andom dis ibu ion wi hin each pixel and is called speckle noise (CRISP 2001, n.d.). 22 co e ed (UNDP-GEF, 2015). Annual p ecipi a ion is 500-540 mm and he clima e is desc ibed wi h wa m and d y summe s and empe a e win e s (FMP, 2018). Figu e 2. Loca ion o he s udy a ea. a) Loca ion o he Ta ush p o ince, b) o es en e p ises in Ta ush p o ince, c) "Noyembe yan" o es en e p ise This esea ch ocuses on he o es si es loca ed in Ta ush p o ince (A s abe d, Ije an, Se qa , Noyembe yan and “Dilijan” Na ional Pa k), The main ocus is Noyembe yan o es en e p ise o se e al easons: • The pilo p ojec o na ional o es ca bon in en o y has been implemen ed in Noyembe yan o es en e p ise and can be as a g ound base o e alua ion o esul s, • The ield sampling densi y is much highe in Noyembe yan o es en e p ise (55 sampling poin s ou o 115), • Some o emo e sensing da a has huge dis o ions o e he o he o es si es which p ac ically makes hose da a no use ul o o es moni o ing on he whole a ea, • All he o es s in he NE A menia ha e e y simila cha ac e is ics in e ms o o es ype, s uc u e, amoun o biomass, e ain condi ions, and so, we do no pu 23 unce ain y while using he ield sampling da a om one si e o model aining and applying on he o he one. Fo s a is ical analysis and model aining in o ma ion was collec ed om all he 5 o es sigh s bu he p ojec ’s main ocus a ea is conside ed he o es s o Noyembe yan. The e o e, all he objec i es and hypo hesis a e applied and he inal maps and e alua ion a e done o Noyembe yan o es s only. The o es s in Noyembe yan en e p ise is 29334 ha and is loca ed in be ween 600- 1850 MASL al i udes and he dis ibu ion is as ollowing: <800m – 4.2%, 801-1200- 47.9%, 1201-1600-37.8%, 1601> - 10.1%. Fo es s uc u e, quali y and dominan species a y based on he al i ude - sp ead low densi y in he low al i udes o high densi y in he middle. The opog aphy is highly agmen ed and ema kable wi h s eep slopes and aspec composi ion a ia ions. This s ongly a ec s he o es dis ibu ion. The e a e mo e o es s loca ed on he no h slopes (58.6%) han on he sou h slopes (41.4%) (FMP, 2018). 3.2 In oduc ion o Da a 3.2.1 Field Da a Field da a a e gained om he UNDP-GEF ongoing p ojec . The ini ial numbe o plo s we e 115, ou o which 55 we e om Noyembe yan en e p ise collec ed in 2017, and he es a e om he o he o es si es o Ta ush p o ince collec ed in he beginning o 2018. The ield sampling plo s’ loca ions a e chosen based on a sys ema ic sampling plo design (Figu e 3). S a a No o samples Beech 18 Ho nbeam 22 Oak 18 Pine 12 O he 19 Dis u bed 26 To al 115 Table 3. Field sampling da a pe s a a 24 Figu e 3. Field sampling plo s dis ibu ion The e was also used a o es s a i ica ion map o ensu e ha he sampling plo s include all he o es ypes (Table 3). Fixed size o 0,1 ha ci cula plo s we e es ablished wi h 17.84 m adius (depending on he slope deg ee i migh change in o de o ensu e a 0,1 ha plo size when p ojec ed on a plane). All he la ge ees (>8 cm in diame e ) a e assessed o he ollowing p ope ies: species, DBHOB, ee s a us, decay class, c own class and many o he pa ame e s, ha a e no ele an o his s udy, hus will no be epo ed. 3.2.2 Sen inel 1 Da a Fo his s udy Sen inel 1A and Sen inel 1B C-band SAR da a om Cope nicus p ojec o ESA was used. The da a is in e e ome ic wide swa h (IW) scanning mode, wi h 25 250 km swa h wid h. We used Le el-1 G ound Range De ec ed (GRD) p oduc which is al eady Mul i-looked (one look in ange and i e in azimu h), Geocoded and i is a ailable wi h 10x10m pixel spacing bo h in Cope nicus Open Access Hub¹, ( he online sys em o he ESA), and in Google Ea h Engine Ja aSc ip API² (GEE). Bo h sa elli es o bi in nea pola , sun-synch onized o bi a 693 km al i ude and in he same o bi al plane (To es e al., 2017). Sen inel 1 C-band SAR has 5.405 GHz equency (co esponding o a wa eleng h o ~5.6 cm) and p o ides images in wo pola iza ion modes: VV co-pola iza ion and VH c oss-pola iza ion. The incidence angle is be ween ~31 and ~46 deg ees. The esolu ion was se o 10 m. Each image con ains 3 bands: wo o backsca e ing in ensi y (VV, VH) and one o incidence angle. Because o he e ogenei y in he pa ame e s o a ailable images he e is a need o il e o down he da a o a homogeneous subse . In o de o ha e he same incidence angle o all he images he same ela i e o bi numbe 152 was selec ed. The e we e 72 scenes acqui ed o he whole yea o 2017 (30 om Sen inel 1A, 42 om Sen inel 1B), 6 images pe mon h in a e age. Fo Sen inel 1 da a a ailable in GEE pla o m he backsca e ing coe icien om na u al alues o sigma naugh (σ◦) is con e ed in o dB alues. σ◦ = 10⁎log10 𝐷𝑁 (3) Whe e he DN is he digi al numbe o he na u al alues. (σ0 (dB) = 10*log10(absolu e (σ0))). 3.2.3 Sen inel 2 Da a The Sen inel 2 image y was ob ained om 2 sa elli es: Sen inel 2A and Sen inel 2B. Da a is a ailable ee o cha ge in Cope nicus Open Access Hub and GEE pla o m. Sen inel 2 da a a e cha ac e ized by13 spec al bands wi h 10-m, 20-m, and 60-m spa ial esolu ion and a adiome ic esolu ion o 12 bi . Two o m o da a a e a ailable: Le el 1C (L1C)– op-o -a mosphe ic e lec ance p oduc , and Le el 2A (L2A) – bo om-o -a mosphe ic e lec ance p oduc . All he acqui ed images a e om 2017: June and July (16 L1C p oduc s wi h cloud co e less han 15%), Sep embe (8 L1C p oduc s wi h cloud co e less han 25%) and Oc obe (2 L1C p oduc s wi h cloud co e less han 10%). Only 10m and 20m 26 esolu ion bands we e used o he analysis: B2 (490nm), B3 (560nm), B4 (665nm), and B8 (842nm) 10m spa ial esolu ion bands, B5 (705 nm), B11 (1610nm), and B12 (2190nm) 20 m spa ial esolu ion bands (ESA, 2018). 3.2.4 Alos Palsa Da a Global Palsa -2/ Palsa L-band SAR da a we e accessed a a 25 m scale in GEE pla o m. The da ase is gene a ed by applying Japanese Ae ospace Explo a ion Agency’s (JAXA) p ocessing and analysis echnique o a lo o images ob ained wi h Japanese (Palsa and Palsa -2) ada s on Ad anced Land Obse ing Sa elli e (ALOS and ALOS-2) sa elli es/ca ie s (JAXA, 2018). Palsa / Palsa -2 images a e L-band SAR (~23.5 cm wa eleng h) and he images a e acqui ed in Fine Beam Dual pola iza ion (FBD, 70 km swa h wid h) mode: HH- ho izon al ansmi , ho izon al ecei e, HV- ho izon al ansmi , e ical ecei e. The incidence angle is be ween 28.6 deg ee and 32.9 deg ee (CEOS, 2016; JAXA, 2018). The empo al in e al o he images con ained by he mosaic is gene ally 1 yea , and no in o ma ion is a ailable abou he scanning da e o a pa icula a ea. Acco ding o he u o ial o Global 25 m Palsa p oduc , he images a e selec ed aking in o conside a ion he wea he in o ma ion, in o de o a oid ada backsca e ing sa u a ion e ec caused by he mois u e (JAXA, 2018). O ho- ec i ica ion and opog aphic co ec ions on he SAR da a a e applied using 90m SRTM DEM, which is no p e e able o his esea ch, as ou s udy a ea is highly agmen ed and his can cause o impo an in o ma ion lose. Backsca e ing da a a e s o ed in digi al numbe (DN) o unsigned 16 bi . These alues can be con e ed o gamma naugh (γ◦) na u al alues in decibel uni (dB) by he ollowing equa ion: γ◦ = 10⁎log10(𝐷𝑁²)−𝐶𝐹 (dB) (4) Whe e CF is he calib a ion ac o and o p oduc o Palsa / Palsa -2 is measu ed o be ~83.0 dB. 27 3.2.5 Fo es y Ancilla y Da a The o es y ancilla y da a used in he scopes o his esea ch a e he o es ype in o ma ion om o es s a i ica ion map, and he opog aphic pa ame e s o he sampling plo s, namely, he aspec and he slope in o ma ion. Though his in o ma ion is a ailable om he o es in en o y da a, we used he necessa y equi alen in o ma ion e ie ed om DEM. The SRTM DEM which was gained om U.S. Geological Su ey po al (USGS, Sep embe , 2018) ee o cha ge. DEM da a is low spa ial esolu ion (30 m). 28 APPROACHES, METHODOLOGY, DATA PREPARATION 4.1 App oach and Gene al Me hodology Di e en pixel-based me hods we e used in o de o answe he esea ch ques ions and achie e he objec i es. The pixel size is chosen 30m quad a o be equal o he SRTM DEM p oduc , which was used o e ain co ec ions. Also, ce ain ci cums ances we e conside ed: he minimum mapping uni (MMU) is 0,09ha, which is compe i i e wi h he a ea o ield sampling plo s (0,1 ha), and a e applying a scaling ac o o 0,9 on he ield ABG es ima ion, we eplaced he ci cula sampling plo s wi h squa ed pixels. P ojec ion sys em o he whole p ojec was selec ed WGS- 84 38N local o he s udy a ea p ojec ion. All he as e s we e aligned in o de o ma ch he pixels o as e analysis. Field da a was ca e ully examined as ce ain condi ions should ha e been ensu ed be o e using SAR da a o eg ession analysis. E en i a pa o he ield sampling da a we e om he beginning o 2018, we kep using he emo ely sensed da a om 2017. As he annual g ow h o wood o he o es s in A menia is es ima ed as 1.4 m³/ha (Rio+20, 2012), which we conside o be no signi ican o his s udy. Li e a u e e iew shows, ha wo king wi h SAR da a demands deepe unde s anding o he physics behind i and mo e ca e ul p e-p ocessing and p ocessing o he da a, which is c ucial o imp o ing he quali y and e ie ing he ele an in o ma ion om SAR backsca e ing. Implemen a ion o some ypical p ocessing s eps, such as adiome ic co ec ion and speckle il e ing a e equi ed e en i we a e wo king wi h images o m he same senso bu wi h di e en ime s amps (Na a o e al., 2016). E en mo e, wi hin he scope o his s udy we combined da a om di e en senso s, which assumes mo e p e-p ocessing s eps such as iden ical backsca e ing naugh e ie al. As he s udy a ea is su e ing om complex and highly segmen ed opog aphy and aking in o conside a ion he ac ha in such case e en he adiome ic e ain co ec ion is no su icien o mi iga ing he bias and he gain on he SAR backsca e ing da a caused by high opog aphic a ia ion (Pohl C., 2017), we implemen ed ancilla y opog aphic in o ma ion o he sampling si es di ec ly in o 29 eg ession model. Simple emo al o he s eep slopes and masking o he o esho ening and shadows on he SAR da a is no possible, as hose a eas a e occupying he mos pa o he s udy a ea. Besides he ee co e ed a eas, o es si es include also non- o es ed o es lands (meadows, pas u es, he bs and o es dis u bance a eas) a e some imes signi ican ly big and can mislead he o es biomass es ima ion. Fo he FNF map gene a ion in pu pose o p ecise delinea ion o o es s, Sen inel 2 image y and Random Fo es (RF) classi ica ion me hod was used. This non-pa ame ic classi ie was selec ed since i does no equi e any s a is ical analysis o inpu a iable and can handle wi h mul icollinea i y e ec . Recen S udies show success ul implemen a ion o Ha alic ex u e analysis (GLCM ma ices) o biomass p edic ion, when di e en pa ame e s o he local a iance o he pixel alues is calcula ed (Chen e al., 2018; Huang e al.,, 2018). Image ex u e analysis echnique was also applied by choosing he mo e ele an ex u e pa ame e s. Fo he biomass p edic ion and AGB mapping backwa d S epwise Mul iple Linea Reg ession (SWR) model was used o au oma e he bes explana o y a iable selec ion. E en i he s udied s a e some be e esul s o non-pa ame ic models o e he pa ame ic ones o biomass p edic ion, he use o SWR allows us o e alua e and compa e each o he inpu a iables (i.e. he inpu da a and he en i onmen al condi ions), which is one o he main ocus a eas o his esea ch. Va iables wi h pa ame e s o p- alue < 0.05 and VIF > 5 we e excluded o m eg ession model (Be ninge e al., 2018; Lau in e al., 2018). The Figu e 4 p o ides he lowcha o he o e all me hodology (The comple e low cha o he me hodology see in APPENDIX B). The low cha d is designed ollowing way: aw inpu da a (g ay), in o ma ion o unp ocessed da a (blue), da a p e-p ocessing and p ocessing s eps (whi e), p ocessed- eady o analysis da a (g een), classi ica ion and eg ession analysis (b own). Red dashed boxes a e indica ing he main sub-p ocesses which will be discussed in a de ailed manne in he nex chap e s. Those sub-p ocesses a e: • Field da a calcula ion • Sen inel 1 da a p e-p ocessing • PALSAR da a p e-p ocessing 30 • GLCM ex u e analysis • Sen inel 2 da a p e-p ocessing • Ancilla y da a p e-p ocessing • Fo es /Non-Fo es classi ica ion The eg ession analysis, model diagnos ics and e alua ion a e discussed in he Chap e 5. Figu e 4. Flow cha o gene al me hodology 31 4.2 Tools The ools used o he da a p e-p ocessing and p ocessing a e p esen ed in he Table 3. The ocus is on he open so wa e and ee o cha ge cloud en i onmen . Sa elli e image p e-p ocessing and p ocessing is mos ly ca ied ou in he Google Ea h Engine cloud-based en i onmen by using Ja aSc ip API. P ocess Tools S1 p e-p ocessing GEE Ja aSc ip API Palsa mosaic p e-p ocessing S2 ege a ion indices calcula ions Hansen Global o es map implemen a ion FNF classi ica ion wi h RF Classi ica ion accu acy assessmen GLCM ex u e analysis S2 L1C o L2A p ocessing SNAP, Sen inel Toolbox, Sen2Co plugin S2 ege a ion indices calcula ions Reg ession analysis R C oss- alida ion and model diagnos ics AGB mapping on he s udy a ea P ojec ion ans o ma ion QGIS Ras e e-scaling and aligning Field sampling da a p ocessing Shape o as e con e sions Map designing A cGIS Desk op Aspec and Slope p ocessing Field da a calcula ions MS O ice Excel Table 4. Tools and ela ed p ocessing GEE is cloud based geospa ial p ocessing pla o m and p o ides huge compu a ional powe , which made possible he p ocessing o eno mous amoun o sa elli e image y and conduc dense ime-se ies analysis. GEE is an en i onmen o plane a y-scale en i onmen al da a analysis and con ains he a chi es o many publicly a ailable emo e sensing image y (Go elick e al., 2017). 38 Because he aspec da a is ca ego ical, we combined i in o 8 segmen s, each g oup consis ing o 45 deg ees o aspec . Comple ely la a eas consis 0.8% o he o al a e, so we dis ega ded ha and included in he 1 h segmen . The numbe ing is designed s epwise. A e wa ds, we implemen ed one-ho -encoding echnique o ans o m he ca ego ical a iable in o 8 di e en inpu a iables wi h nume ical alues using R (R Co e Team, 2018). Thus, we made i possible o his in o ma ion o be used in linea eg ession analysis as an inpu a iable. “Encoding” package was used o his. Figu e 10. DEM, Aspec and Slope maps o he s udy a ea 4.8 GLCM ex u e analysis Image ex u al ea u es, de eloped by Ha alic e al. (1973), measu e he spa ial homogenei y o he backsca e ing and con ain in o ma ion abou o es s uc u e. Se e al s udies ha e p o en ha GLCM ex u e om SAR can be be e desc ibing he biomass dis ibu ion han SAR backsca e ing i sel (Chap e 2.2). GLCM analysis we e applied only on he SAR image y wi h a selec i e app oach (Figu e 11), aiming o dec ease he numbe o inpu a iables o he eg ession analysis. 39 Figu e 11. Flow cha o GLCM ex u e analysis s eps In o de o de e mine he mo e ele an SAR a iables, he eg ession model was un wi h he inpu a iables o S1 (22 a iable om ime-se ies s acks o each VV and VH pola iza ion), Palsa (2 a iable o HH and HV pola iza ion), Vege a ion indices (3 a iable – NDVI, NDMI, RVI) and ancilla y da a (3 a iable - ee species ype, aspec , slope). Mo e impo an a iables we e selec ed based on hei co ela ion signi icance acco ding o he s epwise linea eg ession es (SWR). In he i s i e a ion he mo e signi ican SAR a iable (Palsa HV) was selec ed, hen 14 ex u e measu es we e calcula ed o Palsa HV in GEE (Angula Second Momen , Con as , Homogenei y, Co ela ion, Va iance, Sum a e age, Sum a iance, En opy, Sum en opy, Di e ence en opy, Ene gy, Di e ence a iance, Di e ence en opy, Maximum co ela ion). Those masseu s as inpu a iables we e added o he same a iables o ano he i e a ion o eg ession. This ime he bes ex u e measu es wi h highes co ela ion wi h he biomass we e de e mined again based on he a iable signi icance om SWR es . Those measu es a e Va iance, En opy, Co ela ion, Sum o a e age (Table 6). GLCM ex u e analysis we e ca ied wi h GEE cloud en i onmen . Fo hese analysis SAR da a in gamma naugh (con e ed o na u al alues) a e used. To ha e he eal s a is ics o he image pixels, ex u e measu es a e calcula ed on he images be o e applying a speckle il e . 4x4 window size was se up o he calcula ions. 40 GLCM ex u e Fo mula Desc ip ion No o eq. Va iance Measu es he dispe sion (wi h ega d o he mean) o he g ay le el dis ibu ion (12) En opy Measu es he deg ee o diso de among pixels in he image; i is (app oxima ely) in e sely co ela ed wi h uni o mi y; images wi h a la ge numbe o g ay le els ha e la ge en opy (13) Co ela ion Measu es he linea dependency o g ay le els on hose o neighbo ing pixels; i p o ides a measu e simila o au oco ela ion me hods (14) Sum a e age Measu es he mean o he g ay le el sum dis ibu ion o he image (15) Table 6. Fo mulas o GLCM ex u e measu es. Fo mulas o GLCM ex u e measu es. Fo all he equa ions, p(i, j) is he (i, j)- h en y o he no malized g ay-le el co-occu ence ma ix, ha means, p(i, j) = P(i, j) / ∑P(i,j) 𝑖𝑗 , whe e P(i, j) is he (i, j)- h en y o he compu ed GLCM; 𝑁𝑔 is he o al numbe o g ay le els on he image; and 𝜇𝑥, 𝜇𝑦 and 𝜎𝑥,d𝜎𝑦 s and o he Mean and S anda d De ia ion o he ow and column sums o he GLCM, espec i ely (da a sou ce: Ha alic e al., 1973). ∑ ∑ (𝑖−𝜇)2 𝑁𝑔 𝑗=1 𝑝(𝑖,𝑗) 𝑁𝑔 𝑖=1 −∑ ∑ 𝑝(𝑖,𝑗) 𝑁𝑔 𝑗=1 log𝑝[(𝑖,𝑗)] 𝑁𝑔 𝑖=1 ∑ ∑ 𝑖𝑗𝑝(𝑖,𝑗)− 𝜇𝑥𝜇𝑦 𝜎𝑥𝜎𝑦 𝑁𝑔 𝑗=1 𝑁𝑔 𝑖=1 ∑ 𝑖𝑝𝑥+𝑦 −(𝑖) 2𝑁𝑔 𝑖=2 41 DATA PROCESSING․ FOREST BIOMASS MONITORING 5.1 Fo es /Non-Fo es classi ica ion Be o e s a ing he o es moni o ing and biomass calcula ions, i ’s signi ican o dis inguish he main concep s ega ding o es de ini ion, which will b ing be e insigh in o he ield da a we ha e, and on he ex en s o he span ha should be explo ed wi hin his esea ch. As he o es y ield in o ma ion is p o ided by each o es en e p ise (bigges o es si e uni s), i is wo h o de ine he o es en e p ise o his case. Acco ding o he Fo es Code o A menia: Fo es en e p ise – a p oduc ion uni wi h he aim o sus ainable o es managemen . As he o es en e p ise is o es -economic uni , i consis s o o es ed and non- o es ed lands. Acco ding o he same Code: Fo es Lands - o es ed lands and lands alloca ed o en isaged o lo a and auna p o ec ion, na u e p o ec ion as well as non- o es ed lands alloca ed o en isaged o he unning o o es economy. On he o he hand, ecen s udies show ha he non-homogeneous o es ed a eas can cause o SAR backsca e ing alue dis o ion on he image. To a oid om his kind o unce ain ies, we o e o delinea e he bounda ies o o es s only, inside he o es en e p ises and conside hose a eas as he limi o he ex en s o his s udy. Acco ding o he same o es Code: Fo es - in e connec ed and in e ac ing in eg i y o biological di e si y domina ed by ee-bush ege a ion and o componen s o na u al en i onmen on o es lands o o he lands alloca ed o a o es a ion wi h he minimal a ea o 0,1 ha, minimal wid h o 10 m and wi h ee c owns co e ing a leas 30% o he a ea, as well as non- o es ed a eas o p e iously o es ed o es lands (Fo es Code, 2005). Thus, wi hin he scope o his esea ch we closely aligned he o es de ini ion o he one o Fo es Code A menia, meaning, ha he o es s a e de ined as lands o mo e han 0.09 ha wi h he ee canopy co e o mo e han 30%. Fo his pu pose, Hansen o es co e p oduc o 2000 was adop ed, as well as o es /non- o es (FNF) bina y classi ica ion was pe o med using S2 p oduc and Random Fo es classi ie (Figu e 12). 42 Figu e 12. Flow cha o o es /non- o es classi ica ion s eps This FNF classi ica ion wi h a new da a was necessa y due o he li e a u e indica ing he scales o illegal elling (Chap e 1.3) and he Global Fo es Wa ch online pla o m (Global Fo es Wa ch), a i ming ha he e a e signi ican dis u bance spo s in he o es s and he e is a need o upda ing he Hansen map a e 17 yea s. On he o he hand, a emp s o adjus Hansen Global map wi h simple h eshold o o es non- o es delinea ion ailed o հis s udy a ea. The aining and es ing da ase s we e gene a ed and a bina y classi ica ion was ca ied ou in GEE cloud en i onmen using Ja aSc ip API and was pe o med in wo s eps. Fi s , o es canopy co e h eshold o 30% was se up using Hansen global o es co e map, as each pixel on his map ep esen s he canopy co e pe cen age. This way we de ined o es and non- o es a eas o he yea o 2000. Tha was pa icula ly done o aining da ase gene a ion. Fo ha pu pose, “s a i iedSample” ool was used o gene a e andomly dis ibu ed poin s wi hin a g id wi h a scale o 30m. 200 hund ed poin s we e gene a ed his way: 100 poin s wi hin he o es a ea and 100 poin s wi hin he non- o es a ea. Valida ion con usion ma ix P edic ion n =200 Posi i e Nega i e To al Ac ual Posi i e TP = 97 FP = 3 100 Nega i e FN = 4 TN = 96 100 To al 101 99 193 Table 7. Valida ion con usion ma ix o o es non- o es classi ica ion 43 In he second s ep Random Fo es classi ie wi h 300 ees was ained using he S2 da a om 2017 and he aining da ase . FNF classi ica ion was d i en and he allowing accu acy pa ame e s we e assessed again in GEE en i onmen (Tables 7 ). The RF pe o mance on bina y classi ica ion shows high sensi i i y: 0.96 (p opo ion o ac ual posi i es ha a e co ec ly iden i ied as such) and speci ici y: 0.97 (p opo ion o ac ual nega i es ha a e co ec ly iden i ied as such) using S2 da a. Thus, he o e all accu acy o classi ica ion is 0.965 and we use his classi ica ion esul as a base map o ou esea ch o delinea e only o es ed a eas. Kappa s a is ics o he classi ica ion was 0.93. As he esul , 86% (25184.4 ha) wi hin he s udy a ea was classi ied as o es and 14% (4149.6 ha) was classi ied as non- o es (Figu e 13). Majo i y o ing il e was applied on he ou pu as e map once. Figu e 13. Map o FNF bina y classi ica ion. Non- o es ed si e examples on he snapsho s on he igh (g een line shows he classi ied o es bo de , ed line shows he o es en e p ise bo de ). 44 5.2 Resul s o Reg ession analysis The eg ession analysis was conduc ed using AGB da a (adjus ed by scaling ac o o 0.09 ha MMU) as a dependen a iable and he es o he inpu s as independen a iables (p edic o s). The sequence o he s eps a e ollowing he gene al low cha in he sec ion o me hodology (Chap e 4.1). Di e en combina ion o p edic o a iables we e calcula ed and he eg ession model has been e alua ed o mul icollinea i y in p edic o s (VIF es ), no mali y (Shapi o-Wilk no mali y es ) and au oco ela ion (co elog am) in esiduals o each ime. Reg ession analysis we e ca ied ou wi h R p og amming language and “Akaike c i e ion” unc ion, which s ands o mul ilinea s epwise eg ession. Fo he eg ession analysis o al o 60 inpu a iables we e used (Table 8). Sou ce Numbe o a iables Explana ion Va iable To al Sen inel 1 12 VV mon hly s ack - 2017 32 12 VH mon hly s ack - 2017 4 GLCM VV10 (Co , En , Va , Sa g) 4 VH12 (Co , En , Va , Sa g) Sen inel 2 3 NDVI, NDMI, RVI 3 Alos Palsa 2 HH, HV - 2017 10 4 GLCM HH (Co , En , Va , Sa g) 4 HV (Co , En , Va , Sa g) Ancilla y da a Aspec 8 aspec ca ego ies 15 Slope 1 slope alues Fo es ype 6 dominan ee ype To al amoun o a iables 60 Table 8. Inpu a iables o eg ession analysis Ini ially, only 24 obse a ions om S1 ime se ies (VV and VH) we e used o eg ession analysis in o de o selec he bes scenes om S1 wi h highe impo ance in AGB p edic ion. This was done o wo main pu poses: Fi s , o e alua e he p e e ence o using S1 dense ime se ies ins ead o choosing one scene o o es AGB calcula ions and second, o dec ease he numbe o inpu a iables o GLCM ex u e analysis o he u he use. This was pa icula ly impo an o keeping he numbe o inpu a iables as less as possible, as he aining da ase ( ield da a) was no la ge. 45 F om he pe spec i e o he phy oclima ic seasonali y in he o es in ou s udy a ea, he co ela ion be ween ield AGB and Sen inel 1 C-band s ack ime se ies we e explo ed i s using Pea son’s co ela ion coe icien (Figu e 14). This shows he co ela ion o be almos always highe o VH c oss-pola iza ion compa ed wi h VV co-pola iza ion. Ne e heless, o bo h pola iza ion modes i is lowe han 0.5, and ge s o i s maximum o he s ack a e ages o Oc obe and Decembe (bo h o VH backsca e ). The assump ion is ha C-band backsca e ing be e ep esen s he o es biomass du ing he lea es-o season, and when he soil is no ozen. Figu e 14. Pea son’s co ela ion coe icien calcula ed be ween Sen inel 1 s ack ime se ies and AGB om he 79 plo s and o each o he ime se ies. The eg ession analysis we e epea ed using he o es ype in o ma ion as a ca ego ical a iable. The esul s showed ha among he S1 ime se ies only he s acks o VH pola iza ion om Oc obe and Decembe a e passing he minimum limi o p- alue < 0.05. Also, bo h HH and HV pola iza ion mosaics om Palsa we e chosen by eg ession model o be impo an p edic o s o AGB. The o es ype in o ma ion was ne e selec ed as impo an , he e o e was d opped om la e analysis. Hence, we deduce ha SAR backsca e ing is no sensi i e o he ee ype. Those wo s acks o m S1 and HH, HV Palsa mosaics we e chosen o GLCM ex u e measu es and o u he eg ession analysis. The GLCM analysis we e done as i is desc ibed in he Chap e 4.8. Fu he , du ing his eg ession analysis, 2 samples wi h ex eme biomass alues o he s udy a e (680 ℎ𝑎−1 and 500 ℎ𝑎−1), as well as 1 sample wi h unusual ex eme pixel alues on Palsa scenes we e excluded om he u he analysis, as hey we e causing majo unce ain y in he p edic ion. As ollows, 79 ield sampling poin s we e conside ed o he inal eg ession analysis. 46 5.2.1 Model Compa ison and P edic o E alua ion Since he objec i e o his s udy is o e alua e he di e en o igin da a o o es AGB p edic ion, 4 eg ession models we e p oposed wi h di e en p edic o combina ions (Table 10). In his sec ion we compa ed p edic ion models wi h a ocus o de ec ing ela i e di e ence in he p edic ion accu acy. Fo his pu pose, mul iple linea eg ession analysis was ca ied ou wi h di e en p edic o usion aiming o de e mine he bes models using di e en ype o da a in di e en combina ions. Acco dingly, 4 models wi h he ollowing combina ions we e de eloped: Model 1 – only SAR da a, Model 2 – SAR+op ical da a, Model 3 – SAR+ancilla y da a, Model 4 – SAR+op ical+ancilla y da a. As many o he pa ame e s a e gene a ed om a ying decomposi ions o he same da a o he same sou ce, se e al o hese me ics a e expec ed o be highly co ela ed (Appendix B). High co ela ion amongs he p edic o s causes o model o e i ing and biased R² alue. The e o e, wi h he h eshold o a iance in la ion ac o maximum o 5 was se up. Adjus ed R² is calcula ed. Fu he , Lea e-One-Ou c oss- alida ion is ca ied ou and R² as well as RMSE a e calcula ed. As he RMSE ep esen s he ela i e e o o 0,09 ha a ea (MMU), la e he absolu e RMSE was calcula ed o he hec a e and is p o ided in he Table 9. Linea Model 1 consis ing o S1 C-band and Palsa L-band SAR da a and he GLCM ex u e analysis o hose da a yielded low p edic ion esul s: Adjus ed R² equal o 0.46, LOO alida ion es ga e R² equal o 0.38 and RMSE equal o 70 pe hec a e. The bes p edic o a iables we e Palsa HH and HV pola iza ion o m he ini ial image y, and he es o he a iables we e di e en ex u e measu es: Sum o A e age (SAVG) GLCM o S1 s ack o Oc obe , SAVG o Palsa HV. I is wo h o men ion, ha none o he Sen inel ini ial images appea ed in any o he models as impo an p edic o s. Model 2 combined all he inpu s om Model 1 and he 3 ege a ion indices (NDVI, NDMI, RVI) om S2. De e mina ion coe icien o LOO R² dec eases insigni ican ly o 3.3 and he RMSE inc eases o 72.8 ha¯¹. The s epwise p ocess disca ded many o he a iables ha we e impo an o he Model 1 and educes he dimension o he p edic o s. Palsa HH and HV s ay as he mos impo an p edic o s oge he wi h En opy measu e o Oc obe s ack om S1 da a. NDVI a iable was be e sui ed o 47 AGB p edic ion amongs he ege a ion indices wi h he less signi icance o he model. Model (sou ces) P edic o s VIF (<5) p- alue<0.05 (signi icance) Adj. R² LOO R² ela i e RMSE ( /0,09 ha) RMSE ( /ha) Model 1 Palsa HH 2.26764 1.68E-05 *** 0.46 0.38 6.3 70 Palsa HV 2.211967 1.18E-05 *** S1 VH 10 sa g 1.913548 6.34E-05 *** SAR S1 VH 12 co 1.744905 0.03294 * S1 VH 10 en 2.79781 0.03224 * Palsa HH en 1.703185 0.00836 ** Palsa HV sa g 2.345768 2.16E-05 *** Palsa HH co 1.483653 0.04045 * Model 2 Palsa HH 2.703908 3.24E-06 *** 0.41 0.33 65.6 72.8 Palsa HV 2.21506 0.00045 *** SAR+ Op ical NDVI 1.104523 0.022439 * S1 VH 10 en 1.134397 0.000457 *** Palsa HH sa g 2.323204 0.020287 * Model 3 Aspec (4,6,7) 1.21354 5.00E-07 *** 0.65 0.6 50 57.7 Slope 1.283596 7.15E-07 *** SAR+ Ancilla y Palsa HV 2.930844 9.66E-06 *** Palsa HH 2.438455 0.002232 *** Palsa HV sa g 1.721521 3.65E-10 *** S1 VH 10 en 2.126821 9.23E-05 *** Model 4 Aspec (4,6,7) 1.216558 0.000842 *** 0.68 0.62 4.9 56.6 Slope 1.290634 1.90E-07 *** SAR+ Op ical+ Ancilla y Palsa HV 2.933416 4.20E-06 *** Palsa HH 2.459693 0.000854 *** Palsa HV sa g 1.122131 0.000503 *** S1 VH 10 en 1.736985 4.22E-10 *** NDVI 1.122131 0.019642 * Signi icance codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 Table 9. E alua ion o s a is ics o eg ession analysis o each model The p edic ion accu acy changes eno mously when he o es ancilla y da a (namely, aspec , slope and he o es ype) we e added o he p e ious da a. Model 3 in able 9 shows he o e iew o he s a is ics o eg ession analysis wi h all he inpu s wi hou da a om op ical senso , and he Model 4 combines also he op ical da a. The LOO- alida ion R² o he Model 3 inc eases up o 0.6 and RMSE dec eases o 57.7 ha¯¹. Fo he Model 4 he p edic ion imp o es e y sligh ly wi h he implemen a ion o 54 combined in he same model o eg ession analysis. Simila ly, Huang uses 5 di e en measu es o m he same sou ce o aining he bes model (Huang e al., 2018). The co ela ion o op ical da a o o es AGB was e y weak and only NDVI amongs he es ed ege a ion indices was selec ed by SWR wi h low impo ance. The insigni ican con ibu ion o op ical da a in he AGB p edic ion can be explained wi h he ac , ha he a e age biomass o he o es s o his s udy a ea was measu ed 148 ha¯¹ while he obse ed sa u a ion le el o op ical da a in AGB p edic ion in he li e a u e al e s a ound 50 – 70 ha¯¹ biomass (Zhang e al., 2018). Al hough some o he s udies depic highe co ela ion be ween NDMI index and he biomass (li e a u e e iew by Joshi e al., 2016), his analysis showed no simila esul s. I is possible ha o NDMI calcula ion mo e humid season is p e e ed, while he e was no cloudless image o he s udy a ea om Ma ch and June. The use o ancilla y da a oge he wi h all he emo ely sensed da a b ough a g ea impac on he eg ession model accu acy imp o ing R² up o 0.62. This is he bes esul achie ed wi hin his esea ch and is e y impo an , as one o he hypo heses and he main inno a ion o e ed by his pape was he assump ion ha he gain o bias o he SAR backsca e ing alue in moun ainous a eas canno be co ec ed by he adiome ic e ain co ec ion me hods, i migh be mi iga ed by he p edic ion model when he o es y ancilla y da a on he sampling si e is gi en. Amongs he ancilla y da a he slope and aspec in o ma ion we e always in a highe co ela ion wi h he biomass while combined wi h SAR da a. Fo es ype in o ma ion did no imp o e he biomass p edic ion in con as o o he s udies (Lau in e al., 2018), which ound i an impo an componen o he p edic ion model. E en i he implemen a ion o ancilla y da a g ea ly imp o es he p edic ion model pe o mance as well as he isual obse a ion o he p oduc maps depic imp o emen in biomass dis ibu ion, mo e ield da a is needed o check he eliabili y o hose models o implemen ing he ada emo ely sensed da a in ca bon s ock moni o ing ac i i ies in moun ainous o es s. Backwa d s epwise mul iple linea eg ession echnique conside ably au oma ed he bes a iable selec ion as well as isola ed he mul icollinea i y e ec . Fo ins ance, VIF es applied a e SWR es did no de ec mul icollinea i y in he a iables. Ne e heless, no all he s udies use he same me hods and measu es o model diagnos ics, which makes he esul e alua ion and compa ison qui e p oblema ic. Fo 55 ins ance, many pape s use only adjus ed coe icien o de e mina ion (R²) o eg ession models o he e alua ion (Chen e al., 2018; Ecke , 2012; Huang e al., 2018), which is a esul s wi hou model c oss- alida ion, so we canno di ec ly compa e ou esul wi h he ones om hose wo ks. The sa u a ion le el o SAR backsca e ing as a gene al limi a ion, was ha d o de ine as he backsca e ing alue is su e ing by he opog aphy and canno se e o such calib a ion. Howe e , om he model 1 which uses SAR da a only, we can obse e le el o 150-160 ha¯¹, a e which he p edic ion line indica es mos ly unde p edic ion. This esul is simila o he one om Be ninge , 2018, e en hough he claims sa u a ion le el o L-band wi h ex u e measu es a e possible o imp o e up o 250 ha¯¹. The sa u a ion le el esea ch can be explo ed in a mo e accu a e way once mo e sampling da a is a ailable, which can make possible o sepa a e only la a eas no a ec ed by shadowing o o esho ening and do analysis wi hou applying opog aphic in o ma ion, e en hough diag am (Fig. 18) shows highe unce ain y o he low biomass p edic ion. This is likely because he measu ed ees a e only he ones la ge han 8 cm DBHOB, he e o e smalle ees a ailable in he sampling plo s can ha e signi ican impac on he Sen inel 1 C-band (3.75–7.5 cm wa eleng h) backsca e ing causing o AGB o e es ima ion which makes his ange (<100 ha¯¹) he mos in luen ial. This end o o e es ima ion o samples wi h smalle biomass alue is obse ed in all he simila esea ches (Be engue e al., 2018; Be ninge , e al., 2018; Huang e al., 2018; Lau in e al., 2018). E en i e y ew o he e iewed pape s pe o m new delinea ion o o es bounda y, he impo ance o FNF classi ica ion pe o med wi hin he ames o his pape wo k is p o en wi h wo main poin s: • FNF upda e shows signi ican (13%) non- o es ed a eas wi hin he o es en e p ise, which should be aken in o conside a ion while es ima ing he ca bon s ock o mo e ealis ic ca bon budge e alua ion. • As he Hansen map is a global model, he FNF delinea ion based on ha map was no adjus able o he s udy a ea. The e o e, he ield sampling plo s design gene a ed based on he Hansen map can mislead he e iciency o he ield wo k. As he esul showed, 26 sampling plo s ou o 115 we e loca ed ou side o he newly upda ed o es bounda ies. 56 Thus, we conclude ha he biomass da a calcula ed by s a is ical me hods using he allome ic equa ions can be signi ican ly a ec ed by he easons men ioned abo e. As his pape was aiming o imi a e he o es ca bon moni o ing ac i i ies, and pa icula ly, o es AGB measu emen s, we a e planning o compa e ou esul s wi h he one om adi ional NFI once i becomes a ailable. The inal biomass map has 30 m spa ial esolu ion, which is he i s map ha ing synop ic iew on he spa ial dis ibu ion o he biomass in NE o es o A menia, ye wi h a compa able accu acy. The de eloped model is applicable o simila o es s whe e in si u da a is a ailable. Ano he e y impo an achie emen is ha his ine esolu ion map con aining he p opo ional dis ibu ion o biomass can lead o mo e co ec ca bon es ima ion when used as sou ce o ca bon- ela ed models. The e o e his s udy can acili a e he GEF/UNDP-REDD+ ac i i ies in NE o es s in A menia o achie e hei objec i es in be e accu acy, as well as help o make o es ca bon s ock measu emen s and moni o ing cos -e ec i e. In o de o calcula e he ca bon s ock o he s udy a ea, he modeled o es s and biomass was educed by a ac o o 0.47 (UNDP-GEF 00091048, 2015). Fo he model 1 measu ed ca bon s ock in he s udy a ea was 4.1 G , and o he model 4 i was 3.5 G (Fig. 16). This da a is ye o be compa ed wi h NFI esul s once i is a ailable. 5.4 Limi a ions and Recommenda ions o Fu u e Resea ch One o he majo limi a ions o his s udy was he lack o la a eas ha could be analysed sepa a ely om hose a eas wi h complex opog aphy in o de o be able o calib a e he ue alue o SAR backsca e ing o he o es s in he s udy a ea. The nex obs acle was he lack o sampling poin s. As seen in numbe o s udies, he ou comes o such esea ch a e s ongly dependan on he sampling da a quan i y and quali y․ As o he u u e, i is planned o collec o al o 315 samples o his s udy a ea wi hin he GEF-UNDP p ojec . This amoun o da a i sel is signi ican ly bigge o model aining and can make i possible o de elop mo e sus ainable p edic ion models and ca y ou esea ch only on he ela i ely la a eas. This s udy, on he o he hand, made i ob ious ha complex opog aphy pu s high unce ain y on he s udy in he way, ha o es s uc u e and dis ibu ion changes quickly on e y sho dis ances, which is no desi able o SAR da a. This is because i 57 is no e y clea i he pixel on he SAR scene is i ing wi h he ield sampling plo e y well. Thus, he backsca e ing alue can be p esen ing no he eal biomass in o ma ion o he sampling plo . GLCM ex u e measu es can be s onge o weake co ela ed o o es biomass depending on he selec ed window size o he ope a ion (Ecke , 2012). As o his esea ch only one window size was adop ed (4x4 ke nel size), hus, we assume GLCM analysis o be no exhaus i e and we conside po en ial possibili y o imp o e p edic ion accu acy by adop ing di e en window sizes o ex u e measu es. On he o he hand, ex u e analysis should be es ed on he aw L-band ada da a in o de o keep he ue speckle dis ibu ion and backsca e ing alue s a is ics. When ield da a becomes a ailable, his me hodology o biomass p edic ion can be applied pe speci ic g oup o biomasses. We assume o ha e be e co ela ion be ween SAR backsca e ing alue and he biomass o unde 150-160 ha¯¹ whe e he sa u a ion le el is obse ed. As he ele ance o he SAR da a and i s combina ion wi h o he sou ce da a a e well explo ed and he bes inpu a iables o o es AGB p edic ion a e desc ibed, we p opose applica ion o non-pa ame ic eg esso s o gene a ing mo e accu a e biomass map, as he e iew o he la es s udies e eal hei p io i y o e pa ame ic eg esso s (Chap e 2.3). 58 CONCLUSION O e all, his s udy shows he use ulness o SAR backsca e ing da a on o es biomass mapping, which allows o ha e spa ially explici AGB dis ibu ion wi hin he o es si e. In his esea ch, we p opose a me hod based on he combina ion o mul isou ce emo ely sensed da a, image ex u e measu es and o es ancilla y in o ma ion o o es AGB es ima ion on he moun ainous a eas. Fo his pu pose, only eely a ailable da a sou ces we e used. The esul s in e he impo ance o mul i empo al C- band da a o a oid om backsca e ing sa u a ion om mois u e, also o mul i empo al speckle il e ing. Howe e , he e is a need o in eg a ion C-band wi h L-band da a o educe he unce ain y in he p edic ion. This s udy also showed ha he GLCM ex u e cha ac e is ics o SAR da a we e he mos ele an p edic o s o explaining he obse ed a iabili y o AGB in he s udy a ea. The ela ionships be ween SAR da a and s and cha ac e is ics, howe e , can be nega i ely in luenced in a eas o high opog aphic a ia ion and make he AGB modelling uly p oblema ic. The aspec and slope ancilla y da a was able o mi iga e he opog aphy e ec on SAR da a and ensu ed imp o ed eg ession analysis wi h accu acy o R² = 0.62 and RMSE = 56.6 ha¯¹. The ou pu o his esea ch will be p o ided o GEF/UNDP p ojec in NE o es s o Republic o A menia and i can ha e an inpu in achie ing hei objec i es, as well as suppo ing o es moni o ing and ca bon s ock egula ions. The achie ed esul s need o be alida ed wi h mo e sophis ica ed g ound- u h da a in o de o be implemen ed as cos -e ec i e su oga e o NFI ac i i ies. This AGB es ima ion app oach is adap able and allows modeling o biomass in o he moun ainous o es s wi h simila condi ions. Fu he , i is wo h no ing ha wo king wi h SAR da a demands p io knowledge and deep unde s anding o p e-p ocessing s eps and he physics behind hem. 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