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Caffeine consumption and mortality in diabetes: An analysis of NHANES 1999-2010

Neves, J,Leitão, L,Magriço, R,Vieira, M,Dias, C,Oliveira, A,Carvalho, D,Claggett, B

Abstract

Aim: An inverse relationship between coffee consumption and mortality has been reported in the general population. However, the effect of coffee consumption in diabetes remains unclear. We aimed to evaluate the association of caffeine consumption and caffeine source with mortality among patients with diabetes. Methods: We examined the association of caffeine consumption with mortality among 1974 women and 1974 men with diabetes, using the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 1999-2010. Caffeine consumption was assessed at baseline using 24 h dietary recalls. Cox proportional hazard models were fitted to estimate hazard ratios (HR) for all-cause, cardiovascular, and cancer-related mortality according to caffeine consumption and its source, adjusting for potential confounders. Results: A dose-dependent inverse association between caffeine and all-cause mortality was observed in women with diabetes. Adjusted HR for death among women who consumed caffeine, as compared with non-consumers, were: 0.57 (95% CI, 0.40-0.82) for <100 mg of caffeine/day, 0.50 (95% CI, 0.32-0.78) for 100 to <200 mg of caffeine/day, and 0.39 (95% CI, 0.23-0.64) for =200 mg of caffeine/day (p = 0.005 for trend). This association was not observed in men. There was a significant interaction between sex and caffeine consumption (p = 0.015). No significant association between total caffeine consumption and cardiovascular or cancer mortality was observed. Women who consumed more caffeine from coffee had reduced risk of all-cause mortality (p = 0.004 for trend). Conclusion: Our study showed a dose-dependent protective effect of caffeine consumption on mortality among women with diabetes.

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ORIGINAL RESEARCH published: 20 Sep embe 2018 doi: 10.3389/ endo.2018.00547 F on ie s in Endoc inology | www. on ie sin.o g 1Sep embe 2018 | Volume 9 | A icle 547 Edi ed by: Cha uma hi Sabanayagam, Singapo e Eye Resea ch Ins i u e, Singapo e Re iewed by: Ka i a Venka a aman, Na ional Uni e si y o Singapo e, Singapo e Te su o Tsujimo o, Na ional Cen e Fo Global Heal h and Medicine, Japan *Co espondence: João Sé gio Ne es [email p o ec ed] Special y sec ion: This a icle was submi ed o Diabe es, a sec ion o he jou nal F on ie s in Endoc inology Recei ed: 10 June 2018 Accep ed: 29 Augus 2018 Published: 20 Sep embe 2018 Ci a ion: Ne es JS, Lei ão L, Mag iço R, Bigo e Viei a M, Viegas Dias C, Oli ei a A, Ca alho D and Clagge B (2018) Ca eine Consump ion and Mo ali y in Diabe es: An Analysis o NHANES 1999–2010. F on . Endoc inol. 9:547. doi: 10.3389/ endo.2018.00547 Ca eine Consump ion and Mo ali y in Diabe es: An Analysis o NHANES 1999–2010 João Sé gio Ne es1,2*, Lia Lei ão3, Ri a Mag iço4, Miguel Bigo e Viei a5, Ca a ina Viegas Dias6, Ana Oli ei a1, Da ide Ca alho 1,7 and B ian Clagge 8 1Depa men o Endoc inology, Diabe es and Me abolism, São João Hospi al Cen e , Po o, Po ugal, 2Depa men o Su ge y and Physiology, Facul y o Medicine, Ca dio ascula Resea ch Cen e , Uni e si y o Po o, Po o, Po ugal, 3Neu ology Depa men , Hospi al P o . Dou o Fe nando Fonseca, Amado a, Po ugal, 4Neph ology Depa men , Hospi al Cu y Cab al, Lisbon, Po ugal, 5Neph ology and Renal T ansplan a ion Depa men , Cen o Hospi ala Lisboa No e, Lisbon, Po ugal, 6NOVA Medical School, Lisbon, Po ugal, 7Facul y o Medicine, Ins i u o de In es igação e Ino ação em Saúde, Uni e si y o Po o, Po o, Po ugal, 8Ca dio ascula Di ision, B igham and Women’s Hospi al, Ha a d Medical School, Bos on, MA, Uni ed S a es Aim: An in e se ela ionship be ween co ee consump ion and mo ali y has been epo ed in he gene al popula ion. Howe e , he e ec o co ee consump ion in diabe es emains unclea . We aimed o e alua e he associa ion o ca eine consump ion and ca eine sou ce wi h mo ali y among pa ien s wi h diabe es. Me hods: We examined he associa ion o ca eine consump ion wi h mo ali y among 1974 women and 1974 men wi h diabe es, using he Na ional Heal h and Nu i ion Examina ion Su ey (NHANES) 1999–2010. Ca eine consump ion was assessed a baseline using 24 h die a y ecalls. Cox p opo ional haza d models we e i ed o es ima e haza d a ios (HR) o all-cause, ca dio ascula , and cance - ela ed mo ali y acco ding o ca eine consump ion and i s sou ce, adjus ing o po en ial con ounde s. Resul s: A dose-dependen in e se associa ion be ween ca eine and all-cause mo ali y was obse ed in women wi h diabe es. Adjus ed HR o dea h among women who consumed ca eine, as compa ed wi h non-consume s, we e: 0.57 (95% CI, 0.40–0.82) o <100 mg o ca eine/day, 0.50 (95% CI, 0.32–0.78) o 100 o <200 mg o ca eine/day, and 0.39 (95% CI, 0.23–0.64) o ≥200 mg o ca eine/day (p=0.005 o end). This associa ion was no obse ed in men. The e was a signi ican in e ac ion be ween sex and ca eine consump ion (p=0.015). No signi ican associa ion be ween o al ca eine consump ion and ca dio ascula o cance mo ali y was obse ed. Women who consumed mo e ca eine om co ee had educed isk o all-cause mo ali y (p=0.004 o end). Conclusion: Ou s udy showed a dose-dependen p o ec i e e ec o ca eine consump ion on mo ali y among women wi h diabe es. Keywo ds: ca eine, co ee, mo ali y, diabe es, na ional heal h and nu i ion examina ion su ey Ne es e al. Ca eine and Mo ali y in Diabe es INTRODUCTION Diabe es is a majo public heal h p oblem wi h an inc easing p e alence wo ldwide (1). Gi en i s signi ican bu den, i is impo an o iden i y li es yle ac o s o imp o emen o p ognosis. Ca eine is p o ided in di e en sou ces, mainly co ee, ea, and so d inks. Co ee con ains mo e ca eine han he majo i y o oods and cons i u es one o he mos commonly consumed be e ages wo ldwide. The de ec ion o a heal h- ela ed e ec associa ed wi h co ee consump ion may ha e a po en ial g ea impac in public heal h (2). Co ee has been e e ed as con aining se e al bioac i e compounds including an ioxidan s wi h po en ially bene icial p ope ies. An in e se associa ion be ween co ee consump ion and se um bioma ke s o in lamma ion and insulin esis ance has been desc ibed (3–5). A me a-analysis o p ospec i e s udies (6) and a sys ema ic e iew (7) showed ha co ee consump ion migh be associa ed wi h educ ion in he incidence o ype 2 diabe es. A ecen dose- esponse sys ema ic e iew concluded ha co ee consump ion was s ongly associa ed wi h a isk educ ion in all-cause and ca dio ascula disease (CVD) mo ali y. Howe e , his sys ema ic e iew excluded s udies which analyzed speci ic subpopula ions, such as hose including only people wi h diabe es (8). Al hough ca eine consump ion appea s o be associa ed wi h a dec eased isk o de eloping ype 2 diabe es, i is unclea i i s p o ec i e e ec pe sis s in people wi h es ablished diabe es. In a p ospec i e s udy including 4,365 pa ien s wi h a p io myoca dial in a c ion, d inking co ee was associa ed wi h lowe isk o ca dio ascula mo ali y and ischemic hea disease mo ali y (9). In his s udy, signi ican in e se associa ions we e epo ed in pa ien s wi hou diabe es, whe eas he associa ions we e weak and non-signi ican in he smalle g oup wi h diabe es. A e e iewing he li e a u e, we ound only h ee s udies speci ic o pa ien s wi h diabe es. One p ospec i e coho o 7,170 emale egis e ed nu ses wi h diabe es ound ha habi ual co ee consump ion was no associa ed wi h inc eased isk o ca dio ascula diseases o p ema u e mo ali y (10). A simila coho o 3,497 male heal h p o essionals wi h diabe es ound no associa ion be ween ca eine consump ion and CVD o all-cause mo ali y (11). Ano he s udy, es ic ed o a Finnish popula ion (3,837 pa ien s), ound ha in pa ien s wi h ype 2 diabe es, co ee d inking was associa ed wi h educed all-cause, CVD, and co ona y hea disease mo ali y (12). Howe e , in his s udy, no adjus men s we e made o diabe es du a ion, complica ions o diabe es, and insulin ea men . Conside ing ha he e is limi ed and con lic ing e idence ega ding he ela ionship be ween ca eine consump ion and mo ali y in people wi h diabe es, we examined he con inuous Na ional Heal h and Nu i ion Examina ion Su ey (NHANES) 1999–2010 da abase o e alua e he e ec o ca eine consump ion and ca eine sou ce on all-cause, ca dio ascula , and cance mo ali y among pa ien s wi h diabe es. MATERIALS AND METHODS S udy Design and Pa icipan s We pe o med an analysis o he con inuous NHANES da abase. The NHANES is a pe iodic su ey conduc ed by he Na ional Cen e o Heal h S a is ics (NCHS) o he Cen e s o Disease Con ol and P e en ion (CDC). NHANES is a s a i ied, mul i- s age su ey using a na ionally ep esen a i e sample o he non-ins i u ionalized ci ilian popula ion o he Uni ed S a es. Pa icipan s a e selec ed a andom h ough a complex s a is ical p ocess each yea , and hey comple e pe sonal s uc u ed in e iews a home and hen pe o m a physical examina ion a a mobile examina ion cen e ha includes heigh , weigh , and labo a o y measu emen s (13). We used da a om 1999 o 2010, ha includes 62,160 people. We es ic ed ou analysis o indi iduals wi h ≥18-yea -old (35,379 subjec s) and wi h diabe es (4,544 subjec s). Diabe es was de ined by a sel - epo ed p e ious diagnosis, a hemoglobin A1c le el o ≥6.5%, o a as ing plasma glucose le el o ≥126 mg/dL. Bo h pa ien s wi h ype 1 and ype 2 diabe es we e included. We excluded 596 subjec s due o implausible alimen a y epo s (as de ined in p e ious s udies: consump ion o <500 kcal/day o >3500 kcal/day) (14) o missing in o ma ion on ca eine consump ion and/o mo ali y. Finally, 3,948 subjec s we e included in ou p esen analysis. The NCHS Resea ch E hics Re iew Boa d e iewed and app o ed NHANES, and all pa icipan s p o ided w i en in o med consen . This s udy was egis e ed a www.clinical ials. go as NCT03367806. Assessmen o Exposu e In all cycles o NHANES 1999–2010, a 24-h die a y ecall was collec ed. Using an au oma ed mul iple-pass me hod, all ood i ems and quan i ies consumed in he 24 h p eceding he in e iew we e eco ded. Fo pa icipan s in he 1999– 2002 NHANES, only one in-pe son 24-h die a y ecall was adminis e ed. The cycles s a ing om 2003 onwa d included wo ecalls, he i s one in-pe son and he second one ia elephone collec ed 3 o 10 days ollowing he i s die a y in e iew bu no on he same day o he week. To calcula e he ca eine, ene gy, and nu ien in akes, o pa icipan s in he 1999–2002 NHANES, we used he nu i ional in o ma ion om oods and be e ages collec ed in he single 24-h die a y ecall. Fo pa icipan s in he 2003-2010 NHANES, he mean o he nu i ional in o ma ion om bo h ecalls was used (15). NHANES includes in o ma ion ega ding nu ien sou ce by ype o ood inges ed. This da a was used o asce ain he quan i y o inges ed ca eine o igina ing in co ee, ea, o so d ink o each pa ien . The impac o ca eine consump ion ob ained om each o he h ee ypes o d ink on di e en ou comes was e alua ed. Conside ing he mean ca eine con en pe uni o ca eina ed be e age (95 mg in 8 oz. o co ee, 48 mg in 8 oz. o ea, and 30 mg in 12 oz. o cola) (16), we di ided he daily in ake o ca eine om all sou ces and om co ee in o h ee ca ego ies (<100 mg, 100 o <200 mg, and 200 mg o mo e). Gi en he low numbe o pa ien s wi h ca eine in ake om ea and om so d inks, and he high a iabili y o ca eine in hese be e ages, hose pa ien s F on ie s in Endoc inology | www. on ie sin.o g 2Sep embe 2018 | Volume 9 | A icle 547 Ne es e al. Ca eine and Mo ali y in Diabe es we e di ided in o e iles o consump ion and a e p esen ed as Supplemen a y Ma e ial. Con inuous a iables a e p esen ed as means wi h s anda d de ia ions excep o polyunsa u a ed o sa u a ed a y acids a io, ibe s pe day, and yea s o diabe es which we e summa ized using median (in e qua ile ange) due o hei igh -skewed dis ibu ions. Ca ego ical a iables a e p esen ed as pe cen wi h 95% con idence in e als. Ou comes The p ima y ou come was ime o dea h. As seconda y ou comes, we selec ed ime o ca dio ascula dea h and ime o dea h by TABLE 1 | Baseline cha ac e is ics o he s udy popula ion. Baseline cha ac e is ics acco ding o ca eine consump ion among women (n=1974) No consump ion (n=219) <100 mg/day (n=979) P- alue* 100 o <200 mg/day (n=438) P- alue* ≥200 mg/day (n=338) P- alue* P o end Age, yea s 58.3 (15.8) 61.6 (15.0) 0.022 59.5 (14.3) 0.469 58.6 (13.2) 0.829 0.041 Non-Hispanic Whi e, % 34.7% 53.0% 0.001 59.2% <0.001 79.2% <0.001 <0.001 Annual amily income <$25000, % 51.4% 48.8% 0.399 39.1% 0.018 38.6% 0.010 0.004 Educa ion le el -Less han 9 h g ade, % 22.0% 15.9% 0.119 10.1% 0.002 9.1% <0.001 <0.001 Cu en smoke s, % 6.3% 8.4% 0.312 12.7% 0.029 25.9% <0.001 <0.001 Fo me smoke s, % 24.0% 26.5% 0.548 34.3% 0.053 33.2% 0.079 0.023 Alcohol consump ion >20 g ams/day, % 2.3% 2.9% 0.651 5.2% 0.172 4.9% 0.219 0.126 Ca bohyd a es pe day, g am/100 kcal 12.9 (3.0) 12.7 (2.3) 0.448 12.1 (2.3) 0.020 11.8 (2.5) 0.001 <0.001 Polyunsa u a ed/sa u a ed a y acids a io 0.73 (0.52–1.11) 0.70 (0.50–0.94) 0.061 0.67 (0.49–0.92) 0.056 0.65 (0.49–0.84) 0.001 0.001 Fibe pe day, g am/100 kcal 0.95 (0.54–1.27) 0.91 (0.65–1.16) 0.957 0.85 (0.64–1.09) 0.107 0.78 (0.59–1.03) 0.045 0.002 Low physical ac i i y le el, % 44.9% 37.2% 0.109 37.4% 0.201 41.9% 0.607 0.469 BMI, kg/m2 34.7 (8.9) 33.2 (8.3) 0.083 33.0 (6.9) 0.034 33.8 (7.8) 0.342 0.775 Hype ension, % 67.3% 67.2% 0.978 72.5% 0.266 67.0% 0.957 0.889 Dyslipidemia, % 53.1% 60.3% 0.188 61.3% 0.128 58.7% 0.283 0.926 Time since diagnosis o diabe es, yea s 3 (0–13) 5 (0–12) 0.100 5 (1–13) 0.415 7 (1–15) 0.092 0.592 Diabe ic e inopa hy, % 24.0% 21.7% 0.591 22.0% 0.722 25.4% 0.661 0.219 Diabe ic kidney disease, % 23.2% 26.4% 0.511 27.8% 0.477 16.8% 0.100 0.005 Mac o ascula complica ions, % 19.3% 18.1% 0.696 19.2% 0.988 19.5% 0.908 0.629 Insulin ea men , % 21.5% 18.6% 0.465 21.0% 0.876 27.6% 0.274 0.021 Baseline cha ac e is ics acco ding o ca eine consump ion among men (n=1974) No consump ion (n=186) <100 mg/day (n=739) P- alue* 100 o <200 mg/day (n=470) P- alue* ≥200 mg/day (n=579) P- alue* P o end Age, yea s 57.3 (14.6) 60.0 (14.0) 0.080 58.0 (14.0) 0.660 58.1 (12.4) 0.601 0.245 Non-Hispanic Whi e, % 41.4% 54.3% 0.013 70.4% <0.001 80.3% <0.001 <0.001 Annual amily income <$25000, % 35.2% 34.7% 0.871 27.6% 0.110 27.9% 0.123 0.029 Educa ion le el - Less han 9 h g ade, % 18.2% 16.3% 0.616 12.6% 0.126 10.2% 0.020 0.001 Cu en smoke s, % 16.0% 11.8% 0.300 14.8% 0.826 25.7% 0.097 <0.001 Fo me smoke s, % 39.7% 45.4% 0.247 46.7% 0.199 45.1% 0.366 0.834 Alcohol consump ion >20 g ams/day, % 15.9% 9.8% 0.073 11.4% 0.302 11.6% 0.169 0.867 Ca bohyd a es pe day, g am/100 kcal 11.9 (3.1) 11.8 (2.5) 0.958 11.7 (2.4) 0.573 11.3 (2.6) 0.124 0.006 Polyunsa u a ed/sa u a ed a y acids a io 0.70 (0.47–0.98) 0.68 (0.48–0.91) 0.306 0.70 (0.50–0.91) 0.249 0.64 (0.47–0.88) 0.133 0.216 Fibe pe day, g am/100 kcal 0.83 (0.55–1.10) 0.83 (0.61–1.14) 0.624 0.76 (0.55–1.09) 0.444 0.78 (0.57–0.99) 0.134 0.010 Low physical ac i i y le el, % 40.9% 30.0% 0.030 32.8% 0.157 33.4% 0.120 0.773 BMI, kg/m231.9 (8.1) 31.2 (6.1) 0.481 31.4 (6.0) 0.601 32.4 (7.3) 0.661 0.102 Hype ension, % 66.7% 60.5% 0.239 60.1% 0.278 55.1% 0.046 0.062 Dyslipidemia, % 55.6% 58.2% 0.666 60.0% 0.486 63.0% 0.207 0.166 Time since diagnosis o diabe es, yea s 3 (0–11) 4 (0–11) 0.882 3 (0–10) 0.539 5 (0–12) 0.966 0.779 Diabe ic e inopa hy, % 26.4% 26.1% 0.932 18.3% 0.223 18.6% 0.432 0.198 Diabe ic kidney disease, % 15.1% 25.0% 0.010 16.9% 0.639 20.1% 0.197 0.408 Mac o ascula complica ions, % 23.2% 24.8% 0.662 20.5% 0.551 26.2% 0.448 0.378 Insulin ea men , % 20.9% 21.8% 0.814 21.6% 0.888 23.2% 0.614 0.563 Baseline popula ion cha ac e is ics acco ding o ca eine consump ion among women and men. * s no consump ion g oup. Kcal, kilocalo ie; BMI, Body mass index. Signi ican P o end alues a e shown in bold. F on ie s in Endoc inology | www. on ie sin.o g 3Sep embe 2018 | Volume 9 | A icle 547 Ne es e al. Ca eine and Mo ali y in Diabe es cance . Mo ali y s a us and cause o dea h we e de e mined by NHANES linked Na ional Dea h Index public-access iles h ough Decembe 31, 2011. S a is ical Analysis All calcula ions ook in o accoun he complex su ey design o he NHANES da ase and we e analyzed acco ding o he CDC analy ic ecommenda ions (17). To assess he c ude associa ion be ween ca eine consump ion and ime o dea h, we pe o med a Kaplan-Meie cu e and log- ank es . We pe o med u he analysis using he Cox p opo ional haza ds models o adjus o po en ial con ounde s. We buil wo di e en Cox P opo ional Haza d models o analyze he p ima y ou come: one model including age a baseline, ace (Mexican Ame ican, o he Hispanic, non-Hispanic whi e, non-Hispanic black, o he ace), annual amily income (<$25000, $25000 o $75000, >$75000), smoking s a us (ne e smoke , cu en smoke , o o me smoke ), and diabe ic neph opa hy (glome ula il a ion a e <60 mL/min/1.73 m2o u ine albumin/c ea inine a io ≥300 mg/g) (model 1); Model 2 including all model 1 co a ia es plus body mass index (BMI) (<20.0, 20.0 o <25.0, 25.0 o <30.0, 30.0 o <35.0, 35.0 o <40.0, ≥40.0 kg/m2), educa ion le el [less han 9 h g ade, 9-11 h g ade, high-school g ade, some college o associa e’s (AA) deg ee, college g adua e and abo e], daily ca bohyd a e consump ion (g ams o ca bohyd a e pe 100 kcal), alcohol consump ion (no alcohol consump ion, <20 g ams/day, ≥20 g ams/day), yea s since diabe es diagnosis (undiagnosed, ≤5 yea s, 5 o ≤15 yea s, >15 yea s), diagnosis o hype ension, e inopa hy, mac o ascula complica ions (co ona y a e y disease, his o y o myoca dial in a c ion, o his o y o s oke), insulin ea men and su ey cycle (yea s 1999–2000, 2001–2002, 2003–2004, 2005–2006, 2007–2008, o 2009–2010). Rega ding cause-speci ic mo ali y, we only used he mo e es ic i e model (model 1), due o he low numbe o ou come e en s. We es ed o in e ac ions be ween ca eine consump ion and he o he 14 a iables in model 2 o all-cause mo ali y. We also conside ed physical ac i i y as an impo an po en ial con ounde . Physical ac i i y was measu ed di e en ly along he a ious NHANES cycles. The e o e, we chose o use a iables ha allowed ca ego iza ion o physical ac i i y le el in o h ee ca ego ies (low, in e media e, and high), o combine hem in o a single a iable. F om 1999 o 2006 he physical ac i i y le el was assessed wi h he ques ion “compa e ac i i y wi h o he s o he same age” (pa icipan s we e classi ied in o app oxima e e iles as low i “less ac i e,” as in e media e i “abou he same,” and as high i “mo e ac i e,” wi h 31, 28, and 41% o pa icipan s, espec i ely, alling in o hese ca ego ies). F om 2007 o 2010 he weekly me abolic equi alen s (MET) minu es o physical ac i i y (accoun ing o igo ous wo k- ela ed ac i i y, mode a e wo k- ela ed ac i i y, walking o bicycling o anspo a ion, igo ous leisu e- ime physical ac i i y, and mode a e leisu e- ime physical ac i i y) was di ided in o e iles (pa icipan s we e classi ied as low i included in he lowe MET-minu e e ile, as in e media e i in he middle MET-minu e e ile, and as high i in he highe MET-minu e e ile). The esul s o mo ali y associa ed wi h ca eine consump ion adjus ed o physical ac i i y a e p esen ed in he Supplemen a y Ma e ial. As sensi i i y analysis, we addi ionally pe o med he Cox p opo ional haza ds models using daily in ake o ca eine ( om all sou ces and om co ee, ea, o so d inks) as a con inuous a iable. Mul iple impu a ion by chained equa ions was used o dealing wi h missing da a ega ding co a ia es. Twen y impu a ions pe missing obse a ion we e pe o med and analyzed. A es o end o e inc easing ca eine consump ion ca ego ies was pe o med whe e each ca ego y median was modeled as a con inuous a iable in he eg ession. A wo-sided p- alue o <0.05 was conside ed s a is ically signi ican . Analyses we e pe o med wi h S a a ( e sion 14.2). RESULTS Associa ion o Ca eine Consump ion Wi h Die a y and Li es yle Fac o s Ca eine consump ion a baseline was associa ed wi h se e al o he die a y and li es yle ac o s, wi h some di e ences acco ding o sex (Table 1). In bo h men and women, compa ed wi h people who did no d ink ca eine-con aining be e ages, ca eine consume s we e mo e likely o be non-Hispanic whi e and cu en smoke s, o ha e a highe le el o educa ion, o ha e an annual amily income highe han $25000, and o consume less ca bohyd a es and less ibe s pe kilocalo ie inges ed. Women ha consumed ca eine we e mo e likely o be ea ed wi h insulin, had less diabe ic kidney disease, and a lowe a io o polyunsa u a ed/sa u a ed a y acids in ake. Ca eine Consump ion and Mo ali y Du ing a median 57 mon hs o ollow-up ( o al pe son-yea s, 21,606), 407 men and 351 women died. The e was a signi ican in e ac ion be ween sex and ca eine consump ion wi h espec o mo ali y (p=0.015 o in e ac ion in model 2). In he unadjus ed analysis (Figu e 1), and also a e mul i a ia e analysis, ca eine consump ion was associa ed wi h a dec ease in all-cause mo ali y in women (p=0.005 o end ac oss FIGURE 1 | Kaplan-Meie cu es o all-cause mo ali y by ca eine consump ion among women. F on ie s in Endoc inology | www. on ie sin.o g 4Sep embe 2018 | Volume 9 | A icle 547 Ne es e al. Ca eine and Mo ali y in Diabe es ca ego ies, in model 2). A dose-dependen in e se associa ion be ween ca eine and all-cause mo ali y was obse ed. Haza d a ios (HR) o dea h among women who consumed ca eine, as compa ed wi h women who did no consume ca eine, we e as ollows: 0.57 (95% con idence in e al [CI], 0.40 o 0.82) o less han 100 mg o ca eine pe day, 0.50 (95% CI, 0.32 o 0.78) o 100 o less han 200 mg o ca eine, and 0.39 (95% CI, 0.23 o 0.64) o 200 mg o mo e o ca eine pe day (Table 2). In con as , his associa ion was no obse ed among men (Figu e 2), e en a e adjus men o po en ial con ounde s (Table 2). Speci ic causes o dea h we e also examined. The e we e 199 dea hs om CVD and 133 dea hs due o cance du ing he ollow-up. A e mul i a ia e adjus men , he e was no signi ican associa ion be ween ca eine consump ion and dea hs om CVD o cance , bo h in men and women (Table 2). Sou ce o Ca eine Consump ion and Mo ali y An analysis o ca eine consump ion acco ding o i s o igin on co ee, ea, o so d inks was also pe o med. In he unadjus ed analysis, and also a e mul i a ia e analysis, a educed isk in all-cause mo ali y was obse ed in women wi h diabe es who consumed ca eine om co ee (Table 3). The adjus ed haza d a ios we e as ollows: 0.74 (95% CI, 0.53 o 1.02) o less han 100 mg o ca eine pe day, 0.71 (95% CI, 0.46 o 1.09) o 100 mg TABLE 2 | Associa ion o ca eine consump ion wi h mo ali y. Associa ion o ca eine consump ion wi h mo ali y among women No consump ion (n=219) <100 mg/day (n=979) 100 o <200 mg/day (n=438) ≥200 mg/day (n=338) P o end Con inuous analysisa All-cause mo ali y No. o dea hs (%) 59 (26.9%) 170 (17.4%) 73 (16.7%) 49 (14.5%) 351 (17.8%) Unadjus ed HR – 0.71 (0.51–1.00) 0.63 (0.42–0.96) 0.46 (0.27–0.78) 0.010 0.86 (0.76–0.96) Model 1 HR – 0.60 (0.43–0.83) 0.52 (0.34–0.80) 0.42 (0.25–0.71) 0.020 0.88 (0.77–0.99) Model 2 HR – 0.57 (0.40–0.82) 0.50 (0.32–0.78) 0.39 (0.23–0.64) 0.005 0.86 (0.76–0.96) CVD mo ali y No. o dea hs (%) 16 (7.3%) 40 (4.1%) 15 (3.4%) 8 (2.4%) 79 (4.0%) Unadjus ed HR – 0.66 (0.33–1.30) 0.45 (0.22–0.93) 0.40 (0.15–1.08) 0.118 0.82 (0.68–0.99) Model 1 HR – 0.52 (0.26–1.02) 0.37 (0.18–0.76) 0.38 (0.14–1.00) 0.208 0.86 (0.70–1.06) Cance mo ali y No. o dea hs (%) 9 (4.1%) 26 (2.7%) 11 (2.5%) 8 (2.4%) 54 (2.7%) Unadjus ed HR – 0.87 (0.34–2.22) 0.70 (0.24–2.02) 0.49 (0.13–1.80) 0.204 0.88 (0.65–1.19) Model 1 HR – 0.71 (0.27–1.89) 0.52 (0.17–1.59) 0.35 (0.08–1.53) 0.126 0.84 (0.59–1.20) Associa ion o ca eine consump ion wi h mo ali y among men No consump ion (n=186) <100 mg/day (=739) 100 o <200 mg/day (n=470) ≥200 mg/day (n=579) P o end Con inuous analysis a All-cause mo ali y No. o dea hs (%) 50 (26.9%) 159 (21.5%) 82 (17.5%) 116 (20.0%) 407 (20.6%) Unadjus ed HR – 1.24 (0.81–1.91) 1.00 (0.64–1.57) 1.21 (0.81–1.82) 0.739 1.03 (0.97–1.09) Model 1 HR – 0.94 (0.62–1.41) 0.77 (0.49–1.23) 0.91 (0.60–1.39) 0.925 1.04 (0.98–1.10) Model 2 HR – 1.09 (0.70–1.69) 0.90 (0.55–1.47) 1.01 (0.65–1.56) 0.783 1.03 (0.97–1.10) CVD mo ali y No. o dea hs (%) 11 (5.9%) 50 (6.8%) 23 (4.9%) 36 (6.2%) 120 (6.1%) Unadjus ed HR – 2.09 (0.99–4.39) 1.59 (0.58–4.33) 1.92 (0.85–4.31) 0.749 1.07 (0.98–1.18) Model 1 HR – 1.47 (0.70–3.12) 1.13 (0.41–3.10) 1.18 (0.54–2.58) 0.517 1.07 (0.98–1.16) Cance mo ali y No. o dea hs (%) 12 (6.5%) 28 (3.8%) 18 (3.8%) 21 (3.6%) 79 (4.0%) Unadjus ed HR – 1.15 (0.51–2.63) 0.96 (0.37–2.47) 1.17 (0.52–2.62) 0.830 1.09 (0.97–1.22) Model 1 HR – 1.03 (0.42–2.54) 0.78 (0.28–2.13) 0.90 (0.37–2.18) 0.777 1.07 (0.95–1.22) Model 1: Adjus ed o age, ace, annual amily income, smoking s a us, and diabe ic kidney disease. Model 2: Adjus ed o co a ia es in Model 1 and body mass index, educa ion le el, daily ca bohyd a e consump ion, alcohol consump ion, yea s since diabe es diagnosis, diagnosis o hype ension, e inopa hy, mac o ascula complica ions, insulin ea men and su ey cycle. aHR o he con inuous analysis a e p esen ed o each 100 mg inc ease in ca eine consump ion. HR, Haza d Ra io; CVD, Ca dio ascula disease. Signi ican P o end alues and signi ican haza d a ios in he con inuous analysis a e shown in bold. F on ie s in Endoc inology | www. on ie sin.o g 5Sep embe 2018 | Volume 9 | A icle 547 Ne es e al. Ca eine and Mo ali y in Diabe es FIGURE 2 | Kaplan-Meie cu es o all-cause mo ali y by ca eine consump ion among men. o less han 200 mg o ca eine, and 0.53 (95% CI, 0.35 o 0.80) o 200 mg o mo e o ca eine pe day (p=0.004 o end ac oss ca ego ies, in model 2). The e we e no signi ican associa ions o ca eine consump ion om co ee wi h ca dio ascula o cance mo ali y. Rega ding ca eine consump ion om ea and om so d inks, he e we e no signi ican associa ions wi h all-cause o cause-speci ic mo ali y (Supplemen a y Tables 1,2). Among men, he e we e no signi ican associa ions be ween sou ce o ca eine and mo ali y (Table 3, Supplemen a y Table 2). Sensi i i y Analysis The analysis o he associa ion be ween sou ce o ca eine and mo ali y using daily in ake o ca eine as a con inuous a iable showed simila esul s (Table 2,Supplemen a y Table 3). Among women, he HR o each 100 mg inc ease in ca eine consump ion o all-cause mo ali y was 0.86 (95% CI, 0.76–0.96; p=0.009) o unadjus ed analysis and 0.86 (95% CI, 0.76–0.96; p=0.011) o adjus ed analysis. The e ec o ca eine consump ion acco ding o ca eine sou ce on all-cause, ca dio ascula , and cance mo ali y among women and men we e also conco dan wi h he main analysis (Table 2,Supplemen a y Table 3). Fu he mo e, he associa ion o ca eine consump ion wi h mo ali y adjus ing o physical ac i i y was also consis en wi h ou main analysis (Supplemen a y Table 4). DISCUSSION Ou s udy showed a dose-dependen p o ec i e e ec o ca eine consump ion on all-cause mo ali y among women wi h diabe es. The e was no signi ican associa ion be ween ca eine consump ion and mo ali y among men wi h diabe es. Al hough ca eine consump ion in women was associa ed wi h lowe all-cause mo ali y, no associa ion was ound be ween ca eine consump ion and ca dio ascula o cance mo ali y. When compa ing ca eine consump ion acco ding o i s o igin on co ee, ea, o so d inks, women wi h diabe es who consumed mo e ca eine om co ee also had educed isk o all-cause dea h. No di e ences on mo ali y we e obse ed on he adjus ed analysis o consump ion o ca eine om ea o so d inks. Howe e , hese esul s should be in e p e ed cau iously as he numbe o e en s in each sou ce o ca eine ca ego y was low. P e ious s udies had al eady shown a p o ec i e e ec o co ee consump ion in he gene al popula ion. Lo ield e al., o example, showed a dec eased isk o all-cause mo ali y in people wi h highe co ee consump ion (18). Speci ically, an in e se associa ion was ound be ween co ee consump ion and diabe es- ela ed dea h. In he subg oup o pa icipan s wi h sel - epo ed diabe es, his associa ion seemed s onge . Rega ding s udies in people wi h diabe es, a s udy in he Finnish popula ion in 3,837 pa ien s, ound an in e se ela ionship be ween co ee d inking and all-cause and ca dio ascula -associa ed mo ali y (12). On he o he hand, wo p e ious s udies ha e ob ained neu al esul s in pa ien s o bo h sexes. In a s udy including only emale nu ses wi h diabe es, habi ual co ee consump ion was no associa ed wi h ca dio ascula diseases o p ema u e mo ali y (10). Fu he mo e, no signi ican associa ion be ween co ee consump ion and mo ali y was obse ed in a p ospec i e coho o male heal h p o essionals wi h diabe es (11). Al hough he Finnish popula ion s udy esul s a e no consis en wi h hese wo s udies, hei esul s also sugges a p o ec i e e ec o ca eine-con aining be e ages as obse ed in ou s udy. Possible explana ions o hese di e ences be ween s udies migh be he use o di e en endpoin s, di e en du a ion o ollow-up and di e ences in he popula ion’s cha ac e is ics. Ou esul s sugges ha biological di e ences may exis be ween men and women ega ding he e ec s o ca eine consump ion. Conside ing he pa hophysiology and complica ions o diabe es, se e al s udies ha e highligh ed di e ences be ween sexes (19). Gene ic and epigene ic mechanisms, nu i ional ac o s, and seden a y li es yle ha e been shown o di e en ly a ec diabe es complica ions acco ding o sex (19). Fu he mo e, ca eine may induce di e en hemodynamic e ec s in men and women. In a double-blind ial compa ing age-ma ched women and men, women showed an inc ease in ca diac ou pu , whe eas men showed inc eased ascula esis ance a e a die a y dose o ca eine (20). These di e ences may pa ially explain why ca eine in ake is associa ed wi h educed mo ali y in women wi h diabe es whe eas he e ec s in mo ali y a e neu al in men wi h diabe es. In he gene al popula ion, some s udies ha e also sugges ed di e ences in he esponse o co ee be ween sexes. The in e se associa ion o co ee d inking wi h o al mo ali y has been shown o be educed in men compa ing o women (21–23). The di ec ion and s eng h o he associa ion be ween ca eine consump ion and mo ali y has a ied be ween s udies in he gene al popula ion. In a s udy including Japanese pa icipan s wi hou a his o y o cance , myoca dial in a c ion, o s oke a baseline, co ee consump ion was s ongly associa ed wi h educed all-cause and ca dio ascula mo ali y among women [HR o 0.48 (0.29–0.80) o 1–2 cups o co ee pe day and F on ie s in Endoc inology | www. on ie sin.o g 6Sep embe 2018 | Volume 9 | A icle 547 Ne es e al. Ca eine and Mo ali y in Diabe es TABLE 3 | Associa ion o ca eine consump ion om co ee wi h mo ali y. Associa ion o ca eine consump ion om co ee wi h mo ali y among women No consump ion (n=734) <100 mg/day (n=707) 100 o <200 mg/day (n=316) ≥200 mg/day (n=217) P o end Con inuous analysisa All-cause mo ali y No. o dea hs (%) 127 (17.3%) 130 (18.4%) 58 (18.4%) 36 (16.6%) 351 (17.8%) Unadjus ed HR – 1.25 (0.94–1.66) 1.09 (0.75–1.60) 0.73 (0.50–1.09) 0.077 0.91 (0.83–0.99) Model 1 HR – 0.79 (0.60–1.04) 0.74 (0.47–1.15) 0.57 (0.38–0.85) 0.009 0.87 (0.78–0.98) Model 2 HR – 0.74 (0.53–1.02) 0.71 (0.46–1.09) 0.53 (0.35–0.80) 0.004 0.85 (0.76–0.95) CVD mo ali y No. o dea hs (%) 31 (4.2%) 32 (4.5%) 11 (3.5%) 5 (2.3%) 79 (4.0%) Unadjus ed HR – 1.51 (0.86–2.66) 0.98 (0.42–2.26) 0.50 (0.18–1.41) 0.123 0.83 (0.69–0.99) Model 1 HR – 0.96 (0.56–1.66) 0.72 (0.28–1.85) 0.42 (0.14–1.25) 0.110 0.81 (0.64–1.02) Cance mo ali y No. o dea hs (%) 19 (2.6%) 18 (2.6%) 12 (3.8%) 5 (2.3%) 54 (2.7%) Unadjus ed HR – 1.66 (0.80–3.42) 1.81 (0.74–4.38) 0.89 (0.23–3.41) 0.905 0.99 (0.76–1.29) Model 1 HR – 1.16 (0.54–2.48) 1.24 (0.47–3.23) 0.59 (0.15–2.39) 0.392 0.91 (0.64–1.29) Associa ion o ca eine consump ion om co ee wi h mo ali y among men No consump ion (n=656) <100 mg/day (n=572) 100 o <200 mg/day (n=358) ≥200 mg/day (n=388) P o end Con inuous analysisa All-cause mo ali y No. o dea hs (%) 132 (20.1%) 126 (22.0%) 70 (19.6%) 79 (20.4%) 407 (20.6%) Unadjus ed HR – 1.59 (1.19–2.13) 1.13 (0.77–1.66) 1.42 (0.93–2.08) 0.282 1.06 (1.00–1.12) Model 1 HR – 1.05 (0.76–1.45) 0.80 (0.57–1.11) 1.07 (0.74–1.55) 0.922 1.03 (0.96–1.11) Model 2 HR – 1.04 (0.74–1.47) 0.76 (0.53–1.08) 1.09 (0.76–1.56) 0.873 1.03 (0.96–1.11) CVD mo ali y No. o dea hs (%) 34 (5.2%) 45 (7.9%) 18 (5.0%) 23 (5.9%) 120 (6.1%) Unadjus ed HR – 2.13 (1.35–3.38) 1.15 (0.55–2.42) 1.48 (0.64–3.40) 0.791 1.09 (0.99–1.20) Model 1 HR – 1.33 (0.79–2.26) 0.70 (0.35–1.41) 0.97 (0.44–2.15) 0.563 1.06 (0.94–1.19) Cance mo ali y No. o dea hs (%) 17 (3.5%) 23 (3.5%) 19 (5.3%) 14 (3.6%) 79 (4.0%) Unadjus ed HR – 3.34 (1.58–7.05) 2.85 (1.39–5.84) 3.12 (1.79–5.42) 0.022 1.09 (1.00–1.19) Model 1 HR – 2.51 (1.10–5.71) 2.19 (1.00–4.81) 2.24 (1.10–4.56) 0.270 1.06 (0.93–1.20) Model 1: Adjus ed o age, ace, annual amily income, smoking s a us, and diabe ic kidney disease. Model 2: Adjus ed o co a ia es in Model 1 and body mass index, educa ion le el, daily ca bohyd a e consump ion, alcohol consump ion, yea s since diabe es diagnosis, diagnosis o hype ension, e inopa hy, mac o ascula complica ions, insulin ea men , and su ey cycle. aHR o he con inuous analysis a e p esen ed o each 100 mg inc ease in ca eine consump ion om co ee. HR, Haza d Ra io; CVD, Ca dio ascula disease. Signi ican P o end alues and signi ican haza d a ios in he con inuous analysis a e shown in bold. 0.45 (0.20–1.03) o 3 o mo e cups pe day compa ing wi h no consump ion) bu no in men (24). O he s udies ha e also shown in e se associa ions be ween consump ion o ca eine- con aining be e ages and mo ali y among women, albei wi h weake associa ions (22,25). Al hough some s udies sugges g ea e bene i s o consump ion o ca eine o co ee among women, hese indings a e no consis en ac oss s udies. Se e al s udies ha e shown simila in e se associa ions be ween co ee consump ion and mo ali y in women and men (26–28). The ype o ca eine-con aining be e age, he popula ion’s isk ac o s o he du a ion o ollow-up may explain he di e ences be ween s udies. The bene i s o co ee may be di ec ly ela ed o ca eine o o o he componen s p esen in co ee, including mine als, phy ochemicals, and an ioxidan s (25,29). The an ioxidan capaci y o hese d inks may con ibu e o he heal h-p o ec i e e ec desc ibed wi h deca eina ed co ee consump ion (7). The lack o signi ican di e ences on mo ali y ega ding ca eine consump ion om ea on ou s udy may be explained by insu icien powe . A ecen me a-analysis ound a signi ican associa ion be ween ea consump ion and educ ion o all-cause mo ali y; u he mo e, black ea was in e sely associa ed wi h cance mo ali y (30). Tsujimo o e al. also used NHANES da a o e alua e he e ec s o ca eine consump ion in he gene al popula ion (31). In hei main analysis, ca eine in ake was associa ed wi h a dec eased isk o all-cause mo ali y. Al hough i was no hei main objec i e, he au ho s also pe o med an addi ional analysis limi ed o he F on ie s in Endoc inology | www. on ie sin.o g 7Sep embe 2018 | Volume 9 | A icle 547 Ne es e al. Ca eine and Mo ali y in Diabe es pa icipan s wi h diabe es. Con a y o ou esul s, hey epo ed a non-signi ican associa ion be ween ca eine consump ion and mo ali y among pa icipan s wi h diabe es. In he s udy by Tsujimo o e al., no adjus men s we e made o diabe es-speci ic pa ame e s, including diabe es du a ion, ype o ea men and complica ions o diabe es. Pa icipan s wi h diabe es we e no s a i ied acco ding o sex and no adjus men was pe o med o he p esence o kidney disease. Fu he mo e, in he s udy by Tsujimo o e al., pa icipan s wi h missing in o ma ion on any o he po en ial con ounde s we e excluded, whe eas we included hese pa ien s using mul iple impu a ion. The di e ences in pa icipan s’ selec ion and in he s a is ical analyses echniques used p obably accoun o he di e ences be ween he s udies. Ou s udy has se e al s eng hs, including he e alua ion o a coho o pa icipan s om a la ge da abase ep esen a i e o he Ame ican popula ion. Da a was p ospec i ely collec ed and included ha d ou come measu es such as dea h and cause- speci ic mo ali y. The p esence o de ailed in o ma ion abou he pa icipan s allowed o adjus men o he main biologically plausible con ounde s. As o limi a ions, i should be no ed ha ca eine consump ion was e alua ed by 24-h die a y ecalls. I canno be excluded ha da a gene a ed using his me hod may no ep esen long- e m die a y habi s. We conside ha he inclusion o da a om non-consecu i e ecalls o es ima e usual die a y in ake dis ibu ions minimizes his isk. Al hough we p esen addi ional in o ma ion ega ding die in he s udied popula ion (such as consump ion o ca bohyd a e, sa u a ed a , o ibe ), no adjus men was pe o med o addi i es p esen in ca eine-con aining be e ages. None heless, o he s udies showed signi ican associa ion be ween co ee consump ion and dec eased isk o dea h e en a e adjus men o co ee addi i es, such as c eam, milk, suga , o honey (32). E en hough we ha e ound a signi ican associa ion be ween ca eine consump ion and mo ali y in women wi h diabe es, i is possible ha he di e ences ound a e due o chance, unmeasu ed con ounde s, o he possibili y ha ca eine consume s also pe o m o he p o ec i e beha io s, con ibu ing o a heal hy use e ec . To minimize his possibili y, we ha e conside ed die a y ac o s and physical ac i i y as po en ial con ounde s. As he numbe o dea hs in ou s udy was low, hese es ima es should be cau iously in e p e ed. In conclusion, his la ge obse a ional s udy showed a signi ican in e se associa ion be ween ca eine consump ion and dea h om all causes in women wi h diabe es. These esul s sugges ha ad ising women wi h diabe es o d ink mo e ca eine may educe hei mo ali y. This would ep esen a simple, clinically bene icial, and inexpensi e op ion in emale pa ien s. Fu he s udies, ideally andomized clinical ials, a e needed o con i m his bene i . New esea ch should also ocus on he di e en e ec s o ca eine consump ion in men and women and on he bene i s o o he compounds p esen in ca eine-con aining be e ages. DATA AVAILABILITY STATEMENT The da ase analyzed o his s udy can be ound in: h ps://www. cdc.go /nchs/nhanes/index.h m. AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS JSN, LL, RM, MBV, and CVD join ly designed and conduc ed esea ch, de eloped he analy ical s a egy and did he s a is ical analysis. BC e iewed he analy ic s a egy and s a is ical analysis. JSN, LL, RM, MBV, and CVD join ly con ibu ed o he i s d a . All au ho s con ibu ed o in e p e a ion o da a o he wo k, c i ically e ised he wo k, and app o ed he inal e sion o he manusc ip . ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We hank he pa icipan s and s a o NHANES. Pa s o his s udy we e p esen ed in abs ac o m a he 47 h Eu opean Associa ion o he S udy o Diabe es Annual Mee ing, Lisbon, Po ugal 11–15 Sep embe 2017. SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL The Supplemen a y Ma e ial o his a icle can be ound online a : h ps://www. on ie sin.o g/a icles/10.3389/ endo. 2018.00547/ ull#supplemen a y-ma e ial REFERENCES 1. Ogu so a K, Da Rocha Fe nandes JD, Huang Y, Linnenkamp U, Gua igua a L, Cho NH, e al. IDF diabe es a las: global es ima es o he p e alence o diabe es o 2015 and 2040. Diabe es Res Clin P ac . (2017) 128:40–50. doi: 10.1016/j.diab es.2017.03.024 2. Ding M, Sa ija A, Bhupa hi aju SN, Hu Y, Sun Q, Han J, e al. Associa ion o co ee consump ion wi h o al and cause-speci ic mo ali y in 3 la ge p ospec i e coho s. 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Copy igh © 2018 Ne es, Lei ão, Mag iço, Bigo e Viei a, Viegas Dias, Oli ei a, Ca alho and Clagge . This is an open-access a icle dis ibu ed unde he e ms o he C ea i e Commons A ibu ion License (CC BY). The use, dis ibu ion o ep oduc ion in o he o ums is pe mi ed, p o ided he o iginal au ho (s) and he copy igh owne (s) a e c edi ed and ha he o iginal publica ion in his jou nal is ci ed, in acco dance wi h accep ed academic p ac ice. No use, dis ibu ion o ep oduc ion is pe mi ed which does no comply wi h hese e ms. F on ie s in Endoc inology | www. on ie sin.o g 9Sep embe 2018 | Volume 9 | A icle 547