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Risk of pneumonia associated with use of angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors and angiotensin receptor blockers : systematic review and meta-analysis

Caldeira, Daniel,Alarcão, Joana,Vaz Carneiro, António,Costa, João

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To systematically review longitudinal studies evaluating use of angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) and risk of pneumonia. DESIGN: Systematic review and meta-analysis. DATA SOURCES: Medline through PubMed, Web of Science with conference proceedings (inception to June 2011), and US Food and Drug Administration website (June 2011). Systematic reviews and references of retrieved articles were also searched. STUDY SELECTION: Two reviewers independently selected randomised controlled trials and cohort and case-control studies evaluating the use of ACE inhibitors or ARBs and risk of pneumonia and retrieved characteristics of the studies and data estimates. DATA SYNTHESIS: The primary outcome was incidence of pneumonia and the secondary outcome was pneumonia related mortality. Subgroup analyses were carried according to baseline morbidities (stroke, heart failure, and chronic kidney disease) and patients' characteristics (Asian and non-Asian). Pooled estimates of odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals were derived by random effects meta-analysis. Adjusted frequentist indirect comparisons between ACE inhibitors and ARBs were estimated and combined with direct evidence whenever available. Heterogeneity was assessed using the I(2) test. RESULTS: 37 eligible studies were included. ACE inhibitors were associated with a significantly reduced risk of pneumonia compared with control treatment (19 studies: odds ratio 0.66, 95% confidence interval 0.55 to 0.80; I(2) = 79%) and ARBs (combined direct and indirect odds ratio estimate 0.69, 0.56 to 0.85). In patients with stroke, the risk of pneumonia was also lower in those treated with ACE inhibitors compared with control treatment (odds ratio 0.46, 0.34 to 0.62) and ARBs (0.42, 0.22 to 0.80). ACE inhibitors were associated with a significantly reduced risk of pneumonia among Asian patients (0.43, 0.34 to 0.54) compared with non-Asian patients (0.82, 0.67 to 1.00; P<0.001). Compared with control treatments, both ACE inhibitors (seven studies: odds ratio 0.73, 0.58 to 0.92; I(2)=51%) and ARBs (one randomised controlled trial: 0.63, 0.40 to 1.00) were associated with a decrease in pneumonia related mortality, without differences between interventions. CONCLUSIONS: The best evidence available points towards a putative protective role of ACE inhibitors but not ARBs in risk of pneumonia. Patient populations that may benefit most are those with previous stroke and Asian patients. ACE inhibitors were also associated with a decrease in pneumonia related mortality, but the data lacked strength.

Full text

Risk o pneumonia associa ed wi h use o angio ensin con e ing enzyme inhibi o s and angio ensin ecep o blocke s: sys ema ic e iew and me a-analysis OPEN ACCESS Daniel Caldei a ca diologis esiden , assis an o clinical pha macology 1, Joana Ala cão scien i ic consul an , assis an o clinical pha macology2, An ónio Vaz-Ca nei o clinical p o esso o medicine, di ec o o he Cen e o E idence-Based Medicine2 3, João Cos a p o esso o clinical pha macology, coo dina o o he Po uguese Coch ane Cen e 123 1Labo a o y o Clinical Pha macology and The apeu ics, Facul y o Medicine, Uni e si y o Lisbon; 2Cen e o E idence-Based Medicine, Facul y o Medicine, Uni e si y o Lisbon, A enue P o esso Egas Moniz, 1649-028, Lisbon, Po ugal; 3Coch ane Coo dina ing Cen e Po ugal, Facul y o Medicine, Uni e si y o Lisbon Abs ac Objec i e To sys ema ically e iew longi udinal s udies e alua ing use o angio ensin con e ing enzyme (ACE) inhibi o s o angio ensin ecep o blocke s (ARBs) and isk o pneumonia. Design Sys ema ic e iew and me a-analysis. Da a sou ces Medline h ough PubMed, Web o Science wi h con e ence p oceedings (incep ion o June 2011), and US Food and D ug Adminis a ion websi e (June 2011). Sys ema ic e iews and e e ences o e ie ed a icles we e also sea ched. S udy selec ion Two e iewe s independen ly selec ed andomised con olled ials and coho and case-con ol s udies e alua ing he use o ACE inhibi o s o ARBs and isk o pneumonia and e ie ed cha ac e is ics o he s udies and da a es ima es. Da a syn hesis The p ima y ou come was incidence o pneumonia and he seconda y ou come was pneumonia ela ed mo ali y. Subg oup analyses we e ca ied acco ding o baseline mo bidi ies (s oke, hea ailu e, and ch onic kidney disease) and pa ien s’ cha ac e is ics (Asian and non-Asian). Pooled es ima es o odds a ios and 95% con idence in e als we e de i ed by andom e ec s me a-analysis. Adjus ed equen is indi ec compa isons be ween ACE inhibi o s and ARBs we e es ima ed and combined wi h di ec e idence whene e a ailable. He e ogenei y was assessed using he I2 es . Resul s 37 eligible s udies we e included. ACE inhibi o s we e associa ed wi h a signi ican ly educed isk o pneumonia compa ed wi h con ol ea men (19 s udies: odds a io 0.66, 95% con idence in e al 0.55 o 0.80; I2=79%) and ARBs (combined di ec and indi ec odds a io es ima e 0.69, 0.56 o 0.85). In pa ien s wi h s oke, he isk o pneumonia was also lowe in hose ea ed wi h ACE inhibi o s compa ed wi h con ol ea men (odds a io 0.46, 0.34 o 0.62) and ARBs (0.42, 0.22 o 0.80). ACE inhibi o s we e associa ed wi h a signi ican ly educed isk o pneumonia among Asian pa ien s (0.43, 0.34 o 0.54) compa ed wi h non-Asian pa ien s (0.82, 0.67 o 1.00; P<0.001). Compa ed wi h con ol ea men s, bo h ACE inhibi o s (se en s udies: odds a io 0.73, 0.58 o 0.92; I2=51%) and ARBs (one andomised con olled ial: 0.63, 0.40 o 1.00) we e associa ed wi h a dec ease in pneumonia ela ed mo ali y, wi hou di e ences be ween in e en ions. Conclusions The bes e idence a ailable poin s owa ds a pu a i e p o ec i e ole o ACE inhibi o s bu no ARBs in isk o pneumonia. Pa ien popula ions ha may bene i mos a e hose wi h p e ious s oke and Asian pa ien s. ACE inhibi o s we e also associa ed wi h a dec ease in pneumonia ela ed mo ali y, bu he da a lacked s eng h. In oduc ion Pneumonia ep esen s an impo an clinical condi ion because o i s ela i ely high incidence (0.5% o 1.1% annually in he Uni ed Kingdom) and associa ed mo bidi y and mo ali y.1 2 Suscep ibili y is highe among elde ly people (≥65 yea s), hose wi h alcohol dependency, smoke s, and pa ien s wi h hea ailu e, p e ious s oke, diabe es, ch onic kidney disease, and ch onic lung disease.3-6 Pneumonia is a common eason o hospi al admission and a isk ac o o p olonged hospi al s ay, ca ying a conside able inancial bu den on heal hca e esou ces.7 8 Co espondence o: J Cos a [email p o ec ed] Ex a ma e ial supplied by he au ho (see h p://www.bmj.com/con en /345/bmj.e4260? ab= ela ed#webex a) Sea ch s a egy Supplemen a y igu es 1-13 No comme cial euse: See igh s and ep in s h p://www.bmj.com/pe missions Subsc ibe: h p://www.bmj.com/subsc ibe BMJ 2012;345:e4260 doi: 10.1136/bmj.e4260 (Published 11 July 2012) Page 1 o 20 Resea ch RESEARCH Usage o some d ugs has been shown o modula e he isk o pneumonia. Acid supp essan s can inc ease pa ien s’ suscep ibili y o pneumonia, whe eas s a ins may ha e a p o ec i e ole.9 10 Angio ensin con e ing enzyme (ACE) inhibi o s and angio ensin ecep o blocke s (ARBs) a e o en used in pa ien s wi h ca dio ascula disease. ACE inhibi o s a e known o ha e ad e se e ec s on he espi a o y sys em, in pa icula an inc eased incidence o cough. Basic in es iga ion has shown ha b adykinin and subs ance P sensi ise he senso y ne es o he ai ways and enhance he cough e lex,11-13 which may ha e a p o ec i e ole on he acheob onchial ee.14 15 These mechanisms also imp o e swallowing by a oiding he exposu e o he espi a o y ee o o opha ynx sec e ions.11 14 16 Taken oge he , he pleio opic e ec s o ACE inhibi o s we e sugges ed o educe he incidence o pneumonia, bu a ailable clinical e idence lacks s eng h17-19 and published esul s ha e been con adic o y.20-22 We sys ema ically e iewed and me a-analysed all s udies (expe imen al and obse a ional) e alua ing he use o ACE inhibi o s and incidence o pneumonia. Because he clinical cha ac e is ics and isk ac o s o popula ions using ARBs a e simila o hose o pa ien s using ACE inhibi o s, and he e o e s udies e alua ing hese in e en ions sha e iden ical po en ial clinical con ounde s, we also es ima ed he incidence o pneumonia in s udies e alua ing ARBs. Mo eo e , pa ien s ea ed wi h ARBs a e less likely o expe ience espi a o y ad e se e en s,23 24 and he e o e ARBs may ha e a p o ec i e ole. Me hods The sys ema ic e iew was ca ied ou in acco dance wi h he me a-analysis o obse a ional s udies in epidemiology and p e e ed epo ing i ems o sys ema ic e iews and me a-analyses s a emen s.25 26 Ou p ima y ou come was he incidence o pneumonia. We conside ed cases o pneumonia, lowe espi a o y ac in ec ions, and admissions o hospi al due o lowe espi a o y ac in ec ions. Da a we e ex ac ed i espec i e o whe he hey had been epo ed as p ede ined ou comes o as ad e se e ec s. I s udies epo ed da a o dea h om pneumonia only, o a oid duplica ion we did no conside hese cases o he p ima y ou come. The seconda y ou come was pneumonia ela ed mo ali y, de ined as dea h di ec ly ela ed o his condi ion o in-hospi al dea h o mo ali y wi hin 30 days a e onse o pneumonia.27 Fo bo h ou comes, we did no conside unde ined da a o da a on uppe espi a o y ac in ec ions. We conside ed andomised con olled pa allel ials, coho s udies, and case-con ol s udies wi h ACE inhibi o s o ARBs as in e en ions and wi h p ede ined ou comes. T ea men a ms could compa e ACE inhibi o s and ARBs wi h each o he o wi h placebo o any o he ac i e d ug. Coho s udies could be based on popula ions in he communi y o hose in ins i u ions o hospi al and had o ollow pa ien s o de e mine pneumonia ou comes. In case-con ol s udies, cases had o be de ined as pa ien s wi h new onse pneumonia iden i ied h ough clinical examina ion, adiological me hods, o da abase codes. Con ols had o be ma ched o cases, bu wi hou new onse pneumonia. Fo pneumonia ela ed mo ali y, we allowed case-con ol s udies wi h bo h cases and con ols ha ing pneumonia. We allowed all pa icipan s, i espec i e o baseline diseases and isk ac o s. In o ma ion sou ces and sea ch me hod We iden i ied po en ially eligible s udies h ough an elec onic sea ch o bibliog aphic da abases om incep ion o June 2011 (Medline h ough PubMed and Web o Science wi h con e ence p oceedings). See he supplemen a y ile o de ails o he sea ch s a egy. No language es ic ions we e applied. We sc eened and c oss checked iden i ied sys ema ic e iews and me a-analyses e alua ing ACE inhibi o s o ARBs, as well as e e ence lis s o pape s o po en ial addi ional s udies. We also sea ched he Food and D ug Adminis a ion websi e (10 June 2011) o egula o y documen s wi h unpublished da a om clinical ials. S udy selec ion and da a collec ion p ocess The i les and abs ac s o ob ained eco ds we e sc eened. Doub s and disag eemen s we e esol ed by consensus. We assessed he selec ed s udies in ull ex o de e mine app op ia eness o inclusion. Two au ho s independen ly ex ac ed da a on s udy design, loca ion, pe iod o s udy, pa ien s’ cha ac e is ics, d ug use and how i was assessed, p ima y ou comes, da a o equi ed ou comes, and adjus men s o es ima es. When s udies p esen ed di e en es ima es on p ima y ou comes acco ding o he se e i y o pneumonia, we ex ac ed o analysis only hose epo ing he mos se e e cases. Fo he p ima y ou come we conside ed d ug wi hd awals due o pneumonia only when no o he es ima es we e a ailable. When mo e han one isk es ima e was a ailable om se e al sou ces, we used only he mos p ecise o adjus ed measu es o associa ion om each epo . O he wise we used he c ude odds a io o de i ed i om he aw da a. Two au ho s (DC and JA) independen ly analysed he quali y o epo ing by using a quali a i e classi ica ion acco ding o isk o bias (high, unclea , o low). Fo obse a ional s udies we used a six i em classi ica ion based on he me a-analysis o obse a ional s udies in epidemiology,25 he quali y assessmen ool o sys ema ic e iews o obse a ional s udies,28 and s eng hening he epo ing o obse a ional s udies in epidemiology.29 This sys em was adap ed om a p e iously published sys ema ic e iew30 31 and ook in o conside a ion he pa icipan s (i any jus i ica ion was gi en o he coho and he s udy epo ed app op ia e inclusion and exclusion c i e ia), in e en ion (i d ug use was adequa ely assessed and no based on sel epo ), ou come (i pneumonia was assessed by clinical examina ion, adiological me hods, o da abase codes and no based on sel epo ), and ou come adjus men s ( o bo h age and a leas one o he ollowing: smoke o pulmona y disease, ca dio ascula diseases o d ug use o ch onic kidney disease; o he adjus men s). Fo andomised con olled ials we adap ed he Coch ane Collabo a ion’s ool o assessing isk o bias o e alua e he quali y o epo ing: andomisa ion me hod, alloca ion concealmen , blinding o pa icipan s and s a , blinding o ou come assessmen , selec i e epo ing (i pneumonia was a p especi ied ou come), and desc ip ion o wi hd awals.32 F om hese ools we de i ed isk o bias g aphs. S a is ical analysis We used Re Man 5.1.4 so wa e o s a is ical analysis (No dic Coch ane Cen e, Coch ane Collabo a ion, 2011) and o de i e o es plo s showing he esul s o indi idual s udies and pooled analysis. We ca ied ou h ee analyses. Fi s ly, we compa ed ACE inhibi o s and ARBs wi h each con ol g oup using andom e ec s me a-analysis weigh ed by he in e se a iance me hod No comme cial euse: See igh s and ep in s h p://www.bmj.com/pe missions Subsc ibe: h p://www.bmj.com/subsc ibe BMJ 2012;345:e4260 doi: 10.1136/bmj.e4260 (Published 11 July 2012) Page 2 o 20 RESEARCH o es ima e pooled odds a ios and 95% con idence in e als. He e ogenei y was assessed wi h he I2 es , which measu es he pe cen age o o al a ia ion be ween s udies due o he e ogenei y.33 We used he andom e ec s model independen ly o he exis ence (I2≥50%) o subs an ial he e ogenei y be ween he esul s o ials, as we pooled he esul s o s udies wi h di e en designs and pa ien s’ cha ac e is ics. We chose he odds a io as he measu emen es ima e o e ec because ela i e es ima es a e mo e simila han absolu e e ec s ac oss s udies wi h di e en designs, popula ions, and leng hs o ollow-up.34 Raw da a we e i s con e ed o odds a ios h ough classic me hods, o h ough Pe o’s me hod i one a m had a ze o coun cell. When aw da a o odds a ios we e no a ailable we ook he haza d a io o isk a io o analysis. To explo e di e ences in es ima es o ou comes we p esen ed he esul s s a i ied acco ding o s udy design. Fo he pu pose o he analysis we ea ed nes ed case-con ol s udies as coho s udies. We ca ied ou subg oup analyses o pa ien s wi h p e ious s oke, hea ailu e, and ch onic kidney disease because such pa ien s a e known o be pa icula ly suscep ible o pneumonia and all indica ions a e clinically app o ed o ea men wi h ACE inhibi o s and ARBs.5 6 35 36 In iew o he sugges ion ha ACE inhibi o s may be mo e e icien in educing he isk o pneumonia in Asian pa ien s we also calcula ed es ima es o Asian and non-Asian popula ions.37 We e alua ed di e ences be ween subg oups wi h he me hod desc ibed by Deeks e al, based on he in e se a iance me hod.33 In he second analysis we ca ied ou adjus ed indi ec compa isons be ween he pooled es ima e o ACE inhibi o s ( e sus con ol) and ARBs ( e sus con ol) using he Buche equen is me hod, which compa es di e en ea men s adjus ed o he esul s o hei di ec compa ison wi h a common con ol.38 This me hod pa ially o e comes he p oblem o di e en p ognos ic cha ac e is ics be ween pa icipan s among s udies, and i is belie ed o be alid assuming ha he ela i e e ec o in e en ions is consis en ac oss di e en s udies, as e i ied in ou case.39 By de aul we used he andom e ec s model because adjus ed indi ec compa isons ha used he ixed e ec s model end o unde es ima e he s anda d e o s o pooled es ima es.39 Thi dly, we combined e idence gene a ed by indi ec compa isons wi h e idence om head o head s udies compa ing ACE inhibi o s wi h ARBs using he andom e ec s model o quan i a i e pooling,40 41 and we de e mined he disc epancy and he e ogenei y be ween di ec and indi ec es ima es.42 We also calcula ed he numbe needed o ea (NNT) and 95% con idence in e als, aking in o accoun he baseline isk (weigh ed p opo ion o e en a e in con ol g oup) because o he di e ences in he p edic ed absolu e bene i o ea men acco ding o a ia ion in baseline isk be ween g oups.34 43 In ou case, he weigh ed isk o pneumonia in he con ol g oups was 4.6% (95% con idence in e al 3.1% o 6.7%). Publica ion bias was assessed h ough isual inspec ion o he asymme y in unnel plo s. Resul s The sea ch o he elec onic da abases yielded 807 published s udies. A e applying he inclusion and exclusion c i e ia 29 s udies we e included o analysis ( ig 1⇓). The esul s om eigh addi ional s udies we e iden i ied in he FDA egula o y documen s. O e all, da a we e ob ained om 37 s udies.20-22 44-79 Desc ip ion o s udies The 37 s udies included 18 andomised con olled ials,20 44-61 11 coho s udies,62-73 wo nes ed case-con ol s udies,21 74 and six case-con ol s udies.22 75-79 Among andomised con olled ials, eigh we e done wo ldwide,47 48 51 52 55 57 58 61 six in Eu ope,44-46 53 56 60 h ee in Asia,49 50 59, and one in Eu ope and he Uni ed S a es.54 Mos o he andomised con olled ials we e mul icen e (n=16). Se en andomised con olled ials compa ed ACE inhibi o s wi h con ols,44-50 nine compa ed ARBs wi h con ols,51-59 and wo compa ed ACE inhibi o s wi h ARBs.60 61 Se en ials epo ed speci ic da a o se ious pneumonia, i e o a al pneumonia, and eigh epo ed pneumonia wi hou speci ying he se e i y o disease. In only wo ials was pneumonia a p especi ied ou come.49 59 Among obse a ional s udies, 10 we e ca ied ou in Asia, i e in he Uni ed S a es, and ou in Eu ope. Ele en s udies we e e ospec i e and eigh we e p ospec i e. Se en een e alua ed ACE inhibi o s, wo ARBs, and wo compa ed ACE inhibi o s wi h ARBs. Tables 1 o 3⇓⇓⇓ summa ise he main cha ac e is ics o he included s udies. The o e all quali y o he s udies was conside ed o be good. All he andomised con olled ials, excep one,51 me he c i e ia o andom sequence gene a ion and abou hal speci ically epo ed adequa e alloca ion concealmen .46 48 50 54 55 57 58 61 Only wo andomised con olled ials56 59 we e conside ed o be a high isk o pe o mance bias. Adequa e blinding o ou come assessmen 45-48 50 52-59 61 and ull desc ip ion o s udy wi hd awals44-55 57 58 60 61 we e epo ed in 78% and 89% o andomised con olled ials, espec i ely. The highes isk o bias was ound o po en ial epo ing bias because only wo andomised con olled ials p esen ed esul s o pneumonia as a p especi ied ou come.49 59 Supplemen a y igu es 1 and 2 show he esul s o he quali y app aisal o he andomised con olled ials. All obse a ional s udies we e conside ed o ha e adequa e inclusion and exclusion c i e ia and p o ided jus i ica ion o he coho . Fi e s udies (26%)62-64 66 69 did no clea ly s a ed how he d ug use was assessed, and ou s udies (21%)63 64 66 73 did no p o ide de ails abou ou come assessmen . Ele en s udies (58%)21 22 68 70-72 74 75 77 79 p o ided esul s a e adjus men o a leas one po en ial a iable con ounde . In one s udy76 i was unclea o which a iables he esul s we e adjus ed. Few s udies (26%) epo ed esul s adjus ed o mul iple con ounde s, and in se en s udies (37%) no ype o adjus men was men ioned. Supplemen a y igu es 3 and 4 show he esul s o he quali y o he obse a ional s udies. P ima y ou come: incidence o pneumonia P ima y ou come da a we e a ailable om 19 s udies compa ing ACE inhibi o s wi h con ols ( i e andomised con olled ials, eigh coho o nes ed case-con ol s udies, and six case-con ol s udies), 11 s udies compa ing ARBs wi h con ols (nine andomised con olled ials and wo coho o nes ed case-con ol s udies), and wo s udies compa ing ACE inhibi o s wi h ARBs (one andomised con olled ial and one coho s udy). Use o ACE inhibi o s was associa ed wi h a signi ican 34% educ ion in isk o pneumonia compa ed wi h con ols (odds a io 0.66, 95% con idence in e al 0.55 o 0.80; I2=79%). The NNT o 2.0 yea s was 65 (48 o 112). The magni ude o he isk educ ion was simila ac oss all s udy designs (P=0.78 o No comme cial euse: See igh s and ep in s h p://www.bmj.com/pe missions Subsc ibe: h p://www.bmj.com/subsc ibe BMJ 2012;345:e4260 doi: 10.1136/bmj.e4260 (Published 11 July 2012) Page 3 o 20 RESEARCH subg oup di e ences). The odds a ios o andomised con olled ials, coho o nes ed case-con ol s udies, and case-con ol s udies we e 0.69 (0.56 o 0.85; I2=0%), 0.58 (0.38 o 0.88; I2=79%), and 0.67 (0.49 o 0.93; I2=73%), espec i ely ( ig 2⇓). The isk o pneumonia was no , howe e , di e en be ween pa ien s who did o did no use ARBs (0.95, 0.87 o 1.04; I2=14%). Odds a io es ima es o andomised con olled ials (0.90, 0.79 o 1.01; I2=7%) and coho o nes ed case-con ol s udies (1.01, 0.94 o 1.09; I2=0%) did no di e signi ican ly (P=0.10; ig 3⇓). Pooled esul s om he wo head o head s udies showed a non-signi ican 37% educ ion in isk o pneumonia associa ed wi h use o ACE inhibi o s (0.63, 0.28 o 1.44; I2=78%). In his case, es ima es om he andomised con olled ial and coho s udy di e ed signi ican ly (P=0.03) (see supplemen a y igu e 5). Indi ec compa ison o ACE inhibi o s wi h ARBs showed a signi ican 30% educ ion in isk o pneumonia associa ed wi h use o ACE inhibi o s (0.70, 0.56 o 0.86). Simila esul s we e ob ained om pooled di ec and indi ec es ima es (0.69, 0.56 o 0.85) wi hou disc epancy (P=0.82) o he e ogenei y (I2=0%) be ween bo h es ima es ( ig 4⇓). The NNT o 2.2 yea s based on his es ima e was 72 (51 o 147). Subg oup analyses o p ima y ou come Pa ien s wi h p e ious s oke In pa ien s wi h p e ious s oke, use o ACE inhibi o s was associa ed wi h a 54% educ ion in isk o pneumonia compa ed wi h con ols (0.46, 0.34 o 0.62, I2=0%; se en s udies pooled) (see supplemen a y igu e 6). In he same popula ion, howe e , use o ARBs was no associa ed wi h a signi ican educ ion in isk (0.86, 0.67 o 1.09; I2=0%; wo s udies pooled) (see supplemen a y igu e 7). The pooled es ima e om indi ec (odds a io 0.53, 95% con idence in e al 0.16 o 1.79) and di ec (0.38, 0.17 o 0.81) e idence o ACE inhibi o s compa ed wi h ARBs showed a signi ican 58% educ ion in isk o pneumonia (0.42, 0.22 o 0.80; ig 4), wi hou disc epancy (P=0.44) o he e ogenei y (I2=0%) be ween indi ec and di ec es ima es. Pa ien s wi h hea ailu e In pa ien s wi h hea ailu e, wo s udies e alua ed he isk o pneumonia in hose ea ed wi h ACE inhibi o s44 45 and wo o he s udies epo ed da a o hose ea ed wi h ARBs.51 52 ACE inhibi o s we e associa ed wi h a signi ican 37% educ ion in isk o pneumonia (0.63, 0.47 o 0.84; I2=0%), whe eas ARBs showed no signi ican e ec (0.85, 0.49 o 1.47; I2=15%) (see supplemen a y igu e 8). Pa ien s wi h ch onic kidney disease In pa ien s wi h ch onic kidney disease, he esul s om one andomised con olled ial o ACE inhibi o s46 (odds a io 0.15, 95% con idence in e al 0.00 o 7.70) and wo andomised con olled ials o ARBs52 53 (1.21, 0.32 o 4.52; I2=77%) did no di e signi ican ly when compa ed wi h con ols (see supplemen a y igu e 9). Asian and non-Asian pa ien s Ele en s udies we e ca ied ou in Asian coun ies and 11 we e done ou side o Asia. The PROGRESS20 s udy was he only mul icen e s udy ca ied ou wo ldwide ha supplied sepa a e da a o Asian and non-Asian pa ien s. To lowe analysis bias, he o he s udies ca ied ou wo ldwide ha did no p o ide sepa a e da a o bo h g oups we e excluded. The educ ion in isk o pneumonia associa ed wi h ACE inhibi o s was signi ican ly highe among Asian pa ien s (0.43, 0.34 o 0.54; I2=0%) compa ed wi h non-Asian pa ien s (0.82, 0.67 o 1.00, I2=80%, P<0.001 o subg oup di e ences) (see supplemen a y igu e 10). ARBs, howe e , we e no associa ed wi h a educ ion in isk o pneumonia in Asian pa ien s (1.04, 0.59 o 1.84; one andomised con olled ial HIJ-CREATE59) o non-Asian pa ien s (0.97, 0.84 o 1.12; I2=27%; i e s udies pooled; ig 4 and supplemen a y igu e 11). Seconda y ou come: pneumonia ela ed mo ali y Da a o seconda y ou comes we e ex ac ed om se en s udies compa ing ACE inhibi o s wi h con ols ( h ee andomised con olled ials and ou coho s udies),20 49 50 68 70-72 one andomised con olled ial compa ing ARBs wi h con ol,55 and one head o head andomised con olled ial.60 Fi e s udies compa ing ACE inhibi o s wi h con ols we e ca ied ou on an en iched popula ion— ha is, en olled pa ien s wi h pneumonia.49 68 70-72 T ea men wi h ACE inhibi o s was associa ed wi h a signi ican 27% educ ion in isk o pneumonia ela ed mo ali y compa ed wi h con ols (0.73, 0.58 o 0.92; I2=51%), wi hou signi ican di e ences be ween es ima es om andomised con olled ials and obse a ional s udies (P=0.76). The pooled esul om andomised con olled ials, howe e , ailed o each s a is ical signi icance (0.61, 0.20 o 1.90; I2=61%) ( ig 5⇓). Only one andomised con olled ial55 epo ed he e ec o ea men wi h ARBs on pneumonia ela ed mo ali y (odds a io 0.63, 95% con idence in e al 0.40 o 1.00) ( ig 5). The isk o pneumonia ela ed mo ali y in indi ec (1.16, 0.69 o 1.94), di ec (HEAVEN andomised con olled ial60 7.29, 0.14 o 367.24), and pooled compa isons (1.19, 0.71 o 1.98) did no di e be ween ACE inhibi o s and ARBs ( ig 4). The e was no disc epancy (P=0.36) o he e ogenei y (I2=0%) be ween indi ec and di ec es ima es. Publica ion bias Visual inspec ion o unnel plo s did no e eal any ob ious asymme ical ail (see supplemen a y igu e 12). Publica ion bias was no sugges ed by sensi i i y analysis aking in o accoun published and unpublished ials (see supplemen a y igu e 13). Discussion In his sys ema ic e iew we ound ha ea men wi h angio ensin con e ing enzyme (ACE) inhibi o s was associa ed wi h a signi ican educ ion in isk o pneumonia compa ed wi h con ol ea men and angio ensin ecep o blocke s (ARBs); he magni ude o his educ ion (abou one hi d) was simila ac oss s udies wi h di e en designs ( andomised con olled ials, coho , and case-con ol s udies). The isk o pneumonia was also educed in pa ien s ea ed wi h ACE inhibi o s who we e a highe isk o pneumonia, in pa icula hose wi h s oke and hea ailu e. Mos o he po en ial p o ec i e bene i om ACE inhibi o s seemed o be in Asian pa ien s; i is unclea whe he he me hodology o he s udies o he clinical and gene ic cha ac e is ics o he pa ien s we e esponsible o his inding. Use o ACE inhibi o s was also associa ed wi h a educ ion in pneumonia ela ed mo ali y, al hough he esul s we e less obus han o o e all isk o pneumonia; i is No comme cial euse: See igh s and ep in s h p://www.bmj.com/pe missions Subsc ibe: h p://www.bmj.com/subsc ibe BMJ 2012;345:e4260 doi: 10.1136/bmj.e4260 (Published 11 July 2012) Page 4 o 20 RESEARCH unce ain i di e ences exis be ween ACE inhibi o s and ARBs o his ou come. The p esen e iew was designed o de e mine he e ec o ea men wi h ACE inhibi o s and ARBs on isk o pneumonia. We combined da a om bo h expe imen al and obse a ional s udies o ob ain mo e obus esul s, mainly because no andomised con olled ial was p ima ily designed wi h his objec i e. Pneumonia is no a a e ou come (pa icula ly in popula ions ea ed wi h ACE inhibi o s o ARBs) o an ou come ha only occu s mon hs o yea s a e use o ACE inhibi o s o ARBs. The e o e andomised con olled ials would ha e been an app op ia e s udy design o deal wi h his p oblem. We ound signi ican s a is ical he e ogenei y o ACE inhibi o s bu no o ARB esul s. This was due o he esul s o obse a ional s udies (no he e ogenei y was ound among andomised con olled ials). Ne e heless, he obse ed s a is ical he e ogenei y was mo e quan i a i e han quali a i e because all es ima es o s udy designs sha e he same di ec ion. This consis ency, as well as he obus ness o educ ion in he isk o pneumonia ac oss all s udy designs, sugges s ha use o ACE inhibi o s dese es a en ion. Fu he mo e, ha ACE inhibi o s educed he isk o pneumonia compa ed no only wi h he con ol g oup bu also wi h ARB ea men , is eassu ing because pa ien s’ cha ac e is ics and isk ac o s, as well as o he po en ial clinical and me hodological con ounde s a e p obably simila be ween s udies on ARBs and hose on ACE inhibi o s. We we e also conse a i e in ou analysis because we did no conside unde ined da a o da a on uppe espi a o y ac in ec ions, and when s udies p esen ed di e en es ima es acco ding o he se e i y o pneumonia we ex ac ed hose epo ing only he mos se e e cases and he mos p ecise o adjus ed measu e. Ou indings ha e po en ial clinical implica ions. ACE inhibi o s a e widely p esc ibed and p esc ip ions may be in luenced by conce ns abou po en ial ad e se e ec s, in pa icula cough, which may be p o ec i e. The incidence o ACE inhibi o induced cough has been epo ed o be in he ange o 5% o 35%.80 Ou esul s sugges ha pa ien s aking ACE inhibi o s who de elop cough should, p o iding ha cough is ole able, pe sis wi h ea men . Compliance and pe sis ence wi h ea men is impo an . Fu he mo e, om an e idence based pe spec i e, he e is li le o choose be ween ACE inhibi o s and he mo e expensi e ARBs. Howe e , in he case o a pa icula pa ien , in whom ACE inhibi o s and ARBs a e p esumed o ha e simila clinical bene i , ou esul s may also in luence he choice o p esc ip ion in hose a high isk o pneumonia. The e o e pa ien s wi h isk ac o s o pneumonia and mo bidi ies ha equi e ea men wi h ACE inhibi o s may ha e an addi ional eason o con inue ea men . A u he impo an aspec o ou esul s was he educ ion in isk o pneumonia ac oss high isk pa ien s, which p o ided consis ency o he o e all esul s. Pa ien s wi h p e ious s oke ha e inc eased suscep ibili y o pneumonia owing o isk o aspi a ion associa ed wi h dec eased p o ec i e e lexes o he espi a o y sys em media ed by subs ance P and pos -s oke dysphagia.14 81 Abou 20% o hese pa ien s will de elop pneumonia,82 which is a p edic o o poo unc ional ou come83 84 and a ele an cause o dea h.84 85 The pu a i e p o ec i e e ec o ACE inhibi o s in his popula ion was p edic able gi en he impo ance o dysphagia and subs ance P in hese pa ien s. Acco ding o one s udy, ARBs do no inc ease he le els o subs ance P o imp o e asymp oma ic dysphagia.86 This highligh s he impo ance o using ACE inhibi o s in pa ien s wi h p e ious s oke who ha e como bidi ies o which ACE inhibi o s a e ecommended. Only a ew s udies e alua ed o he popula ions wi h inc eased isk, such as pa ien s wi h hea ailu e o ch onic kidney disease. Fo pa ien s wi h hea ailu e, he dec eased isk o pneumonia was also ound in pa ien s ea ed wi h ACE inhibi o s. The sugges ed e ec was signi ican bu his e alua ion lacked obus da a. ARBs did no show any p o ec i e e ec . The pu a i e p e en i e e ec o ACE inhibi o s on pneumonia in Asian pa ien s has been sugges ed.37 We explo ed his subg oup and compa ed he e ec wi h non-Asian pa ien s. Fu he mo e, we ob ained a conside able weigh o e idence om s udies ha e alua ed Asian pa ien s. ACE inhibi o s signi ican ly educed he isk o pneumonia in bo h Asian and non-Asian pa ien s, al hough he odds educ ion was signi ican ly highe in Asian pa ien s (57% 12%; P<0.001). ARBs did no educe he isk o pneumonia in ei he popula ion. Gene ic di e ences in ACE polymo phisms be ween Asian and non-Asian pa ien s ha e been sugges ed o explain he di e ence in p o ec i e e ec s. Polymo phisms I/I and I/D, which a e mo e p e alen in Asian popula ion, showed a p o ec i e end in he pos -hoc analysis in PROGRESS, whe eas he D/D polymo phism was less p o ec i e.20 77 87 This las polymo phism is associa ed wi h acu e espi a o y dis ess synd ome, pa icula ly in whi e popula ions.88 This po en ial loss o p o ec i e e ec may be explained by inc eased le els o se um ACE inhibi o s and ca abolism o kinins in pa ien s wi h he D/D polymo phism.89 Howe e , gene ic e idence is equi ocal. One s udy did no ind an associa ion be ween any speci ic geno ype and pneumonia.90 O he ac o s should be explo ed o explain hese di e ences in e hnic g oups o by geog aphical loca ion o be e de ine hose who can bene i mo e. Ou conclusions a e weake o pneumonia ela ed mo ali y because ewe s udies p o ided da a o his ou come and signi ican he e ogenei y exis ed o he esul s o ACE inhibi o s. This unce ain y was e lec ed by he wide con idence in e als. T ea men wi h ACE inhibi o s ( h ee andomised con olled ials and ou coho s udies) and ARBs (one andomised con olled ial) we e bo h associa ed wi h a dec eased isk o pneumonia ela ed mo ali y. Explana ions o such indings may ely on modula ion o ca dio ascula isk by ACE inhibi o s and ARBs because dea hs due o ca dio ascula disease a e no uncommon among pa ien s wi h pneumonia.27 91 Dec eased mo ali y may also be explained by he ole o ACE inhibi o s in pulmona y inju y and p oduc ion o cy okines, which may be ela ed o se e i y o pneumonia.92-94 ACE inhibi o s may in luence he pa e n o elease o cy okines exe ing an i-in lamma o y e ec s ha could educe he se e i y o and mo ali y om pneumonia.95 The in luence o ACE inhibi o s on su i al in hese pa ien s should be in e p e ed ca e ully because obse a ional s udies wi h en iched popula ions accoun ed o mos o he weigh o he pooled analysis, whe eas me a-analysis o h ee andomised con olled ials (one wi h an en iched popula ion) did no show di e ences be ween ACE inhibi o s and con ols. Howe e , he e was no signi ican di e ence in e ec s be ween o e all andomised con olled ials and obse a ional s udies. Al hough he da a we e no obus , hey did sugges ha he e ec s o ea men wi h ACE inhibi o s on mo ali y we e mos ly no iceable in pa ien s wi h pneumonia. Limi a ions o he e iew The esul s and conclusion o his e iew a e weakened by limi a ions inhe en o me a-analysis and indi idual s udies. The o e all quali y o included s udies was good. Howe e , epo ing quali y o a ew s udies, pa icula ly obse a ional ones, was No comme cial euse: See igh s and ep in s h p://www.bmj.com/pe missions Subsc ibe: h p://www.bmj.com/subsc ibe BMJ 2012;345:e4260 doi: 10.1136/bmj.e4260 (Published 11 July 2012) Page 5 o 20 RESEARCH low as some o hese we e abs ac ed om cha ac e limi ed sec ions such as le e s o commen s. The highe isk o bias was ound o po en ial selec i e epo ing in andomised con olled ials and p esen a ion o unadjus ed isk es ima es in obse a ional s udies. Bo h limi he s eng h o ou conclusions. A key limi a ion is ha no one andomised con olled ial was p ima ily designed o assess he e ec s o ACE inhibi o s o ARBs on pneumonia. Al hough we sea ched a la ge numbe o s udies, only a ew epo ed his ou come. Among hese, only wo andomised con olled ials (<25%) had pneumonia o pneumonia ela ed mo ali y as a p ede ined ou come.49 59 As a consequence we we e able o ex ac da a only om s udies whe e au ho s conside ed pneumonia o be an impo an ou come, because o ei he scien i ic in e es o s a is ical signi icance. Obse a ional s udies had an impo an weigh in he esul s o he p ima y ou come and his should be aken in o accoun when in e p e ing he clinical implica ions o ou indings. Use o ca dio ascula d ugs in obse a ional s udies could bias esul s, because pa ien s using d ugs could be mo e conce ned o hei heal h and mo e willing o ollow medical ad ice han con ols, he so-called heal hy use e ec bias.96 Howe e , pa ien s wi h pneumonia a e likely o ha e a highe isk o ca dio ascula disease91 97 and a e mo e likely o be ea ed wi h ACE inhibi o s, coun e balancing he bias om a heal hy use e ec . Addi ionally, he magni ude o he odds isk educ ion was simila o andomised con olled ials, coho s udies, and case-con ol s udies. Pooling da a om s udies wi h di e en designs (con ounding bias in obse a ional s udies) ha e alua ed pa ien s in di e en se ings (communi y based and hospi al based s udies; e e al bias), as well as wi h di e en baseline mo bidi ies and he e ogeneous isk (membe ship bias) o pneumonia, should also be aken in o accoun as limi a ions o ou conclusions. The deg ee o s a is ical he e ogenei y was in ac high in some compa isons. Ne e heless, he pooled es ima es om expe imen al and obse a ional s udies we e simila . In his case, pooling expe imen al and obse a ional da a inc eased he powe and ex e nal alidi y o he indings. Included s udies compa ed di e en ACE inhibi o s and ARBs wi h di e en con ols, such as placebo, calcium channel blocke s, and β blocke s. In he p esen analysis we did no ca y ou se ial subg oup analysis o explo e i he e ec was di e en o a pa icula d ug because o he sca ci y o he da a and he isk o ob aining a esul by chance. Finally, we used adjus ed indi ec compa isons o es ima e he e ec o ACE inhibi o s compa ed wi h ARBs. Al hough combined indi ec and di ec e idence showed no disc epancies o he e ogenei y, he esul s should no be hough as de ini i e conclusions because o he possibili y o imbalanced da a om s udies wi h di e en designs, baseline isk o pa ien s, and leng h o ollow-up. Conclusions Ou esul s sugges an impo an ole o ACE inhibi o s, bu no ARBs, in educing he isk o pneumonia. These da a may discou age he wi hd awal o ACE inhibi o s in some pa ien s wi h ole able ad e se e en s (namely, cough) who a e a pa icula ly high isk o pneumonia. Speci ic designed andomised con olled ials a e equi ed o es ablish de ini e conclusions and o es ima e be e he ue magni ude o his pu a i e p o ec i e e ec . Pa ien s wi h p e ious s oke and Asian pa ien s a e pa ien popula ions ha could bene i mo e om ea men wi h ACE inhibi o s. ACE inhibi o s also lowe ed he isk o pneumonia ela ed mo ali y, mainly in pa ien s wi h es ablished disease, bu he obus ness o he e idence was weake . We hank he Coch ane Coo dina ing Cen e in Po ugal. Con ibu o s: DC and JA con ibu ed o he concep and design, da a acquisi ion, da a analysis, and in e p e a ion o he da a; w o e he i s d a o he manusc ip ; c i ically e ised he manusc ip ; and ga e inal app o al o he submi ed manusc ip . AVC con ibu ed o he in e p e a ion o da a, c i ically e ised he manusc ip , and ga e inal app o al o he submi ed manusc ip . JC con ibu ed o he concep and design, da a analysis, and in e p e a ion o he da a; w o e he i s d a o he manusc ip ; c i ically e ised he manusc ip ; and ga e inal app o al o he submi ed manusc ip . JC is he gua an o . Funding: This was an academic p ojec no unded by go e nmen o non-go e nmen g an s. Compe ing in e es s: All au ho s ha e comple ed he ICMJE uni o m disclosu e o m a www.icmje.o g/coi_disclosu e.pd (a ailable on eques om he co esponding au ho ) and decla e: no suppo om any o ganisa ion o he submi ed wo k; no inancial ela ionships wi h any o ganisa ions ha migh ha e an in e es in he submi ed wo k in he p e ious h ee yea s; and no o he ela ionships o ac i i ies ha could appea o ha e in luenced he submi ed wo k. E hical app o al: No equi ed. Da a sha ing: No addi ional da a a ailable. 1 File TM. Communi y-acqui ed pneumonia. Lance 2003;362:1991-2001. 2 Lim WS, Baudouin SV, Geo ge RC, Hill AT, Jamieson C, Le Jeune I, e al. BTS guidelines o he managemen o communi y acqui ed pneumonia in adul s: upda e 2009. Tho ax 2009;64(suppl 3):iii,1-55. 3Samokh alo AV, I ing HM, Rehm J. Alcohol consump ion as a isk ac o o pneumonia: a sys ema ic e iew and me a-analysis. Epidemiol In ec 2010;138:1789-95. 4 Almi all J, Bolíba I, Balanzó X, González CA. Risk ac o s o communi y-acqui ed pneumonia in adul s: a popula ion-based case-con ol s udy. Eu Respi J 1999;13:349-55. 5 Vinog ado a Y, Hippisley-Cox J, Coupland C. Iden i ica ion o new isk ac o s o pneumonia: popula ion-based case-con ol s udy. B J Gen P ac 2009;59:e329-38. 6 Fung HB, Mon eagudo-Chu MO. Communi y-acqui ed pneumonia in he elde ly. Am J Ge ia Pha maco he 2010;8:47-62. 7 Lee HC, Chang KC, Lan CF, Hong CT, Huang YC, Chang ML. Fac o s associa ed wi h p olonged hospi al s ay o acu e s oke in Taiwan. Ac a Neu ol Taiwan 2008;17:17-25. 8 Me e sky ML, Ta e JP, Fine MJ, Pe illo MK, Meehan TP. Tempo al ends in ou comes o olde pa ien s wi h pneumonia. A ch In e n Med 2000;160:3385-91. 9 Eom CS, Jeon CY, Lim JW, Cho EG, Pa k SM, Lee KS. Use o acid-supp essi e d ugs and isk o pneumonia: a sys ema ic e iew and me a-analysis. CMAJ 2011;183:310-9. 10 Tleyjeh IM, Kashou T, Hakim FA, Zimme man VA, E win PJ, Su on AJ, e al. S a ins o he p e en ion and ea men o in ec ions: a sys ema ic e iew and me a-analysis. A ch In e n Med 2009;169:1658-67. 11 Mo ice AH, Low y R, B own MJ, Higenbo am T. Angio ensin-con e ing enzyme and he cough e lex. Lance 198;2:1116-8. 12 Fox AJ, Lalloo UG, Bel isi MG, Be na eggi M, Chung KF, Ba nes PJ. B adykinin-e oked sensi iza ion o ai way senso y ne es: a mechanism o ACE-inhibi o cough. Na Med 1996;2:814-7. 13 Tomaki M, Ichinose M, Miu a M, Hi ayama Y, Kageyama N, Yamauchi H, e al. Angio ensin con e ing enzyme (ACE) inhibi o -induced cough and subs ance P. Tho ax 1996;51:199-201. 14 Sekizawa K, Ujiie Y, I abashi S, Sasaki H, Takishima T. Lack o cough e lex in aspi a ion pneumonia. Lance 1990;335:1228-9. 15 Pon oppidan H, Beeche HK. P og essi e loss o p o ec i e e lexes in he ai way wi h he ad ance o age. JAMA 1960;174:2209-13. 16 Nakayama K, Sekizawa K, Sasaki H. ACE inhibi o and swallowing e lex. Ches 1998;113:1425. 17 El Solh AA, Saliba R. Pha macologic p e en ion o aspi a ion pneumonia: a sys ema ic e iew. Am J Ge ia Pha maco he 2007;5:352-62. 18 Ra ailidis PI, Ma haiou DK, Va bobi is I, Falagas ME. Use o ACE inhibi o s and isk o communi y-acqui ed pneumonia: a e iew. Eu J Clin Pha macol 2008;64:565-73. 19 Siempos II, Va dakas KZ, Kop e ides P, Falagas ME. Adjunc i e he apies o communi y-acqui ed pneumonia: a sys ema ic e iew. J An imic ob Chemo he 2008;62:661-8. 20 Ohkubo T, Chapman N, Neal B, Woodwa d M, Omae T, Chalme s J, e al. E ec s o an angio ensin-con e ing enzyme inhibi o -based egimen on pneumonia isk. Am J Respi C i Ca e Med 2004;169:1041-5. 21 E minan M, Zhang B, Fi zge ald M, B ophy JM. Do angio ensin-con e ing enzyme inhibi o s o angio ensin II ecep o blocke s dec ease he isk o hospi aliza ion seconda y o communi y-acqui ed pneumonia? A nes ed case-con ol s udy. Pha maco he apy 2006;26:479-82. 22 Van de Ga de EM, Sou e ein PC, an den Bosch JM, Denee V H, Leu kens HG. Angio ensin-con e ing enzyme inhibi o use and pneumonia isk in a gene al popula ion. Eu Respi J 2006;27:1217-22. 23 Dicks ein K, Kjekshus J; OPTIMAAL S ee ing Commi ee o he OPTIMAAL S udy G oup. E ec s o losa an and cap op il on mo ali y and mo bidi y in high- isk pa ien s a e acu e myoca dial in a c ion: he OPTIMAAL andomised ial. Op imal T ial in Myoca dial In a c ion wi h Angio ensin II An agonis Losa an. Lance 2002;360:752-60. No comme cial euse: See igh s and ep in s h p://www.bmj.com/pe missions Subsc ibe: h p://www.bmj.com/subsc ibe BMJ 2012;345:e4260 doi: 10.1136/bmj.e4260 (Published 11 July 2012) Page 6 o 20 RESEARCH Wha is al eady known on his opic Angio ensin con e ing enzyme (ACE) inhibi o s educe mo bidi y and mo ali y in pa ien s wi h ca dio ascula disease These d ugs also ha e seconda y e ec s on he espi a o y sys em, sugges ed o p o ec agains pneumonia Mos o he da a on his issue a e p o ided by he e ogeneous obse a ional s udies wi h inconclusi e esul s Wha his s udy adds In pooled esul s om bo h in e en ional and obse a ional s udies, ACE inhibi o s, bu no angio ensin ecep o blocke s (ARBs), showed a s a is ical and pu a i e clinically signi ican p o ec i e ole agains pneumonia This esul may discou age he wi hd awal o ACE inhibi o s in pa ien s wi h ole able ad e se e en s—namely, cough This p o ec i e e ec was highe among Asian pa ien s and in hose wi h p e ious s oke; pa ien popula ions ha may bene i mos om ACE inhibi o s 24 P e e MA, McMu ay JJ, Velazquez EJ, Rouleau JL, Købe L, Maggioni AP, e al. Valsa an, cap op il, o bo h in myoca dial in a c ion complica ed by hea ailu e, le en icula dys unc ion, o bo h. N Engl J Med 2003;349:1893-906. 25 S oup DF, Be lin JA, Mo on SC, Olkin I, Williamson GD, Rennie D, e al. Me a-analysis o obse a ional s udies in epidemiology: a p oposal o epo ing. Me a-analysis O Obse a ional S udies in Epidemiology (MOOSE) g oup. JAMA 2000;283:2008-12. 26 Libe a i A, Al man DG, Te zla J, Mul ow C, Gø zsche PC, Ioannidis JP, e al. The PRISMA s a emen o epo ing sys ema ic e iews and me a-analyses o s udies ha e alua e heal hca e in e en ions: explana ion and elabo a ion. BMJ 2009;339:b2700. 27 Mo ensen EM, Coley CM, Singe DE, Ma ie TJ, Ob osky DS, Kapoo WN, e al. Causes o dea h o pa ien s wi h communi y-acqui ed pneumonia: esul s om he Pneumonia Pa ien Ou comes Resea ch Team coho s udy. A ch In e n Med 2002;162:1059-64. 28 Wong WC, Cheung CS, Ha GJ. De elopmen o a quali y assessmen ool o sys ema ic e iews o obse a ional s udies (QATSO) o HIV p e alence in men ha ing sex wi h men and associa ed isk beha iou s. Eme g Themes Epidemiol 2008;5:23. 29 Von Elm E, Al man DG, Egge M, Pocock SJ, Gø zsche PC, Vandenb oucke JP, e al. The S eng hening he Repo ing o Obse a ional S udies in Epidemiology (STROBE) s a emen : guidelines o epo ing obse a ional s udies. Epidemiology 2007;18:800-4. 30 Ca e P, G ay LJ, T ough on J, Khun i K, Da ies MJ. F ui and ege able in ake and incidence o ype 2 diabe es melli us: sys ema ic e iew and me a-analysis. BMJ 2010;341:c4229. 31 Bui ago-Lopez A, Sande son J, Johnson L, Wa nakula S, Wood A, Di Angelan onio E, e al. Chocola e consump ion and ca diome abolic diso de s: sys ema ic e iew and me a-analysis. BMJ 2011;343:d4488. 32 Higgins JPT, Al man DG, S e ne JAC. Assessing isk o bias in included s udies. In: Higgins JPT, G een S, eds. Coch ane handbook o sys ema ic e iews o in e en ions e sion 5.1.0 . Coch ane Collabo a ion, 2011. 33 Deeks JJ, Al man DG, B adbu n MJ. S a is ical me hods o examining he e ogenei y and combining esul s om se e al s udies in me aanalysis. In Egge M, Da ey Smi h G, Al man DG, eds. Sys ema ic e iews in heal h ca e: me a-analysis in con ex . 2nd ed. BMJ Publishing G oup, 2001:313-35. 34 Deeks JJ. Issues in he selec ion o a summa y s a is ic o me a-analysis o clinical ials wi h bina y ou comes. S a Med 2002;21:1575-600. 35 Nakagawa T, Sekizawa K, A ai H, Kikuchi R, Manabe K, Sasaki H. High incidence o pneumonia in elde ly pa ien s wi h basal ganglia in a c ion. A ch In e n Med 1997;157:321-4. 36 Nakagawa T, Sekizawa K, Nakajoh K, Tanji H, A ai H, Sasaki H. Silen ce eb al in a c ion: a po en ial isk o pneumonia in he elde ly. J In e n Med 2000;247:255-9. 37 Te amo o S, Yamamo o H, Yamaguchi Y, Hanaoka Y, Ishii M, Hibi S, e al. ACE inhibi o s p e en aspi a ion pneumonia in Asian, bu no Caucasian, elde ly pa ien s wi h s oke. 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The Hea Ou comes P e en ion E alua ion S udy In es iga o s. N Engl J Med 2000;342:145-53. 48 PROGRESS Collabo a i e G oup. Randomised ial o a pe indop il-based blood-p essu e-lowe ing egimen among 6,105 indi iduals wi h p e ious s oke o ansien ischaemic a ack. Lance 2001;358:1033-41. 49 Kanda A, Ebiha a S, Yasuda H, Takashi O, Sasaki T, Sasaki H. A combina o ial he apy o pneumonia in elde ly people. J Am Ge ia Soc 2004;52:846-7. 50 Hou FF, Zhang X, Zhang GH, Xie D, Chen PY, Zhang WR, e al. E icacy and sa e y o benazep il o ad anced ch onic enal insu iciency. N Engl J Med 2006;354:131-40. 51 Webe M. Clinical sa e y and ole abili y o losa an. Clin The 1997;19:604-16. 52 Lewis EJ, Hunsicke LG, Cla ke WR, Be l T, Pohl MA, Lewis JB, e al. Renop o ec i e e ec o he angio ensin- ecep o an agonis i besa an in pa ien s wi h neph opa hy due o ype 2 diabe es. N Engl J Med 2001;345:851-60. 53 Pa ing HH, Lehne H, B öchne -Mo ensen J, Gomis R, Ande sen S, A ne P, e al. The e ec o i besa an on he de elopmen o diabe ic neph opa hy in pa ien s wi h ype 2 diabe es. N Engl J Med 2001;345:870-8. 54 Dahlö B, De e eux RB, Kjeldsen SE, Julius S, Bee e s G, de Fai e U, e al. Ca dio ascula mo bidi y and mo ali y in he Losa an In e en ion Fo Endpoin educ ion in hype ension s udy (LIFE): a andomised ial agains a enolol. Lance 2002;359:995-1003. 55 P e e MA, Swedbe g K, G ange CB, Held P, McMu ay JJ, Michelson EL, e al. E ec s o candesa an on mo ali y and mo bidi y in pa ien s wi h ch onic hea ailu e: he CHARM-O e all p og amme. Lance 2003;362:759-66. 56 Sch ade J, Lüde s S, Kulschewski A, Hamme sen F, Pla e K, Be ge J, e al. Mo bidi y and mo ali y a e s oke, ep osa an compa ed wi h ni endipine o seconda y p e en ion: p incipal esul s o a p ospec i e andomized con olled s udy (MOSES). S oke 2005;36:1218-26. 57 Telmisa an Randomised AssessmeN S udy in ACE iN ole an subjec s wi h ca dio ascula Disease (TRANSCEND) In es iga o s: Yusu S, Teo K, Ande son C, Pogue J, Dyal L, Copland I, e al. E ec s o he angio ensin- ecep o blocke elmisa an on ca dio ascula e en s in high- isk pa ien s in ole an o angio ensin-con e ing enzyme inhibi o s: a andomised con olled ial. Lance 2008;372:1174-83. 58 Yusu S, Diene HC, Sacco RL, Co on D, Ounpuu S, Law on WA, e al. Telmisa an o p e en ecu en s oke and ca dio ascula e en s. N Engl J Med 2008;359:1225-37. 59 Kasanuki H, Hagiwa a N, Hosoda S, Sumiyoshi T, Honda T, Haze K, e al. Angio ensin II ecep o blocke -based s non-angio ensin II ecep o blocke -based he apy in pa ien s wi h angiog aphically documen ed co ona y a e y disease and hype ension: he Hea Ins i u e o Japan Candesa an Randomized T ial o E alua ion in Co ona y A e y Disease (HIJ-CREATE). Eu Hea J 2009;30:1203-12. 60 Willenheime R, Helme s C, Pan e E, Rydbe g E, Lö dahl P, Go don A, e al. Sa e y and e icacy o alsa an e sus enalap il in hea ailu e pa ien s. In J Ca diol 2002;85:261-70. 61 ONTARGET In es iga o s: Yusu S, Teo KK, Pogue J, Dyal L, Copland I, Schumache H, e al. Telmisa an, amip il, o bo h in pa ien s a high isk o ascula e en s. N Engl J Med 2008;358:1547-59. 62 Sekizawa K, Ma sui T, Nakagawa T, Nakayama K, Sasaki H. ACE inhibi o s and pneumonia. Lance 1998;352:1069. 63 Te amo o S, Ouchi Y. ACE inhibi o s and p e en ion o aspi a ion pneumonia in elde ly hype ensi es. Lance 1999;353:843. 64 A ai T, Yasuda Y, Takaya T, Toshima S, Kashiki Y, Yoshimi N, e al. ACE inhibi o s and educ ion o he isk o pneumonia in elde ly people. Am J Hype ens 2000;13:1050-1. 65 A ai T, Yasuda Y, Toshima S, Yoshimi N, Kashiki Y. ACE inhibi o s and pneumonia in elde ly people. Lance 1998;352:1937-8. 66 A ai T, Yasuda Y, Takaya T, Toshima S, Kashiki Y, Shibayama M, e al. Angio ensin-con e ing enzyme inhibi o s, angio ensin-II ecep o an agonis s, and pneumonia in elde ly hype ensi e pa ien s wi h s oke. Ches 2001;119:660-1. 67 A ai T, Sekizawa K, Oh ui T, Fujiwa a H, Yoshimi N, Ma suoka H, e al. ACE inhibi o s and p o ec ion agains pneumonia in elde ly pa ien s wi h s oke. Neu ology 2005;64:573-4. 68 Mo ensen EM, Res epo MI, Anzue o A, Pugh J. The impac o p io ou pa ien ACE inhibi o use on 30-day mo ali y o pa ien s hospi alized wi h communi y-acqui ed pneumonia. BMC Pulm Med 2005;5:12. 69 Ha ada J, Sekizawa K. Angio ensin-con e ing enzyme inhibi o s and pneumonia in elde ly pa ien s wi h in ace eb al hemo hage. J Am Ge ia Soc 2006;54:175-6. 70 Mo ensen EM, Pugh MJ, Copeland LA, Res epo MI, Co nell JE, Anzue o A, e al. Impac o s a ins and angio ensin-con e ing enzyme inhibi o s on mo ali y o subjec s hospi alised wi h pneumonia. Eu Respi J 2008;31:611-7. 71 Chalme s JD, Singanayagam A, Mu ay MP, Hill AT. P io s a in use is associa ed wi h imp o ed ou comes in communi y-acqui ed pneumonia. Am J Med 2008;121:1002-7. 72 Myles PR, Hubba d RB, Gibson JE, Pogson Z, Smi h CJ, McKee e TM. The impac o s a ins, ACE inhibi o s and gas ic acid supp essan s on pneumonia mo ali y in a UK gene al p ac ice popula ion coho . Pha macoepidemiol D ug Sa 2009;18:697-703. 73 Pos e p esen a ions om he Wo ld Cong ess o Ca diology Scien i ic Sessions 2010. Ci cula ion 2010;xx:e348. 74 Mukamal KJ, Ghimi e S, Pandey R, O’Mea a ES, Gau am S. An ihype ensi e medica ions and isk o communi y-acqui ed pneumonia. J Hype ens 2010;28:401-5. 75 Okaishi K, Mo imo o S, Fukuo K, Niinobu T, Ha a S, Onishi T, e al. Reduc ion o isk o pneumonia associa ed wi h use o angio ensin I con e ing enzyme inhibi o s in elde ly inpa ien s. Am J Hype ens 1999;12:778-83. 76 El Solh AA, B ewe T, Okada M, Bashi O, Gough M. Indica o s o ecu en hospi aliza ion o pneumonia in he elde ly. J Am Ge ia Soc 2004;52:2010-5. 77 Takahashi T, Mo imo o S, Okaishi K, Kanda T, Nakahashi T, Oku o M, e al. Reduc ion o pneumonia isk by an angio ensin I-con e ing enzyme inhibi o in elde ly Japanese inpa ien s acco ding o inse ion/dele ion polymo phism o he angio ensin I-con e ing enzyme gene. Am J Hype ens 2005;18:1353-9. 78 Van de Ga de EM, Sou e ein PC, Hak E, Denee VH, an den Bosch JM, Leu kens HG. Angio ensin-con e ing enzyme inhibi o use and p o ec ion agains pneumonia in pa ien s wi h diabe es. J Hype ens 2007;25:235-9. No comme cial euse: See igh s and ep in s h p://www.bmj.com/pe missions Subsc ibe: h p://www.bmj.com/subsc ibe BMJ 2012;345:e4260 doi: 10.1136/bmj.e4260 (Published 11 July 2012) Page 7 o 20 RESEARCH 79 Ma ciniak C, Ko u z AW, Lin E, Ro h E, Wel y L, Lo ell L. Examina ion o selec ed clinical ac o s and medica ion use as isk ac o s o pneumonia du ing s oke ehabili a ion: a case-con ol s udy. Am J Phys Med Rehabil 2009;88:30-8. 80 Dicpinigai is PV. Angio ensin-con e ing enzyme inhibi o -induced cough: ACCP e idence-based clinical p ac ice guidelines. Ches 2006;129:169-73S. 81 Wal e U, Knoblich R, S einhagen V, Dona M, Benecke R, Klo h A. P edic o s o pneumonia in acu e s oke pa ien s admi ed o a neu ological in ensi e ca e uni . J Neu ol 2007;254:1323-9. 82 Ro h EJ, Lo ell L, Ha ey RL, Heinemann AW, Semik P, Diaz S. Incidence o and isk ac o s o medical complica ions du ing s oke ehabili a ion. S oke 2001;32:523-9. 83 Ve meij FH, Schol e op Reime WJ, de Man P, an Oos enb ugge RJ, F anke CL, de Jong G, e al. S oke-associa ed in ec ion is an independen isk ac o o poo ou come a e acu e ischemic s oke: da a om he Ne he lands S oke Su ey. Ce eb o asc Dis 2009;27:465-71. 84 Hilke R, Poe e C, Findeisen N, Sobesky J, Jacobs A, Ne eling M, e al. Nosocomial pneumonia a e acu e s oke: implica ions o neu ological in ensi e ca e medicine. S oke 2003;34:975-81. 85 Ka zan IL, Cebul RD, Husak SH, Dawson NV, Bake DW. The e ec o pneumonia on mo ali y among pa ien s hospi alized o acu e s oke. Neu ology 2003;60:620-5. 86 A ai T, Yasuda Y, Takaya T, Toshima S, Kashiki Y, Yoshimii N, e al. Angio ensin-con e ing enzyme inhibi o s, angio ensin II ecep o an agonis s, and symp omless dysphagia. Ches 2000;117:1819-20. 87 Sagnella GA, Ro hwell MJ, Onipinla AK, Wicks PD, Cook DG, Cappuccio FP. A popula ion s udy o e hnic a ia ions in he angio ensin-con e ing enzyme I/D polymo phism: ela ionships wi h gende , hype ension and impai ed glucose me abolism. J Hype ens 1999;17:657-64. 88 Hu Z, Jin X, Kang Y, Liu C, Zhou Y, Wu X, e al. Angio ensin-con e ing enzyme inse ion/dele ion polymo phism associa ed wi h acu e espi a o y dis ess synd ome among caucasians. J In Med Res 2010;38:415-22. 89 B own NJ, Blais C J , Gandhi SK, Adam A. ACE inse ion/dele ion geno ype a ec s b adykinin me abolism. J Ca dio asc Pha macol 1998;32:373-7. 90 Van de Ga de EM, Endeman H, Denee VH, Biesma DH, Sayed-Taba abaei FA, Ru en HJ, e al. Angio ensin-con e ing enzyme inse ion/dele ion polymo phism and isk and ou come o pneumonia. Ches 2008;133:220-5. 91 Rami ez J, Alibe i S, Mi saeidi M, Pey ani P, Fila do G, Ami A, e al. Acu e myoca dial in a c ion in hospi alized pa ien s wi h communi y-acqui ed pneumonia. Clin In ec Dis 2008;47:182-7. 92 K anzhö e R, Schmid J, P ei e CA, Hagl S, Libby P, Küble W. Angio ensin induces in lamma o y ac i a ion o human ascula smoo h muscle cells. A e ioscle Th omb Vasc Biol 1999;19:1623-9. 93 Wös en- an Aspe en RM, Lu e R, Hai sma JJ, Me kus MP, an Woensel JB, an de Loos CM, e al. ACE media es en ila o -induced lung inju y in a s ia angio ensin II bu no b adykinin. Eu Respi J 2008;31:363-71. 94 An unes G, E ans SA, Lo dan JL, F ew AJ. Sys emic cy okine le els in communi y-acqui ed pneumonia and hei associa ion wi h disease se e i y. Eu Respi J 2002;20:990-5. 95 Gulles ad L, Auk us P, Ueland T, Espe ik T, Yee G, Vagelos R, e al. E ec o high- e sus low-dose angio ensin con e ing enzyme inhibi ion on cy okine le els in ch onic hea ailu e. J Am Coll Ca diol 1999;34:2061-7. 96 Majumda SR, McAlis e FA, Eu ich DT, Padwal RS, Ma ie TJ. S a ins and ou comes in pa ien s admi ed o hospi al wi h communi y acqui ed pneumonia: popula ion based p ospec i e coho s udy. BMJ 2006;333:999. 97 Co ales-Medina VF, Suh KN, Rose G, Chi inos JA, Douce e S, Came on DW, e al. Ca diac complica ions in pa ien s wi h communi y-acqui ed pneumonia: a sys ema ic e iew and me a-analysis o obse a ional s udies. PLoS Med 2011;8:e1001048. Accep ed: 10 May 2012 Ci e his as: BMJ 2012;345:e4260 This is an open-access a icle dis ibu ed unde he e ms o he C ea i e Commons A ibu ion Non-comme cial License, which pe mi s use, dis ibu ion, and ep oduc ion in any medium, p o ided he o iginal wo k is p ope ly ci ed, he use is non comme cial and is o he wise in compliance wi h he license. See: h p://c ea i ecommons.o g/licenses/by- nc/2.0/ and h p://c ea i ecommons.o g/licenses/by-nc/2.0/legalcode. No comme cial euse: See igh s and ep in s h p://www.bmj.com/pe missions Subsc ibe: h p://www.bmj.com/subsc ibe BMJ 2012;345:e4260 doi: 10.1136/bmj.e4260 (Published 11 July 2012) Page 8 o 20 RESEARCH Tables Table 1| Main cha ac e is ics o andomised con olled ials included in e iew Da a* Ou comes abs ac ed P ima y ou come Mean (SD) ageNo ( o al)Compa isonPa ien s Mean ollow-up (yea s)Loca ionS udy ACE inhibi o s con ol: PublishedSe ious pneumonia†Assessmen o changes in exe cise ole ance 57.5 (10) 200 48 (248) Spi ap il o enalap il placeboPa ien s wi h ch onic conges i e hea ailu e 0.2Mul icen e Czech Republic and Slo akia CASSIS 199544 PublishedPneumonia†Dea h om any cause 67.5876 873 (1749) T andolap il placeboPa ien s wi h le en icula ejec ion ac ion a e myoca dial in a c ion 4.0Mul icen e Denma k TRACE 199545 PublishedD ug wi hd awal due o b onchopneumonia† Ra e o decline in glome ula il a ion 49.3 (13.6) 78 88 (166) Ramip il placeboPa ien s wi h ch onic neph opa hy and pe sis en p o einu ia 1.3Mul icen e I aly GISEN 199746 UnpublishedSe ious pneumonia†Myoca dial in a c ion, s oke, o dea h due o ca dio ascula disease 66 (7)4645 4652 (9297) Ramip il placeboPa ien s a high isk o de eloping a majo ca dio ascula e en 4.0Mul icen e wo ldwide (no Asia) HOPE 200047 PublishedFa al and non- a al pneumonia Fa al o non- a al s oke 64 (10) 3051 3054 (6105) Pe indop il placeboPa ien s wi h p e ious s oke o ansien ischaemic a ack 3.9Mul icen e wo ldwide PROGRESS 200420 48 PublishedHospi al dea hIn-hospi al mo ali y, du a ion o an ibio ic use, and in ec ion wi h MRSA 78 (8)33 35 (68)Imidap il+aman adine+s anda d ca e s anda d ca e Pa ien s aged ≥65 wi h his o y o s oke and admi ed wi h communi y acqui ed pneumonia 4.0Single cen e Japan Kanda 200449 PublishedPneumonia as cause o mo ali y Composi e o doubling o se um c ea inine le el, end s age enal disease, and dea h 44.8 (14.6) 216 112 (328) Benazep il placeboPa ien s wi h non-diabe ic ch onic kidney disease 3.4Single cen e China Hou 200650 ARBs con ol: PublishedPneumonia†Ad e se e en s54125 29Losa an placeboPa ien s wi h essen ial hype ension and hea ailu e 0.3Wo ldwideWebe 199751 UnpublishedPulmona y in ec ion†Time o i s occu ence o doubling o baseline se um c ea inine le el, end s age enal 58.9 (7.8) 579 569 (placebo) (1148) I besa an placebo o amlodipine Pa ien s wi h hype ension and wi h ype 2 diabe es and o e p o einu ia 4.8Mul icen e wo ldwide IDNT 200152 disease, o dea h UnpublishedPulmona y in ec ion†Time o occu ence o clinical o e albuminu ia 58.0 (8.1) 389 201 (590) I besa an 100 mg i besa an 300 mg placebo Pa ien s wi h hype ension and wi h ype 2 diabe es, mic oalbuminu ia, and no mal enal unc ion 2.0Mul icen e Eu ope IRMA-2 200153 No comme cial euse: See igh s and ep in s h p://www.bmj.com/pe missions Subsc ibe: h p://www.bmj.com/subsc ibe BMJ 2012;345:e4260 doi: 10.1136/bmj.e4260 (Published 11 July 2012) Page 9 o 20 RESEARCH Figu es Fig 1 Flow o s udies h ough e iew. ACE=angio ensin con e ing enzyme; ARBs=angio ensin ecep o blocke s No comme cial euse: See igh s and ep in s h p://www.bmj.com/pe missions Subsc ibe: h p://www.bmj.com/subsc ibe BMJ 2012;345:e4260 doi: 10.1136/bmj.e4260 (Published 11 July 2012) Page 16 o 20 RESEARCH Fig 2 Risk o pneumonia wi h use o angio ensin con e ing enzyme (ACE) inhibi o s compa ed wi h con ol ea men No comme cial euse: See igh s and ep in s h p://www.bmj.com/pe missions Subsc ibe: h p://www.bmj.com/subsc ibe BMJ 2012;345:e4260 doi: 10.1136/bmj.e4260 (Published 11 July 2012) Page 17 o 20 RESEARCH Fig 3 Risk o pneumonia wi h use o angio ensin ecep o blocke s (ARBs) compa ed wi h con ol ea men No comme cial euse: See igh s and ep in s h p://www.bmj.com/pe missions Subsc ibe: h p://www.bmj.com/subsc ibe BMJ 2012;345:e4260 doi: 10.1136/bmj.e4260 (Published 11 July 2012) Page 18 o 20 RESEARCH Fig 4 Summa y o me a-analysis es ima es and subg oup analyses. ACE=angio ensin con e ing enzyme; ARBs=angio ensin ecep o blocke s No comme cial euse: See igh s and ep in s h p://www.bmj.com/pe missions Subsc ibe: h p://www.bmj.com/subsc ibe BMJ 2012;345:e4260 doi: 10.1136/bmj.e4260 (Published 11 July 2012) Page 19 o 20 RESEARCH Fig 5 Pneumonia ela ed mo ali y in s udies compa ing angio ensin con e ing enzyme (ACE) inhibi o s o angio ensin ecep o blocke s (ARBs) wi h con ol ea men No comme cial euse: See igh s and ep in s h p://www.bmj.com/pe missions Subsc ibe: h p://www.bmj.com/subsc ibe BMJ 2012;345:e4260 doi: 10.1136/bmj.e4260 (Published 11 July 2012) Page 20 o 20 RESEARCH