scieee Open visual document viewer

Cardiovascular disease and high blood pressure trend analyses from 2002 to 2016 : after the implementation of a salt reduction strategy

Abreu, D.,Sousa, P.,Dias, C. Matias,Pinto, Fausto J.

Abstract

Background: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of death around the world; however, many CVD events could be prevented if we focused on modification of the main risk factors. Increased salt consumption is estimated to have caused millions of deaths, mostly related to CVD, particularly stroke, which is the leading cause of death in Portugal. In our study, we aim to assess trends in the proportion of high blood pressure (HBP) in Acute Coronary Syndrome (ACS) patients as well as the trends in stroke and ACS in Portugal, especially after a set of public health initiatives were implemented to reduce salt intake. Methods: The monthly proportion of ACS patients presenting with previously diagnosed HBP and the monthly rate of CVD admissions into public hospitals in Portugal were calculated. CVD rates were stratified into ACS rate and stroke rates. Data were stratified by demographics variables. An interrupted time-series model was used to assess changes over time. Results: Breakpoint analysis revealed an estimated breakpoint around the year 2013 for the proportion of HBP patients, the following year there was a decreasing trend, however it was not significant. Analyses showed the trend before 2013 was increasing and started to decrease after this year. This decreased in proportion of HBP patients can be translated into a reduction of 555 people per year presenting with HBP in the ACS population. We analysed trends for ACS and stroke and tested the significance for a breakpoint in the year 2013. Although none of the remaining trends were significant for ACS crude rates and stroke crude rate, a decreasing trend was observed. Conclusions: This research provides an indication about the impact a population-wide approach to CVD risk factors has on CVD trends themselves. Our results suggest that population-wide approaches can have an impact on the prevention and improvement of CVD control, reducing the number of CVD events, and eventually reducing premature death by CVD. As more restrictions on salt intake are being planned in Portugal in the next years, it is highly relevant to assess what is the current panorama and what further reductions we can expect.

Full text

RESEARCH ARTICLE Open Access Ca dio ascula disease and high blood p essu e end analyses om 2002 o 2016: a e he implemen a ion o a sal educ ion s a egy D. Ab eu 1* , P. Sousa 1,2 , C. Ma ias-Dias 3 and F. J. Pin o 4,5 Abs ac Backg ound: Ca dio ascula disease (CVD) is he leading cause o dea h a ound he wo ld; howe e , many CVD e en s could be p e en ed i we ocused on modi ica ion o he main isk ac o s. Inc eased sal consump ion is es ima ed o ha e caused millions o dea hs, mos ly ela ed o CVD, pa icula ly s oke, which is he leading cause o dea h in Po ugal. In ou s udy, we aim o assess ends in he p opo ion o high blood p essu e (HBP) in Acu e Co ona y Synd ome (ACS) pa ien s as well as he ends in s oke and ACS in Po ugal, especially a e a se o public heal h ini ia i es we e implemen ed o educe sal in ake. Me hods: The mon hly p opo ion o ACS pa ien s p esen ing wi h p e iously diagnosed HBP and he mon hly a e o CVD admissions in o public hospi als in Po ugal we e calcula ed. CVD a es we e s a i ied in o ACS a e and s oke a es. Da a we e s a i ied by demog aphics a iables. An in e up ed ime-se ies model was used o assess changes o e ime. Resul s: B eakpoin analysis e ealed an es ima ed b eakpoin a ound he yea 2013 o he p opo ion o HBP pa ien s, he ollowing yea he e was a dec easing end, howe e i was no signi ican . Analyses showed he end be o e 2013 was inc easing and s a ed o dec ease a e his yea . This dec eased in p opo ion o HBP pa ien s can be ansla ed in o a educ ion o 555 people pe yea p esen ing wi h HBP in he ACS popula ion. We analysed ends o ACS and s oke and es ed he signi icance o a b eakpoin in he yea 2013. Al hough none o he emaining ends we e signi ican o ACS c ude a es and s oke c ude a e, a dec easing end was obse ed. Conclusions: This esea ch p o ides an indica ion abou he impac a popula ion-wide app oach o CVD isk ac o s has on CVD ends hemsel es. Ou esul s sugges ha popula ion-wide app oaches can ha e an impac on he p e en ion and imp o emen o CVD con ol, educing he numbe o CVD e en s, and e en ually educing p ema u e dea h by CVD. As mo e es ic ions on sal in ake a e being planned in Po ugal in he nex yea s, i is highly ele an o assess wha is he cu en pano ama and wha u he educ ions we can expec . Keywo ds: Ca dio ascula disease, High blood p essu e, Popula ion wide-app oach, Public heal h * Co espondence: [email p o ec ed] 1 Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública, Uni e sidade No a de Lisboa, A enida Pad e C uz, 1600-560 Lisboa, Po ugal Full lis o au ho in o ma ion is a ailable a he end o he a icle © The Au ho (s). 2018 Open Access This a icle is dis ibu ed unde he e ms o he C ea i e Commons A ibu ion 4.0 In e na ional License (h p://c ea i ecommons.o g/licenses/by/4.0/), which pe mi s un es ic ed use, dis ibu ion, and ep oduc ion in any medium, p o ided you gi e app op ia e c edi o he o iginal au ho (s) and he sou ce, p o ide a link o he C ea i e Commons license, and indica e i changes we e made. The C ea i e Commons Public Domain Dedica ion wai e (h p://c ea i ecommons.o g/publicdomain/ze o/1.0/) applies o he da a made a ailable in his a icle, unless o he wise s a ed. Ab eu e al. BMC Public Heal h (2018) 18:722 h ps://doi.o g/10.1186/s12889-018-5634-z Backg ound Ca dio ascula disease (CVD) is he leading cause o dea h a ound he wo ld [1]. An es ima ed 4 million people in Eu ope die by CVD annually [2]. Howe e , many o he CVD e en s could be p e en ed i we ocused on modi i- ca ion o he main isk ac o s [3]. In 2010, high blood p essu e (HBP) was he leading isk ac o con ibu ing o global disease bu den, accoun ing o mo e han 15% o all heal h loss in adul s [4], and esponsible o 62% o all s okes and 49% o ACS e en s [5]. Al hough sodium is an essen ial nu ien necessa y o main enance o plasma olume, acid-base balance, ans- mission o ne e impulses, and no mal cell unc ion [6], cu en sal consump ion is much g ea e han needed o su i al, c ea ing an o e load on he me abolic sys em [7]. This o e load can inc ease blood p essu e (BP) [8]. Inc eased sal consump ion is es ima ed o ha e caused millions o dea hs, mos ly ela ed o CVD, pa icula ly s oke, which is he leading cause o dea h in Po ugal [9], being one o he coun ies wi h he highes mo ali y a es by s oke among he Wes e n coun ies [10]. The high p e alence o HBP is poin ed o as one o he main easons. Implemen ing bo h popula ion-wide and high- isk ap- p oaches o educe blood p essu e seems almos ine i able due o he la ge bu den o HBP [11,12]. E en small educ- ions o HBP p e alence in he popula ion could lead o g ea heal h gains. Knowing he impo ance o hese app oaches, he Wo ld Heal h O ganiza ion (WHO) c ea ed a se o ecommenda ions o educe die a y sal o 5 g/day, in o de o p e en ch onic disease and imp o e heal h [13]. In he Eu opean Union, 26 ou o he 53 Membe S a es, in- cluding Po ugal, implemen ed ope a ional sal educ ion policies including laws aiming o educe sal in ake. Recen epo s ha e shown ha sal consump ion in Po ugal has been declining in ecen decades o a minimum o 7.3 g/day in 2016 [14]. P ospec i e s udies ha e shown ha educing sal in ake can lead o educ ions in blood p essu e and, e en ually, o a educ ion in CVD e en s [15]. By 2010 a se o public heal h ini ia i es we e imple- men ed in Po ugal, namely a educ ion in sal added o b ead and manda o y sal labelling in p e-packed ood. As hese ini ia i es a e mean o educe sal in ake we hypo h- esized ha i could lead o a educ ion in he p opo ion o HBP and CVD, namely ACS and s oke. The e o e in ou s udy, we aim o assess he ends in he p opo ion o HBP in ACS pa ien s, as well as he ends in s oke and ACS in he coun y, be o e and a e hese ini ia i es we e applied. Fo he sake o cla i y in ou s udy we e e as sal o all sodium da a. Me hods S udy popula ion Two popula ion se s we e used in his s udy. App o al o access da a was ob ained p e iously. Fo bo h se s o da a, pa icipan s included in he s udy we e o e 20 yea s old. Fi s popula ion da ase The Na ional Regis y o Acu e Co ona y Synd ome (NRACS) [16]. All da a om 2002 o 2015 we e ex ac ed o ou s udy. This da ase was used o ob ain he p opo - ion o ACS pa ien s p e iously diagnosed wi h HBP. This egis e collec s in o ma ion o ACS only, no jus o isk ac o s bu also demog aphics. This da ase has he ad an age o being in eg a ed in o he Eu o Hea Su ey pla o m and, consequen ly, uses he Ca diology Audi and Regis a ion Da a S anda ds (CARDS) sys em. This sys em ensu es ha c edible and compa able in o ma ion is collec ed in se e al Eu opean coun ies o e ime as hey use s anda dised in o ma ion, bo h in e ms o he de ini ion and coding o a iables, and in he o m o measu emen and collec ion o da a. As his da a is alida ed and s anda dised, i can be applied o and used o alida e analyses in o he la ge popula ions, hus being able o ob ain mo e obus esul s [17]. HBP in his da ase was de ined as p e iously diagnosed by a physician, o known blood p essu e > 140 mmHg sys olic o > 90 mmHg dias olic on wo o mo e occasions. Second popula ion da ase TheNa ionalda abase ha collec sda a omalladmis- sions in o Po uguese public hospi als (Mainland Po ugal). Da a om 2002 o 2016 we e ex ac ed o ou s udy. This da abase uses he Diagnosis Rela ed G oup (DRG) sys em holding da a on p ima y diagnosis and some demog aphic a iables, such as sex and age, as well as he geog aphic egion o admission [18]. DRG codes o ischemic and haemo hagic s oke we e included in he analysis (ICD 9 h codes o s oke: 43301, 43321, 43311, 43331, 43391, 43401, 43411, 43491, 431, 432, 4320, 4321, 4329, and 43381) as well as codes o ACS (ICD 9 h codes: 410.00–410.xx o iden i y admissions diagnosed as Acu e Myoca dial In a c ion and code 4130 o iden i y uns able angina). The wo da ase s we e analysed sepa a ely as he e is no possible me hod o iden i y he pa icipan s in he da ase , hus he same pa icipan can in ac be egis- e ed in bo h da ase s, howe e as he ou comes s ud- ied a e independen om each o he we do no expec his ac o in luence on he alidi y o he analysis. Simila ly he ac ha he wo da ase s used in ou s udy a e ca e ully moni o ed by he Po uguese Socie y o Ca diology, in he case o he NRACS, and he Di ec o a e o Gene al Heal h, in he case o he DRG da a, ensu es he alidi y o hese da a. Ab eu e al. BMC Public Heal h (2018) 18:722 Page 2 o 9 S a is ical analysis Two main ou comes we e analysed in ou s udy, he mon hly p opo ion o ACS pa ien s p esen ing wi h p e iously diagnosed HBP and he mon hly a e o CVD admission in o public hospi als in he coun y. CVD a es we e s a i ied in o ACS a e and s oke a es. The p opo ion o ACS pa ien s wi h HBP was ob ained by di iding he numbe o mon hly HBP diagnoses by he o al ACS pa ien s egis e ed o mon h. We applied an in e up ed ime se ies design, imple- men ing a segmen ed mul iple linea eg ession model, in which he esponse a iable was he mon hly he p opo - ion o ACS pa ien s wi h HBP. These models a e use ul when he ela ionship be ween he esponse and he inde- penden a iables a e piecewise linea , namely ep esen ed by wo o mo e s aigh lines connec ed a unknown alues, which a e usually e e ed o as b eakpoin s. In ou case, he b eakpoin would be expec ed o any gi en yea whe e he e was a change in he end o he p opo ion o pa ien s wi h HBP. R“segmen ed”package was used o de e mine he p esence o any b eakpoin s in he ends ound. C ude e en a es o ACS and s oke (pe 100,000 adul s) we e compu ed o each mon h, using he popula- ion o he coun y, es ic ed o he popula ion esiden in mainland Po ugal, wi h ages o e 20 yea s as he denomina o . C ude a es we e calcula ed as he numbe o e en s, o each ou come sepa a ely, di ided by he Po uguese popula ion o ha mon h. As he e ec o his ype o popula ion wide app oaches migh no be immedia e [19,20], aking some ime o show e ec s in he popula ion, we used he es ima ed b eakpoin om he mon hly p opo ion o ACS pa ien s wi h HBP as a p oxy o he e ec o he es ima ed b eak- poin in CVD ends. The impac o he b eakpoin es ima ed on he CVD ends, was assessed h ough a mul iple linea eg ession model using s anda d me hods o in e up ed ime se ies. We included one dicho omous a iable ha accoun ed o he main e ec on hospi al admissions o he es ima ed b eakpoin o he p opo ion o HBP pa ien s and an in e ac ion be ween he b eakpoin es ima ed and ime, o e alua e changes o e ime ollowing he b eakpoin . This model was implemen ed in o de o es whe he he e was a signi ican change in he numbe o e en s, and i he e was any change in he p opo ion o HBP pa ien s was obse ed. A mon h indica o co a iable was in oduced o adjus o seasonali y in he ou comes admissions. All analyses we e s a i ied by sex and age. Age was g ouped in o wo ca ego ies < 65 and ≥65 yea s old. Au oco ela ion be ween mon h es ima es was inco po- a ed adequa ely in o he model, wi h he p esence o sho e m au oco ela ion applying a i s o de au o eg essi e - AR (1) - s uc u e o he esiduals. Models we e i ed in R e sion 2.3.2 so wa e. S a is ical signi icance was assessed h ough p- alues, assuming < 5% as signi ican and 95% con idence in e als (CI) we e calcula ed o each o he eg ession coe icien s. Resul s A o al o 43,271 ACS e en s we e egis e ed in he NRACS o e he las 14 yea s. The p opo ion o males p esen ing wi h ACS has been consis en ly highe han women, wi h a ound 69% o ACS e en s occu ing in males. Mean age h ough he yea s o s udy has also been ai ly s eady, anging om 65 o 66 yea s old (Table 1). Male/ emale a io o HBP pa ien s (Fig. 1) has also emained ai ly s eady h ough he yea s in he ACS popula ion. The p opo ions o pa ien s wi h HBP anged om a minimum p opo ion o 50.0% o a maximum o 79.2%. B eakpoin analysis e ealed an es ima ed b eakpoin a ound he yea 2013 o he p opo ion o HBP pa ien s (Fig. 2), he yea a e he e is a dec easing end, howe e i was no signi ican (p- alue = 0.832). Analyses showed he end be o e 2013 was, in ac , inc easing and s a ed o dec ease a e his yea (β be o e = 0.009, CI: 0.007, 0.011; β a e =−0.003, CI: -0.037, 0.0302). Al hough ze o is p esen in he CI o he slope a e 2013, he change be ween bo h slopes (be o e and a e 2013) is nega i e wi h a dec ease o −0.012 in he mon hly p opo ion. Thus, he dec ease es ima ed a e 2013 is highe han he inc ease es ima ed be o e 2013. This dec ease in p opo ion can be ansla ed in o a educ ion o 555 people pe yea p esen ing wi h HBP in he ACS popula ion (Table 2). Figu e 3displays he equency o ACS and s oke admissions om 2002 o 2016. A o al o 115 public hospi als om mainland Po ugal egis e ed ACS ad- missions om2002 o2016and122 egis e eds oke admissions. A maximum age o 99 yea s old was ound in he da abase and he majo i y o admissions we e o bo h ACS and s oke. We analysed ends o ACS and s oke and es ed he signi icance o a b eakpoin in he yea 2013. Table 1 Demog aphic cha ac e iza ion o he da a analysed ACS (DRG da a) S oke (DRG da a) HBP in ACS pa ien s (NRACS da a) Be o e egula ion Female % 26,00% 49,43% 35,33% Age ≥65% 37,93% 77,15% 65,38% A e egula ion Female % 26,36% 49,61% 32,67% Age ≥65% 37,85% 78,26% 64,29% Ab eu e al. BMC Public Heal h (2018) 18:722 Page 3 o 9 Al hough none o he emaining ends we e signi ican (Table 2) o ACS c ude a es (β=−0.057, CI: - 0.154, 0.039) and s oke c ude a e (β=−0.049, CI: -0.128, 0.029), a dec easing end can be obse ed. When u he s a i ied da a by sex and age, al hough no signi ican ends we e obse ed, a dec easing end o ACS was ound in women bu no in men. The la ges dec ease was ound o people o e 65 yea s old o bo h ou comes. Ne e heless, all hese esul s should be in e p e ed wi h cau ion as none o he coe icien s we e signi ican (p- alues > 5%), and ze o was always included in he con idence in e al. The seasonal pa e n obse ed o ACS and s oke was consis en wi h ha epo ed elsewhe e [21], wi h highe a es o admission o e win e , and lowe a es du ing he summe (Fig. 3). Discussion Ou esul s showed inc easing ends in he p opo ion o HBP como bidi y in he ACS popula ion un il 2013, he ollowing yea s he ends appea o dec ease. This yea was used as a b eakpoin o es o di e ences in ends o ACS and s oke. Dec easing ends o bo h ou comes we e also ound, bu we e no signi ican . Al hough ou esul s we e no s a is ically signi ican , and hus mus be in e p e ed wi h cau ion, i is encou - aging o ind dec easing ends, especially in he p opo ion o HBP pa ien s in he ACS popula ion, wi h a educ ion o nea ly 600 people pe yea , a e he implemen a ion o a majo public heal h measu e ha was mean o educe sal in ake. E en a small educ ion in he p opo ion o HBP in he ACS popula ion, as he one obse ed in ou s udy Fig. 1 P opo ion o pa ien s wi h HBP in he ACS popula ion. Female/male a io om yea s 2002 o 2015 Fig. 2 T ends in o e all mon hly p opo ion o HBP in ACS pa ien s om Janua y 2002 o Decembe 2015. Dashed line ep esen s he beginning o 2013, yea associa ed o he es ima ed decline in ends Ab eu e al. BMC Public Heal h (2018) 18:722 Page 4 o 9 Table 2 Resul s om he h ee eg essions applied, segmen ed mul iple linea eg ession model, o he p opo ion o HBP pa ien s, and bo h mul iples linea eg essions using s anda d me hods o in e up ed ime se ies, o he ACS and s oke ou comes β(CI) - alue p- alue HBP p opo ion O e all a P e-b eakpoin end (change pe mon h) 0.004 (0.003;0.006) –– Change in end (pos -b eakpoin s p e-b eakpoin ) −0.006 –< 0.001 Pos -b eakpoin end (change pe mon h) −0.002 (−0.003;-0.001) –– Male a P e-b eakpoin end (change pe mon h) −0.003(−0.022;0.022) –– Change in end (pos -b eakpoin s p e-b eakpoin ) −0.016 –0.215 Pos -b eakpoin end (change pe mon h) −0.019(−0.061;0.023) –– Female a P e-b eakpoin end (change pe mon h) −0.003(−0.028;0.022) –– Change in end (pos -b eakpoin s p e-b eakpoin ) −0.016 –0.215 Pos -b eakpoin end (change pe mon h) −0.018(−0.052;0.014) –– Age < 65 a P e-b eakpoin end (change pe mon h) −0.022(−0.798;0.754) –– Change in end (pos -b eakpoin s p e-b eakpoin ) 0.011 –> 0.05 Pos -b eakpoin end (change pe mon h) −0.011(−0.039;0.017) –– Age ≥65 a P e-b eakpoin end (change pe mon h) 0.029(−0.017;0.075) –– Change in end (pos -b eakpoin s p e-b eakpoin ) −0.018 –> 0.05 Pos -b eakpoin end (change pe mon h) 0.011(−0.017;0.039) –– ACS c ude a es (pe 100,000 adul s) O e all a Time o he b eakpoin −0.112(−2.041;1.817) −0.114 0.909 Time o he b eakpoin a ime in e ac ion −0.031(−0.09;0.036) −0.903 0.368 Male a Time o he b eakpoin 0.289(−2.269;2.848) 0.222 0.825 Time o he b eakpoin a ime in e ac ion −0.018(−0.108;0.072) −0.393 0.695 Female a Time o he b eakpoin −0.497(−1.927;0.932) −0.682 0.496 Time o he b eakpoin a ime in e ac ion 0.013(−0.034;0.060) 0.560 0.576 Age < 65 a Time o he b eakpoin 0.151(−0.723;1.024) 0.338 0.736 Time o he b eakpoin a ime in e ac ion −0.015(−0.044;0.015) −0.986 0.325 Age ≥65 a Time o he b eakpoin 0.151(−5.159;6.721) 0.258 0.7970 Time o he b eakpoin a ime in e ac ion −0.015(−0.358;0.066) −1.349 0.1792 S oke c ude a es (pe 100,000 adul s) O e all a Time o he b eakpoin 0.265(−1.399;1.929) 0.312 0.755 Time o he b eakpoin a ime in e ac ion −0.037(−0.091;0.016) −1.370 0.172 Male a Time o he b eakpoin 0.900(−0.743;2.543) 1.074 0.284 Time o he b eakpoin a ime in e ac ion −0.022(−0.074;0.030) −0.822 0.412 Ab eu e al. BMC Public Heal h (2018) 18:722 Page 5 o 9 o 555 pe sons pe yea achie ed h ough a popula ion-wide app oach, can ha e huge impac s [22,23]. This impac s has e ec i ely slowed down he de elopmen o a he oscle osis in young people, he eby educing he likelihood o u u e epidemics o CVD [24]. The dec easing end o ACS was obse ed o women bu no in men, in ac sal in ake ha e been p e iously link o highe isk o CV e en s in women bu no in men [25], mo e pa icula ly s udies ha e ound ha women could bene i mo e, conce ning s oke educ ion, om die a y sal educ ion han men [26]. As sal sensi i i y is known o be g ea e in he elde ly we hypo hesized ha i he sal educ ion law could ha e some e ec i would be g ea e o he elde ly [27,28]. In ac ou esul s sugges a dec easing end o all ou comes in he olde g oup. Table 2 Resul s om he h ee eg essions applied, segmen ed mul iple linea eg ession model, o he p opo ion o HBP pa ien s, and bo h mul iples linea eg essions using s anda d me hods o in e up ed ime se ies, o he ACS and s oke ou comes (Con inued) β(CI) - alue p- alue Female a Time o he b eakpoin 0.999(−1.204;3.202) 0.888 0.376 Time o he b eakpoin a ime in e ac ion −0.047(−0.121;0.027) −1.244 0.215 Age < 65 a Time o he b eakpoin 0.448(−0.261;1.157) 1.238 0.217 Time o he b eakpoin a ime in e ac ion −0.014(−0.037;0.009) −1.207 0.229 Age ≥65 a Time o he b eakpoin 2.548(−5.351;10.446) 0.632 0.528 Time o he b eakpoin a ime in e ac ion −0.238(−0.502;0.026) −1.764 0.079 Values no p esen ed in he able (−) a e no a ailable o he ype o eg ession β ep esen s he coe icien s in he eg ession HBP High blood p essu e, ACS Acu e co ona y synd ome, CI con idence in e al a All models we e adjus ed o seasonali y Fig. 3 T ends in o e all mon hly c ude a es o CV admissions om Janua y 2002 o Decembe 2016 pe 100,000 adul s. a) T ends o s oke c ude a es admissions. b) T ends o ACS c ude a es admissions. Dashed lines ep esen he beginning o 2013, yea associa ed o he es ima ed decline in ends Ab eu e al. BMC Public Heal h (2018) 18:722 Page 6 o 9 Resul s om his ype o popula ion-wide app oach we e seen in he UK, whe e sal educ ion campaigns showed signi ican esul s, achie ing a 15% sal educ ion om 2003 o 2011, which ansla ed in o abou 6000 ewe dea hs om CVD, sa ing abou 1.5 billion pounds a yea [8]. The dec easing ends o all o ou ou comes was no as g ea as we expec ed, howe e he ac ha he s a ing o he dec ease akes place a e he implemen a ion o hese app oaches, and he end o HBP in ACS pa ien s was s eadily inc easing be o e ha , suppo s ou hypo hesis ha his app oach o educing sal in b ead and making p e-packed sal labelling manda o y can in luence HBP p e alence in ACS pa ien s as well as CVD ends. The ac ha , sal in ake le els ha e been dec easing in Po ugal o he mos ecen alue o 7.3 g/day in 2016 [14] also suppo s ou hypo hesis o he po en ially e ec o he egula ion applied in he coun y. Al hough his alue was ob ained by a 24 h die a y ecall ques ion- nai e [29], hese alues we e alida ed agains u ina y so- dium exc e ion o a sub-sample o 100 subjec s and he alues we e highly co ela ed. In addi ion, BP le els ha e been declining in he Po uguese popula ion, om a mean BP o 134.7/ 80.5 mmHg in 2003 [30] o a mean BP o 127/ 74.6 mmHg in 2012 [10]. Fu he mo e, se e al s udies showed ha b ead is one impo an sou ce o sal in Po ugal [7], and con ibu es o abou one-six h o daily sal in ake [7]. Resul s om he Na ional Food, Nu i ion and Physical Ac i i y Su ey sugges mos o he sal consumed by he popula ion comes di ec ly om b ead and oas , cha cu e ie p oduc s, and soups [14]. I was all his e idence ha led o he c ea ion o he egula ion o educe sal in b ead o a minimum o 1.4 g o sal pe 100 g o inal p oduc [31] and manda o y labelling o p e-packed p oduc s s a ing clea ly he sal con en o he p oduc . Po ugal was, hus, he i s wes e n coun y o c ea e a law o he clea de ini ion o he quan i y o sal con ained in b ead. Besides he legisla ion in 2010, se e al ini ia i es ha e been ca ied in Po ugal o educe sal in ake, such as: elec onic ools, such as websi es included in he Na ional P og am o he P omo ion o Heal hy Ea ing, o ee dis ibu ion o books and b ochu es, by he c ea ion o an anima ed se ies, and he c ea ion o he Na ional Food, Nu i ion and Physical Ac i i y Su ey, aiming o collec na ionwide da a on die a y in ake and physical ac i i y [14]. The e is al eady e idence ha educing sal in ake could educe BP in he Po uguese popula ion. One communi y in e en ion ial conduc ed in Po ugal demons a ed ha educing sal in ake in an en i e illage, including cooking and p ocessed ood, led o a signi ican educ ion in he BP o he popula ion [32]. Policy in e en ions o educe na ional sodium con- sump ion ha e demons a ed o be highly cos e ec i e in nea ly e e y coun y in he wo ld. These in e en ions could educe millions o disabili y adjus ed li e yea s a low cos and be mo e cos -e ec i e han pha macological in e en ions [26,33]. Policy and sys em changes a e c i ical o educe HBP in popula ions, including legisla ion and public educa ion o educe die a y sodium and ood p icing policies, o suppo p e en ion and managemen o CVD [34]. Al e na i e public heal h app oaches, such as educing sal in p ocessed oods and b ead, and labelling o p ocessed ood along wi h he use o mul iple iscal and educa ional policies, ha e al eady been p oposed by he WHO as he i s -line app oach o CVD educ ion, when implemen ed onawidescale[24,34]. In spi e o se e al e o s being made in he coun y o educe sal in ake, he e is s ill oom o imp o emen , namely in ood labelling [35], adjus ing i o he le el o heal h li e acy in he coun y. Once he le el o heal h li e acy in Po ugal was sligh ly lowe han he es o Eu opean coun ies [36], his migh ha e p e en ed he popula ion om ully bene i ing om he labelling, as he in e p e a ion o sal con en in each ood can be di icul . Simple labelling sys ems al eady exis in o he coun ies, such as labels ha ely on he use o on -o -pack in o ma- ion such as logos wi h in o ma ion on he o e all heal hi- ness o he ood and a ic ligh and colou coding sys ems, which migh help ci izens make heal hie choices. Coun ies such as Finland and he UK ha e al eady implemen ed some o hese labelling sys ems. In Finland, ood p oduc s wi h sal con en s below he designa ed le els display a low-sal label o emphasise hei lowe - han-con en ional sal le els [37]. In he UK, a a ic ligh sys em o dis in- guish be ween high, medium, and low sal con en in ood p oduc s was implemen ed. These s a egies p o ed o be e icien in educing sal in ake in he popula ion [38]. The a ic ligh labelling sys em has been p oposed by he Po - uguese Hype ension Socie y o help he popula ion choose p oduc s ega dless o hei le el o li e acy. Mo e es ic ions a e being planned in Po ugal o u - he educe sal in ake, such as a axes on p oduc s wi h mo e han 1 g o sal pe 100 g o inished p oduc such as: p e-packaged c acke s and biscui s; p e-packaged ce eal lakes and p essed ce eals; and p e-packaged, dehyd a ed po a o chips. A a e o 0.80 Eu os pe kilog am o inished p oduc will be applied o hese p oduc s. On he o he hand, u he educ ion o sal con en in b ead, o a minimum o 1 g pe 100 g o inal p oduc , was p oposed o be achie ed by 2020, wi h con inuous educ ions each yea a e 2018. Ou s udy p esen s encou aging indica ions sugges - ing he e ha e been educ ions in he p opo ion o Ab eu e al. BMC Public Heal h (2018) 18:722 Page 7 o 9 hype ensi es among ACS pa ien s a e 2013, along wi h an annual dec ease in he a es o ACS and s oke. Limi a ions Howe e , we ecognise some limi a ions o he s udy. Like any ecological s udy, i is no possible o p o e causal ela ions, i.e. di ec associa ion be ween he ini ia- i es o educe sal implemen in he coun y he educ ion obse ed in he p opo ion o hype ensi es ACS pa ien s. Howe e , ou me hodology was applied, using he same da a o analyse he e ec s o he smoking ban legisla ion on ACS ends, and a signi ican educ ion was ound igh a e he ban [39]. On he o he hand, i migh be oo soon o no ice g ea e ec s om sal educ ion on CVD ends. The ac ha un il 2013, he end o he p opo ion o hype ensi es was con inuously inc easing, and igh a e 2013 a dec ease in end can be obse ed, sugges s ha he lack o s a is ical signi icance could esul om he ime pe iod being analysed being oo sho o cap u e u he educ ions. Mo eo e , ou s udy has some s eng hs, such as he ac ha we used wo well alida ed and s anda dised da abases is a majo s eng h as his allows o an easy compa ison wi h o he in e na ional s udies mainly hose de eloped in o he Eu opean coun ies. As well as he a ailabili y o in o ma ion on gende and age, his allowed us o assess he obus ness o ou indings among di e en subg oups. Also he ime se ies me hod is p e e ed o e he simple p e- and pos -p opo ion compa ison me hod ha does no ake he p e-in e en ion end in o accoun , and also allows co ec ion o au oco ela ion [40]. Conclusions In conclusion, he ac ha we ound dec easing ends o bo h HBP in ACS pa ien s and CVD ou comes a e majo ini ia i es o educe sal in ake we e implemen ed in he coun y, sugges s ha his ype o app oaches, al hough ha d o measu e, can impac he ends o majo public heal h ou comes. Thus, his esea ch is ele an o he public heal h communi y because i p o ides an indica ion abou he impac ha a popula ion-wide app oaches can ha e on CVD isk ac o s, and CVD ends hemsel es. Ou esul s sugges ha popula ion-wide app oaches can ha e an impac on he p e en ion and imp o emen o CVD con ol, educing he numbe o CVD e en s and e en ually educing p ema u e dea h, mo bidi y, and disabili y by CVD. Ou s udy also highligh s he impo ance o measu ing he impac o hese ypes o ini ia i es. These indings s ess he need o public heal h policy in CVD o imp o e he heal h o popula ions add essing, in he i s place, he well iden i ied isk ac o s o CVD. Undoub edly, mo e s udies a e needed o assess he impac o such measu es, no only o o he diseases beside CVD, bu also adding mo e yea s o he s udy would allow analysis o long e ms e ec s o he public heal h ini ia- i es. On he o he hand, as mo e es ic ions on sal in ake a e being planned in Po ugal, in he nex yea s i is e y ele an o assess wha is he cu en pano ama and wha u he educ ions we can expec . Abb e ia ions ACS: Acu e Co ona y Synd ome; BP: Blood p essu e; CI: Con idence in e al; CVD: Ca dio ascula disease; DRG: Diagnosis ela ed g oup; HBP: High blood p essu e; NRACS: Na ional Regis y o Acu e Co ona y Synd ome Acknowledgemen s The au ho s hank he in es iga o s o he Na ional Regis y o Acu e Co ona y Synd ome, Sociedade Po uguesa de Ca diologia. This esea ch did no ecei e any speci ic g an om unding agencies in he public, comme cial, o no - o -p o i sec o s. A ailabili y o da a and ma e ials The da a ha suppo he indings o his s udy a e a ailable om he Minis e o Heal h O ice, (email: [email p o ec ed]) o he DRG da a. Da a om he Na ional Regis y o ACS can be eques ed om he Po uguese Socie y o Ca diology (sand a.co[email p o ec ed]). Howe e es ic ions apply o he a ailabili y o hese da a, which we e used unde license o he cu en s udy, and so a e no publicly a ailable. Da a a e howe e a ailable om he au ho s upon easonable eques and wi h pe mission om bo h he Minis e o Heal h O ice and he Po uguese Socie y o Ca diology. Au ho s’con ibu ions DA was esponsible o all s a is ical analysis and he esul s in e p e a ion, as well as esponsible o w i ing he pape . PS was esponsible o e iew all s a is ical analysis and esul s as well as o scien i ic inpu . CMD was in ol ed in d a ing he manusc ip as well as he inal e ision o he s udy. FP was esponsible o scien i ic inpu and inal e ision o he s udy. All au ho s ead and app o ed he inal manusc ip . E hics app o al and consen o pa icipa e App o al o access da a was ob ained p e iously om he Minis e o Heal h O ice and he Po uguese Socie y o Ca diology. E hics app o al and consen o pa icipa e a e no applicable o his s udy. Compe ing in e es s The au ho s decla e ha hey ha e no compe ing in e es s. Publishe ’sNo e Sp inge Na u e emains neu al wi h ega d o ju isdic ional claims in published maps and ins i u ional a ilia ions. Au ho de ails 1 Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública, Uni e sidade No a de Lisboa, A enida Pad e C uz, 1600-560 Lisboa, Po ugal. 2 Cen o de In es igação em Saúde Pública - ENSP-UNL, A enida Pad e C uz, 1600-560 Lisboa, Po ugal. 3 Depa men o Epidemiology o he Ins i u o Nacional de Saúde Dou o Rica do Jo ge, A enida Pad e C uz, 1649-016 Lisboa, Po ugal. 4 Se iço de Ca diologia, Hospi al de San a Ma ia, Cen o Hospi ala Lisboa No e - EPE, Cen o, Académico Medicina de Lisboa, Lisbon, Po ugal. 5 Cen o Ca dio ascula da Uni e sidade de Lisboa, A . P o . Egas Moniz, 1649-035 Lisboa, Po ugal. Ab eu e al. BMC Public Heal h (2018) 18:722 Page 8 o 9 Recei ed: 8 Decembe 2017 Accep ed: 29 May 2018 Re e ences 1. Yusu S, Hawken S, Ôunpuu S, Dans T, A ezum A, Lanas F, e al. E ec o po en ially modi iable isk ac o s associa ed wi h myoca dial in a c ion in 52 coun ies ( he INTERHEART s udy): case-con ol s udy. Lance . 2004;364:937–52. 2. Townsend N, Wilson L, Bha naga P, Wick amasinghe K, Rayne M, Nichols M. Ca dio ascula disease in Eu ope: epidemiological upda e 2016. Eu Hea J. 2016;37:3232–45. 3. Wong ND. Epidemiological s udies o CHD and he e olu ion o p e en i e ca diology. Na Re Ca diol. 2014;11:276–89. 4. Lim SS, Vos T, Flaxman AD, Danaei G, Shibuya K, Adai -Rohani H, e al. A compa a i e isk assessmen o bu den o disease and inju y a ibu able o 67 isk ac o s and isk ac o clus e s in 21 egions, 1990–2010: a sys ema ic analysis o he global bu den o disease s udy 2010. Lance . 2013;380:2224–60. 5. Wo ld Heal h O ganiza ion. The wo ld heal h epo 2002: educing isks, p omo ing heal hy li e. Gene a: Wo ld Heal h O ganiza ion; 2002. 6. Abu o NJ, Ziolko ska A, Hoope L, Ellio P, Cappuccio FP, Mee pohl JJ. E ec o lowe sodium in ake on heal h: sys ema ic e iew and me a- analyses. BMJ. 2013;346: 1326. 7. Quilez J, Salas-Sal ado J. Sal in b ead in Eu ope: po en ial bene i s o educ ion. Nu Re . 2012;70:666–78. 8. He FJ, Li J, MacG ego GA. E ec o longe e m modes sal educ ion on blood p essu e: Coch ane sys ema ic e iew and me a-analysis o andomised ials. BMJ. 2013;346: 1325. 9. Di ecção Ge al de Saúde. Po ugal Doenças Cé eb o-Ca dio ascula es em Núme os 2015 (Po ugal Ce eb o-Ca dio ascula Diseases in Numbe s 2015). Di eção-Ge al Da Saúde. Lisbon. p. 2016. 10. Polonia J, Ma ins L, Pin o F, Naza e J. P e alence, awa eness, ea men and con ol o hype ension and sal in ake in Po ugal: changes o e a decade. The PHYSA s udy. J Hype ens. 2014;32:1211–21. 11. Wo ld Heal h O ganiza ion. GLOBAL STATUS REPORT on noncommunicable diseases 2014. Gene a: Wo ld Heal h O ganiza ion; 2014. 12. Lopez AD, Ma he s CD, Ezza i M, Jamison DT, Mu ay CJ. Global and egional bu den o disease and isk ac o s, 2001: sys ema ic analysis o popula ion heal h da a. Lance . 2006;367:1747–57. 13. Campbell N, Legowski B, Lege ic B, Fe an e D, Nilson E, Campbell C, e al. Ta ge s and imelines o educing sal in p ocessed ood in he Ame icas. J Clin Hype ens. 2014;16:619–23. 14. Ca la Lopes DT, And eia Oli ei a, Mil on Se e o, Viole a Ala cão, So ia Guioma , Jo ge Mo a, Ped o Teixei a, Sa a Rod igues, Liliane Loba o, Vânia Magalhães, Daniela Co eia, And eia Piza o, Adilson Ma ques, So ia Vilela, Luísa Oli ei a, Paulo Nicola, Simão Soa es, Elisabe e Ramos. Inqué i o nacional de alimen ação e a i idade ísica. 2017. 15. Cook NR, Cu le JA, Oba zanek E, Bu ing JE, Rex ode KM, Kumanyika SK, e al. Long e m e ec s o die a y sodium educ ion on ca dio ascula disease ou comes: obse a ional ollow-up o he ials o hype ension p e en ion (TOHP). BMJ. 2007;334:885. 16. h ps://spc.p / egis o-nacional-de-sind omes-co ona ias-agudas-p oacs/. Sociedade Po uguesa de Ca diologia Regis os Nacionais. 2002. 17. Flynn MR, Ba e C, Cosío FG, Gi AK, Wallen in L, Kea ney P, e al. The Ca diology Audi and Regis a ion Da a S anda ds (CARDS), Eu opean da a s anda ds o clinical ca diology p ac ice. Eu Hea J. 2005;26:308–13. 18. Adminis ação Cen al do Sis ema de Saúde IPA, I.P),. Base de Dados Nacional de G upos de Diagnós icos Homogéneos (GDH). 2011. 19. Khude SA, Milz S, Jo dan T, P ice J, Sil es i K, Bu le P. The impac o a smoking ban on hospi al admissions o co ona y hea disease. P e Med. 2007;45:3–8. 20. C oghan IT, Ebbe JO, Hays JT, Sch oede DR, Chambe lain AM, Roge VL, e al. Impac o a coun ywide smoke- ee wo kplace law on eme gency depa men isi s o espi a o y diseases: a e ospec i e coho s udy. BMC Pulm Med. 2015;15:6. 21. Mad igano J, Mi leman MA, Bacca elli A, Goldbe g R, Melly S, Von Klo S, e al. Tempe a u e, myoca dial in a c ion, and mo ali y: e ec modi ica ion by indi idual and a ea-le el cha ac e is ics. Epidimiology. 2013;24:439. 22. Con ol C D. Hea disease and s oke p e en ion: ime o ac ion. Public heal h ac ion plan o p e en hea disease and s oke 2014. 23. Feigin VL, No ing B, Mensah GA. P ima y p e en ion o ca dio ascula disease h ough popula ion-wide mo i a ional s a egies: insigh s om using sma phones in s oke p e en ion. BMJ Glob Heal h. 2016;2:e000306. 24. Wo ld Heal h O ganiza ion. P e en ion o ca dio ascula disease: guidelines o assessmen and managemen o ca dio ascula isk. Gene a: Wo ld Heal h O ganiza ion; 2007. 25. He FJ, MacG ego GA. Reducing popula ion sal in ake wo ldwide: om e idence o implemen a ion. P og Ca dio asc Dis. 2010;52:363–82. 26. Bibbins-Domingo K, Che ow GM, Coxson PG, Mo an A, Ligh wood JM, Ple che MJ, e al. P ojec ed e ec o die a y sal educ ions on u u e ca dio ascula disease. N Engl J Med. 2010;362:590–9. 27. Zemel MB, Sowe s JR. Sal sensi i i y and sys emic hype ension in he elde ly. Am J Ca diol. 1988;61:H7–H12. 28. Polonia J, Maldonado J, Ramos R, Be oquini S, Du o M, Almeida C, e al. Es ima ion o sal in ake by u ina y sodium exc e ion in a Po uguese adul popula ion and i s ela ionship o a e ial s i ness. Re Po Ca diol. 2006;25: 801–17. 29. McLean RM. Measu ing popula ion sodium in ake: a e iew o me hods. Nu ien s. 2014;6:4651–62. 30. Macedo ME, Lima MJ, Sil a AO, Alcan a a P, Ramalhinho V, Ca mona J. P e alence, awa eness, ea men and con ol o hype ension in Po ugal: he PAP s udy. J Hype ens. 2005;23:1661–6. 31. Assembleia da República. Lei n.° 75/2009 de 12 de Agos o. 2009. 32. Fo e J, Miguel J, Miguel M, De Padua F, Rose G. Sal and blood p essu e: a communi y ial. J Hum Hype ens. 1989;3:179–84. 33. Webb M, Fahimi S, Singh GM, Kha ibzadeh S, Micha R, Powles J, e al. Cos e ec i eness o a go e nmen suppo ed policy s a egy o dec ease sodium in ake: global analysis ac oss 183 na ions. BMJ. 2017;356:i6699. 34. Ka walaj ys TKJ. An in eg a ed app oach o p e en ing ca dio ascula disease: communi y-based app oaches, heal h sys em ini ia i es, and public heal h policy. Risk Manag Heal hc Policy. 2010;3:39–48. 35. S azzullo P, Cai ella G, Campanozzi A, Ca cea M, Galeone D, Galle i F, e al. Popula ion based s a egy o die a y sal in ake educ ion: I alian ini ia i es in he Eu opean amewo k. Nu Me ab Ca dio asc Dis. 2012;22:161–6. 36. Ri a Espanha PÁ, Mendes RV. In: Gulbenkian FC, edi o . Li e acia em saúde em Po ugal; 2016. 37. Wo ld Heal h O ganiza ion. Mapping sal educ ion ini ia i es in he WHO Eu opean Region Copenhagen, Denma k. 2013. 38. Gillespie DO, Allen K, Guzman-Cas illo M, Bandosz P, Mo ei a P, McGill R, e al. The heal h equi y and e ec i eness o policy op ions o educe die a y sal in ake in England: policy o ecas . PLoS One. 2015;10:e0127927. 39. Ab eu D, Sousa P, Ma ias-Dias C, Pin o F. Longi udinal impac o he smoking ban legisla ion in acu e co ona y synd ome admissions. Biomed Res In . 2017;2017:6956941. 40. Ma Z-q. Use o in e up ed ime-se ies me hod o e alua e he impac o ciga e e excise ax inc eases in Pennsyl ania, 2000–2009. P e Ch onic Dis. 2013;10:E169. Ab eu e al. BMC Public Heal h (2018) 18:722 Page 9 o 9