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Do the data on municipal expenditures in the Czech Republic imply incorrectness in their management?

Půček, Milan

Abstract

Limited public resources confront public administration bodies with the question of how to handle them in an economically rational manner. Audit of public expenditures necessitates an ongoing creation and modification of an effective control system. Such a system is made up by subsystems of a formal (accounting and documentation) and economic control, responsible for monitoring the efficiency, effectiveness and economy of managing public expenditures. Significance of such interconnection rests in the fact that the formal control may signal possible improper management of public expenditures. This may become a stimulus for the economic control subsystem to verify the effectiveness, efficiency and economy of outlaid expenditures. For identification purposes related to potential accounting and record-keeping incorrectnesses in the management of public expenditures is proposed adoption of Benford’s Law (Benford’s test). Benford’s test is applied on municipal expenditure data for the year 2012. Data represent sums of public expenditures in the structure of the statement of budgetary execution and control specified by the Regulation of the Ministry of Finance of the Czech Republic No. 323/2002 Coll. For the data analysis there were used statistical methods, hypothesis testing, linear regressions and comparisons. Although the empirical analysis points at a limited use of Benford’s test in the conditions of municipal expenditures in the Czech Republic (mainly due to the instability of results and unavailability of suitable data), the analysis showed that Benford’s test can be adopted as a supporting tool, suitable for building into the control system of public expenditures. It is one of the ways to increase the effectiveness of a complex control of public expenditures.

Full text

89 4, XIX, 2016 Finance DOI: 10.15240/ ul/001/2016-4-007 In oduc ion By way o public budge s is in economically de eloped coun ies edis ibu ed app oxima ely one hal o he p oduced GDP. Acco ding o he EUROSTAT da a (EUROSTAT, 2012), o al go e nmen expendi u es in he EU coun ies (EU-27) accoun ed in 2012 o 48.9 % o GDP, o which expendi u es on he local go e nmen s’ le el accoun ed o 11.5% o GDP. In he Czech Republic, hese expendi u es s ood in 2012 a 43.9% o GDP, while local go e nmen s’ spending accoun ed o 9.8% o GDP. A mo e de ailed compa ison o he a io o o al public expendi u es o GDP and expendi u es o local go e nmen s o GDP b ings he ollowing able. Dis ibu ion o public expendi u es be ween cen al and local go e nmen s depends on a ype o he model o i scal ede alism adop ed in indi idual coun ies. Fo mos o he e iewed coun ies, we may egis e a dec ease in public expendi u es o local go e nmen s. The cause could be a ibu ed o a d op in ax e enues due o he economic c isis. Local go e nmen s, unlike cen al go e nmen s, do no aim o s abilise he economy using a i scal policy. Wi h espec o he signi i can olume o alloca ed esou ces, i is desi able o possess in o ma ion on how a e hese incu ed expenses economically ea ed. The p esen s a e o heo e ical e l ec ion is such ha examina ion o municipal expendi u es is usually o ien ed owa ds analysing municipal expendi u es ela ed o a speci i c a ea, such as e i ciency in p o ision o municipal se ices (Pa el & Sičáko á-Bebla á, 2009), in con ac ing DO THE DATA ON MUNICIPAL EXPENDITURES IN THE CZECH REPUBLIC IMPLY INCORRECTNESS IN THEIR MANAGEMENT? Milan Půček, Michal Plaček, F an išek Och ana Coun y 2010 2011 2012 To al go e nmen Local go e nmen To al go e nmen Local go e nmen To al go e nmen Local go e nmen Czech Republic 43.0% 11.3% 42.5% 10.8% 43.8% 9.8% Slo akia 42.0% 7.3% 40.6% 6.8% 40.2% 6.4% Slo enia 49.2% 9.8% 49.8% 9.4% 48.1% 9.5% Hunga y 49.7% 12.6% 49.9% 11.5% 48.7% 9.3% Poland 45.9% 15.0% 43.9% 14.1% 42.9% 13.3% Romania 39.6% 9.5% 39.2% 10.3% 36.4% 9.6% Sou ce: Eu os a (2012) Tab. 1: Compa ison o o al go e nmen expendi u es o GDP and expendi u es o local go e nmen s o GDP in selec ed coun ies o Cen al Eu ope EM_4_2016.indd 89EM_4_2016.indd 89 30.11.2016 16:31:4230.11.2016 16:31:42 90 2016, XIX, 4 Finance public se ices a a local le el (Nemec, Och ana, & Šumpíko á, 2008), on analysis o municipal i nances (Peko á, 2011) and hei indeb edness. In addi ion o hese examina ions, u he ways a e being sough wi h he aim o s eamline ou lays o municipal expendi u es wi h a possibili y o in oducing public adminis a ion con olling (Š ando á, Mihaliko á, & Mi aťalo á, 2007) o inden i ying sui able ins i u ional o ms (Bebla ý & Šičáko á-Bebla á, 2006) o o ms o owne ship in he p o ision o se ices. A he same ime, i appea s as necessa y o look o ways o how o de ec possible inco ec ness in he managemen o municipal expendi u es and how o imp o e he public expendi u e con ol sys em. Towa ds one o he possible ways poin s also his s udy. Using Ben o d‘s es , i aims o examine expendi u es o he Czech Republic’s municipali ies eco ded in 2012, analyse unco e ed esul s and o mula e conclusions wi h espec o a mo e e ec i e ope a ion o he con ol sys em o public expendi u es. As a as ou knowledge based on analysis o expe li e a u e goes, Ben o d’s es has no ye been applied wi hin he ealm o con ol o public expendi u es. The p esen ed s udy a emp s o ca y ou such an analysis (on he example o he Czech Republic’s municipal expendi u es in 2012). The aim o his s udy is o explo e by way o Ben o d’s es municipal expendi u es o he Czech Republic ha we e unde aken wi hin one e e ence yea and based on esul s o he empi ical esea ch o ca y ou a discussion on he gi en issue and o o mula e heo e ical gene alisa ions and p ac ical ecommenda ions o he domain o a con ol o public expendi u es. C i e ion Type o con ol Subjec o con ol Moni o ed indica o Moni o ing ques ion Con en ocus Con en con ol Con ol o esul s (audi o esul s, pe o mance audi ) Ag eemen be ween achie ed esul s and speci i ed expendi u e a ge s How a e pe o mance indica o s being me ? How a e me c i e ia o economy, e i ciency and e ec i eness? Fo mal con ol Con ol o eceip s and legal e iew o documen s Compliance wi h he Ac on Accoun ing and legal compliance wi h expendi u e documen s A e accoun s and expendi u e documen s kep co ec ly om a o mal aspec ? Time aspec P elimina y Ex an e con ol o planned expendi u e ac i i ies Choice o he mos app op ia e alloca ion a ian o public expendi u es Has he chosen a ian been economically he mos app op ia e one? Running Con inuous moni o ing o achie ed esul s and con ol o eceip s and documen s Con inuous moni o ing o mee ing he p ede e mined indica o s A e he p ede e mined indica o s being me a e iew ime poin s? Do expendi u e ac i i ies co espond wi h o mal equi emen s? Subsequen and concluding Concluding con en and o mal e iew o he unde aken expendi u e ac i i y Final con ol o he achie ed esul s and he deg ee o compliance wi h accoun ing and legal p ac ices Do he i nal esul s co espond wi h he planned objec i e? A e all he o mal (accoun ing and documen a ion) p ocedu es in acco dance wi h he p inciples o accoun ing and he legal code? Ins i u ional In e nal con ol Con en , o mal, p elimina y, unning and concluding con ol by he ins i u ion i sel Indica o s o he con en and o mal con ol lis ed abo e, moni o ed by an in e nal audi Do he con olled indica o s co espond wi h he no m speci i ed by he Ac on Financial Con ol and o he ele an legal no ms? Ex e nal con ol Con en , o mal, unning and concluding con ol ca ied by an ex e nal independen ins i u ion – in CZE se e ely limi ed (by he Sup eme Audi O i ce) Indica o s o he con en and o mal con ol as lis ed abo e, moni o ed by an ex e nal audi Do he con olled indica o s co espond wi h he no m speci i ed by he Ac on Financial Con ol? Sou ce: own based on Ac No. 320/2001 Coll., On Financial Con ol in Public Adminis a ion Tab. 2: Gene al a chi ec u e o he con ol sys em o public expendi u es (case o he Czech Republic) EM_4_2016.indd 90EM_4_2016.indd 90 30.11.2016 16:31:4230.11.2016 16:31:42 91 4, XIX, 2016 Finance 1. Theo e ical Founda ions o he Resea ch The s a ing poin o con ol o public expendi u es is a duly e ec i e con ol sys em o public spending. The issue o a con ol o public expendi u es has al eady been s udied wi hin expe li e a u e o se e al decades. Au ho s usually de o e in de ail o a pa icula aspec o a con ol o public expendi u es, such as e.g. he issue o a i nancial con ol, audi o public sec o o ganisa ions o p og am e alua ion and pe o mance measu emen . Wi hin coun ies o he o me Eas e n bloc eme ges he issue o a con ol o public expendi u es app oxima ely o he pas en yea s (see e.g. Š ango á, Mihaliko á, & Mi aľo á, 2007). Based on he analysis o a discussion on he issue o a con ol o public expendi u es wi hin expe li e a u e and he exis ing con ol sys em o public expendi u es in he Czech Republic, he sys em o a con ol o public expendi u es may be cha ac e ised om di e en pe spec i es, as shown in Table 2. The able p o ides a syn hesis o iews on he issue o a con ol o public expendi u es. As a s a ing poin i akes he si ua ion as wi hin condi ions o he Czech Republic speci i ed by he Ac No. 320/2001 Coll., On Financial Con ol in Public Adminis a ion. F om he con en pe spec i e, he con ol sys em o public expendi u es ocuses bo h on he economic aspec o spending ac i i ies (moni o ing o he achie ed esul s) as well as on he o mal (accoun ing and documen a ion) e i i ca ion o he co ec ness o ca ied expendi u e ac i i ies. F om he ime aspec , we dis inguish be ween p elimina y, unning and i nal inspec ion. I may be di ec ed bo h o he a ea o audi ing esul s o implemen ed spending ac i i ies as well as on a o mal e i i ca ion o he co ec ness (accoun ing and documen a y) o he way hose expendi u e ac i i ies a e eco ded. F om he ins i u ional poin o iew, he con ol may be ca ied ei he by he ins i u ion i sel (in e nal con ol) o by an ex e nal ins i u ion. One p oblema ic aspec , howe e , ep esen s he ac ha he con ol sys em o municipal expendi u es has unde he condi ions o he Czech Republic i s weaknesses and limi a ions. Municipal expendi u es (as opposed o cen al go e nmen expendi u es) can no be checked by he Sup eme Audi O i ce. On he pa o he Sup eme Audi O i ce can be checked only hose expendi u es ha local go e nmen s de i e om he s a e budge . Wha is missing is hus one o impo an independen in o ma ion channels ha would se e a eedback on how we e municipal expendi u es implemen ed. Ano he p oblem poses he ac ha in he p ac ice o con ol ac i i y, he e is es ablished a ela i e sepa a ion o he con en con ol om he o mal con ol. The consequence is ha bo h ypes o con ols in ques ion do no co-ope a e; espec i ely, hey a e o en implemen ed sepa a ely (o independen ly). Expendi u e con ols usually ei he in en ionally ocus only on checking o economic esul s ela ed o he unde aken expendi u es, o concen a e pu ely on a e i i ca ion o he o mal (accoun ing and documen a ion) co ec ness o he ca ied ou lays. The ac ha bo h ypes o con ol emain unlinked means some aluable in o ma ion ge los o emain po en ially unused while hey could lead o an inc ease in e i ciency o he con ol sys em o public expendi u es, exposu e o o mal and ma e ial e o s in esou ce alloca ions o possible auds and machina ions in he managemen o public esou ces. The e o e, i is desi able o seek ways o con ibu e o a mo e e ec i e con ol o public spending and o u ilise acqui ed in o ma ion in a comp ehensi e moni o ing o expendi u e ac i i ies. One o hese ways may ep esen signalling o accoun ing and eco d-keeping i egula i ies in expendi u e managemen ac i i ies, acqui ed h ough a o mal con ol. This in o ma ion may subsequen ly igge a con en con ol o e iew he economic a ionali y (economy, e i ciency and e ec i eness) o he ca ied expendi u es. One o he ools ha a e ins umen al o acqui e signalling in o ma ion on possible e o s in he managemen o public expendi u es is he use o Ben o d’s es . Ben o d’s Law builds on he idea o he “ i s digi law”, o mula ed in 1881 by an Ame ican as onome Simon Newcomb in he a icle en i led “No e on he F equency o Use o he Di e en Digi s in Na u al Numbe s” published in The Ame ican Jou nal o Ma hema ics. In his a icle he holds ha he p obabili y o he i s digi in a numbe being 1 is no 0.111 (1:9 = 0.1111) as migh be expec ed, bu a he 0.301. This p oposi ion was edisco e ed by F ank Ben o d and o mula ed in de ail in he a icle “The Law o Anomalous Numbe s” (Ben o d, 1938). Ben o d suppo ed his in es iga ion by EM_4_2016.indd 91EM_4_2016.indd 91 30.11.2016 16:31:4230.11.2016 16:31:42 92 2016, XIX, 4 Finance an analysis o mo e han 20,000 da a samples. Wi hin his analysis, F ank Ben o d sough o u ilise he wides possible da a sou ces om andom numbe s, s ee numbe s, lake su ace a eas, popula ion da a, o s a is ics om he Ame ican Baske ball League (Nig ini, 2011). Ma hema ical applica ion o Ben o d’s Law is deal wi h by Hill (1995a; 1995b; 1998) and Be ge and Hill (2011). As undamen al may be conside ed he ollowing heo em, based on he Cen al Limi Theo em: “P o ided he chosen dis ibu ion is a andom one and p o ided om any such a dis ibu ion we pick a andom sample, signi i can numbe s om his dis ibu ion con e ge o he loga i hmic dis ibu ion, alias Ben o d’s dis ibu ion”, as pu by Hill (1998). The p obabili y o an occu ence o he i s digi D1 based on Ben o d’s dis ibu ion is: (1) The p obabili y o an occu ence o he second digi D2 based on Ben o d’s dis ibu ion is: (2) I we ex end ou analysis o he occu ence o a numbe on he n- h posi ion, we make use o he ollowing gene al o mula: (3) The i s applica ion o Ben o d’s Law in he i eld o accoun ing was pe o med by Ca slaw (1988) who claimed ha when he ne income o a company is jus below a gi en psychological le el i s manage s will end o ound his income up. Fo example, i we ha e a ne income o 798,000 and 19.97 million, manage s will y o ound hese numbe s o he amoun o 800,000 and 20 million, espec i ely. This ac i i y is unde s andable due o he managemen incen i e p og ams. Ca slaw claimed ha his beha iou can be de ec ed using Ben o d’s Law, i.e. wi hin he da a se he e will be a highe occu ence o ze os in he second posi ion and a lowe incidence o he numbe 9 in he second posi ion when compa ed o Ben o d’s dis ibu ion. The esea ch o Ca slaw was ollowed by Thomas (Nig ini & Mi e maie , 1997) who examined ounding o ax losses in he USA. His u he analysis ocused on Ea nings pe Sha e (EPS), o which he numbe nine occu ed on he las posi ion less equen ly han expec ed. This esul ed in a claim ha Ea nings pe Sha e a e ounded up while losses a e ounded down. In 1993, Gup a and Ch is ian (Nig ini & Mi e maie , 1997) analysed da a o axpaye s epo ed in ax e u ns. The s udy ocused on axpaye s wi h an income less han USD 100,000. P o ided a axpaye in his ca ego y educes his income by a ew dolla s, he may all in o a lowe ax a e b acke . The i ndings unco e ed an income mis ep esen a ion by axpaye s who anked on he bo de line o an inc ease in hei ma ginal ax a e. A signi i can shi in he heo y o Ben o d’s Law applica ion in he domain o accoun ing aud de ec ion is c edi ed o Nig ini (1993; 1996; 2011). Nig ini in his i s s udy (Nig ini, 1993) examined he i s and second digi in in e es s paid and in e es s c edi ed on a sample o abou 200,000 ax e u ns om 1985 o 1988. The esul was a bias owa ds lowe numbe s o in e es s acc ued and highe numbe s o in e es s paid. This esea ch was ollowed by p ac ical case s udies o speci i c companies, such as he es o i s digi s, second digi s and i s wo digi s o in oices issued by an oil company in o de o de ec duplica es in documen s. Ano he applica ion was an analysis o ounding in numbe s. Examina ions by Nig ini a e summa ised by Du shi, Hillison and Pacini in hei s udy “The E ec i e Use o Ben o d’s Law o Assis in De ec ing F aud in Accoun ing Da a” (Du schi, Hillison, & Pacini, 2004) whe e hey also p o ide a guide o he applica ion o Ben o d’s Law in o ensic audi . Conclusions om he men ioned sou ces can be summa ised in o he ollowing o e iew able (Tab. 3). Resul s o his gene alisa ion (see Tab. 3) ela ed o condi ions and ins ances o he use o Ben o d’s Law wi hin he domain o a o mal con ol (in his case accoun ing) will be adop ed as a basis o an empi ical analysis o agg ega e da a on municipal public expendi u es in he Czech Republic. EM_4_2016.indd 92EM_4_2016.indd 92 30.11.2016 16:31:4230.11.2016 16:31:42 93 4, XIX, 2016 Finance N . Da a o he use o Ben o d’s Law should sa is y he ollowing condi ions N . Ben o d’s law can be used o de ec he ollowing da a manipula ions 1All da a in he da a se mus be eco ded in he same uni 1 Rounding o economic pe o mance by manage s, e.g. ounding o p o i om 789,000 o 800,000 2Da a mus no be limi ed by hei maximum and minimum alue 2Upwa d ounding o ne income and EPS (ea nings pe sha e) 3 Da a can no be numbe s used o iden i i ca ion pu poses and hey a e no gene a ed andomly 3 Downwa d ounding o losses 4 Da a should consis o a he small alues 4 Duplici y o i nancial i gu es, e.g. in oices 5 I is ad isable o ha e la ge da a se s 5 Wiping da a o 6Da a should no be in l uenced by a psychology, e.g. p icing ending wi h 99 6Rew i ing i gu es Sou ce: own based on Nig ini and Mi e maie (1997); TPA Ho wa h (2011) S udy # 1 S udy # 2 S udy # 3 Name o he s udy On he Applica ion o Ben o d’s Law o In e na ional Mac oeconomic S a is ics Ben o d’s Law and Mac oeconomic Da a Quali y Fac and Fic ion in EU Go e nmen al Economics Da a Yea o publica ion 2007 2009 2011 Topic Tes s o da a on he de elopmen o GDP in OECD coun ies and A ica. Mac oeconomic da a o 80 coun ies and compa ison o esul s wi h an al e na i e me hod o assessmen o he mac oeconomic da a quali y – he IMF‘s Da a Assessmen F amewo k. Na ional accoun s o he EU MSs on da a ela ed o compliance wi h he SGP: (1) Go e nmen de i ci and deb , (2) Go e nmen e enue, expendi u es and main agg ega es, (3) GDP, (4) Balance shee , consolida ed asse s and liabili ies. Main conclusions (1) Mos o he da a con e ged o Ben o d’s dis ibu ion. (2) Ben o d’s es may se e as an indica o o poo quali y and manipula ions wi h da a. (1) Da a o some coun ies did no con e ge o Ben o d’s dis ibu ion despi e he ac ha hei s a is ical da a we e on he basis o he IMF anking ma ked as good (Japan, Finland). (2) Non-con o mi y wi h he es may be caused e.g. by s uc u al changes in he economy, seasonal adjus men s, e c. (1) The la ges de ia ions om Ben o d’s dis ibu ion indica ed da a o G eece and Li huania while he lowes de ia ion eco ded da a o he Czech Republic ( es ed o he i s ime) and Poland. (2) Ben o d’s es can be used as a i s ins ance es ha may indica e da a manipula ions. Sou ce: own based on Nye and Moul (2007); Gonzales and Pas o (2009); Rauch e al. (2011) Tab. 3: Te ms and examples o use o Ben o d’s Law in accoun ing Tab. 4: Conclusions om he analysis o s udies applying Ben o d’s Law on he con ol o mac oeconomic da a EM_4_2016.indd 93EM_4_2016.indd 93 30.11.2016 16:31:4230.11.2016 16:31:42 94 2016, XIX, 4 Finance Wi hin he scope o Ben o d’s Law applica ion on mac oeconomic da a, he e we e published h ee majo s udies. In he i s s udy “On he applica ion o Ben o d’s Law o In e na ional Mac oeconomic S a is ics” Nye and Moul (2007) ocus on es s o da a ela ed o he de elopmen o GDP in OECD membe s a es and A ica. In he second s udy (“Ben o d’s Law and Mac oeconomic Da a Quali y”), i s au ho s Gonzales and Pas o (2009) ocus on es ing o mac oeconomic da a collec ed om 80 coun ies while he esul s we e compa ed wi h an al e na i e me hod o assessmen o he mac oeconomic da a quali y, he IMF’s Da a Assessmen F amewo k, based on which a e compiled ankings o coun ies acco ding o he quali y o s a is ical da a (Da a Dissemina ion Repo s on he Obse ance S anda ds and Codes). The las published s udy (Rauch, Gö sche, B ähle , & Engel, 2011) examined na ional accoun s o he EU membe s a es on da a ela ed o he pe o mance o he S abili y and G ow h Pac . The au ho s o med a anking o coun ies based on he a e age de ia ion o x2 es esul s. Compa ison o hese s udies and hei conclusions a e summa ised in Table 4. Au ho s o all h ee s udies ag ee ha he applica ion o Ben o d‘s es on mac oeconomic da a may help o iden i y da a wi h a highe p obabili y o da a manipula ion. A he same ime, howe e , i is necessa y o ake in o accoun also he cons ain s ha om his adop ion a ise. These include p ima ily e oneous esul s due o s uc u al changes in he economy, adjus men s o seasonali y and mac oeconomic ans o ma ions. Conclusions o hese s udies a e ele an o in e p e ing esul s o empi ical examina ions ha use Ben o d’s Law. In addi ion o he abo e-men ioned adop ion wi hin he domain o accoun ing, audi ing and analysis o mac oeconomic da a, applica ion o Ben o d’s Law was also es ed in analysing esul s o he elec ions in he USA (Decke , Myagko , & O deshook, 2011), in i scal ( ax) con ol (Wa in, 2008), insu ance (Mahe & Ake s, 2002) and also in e i ying c edibili y o eg ession coe i cien s in scien i i c a icles, as epo ed by Diekmann (2007), Diekmann and Jann (2010) and Töd e (2009). In he li e a u e, we we e unable o iden i y any applica ion o Ben o d’s es on a lowe han mac oeconomic le el, e.g. wi hin he domain o municipali ies. This s udy, he e o e, likely s ands o be he i s examina ion ha audi s municipal expendi u es using Ben o d’s Law. 2. Resul s o he Empi ical Resea ch The esea ch ocused on examina ion o da a om municipali ies in he Czech Republic. To be speci i c abou he gene al cha ac e is ics o he objec o in es iga ion, le us obse e ha as o Decembe 31, 2012, he e we e in o al 6,246 municipali ies in he Czech Republic wi h 10,503,477 inhabi an s, while in municipali ies o e 2,000 inhabi an s he e li ed in o al 73.2% o he o e all popula ion. Managemen o municipali ies is in he Czech Republic go e ned by hei annual budge and he budge ou look, as speci i ed by he Ac No. 250/2000 Coll., On Budge a y Rules o Regional Budge s. Wi hin he esea ch, we ha e wo ked along he lines o he binding classi i ca ion o municipal budge s – he budge a y s uc u e, speci i ed by he Regula ion o he Minis y o Finance o he Czech Republic No. 323/2002 Coll., On Budge a y S uc u e. Desc ip ion o public adminis a ion e o ms in he Czech Republic is p o ided e.g. in (Špaček & Neshybo á, 2010). Fo he pu poses o empi ical analysis we e used agg ega e da a sou ced om he Minis y o Finance o he Czech Republic. The da a e e o he yea 2012 and ep esen sums o public expendi u es in he s uc u e o he s a emen o budge a y execu ion and con ol o all municipali ies in he Czech Republic, di ided in o ca ego ies acco ding o he popula ion (see Tab. 5). Fo he da a analysis he e we e used s a is ical me hods, hypo hesis es ing, linea eg essions and compa isons. The aim was o examine whe he agg ega e da a on public expendi u es o municipali ies in he Czech Republic con e ge o Ben o d’s dis ibu ion. Fo his pu pose, municipali ies in he Czech Republic we e di ided in o 12 ca ego ies acco ding o he size o hei popula ion, as shown in Table 5. Agg ega ion o da a using he espec i e size o municipali ies was chosen o wo easons. The i s eason is he ac ha wi h ega d o he o al numbe o municipali ies in he Czech Republic (6,246 municipali ies), wi hin his s udy i was no p ac icable o examine all expendi u es o all municipali ies. The second eason o op ing o an agg ega ion was he ac ha size-ca ego ies o municipali ies allow benchma king and he e o e make i possible o EM_4_2016.indd 94EM_4_2016.indd 94 30.11.2016 16:31:4330.11.2016 16:31:43 95 4, XIX, 2016 Finance compa e he es esul s o a speci i c municipali y wi h esul s o a pa icula municipali y size- ca ego y. The aim was o es he hypo hesis ha agg ega e da a on municipal expendi u es con e ge o Ben o d‘s dis ibu ion. Da a o he yea 2012, eques ed om he Minis y o Finance o he Czech Republic, we e s uc u ed based on sec ions o he sec o al b eakdown, whe e each sec ion con ained all i ems based on class b eakdown ha ha e o e he pe iod epo ed some mo emen (i.e. a leas one municipali y included in he espec i e size-ca ego y has accoun ed o his i em). Un il 2012, epo ing o he public sec o in he Czech Republic has been based on he so-called Cash P inciple. This app oach di e s om he p ac ice in Wes e n coun ies (e.g. Uni ed Kingdom, Finland, Swi ze land) whe e a e pu highe demands on he explana o y powe o accoun ing s a emen s o he public sec o , as shown by Sine o (2014), Lomb ano and Zanin (2013) and Be gman (2012). T ansi ion om cash-based accoun ing o he public sec o owa ds acc ual accoun ing is one o he co e ools o public i nancial managemen e o ms in line wi h he philosophy o he New Public Managemen (Hood, 1995). Wi hin he i s pa o he empi ical analysis, we ha e e i i ed on agg ega e da a whe he he da a on municipal public expendi u es con e ge o Ben o d’s dis ibu ion. The es c i e ion is Mean Absolu e De iance (he eina e MAD), calcula ed as ollows: (4) whe e: AP – p opo ion o occu ence o indi idual numbe s in he empi ical dis ibu ion, EP – p opo ion o occu ence o indi idual numbe s in Ben o d’s dis ibu ion, K – numbe o digi s. The ollowing Table 6 shows c i ical MAD alues o empi ical da a, based on which we can decide on he con o mi y wi h Ben o d’s dis ibu ion – 3 deg ees o con o mance, he ou h one o noncon o mi y. These alues N . Municipal size-ca- ego y based on popula ion Numbe o municipali- ies % numbe o municipa- li ies To al popu- la ion o he ca ego y % popula- ion A e age popula ion 1 0-100 477 7.64% 34,406 0.33% 72 2 101-200 1,001 16.03% 149,812 1.43% 150 3 201-500 2,007 32.13% 656,988 6.25% 327 4 501-1,000 1,362 21.81% 960,870 9.15% 705 5 1,001-2,000 726 11.62% 1,016,461 9.68% 1,400 6 2,001-5,000 400 6.40% 1,215,137 11.57% 3,038 7 5,001-10,000 142 2.27% 971,336 9.25% 6,840 8 1,0001-20,000 68 1.09% 954,676 9.09% 14,039 9 20,001-50,000 42 0.67% 1,217,062 11.59% 28,978 10 50,001-100,000 16 0.26% 1,137,171 10.83% 71,073 11 100,001-1,000,000 4 0.06% 947,894 9.02% 236,974 12 1,000,001+ 1 0.02% 1,241,664 11.82% 1,241,664 To al 6,246 100.00% 10,503,477 100.00% 1,682 Sou ce: Da a on he numbe o municipali ies om he Czech S a is ical O i ce. Table and calcula ions by au ho s. Tab. 5: Numbe o es ed da a in municipali y-size ca ego ies EM_4_2016.indd 95EM_4_2016.indd 95 30.11.2016 16:31:4330.11.2016 16:31:43 96 2016, XIX, 4 Finance we e de i ed om empi ical s udies by Nig ini (2011). Resul s b oken down by municipal size- ca ego ies a e lis ed in Table 7. MAD alues a e also shown in he ollowing cha . Resea ch esul s gi en in Table 7 and Figu e 1 indica e ha he da a on public expendi u es o municipali ies in he Czech Republic con e ge o Ben o d’s dis ibu ion. Eigh size-ca ego ies (including he Ci y o P ague) eco ded he alue o MAD a he le el o “close con o mi y” and h ee ca ego ies anked as “accep able con o mi y”. La ge , bu s ill accep able le el o de ia ion om loga i hmic dis ibu ion eco ded only da a o he size- ca ego y o municipali ies wi h a popula ion om 100,001 o 1,000,000 inhabi an s (“lowe con o mi y”). This g oup includes ou ci ies. 3. Applica ion o Ben o d’s Tes on he Da a o Czech Ci ies o 2012 The hi d objec i e o he esea ch was o conduc an empi ical analysis o municipal expendi u es in 2012 and o analyse he esul s / d aw conclusions applicable o he con ol o public expendi u es a he le el o municipali ies o he Czech Republic. The es hypo hesis was ha based on he analysis o con en and s uc u e o he s a emen o execu ion and con ol o ci y budge s, Ben o d’s es should (mos likely) iden i y s a emen s o ci ies wi h ypes o da a manipula ions and e o s such as ew i ing numbe s, duplici ies, ounding o numbe s, wiping o da a. Gi en he speci i c na u e o he public sec o and he cha ac e o epo ed s a emen s i can be assumed ha Ben o d’s es should be MAD alue Deg ee o con o mi y wi h Ben o d’s dis ibu ion 0.000-0.006 Close con o mi y 0.006-0.012 Accep able con o mi y 0.012-0.015 Lowe con o mi y 0.015 and mo e Noncon o mi y Sou ce: Nig ini (2011) Size-ca ego y based on popula ion Numbe o es ed da a MAD alue O de based on MAD Assessmen e dic 0-100 1,404 0.006941550 10 Accep able con o mi y 101-200 2,446 0.004812095 5 Close con o mi y 201-500 4,203 0.003228490 1 Close con o mi y 501-1,000 4,679 0.005652321 6 Close con o mi y 1,001-2,000 4,371 0.006520248 9 Accep able con o mi y 2,001-5,000 4,866 0.004004314 3 Close con o mi y 5,001-10,000 4,374 0.003456433 2 Close con o mi y 10,001-20,000 3,870 0.004362737 4 Close con o mi y 20,001-50,000 3,518 0.005951687 7 Close con o mi y 50,001-100,000 2,950 0.007030236 11 Accep able con o mi y 100,001-1,000,000 2,434 0.012114151 12 Lowe con o mi y 1,000,001 and mo e 2,365 0.005994241 8 Close con o mi y Sou ce: own Tab. 6: C i ical MAD alues o he i s numbe Tab. 7: Resul s o Ben o d’s es applied o agg ega e da a on municipal public expen- di u es in he Czech Republic acco ding o size-ca ego ies based on popula ion EM_4_2016.indd 96EM_4_2016.indd 96 30.11.2016 16:31:4330.11.2016 16:31:43 97 4, XIX, 2016 Finance able o de ec in en ional shi s o expendi u es be ween indi idual budge headings. This ac i i y may be aimed a co e ing e.g. adminis a i e misconduc s o b eaching he budge a y discipline. Ano he mo i e may be an a emp o mo e i ems be ween he ope a ing and in es men pa s o he budge in an e o o imp o e ope a ing esul s and hus mee he e alua ion c i e ia o secu ing a bank loan. Ano he mo i e may be o a pu ely poli ical na u e, e.g. an a emp o co e up expenses o legal and o he consul ing se ices (see i ndings o he Sup eme Audi O i ce o he pe iod om Augus o Sep embe 2013). The eason o such a da a manipula ion is o “p o ec i sel ” om a nega i e public eac ion owa ds expendi u es ela ed o ou sou cing o legal and consul ing se ices by public adminis a ion ins i u ions. Fo u he es ing we e used da a om all municipali ies in he Czech Republic wi h a ci y s a us. In o al, analysed we e public expendi u es in he s a emen o budge a y execu ion and con ol o all 602 Czech ci ies o he yea 2012. On he empi ical da a was applied he i s -le el es , i.e. o con e gence owa ds Ben o d’s dis ibu ion was es ed he i s numbe . This es is gene ally ega ded as he mos in o ma i e one (Nig ini, 2011). When analysing he con e gence o empi ical da a owa ds Ben o d’s dis ibu ion, we can u ilise p ima ily es s o goodness o i (Chi-squa e es , Z- es , Kolmogo o -Smi no es ). Howe e , hese es s a e a ec ed by he numbe o da a eco ds (Nig ini, 2011) and a lowe numbe s o eco ds hei alues may be dis o ed. To a oid a possible dis o ion o esul s due o a low numbe o eco ds, we ha e used as a es c i e ion he alue o Mean Absolu e De ia ion. The esul s o Mean Absolu e De ia ion, howe e , co ela e wi h he esul s o es s o goodness o i . Based on p e ious i ndings, we ha e applied Ben o d’s es on s a emen s o budge a y Fig. 1: MAD alues o indi idual municipal ca ego ies Sou ce: own EM_4_2016.indd 97EM_4_2016.indd 97 30.11.2016 16:31:4330.11.2016 16:31:43