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Perceived corruption in business environment: exploring the underlying causes

Džunić, Marija

Abstract

This paper presents an empirical contribution to the literature that tends to explain variations in corruption perceptions. Drawing on theoretical assumptions about the impact of corruption on the quality of the business environment, we explore possible determinants of perceived corruption. We argue that explaining the determinants of corruption perceptions could be a valuable input for creating effective anti-corruption policies. In the paper, we perform a detailed analysis on the case of Serbia, a transition country with relatively widespread corruption in the business environment. Using the non-parametric analysis of variance test, we examine the significance of differences in the perceived spread of corruption across a number of independent variables (regions, size of locality, industry, size, and years of operation). Specifying an ordered logistic regression model, we estimate the relation between corruption perceptions and a number of potential causes: frequencies of unofficial payments or gifts for different purposes, the impact that unofficial payments to public officials have on the business operations of the respondents, as well as attitudes of the respondents about the quality of the judicial system and political stability. We find that perceptions of corruption as an obstacle to business operations can be linked to the frequency of unofficial payments to deal with customs and taxes, as well as the impact of unofficial payments to local or regional government officials on business performance of the respondents. The results provide useful insights into what policy measures are necessary to reduce the level of corruption, as well as how the effects of such measures can be assessed.

Full text

48 2018, XXI, 4 Ekonomie DOI: 10.15240/ ul/001/2018-4-004 In oduc ion Business en i onmen is an impo an de e minan o na ional compe i i eness and sus ainable long- e m economic g ow h. Business en i onmen quali y de e mines he isk as well as e u ns om in es men and he e o e a ec s in es men decisions. The business en i onmen is la gely, i no o ally, beyond he con ol o he i ms and hei managemen . I esul s om exis ing poli ical, legal and egula o y amewo k; mac oeconomic policies; ins i u ional in as uc u e; social and cul u al con ex wi hin which ansac ions ake place, he quali y o physical and social in as uc u e and many o he ac o s. Empi ical esea ch has shown ha co up ion ep esen s a se ious obs acle o en ep eneu ship and business (Kau mann & Wei, 2000; Meon & Sekka , 2005). Hellman e al. (2000) conside co up ion, in addi ion o go e nance quali y and s a e cap u e, a ac o ha signi i can ly shapes business en i onmen in ansi ion coun ies. Go e nmen has a i al ole in c ea ing and ensu ing he s able and heal hy socio-economic en i onmen o businesses. By ensu ing lowe ansac ion cos s on indi iduals and i ms, well- egula ed business en i onmen allows hem o ope a e mo e e i cien ly. Acco ding o Gu ie (2004) co up ion and poo ins i u ions a e key de e minan s o exis ing poo egula ion and misgo e nance. B een and Gillande s (2012) conside a coun y’s exis ing s ock o egula ion as a p oduc o i s ecen his o y o ins i u ional quali y and co up ion. Main i ndings o hei esea ch show ha he le el o co up ion is he mos impo an ac o ha de e mines he quali y o he business en i onmen , umping he quali y o ins i u ions and a ange o o he indica o s. The e o e, de elopmen and implemen a ion o app op ia e s a egies, ocused on con inuous imp o emen o business en i onmen a e o g ea impo ance. Al hough some au ho s jus i y co up ion on he g ound ha i helps i ms o deal wi h obs acles caused by ine i cien public adminis a ion (D ehe & Gassebne , 2013; Le , 1964), co up business en i onmen o ces i ms o alloca e signi i can pa o hei human, i nancial and o he esou ces o co up p ac ices ins ead o ocusing on inno a ion and de elopmen . La ge companies a e in be e posi ion because hey ha e esou ces and capaci ies o p o ec hei business in e es s and cope wi h co up ion, while small and medium-sized en e p ises a e mo e s ongly a ec ed by co up ion. The e is also e idence ha he ex en o co up ion a ies in di e en egions o he same coun y (Linha o á & Volejníko á, 2015). This s udy ends o con ibu e o he li e a u e on he causes o co up ion. Pa icula ly, we empi ically es he ele ance o a ious de e minan s o co up ion in he business en i onmen , on he example o a single ansi ion economy. Se bia is a coun y whe e co up ion is pe cei ed as a majo impedimen o in es ing and doing business e i cien ly (S ošić, Nikolić, & Đukić, 2011). In ou analysis, we use da a on he pe cep ions o co up ion h oughou Se bian business en i onmen , as well as he eal cases o co up ion, in he o m o in o mal paymen s o gi s o a ious pu poses. We in es iga e o wha ex en co up ion ep esen s an obs acle o business ansac ions and o e po en ial explana ions o he de e minan s o such a i udes. The pape is o ganized as ollows. Sec ion 1 p esen s a b ie o e iew o he main i ndings o he li e a u e on co up ion, i s de e minan s and he impac on he business en i onmen . Sec ion 2 desc ibes he da a sou ces and explains he p oposed me hodological p ocedu es. In sec ions 3 and 4, he esul s o empi ical es s a e p esen ed and discussed. The pape ends wi h a summa y o he main i ndings. PERCEIVED CORRUPTION IN BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT: EXPLORING THE UNDERLYING CAUSES Ma ija Džunić, Na aša Golubo ić EM_4_2018.indd 48EM_4_2018.indd 48 28.11.2018 13:12:4828.11.2018 13:12:48 49 4, XXI, 2018 Economics 1. Li e a u e Re iew Co up ion is a complex social phenomenon ha has a long his o y. Fo ms, causes, mechanisms and conseqences o co up ion ep esen a popula subjec o scien i i c inqui ies (Mau o, 1995; Paldam, 2002; Rose-Acke man, 1999; Shlei e & Vishny, 1993). Ye , despi e nume ous poli ical, legal, economic and sociological s udies, he e is no globally accep ed de i ni ion o co up ion. Co up ion is mos commonly de i ned as he misuse o he abuse o powe o pe sonal gain and exis s in bo h public and p i a e sec o s. Co up ion is p edominan ly associa ed wi h he public sec o . Mau o (1995) deals only wi h go e nmen co up ion. Shlei e and Vishny (1993) ocus hei a en ion on co up ion in he public sec o , whe e co up ion is a “sale by go e nmen o i cial o go e nmen p ope y o pe sonal gain” (p. 599). Pe haps he mos comp ehensi e de i ni ion o co up ion is gi en by Tanzi (1995), who associa es co up ion wi h he delibe a e iola ion o impa iali y in decision making p ocess, o he pu pose o app op ia ing bene i s o onesel o o ela ed indi iduals. Rega dless o i s o ms, i is widely belie ed ha co up ion ep esen s a conside able impedimen o sus ainable g ow h and de elopmen (Mau o, 1995; Tanzi, 1998). High le els o co up ion a ec in es men decisions and economic g ow h (Mau o, 1997). Go e nance and co up ion issues, acco ding o Kau man (2005), ep esen key cons ain s o in es men and business. Business en i onmen ha is conduci e o g ow h has many dimensions, ela ed o he quali y o ins i u ions, go e nmen policy, egula o y amewo k e c. (UNODC, 2013). Besides poli ical and economic s abili y, a sound business en i onmen o a g ea deal depends on he con ol o co up ion. Pe cep ions abou business en i onmen a e a undamen al ac o ha shapes decisions o i ms. I i ms pe cei e business en i onmen as a ou able, hey will be mo e inclined o in es . Co up ion ep esen s a kind o ax on economic ac i i y, which aises ansac ion cos s (Shlei e & Vishny, 1993). Th ough ising unce ain y and educed p o i abili y o en e p ises, co up ion educes he willingness o en e p ises o in es . I will in u n educe he a ac i eness o en ep eneu ship; en ep eneu ial alen will be di e ed o less p oduc i e ac i i ies, wi h he nega i e impac on he inno a ion and hus economic g ow h (Ha is & Me we, 2012, p. 171). The e is also ou pu loss due o he misalloca ion o esou ces (Shlei e & Vishny, 1993), dis o ions o incen i es, s eng hening o he in o mal economy, changing s uc u e o in es men and go e nmen spending. Co up ion nega i ely a ec s coun y’s capaci y o a ac o eign di ec in es men , which is a majo ehicle o echnology ans e (Abed & Da odi, 2002; Sma zynska & Wei, 2000). Indices o co up ion send ou signals o po en ial in es o s, p o iding in o ma ion necessa y o he assessmen o a coun y isk and he cos o doing business, and o he decision whe e o in es . Howe e , some au ho s conside co up ion as bene i cial because i helps o o e come he ine i ciency o he go e nmen egula ions and a oid bu eauc a ic obs acles (Le , 1964). Acco ding o Ali and Isse (2003), b ibe y is a subs i u e o highe wages, meaning ha i sa es money o he go e nmen . In he poli ical sphe e, co up ion causes he dec ease o o e s’ con i dence in elec ed ep esen a i es, unde mines he ule o law, and unde mines he epu a ion o go e nmen and o he ins i u ions. Co up ion a ec s he c edibili y o poli ical ins i u ions in on o ci izens and he es o he wo ld. Acco ding o Hodgson and Jiang (2007, p. 1057) co up ion educes le els o us in dealing wi h bo h business and he s a e. I e odes con i dence in public ins i u ions, diminishes s a e’s abili y o p o ide public goods and se ices and c ea e conduci e en i onmen o p i a e sec o de elopmen . Fu he mo e, co up ion a ec s o he impo an de e minan s o business en i onmen , such as social capi al (Pu nam, 1993; F i zen, Se i zlew, & S endsen, 2014). Reliance on in o mal con ac s and amily, iendship, e hnic and o he ies caused by co up ion leads o he loss o bene i s o wide coope a ion and compe i ion (G ae & S endsen, 2013). I unde mines he e i cacy o he o mal ules ha a e e y impo an o he e i cien ma ke economy. S ong in o mal ne wo ks wi h bonding social ies and lack o e i cien o mal ins i u ions c ea e e ile g ound o u he expansion o co up ion (Lipse & Lenz, 2000; Ha is, 2007). In he long un, co up ion causes he inc ease o inequali y and po e y, c ea ing a gene al clima e o insecu i y, EM_4_2018.indd 49EM_4_2018.indd 49 28.11.2018 13:12:4828.11.2018 13:12:48 50 2018, XXI, 4 Ekonomie lack o us in ins i u ions and he gene al dissa is ac ion o all social s a ums (Ro hs ein & Uslane , 2005). In ansi ion coun ies, he collapse o he exis ing ins i u ions o cen ally-planned economy and slow eme gence o new ins i u ions compa ible wi h ma ke economy has es ablished ins i u ional acuum and e ile g ound o public sec o co up ion. Ins i u ional weakness, such as poo ly de i ned p ope y igh s, weak accoun abili y o public o i cials and limi ed poli ical compe i ion, has had a p o ound impac on he suscep ibili y o ansi ion coun ies o co up ion. A he beginning o ansi ion hese coun ies we e ocused on he p oblem o economic ans o ma ion and p i a iza ion. Re o ms o he s a e, public adminis a ion and o he judicia y we e la gely neglec ed (Acke man, 1992, p. 46). These de elopmen s a ec ed he pace o poli ical and economic e o ms and c ea ed a unique ansi ion pa h o e e y coun y. Coun ies whe e ansi ion pa h led o concen a ion o economic powe in a se ing o weak ins i u ions became especially ulne able o co up ion. The egion o he Wes e n Balkans is pe cei ed as a egion o high co up ion. Co up ion is pe cei ed as a majo obs acle o in es men and doing business in his egion (EUROCHAMBRES, 2009). This is con i med by he esul s o se e al s udies (S ošić, Nikolić, & Đukić, 2011; Dža i ć e al., 2011; Budak & Rajh, 2011). Acco ding o business ep esen a i es in Se bia, co up ion is he i h mos signi i can obs acle o doing business, igh a e ax a es, ine i cien go e nmen bu eauc acy, poli ical ins abili y and access o i nancing (WEF, 2016). Uni ed Na ions O i ce on D ugs and C ime s udy abou he impac o co up ion on p i a e en e p ises in Se bia e eals ha co up ion is a g ea hind ance o p i a e en e p ise and has a nega i e e ec upon p i a e in es men (UNDOC, 2013). The ob ious nega i e impac o co up ion on economic and social ou comes implica es ha explo ing possible de e minan s o co up ion is e y impo an . Howe e , a se ious limi a ion o s udies ha explo e causes o co up ion ela es o he p oblems in i s measu emen . Ac ual co up ion inciden s a e e y ha d o de ec , since agen s end o hide hei pa icipa ion in co up p ac ices. Fo his eason, di ec measu es o co up ion a e a ely a ailable o esea ch. The e o e, widely used measu es o co up ion a e es ima es based on pe cep ions o he equency and le el o co up ion, cap u ed by su eys. Al hough pe cep ions could possibly de ia e om ac ual co up ion inciden s (T eisman, 2007), pe cep ions based indica o s a e conside ed a eliable indica o o co up ion. In ha sense, when explo ing co up ion de e minan s, empi ical s udies mainly ely on da a abou pe cei ed co up ion. The e a e many possible causes o co up ion sugges ed by he li e a u e. Economic de e minan s o co up ion mos o en include coun y’s economic weal h (Hall & Jones, 1999), income inequali y (Paldam, 2002), economic eedom (T eisman, 2000), ade openness (Pe sson e al., 2003), in l a ion and mac o-economic pe o mance (Melga e al., 2010). S udies ela ed o poli ical causes o co up ion ha e ocused on he impac o poli ical ins abili y (Lede man e al., 2005), poli ical libe ies (T eisman, 2000), elec o al sys ems (Pe sson e al., 2003), e c. Go e nmen is ci ed as he impo an sou ce o co up ion because ex ensi e s a e egula ion o he economy c ea es possibili ies o he ex ac ion o en s. Empi ical esea ch abou o igins o co up ion indica es ha poo ly unc ioning ins i u ions and policies unde mine ee ade and compe i ion, hus leading o co up ion. Based on he analysis o ins i u ional quali y in 18 OECD coun ies D ehe e al. (2009) i nd ha inc ease in ins i u ional quali y educes he le el o co up ion. Ex ensi e egula ion o ma ke en y, in he o m o p ocedu es, cos s and ime o s a a new business, is consis en wi h highe le els o co up ion (Djanko e al., 2002). A highly di e si i ed ade a i may encou age public o i cials o ex ac b ibes om impo e s (Ga i, 1999). The e a e wo basic sou ces o co up ion ela ed o go e nmen ac i i y. The i s conce ns he way go e nmen pe o ms i s ac i i ies, such as ax collec ion, cus oms and licensing. Powe s o he go e nmen o i cials a e o en accompanied by disc e ion, non- anspa en o ambiguous p ocedu es, c ea ing a ou able condi ions o ex ac ing b ibes. The e o e, he ule o law and he quali y o bu eauc acy a e impo an de e minan s o co up ion (Rauch & E ans, 1997; Ali & Isse, 2003; B une i & Wede , 2004). Co up ion ends o be lowe in he en i onmen cha ac e ized by s ong and e ec i e judicial sys em, con ac EM_4_2018.indd 50EM_4_2018.indd 50 28.11.2018 13:12:4828.11.2018 13:12:48 51 4, XXI, 2018 Economics en o ceabili y and p o essional bu eauc acy. The second includes poli ical ac o s in ol ed in poli ical decision making, such as legisla ion, p i a iza ion and con ac ing, whose ac i i ies may cause a subs an ial dys unc ion o he legisla i e, execu i e and judicial b anches o powe . Ac i i ies o in e es g oups, which a e o en illegal and non- anspa en , may in l uence go e nmen policies, egula ions and laws, wi h he pu pose o achie ing p i a e bene i s. Ins i u ional and gene alized us s a e also pe cei ed as ele an p edic o s o co up ion (Ro hs ein & Uslane , 2005). Co up en i onmen s a e cha ac e ized by conside able de e io a ion o us in ins i u ions and poli icians, as well as in business pa ne s. 2. Da a and Me hodology Fo he pu pose o his s udy, da a om he i h ound o Business En i onmen and En e p ise Pe o mance Su ey – BEEPS V (EBRD, 2015) we e used. The BEEPS su ey has been conduc ed as a join ini ia i e o he Eu opean Bank o Recons uc ion and De elopmen and he Wo ld Bank, since 1999, as a i m-le el su ey based on in e iews wi h i m manage s, wi h he aim o assessing he quali y o he business en i onmen and main challenges o he p i a e sec o de elopmen . The i h ound o he su ey, implemen ed o e he pe iod 2012-2014, co e ed 15,883 en e p ises in 30 coun ies o Eas e n Eu ope and Cen al Asia. The esea ch in his pape is based on da a om he su ey implemen ed in Se bia. Rega ding sampling implemen a ion, in each coun y wo sampling ames ha e been used: he i s , an o i cial ame o es ablishmen s supplied by he o i cial sou ces in he coun y (Business Regis e s Agency in he case o Se bia); and he second, consis ing o en e p ises in e iewed in p e ious ound o he su ey. In pa icula , ou o he o al numbe o con ac ed es ablishmen s in Se bia (836), he numbe o non-eligible uni s was 73, 40 es ablishmen s we e impossible o con ac , while 363 e used o pa icipa e in he su ey. The numbe o comple ed in e iews was 360, indica ing he esponse a e o 0.43. The in e iews wi h senio manage s we e conduc ed om Janua y o Augus 2013. The da a used in his pape exp ess hei a i udes abou ela ions be ween business and go e nmen . The owne ship s uc u e o he su eyed en e p ises is as ollows: 317 en e p ises a e 100% owned by domes ic p i a e capi al, 25 en e p ises a e o 100% p i a e o eign owne ship, 10 en e p ises ha e a ce ain pe cen age o s a e capi al ( om 1 o 93%), while he es (8 en e p ises) epo combined owne ship. All ypes o en e p ises (mic o, small, medium and la ge) a e encompassed by he su ey. In he a emp o explo e he unde lying causes o co up ion pe cep ions, we es whe he he pe cep ions o co up ion as an obs acle o business ansac ions di e based on dis inc i e ea u es o he i ms. Besides c oss- abula ions and desc ip i e s a is ics, a nonpa ame ic es o he analysis o a iance was pe o med, as o de e mine whe he he e a e s a is ically signi i can di e ences in he pe cei ed sp ead o co up ion ac oss a numbe o independen a iables ( egions, size o locali y, indus y, size, and yea s o ope a ion). Since he examined a iables consis o mo e ca ego ies, wi h a clea o de ing and equally spaced in e als be ween he alues, he me hod o choice is he K uskal-Wallis one-way analysis- o - a iance es , H (K uskal & Wallis, 1952; 1953). This is a non-pa ame ic e sion o he one-way ANOVA and an ex ension o he Mann- Whi ney U es , used when he assump ion o no mali y is iola ed, as in he case o da a used o his s udy. The da a in ou sample mee all he assump ions ha unde pin he applica ion o K uskal-Wallis H es . All he dependen a iables a e measu ed on a Like scale wi h 5 o mo e poin s; independen a iables consis o wo o mo e ca ego ical independen g oups; obse a ions a e independen ; and, mos impo an ly, dis ibu ions o sco es ( o each g oup o independen a iable) ha e he same shape ( a iabili y). Addi ionally, by speci ying an o de ed logis ic eg ession model, we explo e he de e minan s o he a i udes on co up ion. We es ima e he ela ions be ween he pe cep ions o co up ion and se e al independen a iables ( equencies o uno i cial paymen s and gi s o di e en pu poses, pe cei ed impac o in o mal paymen s on go e nmen decisions, pe cep ions o he impo ance o poli ical s abili y and cou s o business ope a ions). As he dependen a iable in he model is ca ego ical and o de ed (pe cep ions o co up ion as an obs acle o doing business, exp essed by 5-poin Like scale), we es ima e an o de ed logis ic eg ession model, also known as p opo ional odds model EM_4_2018.indd 51EM_4_2018.indd 51 28.11.2018 13:12:4928.11.2018 13:12:49 52 2018, XXI, 4 Ekonomie (Ai chison & Sil ey, 1957; McKel ey & Za oina, 1975; Long & F eese, 2014). Using he ologi model, we ob ain he p obabili ies o obse ing each o he possible ou comes i o dependan a iable (deg ees o pe cei ed co up ion) wi hin he ange o he es ima ed cu -poin s. In o he wo ds, he p obabili y o ou come i is calcula ed as he p obabili y ha he alue o he linea unc ion o he independen a iables (including he e o e m uj) is wi hin he ange o es ima ed cu -poin s (ki): (1) In his model, he ela ionship be ween each pai o ou come g oups is he same and i is desc ibed by one se o coe i cien s, so only one equa ion is es ima ed. Two p ocedu es a e pe o med o es ing he p opo ional odds assump ion: a likelihood a io es (Wol e & Gould, 1998) and B an es (B an , 1990). Based on he model, we ob ain p edic ions ega ding he e ec s ha imp o ing business en i onmen can ha e on co up ion pe cep ions o he exis ing and po en ial business ac o s. 3. Resul s 3.1 Da a O e iew and Desc ip i e S a is ics Th oughou ansi ion coun ies, i m manage s epo ha op h ee obs acles, as pe cei ed by each i m, a e compe i o s’ p ac ices in he in o mal sec o , access o i nance and elec ici y issues (EBRD, 2015a). Howe e , co up ion s ill emains one o he bigges obs acles, e en hough he su ey esul s indica e he e has been a signi i can decline in he sha e o i ms epo ing ha in o mal paymen o gi s we e expec ed o eques ed om hem in di e en in e ac ions wi h go e nmen o i cials. One o he easons o his decline, as epo ed, migh be he in oduc ion o elec onic i ling and paymen sys ems, which educe he possibili ies o o i cials o eques in o mal paymen s. S ill, he e a e a numbe o i ms ha epo signi i can sha e o hei annual sales o he pu pose o “ge ing hings done”. The op h ee business en i onmen obs acles iden i i ed by i ms in Se bia a e poli ical ins abili y, ax a es and access o i nance (EBRD, 2015). These esul s a e de e mined by he in ensi e poli ical de elopmen s in he pe iod p io o su ey – p esiden ial and pa liamen a y elec ions, ollowed by he change o he uling pa y. The new go e nmen has in oduced a i scal consolida ion e o m, which caused a ise in he ax a es. Access o i nance has become he bigges p oblem o Se bian i ms, due o he lack o c edi unds and inc eased in e es a es. Besides, co up ion appea s o be an impo an obs acle in Se bia. As o 6.11% o he o al numbe o su eyed i ms co up ion ep esen s he bigges obs acle o business ope a ions. The scope o co up ion appea s e e y ime a i m in e ac s wi h go e nmen o i cials o se ice p o ide s. Howe e , he pe cep ions o i ms abou co up ion ac i i ies end o di e , depending on hei size, indus y, egion o owne ship s uc u e. Small i ms in Se bia complain he mos abou co up ion, while all he complain s a ise om he i ms ha a e 100% owned by domes ic p i a e capi al. The majo i y o i ms ha complain abou co up ion a e ope a ing in Belg ade, he capi al o Se bia. A de ailed s a is ics on i ms’ pe cep ions o co up ion as an obs acle o hei cu en business ope a ions is p esen ed in Tab. 1 ( he esponses a e assigned sco es om 0 = No obs acle o 4 = Ve y se e e obs acle). The da a indica e ha co up ion is widesp ead in he business en i onmen . Less han a hal o he su eyed i ms do no expe ience any p oblems wi h co up ion, while 6.11% pe cei e co up ion as a e y se e e obs acle o hei business. Fu he mo e, o e 40% o he esponden s claim ha o al annual cos o hei ope a ions would dec ease i co up ion was no longe an obs acle (no enclosed in he able). The mean alue o expec ed cos dec ease epo ed by he i ms is 11.75%. In o de o explo e whe he such a i udes on co up ion s em om eal cases o co up ac i i ies o me ely pe cep ions on he sp ead o co up ion in hei en i onmen , he esponden s ha e been asked o epo i any gi s o in o mal paymen s had been expec ed o eques ed om hem when mee ing ax o i cials, ob aining an impo license o ob aining an ope a ing license. The su ey da a indica e ha 5-6% o any in e ac ions wi h he go e nmen au ho i ies a e ollowed by eques ing o expec ed gi s o in o mal paymen s om he i ms. Addi ionally, 3 ou o 29 i ms ha ha e a emp ed o secu e EM_4_2018.indd 52EM_4_2018.indd 52 28.11.2018 13:12:4928.11.2018 13:12:49 53 4, XXI, 2018 Economics a go e nmen con ac decla ed ha a ce ain pe cen age (2-8%) o he con ac alue “would ypically be paid in in o mal paymen s o gi s o secu e he con ac ”. Fi ms epo ha hey pay ce ain pe cen ages o o al annual sales as in o mal paymen s o gi s o public o i cials o “ge hings done” wi h ega d o cus oms, axes, licenses, egula ions, se ices e c. Abou 8% o he su eyed i ms epo ha in hei business en i onmen , an es ablishmen such as hei s pays a ce ain pe cen age o o al annual sales in in o mal paymen s o gi s o public o i cials. The pe cep ions o he esponden s on how common i is o i ms in hei line o business o ha e o pay some i egula “addi ional paymen s o gi s” o ge hings done wi h ega d o cus oms, axes, licenses, egula ions, se ices e c. a e p esen ed in Tab. 2 ( he esponses a e assigned sco es om 1 = Ne e o 6 = Always). Only a qua e o esponden s belie e ha i is ne e common o i ms o pay addi ional paymen s o gi s o such pu poses, while o 12% o he su eyed i ms, i is qui e common o make such paymen s. Beside pe cep ions on how common i is o i ms o pay addi ional paymen s and gi s, he esponden s ha e epo ed on he equency o paymen s o di e en pu poses ( o deal wi h cus oms, cou s and axes). I is assumed ha he main eason o i ms’ making uno i cial paymen s o gi s is o hem o gain ad an ages in he d a ing o laws, dec ees, egula ions, and o he binding go e nmen decisions. The ollowing able p esen s he ex en o wha p i a e paymen s/ gi s o o he bene i s o pa liamen a ians and go e nmen , egional o local o i cials o a ec hei o es o he con en o go e nmen dec ees, had a di ec impac on business o he su eyed i ms (Tab. 3). No obs acle 42.50% Mino obs acle 21.39% Mode a e obs acle 15.28% Majo obs acle 11.11% Ve y se e e obs acle 6.11% Don’ know / No answe 3.61% To al 100% Sou ce: BEEPS V (EBRD, 2015) Tab. 1: To wha deg ee is co up ion an obs acle in business en i onmen I is common o pay addi ional paymen s “ o ge hings done” To deal wi h cus oms/impo s To deal wi h cou s To deal wi h axes and ax collec ion Ne e 25.28% 41.39% 42.50% 39.72% Seldom 21.94% 15.83% 14.17% 17.22% Some imes 24.17% 14.17% 14.17% 14.72% F equen ly 8.33% 4.17% 5.56% 3.61% Ve y equen ly 2.50% 1.11% 0.83% 1.11% Always 0.83% 0.56% 0.56% 0.00% Don’ know 16.94% 22.78% 22.22% 23.61% To al 100% 100% 100% 100% Sou ce: BEEPS V (EBRD, 2015) Tab. 2: The equency o in o mal paymen s EM_4_2018.indd 53EM_4_2018.indd 53 28.11.2018 13:12:4928.11.2018 13:12:49 54 2018, XXI, 4 Ekonomie Desc ip i e s a is ics o he a iables used in he analysis ha ollows is p esen ed in Tab. 4. Obse a ions wi h missing alues (Don’ know, Does no apply) ha e been omi ed p io o he calcula ions. 3.2 K uskal-Wallis Equali y-o - Popula ions Rank Tes The nex s ep o he analysis is o es whe he he pe cep ions o co up ion as an obs acle in he business en i onmen in Se bia di e based No impac Mino Mode a e Majo Decisi e N/A To a ec pa liamen a y o es 59.17% 7.50% 3.61% 1.39% 0.83% 27.50% To a ec go e nmen dec ees 59.72% 6.39% 3.61% 1.67% 0.83% 27.78% To a ec local and egional o i cials 55.83% 9.17% 4.72% 1.67% 1.11% 27.50% Sou ce: BEEPS V (EBRD, 2015) Va iable Obs. Mean S . de . Min Max Co up ion as obs acle o business 202 1.148515 1.307355 0 4 F equency o paymen s – cus oms 202 1.792079 1.068004 1 6 F equency o paymen s – cou s 202 1.861386 1.115514 1 6 F equency o paymen s – axes 202 1.831683 1.022817 1 5 Impac o paymen s – pa liamen a ians 202 1.301980 0.714384 1 5 Impac o paymen s – go e nmen 202 1.297030 0.740372 1 5 Impac o paymen s – local/ eg. o i cials 202 1.396040 0.829544 1 5 Cou s as obs acle o business 202 0.861386 1.226001 0 4 Poli ical ins abili y as obs acle 202 1.752475 1.333875 0 4 Sou ce: BEEPS V (EBRD, 2015) Dependen a iable Independen a iable d χ2 (wi h ies) p- alue Co up ion as obs acle Indus y 2 6.882 0.0320 Region 3 9.973 0.0188 Uno i cial paymen s – Cus oms Size o locali y 3 8.838 0.0315 Uno i cial paymen s – Cou s Region 3 9.729 0.0210 Impac o paymen s – pa liamen a ians Indus y 2 8.105 0.0174 Impac o paymen s – go e nmen dec ees Indus y 2 13.052 0.0015 Sou ce: au ho ’s calcula ions based on BEEPS V (EBRD, 2015) Tab. 3: The impac o uno i cial paymen s Tab. 4: Desc ip i e s a is ics Tab. 5: K uskal-Wallis es EM_4_2018.indd 54EM_4_2018.indd 54 28.11.2018 13:12:4928.11.2018 13:12:49 55 4, XXI, 2018 Economics on dis inc i e ea u es o he i ms ( i m size, egion, indus y o he size o locali y whe e i ms ope a e, numbe o yea s o ope a ion). The da a in ou sample mee he assump ions ha unde pin he use o K uskal-Wallis H es . The esul s o he K uskal-Wallis H a e p esen ed in Tab. 5 (only esul s a p < 0.05 signi i cance le el a e displayed). The K uskal-Wallis H es showed ha he e was a s a is ically signi i can di e ence in pe cei ing co up ion as an obs acle o business ope a ions be ween he manu ac u ing, e ail and o he se ices, as well as be ween he ou egions o Se bia. Also, equency o uno i cial paymen s/gi s ha i ms would make in a gi en yea o deal wi h cus oms di e signi i can ly be ween locali ies o di e en sizes, while equency o uno i cial gi s paid o deal wi h cou s a e signi i can ly di e en be ween Se bian egions. The esul s also indica e ha he e is a s a is ically signi i can di e ence be ween i ms om di e en indus ies ega ding he ex en o which p i a e paymen s o pa liamen a ians (paid o a ec hei o es) ha e a di ec impac on hei business. Belonging o manu ac u ing, e ail o o he se ices indus y is also a alid p edic o o he ex en ha p i a e paymen s o go e nmen o i cials (paid o a ec he con en o go e nmen dec ees) ha e a di ec impac on i ms’ business. The esul s o he pe o med es p o e ha , depending on he indus y hey belong o, egion hey ope a e in, o size o hei ci y/ own, i ms ha e di e en pe cep ions o how co up ion, in he o m o uno i cial paymen s o gi s o public o i cials, a ec s hei business ope a ions. The ollowing analysis is aimed a explo ing he causes ha de e mine such pe cep ions. 3.3 Es ima ion o he Pe cei ed Co up ion De e minan s The su ey da a on co up ion in Se bian business en i onmen indica e a signi i can p e alence o co up ion, as pe cei ed by economic ac o s. In he a emp o explo e he unde lying causes o co up ion pe cep ions, we es whe he he a i udes on co up ion a e de e mined by eal cases o co up ion o pe cep ions o he impac ha in o mal paymen s may ha e on he business ope a ions. Speci ying he o de ed logis ic eg ession model, we es he explana o y powe o se e al po en ial de e minan s o a i udes on co up ion. The esponse a iable in he model is de i ned as he deg ee o which co up ion p esen s an obs acle o business ope a ions o esponden s, measu ed by 5 poin Like scale. The explana o y a iables used in he model include: he equencies o uno i cial paymen s o gi s o di e en pu poses (dealing wi h cus oms, cou s o O de ed logis ic eg ession Numbe o obs = 202 LR chi2(5) = 50.63 P ob > chi2 = 0.0000 Pseudo R2 = 0.0893 Log likelihood = -258.2548 Co up ion as obs acle Coe . S d. E . Z P>|z| [95% Con . In e al] Uno i cial paymen s-cus oms .3581645 .1489654 2.40 0.016 .0661977 .6501313 Uno i cial paymen s- axes .4267126 .1554440 2.75 0.006 .1220479 .7313772 Impac -local/ egional o i cials .3267984 .1629264 2.01 0.045 .0074685 .6461284 Cou s as obs acle .2146813 .1148418 1.87 0.062 -.0104044 .439767 Poli ical ins abili y as obs acle .1670583 .1030101 1.62 0.105 -.0348378 .3689545 /cu 1 2.113232 .3855439 (Ancilla y pa ame e s) /cu 2 3.030764 .4147334 /cu 3 4.192927 .4714150 /cu 4 5.335898 .5401861 Sou ce: au ho ’s calcula ions based on BEEPS V (EBRD, 2015) Tab. 6: Reg ession esul s o de e minan s o pe cei ed co up ion EM_4_2018.indd 55EM_4_2018.indd 55 28.11.2018 13:12:4928.11.2018 13:12:49 56 2018, XXI, 4 Ekonomie axes), he impac ha uno i cial paymen s o public o i cials (pa liamen a ians, go e nmen o i cials, local and egional o i cials) ha e on he business ope a ions o he esponden s, as well as a i udes o he esponden s ela ed o he quali y o he judicial sys em and poli ical s abili y. The empi ical es ima es o he ologi model a e p esen ed in Tab. 6. The model summa y indica es he speci i cs o he i ed model. The LR Chi-Squa e o 50.63 wi h a p- alue o 0.0000 implies ha he model as a whole is s a is ically signi i can , as compa ed o he null model wi h no p edic o s. I con i ms ha leas one o he p edic o s’ eg ession coe i cien is no equal o ze o. Deg ees o eedom o he Chi-Squa e dis ibu ion used o es he LR Chi-Squa e s a is ic a e de i ned by he numbe o p edic o s in he model. The alue o pseudo-R-squa ed is subjec o a a ie y o in e p e a ions; howe e i does no indica e he p opo ion o a iance o he esponse a iable explained by he p edic o s, as he R-squa e ound in OLS eg ession. Ancilla y pa ame e s (cu poin s) shown in he eg ession ou pu a e used o di e en ia e adjacen le els o he dependan a iable, indica ing he cu s in he con inuous la en a iable. Since ou esponse a iable has 5 le els, he numbe o cu poin s ( h esholds) is 4. Fo example, cu 1 di e en ia es he lowes le el o he esponse a iable (co up ion is no obs acle o business ope a ions) om all he highe le els o his a iable, gi en ha alues o all p edic o s is ze o. In ou case, all alues o la en a iable unde 2.11 would imply ha co up ion is no obs acle o business, gi en ha i ms ne e make in o mal paymen s o gi s o deal wi h cus oms o axes; ha hese kinds o paymen s ha e no impac on i ms’ ope a ions, and ha cou s and poli ical ins abili y a e no pe cei ed as obs acles o business. In ou model, business ac o s ha a e equen ly exposed o he unde akings o paying uno i cial paymen s o gi s in o de o deal wi h cus oms and axes end o app ehend co up ion as a se e e obs acle o hei business ope a ions. Acco ding o he alues o he o de ed log-odds eg ession coe i cien s, o a one uni inc ease in hese wo p edic o s he pe cep ions o co up ion a e expec ed o change in he o de ed log- odds scale by 0.36 and 0.43 espec i ely, o he a iables held cons an . Fo example, a one uni inc ease in equency o in o mal paymen s aimed a “ge ing hings done” in dealing wi h he cus oms would esul in 0.36 uni inc ease in he o de ed log-odds o esponse a iable o be in a highe ca ego y (highe deg ee o wha co up ion is pe cei ed as an obs acle o business ope a ions), while o he a iables in he model a e held cons an . Simila o his, esponden s whose ope a ions ha e been subjec o decisi e impac o uno i cial paymen s, gi s o o he bene i s o local o egional go e nmen o i cials, end o pe cei e co up ion as ha m ul o hei business. The o de ed log-odds es ima e o a one uni inc ease in his p edic o on he expec ed le el o he dependen a iable is 0.33, gi en he o he a iables a e held cons an in he model. On he o he hand, pe cep ions o esponden s ela ed o he judicial e i ciency o poli ical s abili y as de e minan s o business ope a ions do no ha e s a is ical signi i cance (alpha le el se a 0.05) in explaining co up ion pe cep ions. 4. Discussion and In e p e a ion o Resea ch Resul s I is clea om ou esul s ha i ms ha e di e en pe cep ions o how co up ion, in he o m o uno i cial paymen s o gi s o public o i cials, a ec s hei business ope a ions, depending on he indus y hey belong o, egion hey ope a e in, o size o hei locali y (see pa 3.3). The empi ical analysis indica es ha he e a e signi i can di e ences in pe cei ing co up ion as an obs acle o business ope a ions be ween he manu ac u ing, e ail and o he se ices, as well as be ween he egions o he analysed coun y. Pe cep ions on equency o uno i cial paymen s ha i ms make o deal wi h cus oms di e signi i can ly be ween i ms om locali ies o di e en sizes, while pe cep ions on equency o uno i cial paymen s o deal wi h cou s a e signi i can ly di e en be ween egions. These i ndings a e in line wi h he esul s o ecen empi ical analysis o he business consequences o local b ibe y en i onmen s (Hanoushek & Kochano a, 2016), indica ing ha bu eauc a ic co up ion is a local phenomenon, ha depends no only on coun y, bu also indus y, i m and ma ke size. Fu he mo e, such i ndings imply he impo ance o iden i ying he po en ial de e minan s o a i udes on co up ion. The esul s o he o de ed logis ic eg ession models a e mos commonly in e p e ed in EM_4_2018.indd 56EM_4_2018.indd 56 28.11.2018 13:12:5028.11.2018 13:12:50 63 4, XXI, 2018 Economics om Ten Yea s o C oss-Na ional Empi ical Resea ch? Annual Re iew o Poli ical Science, 10(1), 211-244. h p s://doi.o g/10.1146/annu e . polisci.10.081205.095418. Van Duyne, P., & S occo, E. (2012). Co up ion Policy in Se bia – om black box o anspa en policy making. Ois e wijk: Wol Legal Publishe s. Wol e, R., & Gould, W. (1998). An app oxima e likelihood- a io es o o dinal esponse models. S a a Technical Bulle in, 7(42). UNODC. (2013). Co up ion and C ime in Se bia: The Impac o B ibe y and O he C ime on P i a e En e p ise. Vienna: Uni ed Na ions O i ce on D ugs and C ime. Wo ld Economic Fo um. (2016). Global Compe i i eness Repo . Gene a: Wo ld Economic Fo um. p o . d Ma ija Džunić, Ph.D. Uni e si y o Niš Facul y o Economics Se bia [email p o ec ed] p o . d Na aša Golubo ić, Ph.D. Uni e si y o Niš Facul y o Economics Se bia [email p o ec ed] EM_4_2018.indd 63EM_4_2018.indd 63 28.11.2018 13:12:5128.11.2018 13:12:51 64 2018, XXI, 4 Ekonomie Abs ac PERCEIVED CORRUPTION IN BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT: EXPLORING THE UNDERLYING CAUSES Ma ija Džunić, Na aša Golubo ić This pape p esen s an empi ical con ibu ion o he li e a u e ha ends o explain a ia ions in co up ion pe cep ions. D awing on heo e ical assump ions abou he impac o co up ion on he quali y o he business en i onmen , we explo e possible de e minan s o pe cei ed co up ion. We a gue ha explaining he de e minan s o co up ion pe cep ions could be a aluable inpu o c ea ing e ec i e an i-co up ion policies. In he pape , we pe o m a de ailed analysis on he case o Se bia, a ansi ion coun y wi h ela i ely widesp ead co up ion in he business en i onmen . Using he non-pa ame ic analysis o a iance es , we examine he signi i cance o di e ences in he pe cei ed sp ead o co up ion ac oss a numbe o independen a iables ( egions, size o locali y, indus y, size, and yea s o ope a ion). Speci ying an o de ed logis ic eg ession model, we es ima e he ela ion be ween co up ion pe cep ions and a numbe o po en ial causes: equencies o uno i cial paymen s o gi s o di e en pu poses, he impac ha uno i cial paymen s o public o i cials ha e on he business ope a ions o he esponden s, as well as a i udes o he esponden s abou he quali y o he judicial sys em and poli ical s abili y. We i nd ha pe cep ions o co up ion as an obs acle o business ope a ions can be linked o he equency o uno i cial paymen s o deal wi h cus oms and axes, as well as he impac o uno i cial paymen s o local o egional go e nmen o i cials on business pe o mance o he esponden s. The esul s p o ide use ul insigh s in o wha policy measu es a e necessa y o educe he le el o co up ion, as well as how he e ec s o such measu es can be assessed. Key Wo ds: Co up ion, business en i onmen , in o mal paymen s. JEL Classi i ca ion: D73, H11. DOI: 10.15240/ ul/001/2018-4-004 EM_4_2018.indd 64EM_4_2018.indd 64 28.11.2018 13:12:5128.11.2018 13:12:51