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The expansion of the GRB 221009A afterglow

Giarratana, S.,Salafia, O. S.,Giroletti, M.,Ghirlanda, G.,Rhodes, L.,Atri, P.,Marcote, B.,Yang, J.,An, T.,Anderson, G.,Bright, J. S.,Farah, W.,Fender, R.,Leung, J. K.,Motta, S. E.,Pérez-Torres, Miguel A.,van der Horst, A. J.

Abstract

The European VLBI Network is a joint facility of independent European, African, Asian, and North American radio astronomy institutes. Scientific results from data presented in this publication are derived from the following EVN project code: RG013. The National Radio Astronomy Observatory is a facility of the National Science Foundation operated under cooperative agreement by Associated Universities, Inc. This work made use of the Swinburne University of Technology software correlator, developed as part of the Australian Major National Research Facilities Programme and operated under licence. SG would like to thank Z. Paragi and the staff of JIVE for their help and support during his visiting period in Dwingeloo. We would like to thank the directors and staff of all the EVN telescopes for approving, executing, and processing our out-of-session ToO observations. The research leading to these results has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme under grant agreement No. 101004719 (OPTICON RadioNet Pilot). The research leading to these results has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 Programme under the AHEAD2020 project (grant agreement n. 871158). This work has been funded by the European Union-Next Generation EU, PRIN 2022 RFF M4C21.1 (202298J7KT – PEACE). OS acknowledges funding from the Istituto Nazionale di Astrofisica, project number 1.05.23.04.04. BM acknowledges financial support from the State Agency for Research of the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation under grant PID2019-105510GB-C31/AEI/10.13039/501100011033 and through the Unit of Excellence María de Maeztu 2020–2023 award to the Institute of Cosmos Sciences (CEX2019- 000918-M). MPT acknowledges financial support through grants CEX2021-001131-S and PID2020-117404GB-C21 funded by the Spanish MCIN/AEI/ 10.13039/501100011033.

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A&A, 690, A74 (2024) h ps://doi.o g/10.1051/0004-6361/202348524 c The Au ho s 2024 As onomy & As ophysics The expansion o he GRB 221009A a e glow S. Gia a ana1,2,?, O. S. Sala ia3,4 , M. Gi ole i2, G. Ghi landa3,4, L. Rhodes5, P. A i6, B. Ma co e7, J. Yang8, T. An9,10 , G. Ande son11 , J. S. B igh 5, W. Fa ah12,21, R. Fende 5,13, J. K. Leung14,15,16 , S. E. Mo a3,5 , M. Pé ez-To es17,18,19 , and A. J. an de Ho s 20 1Dipa imen o di Fisica e As onomia, Uni e si à degli S udi di Bologna, Via Gobe i 93/2, 40129 Bologna, I aly 2INAF Is i u o di Radioas onomia, ia Gobe i 101, 40129 Bologna, I aly 3INAF Osse a o io As onomico di B e a, Via E. Bianchi 46, I-23807 Me a e, I aly 4INFN – sezione di Milano-Bicocca, Piazza della Scienza 3, I-20126 Milano, (MI), I aly 5As ophysics, Depa men o Physics, Uni e si y o Ox o d, Keble Road, Ox o d OX1 3RH, UK 6ASTRON, Ne he lands Ins i u e o Radio As onomy, Oude Hooge eensedijk 4, 7991 PD Dwingeloo The Ne he lands 7Join Ins i u e o VLBI ERIC, Oude Hooge eensedijk 4, 7991 PD Dwingeloo The Ne he lands 8Depa men o Space, Ea h and En i onmen , Chalme s Uni e si y o Technology, Onsala Space Obse a o y, SE-439 92 Onsala, Sweden 9Shanghai As onomical Obse a o y, Chinese Academy o Sciences, Nandan Road 80, Shanghai 200030, China 10 Key Labo a o y o Radio As onomy and Technology, Chinese Academy o Sciences, A20 Da un Road, Beijing 100101, PR China 11 In e na ional Cen e o Radio As onomy Resea ch, Cu in Uni e si y, GPO Box U1987, Pe h WA 6845, Aus alia 12 SETI Ins i u e, 339 Be na do A e, Sui e 200, Moun ain View, CA 94043, USA 13 Depa men o As onomy, Uni e si y o Cape Town, P i a e Bag X3, Rondebosch 7701, Sou h A ica 14 Da id A. Dunlap Depa men o As onomy and As ophysics, Uni e si y o To on o, 50 S . Geo ge S ee , To on o, On a io M5S 3H4, Canada 15 Dunlap Ins i u e o As onomy and As ophysics, Uni e si y o To on o, 50 S . Geo ge S ee , To on o, On a io M5S 3H4, Canada 16 Racah Ins i u e o Physics, The Heb ew Uni e si y o Je usalem, Je usalem 91904, Is ael 17 Ins i u o de As o ísica de Andalucía (IAA-CSIC), Glo ie a de la As onomía s/n, E-18008 G anada, Spain 18 Facul ad de Ciencias, Uni e sidad de Za agoza, Ped o Ce buna 12, E-50009 Za agoza, Spain 19 School o Sciences, Eu opean Uni e si y Cyp us, Diogenes s ee , Engomi 1516, Nicosia, Cyp us 20 Depa men o Physics, Geo ge Washing on Uni e si y, 725 21s S NW, Washing on, DC 20052, USA 21 Be keley SETI Resea ch Cen e, Uni e si y o Cali o nia, Be keley, CA 94720, USA Recei ed 9 No embe 2023 /Accep ed 3 July 2024 ABSTRACT We obse ed γ- ay bu s (GRB) 221009A using e y long baseline in e e ome y (VLBI) wi h he Eu opean VLBI Ne wo k (EVN) and he Ve y Long Baseline A ay (VLBA), o e a pe iod spanning om 40 o 262 days a e he ini ial GRB. The high angula esolu ion (mas) o ou obse a ions allowed us, o he second ime e e , a e GRB 030329, o measu e he p ojec ed size, s, o he ela i is ic shock caused by he expansion o he GRB ejec a in o he su ounding medium. Ou obse a ions suppo he expansion o he shock wi h a >4σ-equi alen signi icance, and con i m i s ela i is ic na u e by e ealing an appa en ly supe luminal expansion a e. Fi ing a powe law expansion model, s∝ a, o he obse ed size e olu ion, we ind a slope a=0.69+0.13 −0.14. Fi ing he da a a each equency sepa a ely, we ind di e en expansion a es, poin ing o a equency-dependen beha iou . We show ha he obse ed size e olu ion can be econciled wi h a e e se shock plus o wa d shock, p o ided ha he wo shocks domina e he emission a di e en equencies and, possibly, a di e en imes. Key wo ds. echniques: high angula esolu ion – echniques: in e e ome ic – gamma- ay bu s : gene al – adio con inuum: gene al – gamma- ay bu s : indi idual: GRB 221009A 1. In oduc ion On he 9 Oc obe 2022, all sa elli es equipped o an- sien de ec ion we e igge ed by he ex ao dina y γ- ay bu s (GRB) 221009A (Ve es e al. 2022;Bissaldi e al. 2022;U si e al. 2022;Piano e al. 2022;Go z e al. 2022; F ede iks e al. 2022;Tan e al. 2022;Mi chell e al. 2022; Liu e al. 2022;Lapsho e al. 2022;Xiao e al. 2022;Ripa e al. 2022;Dichia a e al. 2022;Kennea e al. 2022). A a edshi o z=0.151 (de Uga e Pos igo e al. 2022;Malesani e al. 2024), GRB 221009A holds he eco d o he highes e e measu ed iso opic equi alen ene gy (Eγ,iso &1055 e g – ?Co esponding au ho ; [email p o ec ed] Lesage e al. 2023). I is he b igh es GRB in he las 50 yea s and i is es ima ed o be a one in ∼10 000 yea s occu ence based on he obse ed lux dis ibu ion o o he known long GRBs (O’Conno e al. 2023;Bu ns e al. 2023;Malesani e al. 2024). Such a unique e en ini ia ed an unp eceden ed ollow- up campaign, cha ac e ised by ex ensi e empo al and spec al co e age. A he highes ene gies, he LHAASO Collabo a- ion epo ed he de ec ion o sus ained emission well abo e 1 TeV (LHAASO Collabo a ion 2023;Cao e al. 2023). A he lowe end o he elec omagne ic spec um, adio obse a- ions o GRB 221009A commenced jus h ee hou s pos -bu s and de ec ed he b igh es e e adio coun e pa , eaching a lux densi y o 60 mJy (B igh e al. 2023). Ini ial a emp s o model he mul i-wa eleng h a e glow emission conside ed Open Access a icle, published by EDP Sciences, unde he e ms o he C ea i e Commons A ibu ion License (h ps://c ea i ecommons.o g/licenses/by/4.0), which pe mi s un es ic ed use, dis ibu ion, and ep oduc ion in any medium, p o ided he o iginal wo k is p ope ly ci ed. This a icle is published in open access unde he Subsc ibe o Open model.Subsc ibe o A&A o suppo open access publica ion. A74, page 1 o 16 Gia a ana, S. e al.: A&A, 690, A74 (2024) con ibu ions om bo h he e e se shock (RS) and he o wa d shock (FS) esul ing om he decele a ion o he ul a- ela i is ic je by he su ounding ma e ial (Ren e al. 2023;Sa o e al. 2023; Laska e al. 2023;O’Conno e al. 2023;Gill & G ano 2023; Zheng e al. 2024). Howe e , unce ain ies pe sis in he inal in e p e a ion o he da a, despi e inco po a ing mos o he p esen ly known physical ing edien s go e ning he dynamics and emission o GRB je s. Unique measu emen s able o independen ly cons ain he a e glow e olu ion can be ob ained wi h millia scsecond eso- lu ion obse a ions. Ve y long baseline in e e ome y (VLBI) allows o di ec measu emen s o he size o he emis- sion egion, oge he wi h high-p ecision as ome y. As a esul , p ope mo ion and sou ce expansion can be measu ed (Taylo e al. 2004;Mooley e al. 2018;Ghi landa e al. 2019). I he iewing angle θ be ween he obse e line o sigh and he GRB je axis is smalle han he je hal -opening angle θj(‘on- axis’ GRB), he p ojec ed image du ing he a e glow is expec ed o expand, bu no o show app eciable p ope mo ion. Con- e sely, i he ou low is obse ed ‘o -axis’ (θ > θj), an appa - en supe luminal mo ion is expec ed. To da e, measu emen s o he size and expansion o he emi ing egion ha e only been possible o GRB 030329 (Taylo e al. 2004,2005), p o iding he i s di ec e idence o he ela i is ic expansion o GRB ou lows. O e he las wo decades, nume ous campaigns we e aimed o epea he success o GRB 030329 (e.g. Nappo e al. 2017;Sala ia e al. 2022;Gia a ana e al. 2022). Howe e , no e en shone b igh ly and long enough o allow o an expan- sion measu emen . On he o he hand, o he mul i-messenge e en GW 170817 (Abbo e al. 2017a,b;Ma gu i & Cho nock 2021), VLBI obse a ions we e undamen al o measu e he appa en supe luminal mo ion and o cons ain he size o he emi ing egion o he non- he mal elec omagne ic coun e pa (Mooley e al. 2018;Ghi landa e al. 2019), p o ing, o he i s ime e e , ha he me ge s o wo neu on s a s a e able o suc- cess ully launch ul a- ela i is ic je s. He e we p esen ou VLBI ollow-up campaign on GRB 221009A. The da a educ ion is de ailed in Sec. 2. The me hod implemen ed o measu e he sou ce p ope ies om adio obse a ions is desc ibed in Sec. 3. In Sec. 4we p esen he esul s o ou campaign and discuss he physi- cal implica ions in Sec. 5. Th oughou he wo k, we assume Planck Collabo a ion VI (2020) cosmological pa ame e s. Wi h hese pa ame e s, he angula diame e dis ance a z=0.151 is dA=560.3 Mpc. The e o e, 1 mas sepa a ion co esponds o 2.72 pc in p ojec ion a such a dis ance. 2. VLBI obse a ions and da a educ ion 2.1. Eu opean VLBI Ne wo k We obse ed he ield o GRB 221009A wi h he Eu opean VLBI Ne wo k (EVN) om 40 o 261 days pos -bu s (PI: Gia a ana, p ojec code: RG013). Gi en he a ge -o -oppo uni y na u e o he p oposal, no all an ennas we e a ailable a all epochs. Table A.1 lis s he an ennas joining each epoch. Table 1p esen s a summa y o he p ope ies o he obse a ions. The obse a- ions we e pe o med in wo di e en bands cen ed a 4.9 and 8.3 GHz. The da a we e eco ded a 4 Gbi s s−1. Dual pola i- sa ion p oduc s (RR, LL) we e co ela ed a he Join Ins i u e o VLBI in Eu ope (JIVE, Dwingeloo, Ne he lands) using he Supe FX Co ela o (SFXC; Keimpema e al. 2015) in o six een sub-bands wi h 32 MHz bandwid h and 64 channels each. Fo he las epoch, RG013 F, he da a we e co ela ed in o eigh sub- bands wi h 32 MHz bandwid h and 64 channels each. The i s , EVN epoch (RG013 A), ca ied ou 6 days pos bu s a a cen- al equency o 22.2 GHz, was no usable due o un a ou able obse ing condi ions. The obse a ions consis ed o phase- e e encing cycles wi h 4.5 and 2.5 minu es on he a ge a 4.9 and 8.3 GHz, espec i ely, and 1.5 minu es on he phase calib a o . Fu - he scans e e y app oxima ely 30 minu es on some ‘check’ sou ces we e also included. Th oughou he obse a ions, some scans on a inge inde we e pe o med. The adio sou ce J190536.4+194308 (J1905+1943 he ea e ) and he Ve y La ge A ay Sky Su ey (VLASS) compac adio sou ce J191142.50+195200 (J191142+1952 he ea e ) we e used as phase calib a o s in he i s wo (RG013 B and C) and in he las h ee obse a ions (RG013 D, E and F), espec i ely. The calib a ion was pe o med using AIPS1(G eisen 2003), ollowing he s anda d p ocedu e o EVN phase- e e enced obse a ions2. The ampli ude calib a ion, which accoun s o he bandpass esponse, he an enna gain cu es and he sys em empe a u es, was pe o med by applying he gains de i ed by he EVN pipeline. We pe o med a co ec ion o he dispe - si e delay using he IONEX iles om he In e na ional GNSS Se ice ( lba ec p ocedu e in AIPS), we calcula ed a manual single band delay on he inge inde ( lbampcl p ocedu e in AIPS) and we ca ied ou he global inge i ing on he phase calib a o ( ing ask in AIPS) using a model o he sou ce de i ed by a conca ena ion (in CASA,McMullin e al. 2007) and sel -calib a ion (in Di map,Shephe d e al. 1994) o all he is- ibili ies on he sou ce ob ained ac oss he a ious epochs. Solu- ions we e in e pola ed (clcal ask in AIPS) and applied o he phase calib a o i sel , he a ge and some check sou ces (see Appendix A). Fo he las h ee epochs, we co ec ed he isibil- i ies o J191142+1952 by ixing he phase cen e in CASA o he ac ual posi ion o he phase calib a o , as he ini ial posi ion o his phase calib a o was no cons ained wi h a sub-mas esolu- ion. Images o he sou ces we e p oduced using Di map. Fo he analysis p esen ed in his pape , we selec ed he image wi h he bes signal- o-noise a io (S/N) among he wo images p o- duced be o e and a e he sel -calib a ion o he phase calib a o , espec i ely. Fo RG013 C, he lux densi y o he GRB enabled a sel -calib a ion in phase in AIPS (solin =1 min). Fu he in o - ma ion on he s uc u e and he da a educ ion p ocess can be ound in Appendix A. 2.2. Ve y Long Baseline A ay The Ve y Long Baseline A ay (VLBA) da a we e acqui ed be ween 44 and 262 days pos -bu s (PI: A i, p ojec code: BA160). The cen al equency was 15.2 GHz, wi h a o al band- wid h o 512 MHz, di ided in o 4 spec al windows o 128 MHz and 256 channels each, in ull ci cula pola isa ion (RR, LL, RL, LR). The numbe o pa icipa ing s a ions con ibu ing use ul da a was 7, 8, 10 and 10 in expe imen s BA160 B, C, C1 and D espec i ely (see Table A.1). Each obse a ion included app ox- ima ely 30-minu e-long geode ic-s yle blocks a he beginning and a he end o he obse a ion, used o de e mine opo- sphe e modelling e o s. The cen al pa o he obse a ions included scans on inge inde b igh calib a o s and epe i ions 1The As onomical Image P ocessing Sys em (AIPS) is a so wa e package p oduced and main ained by he Na ional Radio As onomy Obse a o y (NRAO). 2h ps://www.e lbi.o g/e n-da a- educ ion-guide A74, page 2 o 16 Gia a ana, S. e al.: A&A, 690, A74 (2024) Table 1. Log able o ou VLBI campaign and summa y esul s o ci cula Gaussian i s o sou ce isibili ies. Code Da e Time obs − 0A ay νobs bmaj (†)bmin (†)bp.a.(†)Phase Calib a o .m.s. (†)Fν(?)FWHM (?)hβappi(?) [hh:mm UT] [days] [GHz] [mas] [mas] [deg] [µJy/b] [mJy] [mas] c RG013 B 2022-11-18 09:30–13:30 40 EVN 8.1–8.6 1.4 0.45 11 J1905+1943 67 1.02+0.05 −0.05 0.12+0.05 −0.07 5.5+2.5 −3.2 RG013 C 2022-11-21 09:30–13:30 43 EVN 4.6–5.1 3.7 0.69 11 J1905+1943 16 1.42+0.03 −0.03 <0.20 <8.7 BA160 B 2022-11-22, 23 19:58–00:58 44 VLBA 14.9–15.3 1.4 0.40 −9 J1905+1943 130 0.80+0.08 −0.07 0.27+0.05 −0.06 11.3+2.1 −2.3 BA160 C 2023-01-31 15:15–20:14 114 VLBA 14.9–15.3 1.4 0.58 3.5 J1905+1943 66 0.27+0.06 −0.05 0.45+0.19 −0.19 7.4+3.1 −3.0 RG013 D 2023-02-03 05:30–11:30 117 EVN 4.6–5.1 7.1 0.9 7.8 J191142+1952 10 0.47+0.03 −0.03 0.35+0.09 −0.12 5.6+1.4 −1.9 RG013 E 2023-02-04 05:30–11:30 118 EVN 8.1–8.6 1.4 0.59 10 J191142+1952 21 0.59+0.07 −0.06 0.39+0.06 −0.07 6.2+0.9 −1.0 BA160 C1 2023-05-02 10:17–15:16 205 VLBA 14.9–15.3 1.5 0.51 −10 J1905+1943 35 0.33+0.09 −0.07 1.39+0.48 −0.42 12.6+4.3 −3.8 RG013 F 2023-06-27, 28 19:30–02:36 261 EVN 4.8–5.1 1.8 1.5 62 J191142+1952 10 0.16+0.01 −0.01 0.42+0.12 −0.17 3.0+0.9 −1.2 BA160 D 2023-06-28 04:08–09:19 262 VLBA 14.9–15.3 1.7 0.57 −3 J1905+1943 37 0.19+0.19 −0.07 <9.3<66 No es. (†)Beam majo axis, mino axis, posi ion angle, .m.s. noise le el wi h na u al weigh s. (?)Median and 68% con idence in e al o he lux densi y Fνand ull wid h a hal maximum FWHM om i ing a ci cula Gaussian o he sou ce isibili ies; and o he a e age appa en expansion speed hβappi, assuming ze o size a 0. I he lowe ex emum o he 68% c edible in e al is 0, we epo he 95% uppe limi ins ead. o a J1905+1943 – J1925+2106 – GRB 221009A sequence, whe e J1905+1943 and J1925+2106 a e known VLBA calib a- o s, wi h espec i e du a ions o 30s – 30s – 80s. The da a we e co ela ed a he NRAO in Soco o using he Dis ibu ed FX so wa e co ela o (DiFX; Delle e al. 2011). The da a educ ion was ca ied ou in AIPS, ollowing s anda d p ocedu es o con inuum phase- e e encing expe imen s. P o- cedu es lbaeops, lbacco , lbampcl, lbabpss, lbaamp we e ca ied ou in his o de o he ini ial bandpass and ampli- ude calib a ion. The ollowing s ep consis ed in he calib a ion o he oposphe e modeling e o s by unning he ask ing on he geode ic blocks, ollowed by mbdly and delzn. The inal phase, a e, and delay inge- i ing was ca ied ou sepa a ely on J1905+1943 and J1925+2106, yielding high S/N and well- beha ed solu ions o bo h sou ces. The solu ions om he close phase calib a o , J1905+1943, we e applied o he a ge ield. A e p epa ing a model o he phase calib a o using Di map, a cycle o ampli ude and phase solu ions we e de e mined o he calib a o i sel and applied o he a ge o u he e ine he cal- ib a ion. Finally, we p oduced single-sou ce equency-a e aged da ase s o he a ge , which we e imaged in AIPS wi h a na u al weigh ing scheme. Ou VLBA campaign included one mo e epoch, BA160 A, a app oxima ely 14 days pos -bu s . Howe e , as he an ennas we e poin ed a an inco ec posi ion in he sky, he GRB ell ou side he p ima y beam o he VLBA, which is app oxima ely 3 a cmin a 15 GHz. While he educed sensi i i y (app oxi- ma ely 25% o nominal) s ill allowed o he de ec ion o he bu s , a sa is ac o y calib a ion o he complex isibili ies was hampe ed. The e o e, we did no include his expe imen in ou analysis. 3. Me hods 3.1. Sou ce lux densi y, size and a e age appa en expansion eloci y es ima e In o de o ex ac in o ma ion abou he o al lux densi y, size and posi ion o he sou ce om each o ou epochs, we i ed a ci cula Gaussian sou ce model o he calib a ed isibili y da a adop ing a Ma ko Chain Mon e Ca lo (MCMC) app oach. The me hod, which is an ex ension o ha adop ed in Sala ia e al. (2022), is desc ibed in Appendix B. The p ojec ed angula diam- e e o he sou ce image is p opo ional o he ull wid h a hal maximum (FWHM) o he i ed ci cula Gaussian, wi h a p o- po ionali y cons an o o de uni y ha depends on he de ailed su ace b igh ness p o ile (G ano e al. 1999,2005;Taylo e al. 2004;Pihls öm e al. 2007;G ano 2008;Sala ia e al. 2022). In wha ollows, we se he p opo ionali y cons an equal o 1, and discuss i whene e ele an . Once his diame e is measu ed, he a e age appa en expansion eloci y can be calcula ed (assuming he size o be ze o a he ime 0o he explosion) as hβappi=(1 +z)dAs 2( obs − 0)c,(1) whe e sis he FWHM, obs is he ime o he obse a ion, and c is he speed o ligh . Table 1summa ises he esul o he ci cula Gaussian i - ing, along wi h he de i ed a e age appa en expansion eloc- i y. In Appendix Bwe p o ide mo e de ailed in o ma ion in he o m o co ne plo s ha illus a e he pos e io p obabili y den- si y o he lux densi y and sou ce size om he ci cula Gaussian i ing. Figu e 1addi ionally shows ‘ iolin plo s’ ha illus a e a ke nel densi y es ima e o he pos e io p obabili y densi y o he FWHM o each epoch. 3.2. Sou ce size e olu ion model i ing In o de o i a size e olu ion model sm( obs,θ) o he obse - a ions, whe e θis a ec o o ee pa ame e s, we adop ed a Bayesian app oach. By Bayes’ heo em, and gi en he ac ha he size es ima es om di e en obse a ions a e independen , he pos e io p obabili y on θis p opo ional o he p io π(θ) imes he p oduc o he likelihoods. This can be w i en as Pθ|{di}M i=1∝π(θ) M Y i=1 Psm( obs,i)|di π(s),(2) whe e M is he numbe o epochs included in he i , diis he da a (i.e. he isibili ies) o he i- h epoch, obs,iis he ime o he i- h obse a ion, π(s)= Θ(s) (whe e Θis he Hea iside s ep unc- ion) is he p io on he size adop ed in he ci cula Gaussian i s, P(s|di) is he pos e io om such i s (Eq. B.3) ma ginalised on all pa ame e s excep s. In o de o e alua e Eq. (2), we app ox- ima ed he ma ginalised pos e io on he size P(s|di) wi h a Gaussian ke nel densi y es ima e based on he pos e io samples de i ed om he MCMC desc ibed in Sec . 3.1. This allowed us o sample he pos e io on θagain h ough an MCMC app oach. A74, page 3 o 16 Gia a ana, S. e al.: A&A, 690, A74 (2024) 101102103 Time a e explosion [days] 10 2 10 1 100 101 P ojec ed FWHM [mas] EVN (8.3 GHz) EVN (4.9 GHz) VLBA (15 GHz) 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 slope Fig. 1. Sou ce size as a unc ion o ime. The sou ce size cons ain s ob ained as desc ibed in Sec ion 3.1 a e shown in he o m o iolin plo s o di e en colou s, cen ed a he obse ing ime o each epoch and o p opo ional wid h o he pos e io p obabili y densi y o he FWHM. In addi ion, we show he median and 68% c edible in e al wi h an e o ba o he same colo , o he 95% c edible uppe limi wi h a iangle i he o me in e al ex ends o 0. The black dashed line and he wo g ey shaded a eas show espec i ely he median, 68% c edible in e al and 95% c edible in e al o he pos e io p edic i e dis ibu ion o he sou ce size e olu ion ob ained om i ing a powe law model s∝ a obs o he sizes om all he epochs. The inse shows he pos e io p obabili y densi y o he slope a om such i . 3.3. Fo wa d and e e se shock size e olu ion and p ope mo ion model In o de o in e p e ou obse a ions in he con ex o he s an- da d a e glow scena io, we de i ed a simple physical model o he size e olu ion and, in he case o a je no aligned wi h he obse e ’s line o sigh , he p ope mo ion o he sou ce expec ed i he emission is domina ed by ei he he FS o he RS p o- duced as a ela i is ic je expands in o an ex e nal medium wi h a powe law numbe densi y p o ile n(R)=A(R/R?)−k, whe e Ris he dis ance om he explosion si e (i.e. he p ogeni o es ige) and R?=5.5×1017 cm is a e e ence adius3. We assumed a uni o m je angula ene gy p o ile o simplici y, wi h an iso opic-equi alen kine ic ene gy E, a hal -opening angle θj, an ini ial Lo en z ac o Γ0and a du a ion T(which se s he je adial wid h ∆R∼cT). The iewing angle is assumed o be ei he θ =0 (on-axis, o he calcula ion o he p ojec ed size) o θ > θj(o -axis, o he calcula ion o he appa en p ope mo ion). The model is based on he s anda d ela i is ic- hyd odynamical heo y o a ela i is ic shock ha a ises om a ela i is ic explosion in o a s a ic, cold ex e nal medium (e.g. Mesza os & Rees 1993;Pi an e al. 1993;Sa i & Pi an 1995; Kobayashi e al. 1999;Kobayashi & Zhang 2003;Yi e al. 2013) and is desc ibed in de ail in Appendix D. We no e ha he model does no include he possible sideways expansion o he shock. The ee pa ame e s o he model a e he ene gy- o-densi y a io E/A, he du a ion T, he ini ial Lo en z ac o Γ0, he je 3Wi h his de ini ion, Ahas he same meaning as he usual A?= 1 ( ˙ Mw/10−5My −1)( w/1000 km s−1) cm−3pa ame e in he wind-like ex e nal medium case (k=2), whe e ˙ Mwand wa e he mass loss a e and he eloci y o he p ogeni o wind, assumed cons an (Panai escu & Kuma 2000). In he k=0 case, i is simply equal o he homogeneous ex e nal numbe densi y, A=n. hal -opening angle θj, he ex e nal medium densi y p o ile slope kand he iewing angle θ . He ea e we ix T=T90/(1 +z)= 251 s, whe e T90 e e s o he ime encompassing he 5% o 95% pe cen ile o he o al pho on coun s as seen in he obse e ’s e - e ence ame, and we assume Γ0=103based on he lowe limi s om Lesage e al. (2023). Mo eo e , we conside only wo al- ues o he ex e nal medium densi y p o ile slope, which a e k=0 (homogeneous ex e nal medium) and k=2 (wind-like ex e nal medium). The model p edic s he ime e olu ion o he p ojec ed angu- la diame e o he o wa d and e e se shock images (Eq. D.7). On he o he hand, ou es ima ed sou ce sizes a e ob ained by i ing a ci cula Gaussian model o he isibili y da a. The a io o he wo sizes ξ=sm/s(whe e smis he angula diame e p edic ed by he model, and sis he FWHM o he ci cula Gaussian) depends on he lowes -o de e ms o he MacLau- in expansion in UV adius o he Fou ie ans o m o he su ace b igh ness dis ibu ion o he sou ce (Thompson e al. 2017). Taking he su ace b igh ness om Bland o d & McKee (1976) as compu ed in G ano (2008) as e e ence, we expec 1.2.ξ.1.8. This ange accommoda es alues p e iously conside ed in he li e a u e, such as he alue ξ=1.4 used in Pihls öm e al. (2007) and ξ=1.3 used in Sala ia e al. (2022). Since ou model does no p edic he su ace b igh ness dis ibu- ion, we include ξin ou model as a nuisance pa ame e , wi h a uni o m p io in he ange [1.2,1.8]. 4. Resul s 4.1. Sou ce size expansion Figu e 1shows he sou ce size cons ain s om Table 1in he o m o a ‘ iolin plo ’, wi h he wid h o each shaded egion being p opo ional o he pos e io p obabili y densi y o he A74, page 4 o 16 Gia a ana, S. e al.: A&A, 690, A74 (2024) FWHM, ho izon ally cen ed a he ime o he obse a ion. Addi ionally, we show he median and 68% symme ic c edi- ble in e al on he FWHM by means o an e o ba o each obse a ion, excep o cases whe e he pos e io p obabili y densi y does no show a clea peak, o which we show ins ead he 3σuppe limi wi h a downwa d-poin ing iangle. In o de o quan i y he sou ce size e olu ion om hese obse a ions, we i a simple phenomenological powe law e olu ion model, sm( obs)∝ a obs, o hese size measu emen s, h ough he me hod ou lined in Sec . 3.2. The esul ing pos e io p obabili y densi y o he powe law slope is shown in he inse o Figu e 1. The median and symme ic 68% c edible in e al is a=0.69+0.13 −0.14. We ound ha mo e han 99.99% o he pos e io p obabili y (>4σ-equi alen ) is loca ed a a>0. The e o e, ou obse a- ions s ongly suppo he expansion o he sou ce. In he main panel o Figu e 1, we show wi h a black dashed line he median o he pos e io p edic i e dis ibu ion, ha is, he p obabili y dis ibu ion o sm( obs) a each ixed obs, as de i ed om he i . The do ed lines encompass he 68% symme ic c edible in e al o he same dis ibu ion, illed wi h a g ey shade. A ligh e g ey shading shows he 95% symme ic c edible in e al. We no e ha he size measu emen s in ou 15 GHz VLBA epochs a 44 and 205 days a e in mild ension wi h he EVN measu emen s a sim- ila imes. To explo e he possibili y o a equency-dependen size, we epea ed he powe law size e olu ion model i con- side ing only obse a ions pe o med wi h he EVN o VLBA. Fig. 2shows he esul ing size e olu ion as i ed o EVN obse - a ions a 4.9 GHz and 8.3 GHz (uppe panel) o VLBA obse - a ions a 15 GHz (lowe panel). The plo s a e simila o Figu e 1, excep ha he epochs no conside ed in he i a e shown wi h a ligh g ey shading. The cons ain on a om hese i s esul s in medians and symme ic c edible in e als o a=0.79+0.19 −0.23 (4.9–8.3 GHz) and a=0.98+0.36 −0.38 (15 GHz), in ag eemen wi h each o he . On he o he hand, he no malisa ions o he EVN and VLBA powe laws di e a he ∼2σle el, as can be e inced om he wo-dimensional pos e io p obabili ies shown in Fig. 3. In o de o exclude he possibili y ha ou esul s wi h he EVN a e d i en by sys ema ic e ec s, we ca ied ou a se ies o es s including he check sou ce J1905+1943. We p esen he esul s o ou es s in Appendix C. The esul s o hese es s indi- ca e ha he obse ed e olu ion is no d i en by sys ema ic e o s in he calib a ions. 4.2. Appa en p ope mo ion VLBI obse a ions can cons ain he appa en p ope mo ion o he cen oid o he emission and, he e o e, he je iewing angle. The sou ce posi ion a each VLBA epoch is displayed in Fig. 4: ou esul s do no show any signi ican appa en p ope mo ion be ween 44 and 262 days pos -bu s , bu ou s a is ical e o s can accommoda e a displacemen o up o abou 0.6 mas (a he one-σle el) o e ha pe iod. As shown in Appendix D.2, such an uppe limi does no cons ain s ongly θ , which can s ill be se e al deg ees o he edge o he je , unless he ene gy- o-densi y a io o he explosion is e y la ge. S ill, a numbe o s udies including LHAASO Collabo a ion (2023) and O’Conno e al. (2023) ha e used hei da a o jus i y a e y small θ o GRB 221009A, indica ing ha we a e iewing he je close o on-axis. The lack o signi ican p ope mo ion obse ed du ing ou VLBI campaign is ully consis en wi h such on-axis scena io. We no e ha he EVN campaign was no used o such s udy because o he change in phase e e ence sou ce be ween he sec- ond and hi d epoch. While his change was mo i a ed by he 101102103 Time a e explosion [days] 10 2 10 1 100 101 P ojec ed FWHM [mas] EVN (8.3 GHz) EVN (4.9 GHz) 012 slope 101102103 Time a e explosion [days] 10 2 10 1 100 101 P ojec ed FWHM [mas] VLBA (15 GHz) 012 slope Fig. 2. Size e olu ion conside ing only obse a ions om a single a ay (uppe panel: EVN; lowe panel: VLBA). Each panel is simila o Figu e 1, excep ha he epochs no conside ed in he i a e shown wi h ligh g ey shading o cla i y. disco e y o a close phase calib a o (and hence a mo e e i- cien obse ing s a egy), he di e en sys ema ics and he lack o a eliable a p io i posi ion o he new calib a o p e en a eli- able as ome ic cha ac e isa ion. 5. Discussion 5.1. Slope o he size e olu ion wi h ime The size e olu ion powe law slope a=0.69+0.13 −0.14 we de i ed is compa ible wi h he expec ed slopes o a sphe ical Bland o d & McKee (1976) blas wa e expanding in o a homo- geneous medium, α=5/8=0.625, o a wind-like medium, α=3/4=0.75. Mo eo e , he e olu ion o he p ojec ed phys- ical size is qui e simila o ha o GRB 030329, he only o he bu s o da e wi h a measu ed expansion a e (Taylo e al. 2004, Fig. 5). A74, page 5 o 16 Gia a ana, S. e al.: A&A, 690, A74 (2024) 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 Size a 100 days [mas] 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 Slope EVN (4.9-8.3 GHz) VLBA (15 GHz) Fig. 3. Compa ison o he slope and no malisa ion o he size e olu ion as p obed by he EVN and he VLBA. The con ou s in he plo con ain 68% (da ke con ou s) and 95% (ligh e con ou s) o he pos e io p ob- abili y on he wo pa ame e s (slope and size a a e e ence ime o 100 days) o a single powe law i ed o he EVN (blue) o VLBA (o ange) size e olu ion. 0.40.20.00.20.4 RA [mas] 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 Dec [mas] Rela i e o 19h13m3.50116s +19d46m24.22970s BA160 B (44 d) BA160 C (114 d) BA160 C1 (205 d) BA160 D (262 d) Fig. 4. Sou ce posi ion in ou VLBA obse a ions. Fo each epoch, we show he s a is ical e o ba cen e ed on he median posi ion om he ci cula Gaussian sou ce i , wi h ba s spanning he symme ic 68% c edible in e al on he sou ce posi ion in each di ec ion. On he o he hand, a he ime o ou obse a ions, he aniso opy o he shock due o he ini e opening angle o he je should be obse able, bo h in e ms o a s eepening (a ‘je b eak’, Rhoads 1997) in he ligh cu es, and in e ms o a la ening in he e olu ion o he p ojec ed size (G ano e al. 2005). The p esence o a je b eak in he e y high ene gy a e glow ligh cu e a <1000 seconds pos - igge has been discussed by LHAASO Collabo a ion (2023). A je -b eak was also sugges ed by Le an e al. (2023) a .2600 seconds pos - igge , using op ical o mid-IR da a. The expec ed pos -je - b eak size e olu ion slope in he case o a homogeneous ex e - nal medium is a=1/4, in absence o an e icien sideways expansion o he shock (G ano e al. 2005). Such a shallow 101102 Time - T0/(1 + z ) [days] 1018 1019 1020 P ojec ed size [cm] GRB 030329 GRB 221009A Fig. 5. Compa ison o size measu emen s om VLBI obse a ions o GRB 030329 ( ed ci cles; Taylo e al. 2004;Pihls öm e al. 2007) and GRB 221009A (da k blue squa es, his wo k). T iangles ep esen uppe limi s. slope is in ension wi h he obse ed one a he ∼3σle el. Con- e sely, he expec ed a e age slope is s eepe and lies in he ange hai ∼ 0.6−0.8 i he shock expands sideways (G ano e al. 2005), which is compa ible wi h he obse ed one. The e o e, in he homogeneous ex e nal medium scena io, ou obse a- ions indica e ha ei he he je b eak has no happened ye , o ha he shock is expanding sideways. Gi en he e y la ge iso opic equi alen ene gy in he gamma- ays, he ‘la e je b eak’ scena io would pose e y demanding equi emen s on he o al ene gy (see e.g. O’Conno e al. 2023). On he o he hand, nume ical simula ions o ex e nal shocks a ising om ela i is ic je s and analy ical a gumen s seem o indica e ha he sideways expansion is ine icien , unless he ini ial open- ing angle is e y na ow ( an Ee en e al. 2010;De Colle e al. 2012;G ano & Pi an 2012). These di icul ies could be alle i- a ed i he je ea u es a s uc u e consis ing o a na ow ‘co e’ su ounded by ‘wings’ whe e he kine ic ene gy pe uni solid angle dec eases slowly, as sugges ed by O’Conno e al. (2023) and Gill & G ano (2023). This p o ile would s eepen he e olu- ion o he obse ed size, making i mo e simila o he sphe ical case, bu wi h a educed ene gy equi emen wi h espec o a wide je wi h a uni o m angula ene gy p o ile. In he wind medium case, he expec ed pos -je -b eak size e olu ion slope is a=1/2 in absence o sideways expansion. The e o e, in such a scena io, he obse ed e olu ion does no indica e he need o sideways expansion no o a non-uni o m s uc u e wi hin he opening angle. 5.2. Possible equency-dependen size As discussed in sec ion 4.1, ou da a sugges he p esence o a equency-dependen size e olu ion. We explo e he e a possi- ble a enue o in e p e his beha iou . The adio a e glow o his GRB canno be explained by a simple FS p opaga ing ei he in o a wind-like o a homogeneous en i onmen (Ren e al. 2023; A74, page 6 o 16 Gia a ana, S. e al.: A&A, 690, A74 (2024) 101102 Time a e explosion [days] 10 2 10 1 100 101 P ojec ed FWHM [mas] k = 0 15 GHz: FS-domina ed 4.9-8.3 GHz: RS-domina ed RS FS 101102 Time a e explosion [days] 10 2 10 1 100 101 P ojec ed FWHM [mas] k = 2 15 GHz: FS-domina ed 4.9-8.3 GHz: RS-domina ed RS FS Fig. 6. Model size e olu ion in a FS plus RS scena io. The iolins and he e o ba s show he sou ce size e olu ion as in e ed by ou obse - a ions, in he same way as in Figu e 1. The g ay do ed line and o ange dashed lines show he medians o he pos e io p edic i e dis ibu ions o he FS and RS size, espec i ely, as ob ained by i ing he physi- cal model desc ibed in Appendix D o he sizes shown in he igu e, assuming a homogeneous ( op panel) o wind-like (bo om panel) ex e - nal medium, and assuming he FS o domina e a 15 GHz and he RS o domina e a 4.9 and 8.3 GHz. The shaded bands a ound hese lines show he 68% c edible in e al o he pos e io p edic i e dis ibu ion. Sa o e al. 2023;Ren e al. 2024;Zheng e al. 2024). Using a da a se encompassing obse a ions om he GeV o he adio domain, Laska e al. (2023) showed ha he s anda d a e glow model s uggles a explaining he adio emission bo h wi h a FS and a RS o a conical je p opaga ing h ough a wind-like en i onmen , leading hem o in oke an addi ional componen whose empo al e olu ion does no ollow he s anda d p esc ip- ions. Such a componen could be a RS, domina ing he emission a he lowe equencies (.10 GHz) up o obs .100 d (see he modelling o O’Conno e al. 2023;Gill & G ano 2023). S imula ed by hese s udies, we explo ed a scena io whe e he emission we obse ed is a supe posi ion o a FS and a RS. We i ed he model desc ibed in Sec . 3.3 o he obse ed size e olu- ion, lea ing E/Aand θjas ou ee pa ame e s, and addi ionally including he ξnuisance pa ame e (see sec ion 3.3). The ex e - nal medium powe law index was ixed o k=0 o k=2. Based 56.90+1.02 0.84 54 55 56 57 58 log(( E / A )/e gcm3) 8 16 24 je [deg] 54.0 54.5 55.0 55.5 56.0 56.5 57.0 6 12 18 24 30 je [deg] 21.18+8.82 8.23 (95%) 54.98+0.48 0.45 54.0 54.5 55.0 55.5 56.0 log(( E / A )/e gcm3) 6 12 18 24 30 je [deg] 53.0 53.5 54.0 54.5 55.0 6 12 18 24 30 je [deg] 23.14+6.86 7.12 (95%) Fig. 7. Co ne plo o he pos e io p obabili y densi y o he physical model pa ame e s in he homogeneous ( op panel) o wind-like (bo - om panel) ex e nal medium case and assuming he FS o domina e a 15 GHz and he RS o domina e a 4.9–8.3 GHz. In each panel, he ed his og ams show he ma ginalised pos e io p obabili y densi ies, wi h black solid e ical lines showing he median and dashed lines showing he 68% c edible in e al o , i he la e ex ends o he lowe (uppe ) ex emum o he p io ange, he 95% uppe (lowe ) limi ( al- ues epo ed on op o he panels). The illed con ou s show he small- es egions con aining 68% and 95% o he wo-dimensional pos e io p obabili y, wi h he black squa es showing he posi ion o he median. The g ey lines show con ou s o cons an o al je ene gy assuming A=1 cm−3. Each con ou is labeled wi h he base-10 loga i hm o he co esponding o al je ene gy. on he appa en possible equency-dependen beha iou , we assumed he highe - equency obse a ions (15 GHz) o be dom- ina ed by he FS, while he lowe - equency ones (4.9–8.3 GHz) o be domina ed by he RS. Fo each ex e nal densi y p o ile, he pos e io p obabili y densi y o (E/A, θj, ξ) was de i ed h ough he Bayesian app oach desc ibed in Sec . 3.2, wi h uni o m- in-log p io s on E/Ain he ange [1052,1058] e g cm3and on θjin he ange [0.5,30] deg, and a uni o m p io on ξin he ange [1.2,1.8], as explained in sec ion 3.3. Figu e 6shows he FS and RS model size e olu ion i ed o he obse a ions. Figu e 7shows co ne plo s o he pos e io p obabili y densi- ies, ma ginalized o e ξ. The model can easonably ep oduce he da a in bo h he homogeneous (k=0) and wind-like (k=2) ex e nal medium A74, page 7 o 16 Gia a ana, S. e al.: A&A, 690, A74 (2024) cases. Due o he ela i ely s eep obse ed size e olu ion, and gi en ha ou model does no include sideways expansion, he equi ed je hal -opening angle is la ge (θj>13 deg a he 95% c edible le el o k=0; θj>16 deg o k=2). Assuming he s anda d e e ence ex e nal densi y A=1 cm−3, his in u n pushes he o al je ene gy Eje =E(1 −cos θj) o e y la ge al- ues, as demons a ed by he g ey con ou s in Fig. 7. The ene gy equi emen can be educed i he ex e nal densi y is much lowe han he e e ence alue, A1 cm−3, o i he je ea u es an angula s uc u e such ha he ene gy pe uni solid angle dec eases away om he je axis, as discussed in he p e ious sec ion. In his case, he dec ease mus be shallow (E∝θ−awi h a<2, whe e θis he angle om he je axis), o he wise bo h he emission and he size e olu ion would simply e lec hose o a uni o m je (O’Conno e al. 2023), leading again o he same di icul ies wi h he je opening angle and o al ene gy. 6. Conclusions In his pape , we p esen ed VLBI obse a ions o he b igh es γ- ay bu s e e obse ed, GRB 221009A. The high angula esolu- ion p o ided by he EVN and he VLBA allowed us o cons ain he size and he expansion o he blas wa e p oduced by he GRB ejec a o he second ime e e . The expansion a e is con- sis en wi h he expec a ion o a sphe ical Bland o d & McKee (1976) blas wa e (i.e., an ul a- ela i is ic FS) p opaga ing in o a homogeneous o wind-like medium. This could be aken as an indica ion ha he shock is aniso opic only on angula scales la ge han hose p obed by ou obse a ions (i.e. he je b eak has no happened ye ). This in u n poin s o an ex emely la ge o al (collima ion-co ec ed) ene gy in he je , especially i he ex e nal medium ea u es a homogeneous densi y. The demand- ing ene gy equi emen could be alle ia ed i he ex e nal den- si y we e much lowe han usually assumed, o i he je ene gy pe uni solid angle dec eased slowly wi h he angle om he je axis, as p oposed by O’Conno e al. (2023) and Gill & G ano (2023). Al e na i ely, he shock could be unde going sideways expansion du ing he ime co e ed by ou obse a ions. Addi ionally, ou obse a ions sugges a equency- dependen size e olu ion, wi h he VLBA obse a ions a 15 GHz showing a somewha la ge size a 40 days a e he explosion, and a as e inc ease a e wa ds, wi h espec o he EVN obse a ions a 5 and 8 GHz. This could be due o he emission being domina ed by he e e se shock a he lowe equencies, and by he o wa d shock a he highe equencies. Ou wo k highligh s he c ucial ole played by mul i-wa eleng h VLBI moni o ing o ansien e en s bo h a ea ly and la e imes, and in p o iding a i al insigh in o he physics o such e en s. Da a a ailabili y A copy o he educed isibili ies is a ailable a he CDS ia anonymous p o cdsa c.cds.unis a. (130.79.128.5) o ia h ps://cdsa c.cds.unis a. / iz-bin/ca /J/ A+A/690/A74 Acknowledgemen s. The Eu opean VLBI Ne wo k is a join acili y o indepen- den Eu opean, A ican, Asian, and No h Ame ican adio as onomy ins i u es. Scien i ic esul s om da a p esen ed in his publica ion a e de i ed om he ollowing EVN p ojec code: RG013. The Na ional Radio As onomy Obse a- o y is a acili y o he Na ional Science Founda ion ope a ed unde coope a i e ag eemen by Associa ed Uni e si ies, Inc. This wo k made use o he Swin- bu ne Uni e si y o Technology so wa e co ela o , de eloped as pa o he Aus alian Majo Na ional Resea ch Facili ies P og amme and ope a ed unde licence. SG would like o hank Z. Pa agi and he s a o JIVE o hei help and suppo du ing his isi ing pe iod in Dwingeloo. We would like o hank he di ec o s and s a o all he EVN elescopes o app o ing, execu ing, and p ocessing ou ou -o -session ToO obse a ions. The esea ch leading o hese esul s has ecei ed unding om he Eu opean Union’s Ho izon 2020 Resea ch and Inno a ion P og amme unde g an ag eemen No. 101004719 (OPTICON RadioNe Pilo ). 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C., Wu, X. F., & Dai, Z. G. 2005, MNRAS, 363, 93 A74, page 9 o 16 Gia a ana, S. e al.: A&A, 690, A74 (2024) 54 55 56 57 log( E / A ) [e g cm 3 ] 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 j [deg] j= 0.5 deg 54 55 56 57 log( E / A ) [e g cm 3 ] j= 1.0 deg 54 55 56 57 log( E / A ) [e g cm 3 ] j= 2.0 deg 54 55 56 57 log( E / A ) [e g cm 3 ] Wind ex . medium ( k = 2 ) j= 4.0 deg 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 (262d) (44d) [mas] 56 57 58 59 log( E / A ) [e g cm 3 ] 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 j [deg] 56 57 58 59 log( E / A ) [e g cm 3 ] 56 57 58 59 log( E / A ) [e g cm 3 ] 56 57 58 59 log( E / A ) [e g cm 3 ] Homog. ex . medium ( k = 0 ) 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 (262d) (44d) [mas] Fig. D1. Cons ain on he iewing angle om he absence o an obse ed sou ce appa en displacemen in ou VLBA obse a ions. In each panel, illed con ou s show he displacemen o he cen e o he i ed Gaussian expec ed be ween 44 d and 262 d, colo coded as shown in he colo ba on he igh , as a unc ion o he E/A a io and o he o -edge iewing angle θ −θj. The ed con ou shows ∆(262 d) −∆(44 d) =0.6 mas, which ep esen s he la ges displacemen compa ible a 1 σwi h ou obse a ions. The ed con ou hence con ains he excluded pa ame e egion. The uppe panel ow e e s o a wind-like ex e nal medium, while he lowe ow e e s o a homogeneous ex e nal medium. Each column assumes a di e en je hal -opening angle, gi en a he op o he column. A74, page 16 o 16