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Predicting the provisioning potential of forest ecosystem services using airborne laser scanning data and forest resource maps

Vauhkonen, Jari

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RESEARCH Open Access P edic ing he p o isioning po en ial o o es ecosys em se ices using ai bo ne lase scanning da a and o es esou ce maps Ja i Vauhkonen Abs ac Backg ound: Remo e sensing-based mapping o o es Ecosys em Se ice (ES) indica o s has become inc easingly popula . The esul ing maps may enable o spa ially assess he p o isioning po en ial o ESs and p io i ize he land use in subsequen decision analyses. Howe e , he mapping is o en based on eadily a ailable da a, such as land co e maps and o he publicly a ailable da abases, and igno ing he ela ed unce ain ies. Me hods: This s udy es ed he po en ial o imp o e he obus ness o he decisions by means o local model i ing and unce ain y analysis. The quali y o o es land use p io i iza ion was e alua ed unde wo di e en decision suppo models: ei he using he de eloped models de e minis ically o in co po a ion wi h he unce ain ies o he models. Resul s: P edic ion models based on Ai bo ne Lase Scanning (ALS) da a explained he a ia ion in p oxies o he sui abili y o o es plo s o main aining biodi e si y, p oducing imbe , s o ing ca bon, o p o iding ec ea ional uses (be y picking and isual ameni y) wi h RMSEs o 15%–30%, depending on he ES. The RMSEs o he ALS-based p edic ions we e 47%–97% o hose de i ed om o es esou ce maps wi h a simila esolu ion. Due o applying a simila ield calib a ion s ep on bo h o he da a sou ces, he di e ence can be a ibu ed o he be e abili y o ALS o explain he a ia ion in he ES p oxies. Conclusions: Despi e he di e en accu acies, p oxy alues p edic ed by bo h he da a sou ces could be used o a pixel-based p io i iza ion o land use a a esolu ion o 250 m 2 , i.e., in a conside ably mo e de ailed scale han equi ed by cu en ope a ional o es managemen . The unce ain y analysis indica ed ha maps o he ES p o isioning po en ial should be p epa ed sepa a ely based on expec ed and ex eme ou comes o he ES p oxy models o ully desc ibe he p oduc ion possibili ies o he landscape unde he unce ain ies in he models. Keywo ds: Fo es y decision making, Spa ial p io i iza ion, Ligh de ec ion and anging (LiDAR), Remo e sensing Backg ound Fo es y decision making equi es e alua ing po en ial managemen al e na i es wi h espec o mul iple objec- i es (Kangas e al. 2008). A undamen al decision is e- la ed o which goods and se ices o p oduce: in addi ion o con en ional imbe p oduc ion, he manage- men objec i es may be ela ed o main aining habi a s, p o iding ec ea ional and aes he ic oppo uni ies, and ca bon s o age o seques a ion (e.g. Pukkala 2016). These goods and se ices a e join ly called “mul iple uses”(Kangas 1992) o , ollowing Cos anza e al. (1997), Daily e al. (1997) and many o he s, “ecosys em se ices” o o es . In he ollowing ex , I use ESs o abb e ia e “Ecosys em Se ices”, e e ing mos essen ially o indi- ca o s o o es - ela ed ESs ha can be de i ed om Remo e Sensing (RS) o o he digi al map da a as indi ec p oxies (And ew e al. 2014). The mapping o hese p oxies allows spa ial p io i iza ion and o he spa ially explici analyses o mul iple ESs a a ious scales (e.g. Sch ö e e al. 2014; Räsänen e al. 2015; Sani e al. 2016; Roces-Díaz e al. 2017). Acco ding o e iews (Ma ínez-Ha ms and Bal ane a, 2012; Englund e al. 2017) and a collec ion o case s udies (Ba edo e al. 2015), howe e , such analyses can be expec ed o su e om he lack o s anda dized e minology, me hodology and da a. Inc eased a en ion should especially be Co espondence: ja i. auhkonen@luke. i Na u al Resou ces Ins i u e Finland (Luke), Bioeconomy and En i onmen Uni , P.O. Box 68, Yliopis oka u 6, FI-80101 Joensuu, Finland © The Au ho (s). 2018 Open Access This a icle is dis ibu ed unde he e ms o he C ea i e Commons A ibu ion 4.0 In e na ional License (h p://c ea i ecommons.o g/licenses/by/4.0/), which pe mi s un es ic ed use, dis ibu ion, and ep oduc ion in any medium, p o ided you gi e app op ia e c edi o he o iginal au ho (s) and he sou ce, p o ide a link o he C ea i e Commons license, and indica e i changes we e made. Vauhkonen Fo es Ecosys ems (2018) 5:24 h ps://doi.o g/10.1186/s40663-018-0143-1 ocused on quan i ying and communica ing he esul ing unce ain ies o he decision make s in o de o make in o med decisions (see also Eigenb od e al. 2010; Schulp e al. 2014; Foody 2015). Accoun ing o hese aspec s, he p esen s udy examines he obus ness o o es land-use p io i iza ion based on maps o he p o- isioning po en ial o o es ESs (Vauhkonen and Ruo salainen 2017a), i.e., he i ness o o es pa ches o p o ide goods and se ices ypical o he ESs occu ing in he s udied a ea, e-conside ing he me hodological and da a wo k low p oposed in he ea lie s udy. To esul in alid conclusions om RS-based decision analyses, he es ima es should be accu a e al eady a he le el o indi idual pixels. The use o ac i e RS such as Ligh De ec ion and Ranging (LiDAR) is expec ed o p oduce mo e accu a e in o ma ion compa ed o pas- si e, op ical RS (Le sky e al. 2001; Coops e al. 2004; Mal amo e al. 2006), especially, when using small pixels (e.g., 200 m 2 as in Næsse 2002). Fo es s uc u e and habi a ela ed in en o ies in pa icula bene i om he abili y o LiDAR o p o ide h ee-dimensional in o ma- ion, when ope a ed as Ai bo ne Lase Scanning (ALS; Mal amo e al. 2014). Kanka e e al. (2015) e alua ed he es ima ion accu acy o biomass a ibu es based on wo di e en RS se ups in an a ea closely esembling o ha p esen ly s udied. Acco ding o hei esul s, pixel-le el p edic ions based on coa se o medium esolu ion sa el- li e image y had a Roo Mean Squa ed E o (RMSE) o 47.7% o he o al biomass, which could be educed o 25.7% using ALS and local ield e e ence da a. The ALS da a used we e acqui ed by he land su ey, and he a ailabili y o such da a is inc easing due o la ge-a ea acquisi ions o e ain ele a ion modelling. Such da a ha e also been used o map a ibu es ela ed o habi a (Melin e al. 2013,2016; Vauhkonen and Imponen 2016), s uc u al (Valbuena e al. 2016b; Vauhkonen and Imponen 2016) and aes he ic (Vauhkonen and Ruo salainen 2017b) p ope ies o he o es . O e all, when a ious o es ESs a e ca ego ized ac- co ding o a ypology such as he Common In e na ional Classi ica ion o Ecosys em Se ices (CICES) as in Englund e al. (2017), he po en ial o ALS o assessing he sui abili y o o es a eas o p o ide hese ESs can be cha ac e ized as: –Regula ion and main enance se ices: A e y high numbe o s udies indica es ha he ege a ion heigh and densi y p o iles p oduced by ALS a e use ul o a de ailed quan i ica ion o a ia ions in abo e-g ound biomass (Næsse and Gobakken 2008; Zolkos e al. 2013; Popescu and Hauglin 2014) and, hus, ca bon s o age (Pa enaude e al. 2004). Essen ially, ALS p oduces a h ee-dimensional desc ip ion o he o es s uc u e, which can be ela ed o ecological p ope ies such as habi a ypes (Bässle e al. 2011) o biological di e si y in gene al (Mülle and Vie ling 2014) and employed o assess sui abili y o o es s o be main ained as habi a s o di e en species (Da ies and Asne 2014; Hill e al. 2014; Simonson e al. 2014). –P o isioning se ices: Se e al s udies ca ied ou especially in bo eal o es s uc u es indica e ALS da a use ul o assessing p ope ies ela ed o wood p oduc ion. Excep ha he me hods lis ed in he p e ious pa ag aphs can be di ec ly used o assess he p oduc ion po en ial o bulk biomass, also mo e de ailed p edic ions o imbe asso men s (Ko honen e al. 2008; Ko amaa e al. 2010; Vauhkonen e al. 2014; Hou e al. 2016) o wood ibe - ela ed a ibu es (Hilke e al. 2013; Lu he e al. 2014) a e possible. Al hough he yield s udies a e mos ly ela ed o wood-based biomass, he e also a e examples o imp o ed assessmen s o he yield o sh ub ui s (Ba be e al. 2016) o edible ungi (Peu a e al. 2016) based on ALS. –Cul u al se ices: The applicabili y o ALS highly depends on he cul u al se ice o in e es . Fo example, se e al a chaeological s udies indica e he po en ial o imp o e he mapping o his o ical emains in he o es using an ALS-based digi al e ain model. Simila echniques o isualize he e ain (Domingo-San os e al. 2011) o ees (Lämås e al. 2015) could po en ially be used o assess he aes he ic p ope ies o he o es . To da e, he s udy o Vauhkonen and Ruo salainen (2017b), which assessed he p e e ences on he isual ameni y o a o es a ea based on cu ings simula ed o iangula ed ege a ion poin clouds, appea s o be he only ALS-based a emp owa ds his di ec ion. The use o ALS can hus be mo i a ed by he po en ial o ob ain a be e co espondence wi h o es biophysical a ibu es and hese da a may be a ailable o some a eas in a simila ex en as land co e maps and o he publicly a ailable da a. Despi e he high po en ial, howe e , also ALS-based in o ma ion may yield a high deg ee o unce ain ies, i applied in expe models o mula ed acco ding o con en ionally measu ed ield a ibu es. Fo example, he sui abili y index p oposed by Pukkala e al. (2012) o map po en ial habi a s o Sibe ian jay (Pe iso eus in aus us L.) would equi e es ima ing he a ailabili y o Vaccinium my illus (L.) be ies and epi- phy ic lichens o ood and nes s. Al hough sub-models o es ima e hese a ibu es a e p esen ed (Pukkala e al. 2012), also hose include s and age and si e e ili y, which a e di icul o es ima e by ALS. Al hough some esea che s ha e p edic ed e en unde s o ey- ela ed a - ibu es, he esul s o Ko pela e al. (2012) indica e ha Vauhkonen Fo es Ecosys ems (2018) 5:24 Page 2 o 19 di ec measu es a e di icul o ob ain due o ansmis- sion losses occu ing in he uppe canopy (see also Mal amo e al. 2005) and such es ima ions would be e en mo e un eliable based on passi e op ical RS me hods. E en he ecogni ion o dominan ee species may be challenging in ALS-based in en o ies: despi e p omising esul s based solely on ALS (Ø ka e al. 2013; Vauhkonen e al. 2014), he esul s o Rä y e al. (2016) sugges di icul ies in de ec ing species, which domina e a mino p opo ion o an a ea o he wise homogeneous in e ms o he species. On he o he hand, ALS may allow p oducing o he a ibu es wi h mo e ele ance om he o es manage- men poin o iew. Fo example, o es s wi h mul i- laye ed e ical s uc u e can be dis inguished based on he da a (Zimble e al. 2003; Mal amo e al. 2005), which can be u he employed in de ec ing he p e ail- ing sil icul u al sys em (Bo alico e al. 2014), manage- men in ensi y (S e d up-Thygeson e al. 2016; Valbuena e al. 2016a), o de elopmen s age (Valbuena e al. 2016b). E en mo e de ailed indices may be de el- oped based on ecological a ionale (Lis opad e al. 2015) o a ho ough unde s anding o he p ope ies a - ec ing he ALS esponse (Valbuena e al. 2013,2014). Ea lie s udies ha e sugges ed ha he in o ma ion in heALSda amaybecondensed oa ewme ics(Kane e al. 2010;Lei e e e al.2015; Valbuena e al. 2017), he pa i ioning o which will p o ide a s a i ica ion co esponding closely o he s uc u al complexi y ob- se ed in he ield (Pascual e al. 2008;Thompsone al. 2016; Vauhkonen and Imponen 2016). E en hough p ope ies ela ed o indi idual ESs ha e been ac i ely s udied, no s udies ha show how o sup- po managemen decisions ela ed o he p o isioning o mul iple o es ESs based on h ee-dimensional o es s uc u e desc ip ion ob ained by ALS can cu en ly be ound om he li e a u e. Ba bosa and Asne (2017) and Rechs eine e al. (2017) de i ed in o ma ion om ALS da a o p io i ize landscapes o ecological es o a ion and species conse a ion planning, espec i ely. Packa- lén e al. (2011) used ALS da a and spa ial op imiza ion o de i e so called dynamic ea men uni s o guide he managemen o pulpwood p oduc ion in a plan a ion o es . Al hough a simila app oach could be ex ended o he decision making o o he o mul iple ESs (Pukkala e al. 2014), all ALS-based applica ions a e, o da e, o- cused on single ESs. The pu pose o his s udy is o es ALS da a o man- agemen p io i iza ion o mul iple ESs in a bo eal o es landscape. P oxies o pixel-wise p o isioning po en ial o biodi e si y, ca bon, imbe , be ies, and ec ea ional ameni ies we e o mula ed using ALS-based ea u es and compa ed o in o ma ion ob ained om o es e- sou ce maps wi h a esolu ion o 16 × 16 m 2 .The quali y o land use p io i iza ion based on he ob ained in o ma ion was e alua ed unde wo di e en decision suppo models: ei he using he de eloped models de- e minis ically o in co po a ion wi h he unce ain ies o he models. Me hods A me hodological o e iew Speci ically, he ALS da a a e es ed o p edic ing he p o isioning po en ial o ESs (Vauhkonen and Ruo salainen 2017a) in a spa ial p io i iza ion ame- wo k, whe e land use decisions a e based on anking he se o decision al e na i es in he conside ed loca ion(s) and choosing he bes acco ding o he decision make s’ p e e ences (c ., Malczewski and Rinne 2015). When applied o p io i ize o es s o single (e.g. Leh omäki e al. 2015) o mul iple uses (e.g. Vauhkonen and Ruo salainen 2017a) based on ES p oxy maps, a simpli- ied wo k low o such analyses includes h ee me hodo- logical s eps: 1) Da a acquisi ion, ea u e ex ac ion and/o expe modelling o de i e p oxy alues o he analyzed ESs. 2) Scaling and no maliza ion o he p oxy alues de i ed om di e en sou ces o he same scale. The esul ing alues can be called ‘p io i y’,‘bene i ’, o ‘u ili y’ alue and used in di e en ways depending on he li e a u e sou ce (see also Pukkala 2008; Pukkala e al. 2014; Malczewski and Rinne 2015). 3) Decision analyses using he no malized da a a selec ed spa ial scale(s). Because he no malized p oxy maps esul ing om he p e ious s eps ‘measu e’ he ESs in a same scale and ac- coun o he alue ange o each ES in he en i e land- scape, hey can be used (a) o mu ually ank ESs wi hin a spa ial uni o subsequen ly p io i ize managemen o p o ide mos sui able ESs in each uni ; and (b) o iden- i y he mos impo an loca ions o speci ic ESs in he landscape o be conside ed as managemen ho -spo s o cold-spo s. Because he spa ial p io i iza ion is ca ied ou a a sub-s and-le el using pixels o o he co e- sponding map uni s, i is expec ed o allow a mo e e i- cien use o he p oduc ion possibili ies o he o es (Heinonen e al. 2007) and, o e all, ope a ionalize he concep o ESs o landscape planning, which is u he mo i a ed by de G oo e al. (2010). The p esen s udy examines whe he changes o each o he h ee s eps lis ed abo e could imp o e pixel-wise analyses o he p o isioning po en ial o o es ESs (c . he discussion sec ion o Vauhkonen and Ruo salainen 2017a): Vauhkonen Fo es Ecosys ems (2018) 5:24 Page 3 o 19 1) Wha da a o use o he expe models o he p o- isioning po en ial: A consolida ed app oach o ob ain g id-based, wall- o-wall p edic ions o he essella ed landscapes would be o use o es esou ce maps based on gene alizing ield sample plo measu emen s o la ge a eas using coa se o medium esolu ion RS images and o he nume ic map da a (Tomppo e al. 2008a,2008b, 2014). This app oach, e e ed o as Mul i-Sou ce Na ional Fo es In en o y (MS-NFI), was used by Vauhkonen and Ruo salainen (2017a). E en i ALS al- lows mo e p edic ion possibili ies, as e iewed abo e, i is p ac ically easoned o benchma k he accu acies agains he pixel da a p o ided by he MS-NFI app oach, because di e en o es esou ce maps a e eadily a ailable in many coun ies (Tomppo e al. 2008b, Roces-Díaz e al. 2017; Vauhkonen and Ruo salainen, 2017a). 2) How o scale he ESs o iginally measu ed in di e en uni s o he join analyses: Vauhkonen and Ruo salainen (2017a) used a simple no maliza ion o con e he ES alues be ween 0 and 1: ij ¼nij N;ð1Þ whe e ij is he no malized alue and n ij is he posi ion o he j: h plo in ascending o de o he expe model alues o he i: h ecosys em se ice among al oge he N plo s. No ably, his no maliza ion p oduced alues in an in e al scale, whe eas he a ios be ween he expe model alues could also be assumed use ul o he p io - i y anking. An al e na i e, a io-scale no maliza ion could be compu ed as: ij ¼ESij−min ESi ðÞ max ESi ðÞ−min ESi ðÞ ;ð2Þ whe e ij is he alue (o p io i y o bene i o u ili y, de- pending on li e a u e sou ce; see abo e) p oduced by he i: h ES in plo j. 3) How o use he ob ained in o ma ion in decision analyses: Vauhkonen and Ruo salainen (2017a) de e - minis ically p io i ized each pixel o he ES wi h he highes p edic ed p oxy alue, bu highligh ed he need o conside unce ain ies a ound he p edic ions. I a quan i ica ion o he unce ain ies is ob ained (e.g., by app oxima ing esidual e o s o calib a ion models i - ed o he da a), he decision analyses can conside dis- ibu ions o unce ain y in addi ion o he expec ed alues and p oduce sepa a e ecommenda ions o di - e en decision make s acco ding o hei a i udes o- wa ds isk (Pukkala and Kangas 1996). The e o e, in addi ion o de e minis ic use o he p edic ed alues, his s udy conside ed bo h he expec ed and ex eme ou - comes o he p edic ions when selec ing he mos sui able ES o a pixel. The p incipal idea o his analysis is illus a ed in Fig. 1. On his backg ound, he p esen s udy es ed he da a sou ce (ALS o MS-NFI), p io i y alue unc ion o m (Eqs. 1o 2), unce ain y managemen app oach, and join implica ions o hese choices o he p edic ions o he p o isioning po en ial o o es ESs and subsequen managemen p io i iza ion decisions. Fo es ESs consid- e ed we e selec ed based on wo c i e ia: likelihood o occu in he s udied landscape and exis ence o expe models o de i e p oxies o hei p o isioning po en ial based on he ield measu emen s (Table 1). The ield and MS-NFI da a con ained es ima es o o es a ibu e ha could be di ec ly inse ed o he expe models. Using ALS da a, eg ession analyses we e employed o es ima e p edic i e ela ionships be ween ALS- ea u es and ES p oxy alues o ully u ilize he di e en p ope - ies o hese da a (c ., Sec ion “ALS-based models o he p io i y alues o he ESs”below). In he absence o inde- penden , wall- o-wall da a o alida ion, bo h he p e- dic ions and alida ions we e ca ied ou a he le el o indi idual o es plo s. The e alua ion is he e o e lim- i ed o he local i ness o he ESs o a speci ic o es pa ch in a single poin in ime and wi hou conside ing hei spa ial o empo al con inuum. No decision make was assumed in his s udy and he alues ob ained om Fig. 1 A gene ic example o selec ing he bes decision al e na i e based on di e en ou comes o model p edic ions (colo ed cu es). The yellow cu e yields he highes p io i y alue based on he expec ed (uppe ho izon al line) o wo s ou come o he model. Howe e , i he decision make weigh s bes possible ou comes, he al e na i e depic ed by he g ey cu e should be selec ed as i p oduces he highes p io i y in he igh ail accumula ion poin ( he in e cep ion o he cu e and he lowe ho izon al line) Vauhkonen Fo es Ecosys ems (2018) 5:24 Page 4 o 19 bo h he Eqs. 1and 2we e he e o e ea ed wi h equal weigh s, e en i hose could addi ionally be weigh ed ac- co ding o he decision make s’p e e ence s uc u e. S udy a ea and expe imen al da a The s udy a ea is loca ed in E o, Finland (61.19°N, 25.11°E), which belongs o he sou he n bo eal o es zone. The da a ex ended o e an a ea o app oxima ely 3 km × 6 km. The o es s ands in he a ea a y om in- ensi ely managed o na u al o es s in e ms o hei sil icul u al s a us. App oxima ely 84% o he g owing s ock in he s udied plo s is domina ed by coni e ous ee species Sco s pine (Pinus syl es is L.) and No way sp uce (Picea abies [L.] H. Ka s .). Deciduous ee spe- cies such as bi ches (Be ula spp. L.), aspen (Populus e- mula L.), alde s (Alnus spp. P. Mill.), willows (Salix spp. L.), and owan (So bus aucupa ia L.) occu in mixed s ands and below he dominan canopy. Da a se s used we e compiled om h ee ea lie s ud- ies in he same a ea (Vauhkonen and Imponen 2016; Niemi and Vauhkonen 2016; Vauhkonen and Ruo salai- nen 2017a). Vauhkonen and Imponen (2016) down- loaded and p ocessed ALS da a acqui ed by he Na ional Land Su ey o Finland o s a i y he a ea acco ding o o es s uc u al p ope ies. The ALS da a we e acqui ed om a lying al i ude o 2200 m using Leica ALS 50 scanne on 7 May, 2012, o yield a nominal pulse densi y o 0.8 m −2 . Ci cula sample plo s (9 m adius) we e placed by clus e ing he ALS da a wi h espec o o es s uc u al ea u es, which was ound o be an e icien s a egy o dis ibu e he sample ac oss he spa ial, size, and age dis ibu ions o he ee s ock (Vauhkonen and Imponen 2016). The ield measu emen s we e ca ied ou in June–Augus , 2014. The species and diame e -a -b eas heigh (DBH) we e measu ed o each ee wi h a DBH ≥5 cm. Fo each ee species o he plo , a ee wi h a DBH co esponding o he median ee was measu ed o heigh and used o calib a e heigh cu es o p edic ing he missing ee heigh s. Plo -le el o es a ibu es we e compu ed om he ee-le el measu emen s using s anda d equa ions and me hods, which a e desc ibed in de ail in an open-access a icle by Niemi and Vauhkonen (2016). Publicly a ailable MS-NFI da a (Na u al Resou ces In- s i u e Finland 2017) we e included o p o ide a bench- ma k o he ALS da a. The MS-NFI maps a e he same used Vauhkonen and Ruo salainen (2017a) and de ails on hei p e-p ocessing a e gi en in ha pape . These as e maps depic ed si e e ili y, g owing s ock olume and biomass componen s by ee species, o al basal a ea and mean diame e and heigh co esponding o hose o he (basal a ea weigh ed) median ee, and hey we e p oduced using a k-nea es neighbo (k-NN) es ima ion me hod based on op imized neighbo and ea u e selec- ion (Tomppo and Halme 2004; Tomppo e al. 2008a, 2014). The me hod used a ious sa elli e images om 2012 o 2014 and Na ional Fo es In en o y (NFI) ield plo measu emen s om 2009 o 2013, which we e up- da ed o co espond he si ua ion in mid-2013 using g ow h models. Al oge he 102 ield plo s we e co e ed by bo h ALS and MS-NFI da a and we e included in he analyses. Table 1 The ESs conside ed in his s udy and expe models o de i ing hei e e ence p oxy alues Abb . ES Indica o , uni (ci a ion) a S and-le el o es a ibu es used as p edic o s b BIOD Biodi e si y Index alue based on expe opinion (Leh omäki e al. 2015) 1 Si e e ili y, g owing s ock olume, diame e , dominan species TIMB Timbe p oduc ion Soil expec a ion alue (SEV), €∙ha −1 (Pukkala 2005) 2 Diame e , basal a ea, age, si e e ili y, species-speci ic g owing s ock olume, numbe o ees, ope a ional en i onmen ( empe a u e, in e es a e, imbe p ices) CARB Ca bon s o age Es ima ed amoun o ca bon 3 , ∙ha −1 (Ka jalainen and Kellomäki 1996) G owing s ock olume BILB Sui abili y o bilbe y picking Index alue based on expe opinion (Ihalainen e al. 2002) Age, basal a ea, heigh , species-speci ic g owing s ock olume, si e e ili y COWB Sui abili y o cowbe y picking Index alue based on expe opinion (Ihalainen e al. 2002) Age, species-speci ic g owing s ock olume, diame e , si e e ili y AMEN Visual ameni y Index alue based on expe opinion (Pukkala e al. 1988) Diame e , numbe o ees, species-speci ic g owing s ock olume, si e e ili y a When compu ing he alues o he p esen s udy, he ollowing de ails o excep ions compa ed o o iginal publica ions we e made: 1 The index alues a e o o m diame e × olume, scaled using dominan -species-speci ic ans o ma ion unc ions (Leh omäki e al. 2015) and maximum alues o o es a ibu es in he s udy a ea, and mul iplied by si e e ili y speci ic weigh s (Leh omäki e al. 2015). 2 Values o ope a ional en i onmen ela ed pa ame e s we e ob ained as combina ions o e ec i e empe a u e sum ixed o 1300 deg ee days, in e es a es o 1%–4% and saw-wood/pulpwood p ices (uni s in €∙m −3 ) o 30/15, 30/25, 40/15, 40/25, 40/35, 50/25, and 50/35, and he SEV was ob ained as an a e age o hese 28 combina ions weigh ed by he p opo ions o species. All alues we e adop ed om he s udy by Pukkala (2005). 3 The es ima ed ca bon was ob ained based on con e sion ac o s om species-speci ic, o al s em olumes o ca bon con en s. b To s anda dize he compu a ion based on all da a se s, he ollowing simpli ica ions o g oupings we e used: -Species g oups: pine, sp uce, deciduous ees. -‘Diame e ’always e e ed o he basal-a ea weigh ed mean diame e . Vauhkonen Fo es Ecosys ems (2018) 5:24 Page 5 o 19 The models o Table 1we e applied o p oduce plo -speci ic e e ence alues o he p o isioning po en- ial o he ESs based on ield da a. Acco ding o an ex- plo a o y analysis, he expe models o Table 1, i wi h many di e en da a se s, had conside ably di e en alue anges o e he landscape. As a esul , a di ec no maliza ion o he expe unc ion alues speci ically wi h Eq. 2 esul ed o emphasizing one ES in he p io i y ankings only because o he di e en shape and scale o ini ial alue dis ibu ions, as elabo a ed upon in Appendix 1. Fo his eason, he expe unc ion alues o all ESs we e ans o med o ollow he no mal dis ibu ion as closely as possible using he Box-Cox- ans o ma ion (Appendix 1) p io o applying Eqs. 1and 2. The o es a ibu e es ima es based on he MS-NFI maps we e ans o med using he same pa am- e e alues as wi h ield da a. This ans o ma ion did no a ec he o de o he obse a ions, bu p oduced app oxima ely equally shaped equency dis ibu ions o e e y ES, as de ailed in Appendix 1. ALS-based models o he p io i y alues o he ESs P edic ion models wi h independen a iables ex- ac ed om he ALS da a we e o mula ed o p edic p io i y unc ion alues o he o m o Eq. 2.P io i y unc ion alues co esponding o Eq. 1we e ob ained by o de ing he a o emen ioned p edic ions, i.e., no sepa a e models we e cons uc ed o he unc ion o m o Eq. 2. As easoned in he In oduc ion, he aim was no o model he o es a ibu es used as he p edic o s o he expe models, bu o iden i y and quan i y such p ope - ies o he ALS poin clouds ha di ec ly explained he a ia ion in he ES p oxies. As isualized in Fig. 2, he poin clouds o he plo s wi h maximum p oxy alues did no conside ably di e be ween he ESs in e ms o he o al dis ibu ions. Howe e , when heigh alues o p opo ions we e compu ed sepa a ely acco ding o echo ca ego ies, ES-speci ic di e ences could be poin ed ou (Fig. 2). The ea u es we e he e o e ex ac ed in echo ca ego ies, which we e “only echoes”(su ix _only), “ i s o many echoes”(_ i s ), “las o many echoes”(_las ), “ i s echoes”(_FP), and “las echoes”(_LP), whe e he las wo ca ego ies included “ i s o many”and “las o many”echoes, espec i ely, wi h “only echoes”dupli- ca ed in bo h. Fixed heigh alues o 0.5 m, 5 m, and below o abo e an adap i e heigh alue de e mined as he heigh o he 60 h pe cen ile we e used as he Fig. 2 ALS heigh p o iles and desc ip i e cha ac e is ics o he ield plo s conside ed o be mos impo an loca ions o he ESs in he da a s udied (p io i y alue o 1 based on Eq. 2). Fo compa ison, he lowe igh panel shows a plo ha had low p io i y alues o he conside ed ESs. The black, g een, and blue symbols indica e only, i s -o -many, and las -o -many ALS echoes, espec i ely. G ey ho izon al lines indica e he mean heigh s o hese echo ca ego ies and all echoes and a e d awn o illus a e he di e ences in e ms o hese me ics be ween he ESs Vauhkonen Fo es Ecosys ems (2018) 5:24 Page 6 o 19 h esholds o g ound, sh ub, and supp essed o domin- an canopy, espec i ely. The ollowing ca ego ies o he ea u es we e conside ed: –Canopy heigh and densi y, which a e he basic p edic o s used in ALS analyses (Næsse 2002) and we e assumed o disc imina e be ween size-speci ic a ibu es o he ESs: he maximum (hmax), he mean (hmean), and he s anda d de ia ion (hs d) o he heigh alues abo e he g ound h eshold; he 5 h, 10 h, 20 h, ..., 90 h, and 95 h pe cen iles (hzz, whe e zz deno ed he pe cen ile alue); and he co esponding p opo ional densi ies (dzz) we e compu ed acco ding o Ko honen e al. (2008, pp. 502–503). –P opo ion o echoes abo e a gi en h eshold o all echoes, co esponding o a ege a ion co e es ima e (Ko honen e al. 2011). This p opo ion was compu ed in wo ways: using echoes o di e en ca ego ies abo e he g ound (cc X_g ound ,whe eXis he echo ca ego y) o i s echoes abo e he sh ub laye h eshold (cc sh ub ), which co esponds o an a emp o quan i y he sh ub laye hickness (c ., Vauhkonen and Imponen 2016). –Absolu e di e ences be ween mean heigh s o di e en echo ca ego ies. These ea u es we e compu ed wi hou heigh h esholds and assumed o disc imina e be ween p ope ies ela ed o coni e ous- o deciduous-domina ed o es in he ALS da a acqui ed du ing he lea -o pe iod (Liang e al. 2007). These ea u es a e deno ed by di x–y , whe e su ix x–y e e s o he heigh di e ence o echo ca ego ies FP–LP, only–LP, i s –only, o i s –las . –P opo ions o he di e en echo ca ego ies, which we e assumed o be a ec ed by he species and size speci ic ES p ope ies in he canopy simila o he ALS-in ensi y ea u es (Ø ka e al. 2012; Vauhkonen e al. 2014). These ea u es a e deno ed by p op X/Y_z , whe e X/Y indica ed he a io o wo echo ca ego ies Xand Y, and zwas he heigh h eshold employed o compu a ions. –P edic o s ela ed o he sh ub and unde s o ey laye s (Vauhkonen and Imponen 2016): he a io o he echoes e lec ed abo e g ound bu below he dominan canopy h eshold ( unde s o y ); he s anda d de ia ion o he heigh alues o echoes e lec ed abo e g ound bu below he dominan canopy h eshold (s d unde s o y ); and he a io o he echoes e lec ed om he sh ub laye o all echoes ( sh ub ). Fea u es x i ,i=1, 2, …, 143, lis ed abo e o med he ini ial se S 1 o candida e p edic o s. To accoun o use- ul in e ac ions be ween he ea u es, he inal se Swas ob ained as S 1 ∪{x i ×x j }∀i,j∈S 1 , which esul ed o al oge he 10,296 candida e ea u es pe plo . Sepa a e models o each ES we e cons uc ed by inse ing ea- u es i e a i ely in o a model empla e: ^ yin ¼anþXN n¼1bnxcn jn;ð3Þ whe e ^ yin is he ec o o p edic ed p io i y alues o he i: h ES, x jn is he j: h ea u e o S, and a n ,b n , and c n a e model pa ame e s a he n: h ound o N=1,2,3,4 i e a ion ounds. Pa ame e s a n ,b n , and c n we e es i- ma ed using he nls unc ion o R s a is ical compu ing en i onmen (R Co e Team 2016). Tes ing e e y candi- da e ea u e as x jn a e e y i e a ion ound, he RMSE be ween he p edic ed and e e ence p io i y alues was compu ed as: RMSE ¼ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi Pn i¼1^ yi−yi ðÞ 2 n; sð4Þ whe e nis he numbe o obse a ions, and ^ yiand y i a e he p edic ed and e e ence alues, espec i ely. The ea- u e ha minimized he RMSE was e ained in he model empla e and he i e a ions we e con inued un il he model included a maximum o ou ea u es. Howe e , mo e c i e ia we e employed o selec he model o be used o he p io i iza ion analyses among he models wi h one o ou ea u es: 1) The inal p edic o inse ed had o imp o e he RMSE by a leas 1%. 2) The esidual e o s had o sa is y he null hypo hesis ha he conside ed sample came om a no mally dis ibu ed popula ion, which was examined g aphically using sca e , esidual and QQ-plo s, and nume ically using he es s a is ic p oposed by Shapi o and Wilk (1965). 3) The model had o pass a “sensi i i y o con e gence” es , in which he model was i sepa a ely o each plo using Lea e-One-Ou - C oss-Valida ion (LOOCV), i.e., no allowing he plo in ques ion o be a ailable in he aining da a o model i ing. Implica ions o including his es a e u he desc ibed in he Resul s sec ion. P edic ing he p io i y alues o he ESs based on he MS-NFI maps Benchma k p edic ions o hose based on ALS we e ob- ained by inse ing he o es a ibu e es ima es om he MS-NFI maps o Eq. 2. P io i y unc ion alues co - esponding o Eq. 1we e ob ained by o de ing he a o e- men ioned p edic ions (c ., p e ious sec ion). The MS-NFI maps included es ima es o all o he independ- en a iables excep he numbe o ees pe hec a e, Vauhkonen Fo es Ecosys ems (2018) 5:24 Page 7 o 19 which was es ima ed by di iding he o al basal a ea by he basal a ea co esponding o he mean diame e , i.e., assuming ha he esul ing numbe o a e age-sized ees exis ed in a pixel. To compu e plo -wise es ima es, he pixels o he o es esou ce maps in e sec ing wi h he plo polygons we e iden i ied using a spa ial que y. The es ima es o a plo we e ob ained om he in e - sec ing pixels as weigh ed a e ages wi h he join a eas o he plo s and pixels as he weigh s. Finally, o see i amending he models based on ALS wi h he MS-NFI laye s imp o ed he models, a simila ea u e selec ion as wi h ALS da a was un including all MS-NFI-based ES and o es a ibu e p oxies as addi ional ea u e candida es. Field calib a ion and e alua ion o he p edic ions Following he me hod desc ibed in he p e ious sec ion, po en ial es ima ion e o s in he MS-NFI maps p opa- ga e o he p edic ed p io i y alues, whe eas simila e o p opaga ion is a oided in he ALS-based analyses due o local model i ing. An addi ional calib a ion s ep was he e o e included o elimina e he con ibu ion o he local ield sample o he p edic ions. Calib a ion models yi¼ ð^ yiÞ, whe e y i was he e e ence p io i y alue o he i: h ES and ^ yii s RS-based es ima e, o all ESs we e i simul aneously as sys ems o linea equa- ions. Due o he high in e -co ela ions (see Addi ional ile 1, Table S1), he models we e i in wo s eps: i s , using O dina y Leas Squa es (OLS) o p oduce model esiduals, and second, using Seemingly Un ela ed Re- g ession (SUR) o accoun o he esidual e o co a i- ance ma ices in he inal models. The compu a ions we e ca ied ou in he LOOCV mode using he sys em- i package o R (Henningsen and Hamann 2007). The accu acies o he ALS- and MS-NFI-based p edic ions we e compa ed using he RMSE and coe icien o de e - mina ion (R 2 ) compu ed be ween he e e ence alues and p edic ions ob ained om he LOOCV models. Decision analyses The e ec s o he a o emen ioned p edic ion accu - acies o he managemen decisions we e e alua ed by compa ing he p io i y anking o he ESs in each in- di idual plo . The ES wi h he highes p io i y alue, based on Eqs. 1o 2applied o he ield e e ence da a, was assumed o be he mos sui able ES o he speci ic plo . The RS-based decision was conside ed co ec , i he mos sui able ES based on he ield da a and he RS p edic ion equaled. The deg ee o in- co ec decisions was quan i ied using wo ap- p oaches. Fi s , he co ec ness o e e y decision was gi en a nume ical sco e (Gopal and Woodcock 1994): si ua ions whe e RS and ield da a esul ed in he same decision was gi en a sco e o 6; hose whe e he RS-based se ice was he second bes acco ding o he ield da a a sco e o 5; and so on, un il he si ua ion whe e he RS-based se ice was he wo s acco ding o ield da a, which was gi en a sco e o 1. The dis ibu ions o hese “decision sco es”we e compa ed be ween he di e en da a sou ces. Second, he dispe sion in ield and RS-da a be ween he se - ices selec ed as he mos sui able o he speci ic plo was examined using con usion ma ices. The p io i y anking o he less impo an ESs was no e alua ed. In addi ion o ‘de e minis ic’decision making de- sc ibed abo e, he sensi i i y o he decisions was exam- ined by inco po a ing he unce ain ies o he models o he analyses (Fig. 1). Ins ead o using he expec ed alues o he p io i y unc ions, he anking was ca ied ou as- suming he p edic ions as ealized alues o a andom a iable X~N(E,s 2 ), whe e Ewas he expec ed alue and s 2 was he mean squa ed e o o he model esid- uals. A simila p io i y anking as wi h he expec ed alues was ca ied ou wi h p edic ions ha we e among he wo s and bes ou comes o he model, ob ained as he alues o he 5 h and 95 h pe cen iles o he dis ibu- ion o Xo each ES. Resul s ALS-based models o he p io i y alues o he ESs The ALS ea u es conside ed as he p edic o s o he eg ession models a e lis ed in Table 2. All ea u e and echo ype ca ego ies and a wide ange o di e - en heigh alues was employed when building he models, o which eason only a ew speci ic obse a- ions on he s uc u e o models can be made. All ea u es selec ed we e p oduc s o o m ea u e 1 × ea- u e 2 ,whe e ea u e 1 was o en an absolu e heigh alue (a mean heigh , pe cen ile, o heigh di e ence) and ea u e 2 a p opo ion (ei he a canopy co e p oxy o p opo ional densi y). This combina ion was especially equen among he i s ea u es selec ed o he models. In he models o TIMB, all selec ed p edic o s we e such combina ions employing a ious heigh alues and echo ca ego ies. The models o BIOD and CARB used p opo ion ×p opo ion ypes o in e ac ions and he a io o i s -o -many o only and i s e u ns (p op i s /FP_g ound ). The p edic o s o BIOD (e.g., p op i s /FP_g ound ;di only–LP ;hs d LP )we e mos di e se in e ms o desc ibing he canopy s uc- u e wi h ea u es om di e en ca ego ies. The models o BILB, COWB, and AMEN di e ed om hose men ioned abo e in employing low pe cen ile alues, las pulse p opo ions and ea u es such as unde s o y , di only–FP ,p op i s /FP_g ound ,andhs d i s . Vauhkonen Fo es Ecosys ems (2018) 5:24 Page 8 o 19 O e all, he canopy co e p oxies we e he mos e- quen ea u e ype, whe eas he compu ing heigh s and echo ca ego ies o all ea u es a ied. Al hough a wide ange o di e en heigh alues was used, a p e- dic o wi h a pe cen ile alue abo e 70 was selec ed only once. The g aphical assessmen o model esiduals (de- ailed esul s no shown) was mainly in line wi h he es on esidual no mali y (Table 2): he QQ-plo s showed hea y- ailed esiduals especially o he models wi h s a is ically signi ican alues o he Shapi o-Wilk es s a is ic. Howe e , he de ia ions o no mali y we e ypically ela ed o one o wo plo s wi h he highes o lowes alues, and no conside ed p oblema ic o he u he analyses. When examined in he same da a used o cons uc ing he models, he pe o mance o e e y model could be sligh ly im- p o ed by inc easing he numbe o p edic o s o he maximum numbe allowed. Howe e , when he models we e e- i using LOOCV, model pa ame e s could no be sol ed o a leas one o he plo s in he da a, esul ing o NA alues o his pe o mance ac o in Table 2. Al hough his e ec could p obably ha e been a oided by allowing a sligh ly wide ange o ini ial pa ame e s when i ing he models, i was also conside ed as a sensi i i y issue e lec ing an o e -pa ame e iza ion o he ini ial model o ce ain ypes o o es s uc u es. The olume o deciduous ees and he MS-NFI based p oxy o BILB would ha e eplaced he las ALS-based ea u es in he models o CARB and BILB, espec i ely, and in he models o COWB, he co e- sponding MS-NFI p oxy would ha e been selec ed as he second ea u e. Howe e , none o he a o emen- ioned MS-NFI ea u es pe o med be e han he ALS- ea u es o hese models in e ms o he ea u e se- lec ion c i e ia. Based on he conside a ions abo e, he ALS and MS-NFI da a se s we e always used sepa a ely. Also, a di e en numbe o p edic o s was used in he ALS-based models o he p io i y anking: BIOD and COWB we e modeled using only one p edic o ( he one selec ed i s ); TIMB, BILB, and AMEN using wo p edic o s ( hose selec ed i s and second); and CARB using h ee p edic o s selec ed i s . Compa ison o ALS and MS-NFI o p edic ing he p io i y alues o he ESs The models based on ALS da a always ou pe o med hose based on o es a ibu e es ima es de i ed om he MS-NFI maps. As shown in Figs. 3and 4, he ALS-based models gene ally explained mo e a ia ion in he ES p oxies. The eg ession lines o he MS-NFI da a based on he SUR calib a ion models also di e ed mo e se e ely om he 0–1-lines. Using MS-NFI da a, TIMB was p edic ed mos accu a ely wi h an RMSE o 30.4%. The RMSEs o o he ESs we e also close (30.6%–33.2%), excep AMEN, which had an RMSE o 40.5% and BIOD, which was p edic ed wo s wi h an RMSE o 41.6%. Using ALS, he ES p edic ed wo s (COWB) had an RMSE o 29.8%, which is 97% o he RMSE o he co esponding MS-NFI p edic ion. The RMSEs o all o he ESs we e in o de o 21.7%–27.5% (57%–83% o he RMSEs o MS-NFI p edic ions), ex- cep CARB, which was p edic ed mos accu a ely wi h an RMSE o 15.1% (47% o he RMSE o MS-NFI p e- dic ion). The deg ee o de e mina ion o CARB also im- p o ed mos due o using ALS ins ead o MS-NFI, om R 2 = 0.11 o 0.81. The R 2 -imp o emen s o he o he ESs we e close o his magni ude, excep o BILB and COWB, which had R 2 alues close o each o he based on bo h he da a sou ces. The esidual e o s o models based on ALS and MS-NFI we e somewha co - ela ed o BILB and COWB, bu no o he o he ESs (Figs. 3and 4, igh column). Table 2 The ea u es and pe o mance o ALS-based models o p edic ing a io-scaled ES p oxy alues. W –Shapi o-Wilk es s a is ic ES P edic o W a RMSE RMSE LOOCV BIOD cc sh ub × h40 i s 0.965 *** 0.259 0.266 + p op i s /FP_g ound × d50 i s 0.981 0.235 NA + di only–LP × hs d LP 0.986 0.217 0.226 + h95 i s × h10 LP 0.977 * 0.203 NA TIMB cc only_g ound × hmean FP 0.977 * 0.220 0.228 + h40 las ×cc LP_g ound 0.970 ** 0.202 0.213 + h05 las × d05 i s 0.989 0.182 NA +cc only_g ound × h10 FP 0.988 0.174 NA CARB cc sh ub × h60 i s 0.980 0.158 0.163 + h20 las ×cc only_g ound 0.988 0.144 0.152 + d60 i s × d30 LP 0.987 0.138 0.148 + p op i s /FP_g ound × d05 i s 0.984 0.132 NA BILB h60 i s × h70 LP 0.987 0.279 0.286 + d50 only ×cc FP_g ound 0.984 0.255 0.274 + unde s o y × d05 FP 0.982 0.238 NA + d70 i s × d50 only 0.984 0.222 0.267 COWB d20 LP × h40 FP 0.966 *** 0.281 0.295 + di only–FP 2 0.981 0.250 NA + p op i s /FP_g ound × d05 i s 0.983 0.233 NA + d60 i s × h05 only 0.971 ** 0.217 NA AMEN h10 i s × hmean FP 0.993 0.239 0.246 + d30 las × d70 i s 0.991 0.219 0.229 + h20 las ×cc FP_g ound 0.994 0.204 NA + hs d i s × hmean LP 0.991 0.187 NA a The as e isks e e o he signi icance o he es s a is ic a he 90% (*), 95% (**), and 99% (***) con idence le el Vauhkonen Fo es Ecosys ems (2018) 5:24 Page 9 o 19 Appendix 2 Con usion ma ices o he mos impo an ESs based on expec ed ou comes Appendix 3 Con usion ma ices o he mos impo an ESs based on ex eme ou comes Table 3 Con usion be ween ESs conside ed as mos impo an based on he ield da a (obse ed) and MS-NFI maps (p edic ed) using he expec ed alues o he p edic ed ES p oxies P edic ed BILB COWB AMEN BIOD CARB TIMB Obse ed BILB 8 5 2 0 2 4 COWB 6 15 9 1 1 2 AMEN 1 1 0 0 0 0 BIOD 1 0 4 4 5 2 CARB 0 1 4 1 1 1 TIMB 3 4 2 1 3 8 Table 4 Con usion be ween ESs conside ed as mos impo an based on he ield da a (obse ed) and MS-NFI da a calib a ed wi h he local ield sample (p edic ed) using he expec ed alues o he p edic ed ES p oxies P edic ed BILB COWB AMEN BIOD CARB TIMB Obse ed BILB 11 7 0 0 1 2 COWB 9 18 0 2 2 3 AMEN 1 1 0 0 0 0 BIOD 10 0 0 5 1 0 CARB 1 2 0 1 3 1 TIMB 3 4 0 1 3 10 Table 5 Con usion be ween ESs conside ed as mos impo an based on he ield da a (obse ed) and he expec ed alues o he ALS-based models o ES p oxies (p edic ed) P edic ed BILB COWB AMEN BIOD CARB TIMB Obse ed BILB 12 2 0 3 0 4 COWB 5 17 1 9 0 2 AMEN 1 0 0 1 0 0 BIOD 4 3 0 3 5 1 CARB 0 0 0 2 2 4 TIMB 1 3 0 3 5 9 Table 6 Con usion be ween ESs conside ed as mos impo an based on he ield da a (obse ed) and MS-NFI da a calib a ed wi h he local ield sample (p edic ed) using he wo s ou comes o he p edic ed ES p oxies P edic ed BILB COWB AMEN BIOD CARB TIMB Obse ed BILB 9 7 0 0 0 5 COWB 9 18 0 1 1 5 AMEN 0 1 0 0 0 1 BIOD 8 0 0 0 1 7 CARB 1 2 0 1 0 4 TIMB 3 4 0 0 1 13 Table 7 Con usion be ween ESs conside ed as mos impo an based on he ield da a (obse ed) and he wo s ou comes o he ALS-based models o ES p oxies (p edic ed) P edic ed BILB COWB AMEN BIOD CARB TIMB Obse ed BILB 9 0 0 1 10 1 COWB 5 2 3 0 23 1 AMEN 1 0 0 0 1 0 BIOD 1 0 1 0 14 0 CARB 0 0 0 0 7 1 TIMB 1 1 1 0 13 5 Table 8 Con usion be ween ESs conside ed as mos impo an based on he ield da a (obse ed) and MS-NFI da a calib a ed wi h he local ield sample (p edic ed) using he bes ou comes o he p edic ed ES p oxies P edic ed BILB COWB AMEN BIOD CARB TIMB Obse ed BILB 8 4 0 7 2 0 COWB 8 9 0 16 0 1 AMEN 0 1 0 1 0 0 BIOD 2 0 0 14 0 0 CARB 0 0 0 8 0 0 TIMB 3 2 0 13 0 3 Vauhkonen Fo es Ecosys ems (2018) 5:24 Page 16 o 19 Abb e ia ions ALS: Ai bo ne Lase Scanning; AMEN: Visual ameni y (one o he ecosys em se ices conside ed, see Table 1); BILB: Sui abili y o bilbe y picking (one o he ecosys em se ices conside ed, see Table 1); BIOD: Biodi e si y (one o he ecosys em se ices conside ed, see Table 1); CARB: Ca bon s o age (one o he ecosys em se ices conside ed, see Table 1); COWB: Sui abili y o cowbe y picking (one o he ecosys em se ices conside ed, see Table 1); DBH: Diame e -a -b eas -heigh ; ES: Ecosys em se ice; k-NN: k-Nea es neighbo ; LOOCV: Lea e one ou c oss alida ion; MCDA: Mul iple c i e ia decision analysis; MS-NFI: Mul i-Sou ce Na ional Fo es In en o y; RMSE: Roo mean squa ed e o ; RS: Remo e sensing; TIMB: Timbe p oduc ion (one o he ecosys em se ices conside ed, see Table 1) Funding The acquisi ion o he s udied da a was o iginally suppo ed by he Resea ch Funds o Uni e si y o Helsinki. 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